Probably the most popular meme coin, Dogecoin (DOGE), is about to do a “first ever” trick again, into territory no meme coin has ever reached before as the Dogecoin ETF looks set to launch this week.

Behind it is Rex-Osprey, which filed for a DOGE ETF under the ticker DOJE previously this year, and according to Nate Geraci, the approval now looks imminent with the next two months shaping up to be extra important for crypto ETFs.

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The new fund will hold Dogecoin directly while also using derivatives such as futures and swaps to manage exposure, with a mandate that requires at least 80% of net assets to remain tied to the meme coin.

At the same time, managers left themselves room to tap into other crypto ETFs if needed, a flexible structure that mirrors Bitcoin and Ethereum products but is still unprecedented for DOGE.

Dogecoin (DOGE) price under microscope

On Crypto Twitter, the reaction was instant. Unipcs, widely known as “Bonk Guy” after making his fortune on a leveraged BONK long, pointed to the timing and pulled up a price chart that shows DOGE building pressure under a descending trendline. 

The price has been at $0.228 with a 6% daily push, the RSI is around 55 and the wedge formation puts $0.25 and $0.30 as breakout lines above, while $0.20 sits as the main support to watch. The setup looks like a textbook squeeze just as the ETF headlines begin to circulate. The narrative in such situations is like the last piece of the puzzle.

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Whether DOJE attracts strong inflows like Bitcoin or Ethereum ETFs is the main question, but the listing itself signals another step in crypto’s shift toward mainstream packaging. From a joke token to Wall Street-style funds, Dogecoin’s path keeps surprising the market — and this week could mark its most unlikely milestone imaginable.

The retracement has drawn attention to on-chain activity and investor behavior, particularly among long-term holders (LTHs). A CryptoQuant analyst has been monitoring realized profit and loss metrics to gauge whether the current cycle is approaching its peak or if more upside potential remains.  Data released by the analyst sheds light on how seasoned holders are reacting to Bitcoin’s latest rally.

Long-Term Holder Trends Across Market Cycles

CryptoQuant contributor PelinayPA shared an assessment of Bitcoin’s long-term holder realized profit and loss (RPL) metric, which tracks when investors who have held coins for extended periods decide to sell. According to the analyst, this indicator has historically been reliable in signaling both cycle tops and bottoms.

The analysis highlights key phases across multiple market cycles. During the 2017 bull market, a surge in LTH realized profits coincided with Bitcoin’s peak. By contrast, in the 2018–2019 bear market, profit realization slowed dramatically, while losses surfaced, reflecting the market bottom.

A similar pattern was observed in 2021, though the profit realization was more gradual, suggesting that selling pressure was spread across the market rather than concentrated in short bursts.

When Bitcoin entered the 2022–2023 downturn, realized losses increased significantly as the asset fell into the $15,000–$20,000 range. That period was characterized by panic selling among longer-term holders.

In the current market, however, PelinayPA notes that while profit-taking is visible, it remains moderate compared with past peaks. This indicates that, although selling is occurring, it has not yet reached the levels typically associated with a cycle top.

What the Current Data Suggests for Bitcoin

The current phase of moderate profit realization suggests caution but does not confirm that Bitcoin has fully topped out. PelinayPA explained that:

Historically, sharp increases in LTH profit realization (large green spikes) align with bull market tops. Current selling (mid-2025) is measured and gradual, which implies BTC may still be in the late stages of a bull cycle. If LTH selling accelerates, it could mark the next peak.

This measured approach by long-term holders could mean that the market retains some room for additional upward movement, provided selling pressure does not intensify.

At the same time, the data highlights that a shift toward heavier profit-taking would be an important warning signal for traders and institutions watching the market closely.

On-chain analytics firms frequently point to these long-term holder behaviors as leading indicators. While Bitcoin’s price action continues to consolidate below its record high, how these investors act in the coming weeks could set the tone for the next stage of the cycle.

For now, the data suggests that the rally has not yet reached conditions historically associated with a definitive top, but market participants are advised to watch profit realization closely.

Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Telegram’s one billion users will be able to interact with Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) decentralized apps (DApps) directly within the messenger following the launch of the Tac mainnet on Tuesday. This new feature could boost DApp adoption and asset inflows into the TON network as it lowers the technical barrier to entry for mainstream users.

Could Toncoin (TON) break above its overhead resistance? Let’s analyze the charts to find out.

TON price prediction

TON rose above the moving averages and is nearing the downtrend line of the descending triangle pattern.

The 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) ($2.94) has started to turn up, and the relative strength index (RSI) has jumped into the positive territory, indicating advantage to buyers. Sellers are expected to defend the downtrend line with all their might because a break above it will invalidate the negative setup. That may propel the TON/USDT pair to $3.69.

Instead, if the price turns down sharply from the downtrend line, it suggests that the bears remain sellers on rallies. That could keep the pair inside the triangle for some more time. Sellers will gain the upper hand if they sink the price below the $2.75 support.

Related: Ethereum’s ‘crucial’ breakout hints at 30% rally versus Bitcoin next

Both moving averages have started to turn up, and the RSI is in the positive territory, indicating that the bulls have an edge. Buyers will try to push the price to the downtrend line, which could pose a substantial challenge.

If the price turns down from the downtrend line but bounces off the 20-day EMA, it suggests a bullish sentiment. That increases the likelihood of a break above the downtrend line. The pair could rally to $3.40 and then to $3.50.

On the contrary, a drop below the moving averages suggests that the bulls are losing their grip. The pair may then slump to $2.90.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

]]> https://earlybirdsinvest.com/ton-news-update-tac-mainnet-launch-could-send-the-altcoin-to-3-50/feed/ 0 48056 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/15b-bitcoin-options-expire-today-will-this-send-btc-bull-token-soaring/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/15b-bitcoin-options-expire-today-will-this-send-btc-bull-token-soaring/#respond Fri, 27 Jun 2025 13:51:07 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/15b-bitcoin-options-expire-today-will-this-send-btc-bull-token-soaring/

Bitcoin traders everywhere will be watching their feeds closely, willing the world’s largest crypto to hold steady at or near its current $107K mark.

$15B in Bitcoin options expire today, a major portion of the roughly $40B in options outstanding.

If $BTC’s price falls to $102K or below, the market would endure a true ‘pain point.’ As long as that doesn’t happen, Bitcoin looks set to press on with business as normal – setting the stage for further growth of the ecosystem and the first meme coin offering direct $BTC exposure, BTC Bull Token ($BTCBULL).

Narrowing Volatility Indicates Positive Outlook

The $BTC volatility index has narrowed in recent days, drawing more closely to the historical volatility and generally indicating that traders don’t expect dramatic price moves either way – up or down.

That was supported by Deribit Chief Commercial Officer Jean-David Péquignot, who stated:

‘Low open interest in perps and fairly depressed Bitcoin implied volatility and skew are indicative of limited expectations for sharp price movements…’

Where does that leave Bitcoin? Still looking bullish. Crypto treasury strategies are still expanding, adding thousands of $BTC tokens to long-term reserves and increasing demand. Metaplanet just added 1,234 $BTC, bringing its total portfolio north of 12K $BTC.

And it isn’t just direct Bitcoin purchases; the ecosystem around the world’s leading crypto continues to fuel demand.

ETFs Notch 13 Days Consecutive Inflows, Bitcoin Overtakes Google

Bitcoin ETFs are building on a 13-day stretch of positive inflows. Monday to Thursday, daily cumulative inflows amounted to:

Positive inflows point to long-term interest from retail and institutional investors, rather than short-term traders, and contribute to underlying buying pressure.

And with the largest Bitcoin ETF, BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust, holding over $70B in total assets, Bitcoin took advantage of weakening Alphabet stock to overthrow Google as the world’s sixth-largest asset.

It’s a combination of fundamentally positive factors, reinforcing a bullish case for $BTC – and the meme coin built on that case.

BTC Bull Token ($BTCBULL) – Meme Coin Trusting $BTC to Hit $250K and Beyond

BTC Bull Token ($BTCBULL) is confident that Bitcoin will one day reach $250K and more – so confident that the project is built around key Bitcoin price milestones.

• Bitcoin $125K: The project burns $BTCBULL tokens to exert deflationary pressure on the price.
• Bitcoin $150K: BTC Bull token investors who hold their tokens in the Best Wallet app receive a free $BTC airdrop.
• Bitcoin $175K: Another $BTCBULL token burn.
• Bitcoin $200K: Another $BTC airdrop!
• Bitcoin $225K: A final $BTCBULL burn.
• Bitcoin $250K: A massive $BTCBULL airdrop.

The combination of token burns and airdrops encourages positive momentum for BTC Bull Token, following Bitcoin’s upward trajectory.

Visit the BTC Bull token website today.

BTC Options Expire, But Outlook Is Bullish for Bitcoin

With $15B in Bitcoin options expiring, narrowing volatility, and consistent ETF inflows, Bitcoin’s foundation looks stronger than ever.

For investors looking to capitalize on Bitcoin’s momentum, BTC Bull Token offers a bold, milestone-based roadmap aligned with $BTC’s rise to $250K. But be warned – there’s mere days left in the presale, so the window to join is closing fast.

Always do your own research. This is not financial advice.

Crypto Writer

Arslan Butt

Crypto Writer

Arslan Butt

About Author

Arslan Butt is an experienced webinar speaker, market analyst, and content writer specializing in crypto, forex, and commodities. He provides expert insights, trading strategies, and in-depth analysis…

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Last updated: 

June 22, 2025

Bitcoin (BTC) has dropped sharply as geopolitical tensions rise, down to $102,760 as risk assets sell off. The decline follows a major escalation in the Middle East where US military forces struck Iran’s nuclear sites, Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan, expanding the Israel-Iran conflict.

This geopolitical shock triggered immediate market reactions with investors moving into traditional safe-haven assets like gold and the US dollar. Bitcoin, seen as a speculative asset during times of high volatility, fell 9% from its monthly high of $111,800 to $101,053.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is at $102,777 with over $47 billion in daily volume.

The risk-off tone intensified after Iranian officials condemned the strikes and threatened retaliation. Iran’s Foreign Minister called for an emergency UN meeting, while Secretary-General António Guterres warned of a situation “getting out of control”. This sent equities and digital assets into a tailspin with BTC leading the way.

Bitcoin Traders Reprice Risk as Bitcoin Falls

The US strikes have deepened global fears of a wider war involving Israel, the US, and Iran. As tensions rose, Israel closed its airspace, Iran threatened key military and nuclear sites in the region and media reports emerged of bunker-buster bombs and Tomahawk missiles used in the operation.

While the IAEA confirmed no radiation leaks, the psychological impact was big. Fears of disruption to global trade, energy markets and long-term regional security sent traders running. Bitcoin’s role as a hedge has again been called into question as it’s behaving like a risk asset during times of global stress.

• Monthly Drop: ~8.93% from $111,800 to $102,438
• Weekly Loss: Over 2% and still falling
• Market Cap: $2.04 trillion
• Circulating Supply: 19.88 million BTC

Former President Donald Trump’s comments saying the strikes were a “big success” only added to the fears of further escalation. With diplomacy stalled and Iran warning of “consequences forever” the crypto market is uncertain.

Unless the political situation stabilizes, Bitcoin will likely continue to underperform as traders reduce risk.

Bitcoin Technical Analysis: Still Cautionary

From a technical perspective, the Bitcoin price prediction remains bearish. The 2-hour chart shows price action stuck in a descending channel with lower highs and lower lows. BTC failed to retest $103,932—the 50-period EMA which is now acting as resistance.

A series of small candles at $102,900 indicates indecision, but no bullish reversal patterns, such as a morning star or three white soldiers, have formed to change the trend. Momentum is weak with the MACD signal lines flatlining below zero and the histogram not recovering.

BTC did briefly touch support at $101,478 before bouncing with a long lower wick, so buyers are defending that level for now.

Bitcoin Trade Idea:

• Entry: At $102,900 on bearish confirmation (e.g. shooting star or bearish engulfing)
• Stop-Loss: Above $104,100
• Target 1: $101,478
• Target 2: $100,451

Until price breaks above $104,031 and out of the descending channel the short-term is bearish. Any bounce is likely corrective not a reversal.

Conclusion

Bitcoin’s drop to $102,760 is a sign of investors reducing risk in the Middle East chaos. With macro headwinds getting stronger and no technical confirmation of a bottom, traders should be cautious. A true “buy the dip” opportunity may require a ceasefire or a confirmed break above resistance.

Best Wallet ($BEST): Crypto Storage Meets Early Access

Best Wallet is emerging as a leading crypto platform, combining advanced security with seamless access to early-stage tokens. Available on Google Play and the App Store, it supports over 1,000 cryptocurrencies and is the first wallet to integrate Fireblocks’ MPC-CMP security protocol.

One of its standout features is the Upcoming Tokens page, allowing users to purchase presale tokens directly within the app—no wallet connections or external sites required. This secure, no-KYC experience makes Best Wallet ideal for both beginners and seasoned investors.

The $BEST token powers the ecosystem, offering reduced transaction fees, higher staking yields, early project access, and governance rights. Users can also earn through in-app quests and airdrops.

With over $13.45 million raised and the price now at $0.025205, the presale is gaining momentum. Secure your $BEST allocation before the next price jump, and gain early access to a wallet that’s redefining how crypto enthusiasts and investors interact with digital assets.

Macro investor and fund manager Dan Tapiero believes Bitcoin (BTC) could turn bullish amid a potential change in US monetary policy.

In a new thread on the social media platform X, Tapiero says the uncertainty caused by tariffs is having a “growth-dampening impact” on both the US and China.

According to the macro investor, the Federal Reserve could consequently be forced to cut rates, just like China’s central bank already has, catapulting Bitcoin to a rally of over 2x from the current level.

“If US slows hard, could Fed get to 1.4% -250bps (basis points) from here?

Imagine how high Bitcoin would [go] in that scenario.

$200,000+”

Bitcoin is trading at $97,095 at time of writing.

Earlier this week, the central bank of the world’s second-largest economy, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC), announced it would reduce its policy rate it charges commercial banks for short-term loans by 10 basis points from 1.5% to 1.4%.

The PBOC also announced it will lower the reserve requirement ratio, or the amount of cash that commercial banks must hold in reserves, by 50 basis points, per CNBC. Lowering the reserve requirement ratio is expected to release additional liquidity amounting to around one trillion yuan, approximately $138.5 billion, to the market.

Earlier this month, Tapiero said consumer expectations on the US economy have fallen to levels last witnessed during the Global Financial Crisis in March of 2009. The corrective measures that could be taken, argued Tapiero, would impact Bitcoin positively.

“This is extreme data. Much lower rates and US dollar needed to offset fiscal austerity. Fiat debasement equals +BTC.”

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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Kevin, a technical analyst known in X as @kev_capital_ta, highlights what he describes as “low at the exact level he’s been paying attention to for the past few months.” In a post accompanying the chart, the charter pointed to the confluence of a macro 38.2 percent Fibonacci retracement, from the 2021 history high to the low yield last year and the depth of the bare market to the long-term fall resistance line that has served as support. Before rebounding to the current 0.18 region, the spot price is $0.138 – the numerical position of that 0.382 retracement.

Possible paths for Dogecoin

Kevin argues that images of higher time frame momentum are beginning to change. “Weekly RSI has reached an exact level of low since returning to the depths of the bare market.

At the same time, the one-week odd RSI already produces bullish crossovers, while the two-week crossover is “pending”.

From a risk-reward perspective, Kevin argues that asymmetry remains compelling. “As I said a few weeks ago, Doge’s risk reward rate was incredible as your drawbacks were minimal and the benefits were greater,” he said. A member of his Patreon community revealed that he “gets a considerable number of entries at 0.15 cents and has a stop loss set at Break.” In his view, the only component missing is tail wind from macroeconomic data. “To continue the momentum, positive macro data is needed and drives the process.”

Related readings

The chart shows a set of overhead Fibonacci extensions and retracement levels that map potential resistance zones when the rebound matures to trend inversion. The first and closest is a 50% retracement of $0.19039. It matches the bottom of the broken trend line and becomes the next technical gatekeeper.

More than that, a 61.8% retracement sitting at around $0.26216 marks a golden threshold that often distinguishes itself from a corrective rise. The 65% level minor cluster that appears on Kevin’s chart at $0.28522 represents a mid-range hurdle before attacking a 78.6% retreat, with prices around $0.41339.

Related readings

If Dogecoin regains its zone, a 100% full retracement of nearly $0.73839 will restore the entire previous decline, while a shaded violet band over $1 indicates an expansion area that officially guides price discovery.

Important Factors

Kevin’s framework is not limited to the Doge pair itself. In another post, he set the short-term Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) target at 65.45%, identifying it as “macro.786 FIB.” He expects that level will impose resistance on the metric, creating a window that “have the opportunity to receive bids” in the meantime. In the case of Dogecoin Bulls, the BTC share stall in the Crypto market could rerout liquidity towards the Meme-Asset Complex when the technical background is constructive.

Despite recent bounces, Kevin emphasizes that neither Bitcoin nor the wider altcoin basket has entered a parabolic stage comparable to previous cycles. “BTC or Altcoins have never moved to the parabolic stage,” he wrote, attributed Muted Slope to “a lack of liquidity leading to lower monetary policy and social risk.”

Analysts believe the dynamic changes are warning that timetables are being stretched by what they call “a mistake by central banks and governments after the pandemic” as “global liquidity begins to rise and monetary policy begins to ease.”

For now, Memocoin, which began as a joke, remains connected to macro conversations. The base of the momentum reset synchronized with the 0.382 FIB provides a technical springboard, but Kevin’s paper and Dogecoin’s path to higher FIB targets such as $0.26, $0.41 rely on a wider cycle that offers more wider cycles than ever before.

At the time of pressing, Doge traded for $0.175.

Featured images created with dall.e, charts on tradingview.com

Real Vision’s chief crypto analyst Jamie Coutts believes one catalyst could catapult Bitcoin (BTC) to nearly double its price in months.

Coutts says the total global liquidity has reached a new all-time high level of just under $140 trillion after a decades-long period of contraction.

According to Coutts, global liquidity is what has “historically fueled explosive asset price rallies.”

Real Vision’s chief crypto analyst says the total global liquidity is set to continue climbing and this could trigger an increase of around 98% in the price of Bitcoin.

“With central banks clearly behind the curve, we could see global liquidity rise by approximately 10% or $13 trillion over the next 12 months. This would equate to $186,000 BTC using a blended regression model.

Those who held steady and accumulated during recent market turbulence should be better for it in what comes next.”

Bitcoin is trading at $93,772 at time of writing.

The crypto analyst further says that Bitcoin’s volatility levels are moving in an inversely correlated manner relative to traditional assets.

“It has been patently clear to me since 2022 that while Bitcoin’s volatility is decreasing, what is more striking is that traditional assets are becoming more volatile. Volatility isn’t the enemy, by the way, provided you’re being compensated by higher returns.

That is not the case for Bonds and Equities relative to Bitcoin. And this has massive implications for asset allocation and portfolio construction going forward.”

According to Coutts’ chart, based on data from the last four months, Bitcoin has recorded a volatility-normalized return of -7.12 compared to the S&P 500 index’s -45.08. The volatility-normalized return is a performance metric that compares the return on investment of an asset to its volatility – the higher the figure, the better the risk-adjusted return.

Since 2022, Bitcoin has recorded a volatility-normalized return of 131.89 compared to the S&P 500 index’s -37.37.

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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The US government relies on a network of computers to generate payments out of thin air, including some transactions that remain entirely undocumented, according to Elon Musk.

In a new interview on Senator Ted Cruz’s Verdict podcast, Musk says the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) has now discovered about 14 “magic money” computers.

Musk tells Cruz that these computers are responsible for sending trillions of dollars in payments.

“I call a magic money computer any computer that can make money out of thin air. It just issues payments… They just send money out of nothing.”

Musk says about 5-10% of the payments executed by these computers are not reported to Senators in Congress.

“You may think that the government computers all talk to each other. They synchronize. They add up what funds are going somewhere and it’s coherent, and that the numbers that you’re presented as a Senator are actually the real numbers. One would think. They’re not.”

Musk says DOGE has discovered these computers at the Treasury Department, State Department, Health and Human Services Department and the Defense Department.

According to Musk, the government’s systems make it tough to reconcile payments and tackle waste and fraud.

“If you want to know what what the situation is with the accounting and you’re trying to reconcile accounting and get rid of waste and fraud, you must be able to analyze the computer databases. Otherwise you can’t figure it out.

Because what you’re doing is asking a human – who will then ask another human – and finally usually ask some contractor – who will ask another contractor – to do a query on the computer.

So it’s many layers deep. The only way to reconcile the databases and get rid of waste and fraud is to to actually look at the computers and see what’s going on.

When I sort of cryptically refer to reprogramming The Matrix, you have to understand what’s going at the computers. You have to reconcile the computer databases in order to identify the waste and fraud.”

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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