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Memecoins have been under heavy selling pressure since December 2024, with many declaring the sector as good as dead. Prices collapsed across the board, liquidity dried up, and retail enthusiasm that once fueled massive rallies seemed to vanish. For months, memecoins have trended lower, underperforming most of the broader crypto market and leaving investors skeptical about their long-term survival.

Yet, despite the gloom, some analysts argue that dismissing memecoins entirely may be premature. As the market prepares for a new phase driven by shifting liquidity flows, institutional positioning, and macroeconomic catalysts, speculation could once again find fertile ground in this volatile sector. Top analyst Darkfost has gone as far as to suggest that the time to take a fresh look at memecoins may have arrived. According to him, data shows that the market is entering an area where memecoin dominance has historically regained strength, often sparking sharp rebounds.

While risks remain high—memecoins are still among the most speculative assets in crypto—the potential for explosive gains continues to attract attention.

Memecoin Dominance Signals Possible Rebound

Darkfost highlights the importance of monitoring the Memecoin Dominance in Altcoin Markets chart, which compares the market capitalization of key memecoins against that of established altcoins. This ratio offers valuable insight into whether memecoins are gaining or losing influence relative to the broader altcoin sector.

Since the massive rush that peaked at the end of 2024, memecoins have been in a prolonged decline, steadily losing both valuation and investor interest. The frenzy that once drove parabolic gains gave way to exhaustion, with most of the sector retracing sharply.

Investors in memecoins understand the unique challenge of this asset class. Unlike Bitcoin or Ethereum, memecoins often lack fundamental backing, making them highly speculative. As a result, timing entries and, more importantly, exiting positions quickly to secure profits are essential strategies. Hesitation can easily turn short-term gains into significant losses.

Despite this, Darkfost observes that the memecoin dominance chart is signaling a potential turning point. The ratio has entered an area where memecoins have historically regained strength, marking the beginning of sharp rebounds. Early signs of reaction suggest that market sentiment may be shifting, with speculative capital slowly re-entering the space.

If the trend persists, the conditions could align for a renewed memecoin mania. While it may not replicate the extreme fervor of late 2024, a resurgence in speculative appetite could drive significant rallies. For traders watching closely, the data implies that memecoins may once again become a hot narrative in the crypto cycle, though managing risk remains paramount.

Market Cap Growth Analysis

The chart of the Memecoin Market Cap (Daily) shows how the sector remains highly volatile, reflecting speculative behavior that defines this corner of the crypto market. After rebounding strongly from the July lows near $64B, the market surged to a local peak above $88B in early September. However, that momentum quickly faded, with the cap now retracing toward $75B, down nearly 5% in the latest session.

The 50-day moving average at $68.7B has acted as a strong dynamic support throughout this recovery, showing that buyers continue to step in when valuations approach this level. Meanwhile, the sector’s ability to push above $80B and briefly test the $88B resistance highlights that speculative capital is still present, even if profit-taking remains aggressive.

For now, memecoins are consolidating after a sharp upswing, and the market appears to be searching for balance. If capitalization holds above the $72–74B range, a renewed attempt to reclaim $80B could follow, reigniting bullish sentiment. On the other hand, a breakdown below the 50-day average would suggest fading momentum and open the door for a deeper retracement. Ultimately, memecoins remain sensitive to liquidity flows and broader risk sentiment, making timing critical.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

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Crypto Writer

Arslan Butt

Crypto Writer

Arslan Butt

About Author

Arslan Butt is an experienced webinar speaker, market analyst, and content writer specializing in crypto, forex, and commodities. He provides expert insights, trading strategies, and in-depth analysis…

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Last updated: 

September 6, 2025

Ethereum traded at $4,300 over the weekend, down 2%+. Despite the pullback, institutional inflows and whale accumulation are building underlying momentum for a potential reversal. Short-term volatility persists, but technicals and positioning indicate that ETH could soon challenge higher resistance levels.

Institutional Inflows Support ETH

ETH’s resilience is backed by around $450 million in ETF inflows, with BlackRock and other major players driving demand. These investments indicate that ETH is being viewed as a long-term asset, not just a short-term trade.

Institutional participation provides buying interest and stability to the price action, and ETH is now in mainstream portfolios.

ETF inflows also attract retail investors, who find validation in the large-scale adoption. This dual effect—whale confidence and institutional flows, creates a foundation for a more sustainable rally once resistance is cleared.

Key signals fueling optimism include:

• $450M ETF inflows supporting market stability
• BlackRock’s involvement is boosting institutional adoption
• Growing retail interest following institutional cues

Whale Accumulation Points to Recovery

Large holders, or “whales,” have been quietly accumulating ETH during price dips, suggesting they see value at current levels. Historically, whale accumulation has preceded meaningful price recoveries, as these investors often act ahead of retail participants.

Even with ETH slipping by more than 2% this week, accumulation patterns suggest confidence in medium- to long-term gains. For investors, this means that smart money expects ETH to break above its current barriers if the macroeconomic environment is supportive.

Ethereum (ETH/USD) Price Prediction: Technical Outlook

The Ethereum price prediction is slightly bearish, indicating a descending triangle formation, with the price repeatedly testing the $4,250 support level while struggling against the $4,490 resistance. This squeeze reflects contracting volatility, often a precursor to a breakout.

The 50-SMA at $4,370 is providing near-term resistance, while the 200-SMA at $3,872 anchors the broader uptrend. Candlestick formations, including Doji and spinning tops, underscore market hesitation, but the RSI at 44 indicates a subtle bullish divergence, suggesting accumulation.

A breakout above $4,490 could launch ETH toward $4,665 and $4,865, completing the triangle structure. Conversely, failure to hold $4,250 risks a retreat to $4,070 and $3,940, with the 200-SMA at $3,872 as final support.

Above $4,490, ETH could reach $4,665 and $4,865. Completing the triangle below $4,250 risks a drop to $4,070 and $3,940, with $3,872 serving as the 200-SMA, providing final support.

For traders, the strategy is simple: wait for confirmation.

A bullish engulfing candle with volume would validate the move and three black crows near support would trigger a sell. In the long term, sustained momentum above $4,490 could propel ETH to new cycle highs, just as Bitcoin did.

ETH’s next move may depend on this technical breakout. Institutional demand and whale activity are bullish, but confirmation is needed before the next leg up. If ETH clears its resistance, it could mark the start of a larger rally that solidifies its position as the leading smart contract platform in the digital economy.

Presale Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) Combines BTC Security With Solana Speed

Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) is positioning itself as the first Bitcoin-native Layer 2 powered by the Solana Virtual Machine (SVM). Its goal is to expand the BTC ecosystem by enabling lightning-fast, low-cost smart contracts, decentralized apps, and even meme coin creation.

By combining BTC’s unmatched security with Solana’s high-performance framework, the project opens the door to entirely new use cases, including seamless BTC bridging and scalable dApp development.

The team has put strong emphasis on trust and scalability, with the project audited by Consult to give investors confidence in its foundations.

Momentum is building quickly. The presale has already crossed $14.1 million, leaving only a limited allocation still available. At today’s stage, HYPER tokens are priced at just $0.012865—but that figure will increase as the presale progresses.

You can buy HYPER tokens on the official Bitcoin Hyper website using crypto or a bank card.

Click Here to Participate in the Presale

As shown in our previous market review, altcoins are still struggling. The market is moving toward an infliction point as the next move could be fundamental for multiple assets. Solana is showing signs of rally exhaustion, Ethereum is entering a potential stalemate. But despite the negative altcoin scene, Bitcoin might be pushing higher with a new bullish pattern.

Bitcoin’s key pattern

Bitcoin might be forming the cup-and-handle, one of the most well-known bullish patterns in technical analysis. Although not yet confirmed, the pattern appears on the daily chart, indicating that after weeks of volatile price action, digital gold may be getting ready for a brief reversal.

BTC fell, consolidated and then steadily recovered to retest resistance levels close to $114,000 during the cup part of the pattern, which seems to have formed between mid-August and early September. The subsequent brief decline is comparable to the start of the handle, a period of consolidation that frequently comes before a breakout. Key factors right now are:

• Technically speaking, Bitcoin might surpass the $114,000 resistance and aim for the $118,000-$120,000 range if the handle completes and buyers enter with conviction.
• The 50-day EMA, which has been capping rallies in recent weeks, is in that zone.
• Following a correction that pulled Bitcoin from highs above $124,000, a successful breakout would both confirm the cup-and-handle and reestablish bullish momentum. The setup is far from risk-free, though.
• Bitcoin is susceptible to a deeper retracement toward $104,000, the 200-day EMA, and a critical structural level for long-term investors if the pattern fails to hold the $110,000-$108,000 support area.

Short-term traders of Bitcoin should monitor the $114,000 neckline. BTC’s next leg higher could be launched from current consolidation if a breakout above it solidifies the mini cup-and-handle formation.

Ethereum’s pivotal level

The price structure of Ethereum is at a turning point. Ethereum has deviated from its steady wave-like pattern of higher highs and higher lows for the first time since its spectacular rally started earlier this summer. The asset is currently trending sideways rather than upward, which may be an early indicator of an impending reversal.

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Both the 20-day and 50-day EMAs have been supporting Ethereum’s strong upward channel since mid-July. New purchases followed each decline, resulting in a stairway rally that saw ETH reach $4,800. Recent candles, however, show a divergence from that bullish trend. With ETH struggling to regain its momentum, the price action has flattened and is now trapped between $4,200 and $4,500.

What this sideways move suggests is what investors are worried about. Strong upward trends usually indicate waning demand and give way to bearish momentum when they lose their rhythm. The next reasonable support level for ETH, if it drops below $4,200, is the 100-day EMA close to $4,000. Ethereum would be at risk of a more severe retracement toward $3,600 if there was a decline there, confirming that the rally’s structure has been officially broken.

A consistent drop in volume has also supported the notion that market players are retreating. Sideways price action frequently resolves to the downside in the absence of significant inflows. The $4,200 key zone is still important for traders to keep an eye on. The bullish story may be saved if ETH maintains this level and breaks above the $4,500 resistance with strong volume.

Solana rally ends?

A lower high is beginning to form on the chart, which is a clear warning sign that Solana is getting tired. Following months of steady gains and higher highs since July, this development may signal the start of a more significant trend reversal, which could put an end to the asset’s current bullish cycle.

SOL recently reached a peak of about $210, but it was unable to surpass its August high of about $225. As an alternative, price action rolled over, creating a lower high, which is a classic indication of waning bullish momentum. Every high should surpass the one before it in a healthy uptrend, but this pattern break indicates that buying pressure isn’t strong enough to push Solana higher at this point.

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Declining trading volume combined with the daily structure makes it even more worrisome. Enthusiasm has waned, suggesting that market participants are reluctant to keep joining the rally even though the price is still above the psychological $200 threshold. A loss of momentum is reflected in the Relative Strength Index’s (RSI) flattening.

A confirmed trend reversal could occur from the lower high if Solana is unable to recover the $225 level in the near future. If $196, a crucial short-term support, were broken, further declines toward $185 and the 100-day EMA at $176 would be possible. A stronger move might even put the 200-day EMA close to $170 to the test, which would seriously undermine the long-term bullish argument.

The upward trend is currently on life support. A significant push above $210-$215 is necessary for bulls to regain confidence. If not, Solana’s lower high might signal the beginning of a longer-lasting bearish phase that could change market sentiment in the upcoming months.

Across Bitcoin, Ethereum and Solana, price action is tightening around levels that could determine the direction of the market in the next few weeks. A confirmed breakout would restore confidence in the uptrend, while failure to hold support zones risks shifting sentiment decisively bearish.

04 July Chart Decoder Series: Probabilistic Oscillator – Trader’s Radar for Reversal

Welcome to the Chart Decoder series, a guide to learning the essential tools to accurately read Bitfinex charts.

So far, I’ve learned how to spot trends (SMA/EMA), catch momentum shifts (MACD), and how to recognize excess/sold out zones (RSIs) and volatility extremes (bollinger bands).

So let’s talk about stochastic oscillators. This is an indicator of timing moments “too fast”;

What is a probabilistic oscillator?

Stochastic oscillators measure momentum by comparing the current closing price to the high and low ranges over a set period (usually 14 periods).

It consists of two rows.

• %k (high speed line): The main line responds immediately
• %D (slow line): Moving average %k that smooths noise

Typically, you get a reading between 0 and 100.

• Over 80 (%k): Too much bought. The market may need a breather
• Less than 20 (%k): Overselling. There may be a bounce
• Between 20 and 80:neutral. Prices have moved within recent ranges

Signal Crossover

• %k exceeds %d below 20: Bullish inverted signal
• %k is less than %d above 80: Bearish inverted signal
• If both lines are above 80 or below 20: It’s a strong trend, but it’s also a warning that you won’t get over the welcome. These zones often precede the shift.

Bitfinex BTC/USD example

• price:$102,150.
• Blue (k%):96.49
• Orange (D%):96.47
• There are both rows Excessive zone (Over 80). This often indicates the potential fatigue of current upward movements.

Pumps these days may be overdoing that. When a probabilistic measure makes this higher, it often shows it Buyers may be short of gasand it could be that the pullback is round the corner.

But here’s a twist. In particular, in crypto, excessive acquisitions do not mean “time to sell.” With strong trends, probabilistic momentum indicators may remain high for some time. So, you need more clues before you make a call.

What other metrics are useful?

Stochastic oscillators offer easy reading of extreme extremes, but work even better when paired with other tools.

Moving average of index (EMAS) It helps to zoom out, like 50 or 200. If the BTC is bouncing off, but still below 200 EMA, it could be a short-lived rescue rally, not a true reversal of the trend.

Macd It functions like a momentum compass. Although they say the probability theory is over-bought, if the MACD is gaining strength in the upward direction, that might mean there is room for more driving.

rsiOn the other hand, there are close probabilities. It also flags over and oversell zones, but has a smoother and slower approach. It’s perfect for checking if momentum is built or fading. When used together, RSI and probability theory give you both direction and timing. One shows where the market is tilting. The other one will tell you when you’re coming back.

RSI vs. Probability – What’s the difference?

Both indicate whether the coin is “over-acquired” or “over-selled”, but they work differently.

Bonus Read: When adding RSI to a mix

Layered to double check stochastic signals RSI (14) On the same BTC/USD chart. Here’s what we saw:

• Probabilistic It was over-buyed at 96+.
• rsi I sit comfortably 56.98to the right of the neutral zone.

This difference is interesting. Probability theory says “peak momentum,” but suggests that RSI is there There is still room for moving higher Before the trend is gone.

That discrepancy can often be shown Short-term indecisiveness Or even Opportunity to continueespecially when the volume starts.

So what’s moving? If the RSI breaks past 60 or 70 at a price-holding company, you may see this rally pushed further. However, if the RSI stalls and collapses probabilistically, it could be your early warning light.

Pro-use methods like probability theory:

• Checking is important: Don’t rely solely on probabilistic simultaneousness. Wait for the crossover and check the RSI or MACD.
• Don’t panic at every signal: It’s too much bought and can continue to be bought in a fierce bull market.
• Look for divergence: If the price is new and high but not probabilistic, momentum can fade and a reversal could come.
• Multiple time frames: A 15-minute chart signal makes little sense if every day is still trending.

Try it with Bitfinex:

1. Log in to Bitfinex
2. Please select a chart
3. Add a probabilistic oscillator
4. Beware of extreme crossovers

Next chart decoder series: VWAP and how to determine whether a price is above or below “fair value.”

Bitfinex. Original Bitcoin exchange.

]]> https://earlybirdsinvest.com/chart-decoder-series-probabilistic-oscillator-traders-radar-for-reversal/feed/ 0 46067 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/solanas-sol-holds-140-support-as-reversal-pattern-gains-strength/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/solanas-sol-holds-140-support-as-reversal-pattern-gains-strength/#respond Sun, 22 Jun 2025 05:30:41 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/solanas-sol-holds-140-support-as-reversal-pattern-gains-strength/

Crypto Writer

Arslan Butt

Crypto Writer

Arslan Butt

About Author

Arslan Butt is an experienced webinar speaker, market analyst, and content writer specializing in crypto, forex, and commodities. He provides expert insights, trading strategies, and in-depth analysis…

Share

Last updated: 

June 15, 2025

XRP declined by 2.6% this week, even as optimism over a potential settlement between Ripple and the SEC grows. Currently trading near $2.17 with a 24‑hour volume of $1.77 billion, XRP is up 0.35% today.

Despite hopes for a resolution that might slash penalties and lift regulatory pressure, broader market weakness and profit-taking have kept traders cautious.

Settlement Talks: Promise Meets Pushback

A proposed deal would reduce Ripple’s penalty from $125 million to $50 million while dissolving the injunction. That spurred early excitement. However, Judge Analisa Torres raised doubts, asking both parties to justify why her earlier ruling should be overturned.

According to attorney John Deaton, she demands “exceptional circumstances” before signing off.

While Deaton believes there’s a 70% chance the settlement will gain approval, that uncertainty has kept XRP bulls on edge.

Until the judge delivers a clear verdict, legal ambiguity is acting as a dampener, encouraging profit-taking and keeping traders on the sidelines.

XRP Supported Amid Market Headwinds and Technical Standstill

Despite the legal backdrop, broader crypto indices are weak. Regulatory worries and mixed sentiment have outweighed XRP’s long-term potential. Technically, the token seems to be in a consolidation phase:

• A descending trendline defies rallies at around $2.28–$2.29
• XRP stays under the 50-period EMA near $2.20
• Support is forming between $2.10 and $2.14, suggesting underlying buyer interest

Momentum is gradually turning mixed-to-bullish. The MACD histogram is advancing toward neutral, and recent spinning–top candles highlight indecision rather than decisive downward action.

Notably, XRP hasn’t produced bearish formations like the “Three Black Crows,” which suggests sellers are not firmly in control. This sets the stage for a potential breakout if buyers gain conviction.

XRP Trade Plan

Here’s a short-term XRP price prediction:

• Bullish Trigger: Look for a 4‑hour candle closing above $2.20 and the downward trendline
• Targets: First at $2.285, then extended to $2.338
• Stop-loss: Just below the recent swing low near $2.145
• Bearish Option: A drop below $2.145 could open the door to a $2.086 test

Final Take

XRP’s modest slide this week reflects the tug-of-war between doubt and opportunity. While settlement chatter fuels optimism, technical indicators remain range-bound.

The catalyst could come from a decisive move above the 50‑EMA and $2.20, potentially paving the way for a rally to $2.29–$2.34. Conversely, a breakdown below $2.145 would likely lead to a retest of $2.09.

BTC Bull Token Nears $8.1M Cap as 58% APY Staking Attracts Last-Minute Buyers

With XRP trading near $2.17, investor focus is shifting toward altcoins, especially BTC Bull Token ($BTCBULL). The project has now raised $7,141,005.09 out of its $8,216,177 cap, leaving less than $1 million before the next token price hike. The current price of $0.00256 is expected to increase once the cap is hit.

BTC Bull Token links its value directly to Bitcoin through two core mechanisms:

• BTC Airdrops reward holders, with presale participants receiving priority.
• Supply Burns occur automatically every time BTC increases by $50,000, reducing $BTCBULL’s circulating supply.

The token also features a 58% APY staking pool holding over 1.81 billion tokens, offering:

The token also features a 61% APY staking pool holding over 1.73 billion tokens, offering:

• No lockups or fees
• Full liquidity
• Stable passive yields, even in volatile markets

This staking model appeals to both DeFi veterans and newcomers seeking hands-off income.

With just hours left and the hard cap nearly reached, momentum is building fast. BTCBULL’s blend of Bitcoin-linked value, scarcity mechanics, and flexible staking is fueling strong demand. Early buyers have a limited time to enter before the next pricing tier activates.

• SOL price started a fresh decline from the $172 resistance zone against the US Dollar.
• The price is now trading below $162 and the 100-hourly simple moving average.
• There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $160 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken).
• The pair could start a fresh increase if it clears the $160 resistance zone.

Solana Price Dips Again

Solana price failed to continue higher above the $172 level and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL gained pace and traded below the $160 support level.

The price even traded below the $155 level. A low was formed near $150 and the price recently started a recovery wave. There was a move above the $155 level. It surpassed the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $180 swing high to the $150 low.

Solana is now trading below $160 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $160 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair.

On the upside, the price is facing resistance near the $160 level and the trend line. The next major resistance is near the $165 level. It is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $180 swing high to the $150 low.

The main resistance could be $170. A successful close above the $170 resistance zone could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $172. Any more gains might send the price toward the $180 level.

Another Decline in SOL?

If SOL fails to rise above the $160 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $155 zone. The first major support is near the $152 level.

A break below the $152 level might send the price toward the $145 zone. If there is a close below the $145 support, the price could decline toward the $132 support in the near term.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is gaining pace in the bearish zone.

Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is below the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $155 and $152.

Major Resistance Levels – $160 and $162.

A crypto strategist who nailed the Bitcoin top in January is warning that BTC’s recovery rally may witness an abrupt end.

Pseudonymous analyst Bluntz tells his 318,200 followers on the social media platform X that Bitcoin appears to be forming a bearish divergence on the daily chart.

The bearish reversal signal suggests that bullish momentum is waning even though an asset’s price is moving higher or sideways.

Says Bluntz,

“There’s a daily BTC bear div brewing here if it closes red by [today].

It’s unfortunate that it has appeared before fresh all-time highs, but it’s the first one since last year.

Be careful with longs in my opinion.”

At time of writing, Bitcoin is trading for $105,546.

Turning to gold, the analyst believes that the precious metal is poised to ignite a rally to a new all-time high after completing an ABC corrective wave.

Bluntz practices the Elliott Wave theory, which states a bullish asset will continue its uptrend after an ABC correction.

The trader shares a chart suggesting that gold will rally to a new record high of $3,600.

“Gold gathering steam for the next leg up here.”

At time of writing, gold is worth $3,221.

As for the memecoin Floki (FLOKI), Bluntz predicts that the altcoin would dip to around $0.00008 before exploding to $0.00018.

“Looks like FLOKI is one of the few memes with a clear impulse five-wave rise from the lows on the daily, indicating the low is in.

Would be very interested in bidding pullbacks around the 50 fib if given.

Have always had a soft spot for this one.”

At time of writing, FLOKI is worth $0.000098.

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