June 27th How quickly can you see a wide range of Bitcoin mortgages?

At a prominent moment of the convergence of cryptocurrency and traditional finances, Michael Saylor of Strategy launched a public dialogue with US Federal Housing and Finance Agency (FHFA) director William Prute regarding the integration of Bitcoin into mainstream mortgages. This engagement focuses on Silorer’s proposal to share a unique Bitcoin credit model designed to assess loan risk using Bitcoin-specific metrics such as volatility and asset coverage. The conversation could show a change in the way federal housing agencies such as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac value borrower assets following Pulte’s announcement that FHFA is investigating whether cryptocurrency holdings can play a role in mortgage eligibility. The exchange highlights not only the role of Bitcoin maturation in financial planning, but it also may affect the way federal regulators incorporate digital assets into their home lending frameworks.

Was William Pulte, FHFA Director, Saylor Orange Pill Us?

In a recent development, highlighting the intersection of digital assets and traditional finance, Micro Strategy Executive Director Michael Saylor has been published with William Parte, director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) on the potential Bitcoin-backed mortgage model. Saylor has offered to share the strategy’s own Bitcoin credit model. It analyzes loan risk and pricing based on key Bitcoin-specific metrics such as price volatility, asset viewing forecasts, and collateral coverage. The outreach follows Pulte’s statement that FHFA will study how cryptocurrency holdings are considered in mortgage eligibility assessments. This is an announcement that federal housing agencies such as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac may be revisiting Light Heritage Loan Standards for U.S. households’ evolved asset portfolios.

Given its role in overseeing government-sponsored mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, FHFA’s willingness to investigate cryptocurrency integration is particularly noteworthy given that cryptocurrencies must be converted into US dollars and held in regulated institutions before they can be counted in the calculation of borrower assets. Until the beginning of this year, regulations such as the SEC’s now repeated SAB 121 effectively prevented mainstream financial institutions from accepting crypto assets as collateral for loans. By removing these accounting restrictions, it opens up new opportunities for digital assets to be recognized in the underwriting framework, potentially allowing borrowers to take advantage of Bitcoin Holding without liquidation.

Saylor’s intervention adds technical depth to this policy conversation by introducing a credit model specialized for the characteristics of Bitcoin as collateral. Unlike traditional assets, the volatility, liquidity, and non-sovereign nature of Bitcoin requires clear methods to calculate loan-value ratios, period-based risk spreads, and margin thresholds. His company’s model aims to quantify these variables and support a safer, over-carrier lending structure that can be integrated into existing mortgage products. If regulators adopt or adapt such a framework, they could mark an important step towards mainstreaming crypto-assisted mortgages through established institutions rather than niche providers.

The exchange also arrives amid growing public interest in alternative financing models, particularly among young Americans who hold an unbalanced share of net worth in digital assets. A policy shift from institutions like the FHFA could justify the use of Bitcoin as a form of wealth in housing finance, and could improve access to homeownership for households from crypto. Whether this indicates a broader consistency between crypto innovation and US housing policy remains to be seen, but the Saylor and Pulte dialogue suggests that such a debate is no longer theoretical.

What is a Bitcoin-supported mortgage? How does it work?

Bitcoin mortgages are a type of loan in which Bitcoin (BTC) is used as collateral rather than traditional down payments. In this structure, the borrower pledges a specified amount of Bitcoin to the lender and holds it in escrow during the mortgage period. The borrower will then receive Fiat Currency (USD) to purchase the property and make monthly repayments, similar to traditional mortgages. These arrangements are usually over-secured. In other words, the value of the pledged Bitcoin exceeds the value of the loan, protecting lenders from price volatility. If the Bitcoin value falls below a certain threshold, borrowers may be required to add BTC collateral or risk liquidation to cover the balance of outstanding payments.

Compared to standard mortgages, Bitcoin-assisted mortgages offer different risk compensation profiles. Traditional mortgages are based on credit history, income documents, and Fiat’s down payments usually between 10% and 20% of the home’s value. By contrast, Bitcoin mortgages can pose to borrowers who are crypto and have wealth, but don’t want to settle their holdings or are unable to. These products can avoid some of the traditional underwriting document hurdles, but introduce new risks regarding asset volatility. Additionally, while professional lenders offer these products, most traditional banks do not accept Bitcoin as a valid asset for mortgage eligibility due to regulatory and balance sheet constraints, this could change if an institution like FHFA expands its asset recognition criteria.

Bitcoin native features such as Multisig wallets and Time Locks enhance security and minimization of trust in lending arrangements. Multisig allows a predefined number of parties to only spend their funds when approving the transaction and reducing the risk of counterparties, but time locking allows transactions to be locked to a specific time or block height, allowing automated loan expiration or repayment terms.

Bitcoin mortgage rates are competitive, but often vary widely depending on lenders, collateral coverage and market conditions. Fees can be lower than unsecured cryptocurrencies, but they are not always on par with the most favorable traditional mortgage rates, especially from government-supported lenders. In some cases, lenders may offer flexible terms to attract borrowers who want to remain exposed to a long-term assessment of BTC while accessing liquidity. However, borrowers can erode the benefits of any rate as they face additional costs such as management fees and escrow fees and risk of margin calls during market slump. Until Bitcoin becomes an asset approved within traditional institutions such as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, rates are unlikely to standardize across the broader lending market.

Driven by a fixed coin supply of 21 million and half cycles every four years, Bitcoin’s deflationary economic model introduces unique dynamics in mortgage lending. In theory, if new supplies are cut in half and the issuance slows down, the bitcoin shortage could increase its value over time. This historically encourages long-term holdings (hodling), making Bitcoin an attractive reserve asset for some. In the mortgage context, this could be reluctant to pledge Bitcoin as collateral, and fear opportunity costs if prices rise dramatically. At the same time, lenders may be cautious about sharp declines that could undermine the collateral value. The success of Bitcoin mortgages over the long term depends on how lenders and regulators manage this volatility, and whether Bitcoin’s deflationary model is considered a stable foundation enough to support large, long-term financial products like mortgages.

Is Saylor too optimistic, or will the lending industry accept Bitcoin?

Michael Saylor’s framing of Bitcoin as a digital asset rather than digital cash defined his entire investment philosophy and led both the corporate strategy of strategy and his broader public advocacy. By treating Bitcoin as a valuable, long-term storage, rather than as a medium of exchange, Saylor dismissed in favour of accumulating and holding spending or transactions with BTC indefinitely. However, this belief naturally led him to explore the mechanisms through which Bitcoin can generate yields. This is a pursuit of worrying about the principles of asset trust maximizing design and P2P. His recent interest in Bitcoin-backed credit models, such as mortgages, reflects his desire to monetize Bitcoin without selling it. However, this approach enters dark territory, especially considering the prominent collapse of past retail-centric crypto lending platforms offering similar promises.

The failures of companies such as celsius, Voyager and Blockfi highlight the inherent risks of trying to extract yields from volatile digital assets in underregulated environments. These companies provided attractive returns for depositors whilst engaging in opaque, leveraged and often inconsistent lending practices. When prices collapsed, the balance sheet also collapsed, and users installed frozen accounts and losses. The yield in Saylor’s version is rooted in collateral against Bitcoin, excess carrier overlook, rather than deducted or re-guaranteed sediment, which may appear more conservative in comparison. However, the underlying tension remains in the fact that Bitcoin is not a risk-free yield generating tool, and introducing debt-based products around it reintroducing credit, counterparty risk, and systemic vulnerabilities into a space designed to theoretically eliminate them.

If federal regulators such as FHFA ultimately approve the use of Bitcoin as a collateral qualifying for a mortgage, the traditional lending industry could be forced to adapt to new classes of assets and borrowers. Banks and government-backed companies such as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac should develop protocols to evaluate, protect and manage digital collateral in accordance with capital requirements and consumer protection regulations. This could bring new revenue streams, borrower demographics and innovation to the mortgage sector, especially among households from young crypto origins who are blessed with traditional standards but are overexposed to digital assets. It could also promote standardization efforts, including regulatory guidance on custody, assessment methods and margin maintenance.

If the federal government establishes a clear and lucrative regulatory framework for Bitcoin-backed mortgages through agencies like FHFA, key players in the banking industry could carefully follow suit. While traditional financial institutions are generally risk averse and highly regulated, they also have a long history of adapting to government-supported policy shifts, especially when they involve guarantees and securitization mechanisms provided by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The green light from federal authorities reduces legal ambiguity and provides the compliance infrastructure needed for banks to safely evaluate, detain and lend Bitcoin collateral. While some conservative agencies may be able to hesitate due to volatility concerns and reputational risks, others, especially Fintech Forward Banks and banks already seeking custody of digital assets, can view this as a competitive opportunity to leverage the growing demographics of competitive demographics and expand their lending portfolios in highly resident markets.

In an optimistic scenario, if Bitcoin-backed mortgages prove traction and resilient, the lending industry can see a wave of hybrid financial products that combine traditional underwriting and decentralized asset classes. Lenders either offer tiered products with dynamic loan and value ratios based on Bitcoin volatility metrics, or integrate Stablecoins and BTC together to balance risk. Over time, the legitimacy of Bitcoin as a financial asset class may solidify, leading to a new class of secondary markets for potentially tokenized mortgage debt or credit infrastructure. However, this vision depends on whether institutional actors can responsibly manage the volatility and cultural idiosyncraticity of Bitcoin without repeating the speculative overreach that destined for previous lending experiments in the crypto space.

]]> https://earlybirdsinvest.com/how-quickly-can-you-see-a-wide-range-of-bitcoin-mortgages/feed/ 0 44544 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/will-polygon-price-hit-1-in-2025-data-shows-wide-volatility-range/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/will-polygon-price-hit-1-in-2025-data-shows-wide-volatility-range/#respond Fri, 09 May 2025 09:39:15 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/will-polygon-price-hit-1-in-2025-data-shows-wide-volatility-range/

• POL supports zkEVM and app-specific blockchains.
• The current price is near $0.23, down from $1.29 in March 2024.
• 2025 forecast ranges between $0.11795 and $0.47181.

Polygon (MATIC) is undergoing a major transformation with the introduction of its upgraded token, POL, as part of the wider Polygon 2.0 roadmap.

This move marks a shift to a zero-knowledge Ethereum Virtual Machine (zkEVM) system and supports a network of application-specific blockchains.

The upgrade is aimed at boosting scalability, utility, and decentralisation, potentially influencing long-term valuation.

As of early May 2025, POL trades near $0.23, far from its March 2024 peak of $1.29.

Source: CoinMarketCap

With price volatility high and new utility being built in, investors are now weighing whether the token can realistically reach $1 again within the year.

The protocol’s success could also have broader implications for Layer 2 scaling solutions across the Ethereum network.

POL migration sparks new interest

The migration from MATIC to POL is a key part of Polygon’s upgrade, allowing the network to evolve through zkEVM chains and decentralised governance.

POL will enable staking, community decision-making, and validation activities across Polygon’s ecosystem.

POL’s recent performance shows a modest rebound, up 2.88% to $0.23.

The token saw its all-time high of $1.29 in March 2024 and a low of $0.1533 in April 2025.

The current price range indicates considerable uncertainty, with upcoming adoption metrics likely to shape the price direction.

2025 price targets

Polygon’s 2025 forecast includes a potential high of $0.47181, a projected low of $0.11795, and an average estimate of $0.29488.

Analysts suggest the token’s success in reaching the upper end will depend on how quickly the new ecosystem gains traction.

The shift to zkEVM architecture, alongside developer participation, could be a key growth driver.

Forecasts for 2026 show a potential high of $0.75490 and a low of $0.18872.

In 2027, the token could rise to $1.20784, and by 2028, it may hit $1.93254.

Polygon’s 2030 estimates peak at $4.94731, based on long-term adoption and scaling progress.

Investment case remains mixed

Polygon’s 2.0 transition strengthens its technical capabilities, but the current trading price suggests there are still adoption hurdles to clear.

With zkEVM deployment and token migration underway, POL could attract interest from developers building scalable dApps.

POL’s journey to $1 in 2025 will largely depend on the traction gained in its upgraded ecosystem and how it competes with other Layer 2 solutions.

Close monitoring of gas fee savings, validator participation, and mainnet activity will be essential in assessing future performance.

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The entire crypto industry has had a recent few weeks of ugly price action and downtrend, a trend which has been reflected in crypto investment funds. Notably, digital asset funds have witnessed their worst outflow streak on record, as noted by the latest CoinShares weekly report on digital asset invesment funds. Interestingly, the report reveals insights into investor sentiment across different assets, with funds based on XRP and Cardano seemingly defying the trend.

A Record-Breaking Five Weeks Of Outflows For Crypto Invesment Funds

According to CoinShares, digital asset investment products have now endured five consecutive weeks of outflows coming to a total of $6.4 billion within this timeframe. This marks the worst outflow streak in history, with $1.7 billion exiting the funds just last week alone. The persistent negative sentiment has driven total assets under management (AuM) down by $48 billion since the beginning of this downturn.

Bitcoin has been at the center of this selling pressure, seeing an additional $978 million in outflows from investment funds over the past week. This brings its total withdrawals over the five-week period to $5.4 billion, representing 80.5% of the total withdrawals. Interestingly, short Bitcoin positions also saw an exodus of $3.6 million last week, showing that sentiment is currently undecided despite the bearish trend.

Ethereum was not spared from the downturn either, suffering $175 million in outflows. The second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap has struggled to gain investor confidence throughout this cycle. Solana, which on the other hand, has been able to gain investor confidence this cycle, also recorded $2.2 million in outflows from its investment funds last week.

The outflows have been largely concentrated in the United States, which accounted for 93% of all exits last week, equating to $1.16 billion. Switzerland also experienced significant withdrawals amounting to $528 million, primarily due to the departure of a major seed investor. Meanwhile, Germany, Australia, Brazil, and Hong Kong deviated from the trend of outflows, recording modest inflows of $8 million, $1.6 million, $4,2 million, and $0.7 million, respectively.

XRP And Cardano Defy Market Sentiment

In a surprising turn of events, XRP and Cardano were the only major altcoins to attract inflows despite the broader bearish environment. XRP led the charge with an impressive $1.8 million in inflows, marking a stark contrast to the exits seen across other top digital assets.

Cardano, though drawing a more modest figure, still saw a net inflow of $0.4 million, indicating resilience amid market-wide withdrawals. These inflows come as XRP reversed into a 15% uptrend last week while Cardano traded with indecisiveness.

The report also highlighted the dire state of Binance’s investment products, which saw their AuM nearly wiped out. A significant seed investor exit left the exchange with just $15 million in assets under management. Blockchain equities also suffered during this period, recording a total outflow of $40 million last week.

Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

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