Bitcoin’s price remains in a zone where it is seeing little upward momentum as it continues to hover below its recent all-time high. After reaching above $123,000 earlier this month, the asset has pulled back slightly, trading at $119,343 at the time of writing.

This represents a 2% gain over the past week but still leaves BTC roughly 3% below its recent peak. The muted price action reflects a market that appears to be consolidating amid diverging signals from on-chain indicators and regional demand metrics.

Recent analysis from CryptoQuant contributors points to a weakening appetite for Bitcoin in both the US and South Korea, two markets that have historically contributed significant trading volume.

A closer look at exchange activity and regional pricing premiums suggests a potential shift in investor behavior, as profit-taking becomes more prominent and traders appear hesitant to buy at current levels.

Related Reading

Regional Premiums Point to Lower Demand from US and South Korea

According to a post by CryptoQuant analyst Arab Chain, the Coinbase Premium Index, which measures the price difference between Bitcoin on Coinbase and other global exchanges, has failed to climb significantly despite BTC reaching record highs in July.

The index remained around levels seen in June, suggesting that US investors using Coinbase have not been aggressively buying Bitcoin during the rally.

Arab Chain noted that the index’s movement toward negative territory alongside Bitcoin’s price increase may indicate profit-taking among American investors. This implies that some may be anticipating a correction before re-entering the market.

Similarly, the Korea Premium Index has declined, signaling reduced demand from retail investors in South Korea. This index reflects the spread between Bitcoin’s price on Korean exchanges and global averages.

The negative trend suggests Korean traders have been selling below the global average, with weak buying interest on local platforms. Arab Chain interprets this as retail traders possibly waiting for a discount to reenter the market, indicating caution among individual investors in Asia’s key crypto hub.

Exchange Inflows Suggest Rising Sell Pressure

Adding to the picture, another CryptoQuant contributor, ShayanMarkets, highlighted a notable development in BTC’s on-chain activity. The latest data reveals Bitcoin has experienced its largest net inflow to exchanges since July 2024.

Typically, large inflows signal that holders are preparing to sell, increasing supply on trading platforms and contributing to potential downward price pressure. ShayanMarkets explained that this behavior, especially when occurring near all-time highs, may indicate institutional or fund-driven profit-taking.

Such moves often align with efforts to reduce risk exposure during overextended market rallies. Historically, spikes in exchange inflows have been followed by price corrections, making this a trend to monitor closely.

Related Reading

However, the redistribution of capital from Bitcoin into other assets may benefit the broader crypto market. The analyst noted that altcoins could see renewed interest as funds rotate out of BTC. If the trend continues, traders may observe increased volatility and speculative movement across alternative tokens in the short term.

Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Billionaire and hedge fund legend Steve Cohen reportedly believes that the US economy is not yet over the hump despite positive developments over the last few weeks.

At the Sohn Investment Conference in New York, the head of Point72 Asset Management says there’s a 45% chance that the US will enter a period of economic contraction, reports Bloomberg.

“We aren’t in a recession yet, but we have significant slowing growth.”

Cohen predicts that the US economy will grow by 1.5% in 2026, noting that the figure is “OK but not phenomenal.”

Data from Trading Economics shows that the US GDP has grown 3.2% on average from 1947 until 2025.

Turning to the S&P 500, Cohen notes that the stock market’s abrupt reversal after falling to a low of 4,835 points in April is “unusual,” comparing the move to the rallies witnessed after the March 2020 Covid-induced collapse.

For now, the billionaire says it is within the realm of possibility for the S&P 500 to retrace by as much as 15% or just move sideways in the coming months.

“Markets don’t have to go up every year. Markets can go sideways and that’s perfectly normal.” 

As for the Federal Reserve, Cohen thinks that Chair Jerome Powell will keep interest rates steady to cushion the economy against tariff-induced shocks.

“They are going to be worried about inflation from tariffs.”

Cohen is not the only one to sound the alarm about the possibility of the US entering an economic recession. Last week, JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon said that a US economic downturn is something he wouldn’t take off the table at this point, even after the White House signed a trade truce with China last week.

Follow us on X, Facebook and Telegram

Don’t Miss a Beat – Subscribe to get email alerts delivered directly to your inbox

Check Price Action

Surf The Daily Hodl Mix

&nbsp

Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

Generated Image: Midjourney

Bitcoin RHODL Has Been Losing Momentum Recently

In a new post on X, analyst Checkmate has discussed about the latest trend in the RHODL Ratio of Bitcoin. The “Realized HODL (RHODL) Ratio” is an on-chain metric that calculates the ratio between any two given RHODL wave bands.

HODL wave bands keep track of the percentage of the total BTC supply that was last moved inside a given age range. The RHODL wave bands are a modified form of these, adding an additional weighting factor: the Realized Value.

Put simply, the Realized Value is the spot price at which a given token of the cryptocurrency was last transacted on the blockchain. That is, it’s the coin’s current cost basis.

As the RHODL wave band multiplies this metric with the amount of supply present within a given band, it tells us about the sum of cost bases of coins in that band. When the value of the indicator goes up for any particular band, it means the amount of capital invested into coins falling in the age range is rising.

In the context of the current topic, the RHODL Ratio of the 1 week and 1 to 2 years bands is of relevance. Below is the chart shared by the analyst, that shows the trend in this RHODL Ratio over the history of Bitcoin.

As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin RHODL Ratio for these wave bands shot up to a high level during the rally beyond $100,000 that took place last year. Such a trend implies the 1 week wave band, which corresponds to the fresh capital coming into the sector, grew large relative to the veteran 1 year to 2 years band.

From the chart, it’s apparent that an extreme rotation of capital into the 1 week wave band has historically coincided with bull run tops for the cryptocurrency’s price.

Since last year’s peak, the metric has been on the way down, which suggests the new demand for the asset is now slowing down. This is also visible in the momentum oscillator for the indicator attached by the analyst on the bottom, which just dipped into a zone that has played the role of the transition region between bullish and bearish trends in the past.

Considering the historical pattern, this development in the RHODL Ratio is certainly not the best for Bitcoin. It now remains to be seen whether the metric would continue its decline in the coming days, potentially signaling a transition away from a bull market, or if it will bounce back up.

BTC Price

Bitcoin made a retest of the $98,000 mark earlier today, but it appears the coin ended up finding rejection as its price is now down to $97,000.