Shows – Earlybirds Invest https://earlybirdsinvest.com Latest Crypto News Sat, 13 Sep 2025 04:03:26 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.9.8 https://i0.wp.com/earlybirdsinvest.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/cropped-New-Project-2024-12-17T235703.455.png?fit=32%2C32&ssl=1 Shows – Earlybirds Invest https://earlybirdsinvest.com 32 32 240146708 Samsung Galaxy ‘3D capture’ shows up for an XR headset we don’t have yet https://earlybirdsinvest.com/samsung-galaxy-3d-capture-shows-up-for-an-xr-headset-we-dont-have-yet/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/samsung-galaxy-3d-capture-shows-up-for-an-xr-headset-we-dont-have-yet/#respond Sat, 13 Sep 2025 04:03:26 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/samsung-galaxy-3d-capture-shows-up-for-an-xr-headset-we-dont-have-yet/

What you need to know

  • Samsung was spotted rolling out an update for its Camera Assistant app on Galaxy that surprisingly mentions “3D capture” and its “Galaxy XR headset.”
  • The feature says users can “create spatial photos and videos for Galaxy XR headsets,” though it’s not working properly just yet.
  • A report from August claimed Samsung is preparing to debut its Project Moohan headset on September 29.

Samsung’s premium XR headset looks a little more real after a recent update to a Galaxy app adds surprising support.

A post by SamMobile highlights an update for Samsung’s Camera Assistant app on its Galaxy phones, which directly mentions “Galaxy XR headsets.” When activated, the publication discovered a floating banner on the phone’s viewfinder that says “3D capture.” Additionally, at the top, the app informs the user that there needs to be more light before it can take a “3D photo.”

In Camera Assistant’s settings, the 3D capture feature’s description reads, “Add a 3D capture option to the top of the preview so you can create spatial photos and videos for Galaxy XR headsets.”

While this seems exciting, the publication had to go through some hoops before it could even see the feature in this capacity. Reportedly, the update for Camera Assistant, v4.0.0.3, has only rolled out for the recent Galaxy S25 FE; however, it could only be activated after transferring the updated app to a Galaxy S25 Ultra.

The safest (and current) speculation is that Samsung is still finalizing this software in preparation for its XR headset.

Getting ready for Galaxy XR?


A recent Camera Assistant update for the Galaxy S25 FE surprisingly mentions "3D capture" and Samsung's Galaxy XR headset.

(Image credit: SamMobile)

The hype has been building for Samsung’s Galaxy XR headset, which we’ve known as Project Moohan for a while now. A report from the end of August out of South Korea claimed Samsung could announce Project Moohan on September 29. Speculation says the company could follow this up with a market launch in mid-October in South Korea before other markets.

Those same rumors add that Project Moohan could cost somewhere between “2.5 and 4 million won,” which roughly equates to $1,800–$2,800. Comparisons to Apple’s Vision Pro continue to be made, and it seems Samsung’s headset could see under the competition’s $3,500 price tag.

Google had Samsung’s Galaxy XR headset at its I/O event earlier this year, where Android Central had a chance to demo the product. The headset earned top marks for visuals and “natural” navigation across its apps. If Samsung is preparing to launch, we’re only a few weeks away from seeing it.

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Bitcoin Cycle Peak May Extend Into 2026, Decay Model Shows https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-cycle-peak-may-extend-into-2026-decay-model-shows/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-cycle-peak-may-extend-into-2026-decay-model-shows/#respond Sat, 06 Sep 2025 19:21:52 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-cycle-peak-may-extend-into-2026-decay-model-shows/ Bitcoin prices have dipped by over 10% since establishing a new all-time high (ATH) of $124,457 on August 14. As with all previous retracements after a new ATH, this recent correction has sparked much speculation on the market peak price.  The Bitcoin Decay Channel, a market prediction model, has provided insights into the potential market top price zones for the present cycle.

Bitcoin Decay Channel Hints At $200K–$290K Top, Tips Cycle To Extend To 2026

In an X post on September 5, a Bitcoin researcher with the X username Sminston With shares some important data from the Bitcoin Decay Channel on a potential peak price for the current market cycle.

For context, the Bitcoin Decay Channel is a long-term logarithmic regression model that attempts to map Bitcoin’s price cycles, specifically its historical peaks and bottoms, within statistically derived boundaries. This pricing model shows that while Bitcoin follows boom-and-bust patterns, its growth rate decays over time as each cycle delivers smaller percentage gains than the last.

Bitcoin

Notably, data from the Bitcoin Decay channel chart shows the premier cryptocurrency is steadily climbing within the 0.05 quantile support and upper bound resistance lines, with oscillations that mark historical overheated zones. The embedded oscillator suggests BTC is not yet at a euphoric peak, leaving room for further upside before a long-term top forms.

Based on more data, Sminston With explains that the present Bitcoin market cycle could see a price top between late 2025 and late 2026. If Bitcoin peaks in December 2025, the price range would sit between $205,000 and $230,000.  However, should the cycle extend into 2026, projections rise incrementally, i.e. $208,000-$235,000 by Jan 2026, $219,000–$250,000 by April 2026, $230,000-$265,000 by July 2026, $243,000-$282,000 by October 2026, and as high as $250,000–$292,000 by year-end 2026.

Regardless of which price top scenario, the Bitcoin Decay Channel presents a potential peak zone between $205,000 and $292,000 within the next 12-15 months. This presents a possible price gain of 86% in the base case and 167% in a bull case scenario.

Bitcoin Price Outlook

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $110,900, reflecting a 0.45% price increase in the past day. Meanwhile, weekly gains are now up by 2.89% showing a moderate recovery. Interestingly, Coincodex analysts are predicting the premier cryptocurrency to maintain this rebound, rising to $121,276 in five days. With a market cap of $2.2 trillion, Bitcoin remains the largest currency and fifth largest in the world. 

Bitcoin

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US tech stocks under pressure as AI growth shows signs of cooling https://earlybirdsinvest.com/us-tech-stocks-under-pressure-as-ai-growth-shows-signs-of-cooling/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/us-tech-stocks-under-pressure-as-ai-growth-shows-signs-of-cooling/#respond Sat, 30 Aug 2025 19:55:00 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/us-tech-stocks-under-pressure-as-ai-growth-shows-signs-of-cooling/

U.S. tech stocks came under pressure on Friday, driven by concerns about the rapid pace of investment in AI and a series of disappointing earnings reports in the semiconductor sector. The Nasdaq Composite fell 1.2%, closing out a week in which the tech-heavy index struggled to maintain recent highs.

Semiconductor sector hit hard

Among the notable tumblers, Marvell Technology plunged nearly 19%, resembling Bitcoin’s early days, after revealing that its data center revenue had failed to meet market expectations.

The stock was downgraded from “buy” to “neutral” by Bank of America in response to these earnings. Meanwhile, Nvidia, whose market capitalization makes it the largest listed semiconductor company globally, dropped 3.3% on Friday.

The company flagged ongoing uncertainty in its sales to China, largely due to U.S. export restrictions impacting its AI chips.

For the week, Nvidia shares fell 2.1%, marking their steepest weekly decline since May. Broader weakness in chipmakers dragged the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index to its lowest point since mid-April.

The S&P 500 also retreated, down 0.6% for its largest single-day drop of the month, though it still managed to finish August up 1.9%. The tech stocks selling is likely attributed to investors taking profits near month-end, especially after a hot August when technology shares led markets to record levels.

Tech stocks overheated and China uncertainties loom

Despite the hundreds of billions of dollars of investment already poured into data centers fueling generative AI projects like ChatGPT, actual revenues in this space remain relatively modest.

According to Morgan Stanley, generative AI products from major cloud providers such as Amazon, Microsoft, and Google brought in about $45 billion last year.

Marvell, a key supplier of custom semiconductors to these companies, has faced additional headwinds, including trade tensions and questions around its growth prospects. Its shares, which had previously surged on the AI hardware boom, have slumped more than 40% since the beginning of 2025.

Nvidia, meanwhile, awaits clarification from the U.S. government regarding a deal to resume H20 chip exports to China, with the administration set to collect a revenue share from those sales.

Chinese authorities have discouraged local firms from buying Nvidia’s technology, ramping up efforts to support domestic alternatives. Cambricon, a leading Chinese AI chipmaker, recently posted record profits and claimed advancements that bring its products closer to Nvidia’s standards, sending its stock price soaring.

Shares in U.S.-based Super Micro Computer, a vital part of Nvidia’s supply chain, fell 5.5% after reporting internal accounting challenges.

Bitcoin price slumps further into the weekend

While tech stocks and AI-linked companies face their own market turbulence, Bitcoin has not been immune to broader risk-off sentiment.

Bitcoin’s price fell below $108,000 on Saturday, heading into the weekend, down nearly 7% for the week and at its lowest point since July.

Selling has accelerated as investors react to persistent uncertainty around U.S. monetary policy, sticky inflation, and weakening labor market data.

Mentioned in this article
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Bitcoin dives as on-chain data shows all cohorts currently on sale https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-dives-as-on-chain-data-shows-all-cohorts-currently-on-sale/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-dives-as-on-chain-data-shows-all-cohorts-currently-on-sale/#respond Tue, 26 Aug 2025 08:37:20 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-dives-as-on-chain-data-shows-all-cohorts-currently-on-sale/ Keshav is currently a senior writer at NewsBTC and has been attached to the website since June 14th, 2021.

Keshav has written for many years, first as a lover and later as a freelancer. He has worked in various niches and even fiction at some point, but the cryptocurrency industry was the longest he’s obsessed with.

Regarding official educational qualifications, Keshav holds a bachelor’s degree in physics from Delhi University (DU), one of India’s best labs. He eventually began his degree with the aim of creating a career in physics, but the onset of Covid led to a change in his plan. The virus meant that university classes had to be offered online mode, making it a free time for him to explore other passions.

Initially, Keshav, who wanted to make money on beer, unexpectedly landed a client offering real projects, but then never looked back. Writing was something he always enjoyed, and being able to do it for a living was like a dream.

Keshav received his degree in physics in 2022 and has since focused on his writing career, but that doesn’t mean that his passion for physics is over. He plans to eventually re-enter the university to earn a master’s degree in the same field, but perhaps only to fulfill his own interests, rather than using it as a means of finding employment.

Since starting to descend Rabbit Hole in 2020, Keshav has discovered blockchain and its concepts are fascinating. In particular, on-chain analysis is something he likes to study more.

As it is a science background, Keshav likes when concepts are clear and consistent, so he generally explains the indicators he speaks in a bit more detail so that readers can come up with what they understand and learn.

As for hobbies, Keshav is very interested in soccer, anime and video games. He enjoys playing soccer not only as a watcher but also as a player. In the case of games, Keshav generally tends to enjoy single-player adventures, with EA FC (formerly FIFA) being the only online game he is active in. Perhaps due to his super focus on the game, he is today a semi-pro for the EA FC scene, regularly taking part in tournaments and sometimes regaining bounties.

Due to his enthusiasm for anime and games, he also self-learned Japanese to consume some of the untranslated gems. The skills were simply not left as a hobby. He fulfilled some of his Japanese-to-English translation jobs, placing it in productive use during his quest for small gigs at the start of Covid.

Keshav also has become a major part of his program as he has grown into fitness and agility and acceleration-related training are related to football. In addition to that, he also has a more traditional strength-based program for the gym. This is done to maintain his overall fitness level.

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Bitcoin SOPR shows consistent profit realization despite price pullback https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-sopr-shows-consistent-profit-realization-despite-price-pullback/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-sopr-shows-consistent-profit-realization-despite-price-pullback/#respond Thu, 21 Aug 2025 01:44:14 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-sopr-shows-consistent-profit-realization-despite-price-pullback/ Bitcoin is trading just above $113,000, with realized cap rising steadily and spending activity led overwhelmingly by coins younger than three months. Profit realization remains positive, short-term holders hover around breakeven, and older supply shows little sign of distribution.

Bitcoin closed Aug. 20 at $113,599, marking a 7.9% drop in the past week, a 3.3% decline over 30 days, but still a 1.7% gain across 90 days. Spot turnover has cooled: notional volume averaged $2.68 billion per day over the past week, below the 30-day average of $2.88 billion. The moderation in activity follows weaker weekly performance but doesn’t necessarily reflect panic selling, as on-chain flows suggest orderly profit realization rather than stress.

The realized cap, a measure of the aggregate cost basis of all coins in circulation, stands at $1.04 trillion. Over the last seven days, it added $8.98 billion; across the past 30 days, it rose by $34.85 billion. These gains line up almost exactly with net realized profit and loss.

NRPL shows a seven-day sum of $8.59 billion and a 30-day sum of $33.25 billion. The small residual gaps ($0.39 billion over 7 days and $1.60 billion over 30 days) match the dollar value of new issuance from block rewards.

At current subsidy rates of 3.125 BTC per block, roughly 450 BTC enter circulation daily, worth about $366 million across 7 days and $1.58 billion across 30 days at recent prices. This reconciliation shows that realized-cap growth is explained entirely by realized gains and miner issuance, with no unexplained distortions in the ledger.

Bitcoin Net Realized Profit and Loss (NRPL)
Bitcoin’s NRPL from July 20 to Aug. 19, 2025 (Source: CryptoQuant)

SOPR metrics confirm the picture of steady profit-taking without signs of distress. Adjusted SOPR is at 1.028; its seven-day average is 1.033. Across the last 30 days, it closed above 1 every single day, meaning aggregate spending consistently happened in profit.

 

Bitcoin Adjusted SOPR (aSOPR)
aSOPR from July 20 to Aug. 19, 2025 (Source: CryptoQuant)

Short-term holder SOPR sits at 0.995, with a seven-day average at 1.002 and 24 of the last 30 days closing above 1. This reflects marginal breakeven conditions for recent buyers, some selling at cost and some at a small gain.

Bitcoin Short Term Holder SOPR
STH-SOPR from July 20 to Aug. 19, 2025 (Source: CryptoQuant)

In contrast, the long-term holder SOPR is far higher at 1.718, with all 30 of the last 30 days above 1 and an average of 2.21. The long-term supply that does move is doing so at very high profit multiples, consistent with periodic trimming rather than broad exits.

Bitcoin Long Term Holder SOPR (2)
LTH-SOPR from July 20 to Aug. 19, 2025 (Source: CryptoQuant)

Spent output age band data shows the dominance of young coin churn. On Aug. 19, 94.95% of all spent outputs came from coins younger than three months. Within that, same-day churn was the largest component, with 0–1 day coins making up 83.27% of the total, followed by 1–7 day coins at 7.49%. The 1–3 month band contributed only 1.42%. Coins between three and twelve months old made up 2.97% of spent supply, while coins older than one year accounted for just 2.08%. Over the past seven days, the younger-than-three-month share averaged 95.98%, with older-than-one-year coins averaging 1.95%. Over the past 30 days, the split was even more tilted, with young coins averaging 97.14% and older supply just 1.41%. The implication is that nearly all turnover comes from highly liquid recent supply, not long-dormant coins.

Bitcoin Spent Output Age Bands
Bitcoin’s spend output age bands from July 20 to Aug. 19, 2025 (Source: CryptoQuant)

The lack of long-term holder distribution is reinforced by coin days destroyed. CDD stands near 15.6 million, in line with its 30-day mean, with no outlier spikes exceeding two standard deviations over the past 180 days. Historically, large bursts of CDD signal movement of very old supply into the market, often preceding distribution phases. Their absence suggests older coins remain dormant despite profitable conditions.

Bitcoin Coin Days Destroyed (CDD)
Bitcoin’s CDD from July 20 to Aug. 19, 2025 (Source: CryptoQuant)

NUPL, at 0.537, with a 30-day average of 0.561, continues to place the market in the Belief/Denial zone. This means a large share of supply is held in profit, consistent with ongoing profit-taking and supply turnover without broad capitulation. The 30-day data for NUPL is low frequency, so it is better treated as a regime gauge than a short-term oscillator. Still, the reading signals that most coins are comfortably in the money.

Bitcoin Net Unrealized Profit_Loss (NUPL)
Bitcoin’s NUPL from July 20 to Aug. 19, 2025 (Source: CryptoQuant)

Correlation analysis sharpens the distinction between flows. Over the past 90 days, the strongest link to returns is short-term holder SOPR, with a correlation of +0.36. Adjusted SOPR shows only a weak positive link at +0.05, while long-term holder SOPR is nearly uncorrelated at +0.01.

This matches the age-band data: short-term cost bases are where price action is most sensitive. Older supply moves have been marginal and not price-determining in recent months. Analysis showed similarly weak correlations between returns and NRPL (+0.08), CDD (−0.03), and spot volume (−0.13), reinforcing the conclusion that short-term profitability dominates marginal flows.

The data shows a market in distribution without stress. Price performance has cooled, and volume is down slightly, but realized cap is rising in line with issuance-adjusted realized profits. Profit-taking is steady, STH SOPR balances near breakeven, and long-term SOPR shows occasional high-profit sales without broad exits. Nearly all activity is driven by recent coins, with old supply quiet and no spikes in CDD. This combination points to rotation within the active float rather than a structural exit of deep supply.

In the next few days, the focal point will be whether the short-term holder SOPR maintains its delicate balance above 1. A decisive shift below 1 across several consecutive days would signal that recent buyers are capitulating, which historically accelerates drawdowns. As of now, the data shows stability: new supply is digested, profits are crystallized, but stress is absent.

The post Bitcoin SOPR shows consistent profit realization despite price pullback appeared first on CryptoSlate.

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XRP Chatter Reaches Ride-Share Drivers — Small Survey Shows Mixed Results https://earlybirdsinvest.com/xrp-chatter-reaches-ride-share-drivers-small-survey-shows-mixed-results/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/xrp-chatter-reaches-ride-share-drivers-small-survey-shows-mixed-results/#respond Sun, 17 Aug 2025 06:58:24 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/xrp-chatter-reaches-ride-share-drivers-small-survey-shows-mixed-results/

A wave of anecdotes from industry figures and onlookers has pushed XRP into everyday talk in some circles, but the picture is mixed.

Related Reading

According to a recent podcast episode featuring several crypto commentators, guests flagged “mania signals” as a way to spot when an asset is going mainstream.

Some guests said they are now hearing XRP mentioned in casual settings, while others point to counterexamples that suggest the trend is not universal.

Uber Drivers Talk Crypto

Based on reports from the Unchained podcast and social posts, one guest said they had taken multiple Uber rides where drivers were trading XRP.

That comment was later amplified on social media, with others sharing similar encounters.

Reports have disclosed that another well-known community figure said Uber drivers in Nevada and Michigan even recognized him as “that XRP lawyer guy” after his advocacy in the Ripple–SEC case. Those anecdotes add color to claims of growing retail chatter.

Small Survey Finds Little Uptake

A separate, small experiment tested the idea directly. A commentator took 25 Uber rides in Ontario and asked each driver whether they held XRP.

Most drivers were confused or said they did not own any crypto. One driver reported holding XRP, having bought at $1.67, and said they planned to hold long-term.

Based on that sample, the experiment’s author concluded that the “Uber driver” story is overstated, or that early buyers may have already cashed out.

XRPUSD currently trading at $3.13. Chart: TradingView

Retail Buzz Versus Real Adoption

Analysts differ on what these encounters mean. According to a Bloomberg ETF analyst cited in reports, institutional demand for a possible XRP ETF may start modest while retail interest could be greater.

Other researchers in the community argue that institutions might be quietly building positions even if many retail investors remain unaware.

Both lines of argument can be true at once: pockets of strong recognition can exist while broad adoption lags behind.

Anecdotes Need Hard Data

What matters next is measurable breadth. Watchers say to track search trends, wallet activity, and consistent reports from many cities rather than isolated meetings.

Related Reading

If mentions of XRP keep appearing across unrelated places, that would be stronger evidence. For now, though, the mix of big-signal stories and low-hit surveys means the claim of wide mainstream recognition is still unproven.

These first-hand accounts are compelling because they are simple and human. They make a tidy headline and spark debate online.

Reports so far say they are not yet a substitute for consistent, verifiable data. Some people are clearly talking about XRP in daily life. But the jury is still out on whether that talk has crossed into broad mainstream awareness.

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

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How to create an address not only shows the BTC balance, but instead shows Satoshi balance? https://earlybirdsinvest.com/how-to-create-an-address-not-only-shows-the-btc-balance-but-instead-shows-satoshi-balance/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/how-to-create-an-address-not-only-shows-the-btc-balance-but-instead-shows-satoshi-balance/#respond Sat, 16 Aug 2025 22:45:10 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/how-to-create-an-address-not-only-shows-the-btc-balance-but-instead-shows-satoshi-balance/

As everyone knows, one bitcoin is 1000000 Satoshi.

So, for example, 1234567890123 Satoshi is 1234.567890123 Bitcoin.

When pointing to a regular web browser with https://blockchain.info/q/addressbalance/1a1zp1ep5qgefi2dmptftl5slmv7divfna

10297591076

When doing the same with https://blockchair.com/bitcoin/address/1a1zp1ep5qgefi2dmptftl5slmv7divfna, that reply

Main Balance + 102.97591076 BTC

Therefore, the reaction you are seeing is in Sato’s integer unit.

Just do floating point splitting of blockchain answers at 108 To get the decimal answer if that’s what you’re looking for.

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Bitcoin Data Shows Accumulation Prevails As LTH Selling Pressure Eases https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-data-shows-accumulation-prevails-as-lth-selling-pressure-eases/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-data-shows-accumulation-prevails-as-lth-selling-pressure-eases/#respond Sat, 16 Aug 2025 08:17:39 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-data-shows-accumulation-prevails-as-lth-selling-pressure-eases/

Bitcoin is trading at a decisive point after recently setting new all-time highs, but momentum appears to be shifting. Despite briefly pushing past $120,000, BTC failed to sustain levels above its record, and the breakout above ATH remains unconfirmed. This lack of follow-through has fueled bearish speculation, with some analysts warning that the market could be facing increased downside risk in the short term.

Related Reading

At the same time, on-chain data paints a more constructive picture for long-term stability. According to the latest insights, the Long-Term Holder (LTH) cohort—those holding Bitcoin between six months and two years—has significantly increased its supply. Since April, when BTC was trading at $83,000, their holdings have grown from 3.551 million BTC to 5.191 million BTC, a remarkable increase of 1.64 million BTC.

This accumulation suggests strong conviction among seasoned investors, even as short-term volatility challenges the market. While traders focus on whether Bitcoin can reclaim $120,000 and establish a firm breakout, the ongoing buildup by long-term holders reinforces the broader bullish structure. The clash between short-term weakness and long-term strength will likely define Bitcoin’s next major move.

Bitcoin Long-Term Holders Signal Strength

According to top analyst Axel Adler, Bitcoin’s latest test of the all-time high at $118,000 showed a very different behavior compared to past cycles. During this move, long-term holders (LTHs) who have been holding coins between six months and two years engaged in some profit-taking. Data reveals their seven-day average spending climbed to 20,000 BTC. However, this level is far below the typical distribution spikes of previous cycles, where spending often surged to between 40,000 and 70,000 BTC.

Bitcoin LTH Supply and Spend | Source: Axel Adler
Bitcoin LTH Supply and Spend | Source: Axel Adler

This more moderate selling activity suggests that the conviction among long-term holders remains strong. Rather than aggressively taking profits, many are choosing to continue accumulating or simply holding their positions. Adler highlights that accumulation still outweighs distribution, reflecting confidence in the market’s future direction. Such behavior from experienced participants typically signals a healthier, more sustainable bull phase, where selling pressure is absorbed without disrupting the broader uptrend.

Despite this encouraging backdrop, Bitcoin faces a crucial technical test. To confirm the strength of the latest move, BTC needs to decisively push above the $125,000 level. A breakout beyond this resistance would likely validate the resilience shown by long-term holders and open the path toward further price discovery.

If bulls succeed, the combination of institutional demand, long-term accumulation, and reduced selling pressure could drive the next major rally. Conversely, failure to reclaim $125,000 in the near term might give bears room to test lower levels before the next leg up.

Related Reading

Testing Support After ATH Rejection

Bitcoin’s 4-hour chart shows price retreating after a sharp rejection near $123,200, just below the recent all-time high at $124,000. Following this failed breakout attempt, BTC has slipped back toward $117,300, where it is currently holding above the key confluence of the 100 and 200 moving averages.

BTC testing key demand levels | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView
BTC testing key demand levels | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

This zone between $116,900 and $117,600 is acting as immediate support. A decisive breakdown here could expose further downside toward $115,000. However, the moving averages continue to slope upward, reflecting an underlying bullish structure despite the short-term weakness.

Related Reading

The repeated rejection at $123,000–$124,000 highlights the importance of this resistance. Bulls will need to reclaim this zone with conviction to confirm momentum and extend the uptrend toward higher levels. Until then, the market remains in a consolidation phase, with traders closely watching if support at the $117K region holds.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

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Bitcoin Holds Strong Near All-Time High – Market Not Overheated Yet, Data Shows https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-holds-strong-near-all-time-high-market-not-overheated-yet-data-shows/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-holds-strong-near-all-time-high-market-not-overheated-yet-data-shows/#respond Sun, 10 Aug 2025 08:47:49 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-holds-strong-near-all-time-high-market-not-overheated-yet-data-shows/

Bitcoin is holding firm above the $115,000 level after several days of trading below it, signaling renewed strength in the market. The bullish tone is building as Ethereum posts massive gains and altcoins begin to show strong moves over the past few days. For some analysts, this could be the start of the long-awaited altseason; for others, it’s simply the rest of the market catching up to Bitcoin’s earlier rally.

Related Reading

Top analyst Axel Adler noted that Bitcoin’s price is now trading close to its all-time high, with the BTC Z-Score (Price, 30/365) sitting around +1.5σ above its one-year norm. This reading is well below the +2.5σ level typically associated with overheating, suggesting that while momentum is strong, it is not yet at extreme levels. The current environment offers a favorable backdrop for potential upside, with room for the market to expand further before reaching overheated conditions.

With altcoins gaining traction and Ethereum’s rally adding fuel to the market’s optimism, the coming days could determine whether this is a sustainable breakout or just another phase of consolidation before the next major move.

On-Chain Activity Still Lags Behind Price

According to Adler, Bitcoin’s current market setup is showing a positive backdrop but with some important caveats. Adler points out that the Adjusted Price Divergence (APD) remains negative near −1.5 after rebounding from local lows around −2. This metric suggests that Bitcoin’s price is still outpacing on-chain activity, although the gap between the two is narrowing. In other words, while price momentum is firm, the network’s transactional activity and usage haven’t yet fully caught up.

Bitcoin Activity-Price Divergence | Source: CryptoQuant
Bitcoin Activity-Price Divergence | Source: CryptoQuant

This discrepancy creates an interesting dynamic for the market. Adler explains that the bias still favors price, meaning momentum is being driven more by investor positioning and sentiment than by on-chain fundamentals. For the rally to gain more structural support, a healthier setup would see APD move toward zero. This could happen in one of two ways: either network activity increases significantly while price moves sideways or posts modest gains, or Bitcoin’s price cools off to better align with current usage levels.

Importantly, Adler warns against interpreting APD moving toward zero as a direct buy or sell signal. Instead, it represents a sign of normalization — a point where market price and underlying network fundamentals are better aligned. For now, Bitcoin’s technical and macro backdrop remains bullish, but sustained long-term growth will likely require the network to catch up with price action.

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Bitcoin Price Holds Key Support Near $115K

Bitcoin is consolidating above the $115,724 support level after a brief dip below it earlier this month. The daily chart shows price stabilizing just above the 50-day simple moving average (SMA), currently near $113,324, which has acted as a strong dynamic support throughout the recent uptrend. The short-term structure remains bullish, with BTC trading inside a range between $115,724 support and the $122,077 resistance level.

BTC testing key liquidity level | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView
BTC testing key liquidity level | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

Volume has tapered off slightly since the early August rebound, suggesting the market is in a wait-and-see mode before a potential breakout. A decisive close above $118,000 could invite another test of the $122,077 resistance, a key level that has capped upside attempts multiple times. If broken, this could open the door toward new all-time highs.

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On the downside, losing $115,724 would shift focus to the 100-day SMA at $108,983 as the next major support. Until then, the higher-lows pattern suggests buyers are defending the mid-$115K zone aggressively.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

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New Data Shows 4 in 10 Brits Never Recover Money Lost After Falling Victim to Scams https://earlybirdsinvest.com/new-data-shows-4-in-10-brits-never-recover-money-lost-after-falling-victim-to-scams/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/new-data-shows-4-in-10-brits-never-recover-money-lost-after-falling-victim-to-scams/#respond Mon, 04 Aug 2025 07:49:53 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/new-data-shows-4-in-10-brits-never-recover-money-lost-after-falling-victim-to-scams/

40% of Brits who have been victims of frauds or scams in the last year haven’t been able to recover the money lost as a result, highlighting the urgent need for fraud-resistant payment methods, a new survey has revealed. 

As open banking emerges as a viable safeguard for merchants and financial institutions, research from Pay by Bank provider Yaspa shows consumers lose £765 on average to scams, with the average percentage of lost funds recovered sitting at 34%.

In the last 12 months, 16% of Brits who have experienced fraud or scams have lost between £250 and £500, while 1 in 10 have lost between £500 and £1000. Survey data revealed that the average financial loss for men was £943 – significantly higher than women, whose average came in at £476.

Younger people lost less on average, with 16-24 year olds losing an average of £284 in scams and fraudulent activity, while all other age groups lost between £750 and £900 on average. This could be in part due to younger people being more technologically savvy than their older counterparts, or that they would have less disposable income to part with. 

Financial losses were also higher in Northern Ireland, with the average amount of money lost due to fraud in the last 12 months being £2290, followed by the North East at £1337, Wales at £1285 and Greater London at £1151. 

 

The nationally representative survey found 35% of respondents were a victim of fraud in the last 12 months – an estimated equivalent of around 17.5 million people. Over half of Brits (54%) said they believe it is easier to scam people today than 5 years ago, compared to just 19% of respondents who disagreed and felt it is harder to do so, while 70% of respondents said they are concerned about them or a loved one becoming a victim of fraud in the next 12 months. 

According to the survey, it was online mediums that ranked the highest for the ‘most common’ occurrences of fraudulent activity, with online shopping scams, phishing emails, and Facebook Marketplace scams considered the most common according to respondents. 

Investment scams, AI or deep fake scams, and unlicensed gambling operators also ranked highly, with nearly a quarter of Brits (24%) stating they believe ticket buying for concerts and sporting events is the most common platform for fraudulent activity or scams.

When asked if the government and its agencies were doing enough to protect consumers from fraudulent activity, nearly 40% didn’t agree. Almost 1 in 2 (49%) shared that the primary responsibility for protecting consumers sits with the government, while 44% felt it should be the responsibility of banks and financial institutions. Just over a third (38%) believed responsibility should sit with the police, 37% said technology and social media companies, while 26% felt it lay with the individual. 

Nearly a third of those surveyed (33%) shared they felt the solution to tackle fraudulent activity was in improved technology for better detection. 

Highlighting Pay by Bank as an alternative technology to reduce the risk of financial loss as a result of fraud, Amie Kadhim from Yaspa shares: “Push payment fraud is one of the most damaging types of fraud today – and once the money’s gone, it’s rarely recovered. Scammers exploit the trust people place in bank transfers, highlighting the urgent need for better safeguards.

“With a background in card acquiring, I’ve seen how Pay by Bank offers a more secure alternative. Open banking, the technology behind it, moves money directly between accounts using strong customer authentication, without exposing sensitive card details or leaving gaps for fraudsters.

“With a third of respondents saying technology for fraud detection could be the best way to protect consumers against scams, other technological innovations in the payments sector could also be effective in fighting against these crimes.

As fraud tactics evolve, we must stay ahead with smarter and more secure technology – and help consumers understand which payment methods truly offer better protection. Pay by Bank does exactly that.”

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