Wall – Earlybirds Invest https://earlybirdsinvest.com Latest Crypto News Tue, 06 Jan 2026 12:34:58 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.9.7 https://i0.wp.com/earlybirdsinvest.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/cropped-New-Project-2024-12-17T235703.455.png?fit=32%2C32&ssl=1 Wall – Earlybirds Invest https://earlybirdsinvest.com 32 32 240146708 1 Reason Wall Street Is Obsessed With IBM Stock https://earlybirdsinvest.com/1-reason-wall-street-is-obsessed-with-ibm-stock/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/1-reason-wall-street-is-obsessed-with-ibm-stock/#respond Mon, 15 Sep 2025 20:47:46 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/1-reason-wall-street-is-obsessed-with-ibm-stock/ Share prices of IBM have nearly doubled in just three years. Investors are excited by the company’s shift into hot technologies.

International Business Machines (IBM 1.10%), which is usually referred to by its ticker IBM, is a global icon in the technology sector. The company has a surprising ability to change with the times, and it’s been doing so for more than 100 years now. Indeed, when IBM was founded back in 1911, it made things like scales and clocks. Today, it makes all sorts of equipment, including quantum computers, and it supports the cloud computing industry, which is the backbone of artificial intelligence (AI).

Wall Street loves IBM again

Even after a fairly sizable drawdown since July, shares of IBM still trade up around 20% or so over the past year. Over the trailing three years, the stock has nearly doubled in price. That’s a pretty sizable return and highlights the fact that Wall Street is obsessed with IBM shares again. As noted, the company has shifted into key areas like quantum, cloud computing, and AI.

A person jumping between cliffs one with past written on it and the other with future.

Image source: Getty Images.

But what’s special about IBM is that it hasn’t always been focused on these areas. Just a few years ago, investors pretty much hated the stock because it was out of step with the technology sector. The concern about IBM was so bad that between 2012 and 2020, the stock actually lost roughly half of its value. Contrarian investors with a long-term view, however, realized that IBM had updated its business many times before.

IBM is worth loving most of the time

The business revamp was difficult and took many years. It involved a large corporate spin-off, asset sales, and acquisitions, the largest of which was Red Hat. But IBM did what needed to be done to remain relevant. So while IBM is popular again because of its current business focus, the real reason to be obsessed with IBM for long-term investors is its proven ability to change with the world around it.

Reuben Gregg Brewer has positions in International Business Machines. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends International Business Machines. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

 

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TradFi Will Increase Bitcoin Allocations By 2026 Says Wall Street Pro, Hyping Up Bitcoin Hyper’s $15.6M Presale https://earlybirdsinvest.com/tradfi-will-increase-bitcoin-allocations-by-2026-says-wall-street-pro-hyping-up-bitcoin-hypers-15-6m-presale/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/tradfi-will-increase-bitcoin-allocations-by-2026-says-wall-street-pro-hyping-up-bitcoin-hypers-15-6m-presale/#respond Sun, 14 Sep 2025 14:08:02 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/tradfi-will-increase-bitcoin-allocations-by-2026-says-wall-street-pro-hyping-up-bitcoin-hypers-15-6m-presale/

Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

TradFi is likely to ramp up Bitcoin allocations by the end of the year, says Wall Street vet Jordi Visser.

The statement came during an interview with Anthony Pompiliano, where Visser declared:

Between now and the end of the year, the allocations for Bitcoin for next year, from the traditional finance world, are going to increase. That is going to happen.

—Jordi Visser, Official Youtube Interview

Immediately after the statement, Pompiliano agreed with Visser, stating that ‘all the bears are wrong and they’re going to cry.’

However, Visser recognized that Bitcoin is stalling right now because of the low investor activity and the stagnation in the market as a whole. For Bitcoin to ramp up, it takes increased interest from investors, which Visser thinks it’s coming.

Bitcoin Hyper’s ($HYPER) $15.6M presale will also contribute to Bitcoin’s marathon up the charts, as it promises to give us faster and cheaper Bitcoin transactions.

Q4 Will Mark Bitcoin’s Rebirth

Bitcoin has been stagnating in the $100K-$123K range since last December, with a few occasional dips below $80K. This is likely to change this coming Q4, with Bitcoin seeing increased investor interest and institutional and retail adoption.

Strategy is leading the pack with 638,460 $BTC, valued at over $74B, but it’s not the only one with a growing treasury. According to Bitcoin Treasuries data, public companies hold 1,010,738 $BTC, almost a third of all holdings, currently at 3.71M Bitcoins.

Bitcoin holdings across all available sectors

But it’s Strategy that delivers the most impactful punch with the largest Bitcoin reserve in the world by a large margin. By comparison, second place goes to MARA Holdings, with 52,477 $BTC, less than 10% of Strategy’s treasury.

Michael Saylor, Strategy’s co-founder and chair executive, posted yesterday a short but punchy X post with the words ‘Bitcoin is more interesting than the Magnificent 7.’

He then followed it up with another tweet, where he highlighted Strategy’s return compared to the assets under the Mag 7 umbrella and, at 91%, MSTR is the clear winner.

MSTR’s performance compared to MAG 7 assets

This explains why so many corporations and institutions try to replicate Strategy’s success and it puts Bitcoin’s long-term performance into perspective.

An even more interesting perspective comes through Bitcoin Hyper’s lens, the Layer 2 upgrade that promises to give us a faster and cheaper Bitcoin starting 2026 and onward.

Why Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) Promises Faster and Cheaper Bitcoin Transactions

Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) tackles one of Bitcoin’s most pressing issues: its native performance limitation. The Bitcoin network is capped at 7 transactions per second (TPS), which causes it to lag behind so many modern ecosystems.

For a clearer perspective, Bitcoin ranks 24th on the list of the fastest blockchains by TPS, Ethereum is 20th with 15 TPS, while Solana is third with almost 900 TPS and a 65,000 theoretical one.

A change is necessary and Hyper is that change.

Bitcoin Hyper relies on several tools to address this problem, with the Canonical Bridge and the Solana Virtual Machine (SVM) being among the most impactful.

The Canonical Bridge mints the users’ Bitcoins into Hyper’s Layer 2 after the Bitcoin Relay Program verifies and confirms incoming transactions.

Users can either use the wrapped Bitcoins on the Hyper layer or withdraw them to Bitcoin’s native network at will.

How Bitcoin Hyper’s Canonical Bridge works

Together with the Bitcoin Relay Program, the Canonical Bridge achieves several things: near-instant finality, higher scalability, no more network congestion.

Because transactions essentially take place on the ultra-fast Hyper layer, the fee-based priority system, which forced smaller transactions at the end of the line, is also gone. No more waiting for hours for your transaction to go through.

The Solana Virtual Machine complements this system by enabling the lightning-fast execution of smart contracts and DeFi apps, further pushing Bitcoin’s performance to higher standards.

The $HYPER presale is now at over $15.6M, which already makes it one of the most successful presales of 2025.

If you want to invest, now’s the time, given that Bitcoin is about to enter Q4, when it’ll likely experience increased investor activity. $BTC is already testing its $116K price point.

$HYPER is now at $0.012915, but we expect it to hit the markets hard post launch, especially since Hyper aims at a Q4 public listing.

Based on the project’s utility and whitepaper, our price prediction for $HYPER is $0.32 by the end of the year and $1.50 by 2030, with sufficient community support and successful implementation.

So, read our guide on how to buy $HYPER and go to the presale page to secure your spot in the $HYPER train.

This isn’t financial advice. Do your own research (DYOR) and invest wisely.

Authored by Bogdan Patru, Bitcoinist – https://bitcoinist.com/tradfi-to-increase-bitcoin-allocations-this-year-as-bitcoin-hyper-surges

Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.

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This $1 Trillion Wall Street Warning Is Flashing Red. Here's What History Says Happens Next. https://earlybirdsinvest.com/this-1-trillion-wall-street-warning-is-flashing-red-heres-what-history-says-happens-next/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/this-1-trillion-wall-street-warning-is-flashing-red-heres-what-history-says-happens-next/#respond Sat, 13 Sep 2025 16:29:14 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/this-1-trillion-wall-street-warning-is-flashing-red-heres-what-history-says-happens-next/

Imagine it’s 1999, and markets are hitting high after high. The dot-com boom is in full swing, and investors are euphoric seeing the value of their portfolios soar. For many, the advent of the internet meant that “it was different this time” — technology stocks seemed like they would never stop their incredible march upward. I probably don’t have to tell you what happened next.​ ​

While it might seem clear in hindsight — maybe even obvious — it’s never the case when you’re living it. It’s easy to get caught up in the moment and miss the signs. And frankly, that may not always be the worst thing; bulls tend to outperform bears in the long run.

But with the S&P 500 (^GSPC -0.05%) hitting new highs, many investors would love to know when the next crash is coming — I sure would — so it’s useful to look for parallels between now and major market downturns of the past. Were there specific warning signs in 1999 and 2007 that a savvy investor could have seen before the crashes of 2000 and 2008?

Margin debt hits $1 trillion for the first time ever

One potential warning sign is the money traders borrow to invest in stocks, known as margin debt. This metric recently hit an all-time high, topping $1 trillion for the first time in June and rising again in July. But then again, the stock market is hitting new highs itself, so margin debt isn’t setting records relative to the total value of the S&P 500.

​What is truly concerning is not how much debt there is in the market but how fast it’s growing. Between May and June, leveraged positions grew 18%, the fifth-largest increase on record. The only two-month periods with higher growth rates all came in — you guessed it — either 1999 or 2007.

Why margin debt matters

Investors should care about margin debt for two reasons. First, high levels can accelerate a downturn. Traders who use margin cannot let the value of their portfolio fall below a minimum level in relation to the amount they borrowed in the first place. If stocks keep going up, that’s not a problem.​

A person in a trading room puts their hands on their head.

Image source: Getty Images.

If stock prices fall, however, and their portfolio dips below that minimum value, they face a “margin call” and must either add cash to raise the portfolio value or sell the stocks they bought with margin. Many don’t have the cash on hand to pursue the first option and must sell. This can cause a runaway downward spiral as traders liquidate part of their portfolios to “cover” margin calls, which in turn lower stock prices further, leading to more liquidations, additional sales, and so on.

The second reason it matters is that it is a clear barometer of investor sentiment. A rapid increase, such as the one that recently occurred, suggests that investors are chasing growth. They appear confident that stocks will only go higher and are willing to take on an unusual amount of risk to capitalize on that. And while confidence supports markets, overconfidence fuels bubbles.

Here’s what history says happens next

This rapid rise in margin was exactly the kind of warning sign investors could have looked for in both 1999 and 2007. History would seem to say that what happens next is a crash. However, it’s critical for investors to keep three things in mind.

First, this is a single indicator in what is an incredibly complex market. If you look hard enough, you can probably find numbers that parallel just about any year. It’s more than possible that a crash does not follow in the near term, and the bull run continues.

Second, there are numerous ways in which the market of 2025 differs from those of 2007 and 1999. The companies at the top of the food chain, like Nvidia and Microsoft, are mature companies with robust earnings and valuations that are significantly lower than those of a company like Cisco in 1999. In 2007, the risks posed by a housing market collapse went well beyond the market and equity prices. They were systemwide risks to the very foundation of the real economy.

And finally, even if this is a bubble, timing markets is almost never a winning strategy. Bubbles can keep going for quite some time. So, the lesson history has to offer here is that you should always look to invest in a diverse portfolio of solid companies for the long haul, rather than chasing the latest fad. This gives you the confidence and peace of mind to weather the natural ups and downs of the market — even the big ones.​

Johnny Rice has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Cisco Systems, Microsoft, and Nvidia. The Motley Fool recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Why Wall Street is ‘out of step’ with the real economy https://earlybirdsinvest.com/why-wall-street-is-out-of-step-with-the-real-economy/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/why-wall-street-is-out-of-step-with-the-real-economy/#respond Sat, 13 Sep 2025 15:23:51 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/why-wall-street-is-out-of-step-with-the-real-economy/

Financial markets keep rallying, but a look beneath the surface paints a much riskier picture for the months ahead. Many investors now warn that Wall Street is ignoring growing cracks in the U.S. job market and real economy, a disconnect that has led to major trouble before.

Why Wall Street is so out of step

History shows a persistent pattern. As EndGame Macro pointed out, when job openings decline and unemployment ticks up, the stock market often keeps climbing, until reality hits.

In 2001, 2008, and again in 2020, stocks stayed buoyant on hopes of a Fed rescue or “new era” narratives, only to drop hard when weaker jobs data started to hit company earnings. Typically, this “catch-down” arrived within 6-12 months and:

“It wasn’t gentle; it came with a sharp drop and a recession.”

We’re seeing the same setup today. August’s jobs data was much softer than expected, with only 22,000 new jobs added and the unemployment rate rising to 4.3%.

Meanwhile, the S&P 500 remains near record highs. Wall Street optimism is built on expectations of imminent Fed rate cuts, easy liquidity, and relentless momentum from tech stocks.

Markets are “buying time” on the belief that central bankers will solve everything, but the labor market is already losing ground.

Companies are slowing hiring, and long-term unemployment is rising. Once weaker labor figures hit corporate earnings, Wall Street typically adjusts quickly, and that adjustment tends to be sharp.

This gap between Wall Street optimism and Main Street reality isn’t sustainable. When Fed rate cuts arrive, they might cushion the landing or even spark short-lived rallies.

Yet history shows that deteriorating jobs data wins out before long, dragging stock prices lower as analysts slash profit forecasts.

The risk: a sudden correction

Wall Street’s current rally is fueled by liquidity expectations, not strong fundamentals. In previous cycles, these disconnects have led to a painful correction when markets finally “catch down” to economic reality.

Looking beyond equities, Bitcoin and the broader crypto markets have responded briskly to these macro signals. In early September, as weak jobs numbers lit up rate cut hopes, Bitcoin surged past $113,000.

With PPI data and CPI data confirming expectations this week, the odds of a rate cut at the next Federal Reserve meeting are over 90%, and the markets are pricing in the expectation of more liquidity in the system, with the Bitcoin price hitting over $116,000 at the time of writing and Ethereum over $4,700.

Digital assets trade the macro narrative; when the real economy slows and central banks ease, traders lean into risk and inflation hedges like Bitcoin.

If history repeats, a sudden equity correction could push more investors toward Bitcoin and crypto, both as a hedge and as speculative plays on monetary easing.

Weakening labor markets, more Fed stimulus, and persistent dollar risk provide a backdrop where digital assets become appealing alternatives to stocks.

Investor focus may shift from chasing tech stocks to seeking refuge in “hard money” like Bitcoin and gold if recession risks get real.

One thing is certain: Wall Street and Main Street are drifting apart. Stocks may stay aloft for a few more months, but softer job numbers and weak employment trends have a history of reversing market euphoria.

Traders betting on Fed support may not see trouble right away, but when the disconnect closes, it can happen fast.

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Gemini shares hit $40 within hours of Nasdaq debut, showcasing Wall Street’s crypto appetite https://earlybirdsinvest.com/gemini-shares-hit-40-within-hours-of-nasdaq-debut-showcasing-wall-streets-crypto-appetite/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/gemini-shares-hit-40-within-hours-of-nasdaq-debut-showcasing-wall-streets-crypto-appetite/#respond Sat, 13 Sep 2025 11:03:04 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/gemini-shares-hit-40-within-hours-of-nasdaq-debut-showcasing-wall-streets-crypto-appetite/

Gemini made a strong entrance on Wall Street on Sept. 12, with its stock price surging over 50% within the intial hours of their first day of trading on the Nasdaq.

The stock, listed under the symbol GEMI, opened at $28 per share and quickly advanced in the opening hours.

Prices briefly touched $40 before settling near $33 by midafternoon, leaving Gemini with a market capitalization of roughly $1.3 billion, according to Yahoo Finance.

The closing price represented a gain of about 24% from its offering level.

Strong debut

Gemini raised approximately $425 million by selling 15.2 million shares. The final offer price exceeded both its original range of $17 to $19 per share and a later revision that set expectations between $24 and $26.

Following a few weeks of rumors, the exchange filed its registration statement with the Securities and Exchange Commission on Sept. 2 and reached the public market just 10 days later, reflecting investor demand for digital asset exposure.

While not among the largest exchanges by trading activity, Gemini has built a reputation in the U.S. for emphasizing compliance and security. Trading on its platform accelerated in the days before the IPO.

Wave of crypto listings

The debut adds to a string of successful crypto-linked listings in 2025. Stablecoin operator Circle launched on the New York Stock Exchange earlier this year, with shares climbing from a $31 debut price to above $60, valuing the firm at more than $33 billion.

Blockchain financial firm Figure Technology Solutions also completed its IPO this week, notching a 24% first-day jump followed by additional gains.

Taken together, the listings highlight a resurgence of Wall Street interest in digital-asset equities, with investors seeking exposure to crypto companies after years of market volatility.

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Ethereum Advocacy Group Etherealize Raises $40M to Bring ETH to Wall Street https://earlybirdsinvest.com/ethereum-advocacy-group-etherealize-raises-40m-to-bring-eth-to-wall-street/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/ethereum-advocacy-group-etherealize-raises-40m-to-bring-eth-to-wall-street/#respond Thu, 04 Sep 2025 09:49:05 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/ethereum-advocacy-group-etherealize-raises-40m-to-bring-eth-to-wall-street/

Crypto Journalist

Amin Ayan

Crypto Journalist

Amin Ayan

About Author

Amin Ayan is a crypto journalist with over four years of experience in the industry. He has contributed to leading publications such as Cryptonews, Investing.com, 99Bitcoins, and 24/7 Wall St. He has…

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Ethereum-focused firm Etherealize has secured $40 million in fresh funding as it ramps up efforts to bring the second-largest cryptocurrency to Wall Street’s doorstep.

Key Takeaways:

  • Etherealize raised $40M to accelerate Ethereum’s adoption by traditional finance.
  • The funding comes amid a $1.2B ETH accumulation by public firms, signaling growing institutional interest.
  • The firm will build infrastructure for tokenized asset settlement and Ethereum-based financial tools.

The raise, led by Electric Capital and Paradigm, aims to deepen institutional understanding of Ethereum and accelerate its adoption across traditional finance.

The funding round arrives during a pivotal week for Ethereum, with public firms collectively adding over $1.2 billion worth of Ether (ETH) to their treasuries, a surge that underscores growing institutional appetite for the asset.

Etherealize Aims to Bridge Ethereum and Wall Street

Etherealize, launched in January with backing from the Ethereum Foundation and co-founder Vitalik Buterin, is designed to bridge the gap between Ethereum’s complex ecosystem and the financial world’s demand for clarity, tools, and regulation-ready infrastructure.

Co-founder Grant Hummer previously noted that despite Ethereum’s presence in crypto ETFs, many institutions still lack the fundamental knowledge needed to engage meaningfully with ETH.

The $40 million will fund new tools and platforms tailored to institutional workflows. Etherealize plans to build infrastructure for private trading and settlement of tokenized assets, including a settlement platform for tokenized bonds and other fixed income products.

The firm is positioning itself at the intersection of crypto-native innovation and enterprise-level finance, hoping to deliver scalable solutions for firms seeking exposure to Ethereum’s capabilities.

“Over the past decade, Ethereum has gone from an experiment to the world’s most battle-tested, open financial network,” said co-founder Danny Ryan, adding that the new capital will help “upgrade institutional finance to modern, safer, globally accessible rails.”

The raise comes as Ethereum sees renewed momentum among public companies.

The Ether Machine, a crypto treasury firm planning a public listing, led this week’s accumulation with a 150,000 ETH buy, valued at $654 million.

Meanwhile, BitMine Immersion Technologies, Ethereum’s largest corporate holder, added another $65 million in ETH on Wednesday alone, per data from Arkham.

Other firms followed suit. Sharplink Gaming and Yunfeng Financial disclosed ETH purchases worth $176 million and $44 million, respectively.

Joseph Lubin Predicts 100x ETH Surge

Ethereum co-founder Joseph Lubin believes ETH could rally 100x or more over time, calling it Wall Street’s future infrastructure as TradFi shifts toward decentralized finance.

In an X post, Lubin said Ethereum will replace many siloed systems at institutions like JPMorgan and become the backbone for financial services, staking, and smart contract execution.

Backing the bullish stance of Fundstrat’s Tom Lee, Lubin stated he’s “100% aligned” with Lee’s view that Ethereum could flip Bitcoin in network value.

He compared the moment to 1971 when the U.S. dollar left the gold standard, signaling a tectonic shift in financial architecture led by Ethereum.

Likewise, Lee has predicted that Ethereum will rally in the near term to $5,500, with an ambitious year-end target of $12,000.

During his August 26 guest appearance on the Amitis Investing program, Lee disclosed that institutional Wall Street sentiment toward Ethereum has shifted dramatically following the U.S. Senate’s passage of the GENIUS Stablecoin legislation.

Lee emphasized that Ethereum is the foundational blockchain infrastructure for traditional finance (TradFi), currently supporting over $145 billion in stablecoin supply.


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Are Tariffs the Threat That Could End Wall Street's Winning Streak? https://earlybirdsinvest.com/are-tariffs-the-threat-that-could-end-wall-streets-winning-streak/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/are-tariffs-the-threat-that-could-end-wall-streets-winning-streak/#respond Fri, 29 Aug 2025 10:04:36 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/are-tariffs-the-threat-that-could-end-wall-streets-winning-streak/

The Trump administration made no attempt to hide its goals when it came to tariffs. As the current U.S. president ran for office, he made it very clear to U.S. voters and the world that they should expect higher tariffs. And that’s exactly what his administration has offered up in dramatic fashion. Some on Wall Street worry that the tariffs could turn the bull market into a bear. Here’s how a long-term investor should be thinking about this issue.

The tariffs are coming! The tariffs are coming!

To simplify what is a fairly complex issue, a tariff is a tax imposed on imported goods. The Trump administration has been using tariffs in an aggressive attempt to reshape global trade. This will have an impact on the economy and the stock market, but what that might be is hard to define today. Simply put, so many things are up in the air right now that nobody knows where the chips are going to fall.

A person with a shocked expression looking at a computer.

Image source: Getty Images.

That said, one concern is that higher tariffs will eventually be passed through to consumers. That would increase inflation, crimp consumption, and lead to lower earnings for corporate America. The flip side of that argument is that companies have increased prices so much in recent years that they can’t easily push higher costs onto consumers, and, thus, companies are likely to absorb the tariff hit. That would mean lower profit margins. Even here, however, Wall Street could still end up in the dumps as companies earn less and investors react to that negative news.

It seems like nothing good can come of this whole tariff thing. Except that, so far, the market hasn’t really paid much attention. The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO +0.00%) is up more than 10% so far in 2025. Yes, there was a brief market correction early in the year, but the S&P 500 index, which is what the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF tracks, seems to have shrugged that off, as it is again trading near all-time highs.

VOO Chart

VOO data by YCharts.

Don’t get too caught up in the short term

Here’s the big takeaway from the tariff kerfuffle: It is shockingly hard to predict performance on Wall Street. Some people get market turns right once, but very few have been able to time the ups and downs with any consistency. For most investors, trying to jump in and out of the market — a practice known as market timing — is a mistake.

It is far better to buy and hold for the long term, perhaps including an exchange-traded fund (ETF) like Vanguard S&P 500 ETF in the mix. Indeed, focusing on a well-diversified portfolio is key, as it will help to soften the impact of the market’s gyrations over time. Which brings the story back to the potential for a bear market. Simply put, there will be one.

That’s not a prediction; it is just a statement of fact. Eventually, for some reason, investors will go from being bullish to being bearish. That’s just what market history tells us is the norm on Wall Street. Why it happens will be the topic of debate, and eventually, some common cause will be determined. Maybe it will be tariffs. It could also be geopolitical tensions, which are very high today. Or maybe artificial intelligence (AI) won’t turn out to be as profitable as investors expect, and that will lead the market lower, given that AI enthusiasm has helped lead the market higher.

Something will eventually give way, and there will be a bear market. Then, after some period of time, a bull market will arrive. It’s just how the market works. You should spend more of your time thinking about ways to save money and how to invest wisely. Investing wisely means taking into consideration the ever-present risk of a bear market.

Keep it simple and think long term

Far too often, investors get caught up in short-term market movements. The big picture is more important, including the sometimes erratic upward march of stocks over the long term. Sticking to an investment plan is hard, but it is likely to result in better long-term performance than trying to jump in and out of the market. Which is why a simple portfolio consisting of an S&P 500 index fund and a broadly diversified bond fund or ETF — say, in a 60% stock/40% bond breakdown — could be all you need.

^SPX Chart

^SPX data by YCharts.

Bonds help provide safety during market turmoil, and stocks provide growth over the long term. That combination will allow you to ride out bear markets without letting your emotions lead you into making investment mistakes (like selling everything you own and never investing again). Another option is just to buy a balanced mutual fund that does all the investing work for you. That leaves you to focus on saving money, which is where you will likely have the biggest impact on your long-term wealth, anyway.

If you do choose to buy individual stocks, which can be a lot of fun, don’t focus on the short term. Or to put it another way, think in decades, not days. When you do that, a bear market will probably end up looking like just a small hiccup. And it won’t really matter to you what precipitated the bear, anyway, because you will be too busy. You see, long-term investors often find their best investments during deep market declines.

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Ethereum Labeled ‘Wall Street Token’ as Banks Adapt to Stablecoin Demands https://earlybirdsinvest.com/ethereum-labeled-wall-street-token-as-banks-adapt-to-stablecoin-demands/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/ethereum-labeled-wall-street-token-as-banks-adapt-to-stablecoin-demands/#respond Thu, 28 Aug 2025 21:01:32 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/ethereum-labeled-wall-street-token-as-banks-adapt-to-stablecoin-demands/

Jan van Eck, CEO of investment management firm VanEck, recently described Ethereum as “the Wall Street token” while talking about its surge this quarter.

In an interview with Fox News Business this week, van Eck said that with the rise of stablecoins, every bank and financial services company now needs infrastructure to process them.

Ethereum’s Wall Street Moment

van Eck explained that if one person wants to send stablecoins, the recipient’s bank must either handle that transaction directly or rely on another institution to do so. According to van Eck, the real winners in this transition will be the blockchains that provide the foundation for these transactions.

He believes Ethereum, or other networks built on its Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) methodology, will be central to driving this new financial architecture.

“If I want to send you stablecoins, your bank has to figure it out, or you find some other institution to do that. The winner is, who’s going to be building on these blockchains? It’s going to be Ethereum or something that uses Ethereum’s methodology, which is called EVM.”

The regulatory landscape for stablecoins has witnessed a tremendous change with the passage of the Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for US Stablecoins Act (GENIUS Act), which was signed into law on July 18th this year.

As the first federal legislation of its kind, the act provides a framework to ensure stablecoins are transparent, fully backed, and safely integrated into the US financial system.

Post-Genius

The market’s reaction to GENIUS was swift. CryptoQuant recently reported that Binance’s stablecoin reserves surged from $32 billion to $36 billion shortly after the law’s approval.

Institutions are also accelerating their push into this sector. Stripe, for one, supports stablecoin payouts in over 100 countries and is developing its own Layer 1 blockchain to control payment rails. Circle, fresh off a successful IPO, is expanding beyond issuance with its Circle Payment Network (CPN) and a proprietary Layer 1 where USDC will be the native asset.

Even traditional giants are adapting – Visa recently introduced stablecoin settlement APIs to support round-the-clock global payments. Its rival, Mastercard, teamed up with OKX and Nuvei earlier this year to support global stablecoin payments, letting users spend from wallets and merchants accept USDC.

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Wall Street giants plot $1 billion Solana treasury set to close in weeks shaking market https://earlybirdsinvest.com/wall-street-giants-plot-1-billion-solana-treasury-set-to-close-in-weeks-shaking-market/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/wall-street-giants-plot-1-billion-solana-treasury-set-to-close-in-weeks-shaking-market/#respond Mon, 25 Aug 2025 10:23:51 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/wall-street-giants-plot-1-billion-solana-treasury-set-to-close-in-weeks-shaking-market/

Galaxy Digital, Multicoin Capital, and Jump Crypto are seeking about $1 billion to assemble a Solana treasury through a public company vehicle, according to Bloomberg, with Cantor Fitzgerald engaged as lead banker and a takeover of a listed entity contemplated for the structure.

The effort, described as ongoing talks, would create what the report characterizes as the largest dedicated SOL treasury.

The contemplated wrapper mirrors familiar corporate-treasury mechanics, using public equity and financing tools to scale crypto exposure that can later be supported by converts or PIPEs.

Recent activity around Cantor-backed crypto treasuries shows the pathway exists in traditional markets, including a Nasdaq listing plan for Bitcoin Standard Treasury Company through a Cantor-affiliated SPAC, which if completed would list a balance sheet with more than 30,000 BTC.

Timing remains a key variable. Bloomberg’s account, as relayed in same-day trade press summaries, points to an early September closing goal and a green light from the Solana Foundation, while noting that details could change and the parties declined to comment. These elements underline that the plan is pre-closing and subject to market and regulatory execution risk.

The choice of Solana aligns with how on-chain trading has shifted this year. OKX’s State of DEX 2025 found Solana accounted for roughly 48 percent of decentralized exchange volume, with activity skewed to smaller retail trades, while Ethereum and its Layer 2s continued to dominate tickets above $50,000. That split helps explain why an equity-listed SOL aggregator might target breadth and liquidity on Solana while acknowledging that institutional block flow often retains an ETH bias.

The firms named in the Bloomberg report already have touchpoints with the ecosystem. Galaxy launched Solana index-tracking funds in 2021 alongside the Bloomberg Galaxy Solana Index, establishing an early institutional product set tied to SOL pricing.

Multicoin has publicly articulated a multi-year Solana thesis focused on throughput and vertical integration. These histories provide context for why they would coordinate on a larger balance-sheet approach today.

The prospective vehicle would also enter a field of emerging SOL treasuries. Upexi disclosed purchases of discounted locked SOL and said its holdings surpassed $100 million this spring, part of a pivot toward a SOL-centric treasury strategy that includes validator operations and financing via equity and convertibles.

DeFi Development Corp., which has framed itself as a SOL accumulator, reported crossing 846,000 SOL and reiterated its intent to compound via staking yields. These moves signal how listed companies are operationalizing SOL on balance sheets.

If the Cantor-advised SOL vehicle closes on the timeline described, it would formalize a public-markets route for consolidated SOL acquisition, potentially creating an equity proxy for investors that cannot hold the token directly and a repeatable template for future altcoin treasury structures.

For now, the initiative sits in the discussions stage, with the size target, banker role and public-company takeover framework outlined in Bloomberg’s reporting.

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Wall Street Analysts Expect This Popular AI Stock Could Face Challenges Ahead https://earlybirdsinvest.com/wall-street-analysts-expect-this-popular-ai-stock-could-face-challenges-ahead/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/wall-street-analysts-expect-this-popular-ai-stock-could-face-challenges-ahead/#respond Sun, 24 Aug 2025 03:23:14 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/wall-street-analysts-expect-this-popular-ai-stock-could-face-challenges-ahead/ Nvidia’s a terrific company, but it faces near-term challenges in China — and there’s a terribly high price tag on Nvidia stock.

In just a little under one week, Nvidia (NVDA 1.65%) will report its earnings for Q2 2025.

For the most part, analysts are optimistic about the report, due out after the close of trading on Aug. 27. Consensus forecasts have the semiconductor company growing earnings 48.5% year over year, to $1.01 per share, as insatiable demand for artificial intelligence (AI) chips drives a near-53% rise in revenue to almost $46 billion.

That’s a lot of money Nvidia will be raking in for a single quarter. This is one of the primary reasons why a staggering 58 analysts polled by S&P Global Market Intelligence give Nvidia stock either a “buy” or an “outperform,” or an equivalent rating — versus only one single analyst who says “sell.”

Semiconductor computer chip with the letters AI in the middle.

Image source: Getty Images.

One reason why two analysts are worried about Nvidia

And yet, not everything’s unicorns and rainbows for Nvidia stock. As the final countdown to earnings day begins, two separate Wall Street analysts chimed in Wednesday morning to raise reservations about Nvidia stock and the challenges that lie ahead for it.

First up was Deutsche Bank, where analyst Ross Seymore set a price target of $155 that implies the stock could fall 12% over the next 12 months. Ordinarily, the prospect of a 12% near-term loss in a stock would inspire an analyst to recommend selling that stock. But perhaps fearing to deviate too far from the herd on this popular AI stock, Seymore only reiterated a “hold” rating on Nvidia. (Seymore is still one of only a half-dozen analysts with neutral ratings on Nvidia).

No matter. Whether any one analyst thinks Nvidia is a “buy” or just a “hold” probably shouldn’t concern us as much as why he rates the stock as he does. And in Seymore’s case, the answer couldn’t be clearer:

Writing on StreetInsider.com on Wednesday, Seymore warns that U.S. trade restrictions on semiconductor exports to China will cost Nvidia about $8 billion in “foregone” revenue in Q2. True, a resumption of shipments upon receiving export licenses from the Trump administration should help rectify this situation by Q3. But there’s a cost to that solution — specifically, the Trump Administration’s requirement that, to obtain export licenses, Nvidia must fork over 15% of any revenue it generates in China to the IRS.

With China accounting for roughly $17 billion of Nvidia’s revenue over the last 12 months, that could amount to a $2.6 billion drag on Nvidia’s profits over the next 12 months.

KeyBanc chimes in

Investment bank KeyBanc shares Deutsche Bank’s concerns about Nvidia and China. On the one hand, KeyBanc anticipates Nvidia could book $2 billion to $3 billion in revenue from selling H20 and B40 chips in China next quarter. On the other hand, the banker believes this revenue is unreliable and dependent upon the receipt of export licenses from Washington.

For this reason, KeyBanc warns Nvidia may “exclude direct revenue from China” when giving revenue guidance next week, potentially creating a kind of guidance miss that could send Nvidia shares lower.

KeyBanc also cites the “potential 15% tax on AI exports” from the U.S. side as a risk, and adds that “pressure from the [Chinese] government for its AI providers to use domestic AI chips” could dampen Nvidia’s China revenues even further — adding a third risk that Deutsche didn’t mention!

Finally, some good news

Now, I hope I haven’t painted too bleak a picture for you here. Fact is, despite his reservations, Deutsche analyst Seymore still expects Nvidia to report a “typical” earnings beat next week, exceeding the company’s $45 billion revenue forecast by about $2 billion. Blackwell revenue is ramping, says Seymore, more than doubling sequentially between Q4 2024 and Q1 2025, to $24 billion.

With the prospect of an imminent earnings beat, it makes sense that Seymore would hesitate to recommend selling Nvidia stock — even if he does feel it’s a bit overpriced.

Furthermore, KeyBanc agrees that Blackwell production is ramping, and a new Blackwell Ultra (B300) chip is on the way, potentially boosting revenue even more in Q3. For these and other reasons, KeyBanc not only still rates Nvidia stock “overweight” (i.e., buy). KeyBanc actually raised its price target on the stock to $215 on Wednesday.

So, is Nvidia stock a buy or not?

That’s the real question, isn’t it? Wall Street’s confident Nvidia will “beat” on Q2 next week. It’s just worried that Nvidia will “miss” on guidance for Q3. Longer-term, though, is Nvidia stock a buy or isn’t it?

Here’s how I look at it, and I’ll keep this really simple:

Valued at 4.28 trillion dollars, earning nearly $77 billion in annual profit, and backing that up with roughly $72 billion in annual free cash flow, Nvidia stock costs about 55 times trailing earnings and about 59 times free cash flow. For Nvidia stock to be a clear-cut buy, I’d want to see the stock growing earnings at least 50% annually over the next five years.

The best that Wall Street analysts expect Nvidia to do, however, is 30% annual growth — even with nine out of 10 analysts polled saying Nvidia stock is a buy.

The math here isn’t hard. Nvidia stock is not a buy at this price — but it might be if it sells off after earnings.

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