Dogecoin is back in the spotlight after a key technical move against Bitcoin hinted at renewed strength. The DOGE/BTC pair reclaimed ground following a liquidity sweep that shook out weak hands earlier this year. Analysts now believe this recovery could set the stage for a major rally.

Related Reading

Analysts See Big Upside For DOGE

According to analysts, Dogecoin has broken above a former sell-side liquidity zone on the weekly chart. This level, between 140 and 160 sats, had acted as a critical support for months.

By July 2025, the pair fell below that zone in what they called a “liquidity hunt,” an event where prices dip to trigger stop orders before reversing upward.

According to Trader Tardigrade, the rebound is fueling optimism that DOGE might target higher levels soon. Tardigrade’s chart marks a potential climb toward 0.00000516 BTC, or about 516 sats.

$Doge/ $BTC /Weekly

The #Dogecoin to #Bitcoin pair has experienced a liquidity hunt and a rebound. It’s now holding strong above the previous sell-side liquidity level.

The trendline anticipates a 3x pump for $Doge compared to $BTC. This aligns with the expected #Altseason in… pic.twitter.com/Mncw4FD0Sd

— Trader Tardigrade (@TATrader_Alan) August 25, 2025

Based on current Bitcoin prices, that would translate to roughly $0.576, more than 300% above the liquidity sweep lows. Intermediate checkpoints sit at 280 sats ($0.31) and 360 sats ($0.40) before any run at that top target.

Altcoin Season Back In The Conversation

This outlook comes as talk of an altcoin season gains momentum. Historically, such periods see altcoins outperform Bitcoin after the leading cryptocurrency consolidates.

Tardigrade suggested that Dogecoin’s move could align with this pattern, potentially acting as a trigger for wider market activity.

DOGE’s recent rebound is significant because the coin had been under pressure for weeks. The current price stands near $0.21, down 4.41% in the past day and 7% for the month. Despite those short-term losses, technical analysts argue that structure matters more than daily fluctuations.

DOGE market cap currently at $32 billion. Chart: TradingView

Other Experts Weigh In

Ali Martinez offered a different view for the short term. He pointed to a symmetrical triangle forming on the 4-hour chart and expects one more pullback toward $0.22 before a breakout. If the pattern holds, his targets include $0.26, $0.28, and $0.31 in the near term.

Related Reading

Other experts see a longer horizon, comparing the current setup to past Dogecoin cycles in 2014, 2017, and 2021. Each major rally followed a similar accumulation phase. They believe the token could rise more than 3x from current levels, even surpassing the $0.7396 all-time high.

The market now watches for confirmation. If the breakout signals strengthen and altcoin season returns, Dogecoin could once again become one of the market’s biggest movers. Whether that happens in one surge or through stages, analysts agree that this meme coin’s story isn’t over yet.

Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin is changing its hands at a price that is nearly 40% below the modelled “energy value,” but the extraordinary confluence of technical, fundamental and policy signals suggests that markets may be changing. In his latest newsletter, Edwards argues that the newly formed “triple put” (a coincidence backstop from the White House, the Federal Reserve and the US Treasury) has altered the risk profiles of all risk assets and macro indicators to make the Bitcoin flip crucial.

Bitcoin turns bullish

Edwards starts with emotion and describes it as “in the pit.” The spread of the American Investor Bull Association is “as bearish as the lowest in 2009 and 2022, significantly worse than the 2020 Covid Crush.”

The CNN Fear & Greed Index has registered the darkest reading, “In Years,” while Capriole’s own active manager, Sentiment Gauge, shows an under-recorded equity manager. “Simply put, investors are in panic today,” he writes, warning that such extreme measurements “usually match at the central stage of major prices.” The combination leaves behind what Edwards calls “blood (and terror) on the streets,” repeating the Rothschild maxim that he fully cites.

Related readings

Technically, Bitcoin made a sharp reversal a few days ago. The $94,000 breakout candle has regained the entire $91,000-$100,000 range that closed the market from February. Edwards classifies the move as “a massive range of recovery,” adding that “for Bitcoin, such bullish ranges rarely look back at prices.”

Unless the market offers “daily closings under $91,000”, he writes, “it’s harder to get a more bullish tech chart than this.” The breakout coincides with his company’s basic machine learning model, Bitcoin Macro Index, and is positive in the neutral realm after a few months. The index fuses over 70 on-chain, macroeconomic and stock market variables. Prices are intentionally excluded to avoid feedback effects. Last week, the model “reset to ‘fair value’ and resumed its bullish trend,” ShiftEdwards calls it “a very promising basic data reading.”

“Triple Put”

Policy development provides a third game of the story. April 2 (the so-called “liberation date”) imposed global tariffs that the US cleaned, halving them, adding a 90-day suspension after the stock sold about 15%, VIX exceeding 30 and expanding credit spreads.

Edwards describes the rapid reversal of “Trump Put” as the first “Trump Put.” A day ago, on April 1st, the Federal Reserve began reducing the pace of quantitative tightening to 95% (“Fed Put”), effectively ending its four-year balance sheet contraction. CME FedWatch Tools’ derivative traders are now allocating base cases to three rate reductions by the end of the year.

Related readings

Meanwhile, Treasury Secretary Scott Bescent told reporters that the failures in the Treasury are driven by delaboration rather than foreign sales, and the department “has the tools to mitigate the situation, such as expanding buybacks if necessary” (“Treasury)).

“There are currently three major financial markets in place, and everyone is ready to sprint through the financial markets. The US President, the Federal Reserve and the US Treasury represent Triple Put,” Edwards said.

Is BTC underrated?

Capriol’s own “This Week’s Chart” highlights the review debate. Bitcoin’s energy value (an internal metric that the network prices using total minor power consumption) exceeds $130,000 for the first time this month.

So, with spot market trading close to $94,000, Edwards calls it “very rare” after a “nearly 40% discount” that is the depth of underestimation and Harving and “a very welcome sight.” Historically, energy value has acted as a subtraction of price gravity. This size gap narrowed with each previous cycle.

Edwards softens the bullish painting with warnings. “Political and volatility risk remains, and new policy changes are the biggest risks to derail the market right now,” he writes, adding that Capriol will monitor Bitcoin protecting $91,000 at the end of the week and keeping the macro index growing.

However, his overall tone is undoubtedly optimistic. “Today, the outlook for Bitcoin is very bullish and we’re joining together across technology, basics and emotions,” he concludes. If the week ends above its current level, Edwards said, “We’ll soon push the new all-time high with Bitcoin.”

At the time of pressing, BTC traded for $93,723.

Featured images created with dall.e, charts on tradingview.com

Gemini co-founder Cameron Winklevoss has urged the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to compensate the crypto exchange for its legal expenses and dismiss officials involved in its now-closed investigation.

On Feb. 26, Winklevoss disclosed that the SEC had officially dropped its investigation into Gemini without filing charges.

The exchange later confirmed this, noting that the decision came nearly two years after the inquiry began and almost a year after receiving a Wells Notice.

The SEC’s decision aligns with its recent pattern of withdrawing cases against crypto firms. In the past week alone, the agency has abandoned investigations into OpenSea, Robinhood, and Uniswap and paused its lawsuit against Binance.

Slams SEC’s approach

Despite the SEC’s decision, Winklevoss condemned the agency’s actions, arguing that the prolonged investigation had significantly damaged the crypto industry and the US economy.

He estimated that Gemini alone incurred tens of millions in legal fees and suffered hundreds of millions in lost innovation and productivity.

According to him:

“The SEC cost us tens of millions of dollars in legal bills alone and hundreds of millions in lost productivity, creativity, and innovation. Of course Gemini is not alone. The SEC’s behavior in aggregate towards other crypto companies and projects cost orders of magnitude more and caused unquantifiable loss in economic growth for America.”

Winklevoss pointed out that the SEC’s aggressive enforcement approach discouraged engineers and entrepreneurs from entering crypto. He also highlighted how some projects might have been abandoned or never even started because of the hostile enforcement environment.

To prevent such regulatory overreach, Winklevoss suggested that companies should be reimbursed triple their legal costs if investigations fail to result in charges. He also recommended that SEC officials responsible for unjustified enforcement actions be permanently barred from future agency roles.

He added:

“Just like the SEC bars individuals from trading securities if they break the law, there should be a process that bars those like Gary Gensler who weaponize the law, as well those who participate in the weaponization, from ever being appointed to or hired by an agency again. Lifetime ban in this case.”

Winklevoss concluded that without real accountability, regulatory agencies would continue to hinder innovation and economic growth in the United States.

He said:

“We will not rebuild trust and integrity in federal agencies unless there are serious consequences for bad faith actors. Operation Chokepoint didn’t stop at 1.0. It continued to 2.0 because not enough was done to hold bureaucrats accountable for their actions during 1.0. And there will be a 3.0 unless there is a real, public reckoning for 2.0.”

Mentioned in this article