Shock – Earlybirds Invest https://earlybirdsinvest.com Latest Crypto News Wed, 10 Sep 2025 13:18:45 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.9.7 https://i0.wp.com/earlybirdsinvest.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/cropped-New-Project-2024-12-17T235703.455.png?fit=32%2C32&ssl=1 Shock – Earlybirds Invest https://earlybirdsinvest.com 32 32 240146708 Bitcoin jumps to $113k as US producer prices shock with surprise August drop https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-jumps-to-113k-as-us-producer-prices-shock-with-surprise-august-drop/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-jumps-to-113k-as-us-producer-prices-shock-with-surprise-august-drop/#respond Wed, 10 Sep 2025 13:18:45 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-jumps-to-113k-as-us-producer-prices-shock-with-surprise-august-drop/

US producer prices fell in August, reinforcing a weaker inflation outlook just a day after major revisions showed US employment levels overstated by nearly one million jobs.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the Producer Price Index declined 0.1 percent on the month, below forecasts for a 0.4 percent increase. Core PPI also fell 0.1 percent, with annual readings slowing to 2.8 percent from 3.4 percent in July.

US PPI data (Source: Trading Economics)
US PPI data (Source: Trading Economics)

The release follows last week’s data showing August nonfarm payrolls added only 22,000 positions, while unemployment rose to 4.3 percent. A separate benchmark revision revealed total employment had been overstated by 911,000 jobs, bringing the cumulative downward adjustment over the past year to 1.5 million.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the corrections showed the Federal Reserve maintained restrictive policy based on incomplete data.

Average hourly earnings rose 0.3 percent on the month and 3.7 percent from a year earlier, matching forecasts.

Combined with revised productivity figures showing a 3.3 percent gain in the second quarter and unit labor costs up just 1 percent, the inflation backdrop has eased. Still, services inflation remains firm, with the ISM prices index near 69 in August.

Markets rallied on the softer PPI print, viewing it as support for Federal Reserve rate cuts at the September policy meeting.

Bitcoin rose 1.1 percent to $113,449, while Ethereum gained 1.2 percent to $4,372. The S&P 500 climbed 0.34 percent to $654, extending earlier gains as investors priced in easier financial conditions.

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Ethereum Staking Hits Record 36 Million ETH, Driving Structural Supply Shock https://earlybirdsinvest.com/ethereum-staking-hits-record-36-million-eth-driving-structural-supply-shock/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/ethereum-staking-hits-record-36-million-eth-driving-structural-supply-shock/#respond Wed, 27 Aug 2025 22:17:24 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/ethereum-staking-hits-record-36-million-eth-driving-structural-supply-shock/

Ethereum (ETH) staking levels continue to break records, with the latest snapshot of the blockchain showing nearly 36.1 million ETH staked on the network – the highest level in history.

Ethereum Staking Hits New ATH, Will Price Follow?

According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor XWIN Research Japan, close to one-third of Ethereum’s circulating supply is now staked. This high proportion suggests that ETH may be on the verge of a structural supply shock.

Related Reading

The following chart shared by the analyst shows that even during sharp corrections in 2022 and 2023, staking levels continued to climb. Unlike speculative flows, which often exit the market during downturns, staking activity has proven “sticky” – with investors choosing to lock ETH into the network rather than liquidate.

ethereum
Source: CryptoQuant

Staking ETH carries several key implications. First, it compresses supply – as more ETH is staked, less liquid supply remains on exchanges, creating a natural “supply shock” that amplifies demand-driven price moves.

Similarly, it shows the priorities of investors. By staking ETH, investors essentially work as long-term participants. In this way, they align their incentives with network security and yield instead of short-term trading.

ETH’s recent rally to $4,500 also coincided with record staking levels, creating a feedback loop – higher prices attracted institutional inflows from custodians, exchange-traded funds (ETG), and whales, while reduced liquid supply added further upward pressure.

ETH’s Transition Into An Institutional Asset

ETH ETFs now hold more than $300 billion in reserves, while asset managers such as BlackRock are actively accumulating. This underscores Ethereum’s transition from a speculative asset to a yield-bearing, institutionally supported infrastructure layer.

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U.S.-based spot ETH ETFs also enjoyed a long streak of positive inflows, lasting from the week ending May 16 through the week ending August 15. Commenting on this shift, XWIN Research Japan noted:

Ethereum’s all-time-high staking levels reveal its underlying strength: while Bitcoin faces selling dominance in taker metrics, ETH is experiencing structural supply reduction. This divergence highlights Ethereum’s growing role not just as a crypto asset, but as the backbone of tokenization, DeFi, and RWA adoption.

Similar sentiments were recently echoed by Tom Lee, the co-founder of Fundstrat Global Advisors. Lee noted that ETH is getting closer to becoming the backbone of global markets.

That said, some risks remain. For instance, ETH price is still lagging despite ATH in daily network transactions. At the time, the analyst said that ETH was likely still in the accumulation phase.

Similarly, the recent price pullback in ETH after creating a new ATH over $4,900 shows how recurring liquidation cycles are shaping ETH’s price action every week. At press time, ETH trades at $4,606, up 2.5% in the past 24 hours.

ethereum
Ethereum trades at $4,606 on the daily chart | Source: ETHUSDT on TradingView.com

Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com

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XRP domination sends shock waves through the financial system https://earlybirdsinvest.com/xrp-domination-sends-shock-waves-through-the-financial-system/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/xrp-domination-sends-shock-waves-through-the-financial-system/#respond Wed, 13 Aug 2025 18:04:40 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/xrp-domination-sends-shock-waves-through-the-financial-system/

Recent courts have ruled XRP It has proven to be more than just a legitimate victory for Ripple. What began as a legal battle for the High Stakes has evolved into a precedent setting moment that challenges long-standing interpretations of securities law. The impact of the verdict is now felt throughout the global market, forcing institutions to reassess their involvement with digital assets.

How a Verdict sets a crypto precedent

with x postJohn Forster pointed out that it was recently. Arbitration With XRP, it was more than a legal victory, but it was a structural shock to the current foundation of the financial system. Count concluded that XRP, in certain contexts, does not set legal precedents that can change the way financial infrastructure is built, categorized and regulated, as in security.

Related readings

However, this is a precedent with widespread meaning and this rule changes Legal A conversation by increasing functional utilities and transactional objectives on top of the narrow lens of historical funding in determining asset classifications.

Experts say the shift threatens to not disrupt the control of payment railways for on/off lamps, which have long been the cornerstone of legacy bank Model. XRP was never designed as a speculative asset from the beginning, but it was built as an infrastructure.

Additionally, tokens designed for settlement, liquidity and operational efficiency now operate outside the traditional gatekeeping structures of Wall Street. By offering instant payments, minimum transaction fees and compliance-grade protocols, XRP has established itself as a reliable alternative to Swift for cross-border payments and liquidity management.

In traditional banks, the entities controlling the underlying transaction rail effectively determine the flow of value and maintain strategic highlands. Enforcement action against XRP was not about protection Investors and details on maintaining regulation and institutional control over these key mechanisms of value transfer.

If XRP wins, establish a legal and operational framework focused on other utilities assets To function without being forced to choke points in traditional capital markets.

Why XRP is essential for scalable financial solutions

It contrasts with the Lapple stand, in contrast to many digital asset companies that have surrendered under the pressure of long-term regulatory litigation. Ripples Leadership recognized that the loss of the XRP case would feature true payment-grade utilities that exposed all blockchain protocols to regulatory suppression.

Related readings

With substantial capital reserves and clear strategic orders, the company was in a position to challenge the system and create precedents that could not only protect its profits, but also empower the broader digital asset ecosystem.

In a legitimate victory, cryptography expert Jack Kraber highlighted XRP’s transformational power; Statement It is designed to upgrade your existing financial system. While many blockchains focus on string values, XRP is built to enable the real world Finance Create applications, faster, more efficient, transparent ways to move your money globally. Therefore, high-performance infrastructure is essential to this vision.

XRP
XRP trading is $3.28 on 1D chart Source: XRPUSDT from cordingView.com

Getty Images Featured Images, Charts on tradingView.com

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Macintosh HD and 20 other macOS Tahoe icons that will shock your eyes this fall https://earlybirdsinvest.com/macintosh-hd-and-20-other-macos-tahoe-icons-that-will-shock-your-eyes-this-fall/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/macintosh-hd-and-20-other-macos-tahoe-icons-that-will-shock-your-eyes-this-fall/#respond Fri, 08 Aug 2025 03:37:22 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/macintosh-hd-and-20-other-macos-tahoe-icons-that-will-shock-your-eyes-this-fall/

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XRP dip was a ‘healthy correction,’ Ether supply shock: Hodler’s Digest, July 20 – 26 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/xrp-dip-was-a-healthy-correction-ether-supply-shock-hodlers-digest-july-20-26/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/xrp-dip-was-a-healthy-correction-ether-supply-shock-hodlers-digest-july-20-26/#respond Sun, 27 Jul 2025 01:40:00 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/xrp-dip-was-a-healthy-correction-ether-supply-shock-hodlers-digest-july-20-26/

Top Stories of The Week

Australian fintech Finder wins court battle over crypto yield product

The Australian Federal Court ruled in favor of fintech company Finder.com, clearing it and its yield-generating product, Finder Earn, in a legal battle with the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) that lasted almost three years. 

In a Thursday court decision, Justices Stewart, Cheeseman and Meagher confirmed a previous judgment that Finder Wallet and Earn complied with consumer financial laws.

The federal court “confirmed the initial finding that Finder Earn was not a financial product,” Finder said in a Thursday blog post.

BitMine gobbles over $2B in ETH in 16 days amid treasury arms race

Bitcoin mining firm BitMine Immersion Technologies has bought up over $2 billion of Ether in just 16 days, retaking the lead among a flurry of newly formed Ether treasury companies. 

BitMine said in a statement on Thursday that in the last 16 days, it had bought up 566,776 Ether, worth over $2.03 billion.

Tom Lee, the managing partner of FundStrat and the chairman of BitMine, said after the latest buying spree, the company is “well on our way to achieving our goal of acquiring and staking 5% of the overall ETH supply.”

BitMine’s aggressive buying spree signals a growing interest from institutions in Ethereum.

XRP price drops 19% but analysts say it’s a ‘healthy correction’

XRP price dropped 12.5% on Thursday, declining in tandem with the broader crypto market, which slipped 3% over the 24 hour period to $3.79 trillion. 

Despite this correction, analysts are terming this a “healthy pullback,” with double-digit XRP price targets still in play.

XRP’s price dropped as much as 19% to an intra-day low of $2.95 on Thursday from its multiyear high of $3.66, data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView shows.

Cascading liquidations and thinning liquidity fueled XRP’s drop as over-leveraged longs got flushed across the board.

Cryptocurrencies
Source: Cointelegraph

Hulk Hogan, Ozzy memecoins soar as tributes roll in over icons’ deaths

Memecoins inspired by the late wrestling legend Hulk Hogan and Black Sabbath rocker Ozzy Osbourne skyrocketed as tributes flooded over the two popular icons’ deaths this week. 

Terry Bollea, better known by his wrestling ring name Hulk Hogan, was reportedly pronounced dead in a hospital on Thursday at the age of 71 after medics arrived at his home to answer a call about a possible cardiac arrest.

This comes just days after Ozzy Osbourne, the hard-partying frontman of English rock band Black Sabbath, passed away on Tuesday at the age of 76.

Hogan was the most famous wrestler in the WWF, now WWE, during the 1980s, and had a career that spanned decades both in the ring and across television and film. 

Osbourne, often nicknamed the Prince of Darkness, is considered a legend in the music world and is seen as an iconic heavy metal musician. Black Sabbath is estimated to have sold 75 million albums globally. 

Ether will ‘knock on $4,000’ and soon outperform Bitcoin: Novogratz

Rapidly growing institutional interest in Ethereum could trigger a supply shock and position Ether to outperform Bitcoin in the next six months, says Galaxy Digital CEO Michael Novogratz.

“There’s not a lot of supply of ETH, and so I think ETH probably has a chance to outperform Bitcoin in the next three to six months,” Novogratz told CNBC on Thursday.

“If ETH takes out $4,000, it goes into price discovery,” he said, referring to a level that represents an approximate 8.5% jump from Ether’s current price of $3,618, according to Nansen.

Most Memorable Quotations

Robert Kiyosaki, author of Rich Dad Poor Dad:

“‘Pigs get fat…. hogs get slaughtered.’ I am buying one more [Bitcoin]…. and get fatter.”

Mena Theodorou, co-founder and head of product and marketing at Coinstash:

“If you’re analytical, follow the patterns, and take an emotionless approach, you’re going to do well in the crypto space.”

Michael Novogratz, CEO of Galaxy Digital:

“There’s not a lot of supply of ETH, and so I think ETH probably has a chance to outperform Bitcoin in the next three to six months.”

Markus Thielen, CEO of 10x Research:

“We believe Ethereum is looking vulnerable in the near term.”

Solomon Tesfaye, chief business officer at Aptos Labs:

“We’re seeing more open dialogue between policymakers and Web3 leaders that is shaping legislation and giving institutions more confidence to commit to longer digital asset roadmaps.”

Mister Crypto, pseudonymous crypto trader:

“A massive short squeeze is inevitable!”

Winners and Losers

At the end of the week, Bitcoin (BTC) is at $117,962, Ether (ETH) at $3,774 and XRP at $3.20. The total market cap is at $3.88 trillion, according to CoinMarketCap.

Among the biggest 100 cryptocurrencies, the top three altcoin gainers of the week are Conflux (CFX) at 72.84%, Ethena (ENA) at 47.25% and Pudgy Penguins (PENGU) at 35.84%.

The top three altcoin losers of the week are Pump.fun (PUMP) at 41.74%, Sonic (S) at 11.04% and Aptos (APT) at 9.38%. For more info on crypto prices, make sure to read Cointelegraph’s market analysis.

Cryptocurrencies
Source: Cointelegraph

Top Prediction of The Week

Eric Trump ‘agrees’ Ether should be over $8K as Global M2 money soars

Analysts say Ether is undervalued and “should be trading above $8,000” as global liquidity, measured by broad money supply (M2), hit a new record high of $95.58 trillion on Friday.

Global liquidity supply, or M2, aggregates US dollar-adjusted liquidity from major economies including the US, eurozone, Japan, the UK and Canada. 

A rising M2 implies that more money is circulating in the economy, including in bank accounts, checking deposits and other liquid assets. Such surplus liquidity can increase capital inflow into riskier assets like crypto.

Ether appears to be following a similar M2 supply trajectory, defined by the Wyckoff accumulation method, in 2025, albeit with a significant lag period.

Top FUD of The Week

Arizona woman sentenced for helping North Korea coders get US crypto jobs

An Arizona woman was sentenced to more than eight years in federal prison for helping North Korean operatives infiltrate US cryptocurrency and tech firms using stolen identities and fraudulent documents. 

According to a Thursday announcement by the US Attorney’s Office for the District of Columbia, Christina Marie Chapman was convicted of wire fraud conspiracy, aggravated identity theft and money laundering conspiracy. She was sentenced to 102 months, or about 8.5 years in prison.

Prosecutors said Chapman worked with operatives tied to the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea to obtain remote IT positions at more than 300 US-based companies. The North Korean workers posed as US citizens and residents, and the scheme generated over $17 million in illicit revenue.

Cryptocurrencies
Source: Cointelegraph

Bitcoin tumbles below $116K in bloodbath for crypto longs

More than half a billion in long positions were liquidated across the crypto market on Friday as the price of Bitcoin slipped below $116,000 amid a broader market tumble.

According to CoinGlass data, $585.86 million in long positions were liquidated, with Bitcoin  accounting for $140.06 million of that total as it dropped 2.63% to $115,356. 

Ether followed with $104.76 million in long liquidations, falling 1.33% to $3,598 over the same period.

New York crypto torture case suspects out on $1M bail each

Two men accused of kidnapping and torturing an Italian man in a Manhattan townhouse as part of a cryptocurrency extortion plot have been granted bail.

John Woeltz, 37, and William Duplessie, 33, were each issued a $1 million bail on Wednesday by New York Supreme Criminal Court Judge Gregory Carro, according to a report from ABC News. Both men have reportedly pleaded not guilty to charges including kidnapping, assault and coercion.

The case stems from a crypto extortion incident that took place a few months earlier. On May 6, a 28-year-old cryptocurrency trader visiting from Italy was allegedly abducted after arriving in New York.

According to prosecutors, the man was held hostage for weeks and subjected to repeated torture as his captors attempted to force him to reveal his Bitcoin credentials.

Top Magazine Stories of The Week

Robinhood’s tokenized stocks have stirred up a legal hornet’s nest

Tokenizing stocks opens up legal questions about jurisdiction, protections for buyers and the boundary between innovation and illegality.

Hong Kong hoses down stablecoin frenzy, Pokémon on Solana: Asia Express

Solana apps bring Pokémon cards to Web3 with NFT gachas, FTX blocks Chinese creditors while they sell claims on Backpack, and more.

Bitcoin inheritances: A guide for heirs and the not-yet-dead

Your Bitcoiner OG uncle just died and you stand to inherit a small fortune. But how do you find it, and get it back from exchanges, ETFs or hardware wallets?

]]> https://earlybirdsinvest.com/xrp-dip-was-a-healthy-correction-ether-supply-shock-hodlers-digest-july-20-26/feed/ 0 49873 Federal Reserve Could Be Forced To ‘Panic’ Amid Potential Supply Shock Inflation: Fundstrat’s Tom Lee https://earlybirdsinvest.com/federal-reserve-could-be-forced-to-panic-amid-potential-supply-shock-inflation-fundstrats-tom-lee/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/federal-reserve-could-be-forced-to-panic-amid-potential-supply-shock-inflation-fundstrats-tom-lee/#respond Sun, 22 Jun 2025 11:43:47 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/federal-reserve-could-be-forced-to-panic-amid-potential-supply-shock-inflation-fundstrats-tom-lee/

Fundstrat’s head of research, Tom Lee, says the Federal Reserve may be forced into a rate-cutting phase after overdoing monetary tightening.

In a new interview on CNBC, Lee says he’s watching for a point when the Fed could run into an “accident,” where it waits too long to address a slowing economy.

Lee says he’s anticipating a potential “panic” scenario from the Fed.

“There could be an accident because what we are ignoring is that housing is choking and collapsing under the weight of higher interest rates, and the labor market isn’t as strong as it appears.

When we look at the ability to get a job, it’s much harder. So… there’s long and variable lags, and there could be an accident where the Fed would have to panic, so I think that’s something we have to watch in the incoming data…

I think there could be a point where the Fed suddenly realizes the risks are actually to the downside for the economy weakening, and so the Fed will actually have to respond to an economy that they’re strangulating and really fighting what they believe is a supply shock inflation. So I’m a little concerned that the Fed could be late if they continue to hold.”

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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Bitcoin ‘supply shock’ could amplify price in coming months — Sygnum https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-supply-shock-could-amplify-price-in-coming-months-sygnum/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-supply-shock-could-amplify-price-in-coming-months-sygnum/#respond Fri, 30 May 2025 21:41:21 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-supply-shock-could-amplify-price-in-coming-months-sygnum/

Bitcoin is entering a period of supply shock that could have more dramatic price implications than in previous cycles, Katalin Tischhauser, head of research at digital asset banking group Sygnum, told Cointelegraph.

“Large demand will have a strong multiplier effect, meaning every $1 of demand leading to, say, $20-30 additional market capitalization,” she said. “We have already seen this multiplier effect after the launch of the Bitcoin spot ETFs or around the US elections.”

Tischhauser cited the limited liquid supply of Bitcoin (BTC) relative to the large pools of institutional capital on the demand side as a reason for a possible spike in BTC price over the coming months.

“This liquid supply has been falling steadily over the past 1.5 years, not least because of the proliferation of Bitcoin acquisition vehicles such as Strategy, Twenty One Capital, and others,” Tischhauser said.

She also noted structural factors contributing to a bullish forecast for BTC, including the increased regulatory clarity, macroeconomic pressures, and Bitcoin’s growing appeal as a deflationary asset.

Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have seen just four days of outflows since April 16.

Related: Bitcoin price will reach $130K or even $1.5M, top bulls say

Bitcoin consolidation a ‘healthy pause’

Derive founder Nick Forster told Cointelegraph that the asset will likely see a “phase of consolidation,” which he classified as a “healthy pause.”

The pause will allow “the market time to digest recent gains and gear up for the next phase.” Some analysts are calling for much higher price targets, some in the realm of $200,000 to $300,000.

Magazine: Danger signs for Bitcoin as retail abandons it to institutions — Sky Wee

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Bitcoin Balance On Exchanges Shrinks – Supply Shock Ahead? https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-balance-on-exchanges-shrinks-supply-shock-ahead/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-balance-on-exchanges-shrinks-supply-shock-ahead/#respond Sun, 11 May 2025 10:07:33 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-balance-on-exchanges-shrinks-supply-shock-ahead/

Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

Bitcoin is holding firm around the $104,000 mark after a sharp rally driven by days of sustained buying pressure and renewed market optimism. Bulls regained control when BTC reclaimed the $90,000 level in late April, reversing months of aggressive selling that had weighed on price action. The shift in sentiment has been clear, with bullish momentum building quickly and pushing the market back into key supply zones.

Supporting this trend, on-chain data from CryptoQuant reveals that over 110,000 BTC have been withdrawn from exchanges in the past month. Historically, large outflows from centralized platforms signal growing investor confidence and reduced sell-side liquidity—two key components of strong upward trends. This behavior often precedes major rallies, as long-term holders tighten supply while sidelining coins from near-term trading.

Now, with Bitcoin trading just below all-time highs, the market appears to be entering a new phase. Investors are watching closely as BTC consolidates above $100K, with analysts suggesting that the current structure sets the stage for another leg higher. If exchange withdrawals continue and sentiment stays bullish, a break toward the $109K all-time high could come sooner than expected.

Bitcoin Faces Final Resistance Before Price Discovery

Bitcoin is now preparing to test uncharted territory after enduring months of heavy selling pressure and persistent market skepticism. Following a strong recovery since late April, BTC is currently finding resistance around the $105,000 level — a critical price point that could define the next phase of the cycle. This area, just shy of the all-time high, is likely to attract both profit-taking and speculative interest, which may result in increased volatility before a decisive breakout.

If bulls manage to push above the $105K mark, a surge toward new all-time highs would be imminent. However, this level also represents a psychological barrier that could trigger a short-term rejection. Despite this, the underlying data supports a strong bullish outlook.

Top analyst Ali Martinez shared recent on-chain data from CryptoQuant showing that over 110,000 BTC have been withdrawn from centralized exchanges over the past month. Such a large volume of withdrawals historically correlates with accumulation by long-term holders, signaling confidence and reduced selling pressure.

Bitcoin Exchange Reserve | Source: Ali Martinez on X
Bitcoin Exchange Reserve | Source: Ali Martinez on X

This behavior suggests that the recent rally is not just fueled by speculative hype but also supported by structural shifts in supply. As BTC supply tightens and demand increases, particularly with institutional flows rising, the setup for a sustained breakout strengthens. While some short-term resistance may persist, the broader trend now favors the bulls. If exchange outflows continue at this pace and macro sentiment remains stable, Bitcoin could soon enter a price discovery phase, leaving behind the range that defined its movement for much of 2025.

BTC Price Action Details: Technical Levels

Bitcoin is trading around the $104,000 mark after a powerful breakout rally that started in late April. As shown in the daily chart, BTC surged through the $90K resistance and cleared $100K with strong momentum, but is now facing resistance near $104K–$105K, a zone that previously acted as a major supply region during the February highs.

BTC testing last resistance before ATH | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView
BTC testing last resistance before ATH | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

The chart reveals that BTC is consolidating just below this resistance with a small retrace and declining volume, suggesting a cooling of momentum after several days of aggressive buying. This isn’t necessarily bearish — short pauses are common before retesting key levels, especially when RSI and volume stretch. The 200-day moving average (SMA) and exponential moving average (EMA) remain well below the current price, showing that bulls maintain structural control.

The key levels to watch now are $103,600 (short-term support) and $104,900–$105,500 (resistance zone). A clean break above this range would open the path toward new all-time highs. Conversely, a failure to break higher may lead to a retest of the breakout zone near $100K. Overall, price action remains bullish, but the next few candles will be decisive for short-term trend continuation.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.

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IMF Warns Negative Supply Shock Incoming, Forecasts ‘Significant Slowdown’ of Global Economy https://earlybirdsinvest.com/imf-warns-negative-supply-shock-incoming-forecasts-significant-slowdown-of-global-economy/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/imf-warns-negative-supply-shock-incoming-forecasts-significant-slowdown-of-global-economy/#respond Sun, 27 Apr 2025 17:35:32 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/imf-warns-negative-supply-shock-incoming-forecasts-significant-slowdown-of-global-economy/

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) is forecasting a downturn for the global economy, largely driven by tariff-induced uncertainties.

In its new World Economic Outlook Report, the IMF says that after enduring a “prolonged and unprecedented series of shocks,” the global economy appears to have stabilized.

However, the IMF says the world’s financial landscape now faces significant risks as “uncertainties have climbed to new highs” due to President Trump’s threat to impose historically high tariff rates.

Trump’s tariff agenda has prompted the IMF to revise “markedly” its forecasts for global growth compared to its last update in January.

“For this reason, we expect that the sharp increase on April 2 in both tariffs and uncertainty will lead to a significant slowdown in global growth in the near term. While this is our central scenario— or ‘reference forecast’ — many possible paths exist, reflecting the unpredictability surrounding future trade policy and the varied impact of tariffs across different countries through a diverse set of channels…

The common denominator, however, is that tariffs are a negative supply shock for the economy imposing them, as resources are reallocated toward the production of noncompetitive goods, with a resulting loss of aggregate productivity, lower activity, and higher production costs and prices. Moreover, in the medium term, by reducing competition, tariffs increase the market power of domestic producers, decrease incentives to innovate, and create multiple opportunities for rent seeking. For trading partners, tariffs constitute mostly a negative external demand shock, driving foreign customers away from their products, even if some countries could benefit from the rerouting of trade flows.”

In anticipation of potential disruptions, the IMF says it has revised down its projection for global trade growth by 1.5%, with a “slight recovery” forecasted for next year.

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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Lyn Alden Says Bitcoin Would Be Higher if Not for Trump’s Tariff Shock https://earlybirdsinvest.com/lyn-alden-says-bitcoin-would-be-higher-if-not-for-trumps-tariff-shock/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/lyn-alden-says-bitcoin-would-be-higher-if-not-for-trumps-tariff-shock/#respond Sun, 20 Apr 2025 00:48:11 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/lyn-alden-says-bitcoin-would-be-higher-if-not-for-trumps-tariff-shock/ Prominent macroeconomist Lyn Alden believes Bitcoin is on track to finish 2025 above its current price of around $85,000.

“Before all this tariff kerfuffle, I would have had a higher price target,” Alden said during an April 17 interview with Natalie Brunell on Coin Stories.

While she still expects Bitcoin to post gains by year-end, Alden noted that the tariffs introduced in February have tempered her earlier bullish outlook.

Lyn Alden Says Liquidity Surge Could Propel Bitcoin to Higher Targets

Alden explained that a major liquidity boost could push Bitcoin toward more ambitious targets.

Such a scenario might occur if the U.S. bond market faces a crisis, prompting the Federal Reserve to respond with quantitative easing or yield curve control.

Despite current macro headwinds, Alden believes there is still a “good chance” Bitcoin surpasses the $100,000 mark in 2025.

However, she warned that global market volatility remains a key obstacle, especially because Bitcoin trades continuously — unlike traditional equity markets with limited trading hours.

“Because it trades 24/7, if people are worried about how things are going to open on Monday, some pools of capital can sell their Bitcoin on a Sunday and prepare,” she said, pointing out that Bitcoin often reacts first to market jitters due to its round-the-clock nature.

While its correlation to tech-heavy indices like the Nasdaq 100 has been noted, Alden believes Bitcoin can sometimes diverge, particularly when broader market conditions weigh on U.S. equities without directly impacting global liquidity.

She drew comparisons to the period between 2003 and 2007, when a weak U.S. dollar cycle fueled capital flows into commodities, emerging markets, and gold — bypassing U.S. stocks.

A similar environment could prove favorable for Bitcoin, Alden suggested.

“If we encounter a five-year period like that again, that could be a period where Bitcoin does pretty well, even as the U.S. stock market doesn’t do particularly well,” she added.

In a previous research report published in September, Alden described Bitcoin as a “Global Liquidity Barometer,” noting it moves in sync with global M2 money supply 83% of the time over any given 12-month stretch.

Bitcoin Could Face Extended Consolidation Despite Bullish Hype: 10x Research

As reported, 10x Research’s head of research Markus Thielen has argued that Bitcoin may be entering a period of extended consolidation.

In a recent market note, Thielen warned that short-term technical signals are painting a more cautious picture, even as many analysts forecast new all-time highs by mid-year.

Thielen pointed to the Bitcoin stochastic oscillator, a technical indicator that measures momentum, suggesting the market is displaying traits more consistent with a late-cycle top than the beginning of a new bull run.

While Thielen urges caution, other analysts maintain a more bullish stance.

Economists Timothy Peterson and Jamie Coutts, Real Vision’s chief crypto analyst, expect Bitcoin to hit new highs in Q2.

Last week, Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan reiterated his December prediction that Bitcoin could hit $200,000 before the close of 2025.

Hougan argued that recent developments in U.S. trade policy, particularly under former President Donald Trump’s renewed tariff push, could act as tailwinds for Bitcoin.

The post Lyn Alden Says Bitcoin Would Be Higher if Not for Trump’s Tariff Shock appeared first on Cryptonews.

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