Results – Earlybirds Invest https://earlybirdsinvest.com Latest Crypto News Wed, 20 Aug 2025 21:03:38 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.9.7 https://i0.wp.com/earlybirdsinvest.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/cropped-New-Project-2024-12-17T235703.455.png?fit=32%2C32&ssl=1 Results – Earlybirds Invest https://earlybirdsinvest.com 32 32 240146708 50-200 Moving Average Crossover Strategy v1 Backtesting Results https://earlybirdsinvest.com/50-200-moving-average-crossover-strategy-v1-backtesting-results/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/50-200-moving-average-crossover-strategy-v1-backtesting-results/#respond Wed, 20 Aug 2025 21:03:37 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/50-200-moving-average-crossover-strategy-v1-backtesting-results/

In a previous article, I showed you how to create a fully automated 50-200 moving average crossover trading strategy, without coding.

Now I’m going to show you the backtesting results of that strategy for every market that I’ve tested.

I’ll show you both the good and bad.

You have to backtest this strategy yourself to make sure that you’re comfortable with it and that it actually works with your broker.

Even if a strategy doesn’t work well, you can test ideas on how to improve it and make it much more profitable.

Now let’s move on to the trading plan and the results for each market.

Remember: This is only a starting point for YOUR trading strategies. This is for informational purposes only and the results below will not guarantee successful trading. 

As I backtest new markets, I’ll add the results to this page.

Bookmark this page and check back periodically if you want to get future updates.

The 50-200 Crossover Strategy Trading Plan

Moving Average crossover on chart

Here are the rules for this plan:

  • Buy
    • Buy when the 50 SMA crosses above the 200 SMA
    • Stop Loss at last swing low
    • Risk 1% per trade
    • Take profit a 1R (1 times risk)
  • Sell
    • Buy when the 50 SMA crosses below the 200 SMA
    • Stop Loss at last swing high
    • Risk 1% per trade
    • Take profit a 1R (1 times risk)

Be sure to read the full 50-200 Moving Average Crossover automated strategy tutorial to learn how I did these backtests in just a few minutes, without coding.

Backtests

EURUSD

Weekly Chart

On this timeframe, there isn’t enough data to pursue this strategy.

With only 10 trades, you simply won’t get enough trades to make this viable.

EURUSD W 50-200 Crossover

Daily Chart

This actually looks pretty good.

True…the return is very low, but the max drawdown is also low and the strategy stayed profitable throughout the entire test.

So this could be a good strategy to optimize, or trade in multiple markets, assuming that the results are favorable in those markets too.

No guarantees obviously, further testing would have to be done.

EURUSD D chart 50-200

4-Hour Chart

This strategy was profitable for most of the testing period, so this could be a good timeframe to start experimenting with.

Yes, the return was breakeven.

But the graph is more promising than most of the others on this list.

It executed 209 trades, which is decent.

If this works in other markets, then the combined return could produce a significant return.

Again, backtest this for yourself.

This is only meant to be a starting point.

EURUSD 4-hour results

1-Hour Chart

The return on this strategy was breakeven, so there is potential to possibly optimize this timeframe.

On the upside, the strategy did execute quite a few trades.

EURUSD 1-hour 50-200 moving average crossover results

30-Minute Chart

The results on this timeframe are not worth examining further, at least with this version of the strategy.

EURUSD 30m

5-Minute Chart

The results are terrible on the 5-minute chart, so no further analysis is necessary.

EURUSD 5min backtesting results

AUDUSD

Weekly Chart

Not enough trades here to start using this timeframe.

AUDUSD weekly results

Daily Chart

This could be tweaked because the results are breakeven. The biggest issue is that there aren’t very many trades, so I wouldn’t pursue this one.

AUDUSD daily results 50-200

4-Hour Chart

Another breakeven result, so it might be something worth tweaking.

AUDUSD H4 50-200 crossover chart

1-Hour Chart

Breakeven again. Maybe it’s worth a few tweaks, but I wouldn’t spend a lot of time on it.

AUDUSD H1 results

30-Minute Chart

Pretty terrible results, so probably not worth messing with. Move on.

AUDUSD M30 chart backtesting results

5-Minute Chart

Just like with the EURUSD, the 5-minute chart is completely useless, so this is not worth exploring.

It pretty much blew out the account.

audusd m5 results

Notes and Observations About this Strategy

So far, the lower timeframes are showing much worse results.

Therefore, it might be better to stick to the daily and 4-hour charts.

Also, the stop loss on this strategy may not be ideal.

Sometimes the stop ends up being too far away and it takes awhile for price to hit the target.

More testing and optimization would have to be done.

Learn how to build and tweak this strategy and test your own ideas and you might come out with better results than me.

Conclusion

So that’s how this strategy stacks up in all of those markets.

I’ll be adding new backtests as I do them, so be sure to bookmark this page and check back periodically to see if I have any new markets.

Remember that you should always backtest a strategy for yourself. 

Never rely on the results of others, including me. 

To learn exactly how I created an automated program to do the backtests above, WITHOUT coding, read this tutorial.

 

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XRP Chatter Reaches Ride-Share Drivers — Small Survey Shows Mixed Results https://earlybirdsinvest.com/xrp-chatter-reaches-ride-share-drivers-small-survey-shows-mixed-results/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/xrp-chatter-reaches-ride-share-drivers-small-survey-shows-mixed-results/#respond Sun, 17 Aug 2025 06:58:24 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/xrp-chatter-reaches-ride-share-drivers-small-survey-shows-mixed-results/

A wave of anecdotes from industry figures and onlookers has pushed XRP into everyday talk in some circles, but the picture is mixed.

Related Reading

According to a recent podcast episode featuring several crypto commentators, guests flagged “mania signals” as a way to spot when an asset is going mainstream.

Some guests said they are now hearing XRP mentioned in casual settings, while others point to counterexamples that suggest the trend is not universal.

Uber Drivers Talk Crypto

Based on reports from the Unchained podcast and social posts, one guest said they had taken multiple Uber rides where drivers were trading XRP.

That comment was later amplified on social media, with others sharing similar encounters.

Reports have disclosed that another well-known community figure said Uber drivers in Nevada and Michigan even recognized him as “that XRP lawyer guy” after his advocacy in the Ripple–SEC case. Those anecdotes add color to claims of growing retail chatter.

Small Survey Finds Little Uptake

A separate, small experiment tested the idea directly. A commentator took 25 Uber rides in Ontario and asked each driver whether they held XRP.

Most drivers were confused or said they did not own any crypto. One driver reported holding XRP, having bought at $1.67, and said they planned to hold long-term.

Based on that sample, the experiment’s author concluded that the “Uber driver” story is overstated, or that early buyers may have already cashed out.

XRPUSD currently trading at $3.13. Chart: TradingView

Retail Buzz Versus Real Adoption

Analysts differ on what these encounters mean. According to a Bloomberg ETF analyst cited in reports, institutional demand for a possible XRP ETF may start modest while retail interest could be greater.

Other researchers in the community argue that institutions might be quietly building positions even if many retail investors remain unaware.

Both lines of argument can be true at once: pockets of strong recognition can exist while broad adoption lags behind.

Anecdotes Need Hard Data

What matters next is measurable breadth. Watchers say to track search trends, wallet activity, and consistent reports from many cities rather than isolated meetings.

Related Reading

If mentions of XRP keep appearing across unrelated places, that would be stronger evidence. For now, though, the mix of big-signal stories and low-hit surveys means the claim of wide mainstream recognition is still unproven.

These first-hand accounts are compelling because they are simple and human. They make a tidy headline and spark debate online.

Reports so far say they are not yet a substitute for consistent, verifiable data. Some people are clearly talking about XRP in daily life. But the jury is still out on whether that talk has crossed into broad mainstream awareness.

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

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Medalla data challenge results https://earlybirdsinvest.com/medalla-data-challenge-results/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/medalla-data-challenge-results/#respond Sun, 13 Jul 2025 13:49:29 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/medalla-data-challenge-results/

The EF is excited to announce the results of the Medalla data challenge, a data hackathon focused on the Medalla testnet ✨

The prompt was open-ended: we asked for data tools, visualizations, and analyses of testnet data; in short, anything that would help the community make sense of all the data.

Over the course of six weeks we received 23 submissions from a wide variety of teams. We were pleased to see high quality submissions for every category.

Prizes are divided into three tiers based on scope, extensibility, and usefulness to the community.

🥇 Gold ($15k prize)

  • Jim McDonald — chaind, a tool for extracting data from a running eth2 client and storing it in a PostgreSQL database. Notably, this tool was used by multiple other teams who submitted to the data challenge.
  • Pintail — a series of blog posts (1, 2, 3, 4, 5) comparing client performance, studying network behavior, and discussing validator effectiveness.

🥈 Silver ($5k prize)

  • Sid Shekhar and Elias Simos — a wide-ranging study of eth2 data.
  • Evgeny Medvedev of Nansen — an extension of the ethereum-etl tool to eth2, as well as a BigQuery database dump of eth2 data.
  • Nate McKervey of Splunk — a blog post and dashboard studying Ethereum network health.

🥉 Bronze ($1k prize)


Looking forward

The aims of this contest were to welcome new minds into the Ethereum community, encourage them to pore over eth2 data, make it easier to parse and analyse, and provide valuable insights to both developers and the community at large. To that end, the competition has been a great success, and we suspect that many of the tools and analyses produced will be useful as mainnet goes live.

If you’re interested in picking up where any of these submissions left off, please consider applying for a staking community grant!

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Results of ZCAP Dev Fund Poll https://earlybirdsinvest.com/results-of-zcap-dev-fund-poll/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/results-of-zcap-dev-fund-poll/#respond Fri, 02 May 2025 15:52:09 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/results-of-zcap-dev-fund-poll/

On April 17, 2025 we opened a Dev Fund Poll of the Zcash Community Advisory Panel (ZCAP) to determine which of the funding proposals have the most support, or if the Dev Fund should end and 100% of the block rewards should go to miners. Additionally the poll surveyed community members about prioritizing an extension of the Dev Fund and implementation of a new funding model, even if it requires postponing NU7. 

128 ZCAP voters participated in this poll, representing 64% of the total number of members. The results appear below.


Q1: Which of the following funding proposals do you support? You can select more than one proposal.

  • Community and Coinholder Funding Model (C&C) (84 votes/32.3%)
  • Community-Governed Funding Model (41votes/15.8%)
  • Pure Coinholder Funding Model (28 votes/10.8%)
  • Pure ZCAP Funding Model (39 votes/15.0%)
  • Zcash Governance Bloc (zBloc) (44 votes/16.9%)
  • The Dev Fund should end and 100% of the block reward should go to miners. (24 votes/9.2%)

Note: This question allowed for multiple selections, therefore the percentages above represent the total number of votes for each option, based on a total of 260 selections made across all options. 


Q2: Do you support prioritizing the extension of the Dev Fund and the implementation of a new funding model, even if it requires postponing NU7?

  • Yes (66 votes/51.6%)
  • No (43 votes/33.6%)
  • Abstain (19 votes/14.8%)

Based on these results we can conclude that the Community and Coinholder Funding Model (C&C) has the greatest level of support and that an extension of the Dev Fund and implementation of a new funding model is ZCAP’s recommended path forward. The outcomes of this poll will be considered along with the ZAC and coin holder polls to determine if there is community consensus. 

We would like to express our gratitude to everyone who contributed to this process. Thank you to those who drafted proposals, engaged in discussions and debates on the Zcash community forum, across social media, and during community calls. Additionally, we appreciate those who organized alternative community polls and are grateful to everyone who took the time to vote.

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Merge Data Challenge Results https://earlybirdsinvest.com/merge-data-challenge-results/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/merge-data-challenge-results/#respond Sun, 13 Apr 2025 19:40:36 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/merge-data-challenge-results/

The Ethereum Foundation is excited to announce the winners of the Merge Data Challenge 🐼.

The challenge ran for ~9 weeks surrounding the Merge, allowing for data analysts to gather and review information both before and after the big event. Participants submitted a treasure trove of data and analysis in 45(!) different blog posts.

Enjoy combing through the many insights and, as everything is open source, feel free to open things up and extend/modify the analysis!

Prizes

Prizes are divided into three tiers, based on the overall quality, scope, extensibility, and usefulness to the community.

Gold ($30k prize) 🥇


Silver ($10k prize) 🥈


Bronze ($2.5k prize) 🥉


Looking Forward

The Merge Data Challenge produced excellent new tools, analyses, and visualizations. That said, there is ongoing work to do in monitoring and understanding Ethereum’s proof-of-stake network — especially in the Beacon Chain consensus-layer.

If you’re interested in digging deeper or productionizing the tools and techniques found in these submissions, please consider applying to the Ecosystem Support Program!

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Google makes it easier to remove your personal information from search results https://earlybirdsinvest.com/google-makes-it-easier-to-remove-your-personal-information-from-search-results/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/google-makes-it-easier-to-remove-your-personal-information-from-search-results/#respond Mon, 03 Mar 2025 08:36:00 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/google-makes-it-easier-to-remove-your-personal-information-from-search-results/

In brief: As the dominant gateway to online information, Google’s search engine has shaped how people access and discover content. However, search results sometimes expose personal data, raising privacy concerns. A recent update introduces a tool that gives users more control over what appears in search results.

Google updated a search engine tool called “Results About You” that it initially rolled out in 2022. Developers have made it more user-friendly and directly integrated its most helpful features into search results, including the ability to remove your personal data from them.

Users must first take a somewhat counterintuitive step to use the tool: inputting their personal information into the system. While potentially alarming for those aiming to protect their privacy, this process is necessary for the tool to identify and manage specific data in search results. However, regardless of whether it appears in search results, Google likely already possesses this information anyway.

One of the most significant improvements in this update is the integration of its key features directly into search results. While not prominently displayed, users can access Results About You through the three-dot menu next to each search result. This menu includes options to remove results containing personal information.

When requesting the removal of personal information, Google prompts users for additional details, a process that typically takes only a few seconds. The interface also accommodates non-personal removal requests, such as reporting illegal content. All requests are logged in the “Results About You” tool for later review. It’s crucial to note that Google can only remove content from its search results, not the web pages containing it.

The redesigned hub allows users to monitor the status of their removal requests and offers additional features. For instance, users can request a data refresh if a search result contains inaccurate information. This option is useful when a website has removed personal data, but the search results haven’t updated.

It is not the first Google has overhauled the tool. In 2023, it introduced a suite of features that made it more proactive, actively scanning search results for users’ data. Developers added an expanded dashboard, giving users a more comprehensive view of their personal information in Search. It also added the ability to request the removal of nonconsensual explicit images from search results.

Google recommends regularly checking the Results About You hub. The tool automatically identifies new instances of previously highlighted personal data, allowing users to request removals quickly. Additionally, users can receive notifications via phone or email when new personal information emerges in search results.

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Billionaire Money Managers Weighed In on Nvidia Long Before It Released Its Full-Year Results — and Their Sentiment Couldn't Be Clearer https://earlybirdsinvest.com/billionaire-money-managers-weighed-in-on-nvidia-long-before-it-released-its-full-year-results-and-their-sentiment-couldnt-be-clearer/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/billionaire-money-managers-weighed-in-on-nvidia-long-before-it-released-its-full-year-results-and-their-sentiment-couldnt-be-clearer/#respond Thu, 27 Feb 2025 10:15:14 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/billionaire-money-managers-weighed-in-on-nvidia-long-before-it-released-its-full-year-results-and-their-sentiment-couldnt-be-clearer/ Some of Wall Street’s most prominent asset managers have spoken volumes with their trading activity.

Data isn’t hard to come by on Wall Street. Between earnings season — the six-week period each quarter where the vast majority of S&P 500 companies unveil their operating results — and economic data releases from the U.S. government, investors are rarely struggling for catalysts that can move the broader market.

But among these market-moving data dumps, nothing has been more anticipated than Nvidia (NVDA 3.67%) lifting the hood on its fiscal fourth-quarter and full-year operating results (Nvidia’s fiscal 2025 ended on Jan. 26, 2025) following the closing bell on Feb. 26.

Nvidia has been the face of the artificial intelligence (AI) revolution for the last two years. The company’s Hopper (H100) graphics processing unit (GPU) and next-generation Blackwell GPU architecture are the undisputed top options in enterprise AI-accelerated data centers, and are what allow AI software and systems to make split-second decisions.

A money manager using a stylus and smartphone to analyze a stock chart displayed on a computer monitor.

Image source: Getty Images.

Although investors should have a good bead on what to expect from Nvidia following the release of its operating results, as of this writing on Feb. 25, we’ve already witnessed a number of billionaire money managers weigh in — and their sentiment regarding Wall Street’s AI darling couldn’t be clearer.

Wall Street’s prominent billionaire asset managers speak volumes with their actions

In addition to publicly traded companies reporting their operating results on a quarterly basis, institutional investors with at least $100 million in assets under management are required to file Form 13F with the Securities and Exchange Commission no later than 45 calendar days following the end to a quarter.

A 13F provides a snapshot that allows investors to see which stocks Wall Street’s most prominent money managers have been buying and selling. Even though these filings are stale for active hedge funds, they can still clue investors into the stocks, industries, sectors, and trends that have the full attention of top-tier asset managers.

As you can imagine, Nvidia’s historic ascent tied to the AI revolution made it a popular company for billionaire investors to keep an eye on. But based on 13F filings over the last two years, billionaire money managers have been decisive sellers of Nvidia stock. Note: All figures below have been adjusted for Nvidia’s historic 10-for-1 forward stock split in June 2024.

  • Philippe Laffont of Coatue Management: Sold 39,795,532 shares of Nvidia stock since the first quarter of 2023, equating to an 80% reduction.
  • David Tepper of Appaloosa Management: Sold 9,569,999 shares since the third quarter of 2023, which works out to a 93% haircut.
  • Stanley Druckenmiller of Duquesne Family Office: Sold the entirety of his fund’s 9,500,750-share stake since the second quarter of 2023.
  • Stephen Mandel of Lone Pine Capital: Sold his fund’s entire stake of 6,416,490 shares of Nvidia since the second quarter of 2023.

The “why?” behind this persistent selling activity can likely be explained by five factors.

A businessperson pressing the sell button on an oversized digital screen.

Image source: Getty Images.

Billionaire investors are selling Nvidia stock hand over fist

The most-logical of all reasons for these four billionaire investors to ring the register is simple profit-taking. These are relatively active fund managers who likely recognize that Nvidia’s roughly $3 trillion increase in market value isn’t something that happens to public companies on a regular basis. The worry is that this selling is tied to much more than just simple profit-taking.

A second possibility is that billionaire fund managers were concerned about an inevitable uptick in competition for Nvidia. Interestingly, while direct competitors tend to get the most attention, internal competitive pressure might be the bigger concern.

Many of Nvidia’s top customers by net sales are developing their own AI chips, with the goal of using this hardware in their AI-accelerated data centers. Even if these AI GPUs fail to match Nvidia’s chips in terms of computing speed, they’ll be notably cheaper and not backlogged. In other words, Nvidia is at serious risk of losing out on valuable data center real estate with its top customers and seeing its pricing power weaken over time.

The regulatory environment for AI chips and related equipment marks a third potential sell-side catalyst for billionaire money managers. The Joe Biden administration clamped down on exports of high-powered AI chips to China from 2022 through 2024. Donald Trump’s administration seems intent on keeping America’s AI intellectual property protected from the world’s No. 2 economy. This means billions of dollars of Nvidia’s quarterly sales to China are now at risk.

Historic precedent is the fourth worry that may have encouraged Laffont, Tepper, Druckenmiller, and Mandel to head for the exit. Every next-big-thing technology for three decades has navigated its way through a bubble-bursting event early in its existence. This is a reflection of investors consistently overestimating the adoption rate and/or utility of a new innovation. If history were to rhyme and the AI bubble bursts, no company would, arguably, be hit harder than Nvidia.

The fifth catalyst that may be responsible for spurring aggressive selling activity by billionaire fund managers is Nvidia’s valuation. While it’s not egregiously expensive on the basis of forward-year earnings, Nvidia’s price-to-sales (P/S) ratio peaked at more than 42 last summer. Businesses that have been on the leading edge of next-big-thing trends have often peaked at respective P/S ratios of roughly 30 to 40 over the last three decades.

Although all eyes have been on Nvidia’s operating results for weeks, billionaire investors spoke with their wallets long before the company’s full-year report came into focus.

Sean Williams has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Nvidia. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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