Volatility – Earlybirds Invest https://earlybirdsinvest.com Latest Crypto News Tue, 06 Jan 2026 12:32:29 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.9.7 https://i0.wp.com/earlybirdsinvest.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/cropped-New-Project-2024-12-17T235703.455.png?fit=32%2C32&ssl=1 Volatility – Earlybirds Invest https://earlybirdsinvest.com 32 32 240146708 XLM Sees Heavy Volatility as Institutional Selling Weighs on Price https://earlybirdsinvest.com/xlm-sees-heavy-volatility-as-institutional-selling-weighs-on-price/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/xlm-sees-heavy-volatility-as-institutional-selling-weighs-on-price/#respond Mon, 15 Sep 2025 17:00:00 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/xlm-sees-heavy-volatility-as-institutional-selling-weighs-on-price/

Stellar’s XLM token endured sharp swings over the past 24 hours, tumbling 3% as institutional selling pressure dominated order books. The asset declined from $0.39 to $0.38 between September 14 at 15:00 and September 15 at 14:00, with trading volumes peaking at 101.32 million—nearly triple its 24-hour average. The heaviest liquidation struck during the morning hours of September 15, when XLM collapsed from $0.395 to $0.376 within two hours, establishing $0.395 as firm resistance while tentative support formed near $0.375.

Despite the broader downtrend, intraday action highlighted moments of resilience. From 13:15 to 14:14 on September 15, XLM staged a brief recovery, jumping from $0.378 to a session high of $0.383 before closing the hour at $0.380. Trading volume surged above 10 million units during this window, with 3.45 million changing hands in a single minute as bulls attempted to push past resistance. While sellers capped momentum, the consolidation zone around $0.380–$0.381 now represents a potential support base.

Market dynamics suggest distribution patterns consistent with institutional profit-taking. The persistent supply overhead has reinforced resistance at $0.395, where repeated rally attempts have failed, while the emergence of support near $0.375 reflects opportunistic buying during liquidation waves. For traders, the $0.375–$0.395 band has become the key battleground that will define near-term direction.

XLM/USD (TradingView)
XLM/USD (TradingView)
Technical Indicators
  • XLM retreated 3% from $0.39 to $0.38 during the previous 24-hours from 14 September 15:00 to 15 September 14:00.
  • Trading volume peaked at 101.32 million during the 08:00 hour, nearly triple the 24-hour average of 24.47 million.
  • Strong resistance established around $0.395 level during morning selloff.
  • Key support emerged near $0.375 where buying interest materialized.
  • Price range of $0.019 representing 5% volatility between peak and trough.
  • Recovery attempts reached $0.383 by 13:00 before encountering selling pressure.
  • Consolidation pattern formed around $0.380-$0.381 zone suggesting new support level.

Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk’s full AI Policy.

]]> https://earlybirdsinvest.com/xlm-sees-heavy-volatility-as-institutional-selling-weighs-on-price/feed/ 0 58593 Dogecoin Price Warning Issued by DOGE Contributor Amid Extreme Volatility https://earlybirdsinvest.com/dogecoin-price-warning-issued-by-doge-contributor-amid-extreme-volatility/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/dogecoin-price-warning-issued-by-doge-contributor-amid-extreme-volatility/#respond Wed, 10 Sep 2025 14:07:11 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/dogecoin-price-warning-issued-by-doge-contributor-amid-extreme-volatility/

The Rex-Osprey DOGE ETF (DOJE) is slated to launch this Thursday, kicking off a meme coin ETF era in the U.S., according to Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas.

The Dogecoin ETF will launch under the Investment Company Act of 1940 — a different framework from the Securities Act of 1933, which typically governs grantor trusts that hold physical commodities or derivatives and marks the first Dogecoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) in the U.S.

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Title news

Dogecoin rallied following the news and is currently up 11% in the last seven days, according to CoinMarketCap data. Dogecoin saw a sharp surge at the very start of the week start, reaching $0.249 on Tuesday following two straight days of gains before retreating.

According to recent analysis by Santiment, Dogecoin large wallets holding 1 million to 10 million DOGE have continued to accumulate since Aug. 25 and intensified this trend just as the likelihood of a Dogecoin ETF began to be probable. This category of addresses now holds 10.91 billion and 7.23% of the Dogecoin supply, nearly at a four-year high.

Dogecoin warning issued

The upcoming Dogecoin ETF launch is no doubt generating excitement from the crypto community and traditional investors. This might spark strong demand from retail and institutional traders as well as increased speculation in the days following the launch, influencing price action.

In this light, Mishaboar, a vocal Dogecoin community member, issued a warning along these lines. Not only the Dogecoin ETF launch but the Fed’s interest rate decision at the upcoming September meeting scheduled for 16th and 17th of this month might shape investor sentiment in the days and weeks ahead.

Mishaboar cautions along these lines, predicting periods of extreme volatility in the next weeks and months ahead. He issued a recommendation to traders and investors on trading alone with money they can afford to lose, and also to take profits along the way. Likewise, they should stay away from leverage and derivatives at all costs, so as not to lose everything.

]]> https://earlybirdsinvest.com/dogecoin-price-warning-issued-by-doge-contributor-amid-extreme-volatility/feed/ 0 57732 Chart Decoder Series: Average True Range – Volatility Tools to Help You Select Your Target and Get Profit https://earlybirdsinvest.com/chart-decoder-series-average-true-range-volatility-tools-to-help-you-select-your-target-and-get-profit/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/chart-decoder-series-average-true-range-volatility-tools-to-help-you-select-your-target-and-get-profit/#respond Sun, 07 Sep 2025 23:10:12 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/chart-decoder-series-average-true-range-volatility-tools-to-help-you-select-your-target-and-get-profit/

05 September Chart Decoder Series: Average True Range – Volatility Tools to Help You Select Your Target and Get Profit

Welcome to Chart decoder seriesconvert professional trading tools into strategies you can use today.

So far, we’ve been working on:

Today we explore ATR (average true range). This is an indicator that solves one of the biggest puzzles in a transaction. What risk is there and where should the stops be placed?

What ATR really says to you

The ATR was developed by J. Welles Wilder Jr. in 1978 as part of a groundbreaking work on technical analysis. Unlike most metrics focusing on price direction, ATR measures only one thing. It’s volatility.

The ATR answers an important question: “How long does this market normally move?”

Calculation: The ATR examines the “true range” of each period. This is the largest.

  1. Current high – Low current
  2. |Current High – Previous Closed|
  3. |Current Low – Previous Closed|

Next, move the average of these true range values ​​over the selected period (14 is the standard for Bitfinex, but you can adjust it to any time you like)

Absolute values ​​ensure that the ATR always shows a positive number, regardless of whether the gap is up or down.

Why is ATR important:

ATR is beyond context. It forms the way traders manage risk, size locations and set exits. Rather than relying solely on intestinal sensation, it provides an objective measure of market behavior that directly informs all transactional decisions.

1. Smarter stop loss

Placement of stops without an ATR is basically guesswork. The ATR indicates what is considered “normal” movement and cannot be thrown away in your daily swing.

  • Scalping Stop (0.5 x ATR): Used by high frequency traders who want a quick ex with the first sign of trouble. Effective only during low volatility periods where market movements are predictable
  • Standard stop (1 x ATR): Provides ample space for normal price fluctuations while maintaining reasonable risk management
  • Stop position (2xATR): For traders who hold a position for several days that needs to survive the normal daily volatility cycle without a premature exit

2. Size your position appropriately

Professional risk management is the maintenance of consistent risk exposure regardless of market conditions. Instead of trading the same size in all conditions, adapt smaller positions when the volatility is high, and adapt larger positions when it’s mild.

3. Volatility breakout spots

Breakouts with expanded ATRs demonstrate institutional participation and true directional beliefs. If price breaks a critical level but the ATR remains flat, it often indicates weak follow-through and a high probability of inversion. The most powerful setup occurs when the price breaks a critical level with an ATR expansion, checking both direction and momentum.

4. Set profit targets

ATR multiple provides a reasonable framework for setting realistic profit targets and helps you move away from guessing towards consistency.

  • Conservatives: 1.5 x ATR
  • Standard: 2 x ATR
  • Aggressive: 3xATR

Actual example: BTC/USD analysis

price: $110,500
ATR (14): 3,033

This tells us:

Bitcoin’s recent average daily exercise is about $3,033. This gives traders a clear context.

  • The $3,000 move is no exception. Matches 1xATR
  • Approx. 3,000 (1 x ATR) stops losses about normal breathing patio
  • A profit target of $4,500-6,000 (1.5-2xATR) is realistic for swing trading
  • ATR at this level shows a moderately volatile market that requires careful position sizing and risk management.

ATR + Other Indicators:

When combined with other tools, the ATR becomes even more powerful.

ATR + Bollinger Band: This move is more certain when you hit the extreme Bollinger band with a high-priced ATR. A low ATR in the band may suggest that extremes are not retained.

ATR + RSI: Excessive conditions for RSI with elevated ATR often mark important bases. High volatility shows true sales pressure, and it sells too much and makes the reading more meaningful.

ATR + MACD: MACD crossovers with an ATR expansion are more reliable than those contracted by ATR. Volatility confirms that there is a conviction for a change in momentum.

ATR + Volume + obv: Triple combination: obv points to the direction of smart marten, volume points to immediate conviction, and ATR shows how much to expect. If there is all alignment, there is a high paraability setup.

Bonus Read: ATR + RSI Behavior

price: $110,600
ATR (14): 3,033
RSI (14): 39.12 (nearly excessive)

This tells us:

  • The RSI of 39 is below neutral (50), but has surpassed the 30 overselling threshold, still showing bearish momentum rather than extreme.
  • ATR of 3,033 indicates an increase in daily volatility. This means that the swing is big.

For traders:

  • Bearish rsi + high atr = Sales pressure is active and backed by volatility.
  • If RSI approaches 30 while the ATR is high, the market is not just going down, but is being sold by force. Overselling conditions will carry more weight.
  • If the RSI begins to climb while the ATR remains high, the bounce may have some strength behind it rather than simply a weak recovery.

ATR limitations to remember:

Delay indicator
The ATR is based on past price transfers. It tells us what volatility is, not necessarily what it is.

There is no direction bias
ATRs don’t tell you what direction the market will move. It’s just a typical amount of movement.

Smoothed data
Like all moving averages, ATRs can be slower to respond to sudden changes in volatility.

Market context is important
ATRs in trending markets behave differently than horizontal markets. Always consider the larger picture.

Pro tips for ATR:

1. Use multiple time frames

  • Daily ATR: For swing trading and position sizing
  • 4-hour ATR: For day trading setup
  • 1 hour ATR: For accurate input timing

2. Economic calendar integration

ATRs often spike major news events. Plan position sizing and stop placement accordingly.

3. Weekend benefits

Crypto Markets is open 24/7, but volatility patterns often change over the weekend. Consider individual ATR calculations for weekday and weekends.

Try it with Bitfinex:

  1. Log in to Bitfinex
  2. Choose your main trading pair
  3. Add an ATR indicator (starts with the standard 14 periods. The length can be adjusted within the ATR settings)
  4. Observe how ATR changes in different market conditions
  5. Practice using ATR for stop loss placement
  6. Note the correlation between ATR and key price movements

Bitfinex. Original Bitcoin exchange.

]]> https://earlybirdsinvest.com/chart-decoder-series-average-true-range-volatility-tools-to-help-you-select-your-target-and-get-profit/feed/ 0 57289 Uniswap Reclaims Crown Amid DEX Market Volatility and PancakeSwap Decline https://earlybirdsinvest.com/uniswap-reclaims-crown-amid-dex-market-volatility-and-pancakeswap-decline/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/uniswap-reclaims-crown-amid-dex-market-volatility-and-pancakeswap-decline/#respond Sun, 07 Sep 2025 16:34:46 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/uniswap-reclaims-crown-amid-dex-market-volatility-and-pancakeswap-decline/

After a turbulent few months in the decentralized exchange (DEX) space, Uniswap has managed to reclaim its position as the market leader in what appears to be a strong comeback in August 2025.

The platform recorded a trading volume of $111.8 billion, up 28.3% month-on-month, representing the second time this year it has surpassed the $100 billion mark.

Uniswap Strikes Back

According to the latest report shared by CoinGecko, this resurgence allowed Uniswap to recover from its June low, when its market share had fallen to 19.4%, overtaken by PancakeSwap amid the latter’s surge driven by the Binance Alpha 2.0 launch. The rewards program boosted PancakeSwap’s activity, which helped it achieve record daily trading volumes of around $5 billion and a peak market share of 64.5% in June.

However, August told a different story as PancakeSwap’s trading volume plummeted to $92.0 billion. This was a sharp 44.7% decline from July, which reduced its market share to 29.5% and allowed Uniswap to retake the top spot.

Aerodrome secured its position as the third-largest DEX in August while capturing 7.4% market share. It recorded almost $23 billion in trading volume, which marks a 28% month-on-month increase. The remaining top 10 decentralized exchanges collectively accounted for 27.3% of the market.

Meanwhile, the DEX ecosystem continues to evolve rapidly, with newcomers like Hyperliquid making notable gains. Hyperliquid’s August volume surged 129.3% month-on-month to $21.4 billion, pushing its market share to 6.9% and elevating it to the fourth-largest DEX. In the process, it surpassed several Solana-based platforms.

While still far behind Uniswap and PancakeSwap, Hyperliquid’s rise evidences the increasingly competitive nature of the DEX sector.

UNI’s Volatile Trajectory

Uniswap strengthened its market dominance, but the same can’t be said for its governance token, UNI, which experienced significant volatility over the past month, forming a local top above $12 in mid-August before suffering back-to-back corrections.

The token showed strong upward momentum through August but has faced selling pressure in recent weeks, with the price consolidating in the $9-10 range through early September.

Despite the turbulence, Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan noted that UNI at $6 billion is modest by global standards, and compared it to Storebrand, which happens to be a mid-sized Norwegian insurance firm. He added that despite its DeFi prominence, its valuation remains relatively small in the broader financial landscape.

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]]> https://earlybirdsinvest.com/uniswap-reclaims-crown-amid-dex-market-volatility-and-pancakeswap-decline/feed/ 0 57253 Bitcoin MVRV Compression Signals Pause – Market Digests Recent Volatility https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-mvrv-compression-signals-pause-market-digests-recent-volatility/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-mvrv-compression-signals-pause-market-digests-recent-volatility/#respond Wed, 27 Aug 2025 14:47:24 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-mvrv-compression-signals-pause-market-digests-recent-volatility/

Bitcoin is trading around $111,000 after several days of losing ground below its all-time high of $124,500. Bulls have managed to keep the price above the key $110,000 support, but momentum remains weak as attempts to push higher continue to fail. Some analysts warn of a deeper correction ahead if buyers cannot step in with stronger conviction.

Related Reading

Top analyst Axel Adler shared new insights, pointing to the behavior of Bitcoin’s annual Adjusted MVRV. Currently, the metric has pressed against the 1.0 zone, meaning the short-term average (30-day) is almost identical to the longer-term average (365-day). In practice, this shows that the market is in a balancing phase: recent profit-taking and volatility are being absorbed by the longer-term growth trend, keeping the overall structure neutral.

Historically, this 1.0 level has often represented a pause within bullish cycles rather than the end of them. It signals that the market is digesting recent gains as short-term holders hand coins to longer-term investors. Whether Bitcoin breaks down to test lower demand zones or stabilizes before another leg higher will likely be decided in the coming weeks, as traders closely watch this critical support zone.

Bitcoin Adjusted MVRV Signals Pause, Not Reversal

According to Adler, Bitcoin’s annual Adjusted MVRV is currently pressed right at the 1.0 zone, and the dynamics behind it tell an important story. The annual basis remains positive, and its curve looks largely horizontal because two opposing forces are offsetting each other. On the one hand, the 30-day metric has cooled significantly as volatility eased and profit-taking slowed after the latest push to all-time highs. On the other, the heavier 365-day average still reflects the gains of past months, holding up the broader trend.

Bitcoin Adjusted MVRV Bull Market Structure | Source: Axel Adler
Bitcoin Adjusted MVRV Bull Market Structure | Source: Axel Adler

This synchronization between numerator and denominator compresses the difference, keeping the basis line steady rather than sliding downward or accelerating upward. In simple terms, the market is digesting the previous rally rather than breaking down.

Adler stresses that this situation at the 1.0 zone should not be mistaken for the end of a cycle. Instead, it represents a pause within an ongoing bullish structure. As long as the annual basis does not reverse downward, the market is essentially redistributing coins from short-term speculators into the hands of more patient holders. There are no strong signs of capitulation, only consolidation.

Over the next couple of weeks, the reaction at 1.0 will be critical. Whether Bitcoin holds firm and builds momentum or slips toward deeper corrections will define the next phase. For now, Adler sees this as more a matter of time and balance than a warning of a cycle-ending reversal.

Related Reading

BTC Testing Support Around Pivotal Level

Bitcoin continues to consolidate after a sharp retrace from its all-time high of $124K, now trading near $110,823. The daily chart shows BTC struggling to hold above the $110K support zone, which has become a key battleground for bulls and bears.

BTC testing key level | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView
BTC testing key level | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

The 50-day SMA is trending around $116,600, while the 100-day SMA is near $111,600—levels that are now acting as resistance. Meanwhile, the 200-day SMA sits lower at approximately $101,000, marking the deeper structural support. A decisive loss of the $110K zone could accelerate selling pressure, potentially leading Bitcoin to test the 100K–107K support range, a critical confluence highlighted by analysts due to the alignment with the STH Realized Price.

Related Reading

On the upside, Bitcoin must reclaim the $115K–$117K region to shift momentum back in favor of bulls. Failure to do so risks further consolidation and market uncertainty. The rejection at the $123K level last week highlighted strong overhead resistance, with sellers stepping in aggressively.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

]]> https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-mvrv-compression-signals-pause-market-digests-recent-volatility/feed/ 0 55388 Bitcoin volatility keeps falling, and that means it’s maturing as an asset class https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-volatility-keeps-falling-and-that-means-its-maturing-as-an-asset-class/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-volatility-keeps-falling-and-that-means-its-maturing-as-an-asset-class/#respond Mon, 25 Aug 2025 00:19:11 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-volatility-keeps-falling-and-that-means-its-maturing-as-an-asset-class/

The world’s number-one crypto is looking more like a mature asset class every day as Bitcoin volatility continues to drop (yes, even as it blasts past all-time highs and promptly retraces its steps).

Bitcoin volatility has reached a five-year low

Bitcoin has long been regarded as one of the most volatile financial assets; its turbulent price fluctuations over the years have deterred many investors. But what if I told you that Bitcoin is now less volatile than a blue-chip tech stock?

According to ecoinometrics, Bitcoin’s 30-day realized volatility is now at its lowest point in nearly five years, and it’s a trend that has persisted even through Bitcoin’s headline-making rallies and corrections over the last five years:

“Exactly what you expect from a maturing asset.”

Bitcoin volatility reaches a five-year low.
Bitcoin volatility reaches a five-year low.

Since 2022, Bitcoin has often been less volatile than some of Wall Street’s biggest names, including mega-cap stocks like Nvidia. During the sharp tech sector swings of 2023 and 2024, Nvidia’s price was more unpredictable than Bitcoin, an asset infamous for its hair-raising moves.

Even during this current Bitcoin bull run, the price swings have remained notably tamer than previous cycles. Macro analyst Lyn Alden recently told CryptoSlate she believes that Bitcoin’s cycles are changing.

We should expect this one to be longer and “less extreme” than previous runs, with strong moves upward followed by periods of consolidation, “rather than going to the moon and collapsing.”

All the signs of asset class maturity

Bitcoin volatility declining is just one marker of its growing maturity. The launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs in the U.S. in early 2024 was a landmark event, opening up the asset to the mainstream audience.

Major asset managers like BlackRock and Fidelity offer direct Bitcoin exposure to retail and institutional investors through regulated exchange-traded products. This has introduced broader ownership and liquidity, dampening large price swings and integrating Bitcoin more deeply into traditional markets.

Moreover, recent regulatory changes now allow Americans to include Bitcoin in their 401k retirement accounts. As diversified portfolios absorb BTC allocations, Bitcoin volatility further subsides.

Pension funds, endowments, and insurance companies have begun allocating to Bitcoin as part of their alternative asset strategies. This increases trading by sophisticated investors and reduces the impact of short-term speculative flows.

Strong-willed kids become adults who change the world

Increasingly, Bitcoin’s price shows a higher correlation with broader equity markets during risk-on and risk-off periods, another sign of integration and maturity. While you can argue whether this is what we intended for Bitcoin, it does reflect mainstream market adoption. And hey, strong-willed kids become adults who change the world, as Bitcoin is undoubtedly doing.

For everyday investors and institutions alike, lower Bitcoin volatility translates to less risk and a smoother investment profile.

It’s also a sign that Bitcoin is outgrowing its adolescent phase of wild speculative swings and turbulence, and settling into its role as a legitimate member of society and staple of diversified portfolios. It’s time to admit, our baby is fully grown.

Latest Alpha Market Report
]]> https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-volatility-keeps-falling-and-that-means-its-maturing-as-an-asset-class/feed/ 0 54952 Bitcoin Volatility: 4 Things That Could Move Crypto Markets This Week https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-volatility-4-things-that-could-move-crypto-markets-this-week/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-volatility-4-things-that-could-move-crypto-markets-this-week/#respond Mon, 11 Aug 2025 05:35:04 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-volatility-4-things-that-could-move-crypto-markets-this-week/

Crypto and stock markets have continued to rally despite ongoing tariff uncertainty. The rally may have been aided by some signs of economic softness and increasing odds of a rate cut in September.

However, analysts tend to think that the path ahead may remain choppy, with trade, macro, and geopolitical developments still casting darker clouds over markets.

This week, all eyes are on inflation data and consumer sentiment reports, which could also sway the Federal Reserve in September.

Economic Events August 11 to 15

July’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, not including food and energy, is due on Tuesday, and this is one of two primary gauges of inflation. Policymakers, businesses, and consumers closely monitor the CPI report, as it reflects price trends across the economy and shapes sentiment. It is expected to come in firmer at 2.8% from 2.7%.

July’s Producer Price Index (PPI) report is due on Thursday, and this is another leading indicator of inflation as it reflects input costs for producers and manufacturers and impacts retail prices.

Friday will see July’s retail sales data released, indicating how much consumers are spending on durable and non-durable goods and highlighting overall economic health.

This is followed by the consumer sentiment and consumer inflation expectations preliminary readings, which summarize the findings of a monthly survey measuring consumer confidence and long-term inflation expectations in the US.

The current probability of a September rate cut stands at 88%, according to the CME futures Fed Watch tool.

Earnings season is now nearing completion, so eyes are shifting to Nvidia, which is scheduled to report on August 27.

Crypto Market Outlook

Weekend momentum, which spilled over into Monday morning in Asia, has pushed total market capitalization up 2% on the day to an all-time high of $4.13 trillion.

Bitcoin jumped more than 3% early on Monday to a four-week high of $121,850, as it came to within $1,000 of its all-time high. A new peak now seems inevitable.

Ethereum was also outperforming, surging to an almost four-year high of $4,320 in early trading this week. ETH is now just 11.5% away from its 2021 all-time high.

Only the top two were really making moves, and the rest of the altcoins were flat, aside from Hyperliquid and Chainlink, both adding more than 4% on the day.

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]]> https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-volatility-4-things-that-could-move-crypto-markets-this-week/feed/ 0 52606 NEAR Protocol Posts 5% Recovery Amid Volatility Surge https://earlybirdsinvest.com/near-protocol-posts-5-recovery-amid-volatility-surge/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/near-protocol-posts-5-recovery-amid-volatility-surge/#respond Thu, 07 Aug 2025 18:25:46 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/near-protocol-posts-5-recovery-amid-volatility-surge/

NEAR Protocol climbed 5% from $2.47 to $2.60 in the 24-hour period ending 7 August at 14:00 UTC, exhibiting strong resilience amid broader market turbulence. Institutional accumulation helped fuel a recovery rally after early-session lows, with price action coalescing between $2.48 and $2.52 before a sharp upside break around 10:00 UTC, supported by 3.36 million in trading volume. The asset’s advance, partially influenced by global risk-off sentiment, reflected investors’ pivot to alternative assets during heightened geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainty.

Late-Session Sell-Off Caps Bullish Momentum

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Despite its earlier strength, NEAR’s final hour of trading—from 13:06 to 14:05 UTC—witnessed a surge in volatility that erased most intraday gains. After briefly testing resistance at $2.61, a spike in volume between 13:39 and 13:42 coincided with profit-taking behavior. Selling pressure shaped a descending channel, with price retreating to close at $2.60, slightly above fresh support near $2.598. The move signals possible short-term exhaustion, as institutional distribution may be limiting further upside despite earlier accumulation.

Macro Conditions Continue to Shape Market Dynamics

The backdrop of NEAR’s performance remains heavily influenced by shifting macroeconomic forces. As major economies recalibrate monetary policy in response to inflationary effects from ongoing trade disputes, institutional flows into digital assets like NEAR have intensified. The cryptocurrency’s intraday pullback mirrors broader market hesitation, as participants digest global policy shifts and their implications for crypto-market structure and risk appetite.

Technical Indicators Analysis

  • NEAR Protocol demonstrated considerable resilience during the preceding 24-hour period from 6 August 15:00 to 7 August 14:00, recovering from early session nadirs of $2.47 to close at $2.60, representing a compelling 5% gain.
  • The cryptocurrency exhibited a classic accumulation pattern throughout the initial 18 hours, consolidating between $2.47-$2.52 before surging dramatically at 10:00 on 7 August with exceptional volume of 3.36 million units—approaching threefold the 24-hour average of 1.20 million.
  • This breakout established robust support at $2.51 and resistance proximate to $2.61, with the pronounced price expansion suggesting institutional accumulation followed by momentum-driven purchasing that could extend towards $2.65-$2.70 based upon measured move projections.

Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk’s full AI Policy.

]]> https://earlybirdsinvest.com/near-protocol-posts-5-recovery-amid-volatility-surge/feed/ 0 52003 Bitcoin volatility hits record low as ETFs influence market conditions https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-volatility-hits-record-low-as-etfs-influence-market-conditions/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-volatility-hits-record-low-as-etfs-influence-market-conditions/#respond Mon, 04 Aug 2025 21:42:00 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-volatility-hits-record-low-as-etfs-influence-market-conditions/

Bitcoin’s trading patterns are shifting significantly, as spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) reshape the landscape.

Since their launch in January 2024, Bitcoin’s price volatility has declined to levels not seen before.

On August 4, Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas pointed out that Bitcoin’s 90-day rolling volatility has now fallen below 40, its lowest point since the ETFs launched. At that time, the metric was above 60.

Bitcoin Volatility
Bitcoin’s Declining Volatility vs Gold (Source: Balchunas/X)

The analyst compared this drop to gold’s volatility, noting that Bitcoin’s volatility is now less than double that of gold, compared to being more than three times higher in the past.

This newfound stability could signal a long-term evolution in Bitcoin’s behavior. According to Balchunas, the era of extreme price swings, marked by explosive bull runs followed by painful crashes, may be giving way to more moderate price movements.

Balchunas also pointed out that this stability has helped make Bitcoin more attractive to large-scale investors and has drastically improved its chances of being adopted as a medium of exchange.

]]> https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-volatility-hits-record-low-as-etfs-influence-market-conditions/feed/ 0 51484 Higher Bitcoin ETF Options Limits May Cut Volatility, but Boost Spot Demand: NYDIG https://earlybirdsinvest.com/higher-bitcoin-etf-options-limits-may-cut-volatility-but-boost-spot-demand-nydig/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/higher-bitcoin-etf-options-limits-may-cut-volatility-but-boost-spot-demand-nydig/#respond Mon, 04 Aug 2025 02:05:34 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/higher-bitcoin-etf-options-limits-may-cut-volatility-but-boost-spot-demand-nydig/

Bitcoin’s trademark volatility may be entering a new phase thanks to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

The agency’s decision to raise position limits on options for most bitcoin ETFs could help smooth price swings by encouraging strategies like covered call selling, which caps the upside in exchange for steady income, according to NYDIG Research.

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That increase in position limits for options trading on IBIT came as the regulator approved in-kind redemptions for spot bitcoin ETFs.

By letting traders hold ten times more contracts than before, NYDIG wrote, the SEC has opened the door to more aggressive and sustained options activity. Covered call strategies, in particular, work best at scale.

They’re designed to earn yield from existing holdings by selling upside exposure, which can naturally suppress price movement if done across large portfolios.

Bitcoin’s volatility has already been on the decline, with Deribit’s BTC Volatility Index (DVOL) showing a steady decline from around 90 to 38 over the past four years.

Still, it stands out compared to bonds, stocks, and other traditional assets. That makes it a tempting target for investors trying to collect income from market swings, effectively harvesting volatility, but also risky for institutions that require stable exposures.

“As volatility declines, the asset becomes more investable for institutional portfolios seeking balanced risk exposure. This dynamic could reinforce spot demand,” NYDIG’s analysts wrote.

Ray Dalio, one of the earliest champions of such risk-parity strategies, recently suggested a 15% allocation to gold and crypto amid rising debt levels.

“The feedback loop of falling volatility leading to increased spot buying could become a powerful driver of sustained demand,” the firm concluded.

Read more: Wall Street Has Claimed Bitcoin—Now What?

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