Slowdown – Earlybirds Invest https://earlybirdsinvest.com Latest Crypto News Fri, 22 Aug 2025 03:19:31 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.9.7 https://i0.wp.com/earlybirdsinvest.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/cropped-New-Project-2024-12-17T235703.455.png?fit=32%2C32&ssl=1 Slowdown – Earlybirds Invest https://earlybirdsinvest.com 32 32 240146708 From Boom to Slowdown: Crypto Stocks Lose Steam After 500% Surge https://earlybirdsinvest.com/from-boom-to-slowdown-crypto-stocks-lose-steam-after-500-surge/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/from-boom-to-slowdown-crypto-stocks-lose-steam-after-500-surge/#respond Fri, 22 Aug 2025 03:19:31 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/from-boom-to-slowdown-crypto-stocks-lose-steam-after-500-surge/

Crypto equities, which had strongly outperformed Bitcoin over the past 18 months, are now showing signs of fatigue.

Amidst a broader market pullback, investors appear to be fleeing riskier corners of the market.

No IPO, No Catalyst

After a stellar 18-month run, crypto equities are beginning to lose momentum relative to Bitcoin, according to the latest report shared by Matrixport. The 10x Research Crypto Stocks Index surged as much as 500% during the period, far outpacing Bitcoin’s 117% gain.

However, recent corrections in key names like Strategy, Coinbase, and Metaplanet have pushed the index lower, which is now resting at 427%. Adding to the slowdown, Circle’s IPO, which was initially well-received, failed to sustain investor demand, which evidenced fading enthusiasm for new listings.

Institutional activity also appears subdued. This could be in part due to the seasonally weaker summer months, which have left the sector without strong catalysts. With no significant crypto IPOs on the immediate horizon, Matrixport believes that equities may enter a consolidation phase, even as Bitcoin maintains steadier performance.

Crypto equities faced another difficult session on August 20. In fact, today’s trading saw Strategy and Coinbase both retreat further in line with a broader risk-off mood. Coinbase (COIN) fell around 2% in early trading to $296 Strategy (MSTR) slipped even further, declining 2% to $330. USDC issuer, Circle (CRCL), also slid 3.62% to $130.34, and lost nearly $5 during the same period.

Cautious Market

Over the last 24 hours, the price of Bitcoin has decreased by 2% to a level slightly above $112,500, while Ethereum managed to recover from its nosedive and now sits at $4,300.

QCP Capital observed that all eyes are on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s upcoming remarks scheduled during this week’s Jackson Hole symposium, as his guidance will shape the direction of monetary policy amid the delicate balance between easing inflation and rising labor risks.

Despite positive developments in the crypto industry, such as the passage of the GENIUS Act and institutional adoption exceeding $100 billion, the recent sell-off indicates that short-term positioning remains fragile.

According to the firm, risk assets could experience further volatility if Powell delivers a hawkish message or if labor and inflation data come in stronger than expected.

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]]> https://earlybirdsinvest.com/from-boom-to-slowdown-crypto-stocks-lose-steam-after-500-surge/feed/ 0 54477 JPMorgan Warns Slowdown Gradually Seeping Up and Spreading Across US Economy Despite Job Growth Topping Estimates https://earlybirdsinvest.com/jpmorgan-warns-slowdown-gradually-seeping-up-and-spreading-across-us-economy-despite-job-growth-topping-estimates/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/jpmorgan-warns-slowdown-gradually-seeping-up-and-spreading-across-us-economy-despite-job-growth-topping-estimates/#respond Sun, 08 Jun 2025 20:13:23 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/jpmorgan-warns-slowdown-gradually-seeping-up-and-spreading-across-us-economy-despite-job-growth-topping-estimates/

Banking giant JPMorgan Chase warns that cracks are beginning to appear in various sectors of the US economy, even as the headlines remain upbeat.

In a new CNBC interview, JPMorgan chief global strategist David Kelly says that hard data is suggesting that the US economy is losing steam despite adding 139,000 jobs in May, beating expectations, and keeping the unemployment rate steady at 4.2%.

But under the hood, Kelly points out that the Labor Department revised down job gains in March and April, while noting that the US lost hundreds of thousands of jobs last month.

“This was a lot softer than the headlines suggested. To me, the one issue is that we saw over 600,000 jobs lost according to the Household Survey. That’s very volatile, but that was a negative signal.

The other thing is cutting 95,000 [jobs] out of the prior two months. 

So we’ve only averaged 124,000 jobs so far this year, per month, for the first five months of the year. It was 168,000 last year. 

When I’m looking at a lot of data, this slowdown is gradually seeping up and spreading across the economy. I think we’re missing it because we’re looking at headline payroll numbers or the weirdness in terms of trade and GDP. But this economy is gradually slowing down here.”

Data from the Pennsylvania-based lender PNC Bank shows that the number of adults working or looking for work dropped by 625,000 in May, effectively negating the number of jobs lost in the same month.

According to the bank, the labor force contraction may indicate that “potential workers are becoming discouraged.”

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]]> https://earlybirdsinvest.com/jpmorgan-warns-slowdown-gradually-seeping-up-and-spreading-across-us-economy-despite-job-growth-topping-estimates/feed/ 0 40905 Summer slowdown already starting? https://earlybirdsinvest.com/summer-slowdown-already-starting/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/summer-slowdown-already-starting/#respond Fri, 30 May 2025 17:35:37 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/summer-slowdown-already-starting/

Over the past few years, the SEC was going after crypto about as often (and annoyingly) as those calls about your car’s extended warranty.

Car's extended warranty meme

This year, tho’? Whole different vibe.

They’ve already done a lot to go from being crypto’s #1 hater to an agency that actually supports this industry. Quick recap:

  • Canceled SAB 121;

  • Launched a dedicated Crypto Task Force to figure out how to regulate crypto – properly;

  • Withdrew a bunch of lawsuits against crypto companies;

  • Confirmed memecoins aren’t securities;

  • Gave broker-dealers the approval to custody both crypto securities and non-securities;

  • Said they want to make it easier for companies to issue, trade, and settle tokenized securities.

And they’re not done. Here’s what they’ve been cooking lately:

SEC cooking

1/ Case closed

The SEC’s dropping their lawsuit against Binance – one of the last big crypto cases still standing from the Biden-era crackdown.

The filing says that the agency’s new Crypto Task Force could help resolve cases like this, and that dropping it was the right decision based on current policy.

Also worth noting: they want the case dismissed with prejudice, which means the SEC can’t bring it back.

2/ Staking ≠ securities

Proof-of-Stake (PoS) networks need people to stake their tokens to help run the network. Do it right, and you earn rewards – usually new tokens or a cut of transaction fees.

And the SEC used to argue that this looked suspiciously like investing in a security.

Why? Because users aren’t running the network themselves – they’re giving their tokens to someone else and expecting to earn money without doing anything.

But that was in the past.

Now, the SEC is saying that staking usually isn’t a securities offering.

If you’re staking directly, you’re doing the work. You’re helping the network and earning rewards for it.

That’s not the same as buying a stock and waiting for the price to go up.

Gavin thumbs up

The takeaway: rest easier, crypto people and companies.

You’re no longer at risk of getting sued just for mumbling “crypto” in your sleep.

In fact, with all the changes, there’s a decent chance you’ll actually thrive in the new regulatory environment.

Hopefully.

]]> https://earlybirdsinvest.com/summer-slowdown-already-starting/feed/ 0 39194 IMF Warns Negative Supply Shock Incoming, Forecasts ‘Significant Slowdown’ of Global Economy https://earlybirdsinvest.com/imf-warns-negative-supply-shock-incoming-forecasts-significant-slowdown-of-global-economy/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/imf-warns-negative-supply-shock-incoming-forecasts-significant-slowdown-of-global-economy/#respond Sun, 27 Apr 2025 17:35:32 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/imf-warns-negative-supply-shock-incoming-forecasts-significant-slowdown-of-global-economy/

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) is forecasting a downturn for the global economy, largely driven by tariff-induced uncertainties.

In its new World Economic Outlook Report, the IMF says that after enduring a “prolonged and unprecedented series of shocks,” the global economy appears to have stabilized.

However, the IMF says the world’s financial landscape now faces significant risks as “uncertainties have climbed to new highs” due to President Trump’s threat to impose historically high tariff rates.

Trump’s tariff agenda has prompted the IMF to revise “markedly” its forecasts for global growth compared to its last update in January.

“For this reason, we expect that the sharp increase on April 2 in both tariffs and uncertainty will lead to a significant slowdown in global growth in the near term. While this is our central scenario— or ‘reference forecast’ — many possible paths exist, reflecting the unpredictability surrounding future trade policy and the varied impact of tariffs across different countries through a diverse set of channels…

The common denominator, however, is that tariffs are a negative supply shock for the economy imposing them, as resources are reallocated toward the production of noncompetitive goods, with a resulting loss of aggregate productivity, lower activity, and higher production costs and prices. Moreover, in the medium term, by reducing competition, tariffs increase the market power of domestic producers, decrease incentives to innovate, and create multiple opportunities for rent seeking. For trading partners, tariffs constitute mostly a negative external demand shock, driving foreign customers away from their products, even if some countries could benefit from the rerouting of trade flows.”

In anticipation of potential disruptions, the IMF says it has revised down its projection for global trade growth by 1.5%, with a “slight recovery” forecasted for next year.

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]]> https://earlybirdsinvest.com/imf-warns-negative-supply-shock-incoming-forecasts-significant-slowdown-of-global-economy/feed/ 0 33121 Billionaire Ray Dalio Says He’s ‘Very Concerned’ About Trump Tariffs, Predicts Worldwide Economic Slowdown https://earlybirdsinvest.com/billionaire-ray-dalio-says-hes-very-concerned-about-trump-tariffs-predicts-worldwide-economic-slowdown/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/billionaire-ray-dalio-says-hes-very-concerned-about-trump-tariffs-predicts-worldwide-economic-slowdown/#respond Thu, 10 Apr 2025 08:07:08 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/billionaire-ray-dalio-says-hes-very-concerned-about-trump-tariffs-predicts-worldwide-economic-slowdown/

Iconic investor Ray Dalio is warning that US President Donald Trump’s tariff policies may cause a global economic slowdown.

In a new interview on CNBC, the Bridgewater Associates founder says he has serious concerns that increasing tariffs may wreak macroeconomic havoc at a time when the nation faces several other challenges.

“I agree with the problem. I am very concerned about the solution, the practicality of the solution. In other words, I think that this is going to create not only the problem, the capital markets problem that I’m talking about related to prices going up, costs going up, revenue going down and capital problem, but I also think that this is going to create great sand in the gears of production worldwide.

At the same time, I do agree that this interdependency, this issue of productivity in the world in which we have to be competitive and productive, and we’re not competitive in producing things is a longer-term problem, not an easy one. And I do expect that it is going to have political consequences. This is the nature of the cycle.”

Dalio also says the nation needs to address other systemic challenges, such as lowering the debt and reducing government spending.

“It is coming also at the same time as we have a budget issue. Now, the budget issue is a comparably important issue. So as we look ahead in the months ahead, we have to get the budget deficit down to 3% of gross domestic product. I worry about that at the same time as this is happening. These are not easy problems to solve. I’m concerned because the bigger problems exist, the debt exists. You can’t get around the debt. The overspending exists. You still have that. You still have that competitiveness issue. These have repeated throughout history. We’re in a period that’s very much like the 1930s.”

 

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]]> https://earlybirdsinvest.com/billionaire-ray-dalio-says-hes-very-concerned-about-trump-tariffs-predicts-worldwide-economic-slowdown/feed/ 0 30032 Pump Fun’s slowdown triggers 97% collapse in Solana network earnings https://earlybirdsinvest.com/pump-funs-slowdown-triggers-97-collapse-in-solana-network-earnings/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/pump-funs-slowdown-triggers-97-collapse-in-solana-network-earnings/#respond Thu, 20 Mar 2025 13:31:38 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/pump-funs-slowdown-triggers-97-collapse-in-solana-network-earnings/

Solana’s network revenue and decentralized exchange (DEX) volume have plummeted in recent months as the hype around memecoins fades.

This downturn is largely tied to the slowdown of Pump.fun, a major memecoin launchpad that once fueled a surge in network activity.

At the height of the memecoin craze in January, Solana’s weekly revenue peaked at $55.2 million as traders flooded the network. However, data from DeFiLlama shows a staggering 97% decline, with revenue falling to just $1.8 million this week—the lowest level since September 2024.

Solana Revenue
Solana Weekly Revenue (Source: DeFillama)

This revenue plunge follows a steep drop in trading volume. Solana’s weekly trading activity has tumbled from over $97 billion at its peak to just $5 billion, reflecting a cooling interest in speculative memecoins.

Solana Weekly DEX Volume
Solana Weekly DEX Volume (Source: DeFiLlama)

During January’s peak, Pump.fun facilitated the launch of 1.7 million tokens daily, with a small percentage successfully graduating to DEXs.

This intense activity generated millions in fees, contributing significantly to Solana’s revenue surge. However, as the memecoin hype cooled, Pump.fun saw a drastic decline in token launches.

The shift has been stark. Matthew Haddad of Omni Network pointed out that the platform recently recorded an entire 24-hour period without a single new token graduating—a major contrast to its frenzied activity just months ago.

Pump.Fun's Token Launches
Pump.Fun’s Tokens (Source: Dune Analytics)

This slowdown has directly impacted Pump.fun’s earnings, with weekly protocol fee revenue dropping to $3.8 million as of March 16, the lowest since September 2024, according to DeFiLlama.

Pump.Fun's Revenue
Pump.Fun’s Weekly Revenue (Source: DeFillama)
]]> https://earlybirdsinvest.com/pump-funs-slowdown-triggers-97-collapse-in-solana-network-earnings/feed/ 0 26217 Bitcoin reclaims $85k after Fed signals slowdown in quantitative tightening https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-reclaims-85k-after-fed-signals-slowdown-in-quantitative-tightening/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-reclaims-85k-after-fed-signals-slowdown-in-quantitative-tightening/#respond Thu, 20 Mar 2025 04:49:21 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-reclaims-85k-after-fed-signals-slowdown-in-quantitative-tightening/

Bitcoin (BTC) reclaimed the $85,000 threshold following the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) median forecast of 50 basis-point cuts in interest rates in 2025.

In addition to signaling potential rate cuts, the Federal Reserve announced plans to slow the pace of its balance sheet runoff, also known as quantitative tightening (QT), beginning April 1.

The monthly cap on Treasuries maturing without replacement will be reduced to $5 billion, down from the previous $25 billion limit. The announcement caused global markets across the board to surge, including crypto.

Bitcoin jumped from $84,235.71 to nearly $86,000 before settling at $85,363 as of press time, based on CryptoSlate data.

Despite Bitcoin’s nearly 2% price increase, not all major altcoins did not react as strongly. Ethereum (ETH) is priced at $2,039.11 after a 0.6% positive variation in the same period, and Cardano (ADA) secured a slight 0.5% growth.

Meanwhile, XRP and BNB showed virtually no price variation. However, Solana (SOL) crossed the $130 threshold and was trading at $133.55 as of press time.

 

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell emphasized that the decision should not be interpreted as a broader policy shift but rather as a technical adjustment to ensure smooth market functioning.

Fed’s rate path

The updated projections reveal a more cautious stance among FOMC members regarding the pace and extent of rate cuts. The median forecast brings the interest rate to approximately 3.9% by year-end.

Nine policymakers anticipate two cuts in 2025, down from 10 in December, while eight now expect only one or no cuts, an increase from four in the previous forecast. 

Meanwhile, two members foresee three cuts, a drop from five in December, and none project more than three rate reductions.

Longer-term expectations remain largely unchanged. The median forecast for the federal funds rate at the end of 2026 is 3.4%, while the 2027 projection is 3.1%. The Fed’s longer-run estimate of the neutral interest rate remains steady at 3%.

Moreover, the Fed’s latest economic forecasts indicate slow economic growth. The median 2025 GDP projection was revised downward to 1.7% from 2.1% in December. 

The unemployment rate forecast for 2025 has increased slightly to 4.4% from 4.3%, signaling expectations of modest labor market softening.

The central bank also adjusted inflation projections upward, expecting the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation rate to reach 2.7% in 2025, up from the previous 2.5% estimate. Core PCE inflation, which excludes food and energy, is projected to rise to 2.8%, compared to the earlier forecast of 2.5%.

Impact of tariffs

During his post-meeting press conference, Powell addressed concerns over inflationary pressures, particularly the impact of tariffs. 

He noted that a significant portion of recent inflation upticks could be attributed to tariff-related factors but stated that their long-term impact remains uncertain. 

Powell also described tariff-driven inflation as “transitory” but acknowledged the difficulty of assessing its effects. He reiterated that the Fed monitors economic data for any signs of weakness but emphasized that policymakers are not hurrying to cut rates. 

With persistent inflationary pressures and slowing economic growth, the Fed’s latest projections indicate a more measured approach to monetary policy adjustments. 

The central bank’s willingness to slow quantitative tightening while maintaining a cautious stance on rate cuts reflects a balancing act between sustaining economic stability and controlling inflation.

Bitcoin Market Data

At the time of press 9:12 pm UTC on Mar. 19, 2025, Bitcoin is ranked #1 by market cap and the price is up 4.21% over the past 24 hours. Bitcoin has a market capitalization of $1.7 trillion with a 24-hour trading volume of $32.82 billion. Learn more about Bitcoin ›

Crypto Market Summary

At the time of press 9:12 pm UTC on Mar. 19, 2025, the total crypto market is valued at at $2.8 trillion with a 24-hour volume of $97.98 billion. Bitcoin dominance is currently at 60.67%. Learn more about the crypto market ›

Mentioned in this article
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Posted In: Bitcoin, Cardano, Ethereum, Solana, XRP, US, Crypto, Featured, Macro, Market, Politics, Price Watch
]]> https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-reclaims-85k-after-fed-signals-slowdown-in-quantitative-tightening/feed/ 0 26154 Bitcoin Price Growth Mirrors Demand – On-Chain Metrics Show A Slowdown Since December https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-price-growth-mirrors-demand-on-chain-metrics-show-a-slowdown-since-december/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-price-growth-mirrors-demand-on-chain-metrics-show-a-slowdown-since-december/#respond Sun, 09 Feb 2025 00:03:53 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-price-growth-mirrors-demand-on-chain-metrics-show-a-slowdown-since-december/

Bitcoin is trading below the $100K mark after a rollercoaster of a week, marked by intense volatility and sustained selling pressure. Last Sunday, the cryptocurrency faced extreme market turbulence, dropping over 9% in less than 24 hours. While BTC managed a recovery bounce on Monday, the selling pressure has not subsided, leaving the market uncertain about its next direction.

Amid this turbulent price action, key metrics highlight a critical relationship between Bitcoin’s performance and demand growth. CryptoQuant’s Head of Research, Julio Moreno, shared insights on X, revealing that Bitcoin’s price return is closely tied to its demand growth. Moreno emphasized that slowing demand since early December has directly correlated with diminished returns, underscoring the crucial role of market participation in sustaining bullish momentum.

This observation sheds light on the current state of the market, where declining speculative appetite and weakening leveraged positions are contributing to choppy price action. As Bitcoin hovers below the $100K mark, both bulls and bears are locked in a battle for control, with demand growth serving as a pivotal factor in determining the cryptocurrency’s trajectory. With market participants closely monitoring these dynamics, the coming days could prove decisive for BTC’s short-term and long-term outlook.

Bitcoin Demand Declines As Investors Fear A Correction

Bitcoin has faced significant volatility and selling pressure since the start of February, sending ripples through the broader crypto market. Altcoins and meme coins, often more vulnerable during bearish trends, have experienced even sharper price drops, amplifying uncertainty among investors. Analysts are increasingly signaling a potential correction, citing tired bulls and bearish price action that hints at further declines.

Moreno provided key insights on X, linking Bitcoin’s price performance directly to demand growth. According to Moreno, Bitcoin’s price return closely follows the trajectory of its demand growth.

Since early December, demand growth has been slowing, which aligns with the weakening momentum in Bitcoin’s gains. Moreno emphasizes the importance of monitoring demand growth as a critical indicator to predict Bitcoin’s next rally.

Bitcoin price and apparent demand | Source: Julio Moreno on X
Bitcoin price and apparent demand | Source: Julio Moreno on X

Currently, Bitcoin’s price is hovering around $96K as bulls struggle to reclaim and hold the psychological $100K mark. This level is not only a critical point of resistance but also a major factor in determining short-term market sentiment.

Without a breakout above $100K, BTC remains vulnerable to additional selling pressure and a potential drop to lower demand zones. However, reclaiming this level and holding it as support would signal a shift in momentum, paving the way for a potential rally.

BTC Price Showing Indecision

Bitcoin is currently trading at $96,700 after several days of sideways price action between $100,000 and $95,600. The market appears stuck in a range, with no clear short-term direction as both bulls and bears struggle for control. Bulls lost their grip on momentum after the price fell below the crucial $100K level last Tuesday, and they have been unable to reclaim it since.

BTC struggling brlow $100K | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView
BTC struggling below $100K | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

The lack of upward movement has raised concerns among investors, as Bitcoin’s inability to break above $100K could signal growing weakness in the market. Meanwhile, bears have been applying consistent pressure, but they have yet to force the price below the critical $95K support level.

If Bitcoin drops below $95K in the coming days, a further decline into the $90K demand zone is likely. This would mark a significant bearish move and could lead to increased selling pressure as investors grow wary of a deeper correction.

However, if BTC can maintain its position above $95K, there is still potential for bulls to regain strength and push the price back toward the $100K mark. For now, the market remains uncertain, and traders are closely monitoring these key levels for signs of the next major move.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

]]> https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-price-growth-mirrors-demand-on-chain-metrics-show-a-slowdown-since-december/feed/ 0 18319