A crypto expert on social media platform X has come forward with an interesting outlook for the Bitcoin price, stating that the market leader could be gearing up for its next explosive move. However, the on-chain analyst added that a certain condition must be met for BTC to resume its uptrend.

A Break Above $118,000 Could Precede Price Explosion: Analyst

In a September 13 post on X, Alphractal founder and CEO Joao Wedson revealed that the price of Bitcoin could be preparing for an extended rally over the next few weeks. The on-chain data expert shared that the premier cryptocurrency will need a convincing break above the $118,000 level to confirm the resumption of the bull run.

Wedson noted in his post that $117,000 is actually the price mark to watch out for, as it represents a zone of strong interest and indecision. Specifically, two on-chain indicators—the CVDD Channel and the Fibonacci-Adjusted Market Mean Price—have designated this price level as a point where the market is likely to slow down or form a local top.

According to analytics platform Alphractal, the CVDD Channel is a metric that estimates historical price floors and risk zones based on the coin destruction data and Fibonacci envelopes. Meanwhile, the Fibonacci-Adjusted Market Mean Price combines the market mean price with Fibonacci bands to identify structural expansion and value zones.

Wedson highlighted that both the CVDD Channel and the Fibonacci-Adjusted Market Mean Price have revealed “eerily accurate levels” of support and resistance throughout Bitcoin’s price history. Currently, these metrics are pointing to $117,000 as a level that could provide resistance to the upward movement of the Bitcoin price.

In the end, Wedson concluded that this zone could be critical to the market leader’s next move to the upside. However, the Alphractal founder advised Bitcoin investors to wait for a clear, sustained breakout above $118,000 to confirm that bullish momentum is back.

Bitcoin Price At A Glance

As of this writing, the price of BTC stands at around $115,905, reflecting no significant change in the past 24 hours.

Crypto protocols raised $1.9 billion in August, down 30% from July’s $2.67 billion, according to DefiLlama data.

Despite the monthly drop, August numbers for raises from venture capital funds align with the numbers recorded in July, with $600 million captured from PUMP’s public sale last month.

DeFi protocols dominated August funding with multiple major raises, including Portal’s $50 million round, M0’s $40 million Series B, and aPriori’s $20 million strategic investment.

The sector attracted consistent institutional capital across infrastructure and trading platforms.

Additionally, the third quarter already surpassed the second quarter’s $4.54 billion totals with $4.57 billion captured in just two months.

AI and infrastructure growth

AI protocols secured substantial funding, with Everlyn raising $15 million and multiple AI-focused projects completing seed rounds.

The convergence of crypto and AI continues attracting venture interest as protocols develop decentralized computing and data solutions. Cybersecurity emerged as another major category with IVIX completing a $60 million Series B, the month’s largest traditional venture round.

Stablecoin infrastructure also drew capital, with Rain securing $58 million in Series B funding.

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Payment infrastructure attracted diverse funding. OrangeX completed a $20 million Series B and multiple smaller rounds supporting cross-border and merchant payment solutions. The category benefits from increasing crypto adoption in commercial applications.

Gaming protocols also received some attention, such as Overtake’s $7 million round and continued development funding across multiple projects.

The sector benefits from increased adoption of blockchain-based gaming mechanics and token economies.

Public token sales lose ground

Without a high-profile token sale, such as Pump.fun’s, public token sales represented only $30.7 million across seven projects, including Lombard’s $6.75 million and Almanak’s dual raises totaling nearly $11 million.

Public token sales provide direct community participation while reducing dependence on institutional venture capital.

Layer-2 solutions secured strategic investments with Bitlayer raising $5 million through public token sales and Hemi Labs completing a $15 million growth round.

The third quarter’s performance demonstrates sustained institutional interest despite monthly fluctuations.

Mentioned in this article

Crypto Journalist

Anas Hassan

Crypto Journalist

Anas Hassan

About Author

Anas is a crypto native journalist and SEO writer with over five years of writing experience covering blockchain, crypto, DeFi, and emerging tech.

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Last updated: 

September 8, 2025

Crypto investment products experienced $352 million in weekly outflows as Federal Reserve rate-cut optimism failed to boost digital asset sentiment, with Ethereum leading the exodus at $912 million while Bitcoin attracted $524 million in inflows.

CoinShares’ report shows trading volumes dropped 27% week-over-week, suggesting a cooled appetite for digital assets despite improving prospects for September interest rate cuts.

Year-to-date inflows remain strong at $35.2 billion, running 4.2% ahead of last year’s total.

Regional Divergence Amid Fed Uncertainty

The United States recorded $440 million in outflows, while Germany and Hong Kong saw inflows of $85.1 million and $8.1 million, respectively.

Ethereum products experienced daily outflows across seven consecutive trading days spanning multiple ETP issuers.

According to SosoValue, Spot Ethereum ETFs posted a record $788 million in weekly outflows, with no single fund recording net inflows.

Bitcoin spot ETFs contrasted with $246 million weekly inflows, marking two consecutive weeks of positive flows.

Solana extended its streak to 21 consecutive weeks of inflows totaling $1.16 billion year to date, while XRP reached $1.22 billion over the same period.

Both assets continue attracting steady weekly inflows of $16.1 million and $14.7 million, respectively.

The outflows occurred despite weak August payroll data that reinforced rate cut expectations. U.S. job growth slowed sharply, with unemployment rising to 4.3%, the highest level since 2021, strengthening the case for monetary easing.

According to Reuters, Standard Chartered has revised its projection to expect 50 basis point cuts at September’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting, doubling its previous forecasts.

Markets price in a 90% probability of 25-basis-point reductions with a 10% chance of larger cuts.

Similarly, Morgan Stanley and Deutsche Bank maintain that August employment data wasn’t weak enough for 50-basis-point cuts, though consecutive meeting reductions remain possible.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell previously indicated that rate cuts were possible while cautioning about persistent inflation threats.

Traditional Markets Rally While Crypto Cools

Stock markets responded positively to rate cut optimism, with S&P 500 futures gaining 0.2% on Monday following weak employment data.

European and Asian shares rose 0.3% and 0.6%, respectively, as Treasury yields held at lower levels.

Gold surged to record highs above $3,630 per ounce, gaining 38% year to date after a 27% increase in 2024.

Lower borrowing costs enhance non-yielding bullion appeal while geopolitical uncertainty drives safe-haven demand amid Fed independence concerns.

China’s central bank extended gold purchases to 10 consecutive months in August as part of dollar diversification efforts.

Additionally, Goldman Sachs projects gold could reach $5,000 per ounce if Federal Reserve independence deteriorates and investors shift from Treasuries.

The Trump administration moves to exempt gold bullion from country-based tariffs, formalizing previous customs rulings.

Political uncertainty in Japan and France contributed to dollar weakness despite rate-cut expectations supporting traditional risk assets.

Oil prices climbed more than 2% after OPEC+ agreed to slower output increases from October amid weaker global demand expectations.

Brent crude and West Texas Intermediate both posted strong gains following the production adjustment announcement.

Industry Outlook Amid Rate Cut Cycle

Earlier this month, Crypto.com CEO Kris Marszalek expected a strong fourth-quarter performance if September rate cuts materialize, citing improved liquidity conditions for risk assets.

This projection came as the exchange generated $1.5 billion in revenue last year with a $1 billion gross profit.

However, late last month, Santiment warned that social media discussion of Federal Reserve rate cuts reached an 11-month peak, historically indicating euphoric levels preceding market corrections.

Bitcoin exchange supply accumulation has risen by approximately 70,000 coins since June.

Ethereum technical indicators suggest caution despite strong price performance, with short-term MVRV approaching 15% and long-term readings at 58.5%.

These levels historically correspond with profit-taking activity and potential retracements.

Manufacturing PMI data could influence rate-cut timing, with forecasts expecting ISM Manufacturing PMI at 48.9 versus the previous 48.0. Levels below 49.5 typically extend correction periods while improvements support recovery narratives.

Amid this fed rate-cut optimism, European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde warned, in regard to Trump’s threats to the Fed chair, that undermining Fed independence would create “very serious danger” for global economic stability.

She believes that political control over monetary policy carries “very worrying” implications for worldwide markets.

Ethereum is testing key demand levels after falling below the $4,600 mark. This is a breakdown of increased sales pressure across the market. The Bulls, who have recently driven ETH to a new high, have lost control as momentum fades away, and fear is coming back to emotions. Traders are closely watching whether Ethereum can hold its support zone or whether deeper retraces are on the horizon.

Related readings

But under this volatility, on-chain data tells a different story. Top analyst DarkFost shared fresh insights showing that Binance’s Ethereum reserves fell by more than 10% within a week. The exchange balance has fallen from ETH of nearly 5 million to just under 4.5 million, indicating a sharp decline in demand. Usually, a decline in bookings on major exchanges means investors are moving their ETH to private wallets or debt protocols.

While speculation and short-term fear may be driving the current decline in reserves, the fundamentals behind Ethereum remain solid. The strong demand, coupled with consistent outflows from exchanges, indicates that large players are positioned for the long term. For many, this difference between price action and fundamentals could shape Ethereum’s next critical move.

Ethereum only reduces vinance

Within a week, Ethereum recorded a sharp decline in Binance reservations, falling by more than 10%. Data shared by analyst DarkFost shows that the amount of ETH available on the exchange has dropped from 4,975,000 on August 23rd to just 4,478,000 today. This ETH cut of nearly half a million people highlights a strong change in market dynamics, indicating investors are actively withdrawing their holdings from the platform.

If Exchange Reserves slows at this rate, the impact is clear. Users have chosen to move their assets to self-reliance or deploy them to decentralized finance protocols to earn yields. Both actions are widely regarded as bullish signals as they reduce the immediate supply of ETH that can be used for trading and selling in centralized exchanges. This trend often suggests stronger beliefs among holders and prefer long-term accumulation rather than short-term speculation.

Although internal transfers within the binance may have contributed to the overall decline, the consistent pace of outflow over several days suggests that authentic market demand is playing around with. The reserve drop comes at a time when Ethereum’s volatility grows, reinforcing the narrative that continues to accumulate large investors, even when price action remains uninterrupted.

Ultimately, the reduction in Binance’s ETH reserve highlights the fundamental strength of Ethereum’s foundations. Despite fears of sales pressure, data suggests demand is solid, and investors position what many expect to see as the next stage in Ethereum rally.

Related readings

Bull loses support as a seller’s pressure market structure

Ethereum has traded nearly $4,338 after falling below the $4,400 level, indicating an increase in sales pressure in the short term. The four-hour chart highlights a change in momentum, with ETH currently trading under the 50-day ($4,554) and 100-day ($4,499) moving average. The failure suggests that the bear has gained the advantage after weeks of volatility.

For now, ETH is $4,167 above its 200-day moving average. This serves as the final major line of defense in a wider upward trend. If the Bulls can stabilize prices here, Ethereum could try to rebound towards the $4,500-4,600 range, but momentum remains weak. The inability to maintain strength above $4,600 makes the ETH even more vulnerable to the downside.

Related readings

If sales pressure continues, a deeper setback to $4,200 cannot be ruled out. This level is consistent with previous demand zones and is consistent with the 200-day moving average, making it a key support area. Conversely, collecting $4,500 is the first signal that buyers are regaining control.

Dall-E special images, TradingView chart

Bitcoin is holding firm above the $115,000 level after several days of trading below it, signaling renewed strength in the market. The bullish tone is building as Ethereum posts massive gains and altcoins begin to show strong moves over the past few days. For some analysts, this could be the start of the long-awaited altseason; for others, it’s simply the rest of the market catching up to Bitcoin’s earlier rally.

Related Reading

Top analyst Axel Adler noted that Bitcoin’s price is now trading close to its all-time high, with the BTC Z-Score (Price, 30/365) sitting around +1.5σ above its one-year norm. This reading is well below the +2.5σ level typically associated with overheating, suggesting that while momentum is strong, it is not yet at extreme levels. The current environment offers a favorable backdrop for potential upside, with room for the market to expand further before reaching overheated conditions.

With altcoins gaining traction and Ethereum’s rally adding fuel to the market’s optimism, the coming days could determine whether this is a sustainable breakout or just another phase of consolidation before the next major move.

On-Chain Activity Still Lags Behind Price

According to Adler, Bitcoin’s current market setup is showing a positive backdrop but with some important caveats. Adler points out that the Adjusted Price Divergence (APD) remains negative near −1.5 after rebounding from local lows around −2. This metric suggests that Bitcoin’s price is still outpacing on-chain activity, although the gap between the two is narrowing. In other words, while price momentum is firm, the network’s transactional activity and usage haven’t yet fully caught up.

This discrepancy creates an interesting dynamic for the market. Adler explains that the bias still favors price, meaning momentum is being driven more by investor positioning and sentiment than by on-chain fundamentals. For the rally to gain more structural support, a healthier setup would see APD move toward zero. This could happen in one of two ways: either network activity increases significantly while price moves sideways or posts modest gains, or Bitcoin’s price cools off to better align with current usage levels.

Importantly, Adler warns against interpreting APD moving toward zero as a direct buy or sell signal. Instead, it represents a sign of normalization — a point where market price and underlying network fundamentals are better aligned. For now, Bitcoin’s technical and macro backdrop remains bullish, but sustained long-term growth will likely require the network to catch up with price action.

Related Reading

Bitcoin Price Holds Key Support Near $115K

Bitcoin is consolidating above the $115,724 support level after a brief dip below it earlier this month. The daily chart shows price stabilizing just above the 50-day simple moving average (SMA), currently near $113,324, which has acted as a strong dynamic support throughout the recent uptrend. The short-term structure remains bullish, with BTC trading inside a range between $115,724 support and the $122,077 resistance level.

Volume has tapered off slightly since the early August rebound, suggesting the market is in a wait-and-see mode before a potential breakout. A decisive close above $118,000 could invite another test of the $122,077 resistance, a key level that has capped upside attempts multiple times. If broken, this could open the door toward new all-time highs.

Related Reading

On the downside, losing $115,724 would shift focus to the 100-day SMA at $108,983 as the next major support. Until then, the higher-lows pattern suggests buyers are defending the mid-$115K zone aggressively.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Consider the following assumption:

1. The computer can calculate the private key from the public key n Year (and n to be a minority, give or take). Of course, this assumption is highly hypothetical and is currently considered unrealistic.

2. The public key for multi-signature accounts is known. Here we assume they are not hashed or hidden. It also assumes that MUSIG2 is used for multi-signature accounts. This is expected to happen with Bitcoin if I’m not wrong. Moreover, MUSIG2 cannot be used with CISA. Because I only allow to pass a single message (please tell me if I’m wrong).

Now, as Assumption 2 is preserved, you can use Musig2 to aggregate a set of public keys and create a single aggregate public key. AggPub. As it is a valid X-only public key, there are exactly two corresponding private keys. Priv1 and Priv2,link AggPub. By knowing one of them, you can easily find out the other by negating the first private key.

From Assumption 1, can one of the private keys be calculated (Priv1 or Priv2) from AggPub At the same time, that is, n year? From my point of view, yes, it can.

Of course, Assumption 1 is too strong. However, if the answer to the question is yes, it suggests that signature compression here is not the best trade-off. In fact, this could even be misused by a zombie account using MUSIG2, and by performing a simple Schnorr signature, you can unlock dormant funds with a single private key.

Bitcoin is trading just above the $112,000 level after breaking down from a consolidation range that held for over two weeks. The sharp decline sparked concerns among investors, particularly among Short-Term Holders (STH), who now face the difficult choice of realizing losses or holding underwater positions. However, top analyst Darkfost shared key insights suggesting that Bitcoin’s underlying demand remains robust, despite the price volatility.

Related Reading

According to Darkfost, the Apparent Demand metric—comparing new BTC issuance to over one-year inactive supply—indicates that the market is still absorbing supply effectively. The ratio has stayed in positive territory, signaling that demand continues to outpace new issuance. Over the past 30 days, approximately 160,000 BTC have been accumulated, highlighting strong buying behavior even as prices corrected.

While sentiment among STH has weakened due to the recent drawdown, long-term accumulation trends suggest the broader market structure remains healthy. Investors with longer time horizons are continuing to add to their positions, reflecting confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term prospects. As BTC stabilizes around $112K, market participants are closely watching for a potential reversal or a deeper correction, with demand-side indicators offering a more optimistic outlook for the weeks ahead.

Demand from Accumulator Addresses and OTC Desks Signals Strong Conviction

Darkfost also highlighted critical insights regarding Demand from Accumulator Addresses, a metric that tracks wallets that have only acquired Bitcoin without any history of selling. This indicator provides a clear view into both the demand dynamics and the holding conviction of long-term investors.

Over the past month, the average BTC accumulated by these addresses has grown by approximately 50,000 BTC, showcasing a consistent and determined buying trend, despite recent price corrections. Such behavior underscores the confidence of long-term holders who are taking advantage of market dips to strengthen their positions.

On a broader horizon, BTC held on OTC Desks reflects a more strategic and long-term demand pattern. Unlike exchange-based activity, OTC transactions are less visible in immediate price action but offer a window into the intentions of institutional players.

Since September 2021, the supply of BTC on OTC desks has dropped sharply, from around 550,000 BTC to just 145,000 BTC today. This significant decline indicates that large-scale buyers are consistently removing Bitcoin from OTC circulation, reducing the available supply for future institutional entrants.

Whether examining short-term accumulation or long-term OTC trends, the overall demand-side picture remains notably positive. Despite recent volatility and a wave of short-term profit-taking, there are no major signs of structural weakness from demand-side indicators.

Related Reading

Bitcoin Faces Key Resistance After Rebounding from Local Lows

Bitcoin is currently trading at $114,476, showing signs of stabilization after a sharp drop to $111,971 earlier this week. The chart shows BTC still hovering below the crucial $115,724 resistance, which aligns with the lower boundary of the previous consolidation range. The 50-day SMA sits at $100,228, providing a solid technical base, while the 100-day SMA at $95,433 remains a key medium-term support zone. The 200-day SMA is rising steadily at $77,282, confirming the long-term bullish trend.

Despite the recent volatility, Bitcoin’s price structure still suggests a bullish outlook as long as BTC maintains higher lows above the $110K level. However, the $122,077 resistance remains a critical barrier. Breaking above this level would signal a strong bullish continuation towards new highs.

Related Reading

Volume activity has been decreasing during this retracement, which is a positive sign, indicating that selling pressure is not overwhelming. If BTC can reclaim the $115,724 zone in the coming sessions, it would increase the probability of another breakout attempt towards $122K.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

The Ethereum Crypto is solid and is erupting. The ETH rally has made traders target $3,500 amid in institutional demand from Wall Street.

Bitcoin surged over $118,000 and printed fresh best highs above $113,500, often Altcoins and some The best cipher to buy Follow the suit. The good news is that most of them have risen. XRP Crypto rose nearly 7% to over $2.55, while Solana went above $160, adding 9% last week. Among the assets that investors and traders have carefully looked at ETH ▲3.77%.

Discover: 9+ Best High Risk, High Reward Crypto Buy in July 2025

Ethereum Crypto aims at $3,500

Ethereum has risen slightly after the first half of the year was relatively restrained.

On the last day, the coin pushed over $2,600, competing for transactions over $2,900, extending weekly profits to almost 15%.

At this rate, analysts are hoping the coin will trade more than $3,500 in the coming weeks, with an additional increase of $4,100.

24 hours7d30D1Yeverytime

From the Ethereum Price Chart, the local resistance is around $3,000. If this liquidation level is broken, ETH could easily rise to $3,500 in a continuation pattern of purchasing trends.

The rally confirmed its profits in early May 2025, ideally by expanding participation, with ETH over $2,000.

Discover: 20+ Next Cryptocurrency to Explode in 2025

Institutions that accumulate ETH

Behind these refreshing highs is the supportive fundamentals that position eth The next cipher that explodes There may be a political link in the third quarter of 2025 to the recent surge.

According to Artemis Intelligence, Trump’s family has accumulated a large amount of Ethereum and Ethereum-based tokens through the Defi project World Liberty Financial.

(Source: Artemis))

This accumulation is not surprising.

Eric Trump, behind World Liberty Financial, previously posted to ETH in support of X. As of July 11th, the Defi protocol has more than $150 million in ETH and is supplying it to Aave, a decentralized money market, to earn yields.

Furthermore, there was a sudden interest in the Spot Ethereum ETF. According to SOSO’s value, the institution currently exceeds nearly 4% of its total ETH supply, or more than $12.5 billion Ethereum-backed stock.

Recent trends show that millions of institutional flows into ETH over the past four days.

(Source: SOSO value))

On July 10 alone, the institution scooped up $383 million worth of Spot Ethereum ETF stock, primarily through BlackRock and Grayscale.

Interestingly, this wave of demand for ETH occurs despite the US SEC not allowing issuers to wager ETH deposits from investors.

If regulators lift this limit, billions of dollars could flow to Spot Ethereum ETFs as agencies scrambles to get near-risk-free yields on ETH.

Currently, Ethereum Network Offer APY yield of 3% on stakers.

Recent data reveals that over 35.66 million ETHs are being wagered by over 1 million active variators. Each validator locks an average of 32.68 ETH.

(Source: BeaConcha.in))

Wall Street Watching

What accompanies the current surge is comments from crypto influencers and founders.

Recently, Joseph Lubin of Consensys and Sharplink announced plans to buy tens of millions of ETH.

In an interview, Rubin said Ethereum is gaining traction in how traditional finance views digital assets.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=utz572drfqw

Specifically, he noted that there is an increasing number of companies holding ETH in the Ministry of Finance.

Due to the consensus mechanism of proof, ETH rewards stakers and built-in yields make them attractive for long-term Hodlers who want to earn returns on their assets.

By contrast, Bitcoin does not provide yields to holders, and the only way that holders can benefit is through capital gains.

Discover: Best New Cryptocurrencies to Invest in 2025 – Top New Cryptocoins

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