Bitcoin (BTC) holding patterns suggest a potential resumption of the uptrend starting in late September 2025, as long-term accumulation data reveals evolving market dynamics driven by institutional adoption and policy catalysts.

CryptoQuant Korean Community Manager Crypto Dan’s analysis reveals that the current cycle differs from previous bull markets due to extended timeframes and flattening momentum slopes.

The percentage of Bitcoin held for over one year based on realized market cap demonstrates the current cycle’s unique characteristics compared to previous phases.

Unlike past cycles, where sharp surges led to rapid peaks, institutional adoption through spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and nation-state purchases has extended the bull market’s duration while gradually flattening the uptrend’s slope.

Market momentum faces periodic stalls when capital flows shift toward altcoins, a pattern that has repeated multiple times during the current cycle. It contrasts with 2023-2024, when Bitcoin dominated market attention before capital began migrating to alternative cryptocurrencies.

Favorable backdrop

Crypto Dan noted that September rate cut expectations align with Bitcoin’s seasonal patterns and technical indicators.

Polymarket traders currently place 81% odds on a 25 basis point Federal Reserve rate cut at the September FOMC meeting, providing a potential catalyst for risk asset appreciation.

The analysis also anticipates additional momentum from the expected approvals of altcoin ETFs in October.

Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart stated in April that most crypto ETF applications face final deadlines in October, making it the likely approval month for spot altcoin products.

This timeline creates a favorable policy window for crypto markets as they enter the fall season.

Combined with seasonal patterns that show Bitcoin’s strength in autumn months, the convergence of dovish monetary policy and regulatory clarity positions the market for renewed upward momentum following the current consolidation phase.

Extended cycle characteristics

Institutional adoption fundamentally altered Bitcoin’s cycle dynamics compared to the retail-driven phases that preceded it.

The introduction of spot ETFs and corporate treasury adoption created more stable demand flows but extended the cycle’s duration. The analysis suggested these structural changes support sustained bull market conditions despite periodic consolidation phases.

Given the favorable policy backdrop and development of institutional infrastructure, any additional corrections during the transition period could present attractive opportunities for accumulation.

The combination of rate cuts, ETF approvals, and seasonal factors supports an optimistic market outlook for fall and winter 2025.

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ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood says that Bitcoin (BTC) is likely to continue surging higher based on its performance against one red-hot commodity.

In a new YouTube update, Wood shares a Bitcoin-to-gold chart that she says is still in an uptrend, partially due to BTC’s “anti-fragile” nature in recent years.

“This uptrend has not been broken. Again, this aligns with the net bullish risk-on kind of market that we think we’re in, and I guess you could call the markets anti-fragile, which is a description used in Bitcoin. It’s been able to withstand all kinds of turmoil and we think that the markets, the equities markets, are following Bitcoin in this regard.”

Wood is also optimistic about the crypto industry given regulatory clarity from the Trump administration and what she believes is an incoming reconfiguration of the financial services space.

“We think this is a very powerful movement. We think the financial services sector is going to reconfigure completely in the next five to ten years, and that of course Bitcoin and now Circle and of course Coinbase as well. Robinhod, [and] others… SoFi is now moving back into crypto in a big way now that regulatory clarity is here. So, thank goodness for that.”

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Ethereum price started a fresh increase above the $1,800 zone. ETH is now correcting gains and trading below the $1,820 support zone.

• Ethereum remained strong above $1,750 and started a fresh increase
• The price is trading below $1,820 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
• There is a short-term bearish trend line forming with resistance at $1,835 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken).
• The pair could start a fresh increase if it clears the $1,840 resistance zone.

Ethereum Price Dips

Ethereum price remained supported above the $1,750 zone and started another increase, like Bitcoin. ETH climbed above the $1,800 and $1,820 resistance levels to set the tone for a larger increase.

The bulls even pushed the price above $1,865. A high was formed at $1,873 and the price recently started a downside correction. There was a move below the $1,820 and $1,800 levels. The price dipped below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1,734 swing low to the $1,873 high.

Ethereum price is now trading below $1,820 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is also a short-term bearish trend line forming with resistance at $1,835 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD.

On the upside, the price seems to be facing hurdles near the $1,820 level. The next key resistance is near the $1,840 level. The first major resistance is near the $1,880 level. A clear move above the $1,880 resistance might send the price toward the $1,950 resistance. An upside break above the $1,950 resistance might call for more gains in the coming sessions. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $2,000 resistance zone or even $2,050 in the near term.

Another Decline In ETH?

If Ethereum fails to clear the $1,820 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $1,785 level and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1,734 swing low to the $1,873 high. The first major support sits near the $1,765 zone.

A clear move below the $1,765 support might push the price toward the $1,735 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $1,720 support level in the near term. The next key support sits at $1,650.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now below the 50 zone.

Major Support Level – $1,765

Major Resistance Level – $1,840

Dogecoin’s price is entering a new bullish phase after months of decline. Technical analysis of the daily candlestick timeframe chart shows that the popular meme cryptocurrency is flashing a trend reversal, hinting at a significant shift from bearish to bullish momentum. 

Analyst Flags Daily Trend Reversal On Dogecoin Chart

A prominent crypto analyst known as Trader Tardigrade has highlighted a confirmed trend reversal for Dogecoin. In a post on X (formerly Twitter) this week, he pointed out that DOGE’s daily chart has flipped from a downtrend to an uptrend. This claim is reinforced by a technical analysis of Dogecoin’s price action. 

Related Reading

Dogecoin’s price recently broke above a descending trendline that had defined its downtrend for several weeks. This breakout occurred on April 22, when Dogecoin closed above $0.165 on the daily candlestick timeframe. This breakout was the first step indicating the coin was escaping its bearish trajectory. 

Shortly after breaching the downward sloping resistance line, Dogecoin’s price pulled back between April 23 and April 24 to retest the same trendline, but this time from above. Importantly, the former resistance trendline held strong as a new support level during the retest. Following that successful test, Dogecoin resumed its upward climb, marking the continuation of the new uptrend. 

This pattern of breakout, retest, continuation is a classic technical confirmation of a trend reversal. The successful retest of this trendline gives more confidence that the bullish shift is real and not a false signal.

Image From X: Trader Tardigrade

Bullish Target: $0.25 By Early May

With the daily trend now pointing upward, the focus is now on how far this new uptrend could carry Dogecoin. According to Trader Tardigrade’s analysis, Dogecoin could continue climbing in the coming days, potentially crossing the quarter-dollar mark very soon. As indicated on the chart he shared by Trader Tardigrade, the next Dogecoin price target is around $0.25 by the first week of May.

If achieved, a rise to $0.25 would be a significant milestone, considering Dogecoin has been stuck in a downtrend for over 10 weeks. As such, a break to $0.25 would mark Dogecoin’s highest price since late February and a robust recovery from its recent lows around the $0.14 to $0.15 range. Such a move would also represent roughly a 51% gain from the breakout level of $0.165. 

However, $0.25 is only the target in the short term. In a separate analysis, Trader Tardigrade pointed to Dogecoin’s long-term chart, highlighting a round bottom formation. The accompanying chart shows that in previous cycles, Dogecoin’s price formed a rounded bottom before entering explosive upward trends. This repeated pattern, now visible again on the monthly timeframe, signals that Dogecoin may be on the verge of another significant breakout. The long-term price target in this case is $2.8.

Image From X: Trader Tardigrade

Related Reading

At the time of writing, Dogecoin is trading at $0.18.

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

The offering, originally set at 5 million shares, was expanded to 8.5 million due to strong investor demand, with shares priced at $85. Backed by major financial players like Morgan Stanley and Barclays, the move underscores institutional confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term value.

Saylor’s broader “21/21 Plan” targets $42 billion in capital over three years, signaling aggressive accumulation that could tighten BTC supply and support a sustained price rally.

Key Highlights:

• $711M raised via STRF equity sale
• Target: 500,000 BTC (2.4% of total supply)
• “21/21” plan aims to raise $42B
• Institutional backers include Barclays, Morgan Stanley

ETFs Draw $785M Inflows, Ethereum Lags

Bitcoin ETFs saw renewed demand last week, with $785.6 million in total inflows. Leading the pack was BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), which added 6,342 BTC—valued at $535.5 million. Fidelity and VanEck followed suit, contributing to rising institutional exposure.

On Friday alone, IBIT gained 1,250 BTC ($105.5 million), while Grayscale’s GBTC saw outflows of 260 BTC. Ethereum funds moved in the opposite direction, with $102.9 million in outflows—indicating capital rotation toward Bitcoin.

The inflows also coincided with a large transaction of 2,999 BTC worth over $250 million, prompting speculation in crypto circles. However, despite these bullish signals, Bitcoin’s price has remained muted, possibly due to profit-taking and short-term market hesitation.

ETF Snapshot:

• IBIT: +6,342 BTC for the week
• Friday inflows: +1,250 BTC (IBIT), -260 BTC (GBTC)
• Ethereum ETFs: -$102.9M outflows
• Large transaction: 2,999 BTC ($252M)

ETF flows suggest rising institutional interest, even as near-term price action remains cautious.

Bitcoin Consolidates Near $85K as Breakout Looms

Technically, Bitcoin is trading just under $84,660, consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle pattern on the 4-hour chart. The $84,000 level has flipped between support and resistance, closely aligned with the 50-period EMA at $84,090.

With price action narrowing, BTC appears poised for a breakout. A clean move above $85,800 could trigger a rally toward $87,400 and $89,000. However, repeated failures near the triangle’s top may invite short-term selling.

On the downside, key support levels are observed at $83,000, $81,500, and $78,400. Volume remains low, signaling traders are waiting for a decisive catalyst.

Technical Levels to Watch:

• Resistance: $85,800, $87,400, $89,000
• Support: $83,000, $81,500, $78,400
• 50 EMA (4H): $84,090

With macro and technical indicators aligning, Bitcoin is at a critical point—its next move could define the trend into Q2 2025.

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$BEST Token Highlights

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With high staking rewards, strong backing, and advanced technology, $BEST is positioned as one of the most promising utility tokens in the industry.

The post Bitcoin Uptrend Incoming? – Michael Saylor Wants to Acquire $711 Million BTC appeared first on Cryptonews.

Solana is caught in a period of continued bearish performance due to the notable decline in the broader crypto market, with its price plummeting by nearly 23% in the past week. After this robust downward move over the past few days, the altcoin might be set for a price recovery as promising trends unfold on SOL’s chart.

Gaussian Channel Pattern Provides Strong Support For Solana

Optimism blooms again as Solana displays potential for an upside momentum following a heightened volatile period. Crypto expert and investor Trader Tardigrade identify an encouraging trend on SOL’s chart, with a bullish pattern providing strong support for the price.

SOL, which has experienced substantial selling pressure, is currently trading close to crucial technical areas that could alter its price trajectory. Trader Tardigrade highlighted that SOL had formed a Gaussian Channel pattern on the weekly time frame, which signals growing momentum.

It is worth noting that the mid-band of the Gaussian Channel formation is providing support for Solana. At this point, the crypto expert highlighted that the altcoin‘s downward trend is expected to slow down or witness a price reversal.

However, whether Solana can overcome key resistance levels and move higher again will also depend on continued momentum and strong buying demand. Meanwhile, certain developments such as meme coins fatigue and the massive $1.7 billion SOL token unlock this weekend present robust bearish pressure for the asset.

While these developments may hint at impending bearish pressure, Trader Tardigrade remains optimistic about SOL’s long-term performance. The expert’s bullish sentiment is backed by the Solana ecosystem’s persistent growth and recovery from supply disruptions in the past.

Given the present volatility in SOL’s price, on-chain metrics reveal that investors seem to be in a state of fear. This shift in investors’ sentiment is evidenced by a sharp reduction in large SOL investors, commonly regarded as whale holders.

Seasoned technical analyst and trader Ali Martinez reported a decline in wallet addresses holding more than 10,000 SOL in the past month. The drop raises concerns about whether these large investors are repositioning or taking profits as they await possible price rebounds. Such weak investors’ sentiment puts SOL’s price at risk of witnessing an extension of its downward movements to lower levels.

SOL Transfer Volume Sees Significant Drop

Investors’ waning confidence and interest are also reflected by a sharp decline in SOL transfer volume, indicating reduced network activity. A decrease in transfer volume implies a lower demand for transactions on the Solana blockchain.

Data from Ali Martinez shows that SOL transfer volume has fallen from a whopping $1.99 billion to a mere $14.57 million. This sharp decline took place in the space of 3 months, particularly since November last year. As the altcoin holds key support levels, this development questions the sustainability of its position above these zones.

Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

XRP Must Move Past $3.40 To Retain Market Interest

Popular market analyst Egrag Crypto has shared an intriguing analysis of the XRP market. In an X post on February 14, the crypto expert states that the third-largest cryptocurrency must achieve a strong close above $2.75 (marked in green) to sustain its current upward trend.

Based on historical data, $2.75 has presented a significant resistance level. If XRP can close and hold above this price zone on its 4-hour trading chart,  it would indicate that buyers are gaining control of the market following a month of major price loss.

Thereafter, the altcoin must attain another price close above $2.94 (marked in yellow)  which would suggest a higher bullish momentum with significant potential for new highs such as $3.22. For the XRP market, each confirmed close above these specified price levels strengthens the present bullish momentum. 

However, Egrag Crypto warns that all price movement below the current bull rally peak of $3.40 will remain merely “noise” in the long run. The analyst warns that XRP must break above this psychological price level to confirm a certain trend shift in the upward direction.

XRP Market Overview 

At press time, XRP trades at $2.73 following an aggregate 6.43% gain in the past 24 hours. The asset’s trading volume is up by 66.61% indicating a high level of interest from market participants. On its 7-day chart, XRP boasts 13.78% gains, reducing its monthly loss to around 8.39%. 

Amidst its recent price retracement, community sentiments in the XRP market remain highly bullish, especially with the advancement of a potential XRP ETF. By acknowledging Grayscale’s ETF application, the SEC is allowed an initial review period of 45 days – potentially extensible to 240 days – to approve or reject the proposed ETF.

With the implementation of the pro-crypto agenda of Donald Trump, investors are highly positive about an approval suggesting a potential influx of institutional capital as seen with the Bitcoin Spot ETFs.