Tesla – Earlybirds Invest https://earlybirdsinvest.com Latest Crypto News Tue, 06 Jan 2026 12:28:50 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.9.7 https://i0.wp.com/earlybirdsinvest.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/cropped-New-Project-2024-12-17T235703.455.png?fit=32%2C32&ssl=1 Tesla – Earlybirds Invest https://earlybirdsinvest.com 32 32 240146708 Tesla Makes Money Selling Electric Vehicles, but 86% of Its Earnings Could Soon Come From This Instead https://earlybirdsinvest.com/tesla-makes-money-selling-electric-vehicles-but-86-of-its-earnings-could-soon-come-from-this-instead/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/tesla-makes-money-selling-electric-vehicles-but-86-of-its-earnings-could-soon-come-from-this-instead/#respond Mon, 15 Sep 2025 03:23:33 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/tesla-makes-money-selling-electric-vehicles-but-86-of-its-earnings-could-soon-come-from-this-instead/ Cathie Wood’s Ark Investment Management is forecasting a major shift in Tesla’s business.

Tesla (TSLA 7.21%) is one of the world’s largest manufacturers of electric vehicles (EVs), but rising competition is slowly chipping away at its market share. EV sales are still the main driver of Tesla’s financial results, but CEO Elon Musk is trying to future-proof the company by steering its resources into new products like autonomous vehicles and robotics.

Ark Investment Management, which was founded by seasoned tech investor Cathie Wood, predicts autonomous vehicles will transform Tesla’s economics. In fact, Ark thinks a whopping 86% of the company’s earnings will come from self-driving robotaxis by 2029, paving the way for a stock price of $2,600. That would be a 615% increase from where Tesla stock trades today.

How realistic is Ark’s forecast? Let’s dive in.

A Tesla dealership with two Tesla electric vehicles parked out front.

Image source: Tesla.

Tesla’s EV business is sputtering

To meet Ark’s bullish 2029 forecast, Tesla will have to transition from selling passenger EVs to selling self-driving robotaxis, and it will also have to build new services like an autonomous ride-hailing network.

Unfortunately, Tesla is currently operating from a position of weakness, which is forcing this shift earlier than the company perhaps would have liked. After all, government regulators haven’t approved Tesla’s full self-driving (FSD) software for unsupervised use anywhere in the U.S. yet, which is a huge barrier to the success of its upcoming Cybercab robotaxi.

Tesla delivered 1.79 million passenger EVs during 2024, which was down 1% from the prior year, marking the first annual decline since the company launched its flagship Model S in 2011. The situation is much worse in 2025, with deliveries shrinking by a whopping 13% in the first half of the year. This led to a 14% decline in Tesla’s revenue and a 31% collapse in its earnings per share (EPS) during the same period, which is alarming to say the least.

A rapid increase in competition is a key reason for Tesla’s woes. Low-cost EV producers like China-based BYD are making serious inroads into some of Tesla’s biggest markets. Tesla’s sales sank by 40% across Europe in July, despite EV registrations climbing by 33% overall. BYD, on the other hand, saw a whopping 225% increase in sales in the region.

Simply put, Tesla is quickly losing market share in the passenger EV space. The company is launching a low-cost EV of its own in order to compete, but production just started so it probably won’t be a factor until next year at the earliest.

86% of Tesla’s earnings could soon come from autonomous robotaxis

Elon Musk is making a big bet on autonomous ride-hailing. The Cybercab, which will enter mass production in 2026, will run entirely on Tesla’s FSD software, so it’s designed to operate without any human intervention. In theory, that means it can haul passengers and even small commercial loads at all hours of the day, creating a lucrative new revenue stream for the company.

Scaling this business will come with challenges. I mentioned FSD isn’t approved for unsupervised use in the U.S. just yet, but Tesla will also have to compete with established ride-hailing giants like Uber Technologies, which has already partnered with 20 other companies in the autonomous driving space. Around 180 million people already use Uber every single month, so it’s in a much better position to dominate the autonomous ride-hailing industry compared to Tesla, which has to build an entire network from scratch.

However, Ark thinks Tesla will eventually make it work. Its forecasts suggest the company will generate $1.2 trillion in annual revenue by 2029, with 63% ($756 billion) coming from its robotaxi platform alone. Ark says that could translate to $440 million in earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), with 86% attributable to the robotaxi because of its high profit margins — human drivers are the largest cost in existing ride-hailing networks, but the robotaxi won’t need them.

Don’t rush to buy Tesla stock just yet

In my opinion, Ark’s predictions are too ambitious. Wall Street thinks Tesla will generate around $93 billion in revenue during 2025 (according to Yahoo! Finance), so that figure will have to grow by almost 1,200% over the next four years to meet Ark’s forecast of $1.2 trillion — driven by a brand-new robotaxi product that hasn’t even hit the road yet.

Tesla’s valuation is another issue. Its stock is trading at an eye-popping price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 209, making it almost seven times as expensive than the Nasdaq-100 technology index — which trades at a P/E ratio of 31.6. Remember, Tesla’s earnings are currently shrinking, which makes its premium valuation even harder to justify.

Therefore, I’m hesitant to buy into the idea that Tesla stock could surge by another 615% over the next four years to reach Ark’s price target of $2,600. It might be possible if the company’s robotaxi platform becomes as successful as Ark predicts, but I think that’s unlikely in such a short period of time. After all, Elon Musk has promised unsupervised self-driving cars for the last 10 years, and Tesla still hasn’t delivered.

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Tesla Sees $657M Outflows As South Korean Retail Investors Favor Crypto-Related Stocks https://earlybirdsinvest.com/tesla-sees-657m-outflows-as-south-korean-retail-investors-favor-crypto-related-stocks/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/tesla-sees-657m-outflows-as-south-korean-retail-investors-favor-crypto-related-stocks/#respond Tue, 02 Sep 2025 01:10:13 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/tesla-sees-657m-outflows-as-south-korean-retail-investors-favor-crypto-related-stocks/

Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

South Korean retail traders have continued to favor crypto-related stocks instead of high-profile US tech firms amid growing disappointment with companies like Tesla and the global push for digital assets.

Tesla Loses Ground, Bitmine Gains Momentum

On Monday, Bloomberg reported that Tesla stock has lost ground among South Korea’s retail investors, who ramped up their selling during August in favor of crypto-related equities.

According to the report, the electric carmaker company has seen a $1.8 billion exodus over the past four months, suggesting weakening enthusiasm among one of Tesla’s most loyal global retail investor bases.

A 33-year-old retail trader told the news media outlet that the company has been unable “to win people’s hearts” as it has “failed to lead with its own AI narrative.” The investor, who first bought the stock in 2019, sold out earlier this year to focus on equities that currently have more upside.

Bloomberg calculations of depository data revealed that while the company remains the top foreign stock among South Korean retail traders, individual investors sold approximately $657 million of Tesla stock in August, recording the company’s largest outflows since 2019.

In contrast, retail traders in South Korea favored more volatile bets in August, like crypto-related stocks. During this period, investors poured $253 million into Bitmine Immersion Technologies Inc., which is seen as a proxy for Ethereum (ETH).

As reported by Bitcoinist, South Korean investors purchased $259 million worth of Bitmine stock in July, Bloomberg previously highlighted. According to Korea Securities Depository data, this made the company the most purchased foreign security stock.

Korean Investors Pour Millions Into Crypto Stocks

Data from the Korean Center for International Finance (KCIF) showed that the percentage of crypto-linked equities in the top 50 net-bought stocks by local retail investors increased from 8.5% in January to 36.5% in June before dropping to 31.4% in July.

Citing a report from 10x Research, The Korea Times highlighted that individuals have purchased over $12 billion worth of crypto-related stock in 2025, with Bitmine, Circle Internet Group, and Coinbase leading the sector.

Retail investors’ buying spree reportedly intensified last month, as traders poured $426 million into Bitmine, $226 million into Circle, and $183 million into Coinbase. This marks a shift from the leading trend over the past few years, when Korean retail investors poured into US tech giants.

“Korean investors are pouring billions into crypto stocks, reshaping global flows in ways Wall Street can no longer ignore,” the report affirms. Adding that “the push has been amplified by U.S. and Korean stablecoin legislation, creating a powerful backdrop for this surge in capital.”

Amid the global push for digital assets regulation, the institutionalization of won-pegged stablecoins gained significant attention, with President Lee Jae-myung vowing to address it alongside the status of crypto-based exchange-traded funds (ETFs) during his electoral campaign.

Since then, multiple bills related to the issuance and distribution of KRW-pegged stablecoins have been introduced in South Korea’s National Assembly. Nonetheless, the industry has expressed concerns about the disconnect between the industry and South Korean regulators.

On September 1, the nominee for Financial Services Commission (FSC) Chairman Lee Won-eun stated that digital assets “differ from traditional financial products like deposits and securities in that they lack intrinsic value.”

In his written response to the National Assembly’s Political Affairs Committee, Lee also expressed a negative stance on specific policies related to cryptocurrencies, including whether to allow investment in virtual assets through pension and retirement accounts. This raised concerns among multiple industry players that a one-sided regulatory policy may continue.

crypto, ethereum, eth, ethusdt

Ethereum (ETH) trades $4,366 in the one-week chart. Source: ETHUSDT on TradingView

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Could Buying Tesla Stock Today Set You Up for Life? https://earlybirdsinvest.com/could-buying-tesla-stock-today-set-you-up-for-life/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/could-buying-tesla-stock-today-set-you-up-for-life/#respond Mon, 25 Aug 2025 05:46:30 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/could-buying-tesla-stock-today-set-you-up-for-life/ The company’s declining sales and margins are concerning, but they underscore the need for robotaxis to become a significant part of the business.

If buying Tesla (TSLA 6.18%) is indeed going to set an investor up for life, then its robotaxi business will have to be successful, and CEO Elon Musk will have to achieve his aim of making unsupervised full self-driving (FSD) software publicly available. While it’s uncertain if those things will happen, there’s one trend in the electric vehicle (EV) industry that significantly strengthens the case for Tesla. But to understand it, it’s important to start by addressing one key issue.

What’s going wrong with Tesla’s electric vehicle sales?

Musk is a divisive figure, but he’s not the only CEO to attract controversy or take positions that some find disagreeable and others find enlightened. This isn’t the place to enter that debate, but it is the place to look at matters rationally. A standard narrative has it that Tesla’s declining electric vehicle sales in 2025 are a consequence of Musk’s political involvement. If this were the case, Tesla would, indeed, have a major structural issue that definitely wouldn’t make it a stock to buy in hopes of it putting you on easy street. 

My opinion is that the evidence for this argument is weak. Tesla doesn’t have a sales problem because of Musk. It has a Model Y problem, and it has an interest rate problem. Let’s put it this way: According to Cox Automotive’s Kelley Blue Book report, sales of Tesla’s Model Y (its best-selling sport utility vehicle, or SUV) were down more than 24% in 2025 year to date through mid-July compared to the same period in 2024. In contrast, sales of its second best-selling car, the Tesla Model 3 (a mid-size sedan), rose almost 38% on the same basis.

If anti-Musk sentiment were behind the sales drop, that would show up for both models. Something else is going on. 

Competition is coming for Tesla

More likely, it’s the fact that other automakers have developed SUVs at price points that are highly competitive to the Tesla Model Y, even though many of them continue to lose significant amounts of money on EVs. Examples of SUV EVs gaining market share in the U.S. are Chevrolet’s Blazer and Equinox, Nissan’s Ariya, Hyundai‘s Ionic 5, and Honda‘s Prologue.

An electric vehicle charging.

Image source: Getty Images.

General Motors(NYSE: GM) Chevrolet is a case in point. Earlier in the year, GM Chief Financial Officer Paul Jacobson said, “We achieved variable profit positive on our EVs in the fourth quarter.” This is a good step, but it only means that revenue from its EVs covers the cost of labor and materials to build them. That’s fine if GM is going to make the same model in perpetuity. It’s not fine if GM is going to spend on research and development, factories, and other capital investments to develop a new car.

In reality, what’s happening to Tesla is a textbook example of new entrants driving down the sales and margins of an established industry leader by building loss-making vehicles with the intent to build the scale and market presence to turn profitable at some point.

As such, Tesla’s margins are being squeezed by a combination of competitors entering the SUV EV market and by ongoing relatively high interest rates — it’s not a coincidence that its well-performing Model 3 is its cheapest model.

Metric

Q2 2022

Q2 2023

Q2 2024

Q2 2025

Automotive revenue growth (decrease)

43%

46%

(7%)

(16%)

Operating margin

14.6%

9.6%

6.3%

4.1%

Data source: Tesla.

It’s also not a coincidence that Tesla’s response to these conditions is to create a long-awaited, low-cost model, which is “just a Model Y” according to Musk.

What it means for Tesla investors

The key to Tesla’s future is the robotaxi and unsupervised FSD. Both are subject to debate, and Tesla remains a high-risk/high-reward stock that won’t suit most investors.

But here’s the thing. The profitability challenges inherent in EVs, combined with the difficulty of producing low-cost, affordable EV models at a profit for all automakers, strengthen the idea that robotaxis and ride-sharing have a big future as a solution to the problem.

EVs tend to have high upfront costs, but low operating and maintenance costs. Therefore, their most economically productive use could turn out to be as robotaxis, where they are heavily utilized to take advantage of their low running costs and justify their upfront price tags.

As such, if the future is EVs, whether by personally owned cars or robotaxis, then Tesla’s approach is the right one, and it has the potential to generate significant returns for investors if it gets robotaxis and unsupervised FSD right. Whether it will set investors up for life is an unknown — and planning on any one stock to do that would be foolish — but it’s got lots of promise. 

Lee Samaha has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Tesla. The Motley Fool recommends General Motors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Tesla Ends Dojo Plans, Bets Big on New AI5 and AI6 Chips https://earlybirdsinvest.com/tesla-ends-dojo-plans-bets-big-on-new-ai5-and-ai6-chips/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/tesla-ends-dojo-plans-bets-big-on-new-ai5-and-ai6-chips/#respond Tue, 12 Aug 2025 03:14:36 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/tesla-ends-dojo-plans-bets-big-on-new-ai5-and-ai6-chips/

Elon Musk has announced that Tesla has officially ended work on its Dojo artificial intelligence (AI) training computer.

This decision comes after he had shared plans for a second Dojo cluster, which was expected to be up and running by 2026.

In a post on X, Musk said, “Once it became clear that all paths converged to AI6, I had to shut down Dojo and make some tough personnel choices, as Dojo 2 was now an evolutionary dead end“.

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He added that what might have been called “Dojo 3” exists in a different form, a board filled with AI6 system-on-a-chip units.

The company is currently focusing entirely on two newer chips, AI5 and AI6. These are being produced by major chipmakers TSMC and Samsung. AI5 is made to support Tesla’s Full Self-Driving software, while AI6 is meant for both training and real-time decision-making in self-driving cars and robots.

On August 8, Musk stated on X that continuing to work on two different chip designs no longer made sense. He said the newer AI chips are good enough for training and very strong for real-time tasks, and that all development would now focus on these.

He also explained why putting many AI5 and AI6 chips together on one board is a better option than the earlier Dojo layout.

Recently, Apple announced plans to expand its US manufacturing and AI efforts. How? Read the full story.


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PancakeSwap launches tokenized stock futures for Apple, Tesla, Amazon with 25x leverage https://earlybirdsinvest.com/pancakeswap-launches-tokenized-stock-futures-for-apple-tesla-amazon-with-25x-leverage/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/pancakeswap-launches-tokenized-stock-futures-for-apple-tesla-amazon-with-25x-leverage/#respond Thu, 07 Aug 2025 05:02:06 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/pancakeswap-launches-tokenized-stock-futures-for-apple-tesla-amazon-with-25x-leverage/

PancakeSwap has introduced futures contracts tied to major U.S. stocks, enabling users to trade synthetic versions of Apple, Amazon, and Tesla shares directly on the blockchain, according to an Aug. 5 release.

The new feature, live from Aug. 5, allows crypto users to open leveraged long or short positions using only a self-custodied wallet. Trades are executed on BNB Chain and support up to 25x leverage, with pricing designed to mirror traditional equity markets.

Unlike conventional stock trading, these contracts require no brokerage account, registration, or asset custody. Instead, all activity remains fully onchain, marking another step in the platform’s shift toward hybrid financial models that bridge traditional and decentralized assets.

Unlike crypto perpetual futures, which trade around the clock, these stock futures will operate during U.S. market hours, Monday through Friday, from 13:30 to 20:00 UTC, and are accessible via a newly added “Stocks” section in the PancakeSwap interface.

Users can adjust leverage levels and choose their trading direction based on market sentiment.

Perpetual contracts allow speculation on asset price movements without owning the underlying securities. PancakeSwap’s offering tracks stock prices through decentralized infrastructure while avoiding custodial risk.

The platform cautioned that the new derivatives carry significant financial risk. With high leverage, small price moves can result in amplified gains or losses. It urged users to understand the mechanics and risks before engaging in tokenized stock trading.

By integrating traditional equities into its decentralized derivatives platform, PancakeSwap aims to expand investment tools for crypto-native users seeking broader exposure without leaving the blockchain ecosystem.

The move comes amid a wider industry push, especially by centralized exchanges, into tokenized equities and Web3 versions of legacy markets.

Mentioned in this article
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Tesla found liable in fatal Autopilot crash https://earlybirdsinvest.com/tesla-found-liable-in-fatal-autopilot-crash/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/tesla-found-liable-in-fatal-autopilot-crash/#respond Fri, 01 Aug 2025 21:39:24 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/tesla-found-liable-in-fatal-autopilot-crash/

Tesla has been found partly liable in a deadly crash where Enhanced Autopilot was engaged. The payout is hefty.

The payout includes $129 million in compensatory damages, and $200 million in punitive damages against Tesla. Attorneys for the plaintiffs had asked the jury to award damages of around $345 million. The trial in the Southern District of Florida started on July 14.

The suit centered around who shouldered the blame for the deadly crash in Key Largo, Florida. A Tesla owner named George McGee was driving his Model S electric sedan while using the company’s Enhanced Autopilot, a partially automated driving system.

While driving, McGee dropped his mobile phone that he was using and scrambled to pick it up. He said during the trial that he believed Enhanced Autopilot would brake if an obstacle was in the way. His Model S accelerated through an intersection at just over 60 miles per hour, hitting a nearby empty parked car and its owners, who were standing on the other side of their vehicle.

CNBC

Tesla whistleblowers have been telling us the company doesn’t care about safety. I wonder if the shareholders will notice how much this costs them. I can not imagine what it could be that might turn Tesla’s sinking brand image around, but it is clear we have not seen it yet.

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JPMorgan Chase Now Bearish on Tesla, Circle, Rivian, Snapchat and Four Other Stocks As S&P 500 Trades at All-Time Highs: Report https://earlybirdsinvest.com/jpmorgan-chase-now-bearish-on-tesla-circle-rivian-snapchat-and-four-other-stocks-as-sp-500-trades-at-all-time-highs-report/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/jpmorgan-chase-now-bearish-on-tesla-circle-rivian-snapchat-and-four-other-stocks-as-sp-500-trades-at-all-time-highs-report/#respond Tue, 15 Jul 2025 09:14:08 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/jpmorgan-chase-now-bearish-on-tesla-circle-rivian-snapchat-and-four-other-stocks-as-sp-500-trades-at-all-time-highs-report/

Financial services titan JPMorgan Chase is suddenly turning bearish on the stocks of popular tech and restaurant companies as the S&P 500 hits record highs.

JPMorgan analysts say several big-named stocks appear overvalued and may be smart shorting plays for investors, reports Barron’s.

JPMorgan analyst Ryan Brinkman says Tesla (TSLA) currently has a “sky-high valuation” and expects earnings to plummet after President Trump reduced government subsidies for electric vehicle (EV) purchases. Brinkman also predicts that Tesla’s robo-taxi initiative is “likely to disappoint.”

He is also bearish on Tesla’s rival Rivian Automotive (RIVN). According to Brinkman, the firm’s efforts to improve its balance sheet “will likely [be] hampered by reduced EV subsidies and tariffs.”

Next up, JPMorgan analyst Kenneth Worthington says Circle Internet Group (CRCL), the stablecoin issuer, is due for a correction.

“Circle is a market leader in stablecoins with amazing technology, we view competition emerging and its current valuation as excessive.”

Moving on to the social media sector, JPMorgan analyst Doug Anmuth says Snapchat (SNAP) faces continual hurdles, including big brand advertisers’ “volatile” spending as well as the firm’s “poor track record on execution.”

Bumble (BMBL) is also earning a bearish outlook as JPMorgan analyst Cory Carpenter says the dating app stock faces a “structurally challenged” online dating sector, and the firm “is early in its turnaround effort.”

Other stocks JPMorgan analysts say are among the best candidates for investors to look for corrections include the restaurant chain Cheesecake Factory (CAKE), chipmaker Intel (INTC) and fast-food chain Shake Shack (SHAK).

As of Monday’s close, the S&P 500 is trading at record highs at 6,286 points.

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Where Will Tesla Stock Be in 3 Years? https://earlybirdsinvest.com/where-will-tesla-stock-be-in-3-years/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/where-will-tesla-stock-be-in-3-years/#respond Sun, 06 Jul 2025 06:38:26 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/where-will-tesla-stock-be-in-3-years/

With shares down 21% year to date, Tesla (TSLA 0.04%) is reeling from a combination of weakening electric vehicle (EV) demand, political uncertainty, and a CEO who seems to have misplaced priorities.

The next three years will be a make-or-break period for the company as it attempts to roll out its robotaxis across American cities, while dealing with the potential fallout of unfavorable Trump administration policies. Let’s dig deeper to see how this story might play out for Tesla shareholders.

Is Elon Musk propping up Tesla’s valuation?

It’s impossible to analyze Tesla without considering its controversial CEO, Elon Musk, who plays a significant role in its stock’s perception, even if he isn’t necessarily involved with all its day-to-day decision-making. Love him or hate him, Musk is an incredibly skilled executive. He has a track record of involvement in successful companies ranging from PayPal to Starlink, and typically aims to tackle massive world-changing topics like clean energy, space travel, and brain implants.

The market seems to appreciate Musk’s bold risk-taking leadership style, which helps explain why Tesla still enjoys an incredibly high valuation, despite its increasingly lackluster fundamentals.

With a price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of 172, the stock trades at a substantial premium over the S&P 500 average of 30 despite posting lackluster operating results. First-quarter revenue dropped 9% year over year to $19.3 million, while operating income collapsed by 66% to just $399 million. With these weak fundamentals, Tesla should probably be cheaper than it is, but the market still has faith in Musk.

A political liability

Over time, it is becoming clear that Tesla’s “Musk premium” is eroding and may soon become a liability. The CEO’s managerial skills have not translated to political acumen. In fact, his antics usually seem to minimize results while maximizing the potential for backlash. A great example of this is the flare-up over the “One, Big, Beautiful Bill” legislation, which passed the U.S. Senate on July 1 and is expected to become law later this month despite Musk’s vocal opposition on social media.

Now, Musk-affiliated companies must face a double whammy over the potential for political retaliation (this may come in the form of regulatory challenges) while also dealing with the contents of the bill itself.

Red cars moving through an assembly line.

Image source: Getty Images.

The bill could be a crushing burden on a U.S. EV industry that is already struggling with consumer fatigue, high interest rates, and tariffs on imported components. Although the final version is yet to be approved, the Senate has agreed to eliminate the $7,500 tax credit on electric vehicle purchases, while also ending support for residential solar and rolling back vehicle emissions regulations on Tesla’s gas-powered rivals.

These headwinds come at a time when Tesla’s overseas operations are struggling because of political backlash and new, low-cost rivals from China, which often enjoy open support from their government.

What comes next for Tesla?

The next three years will be incredibly challenging for Tesla as the impacts of the act could potentially weaken the market for its products in the U.S. Musk’s political antics could make things worse by alienating some consumers and drawing potential political retaliation from President Donald Trump and his allies as it attempts to pioneer regulatorily-sensitive business ventures like artificial intelligence and self-driving cars.

Historically, it hasn’t been a good idea to bet against Musk because he usually proves his naysayers wrong. That said, these current challenges look daunting, even for him. And they could easily put pressure on Tesla’s sky-high valuation. Investors may want to stay away from the stock until more information becomes available.

Will Ebiefung has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends PayPal and Tesla. The Motley Fool recommends the following options: long January 2027 $42.50 calls on PayPal and short June 2025 $77.50 calls on PayPal. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Tesla reports two years of falling sales numbers https://earlybirdsinvest.com/tesla-reports-two-years-of-falling-sales-numbers/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/tesla-reports-two-years-of-falling-sales-numbers/#respond Wed, 02 Jul 2025 22:58:23 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/tesla-reports-two-years-of-falling-sales-numbers/

No one is surprised to see another bad quarter of sales for Tesla; the only question is how Musk will spin it.

Tesla delivered 384,122 vehicles in the second quarter of this year, wrapping up another weak quarter for the company as it struggles to bring the pace of sales back up to 2023 levels.

That represents a 13.5% drop from the number of cars Tesla delivered in the second quarter of 2022, and it means Tesla runs a real chance of underperforming its total sales figure from 2024. If that happens, it would mean Tesla’s sales will have fallen two years in a row — despite the company once promoting the ability to grow deliveries at 50% annually.

TechCrunch

Pausing production, offering sweetheart financing deals, and lowering prices don’t seem to help. Tesla’s advantage in the market wasn’t quality; it was novelty. There are now more, better options to choose from, and Musk’s chemically induced performance on the global stage has not helped. There will be no pivot to selling EVs to coal-rolling weirdos, but that seems to be their only hope?

Previously:
• The Tesla ‘Cyberbeast’ is exceptionally ugly
• Tesla layoffs hit its diversity and inclusivity programs
• Small stickers on the ground trick Tesla autopilot into steering into opposing traffic lane

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Here's Why Tesla Stock Is a Buy Before the End of July https://earlybirdsinvest.com/heres-why-tesla-stock-is-a-buy-before-the-end-of-july/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/heres-why-tesla-stock-is-a-buy-before-the-end-of-july/#respond Sun, 29 Jun 2025 08:54:21 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/heres-why-tesla-stock-is-a-buy-before-the-end-of-july/

Tesla (TSLA -0.67%) is expected to release its second-quarter earnings in late July, making the stock worth considering for investors who can tolerate some potential volatility. The recent robotaxi launch has altered the narrative surrounding the stock, and Tesla may reveal another event that could prove a positive catalyst for the company and the stock. Here’s the lowdown.

Tesla’s delivery data

Elon Musk’s company typically releases its production and delivery data for the quarter shortly after the quarter has ended, but before the quarter’s earnings are reported. That matters because, unlike most other automakers, Tesla’s deliveries are its sales volumes in the quarter. Unlike legacy automakers that sell through dealers, Tesla sells directly to consumers, either online or through its stores.

As such, investors will already be aware of Tesla’s sales and production volumes before the earnings release. It’s challenging to predict the numbers, and you may be reading them by the time this article is published. There are numerous moving parts here, not least of which is the refresh of the Model Y (the world’s best-selling car) , as well as the timing of its availability in various markets.

The bulls and bears battle it out over Tesla stock

The earnings report is likely to reveal data indicating that Tesla lost share in the electric vehicle (EV) market, a trend that has persisted for the past few years. For example, at the end of 2022, Tesla held 58% of the U.S. EV market, a figure that fell to 50.9% by the end of 2023, then to 44.4% by the end of 2024, and finally to 43.5% in the first quarter of 2025.

In addition, sales data from the U.S. and Europe from early in the quarter suggests Tesla is going to need a big sales month in June to stay on track for meeting analyst estimates.

A driver charging an electric vehicle.

Image source: Getty Images.

The bears will argue that this is a consequence of a tired lineup of vehicles, amid concerns that Tesla is losing its competitive edge.

At the same time, the bulls will see it as an inevitable consequence of the fruition of heavy investments by its competitors, while noting that it’s unrealistic to expect the kind of market share Tesla had in the past when it’s competing with rivals taking heavy losses on every EV sold to win market share. For the bulls, the key to long-term success is Tesla’s ability to lower its cost per vehicle, allowing it to increase EV sales and develop its nascent robotaxi business sustainably.

Three potential positive catalysts for Tesla

There’s something in both bearish and bullish cases. Tesla investors may be willing to accept a decline in market share, but they won’t want to see Tesla’s automotive sales continue to decline, as they did in the first quarter with a 20% year-over-year drop. Moreover, Tesla needs to get back to production growth because building scale is usually the best way to lower the unit cost of production, and that’s how companies learn how to reduce costs in general.

An investor with binoculars looking out a window.

Image source: Getty Images.

Tesla needs to do this because lower-cost vehicles are an integral part of the case for robotaxis. Whether it’s a dedicated robotaxi vehicle like the Cybercab due for volume production in 2026, or existing Tesla EVs transformed into robotaxis using Tesla’s as-yet-unreleased autonomous full self-driving (FSD) software.

In this context, there are three things Tesla’s management could outline on the earnings call, and they are all likely to be positive for the stock:

  • Affirm the plan for volume production of the Cybercab in 2026.
  • Details of the potential expansion of the robotaxi pilot program.
  • On the earnings call in April, management promised “cheaper models to market soon, with the start of production still planned for June,” so presumably it will be able to confirm this in July.

The third event is arguably the most important in the near term. Commercializing robotaxis will take time, and the Cybercab production ramp is understandably tied to that. However, Tesla’s release of lower-cost models in 2025 could revitalize its lineup, start boosting sales, and capitalize on its position as a profitable EV maker with a cost structure that makes EVs more affordable to the mass public.

An investor smiling while looking at a chart.

Image source: Getty Images.

A stock to buy

Tesla remains a speculative growth stock, and there’s no guarantee that its robotaxi development will be successful. That said, the launch is now history, and the narrative around the company’s EV sales and market share could change with the introduction of lower-cost models. If, and it’s a big if, Tesla sticks to its timelines, then the stock is worth buying for investors willing to tolerate risk for a substantial reward.

Lee Samaha has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Tesla. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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