Resilience – Earlybirds Invest https://earlybirdsinvest.com Latest Crypto News Thu, 31 Jul 2025 21:44:56 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.9.7 https://i0.wp.com/earlybirdsinvest.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/cropped-New-Project-2024-12-17T235703.455.png?fit=32%2C32&ssl=1 Resilience – Earlybirds Invest https://earlybirdsinvest.com 32 32 240146708 Analytics Firm Says $9,600,000,000 Discrete Profit-Taking On Bitcoin Proved BTC’s Resilience, Outlines Level That Could See Rapid and Intense Sell-Side Pressure https://earlybirdsinvest.com/analytics-firm-says-9600000000-discrete-profit-taking-on-bitcoin-proved-btcs-resilience-outlines-level-that-could-see-rapid-and-intense-sell-side-pressure/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/analytics-firm-says-9600000000-discrete-profit-taking-on-bitcoin-proved-btcs-resilience-outlines-level-that-could-see-rapid-and-intense-sell-side-pressure/#respond Thu, 31 Jul 2025 21:44:56 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/analytics-firm-says-9600000000-discrete-profit-taking-on-bitcoin-proved-btcs-resilience-outlines-level-that-could-see-rapid-and-intense-sell-side-pressure/

Crypto analytics platform Glassnode is saying Bitcoin (BTC) has proven its resilience after a massive stash of the flagship digital asset was sold off last weekend.

Glassnode says an unnamed investor disposed of Bitcoin worth nearly $10 billion via Galaxy Digital last weekend, demonstrating Bitcoin’s “growing liquidity profile and market depth.”

“This liquidity was put to the test over the weekend, as an early Bitcoin investor, via Galaxy Digital’s services, distributed 80,000 BTC (approximately $9.6 billion), likely through a mix of market sales and [over-the-counter] OTC transactions. The resulting sell-side pressure drove the price down to $115,000 before stabilizing at $119,000.

This episode illustrates Bitcoin’s ability to absorb large sell-side volumes, even during typically thinner weekend trading hours, reinforcing the market’s structural robustness.”

The analytics platform says that a “super-majority” of Bitcoin holders are currently sitting on significant unrealized profits, with more than 97% of the circulating supply in the black.

“This underscores how the majority of investors are sitting on substantial paper gains, and sets up an environment of potential future sell-side pressure should prices continue to rise further.”

Source: Glassnode

According to Glassnode, profit-taking could “sharply intensify” if Bitcoin goes up by around 20% from the current level.

“…Bitcoin may remain range-bound between $105,000 and $125,000 until a decisive breakout occurs. Should the market break convincingly higher, the $141,000 region is likely to present the next major zone of resistance where sell-side pressure may intensify rapidly…”

Bitcoin is trading at $117,651 at time of writing.

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Trump Champions Crypto: Calls It ‘Very Hot’ Amid Market Crash Resilience https://earlybirdsinvest.com/trump-champions-crypto-calls-it-very-hot-amid-market-crash-resilience/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/trump-champions-crypto-calls-it-very-hot-amid-market-crash-resilience/#respond Tue, 06 May 2025 02:16:20 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/trump-champions-crypto-calls-it-very-hot-amid-market-crash-resilience/

Although BTC failed at $100,000 and the broader market faced a minor 2.1% pullback, U.S. President Donald Trump has doubled down on his pro-crypto stance, calling the asset class “very popular,” “very hot,” and even “much stronger” than the stock market.

The comments were made in a May 4 sit down with Meet the Press moderator Kristen Welker, where Trump fielded questions about his personal crypto holdings, the recent surge of his namesake meme coin, and his administration’s crypto policy stance among others.

Trump’s Crypto Endorsement

When asked about the surprising 58% surge in the TRUMP token’s value following an exclusive dinner invitation to top holders, the President quipped, “I don’t even know that. What did it surge to?” After Welker clarified the price had spiked a lot, Trump scoffed: “Billion dollars?” before brushing off the metric entirely: “Well, that doesn’t mean anything.”

Last week, reports emerged that the uptick in the meme coin’s price may have been engineered, with on-chain data showing large transfers to centralized exchanges. It led many in the community to suspect the team behind the token may have been executing a “pump and dump” move post-dinner invitation. Trump, however, denied profiting from the token, stating bluntly: “I’m not profiting from anything.”

Despite the controversy, what stood out in the interview was Trump’s clear endorsement of crypto’s relevance on the global stage.

“I want crypto. I think crypto’s important because if we don’t do it, China’s going to.” he declared.

He further stressed their staying power, saying, “It’s very popular, it’s very hot,” while suggesting the assets had performed better than the mainstream market during the recent slump triggered by a tariff clash between the U.S. and its major trading partners.

“If you look at the market, when the market went down, that stayed much stronger than other aspects of the market.”

Trump also admitted that his about turn on crypto was because the sector had become very popular. “Millions of people want it,” declared the politician.

The billionaire businessman’s praise of cryptocurrencies came amid reports that a company affiliated with him, Trump Media & Technology Group, is looking to embed crypto into its business model.

BTC Holds the Line

Meanwhile, BTC, the king cryptocurrency, jumped to $98,000 last Friday before failing to sustain the momentum and slipping back below $96,000 over the weekend.

The pullback followed a brief run-up from the $93,000–$95,000 consolidation zone that had held strong throughout late April.

Currently trading at $94,666, Bitcoin’s daily volume remains strong, with the last 24 hours seeing about $19.5 billion changing hands as its market dominance stayed above 60%.

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Bitcoin (BTC) Shows Resilience as It Strengthens and Decouples from Stock Markets https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-btc-shows-resilience-as-it-strengthens-and-decouples-from-stock-markets/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-btc-shows-resilience-as-it-strengthens-and-decouples-from-stock-markets/#respond Thu, 24 Apr 2025 18:19:01 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-btc-shows-resilience-as-it-strengthens-and-decouples-from-stock-markets/

Bitcoin has gained significant momentum over the past week, surging 10% against the US dollar after a relatively quiet and often painful spring. After recently hitting two-month high, the world’s leading cryptocurrency appears to be setting its sights on a new all-time high, and this signals a potential new phase for the asset.

Experts point to several factors contributing to Bitcoin’s resurgence.

Bitcoin’s Decoupling Cycle

According to CryptoQuant’s latest analysis, the weakening of the US dollar, which has historically shown an inverse correlation, is a factor. As the dollar drops, Bitcoin typically strengthens, a trend that seems to be playing out once again.

Another potential catalyst for BTC’s rise is the ongoing geopolitical situation. Market uncertainties, particularly due to trade tariffs imposed by the Trump administration, have recently shown signs of de-escalation. Reports indicate that the tariffs, which have weighed on markets, could be moderated as political leverage shifts.

In addition, talks surrounding a possible peace deal in Ukraine have sparked optimism. Should these negotiations result in a resolution, high-risk assets like cryptocurrencies could benefit significantly.

Perhaps the most significant trend in Bitcoin’s performance is its decoupling from traditional markets. Over the past seven days, Bitcoin has notably separated from both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite, indicating a weakening correlation with traditional stocks. The correlation coefficient with the S&P 500 has dropped from 0.88 in late 2024 to 0.77, while the Nasdaq correlation has fallen from 0.91 to 0.83 in the same period.

Digital Gold Narrative

Interestingly, Bitcoin’s relationship with gold has been strengthening. The correlation coefficient with gold has improved from -0.62 earlier this month to -0.31 currently. This suggests that Bitcoin may be increasingly viewed as a store of value similar to gold.

Such a shift could signal that Bitcoin is emerging as “digital gold,” with gold potentially serving as a leading indicator for Bitcoin’s price movements in the near future.

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Bitfinex alpha | Bitcoin resilience amid the market turmoil https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitfinex-alpha-bitcoin-resilience-amid-the-market-turmoil/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitfinex-alpha-bitcoin-resilience-amid-the-market-turmoil/#respond Tue, 22 Apr 2025 15:13:05 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitfinex-alpha-bitcoin-resilience-amid-the-market-turmoil/

Bitfinex alpha | Bitcoin resilience amid the market turmoil

Bitcoin has shown remarkable resilience in recent years during one of the most intense periods of macroeconomically driven uncertainty. Despite a 32% drawdown from January high, BTC still stands alongside the historic mid-cycle retrace of the previous bull market. Importantly, US equities and Treasury have experienced the extreme volatility reflected in VIX, spikes above 40 for the first time in over five years, but Vitocoin has recovered above 16% from its low, surpassing most traditional risk assets.

This rebound comes along with a push of gold to an all-time high of over $3,300 per ounce, reinforcing the growing narrative of Bitcoin being evolving into a digital macro hedge. Both assets are considered valuable global neutral storage amid globalization, trade disputes, and capital flights from volatile stock markets. Recent Price Actions further support this paper. April 2 – or Liberation Day – Bitcoin behaves more like gold than stocks, showing strong recovery momentum from the low markets, whilst lower markets continue to struggle with tightening down and policy uncertainty.

BTC/USD 4H chart. (Source: Bitfinex)

In fact, the US economy in particular recognizes that it is in a sensitive and increasingly unstable position as trade policy uncertainty, inflation risks and consumer behavior converges. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has expressed a cautious stance on interest rates and highlighted the need for more data amid growing market uncertainty caused by new tariffs and restrictions on Chinese imports.

Import prices have fallen conservatively, mainly due to lower energy costs, but this decline is expected to be short-lived. Recently imposed tariffs and weakening of the US dollar could lead to higher import inflation in the coming months. These rising costs have already been kept to consumers, showing a sharp 1.4% increase in retail sales in March. This is evidence that Americans are rushing to buy ahead of the expected price rise, and see more of the defensive response than signs of recovery. The weakening of inflationary pressures and consumer sentiment could quickly turn households into saving on spending.

Import price index and US dollar index

Last week, the crypto landscape saw a wave of adoption and innovation in a variety of areas. Tether has made a strategic investment in Fizen, a fintech company focusing on independent wallets and digital payments, with the aim of bringing Stablecoins like USDT into everyday use through user-friendly tools such as QR codes and card readers. The move reflects the driving force of a wider industry to make digital assets more accessible, especially for unbanked communities around the world. Meanwhile, canary capital has submitted to the US SEC to launch a tron-based ETF that includes some of its larger plans to expand its crypto investment products amid a more favorable regulatory environment. Panama City has announced that it will accept Bitcoin, Ethereum, USDC and USDT on the public sector front for taxes and local government fees.

]]> https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitfinex-alpha-bitcoin-resilience-amid-the-market-turmoil/feed/ 0 32220 Bitcoin recovery shows resilience amid macro turmoil but momentum faces resistance at $92k https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-recovery-shows-resilience-amid-macro-turmoil-but-momentum-faces-resistance-at-92k/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-recovery-shows-resilience-amid-macro-turmoil-but-momentum-faces-resistance-at-92k/#respond Tue, 22 Apr 2025 05:32:09 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-recovery-shows-resilience-amid-macro-turmoil-but-momentum-faces-resistance-at-92k/

Bitcoin (BTC) has demonstrated notable resilience amid widespread macroeconomic uncertainty, but the zone between $91,000 and $92,000 still poses a threat to an extended upward movement.

The latest edition of the “Bitfinex Alpha” report highlighted that BTC rebounded sharply, even as traditional markets continued to experience heightened volatility. Bitcoin recovered more than 16% from its recent lows despite facing a 32% drawdown earlier in the current market cycle.

Market uncertainty

The recovery comes as global markets react to increasing trade tensions and policy uncertainty in the US. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell emphasized a data-dependent approach to interest rates, warning that sudden shifts in US trade policy could complicate the central bank’s dual mandate of maintaining stable inflation and employment. 

Meanwhile, stock indices such as the Dow Jones Industrial Average, the S&P 500, and the Nasdaq Composite experienced notable declines, while the US Treasury and bond markets reflected mounting stress.

Against this backdrop, traditional safe-haven assets, such as gold, have reached record highs, surpassing $3,400. Bitcoin, often considered a risk-sensitive asset, initially sold off alongside equities but has since staged a stronger recovery, trading around $87,500. 

The report noted that Bitcoin’s correlation with gold strengthened during this period, suggesting that it is increasingly regarded as a complementary macro hedge rather than merely a speculative asset.

Resistance at realized price

Despite Bitcoin’s recovery, challenges remain for its upward momentum. CryptoQuant’s head of research, Julio Moreno, noted that Bitcoin faces resistance in the $91,000 to $92,000 range, an area aligned with traders’ on-chain realized prices.

The realized price is an important technical level for traders. When broader market conditions are bullish, this metric often serves as support. However, in bearish conditions, it tends to function as resistance. 

Moreno said that current market conditions still fall into the latter category, suggesting that Bitcoin’s attempts to decisively breach the $92,000 mark could encounter continued selling pressure.

Nevertheless, Bitcoin’s ability to rebound in parallel with gold amid intensified volatility in equity and bond markets continues to outline its evolving role within diversified investment strategies.

As global trade policies evolve and monetary policy remains cautious, Bitcoin’s trading behavior further proves its maturation in broader financial market conditions.

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Over 85% Of Bitcoin Holders Still In Profit Despite Tariff-Driven Correction – Resilience On Display https://earlybirdsinvest.com/over-85-of-bitcoin-holders-still-in-profit-despite-tariff-driven-correction-resilience-on-display/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/over-85-of-bitcoin-holders-still-in-profit-despite-tariff-driven-correction-resilience-on-display/#respond Fri, 11 Apr 2025 09:38:15 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/over-85-of-bitcoin-holders-still-in-profit-despite-tariff-driven-correction-resilience-on-display/

Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

Yesterday, Bitcoin and the broader crypto market experienced a sharp bounce from recent lows after US President Donald Trump announced a 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs for all countries except China, which remains under a steep 125% tariff. The news brought temporary relief to global markets, igniting a wave of buying across risk assets. Bitcoin surged alongside equities, which also saw a boost despite ongoing geopolitical tensions and fears of prolonged trade wars.

Volatility remains high across all financial sectors, with sharp price swings becoming the norm amid ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty. Still, Bitcoin’s resilience continues to stand out. According to data from IntoTheBlock, even at this week’s lowest levels, over 85% of Bitcoin holders remained in profit. This highlights the strength of long-term holders and investor conviction in BTC’s long-term value, even as the asset trades nearly 30% below its all-time high.

The combination of strong on-chain fundamentals and macro-driven volatility suggests Bitcoin may be entering a new consolidation phase. While risks remain, especially if broader market instability persists, Bitcoin’s ability to hold key levels and bounce on relief news underscores its growing role as a resilient asset in times of uncertainty.

Bitcoin Holds Strong After Sharp Correction: Key Resistance Ahead

After losing over 30% of its value when it dropped below $75,000, Bitcoin has shown surprising strength in the face of continued macroeconomic uncertainty. The recent bounce above the $80,000 mark has renewed hope among bulls, suggesting that the worst phase of the correction may be over. However, global tensions, US tariffs, and fears of an impending global recession continue to cast a shadow over financial markets.

President Trump’s announcement of a 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs for all countries except China provided some relief, triggering a rebound across both equities and crypto. Yet, this relief might be temporary. Market sentiment remains fragile until a broader trade agreement with China is achieved, keeping risk levels elevated.

Bitcoin now faces a critical resistance zone around $88,700 on the daily chart. Reclaiming this level would likely confirm a more sustained recovery and could spark renewed bullish momentum.

Despite recent volatility, Bitcoin’s fundamentals remain strong. IntoTheBlock’s In/Out of the Money chart reveals that even during this week’s lows, over 85% of Bitcoin holders remained in profit. This highlights the asset’s resilience and long-term holder confidence, suggesting that BTC may be better positioned to weather macroeconomic storms than in previous cycles.

Bitcoin Historical In/Out of the Money | Source: IntoTheBlock on X
Bitcoin Historical In/Out of the Money | Source: IntoTheBlock on X

BTC Price Holds $80K But Resistance Looms At $83.5K

Bitcoin is trading at $81,600 after a sharp bullish surge on Tuesday, reclaiming the psychological $80K level that has acted as a critical support-turned-resistance throughout the recent correction. Holding above $80K is now essential for bulls to build momentum and attempt a broader recovery, but resistance is mounting just overhead.

BTC testing the 4-hour 200 MA | Source: BTCUSdt chart on TradingView
BTC testing the 4-hour 200 MA | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

The 4-hour 200-day moving average (MA) around $83,500 has emerged as a key level. BTC stalled at this technical barrier after its bounce, and bulls must break above it to confirm a short-term reversal. Since Bitcoin fell below the $100K milestone, this moving average has consistently rejected upward moves, signaling that sentiment remains cautious.

If bulls succeed in pushing above $83.5K with conviction, it would signal growing strength and open the door for a retest of the $87K–$88K zone. However, failure to break through—and especially a drop back below $80K—would likely trigger renewed panic selling. That could invalidate the bullish structure forming now and lead to a continuation of the broader downtrend that began in March. All eyes are now on whether BTC can flip $83.5K from resistance to support in the coming sessions.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView 

Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.

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Bitcoin Resilience Suggests Bullish Outlook as Dollar Weakens, Stagflation Looms — Grayscale https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-resilience-suggests-bullish-outlook-as-dollar-weakens-stagflation-looms-grayscale/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-resilience-suggests-bullish-outlook-as-dollar-weakens-stagflation-looms-grayscale/#respond Wed, 09 Apr 2025 03:37:03 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-resilience-suggests-bullish-outlook-as-dollar-weakens-stagflation-looms-grayscale/

Bitcoin investors may not exactly feel it, but BTC has been a relatively good bet since President Trump’s tariff plans last week resulted in historic losses in traditional markets. While stocks and other mainstream investments have been falling off a cliff since the “Liberation Day” announcement April 2, bitcoin has remained relatively steady losing “only” 8% of its value.

“I think this is the most bullish 8% drawdown I’ve ever seen in bitcoin,” said Zach Pandl, head of research at Grayscale, a leading crypto investment manager.

Based on historical data, you would expect bitcoin to have three times the volatility of the Nasdaq, Pandl said. And yet while the Nasdaq was down 15% at the beginning of trading April 8 (compared to April 2), bitcoin was nowhere near 45% down.

In other words, an 8% decline is a positive as historical patterns predicted a far steeper tumble.

“I think crypto investors should be extremely pleased with the modest pullback in bitcoin,” Pandl, a former analyst at Goldman Sachs, told CoinDesk.

“It reflects that tariffs — while they are a short term risk-off event for markets — are probably to be something that’s supportive for bitcoin adoption in the longer run. I think the relatively moderate drawdown reflects that,” he added.

Pandl is bullish on bitcoin in an environment where the dollar is potentially losing its place as a global reserve currency.

“Stagflation is going to be negative for stocks and bonds, and, historically, that has been positive for scarce commodities. Investors who are concerned by stagflation are looking for alternative assets that can drive returns. In traditional markets that might be gold or copper, and bitcoin,” he said.

Pandl says bitcoin’s relatively good performance reflects a rotation away from large-cap tech stocks towards commodity assets like bitcoin. You can see this in the performance of bitcoin against Roundhill “Magnificent 7 ETF.” You can now buy more of that ETF with one bitcoin compared to a week ago.

To those who subscribe to Bitcoin’s long-term investment thesis as a safe haven in uncertain times, the last few days have been a test case where bitcoin is winning. In theory, say these advocates, bitcoin should benefit as investors seek alternatives to dollars in times of stress.

“If you believe that the erosion of the dollar’s position is part of the bitcoin thesis, then your conviction in that thesis in the last week should have gone up,” Pandl says.

He expects bitcoin’s price to rise in the medium-term, reaching new all-time-highs this year.

“The price of bitcoin is down but conviction is up and there’s no need to change the medium term price outlook,” he said.

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