Reasons – Earlybirds Invest https://earlybirdsinvest.com Latest Crypto News Sat, 13 Sep 2025 16:17:19 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.9.7 https://i0.wp.com/earlybirdsinvest.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/cropped-New-Project-2024-12-17T235703.455.png?fit=32%2C32&ssl=1 Reasons – Earlybirds Invest https://earlybirdsinvest.com 32 32 240146708 Analysts Debate Which Cryptocurrency to Invest In Before the Next BTC Halving and Eye MUTM’s $0.035 for Key Reasons https://earlybirdsinvest.com/analysts-debate-which-cryptocurrency-to-invest-in-before-the-next-btc-halving-and-eye-mutms-0-035-for-key-reasons/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/analysts-debate-which-cryptocurrency-to-invest-in-before-the-next-btc-halving-and-eye-mutms-0-035-for-key-reasons/#respond Sat, 13 Sep 2025 16:17:18 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/analysts-debate-which-cryptocurrency-to-invest-in-before-the-next-btc-halving-and-eye-mutms-0-035-for-key-reasons/

Last updated: 

Every four years, Bitcoin (BTC)’s halving reshapes the crypto market. Each event reduces block rewards, limiting new supply, and history has shown that such shifts often trigger large rallies across the entire digital asset space. With the next halving approaching, analysts are once again debating which altcoin could mirror past breakout runs. As crypto charts show a mixture of consolidation and sporadic pumps, the question of why crypto is down in some sectors while others prepare to surge has never been more relevant. Among the names surfacing in this conversation, Mutuum Finance (MUTM) is drawing growing attention thanks to its presale momentum and unique design.

A Presale Building Momentum Before the Supply Shock

Presale dynamics matter because halvings tend to ignite altcoin rallies from the ground up. Mutuum Finance (MUTM) is currently priced at $0.035 in Phase 6 of its presale, with over $15.6 million already raised and more than 16,200 holders onboard. This stage is already 38% sold out, and the arrival of Phase 7 will lift the price by 15% to $0.040. For investors watching capital rotate into crypto ETF products and mainstream headlines, this represents one of the last discounted opportunities to enter before a market-wide supply crunch begins.

An example illustrates the excitement: a user who exchanged ETH during Phase 1 for MUTM has already seen paper gains multiply by the time Phase 6 arrived. Such stories are driving FOMO across communities, where traders recognize the difference between stagnant portfolios and tokens gathering traction ahead of a major market event. Unlike ADA or XRP, which are often criticized for flat returns, MUTM is pairing narrative with measurable progress.

Mutuum’s appeal also lies in its lending and borrowing design. In the Peer-to-Contract system, users will pool assets like USDT, ETH, or BTC into audited smart contracts, with interest rates dynamically adjusting to usage. A lender depositing BTC will receive mtBTC, representing their share of the pool plus accrued yield. Borrowers will be able to post assets as collateral to access liquidity without selling, such as locking $1,000 worth of SOL to borrow up to 75% of that value while keeping exposure to SOL’s future appreciation.

For assets with higher volatility, like DOGE or PEPE, Mutuum Finance (MUTM) will feature a Peer-to-Peer framework where lenders and borrowers negotiate directly. This separation shields core pools from risk while still offering opportunities for higher returns on speculative assets. It is this dual-lane approach that is turning heads, especially among those looking to diversify strategies ahead of Bitcoin’s next supply shock.

Risk Management, Security, and Roadmap Catalysts

Presale hype is only as strong as the foundation supporting it. Mutuum Finance (MUTM) is integrating disciplined risk controls that will safeguard its ecosystem from the volatility that defines crypto markets. Loan-to-Value ratios will vary by asset type: stablecoins and ETH will support up to 75% LTV with liquidation thresholds of 80%, while riskier tokens will be capped near 40% LTV and liquidated around 65%. Reserve factors will further secure liquidity pools, ranging from 10% for low-risk assets to as high as 38% for volatile ones. This ensures the system can absorb shocks while rewarding those who participate.

For added confidence, Mutuum has already undergone a CertiK audit, scoring 90 on token scan and 78 on Skynet. Security is further reinforced by a $50,000 bug bounty program that incentivizes developers to uncover vulnerabilities before they reach the market. At the community level, a $100,000 giveaway has been launched to reward early adopters, while over 12,000 followers on Twitter signal an expanding base of believers in the project’s roadmap.

Momentum is expected to accelerate with the upcoming beta launch, which will let users test core features live. Layer-2 integration will reduce costs and increase speed, while anticipated listings on exchanges will introduce MUTM to a wider audience. With a projected listing price of $0.06, early investors are positioning themselves to capture multiples similar to Ethereum’s formative years when it transitioned from niche asset to global mainstay.

As the countdown to Bitcoin’s halving continues, analysts agree that positioning early in assets with clear use cases is crucial. Mutuum Finance (MUTM) is aligning presale growth, security, and DeFi mechanics with a pivotal moment in the market cycle. For investors scanning crypto charts for the next big mover, the presale price of $0.035 represents more than just a number—it represents an opportunity to ride the wave of a halving-fueled rally with a project designed to thrive long after the event.

For more information about Mutuum Finance (MUTM), visit the links below:

Website: https://www.mutuum.com

Linktree: https://linktr.ee/mutuumfinance


]]>
https://earlybirdsinvest.com/analysts-debate-which-cryptocurrency-to-invest-in-before-the-next-btc-halving-and-eye-mutms-0-035-for-key-reasons/feed/ 0 58254
3 Reasons Bitcoin Is Pulling Back https://earlybirdsinvest.com/3-reasons-bitcoin-is-pulling-back/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/3-reasons-bitcoin-is-pulling-back/#respond Thu, 11 Sep 2025 03:26:49 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/3-reasons-bitcoin-is-pulling-back/

After turning in two straight years of triple-digit returns in 2023 and 2024, Bitcoin (BTC 2.20%) is on track in 2025 for its weakest performance since 2022. The world’s most popular cryptocurrency is down 6% over the past 30 days, and is only up 20% for the year as I write this.

So what’s going on? There are three possible reasons why Bitcoin is pulling back.

Reason No. 1: Overall macroeconomic weakness

For much of its history, Bitcoin has been uncorrelated with any major asset class. It could zig when other assets zagged. That made Bitcoin particularly attractive to investors. In just about any market conditions, Bitcoin could offer the potential for sky-high returns.

Gold Bitcoin surrounded by charts and graphs.

Image source: Getty Images.

But that may no longer be the case. In many ways, Bitcoin may be much more susceptible to overall macroeconomic conditions than once thought. In other words, Bitcoin will face much stiffer headwinds if jobs growth slows, if inflation further rears its head, or if tariffs lead to weaker overall growth. And that’s exactly what appears to be happening right now.

Bitcoin’s pullback makes sense if you consider how much attention it now garners from institutional investors. Just a few years ago, retail investors were driving the pace of Bitcoin adoption. But now it’s deep-pocketed institutional investors, and that likely explains the crypto market’s current obsession with potential Fed rate cuts. 

Reason No. 2: Investors are diversifying into other crypto assets

While Bitcoin still accounts for nearly 60% of the entire market cap of the crypto market, it’s hard to ignore how much interest other niches of the crypto market are now attracting from investors. At one time, Bitcoin was the only game in town for institutional investors. But not any longer.

Take, for example, the rise of so-called digital asset treasury companies. These companies do only one thing: Raise money from outside investors, and then plow that money back into one specific crypto asset. This summer has already seen the appearance of Ethereum, Solana, and XRP treasury companies. All of that is money that could have flowed into Bitcoin.

Or, for example, take the sudden interest in stablecoins. Recently enacted legislation will likely lead to a boom in stablecoin investment. According to a recent report from Citigroup, the size of the stablecoin market could balloon to $3.7 trillion within just a few years. This, too, is money that could have gone into Bitcoin.

This diversification away from Bitcoin into other crypto assets is not a new phenomenon. This is the same pattern, in fact, that the crypto market saw during the previous bull market rally of 2020-21. Bitcoin surged first, followed by Ethereum, and then lower market cap altcoins. Finally, there was an explosion of speculative excess into meme coins and non-fungible tokens (NFTs).

Reason No. 3: The Bitcoin cycle is running its course

That leads us to potentially the most concerning reason for Bitcoin’s pullback: The four-year Bitcoin cycle is running to where it usually drops. If you’re a Bitcoin investor, that’s the last thing you want to hear, because it means Bitcoin’s recent pullback may be a portent of things to come later in 2025.

There are no guarantees in investing, but if history is any guide, the Bitcoin halving every four years is the catalyst for a massive run-up in price. So far there have been four halvings, and the post-halving period of price appreciation typically has lasted anywhere from 12 to 18 months, followed by a classic “blow-off top”– a steep, rapid rise followed by a steep, rapid drop. In that scenario, Bitcoin reaches a new high all-time high before eventually collapsing in value. In 2022, for example, Bitcoin declined by a gut-wrenching 64% after hitting a new all-time high in November 2021 following the May 2020 halving.

The problem, quite frankly, is that Bitcoin’s most recent halving event took place in April 2024. That means we are now 17 months into the period of expected to be rapid price appreciation. In a worst-case scenario, there might only be a few months left before Bitcoin has another blow-off top, and the whole cycle begins anew.

Certainly, there are plenty of signs of this blow-off top in progress. Billions of dollars are being invested in highly speculative digital assets, money-losing businesses are rapidly transforming into digital asset treasury companies, new crypto companies are rushing to go public before the crypto IPO window closes, and Wall Street is rushing to reassure investors that “this time it’s different.”

So, if you are thinking of investing in Bitcoin now, remember to do your due diligence and keep your investment small. There are several very concerning signs that Bitcoin’s summer pullback might be a red flag for a difficult and tumultuous final quarter of the year.

Citigroup is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Dominic Basulto has positions in Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and XRP. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and XRP. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

]]>
https://earlybirdsinvest.com/3-reasons-bitcoin-is-pulling-back/feed/ 0 57825
3 Reasons Why Ethereum Can Hit $5,000 in September https://earlybirdsinvest.com/3-reasons-why-ethereum-can-hit-5000-in-september/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/3-reasons-why-ethereum-can-hit-5000-in-september/#respond Tue, 09 Sep 2025 11:53:06 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/3-reasons-why-ethereum-can-hit-5000-in-september/

At about $4,363, Ethereum (ETH) is once again trading in a critical area. There are indications that Ethereum might be preparing for another leg higher, possibly toward the $5,000 mark in September, even though price action has cooled off from the July rally’s explosive surge.

These three factors could lead the second-biggest cryptocurrency to make that move:

  1. Solid technical base: At $4,164, ETH has successfully defended the 50-day EMA, making it a dynamic support level. Notwithstanding the general market uncertainty, consolidation above $4,000 indicates that buyers are defending the base. The path toward retesting the $4,600-$4,800 resistance becomes very likely if ETH maintains this level. From there, a clean breakout would put $5,000 right in front of you.

    Article image
    ETH/USDT Chart by TradingView
  2. Market domination outside of Bitcoin: The distance between Ethereum and Bitcoin has been growing over the past few weeks. Despite that, Ethereum was holding onto its gains, while Bitcoin has found it difficult to recover lost ground. 
  3. Favorable setup for the macro and on-chain: With increasing network activity and adoption, ETH continues to have a positive long-term structure. Ethereum may rise since its RSI of 52 indicates that it is neither overbought nor oversold. Support levels for ETH are stacked at $4,164; $3,865 and $3,213, providing a number of buffers against downside risk. A push toward $5,000 might be encouraged by this stability if market sentiment improves.

But there are still difficulties. With investment flows dropping in recent weeks, institutional interest in Ethereum appears to be waning. It appears that both institutional and retail players are reluctant to make large commitments, as evidenced by the steady decline in trading volumes. Ethereum’s rally might stall before reaching the milestone if this pattern persists.

You Might Also Like

Title news

The technical structure supports a run toward $5,000, and Ethereum appears to be very close to a breakout. But ETH’s ascent might be more difficult than bulls anticipate if institutional flows do not pick up again, and the volume declines.

]]>
https://earlybirdsinvest.com/3-reasons-why-ethereum-can-hit-5000-in-september/feed/ 0 57550
Crypto Bleeds Ahead of Powell's Jackson Hole Speech — Eight Reasons Traders Are Nervous https://earlybirdsinvest.com/crypto-bleeds-ahead-of-powells-jackson-hole-speech-eight-reasons-traders-are-nervous/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/crypto-bleeds-ahead-of-powells-jackson-hole-speech-eight-reasons-traders-are-nervous/#respond Tue, 19 Aug 2025 23:31:45 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/crypto-bleeds-ahead-of-powells-jackson-hole-speech-eight-reasons-traders-are-nervous/

Cryptocurrencies and related stocks extended losses Tuesday as traders braced for the release of the Fed’s release of the FOMC minutes on Wednesday and Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole speech on Friday.

Bitcoin dropped 3.2% in the past 24 hours to slip below $114,000, while ether fell 5.3% to under $4,200. XRP tumbled 6.2%, Cardano’s ADA slid 8% and the broader crypto market was down 3.2%. Shares of crypto-related companies, such as bitcoin miners, crypto exchanges and digital asset treasury firms suffered even bigger losses, with MARA, COIN and MSTR closing today’s regular session down 5.72%, 5.82% and 7.43%, respectively.

By contrast, in general, U.S. equities suffered less: the Dow ended flat, the S&P 500 fell 0.59%, and the Nasdaq slid 1.46%. The disparity underscores how digital assets, which rely heavily on cheap liquidity, are more exposed to shifts in rate expectations than traditional stocks.

Investors now face a pivotal calendar. On Aug. 20 at 2 p.m. ET, the Fed will release minutes from the FOMC meeting held July 29–30, offering insight into policymakers’ tariff and inflation debates. From Aug. 21–23, central bankers gather for the Jackson Hole symposium, with Powell’s keynote set for Aug. 22 at 10 a.m. ET. Together, the minutes and Powell’s speech could define market expectations for the September policy meeting.

Tariffs’ Delayed Bite

Many companies have absorbed tariff costs to protect market share, but analysts warn they cannot do so indefinitely. Once passed on to consumers, these costs could drive prices higher and force the Fed to wait before cutting.

Sticky Inflation Data

Despite some cooling, inflation gauges remain elevated. The producer price index, a key wholesale measure, has been hotter than forecast, suggesting persistent pressures that complicate any case for aggressive easing.

Corporate Limits

U.S. executives have signaled they will eventually be forced to shift tariff costs downstream. If that happens, consumer inflation could accelerate in the coming months, making a September cut seem premature.

Mixed Economic Signals

The U.S. economy shows both slowing job growth and resilient consumer demand. This uneven picture could encourage Powell to argue for patience until the Fed has clearer evidence that growth can withstand tariff-driven costs.

Policy Uncertainty

Tariffs intersect with fiscal and trade policies in unpredictable ways. That complexity increases the risk of missteps, making a hawkish tone at Jackson Hole more likely.

Lessons From History

The tariff shocks of 2018–2019 produced delayed but meaningful inflation, prompting Fed caution. Powell may draw on that precedent to justify holding back this time.

Forward-Looking Indicators

The upcoming release of fresh economic data, including Thursday’s release of preliminary August data on manufacturing and services activity, could show tariff-related cost pressures building. Powell could point to these as another reason for prudence.

Internal Divisions

Minutes from the July FOMC meeting may reveal a split inside the Fed. With hawks focused on inflation and doves emphasizing jobs, Powell may stress the need for consensus, which often favors waiting.

For crypto, the stakes are clear. Higher-for-longer rates curb the liquidity that fuels speculative rallies, raising financing costs for miners and weighing on exchange activity. If Powell signals caution, the sell-off in tokens and crypto-linked equities could deepen. A dovish surprise, however, might offer the spark for a rebound.

]]>
https://earlybirdsinvest.com/crypto-bleeds-ahead-of-powells-jackson-hole-speech-eight-reasons-traders-are-nervous/feed/ 0 54090
5 reasons why GPT-5 is actually better than the older GPT models https://earlybirdsinvest.com/5-reasons-why-gpt-5-is-actually-better-than-the-older-gpt-models/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/5-reasons-why-gpt-5-is-actually-better-than-the-older-gpt-models/#respond Mon, 18 Aug 2025 10:27:22 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/5-reasons-why-gpt-5-is-actually-better-than-the-older-gpt-models/
The Chat-GPT Android app, showing a welcome screen for GPT-5.

Joe Maring / Android Authority

Recently, OpenAI has come under fire for GPT-5’s rocky launch. Many users have called it a step backward, citing a lack of personality and other tweaks that turned people off — sentiments echoed in our own GPT-5 review. Still, GPT-5 does improve on at least some of the previous legacy models.

Before we dive in, it’s important to note that GPT-5 really does have less personality. It’s curt and to the point in nearly every interaction. This makes it much less useful for creative writing, personal assistance, companionship, and even editing, as it tends to strip too much personality from drafts. Still, for some tasks, this curt personality works well and is exactly what you want. If you’re doing high-level work like deep research or trying to understand ethical or scientific concepts, you want answers that are honest and direct.

For ChatGPT Plus users, I can’t blame you if you switch back to an older model for creative work, personal assistance, or similar tasks. Don’t discount it entirely, though. While the default GPT-5 relies on automatic switching to figure out the best model for your query, you always have the option to switch to GPT-5 Thinking.

Let’s take a closer look at a few ways in which GPT-5 Thinking actually improves on older thinking models, including 03 and 04-high-mini.

For those with GPT-5 Thinking access, how do you feel about it?

1 votes

Ironically, GPT-5 has more personality than the legacy thinking models

gpt 5 love this prompt

Andrew Grush / Android Authority

Even though GPT-5 seems more blunt and less friendly compared to GPT-4o, I’ve found it actually shows more personality than 03, 04-mini-high, and other legacy thinking models.

For example, when brainstorming alternate Byzantine history with both 03 and GPT-5, 03 dove right in with no warmth, while GPT-5 started with a conversational, though slightly sycophantic, tone: “Love this prompt. The trick is to keep changes small, targeted, and compounding.” GPT-5 kept that conversational style throughout, while 03 was sterile and preferred to drown me in tables instead of providing a more conversational and readable breakdown.

GPT-5 feels like a middle ground between 4o’s personality and 03’s sterility. Whether that’s better or worse will depend on the user.

GPT-5 feels more alive by comparison, which makes it better for exploring philosophical or scientific ideas or even for spitballing alternate reality scenarios like this nerd does in his spare time. Not every use case will benefit from this shift, but it’s a notable difference.

GPT-5’s chain of thought is often deeper and clearer

gpt thinking chain

Andrew Grush / Android Authority

I really love how GPT-5 Thinking handled its chain of thoughts compared to the older thinking models. In my tests, GPT-5 Thinking not only spent longer on queries, but also offered more detailed and readable chains of thought than 03.

On the alt-Byzantine Empire scenario I was recently working on for a short story, 03 spent four seconds and gave a brief answer. GPT-5 Thinking took 47 seconds and returned five bullets, each nearly a full paragraph, feeling much more like an internal monologue.

As for the actual results? Both gave me food for thought, even if neither was perfect. I will say that I fact-checked as many of its statements as I could, and, generally, the speculation was fairly balanced between the two models. Still, I found it easier to understand and read GPT-5’s responses in most cases.

It often gets the same answer faster than 03 did

ChatGPT Plus app stock photo 46

Calvin Wankhede / Android Authority

When it comes to detailed queries, I feel that GPT-5 tends to think for longer,  but direct questions are a whole other matter. If the answer is simple, GPT-5 tends to be the first to deliver a response.

For example, when I asked what happened to Nintendo on January 5, 1993, both GPT-03 and GPT-5 Thinking pointed to the same court decision, but GPT-03 took over two minutes to get there, while GPT-5 answered in just 40 seconds. I admit I was actually trying to trick one of them into hallucinating, so at least that didn’t happen!

This is just one example, but in the week or so that I’ve been using GPT-5, I’ve found that when used side by side, GPT-03’s creative thinking sometimes holds it back from answering as quickly and directly.

GPT-5 trades its creativity for fewer hallucinations

gpt loop thoughts

Andrew Grush / Android Authority

Many people say that GPT-5 is less creative, and that’s mostly true even in the Thinking model. I revisited some of my old chats about Stoicism and other philosophical concepts from earlier this year (which were originally generated with 03 or 04-mini-high) and asked GPT-5 the same questions. Its responses were more contained, less speculative, and more fact-based.

Being less creative also means GPT-5 Thinking is less likely to make stuff up by comparison.

For certain creative endeavors, I can see how GPT-5’s more sterile approach might be a hindrance, but these creative bursts also lead to more incorrect answers. Taking a closer look at the same older responses for 03 and digging deep online to verify as much as I could, I found some of these creative solutions were completely based on false premises. That’s been a much less common experience with GPT-5.

Ultimately, at least for the kinds of tasks and questions I ask, I care more about historical and scientific accuracy than anything. I also prefer not having to fact-check every detail as vigorously.

It tends to follow instructions better as well

gpt 5 header with easter egg

Calvin Wankhede / Android Authority

At least in my experience, GPT-5 is less likely to go rogue than older models when it comes to following instructions. With GPT-03 and its legacy relatives, it was common to see it ignore or misunderstand parts of my instructions. GPT-5, on the other hand, does a much better job of doing exactly what I ask.

For example, I’ll often add “be honest with me” when asking a question that could get a sycophantic or overly optimistic response. With 03, it will usually listen, but sometimes goes along with my idea even when I know it’s not well-baked and makes false connections that aren’t really there. With GPT-5, I usually get a tad more pushback in these situations.

In a funny twist, if I don’t give clear instructions or don’t explicitly ask for extra critical or honest responses, GPT-5 can sometimes sweet-talk or go off-script a bit more than 03 ever did. I’ve had to rethink how I prompt GPT-5 compared to 03, but with clearer instructions, I get better results than 03 could produce in most scenarios.

The takeaway here is that when it comes to straight-up problems like “prove this” or “explain this,” GPT-5 often delivers more impressive results. For more conversational or creative needs, it’s a roll of the dice as to which model will provide the best answer.

Don’t want to miss the best from Android Authority?

You shouldn’t give up on GPT-5 yet, even if it’s not perfect

ChatGPT stock photo 73

Calvin Wankhede / Android Authority

I won’t pretend that GPT-5 wasn’t a mess at launch or that it doesn’t still need refinement before it’s ready for primetime — especially as a replacement for GPT-4o and other legacy models.

As it stands, I see GPT-5 as a complement that works well in some cases, but it’s not my default. To be fair, I’ve never been the kind to have a default in the first place. I use different models for specific tasks, and I don’t see that changing unless OpenAI removes legacy models again.

Ultimately, GPT-5 was overhyped, so it was always going to feel disappointing. The fact that it seems to lose context a bit more easily than older models is also a concern, and I’m not sold on the idea of unifying everything under one automatic model.

That said, don’t let this turn you off completely. While it’s not perfect, there are use cases where GPT-5 fits better than older models, and there are features like Agent Mode that you can’t get with older models. I recommend using GPT-5 Thinking alongside other models for as long as possible. Figure out what it does well for you, as you might be surprised if you give it enough of a chance.

Thank you for being part of our community. Read our Comment Policy before posting.

]]>
https://earlybirdsinvest.com/5-reasons-why-gpt-5-is-actually-better-than-the-older-gpt-models/feed/ 0 53797
3 Reasons to Buy Amazon Stock Like There's No Tomorrow https://earlybirdsinvest.com/3-reasons-to-buy-amazon-stock-like-theres-no-tomorrow/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/3-reasons-to-buy-amazon-stock-like-theres-no-tomorrow/#respond Sat, 16 Aug 2025 12:09:44 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/3-reasons-to-buy-amazon-stock-like-theres-no-tomorrow/ Amazon stock may be slightly overlooked by some investors right now, but the company’s leading roles in key markets make it likely to be a winner for years to come.

Amazon (AMZN -0.00%) has been a tremendous stock for long-term investors, including its 55% gains over the past three years. But that’s only slightly outpaced the S&P 500 over that time, leaving some investors wondering if Amazon stock has permanently lost its luster.

I think that sentiment fails to account for Amazon’s strong position in some very big markets and how hard it will be for competitors to catch up. To that end, here are three reasons why it’s still a smart move to buy Amazon stock right now.

A delivery driver in a vehicle.

Image source: Getty Images.

1. It has the third-largest digital ad business in the U.S.

Amazon is an advertising powerhouse as the No. 3 ad platform, after Alphabet and Meta Platforms. While those are certainly big shoes to fill, Amazon has made impressive gains over the past several years. Consider that Amazon had less than 11% of the U.S. digital market in 2021 and will have an estimated 17% by next year. That’s beginning to nip at the heels of Meta’s 21% market share.

Advertising is also Amazon’s fastest-growing business, with ad sales rising 23% in the second quarter to $15.7 billion. Unlike its rivals, Amazon’s ad sales have a built-in advantage for the company, as advertisers spend money to sell goods on Amazon’s platform, allowing the company to benefit from both the ad sales and the online purchases. And with the U.S. digital advertising market expected to grow into an estimated $220 billion market by 2030, there’s still room for Amazon to benefit.

2. It’s tapping into a $2 trillion AI opportunity

Some people have been disappointed with Amazon’s cloud revenue growth lately, but I think they miss the fact that Amazon has the largest cloud computing market share, with 30% compared to Microsoft‘s 21% and Google’s 12%.

Microsoft is certainly making lots of ground and shouldn’t be ignored. However, the AI cloud computing market will be worth an estimated $2 trillion by 2030, so there’s plenty of room for both companies to benefit.

What’s more, Amazon is still investing in its cloud computing business and will increase its capital expenditure spending to $118 billion this year, mostly to expand its AI infrastructure.

3. It still dominates in e-commerce

Amazon has about 38% of the U.S. e-commerce market share. It’s such a huge lead that some of the largest retailers barely register. Walmart‘s platform takes just 6% of the market, and Target has spent years improving its online offerings and still has only 2% of the U.S. e-commerce market.

Amazon not only has the first-mover advantage in this space but has also built an impressive bulwark against its competitors, boasting more than 200 million Prime members who choose to give Amazon money for access to faster shipping and perks like video streaming. Prime has been massively successful for the company, and the latest proof of that comes from its recent Prime Day event, which offered deals to new and existing Prime members and generated an estimated $24 billion in sales in just four days.

Keep this in mind when buying from Amazon

Amazon is the leading cloud computing company, its advertising business continues to grow, and its e-commerce prowess is unmatched. With all these foundations in place, the company is well-positioned to benefit as these markets grow.

Amazon’s shares are also priced relatively well right now, with a price-to- earnings (P/E) ratio of about 34, compared to the S&P 500’s average of about 29 and internet software companies’ average of about 52. Given that the company spans so many lucrative markets and is relatively cheaper than some internet companies, the stock still looks like a relatively good deal right now.

Chris Neiger has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Amazon, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Target, and Walmart. The Motley Fool recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

]]>
https://earlybirdsinvest.com/3-reasons-to-buy-amazon-stock-like-theres-no-tomorrow/feed/ 0 53490
US Spot XRP ETFS: 5 possible reasons behind BlackRock’s reluctance to submit one https://earlybirdsinvest.com/us-spot-xrp-etfs-5-possible-reasons-behind-blackrocks-reluctance-to-submit-one/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/us-spot-xrp-etfs-5-possible-reasons-behind-blackrocks-reluctance-to-submit-one/#respond Sun, 10 Aug 2025 22:31:41 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/us-spot-xrp-etfs-5-possible-reasons-behind-blackrocks-reluctance-to-submit-one/

BlackRock has made a bold move on Bitcoin and Ether ETFs, but on Friday the asset manager said it has no plans to file with the Spot XRP Exchange Trade Fund. (ETF)I hope that community entries will help extend XRP’s 2025 rally.

This statement – was made the day after the Securities and Exchange Commission (seconds) Ripple Labs then jointly called on the Court of Appeals to dismiss each appeal, indicating that they would end the nearly five-year legal battle. Investors questioned why BlackRock was on the sidelines.

Several asset managers, including ProShares, Grayscale and Bitise, have been applying for XRP ETFs since late 2024, but BlackRock’s absence is noteworthy, especially given its advantage in the Bitcoin and ether ETF market.

Here are five reasons why BlackRock is rushing to launch its Spot XRP ETF, despite the XRP community hoping for a demand-driven price surge.

First, BlackRock cites the limited interest of clients in cryptocurrencies beyond BTC and ETH. In March 2024, Robert Mitchnick, the Asset Manager’s Digital Asset Manager, said there was a misconception that BlackRock has the “long tail” of other crypto services.

“On our client base, Bitcoin is by far the No. 1 focus, and I can say it’s a bit of Ethereum,” he said in a fireplace chat at the first Bitcoin Investors Day meeting in New York on March 22.

Second, BlackRock’s strategic attention on regulatory uncertainty plays a role.

Although the sale of XRP on public exchanges is considered unproven, Altcoins’ broader regulatory framework remains vague. BlackRock may be waiting for clearer SEC guidelines before entering the AltCoin ETF space.

The company’s conservative approach is in contrast to its competitors such as Proshares, who applied for the Spot XRP ETF in January 2025 along with the leverage-based XRP ETF.

Third, BlackRock may see reduced returns when pursuing a spot XRP ETF, taking into account the busy field. As of August 2025, at least seven companies, including Grayscale, Franklin Templeton and 21shares, have a pending Spot XRP ETF application.

Fourth, expectations for a surge in prices in the XRP community may not be consistent with BlackRock’s data-driven strategy. SEC’s polymake odds approved for SPOT XTP ETF in 2025 are 77%. While Ethereum and Solana’s BlackRock tokenized money market funds have shown blockchain interest, the small market footprint of XRP may not justify the operating costs of new ETFs.

Finally, BlackRock’s global perspective prioritizes markets where XRP is less prominent. The XRP community, active on platforms like X, is forecasting the promotional demand for Spot ETFs, but much of the XRP trading volume comes from Asia, where BlackRock ETFs are not dominated.

XRP had traded around $3.1852 in the last 24 hours, down 3.92%, according to Coindesk data.

]]>
https://earlybirdsinvest.com/us-spot-xrp-etfs-5-possible-reasons-behind-blackrocks-reluctance-to-submit-one/feed/ 0 52558
Here Are 3 Bullish Reasons Why JPMorgan Sees S&P 500 Rallying Much Higher https://earlybirdsinvest.com/here-are-3-bullish-reasons-why-jpmorgan-sees-sp-500-rallying-much-higher/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/here-are-3-bullish-reasons-why-jpmorgan-sees-sp-500-rallying-much-higher/#respond Sun, 10 Aug 2025 19:09:14 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/here-are-3-bullish-reasons-why-jpmorgan-sees-sp-500-rallying-much-higher/

JPMorgan remains bullish on U.S. stocks even as some observers warn that the economy is beginning to pay the price for President Donald Trump’s tariffs.

The investment banking giant forecasts that the S&P 500, Wall Street’s benchmark index, will yield a “high single-digit return over the next 12 months,” driven by three key factors.

jwp-player-placeholder

One of the main reasons for optimism is that markets don’t care about signs of an economic slowdown. Instead, traders are focused on resilient corporate earnings and the subsequent economic recovery.

Since President Trump fired the first tariff salvo on April 2, economists have downgraded full-year U.S. growth forecasts from 2.3% to 1.5%. Still, the S&P 500 has gained over 28% in the four months. The index has held steady despite recent economic data revealing softness in the labour market and consumption, as well as stickiness in manufacturing and service sector inflation.

While the macro analysts’ warning is concerning and likely playing out in the background, corporate earnings in the U.S. are ignoring the slowdown risks, at least in the short term, making it the second catalyst for JPMorgan’s bullish thesis.

Over 80% of S&P 500 companies have recently reported their Q2 earnings, with 82% surpassing earnings expectations and 79% beating revenue forecasts—the strongest performance since the second quarter of 2021.

The winners and losers

According to JPMorgan, while Wall Street analysts initially projected earnings growth below 5%, the index is now on pace for an impressive 11% growth rate. This robust showing supports the ongoing bullish trend in the stock market.

“The full-year earnings expectations for both this year and next have already started to turn higher,” analysts at JPMorgan’s wealth management said in a market note on Friday, adding that the market is increasingly differentiating between the winners and losers of the Trump trade war.

Additionally, the market is now figuring out and pricing in which companies are getting hit most by U.S. tariffs. So far, it looks like mega corporations will be just fine. This could bolster the case for further positive sentiment in the markets.

JPMorgan analysts explained that consumer-facing and smaller companies with restrained bargaining power against their trading partners and rigid supply chains are facing a stagnant earnings outlook.

This ties to JPMorgan’s last catalyst: Trump’s tariff bark is proving worse than its bite for large firms, which are managing to secure exemptions and even turn the tariff policies, aimed at sparking a manufacturing boom, into a tailwind.

“The latest example is President Donald Trump’s suggestion that imported semiconductors would be taxed at a 100% rate unless the companies commit to relocating production to the United States. Another sign? Apple products are exempted from the latest tariff rates on Indian goods. Indeed, the company also announced an additional $100 billion investment in U.S. manufacturing facilities. The stock gained almost 9% this week. Tariffs are not happening in a vacuum,” analysts explained.

Big firms gain an additional advantage from the One Big Beautiful Act (OBBA), under which firms can claim 100% bonus depreciation for purchases of qualified business property and immediate expense of domestic research and development costs. According to some analysts, the depreciation policy could increase free cash flow for some by over 30%, which could incentivize more investment.

The bank added that its investment strategy remains focused on large-cap equities, particularly in the technology, financials, and utilities sectors, which it believes are best positioned to navigate this new economic environment.

The crypto angle

JPMorgan’s positive outlook for stocks could bode well for cryptocurrencies, as both tend to move in tandem. The digital assets market has plenty going on for itself, with the Trump administration appointing pro-crypto officials to key regulatory positions.

Recently, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) ruled that liquid staking, under certain conditions, falls outside the purview of Securities Law. The ruling has raised hopes for staking spot ether ETFs winning regulatory approval.

Ether has rallied over 13% to over $4,200, reaching levels last seen in 2021. Prices surged nearly 50% last month, CoinDesk data show.

]]>
https://earlybirdsinvest.com/here-are-3-bullish-reasons-why-jpmorgan-sees-sp-500-rallying-much-higher/feed/ 0 52531
Opinion: Here Are 7 Reasons Palantir Stock Can Plunge at Least 60% https://earlybirdsinvest.com/opinion-here-are-7-reasons-palantir-stock-can-plunge-at-least-60/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/opinion-here-are-7-reasons-palantir-stock-can-plunge-at-least-60/#respond Mon, 07 Jul 2025 08:48:05 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/opinion-here-are-7-reasons-palantir-stock-can-plunge-at-least-60/ The mammoth run-up witnessed in Wall Street’s hottest artificial intelligence (AI) stock might be nothing more than a short-lived FOMO (fear of missing out) event.

More than 30 years ago, the advent of the internet began captivating the attention of everyday investors. Over these three-plus decades, investors have often had a next-big-thing trend to chase after. At the moment, nothing is garnering more attention than the evolution of artificial intelligence (AI).

When most investors think about AI, semiconductor titan Nvidia probably comes to mind — and for good reason. Nvidia’s graphics processing units (GPUs) have become staples in high-compute data centers. Its Hopper and successor Blackwell GPUs are powering split-second decision-making, generative AI solutions, and the training of large language models, such as chatbots and virtual agents.

A New York Stock exchange floor trader looking up in bewilderment at a computer monitor.

Image source: Getty Images.

But the argument can be made that Nvidia’s time atop the AI pedestal is over, with AI-driven data-mining specialist Palantir Technologies (PLTR 1.62%) dethroning it. Palantir stock has gained nearly 2,000% since 2023 began, and its market cap has grown to $317 billion, as of the closing bell on July 3. It went from a company tech investors somewhat followed to being one of the most-influential tech businesses in the world.

Palantir’s success has been fueled by the irreplaceability of the services it offers. Its Gotham platform aids federal governments with data gathering and analysis, as well as military mission planning and execution. Meanwhile, Foundry is relied on by businesses to make sense of their data and streamline their operations. With no one-for-one large-scale replacements for Palantir’s AI- and cloud-based software-as-a-service (SaaS) model, its operating cash flow is highly predictable and secure.

Furthermore, Palantir made the turn to recurring profitability well ahead of Wall Street’s consensus expectation. Maintaining a rapidly growing moat and validating its competitive edge with recurring profits is a quick way to win over Wall Street and investors.

But what if Palantir’s momentous run-up is nothing more than a short-lived FOMO (fear of missing out) event? While this opinion will undoubtedly be unpopular given the riches this company has bestowed on shareholders since 2023 began, there are seven valid reasons to believe Palantir stock can plunge 60%, if not more.

1. Next-big-thing technologies always endure bubbles

One of the biggest challenges for Palantir Technologies is that investors have a terrible habit of overestimating how quickly a game-changing innovation will gain utility and be adopted by businesses and/or consumers.

Including the internet, every next-big-thing technology for more than three decades has endured a bubble-bursting event. This is to say that every innovation has needed time to mature. With most businesses not generating a positive return on their AI investments, nor optimizing their deployed AI solutions, it’s a fair assumption that AI is walking down the same path as prior game-changing technologies.

While the multiyear government contracts (via Gotham) and subscriptions (via Foundry) Palantir has earned should keep its sales from plunging if the AI bubble bursts, it’ll do nothing to save the company’s stock from a wave of negative investor sentiment.

2. Gotham’s ceiling is lower than investors realize

To date, Gotham has been the operating platform responsible for driving Palantir’s profits and its annual growth rate that typically range between 25% and 35%. Having the U.S. government in its corner has undeniably been a positive.

However, Gotham’s client pool is rather limited. Since it provides data collection and military mission planning/execution, Palantir’s flagship SaaS model isn’t available to China, Russia, and a laundry list of other countries that aren’t bona fide allies of the U.S. This significantly lowers Gotham’s long-term ceiling more than investors probably realize.

Military intelligence personnel sitting in front of multiple computers while overseeing missions.

Image source: Getty Images.

3. The Trump administration’s focus on government efficiency is worrisome

For defense-oriented businesses, there’s usually no better scenario that a unified Republican government. Historically, the GOP has favored aggressive defense spending, which plays right into the hands of Palantir’s Gotham platform. President Donald Trump has previously noted the need to keep domestic AI innovations protected.

But Trump’s campaign promise has also been to make Washington, D.C., more efficient. Though the president has been supportive of defense companies in the past, there’s little guarantee that the Trump administration won’t aim to reduce federal spending in the future. There’s also little visibility of what defense spending might entail beyond Trump’s four years in office.

4. Palantir’s earnings quality is poor

A public company that’s added more than $300 billion in market cap over the last 30 months should be absolutely crushing it from a fundamental standpoint. With Palantir shifting to recurring profitability, the expectation is that rapid sales growth in Gotham and Foundry is powering its net income higher. Yet this isn’t the complete story.

Last year, 40% of Palantir’s $489.2 million in pre-tax income was traced back to interest income on its cash. During the first three months of 2025, 23% of the company’s pre-tax income came from interest on its cash. While I’m not faulting Palantir or its management for generating interest income on the company’s cash pile, it’s important to recognize that a significant chunk of the company’s pre-tax income is coming from a non-innovative and unsustainable source.

PLTR Shares Outstanding Chart

PLTR Shares Outstanding data by YCharts.

5. Share-based compensation is working against investors

Another reason for investors to pass on Palantir stock is the company’s persistent share-based compensation.

Stock-based compensation often serves a purpose. Handing out vested shares, stock options, and so on, encourages talented individuals to stay with a company. Stock-based compensation can also be used as something of a dangling carrot to encourage workers and managers to meet specific growth targets.

Unfortunately, stock-based compensation can have a deleterious impact for shareholders. In the case of Palantir, steadily climbing share-based compensation is increasing its outstanding share count and having a dilutive effect on existing shareholders. While this dilutive effect has, thus far, been masked by AI euphoria and FOMO, history suggests this is highly unlikely to continue for an extended period.

6. Insiders have been persistent sellers for nearly five years

Investors would also be wise to take note of the persistent insider selling activity of Palantir Technologies’ stock since its initial public offering (IPO) in September 2020.

Once again, there’s a bit of a caveat to this data. Namely, the compensation of executives is often heavily weighted toward shares and stock options, which requires the sale of shares to cover their federal and/or state tax liability. In other words, not all insider selling is necessarily bad news or indicative of management losing faith in their company.

With the above being said, more than $7.4 billion in Palantir stock has been sold since the September 2020 IPO, with former Chief Accounting Officer Heather Planishek’s 10,000-share buy in May 2025 being the only executive or director purchase in 57 months.

If executives and directors won’t buy shares of Palantir, why should you?

PLTR PS Ratio Chart

PLTR PS Ratio data by YCharts. PS Ratio = price-to-sales ratio.

7. Palantir’s valuation is an unsustainable eyesore

The final piece of the puzzle that explains why Palantir stock can plunge 60% (or more) is its valuation.

Over the last three decades, megacap stocks on the leading edge of next-big-thing trends have historically topped out at price-to-sales (P/S) ratios ranging from 30 to 43. Some of the brand-name companies that fit this definition include Microsoft, Amazon, Cisco Systems, and even Nvidia, based on its peak P/S ratio of 42 last summer.

Palantir stock ended the previous week at a trailing-12-month P/S ratio of more than 107! It’s effectively three times higher than other megacap companies before their respective bubbles burst.

Even if Wall Street’s consensus sales estimates prove accurate and Palantir’s revenue catapults by 263% to $10.42 billion from 2024 to 2028, its current valuation (assuming no share-based compensation) would place it at a lofty P/S ratio of 30 by the end of 2028. This is a historically unsustainable valuation, and it’s just a matter of time before Wall Street and investors come to this realization.

]]>
https://earlybirdsinvest.com/opinion-here-are-7-reasons-palantir-stock-can-plunge-at-least-60/feed/ 0 46237
3 Reasons IonQ Could Be a Millionaire-Maker Quantum Computing Stock https://earlybirdsinvest.com/3-reasons-ionq-could-be-a-millionaire-maker-quantum-computing-stock/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/3-reasons-ionq-could-be-a-millionaire-maker-quantum-computing-stock/#respond Mon, 30 Jun 2025 02:20:25 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/3-reasons-ionq-could-be-a-millionaire-maker-quantum-computing-stock/

In the fledgling field of quantum computing, IonQ (IONQ -2.16%) has emerged as one of the leading start-up investment options. It holds key contracts with top players in the quantum computing field, like the Air Force Research Lab, and offers top-notch technology.

Although it’s far from a surefire bet, is this quantum computing start-up the best chance at transforming a meager investment into $1 million? After all, quantum computing has the potential to transform high-powered computing. Let’s take a closer look.

Image of a quantum computing cell.

Image source: Getty Images.

1. IonQ’s error correction is among the best

Quantum computing can potentially be an absolute game changer in the high-powered computing world. It lets users tackle problems they’ve never been able to fully model before (like weather patterns and logistics networks), but it also could have massive implications for artificial intelligence (AI). Quantum computing could deliver huge value for whichever company can win the quantum computing arms race, but each competitor must solve a key problem first: errors.

Unlike traditional computing, quantum computing doesn’t have a clear black-and-white answer. While traditional computers use bits to transmit information, which can only be in the form of a 0 or a 1, quantum computing uses qubits. While qubits collapse down to a 0 or a 1 when measured, they can exist in a state between 0 and 1 during the calculation process. This opens up many possibilities within a calculation, which is why quantum computers could perform better at workloads with thousands of possibilities.

The best way most companies have found to deal with this error issue is to let the qubits interact with each other to reduce errors. While many competitors have placed their qubits in a grid-like system to let the qubits interact with their neighbors, IonQ has taken it a step further. They use all-to-all connectivity, which lets every qubit interact with every other qubit. This leads to unparalleled 2-qubit gate fidelity, and IonQ’s process already has greater than 99.9% fidelity.

This shows that IonQ has already made a fantastic start on the most critical problem with quantum computing, which is why it has several key partnerships.

2. IonQ holds several critical contracts

IonQ holds one of the largest contracts in quantum computing with the U.S. Air Force Research Lab, a facility known for testing cutting-edge technologies. This indicates that quantum computing is not just a future technology; it can be used in its current state.

To further support this option, IonQ hardware is available for use on the three major cloud computing providers: Microsoft Azure, Alphabet‘s Google Cloud, and Amazon Web Services. With IonQ’s hardware becoming more widely available, it’s making key progress in this race. If it can differentiate itself from its competitors and start to capture a customer base, it could create a foothold that would be hard to disrupt.

3. There’s a huge market opportunity for quantum computing

To circle back to the original question, can IonQ be a millionaire-maker stock? I’m not sure. There’s a huge market for quantum computing in the future, but it’s not that large right now. IonQ estimates that the market opportunity will reach $87 billion by 2035, but it’s unlikely that one company will capture that complete market share.

Even if IonQ captures 50% of it and generates around $40 billion in annual revenue, that’s still less than another key quantum computing competitor, IBM. IBM is about a $270 billion company — about 27 times the size of IonQ.

So, can IonQ transform $10,000 into $1 million? Likely not. But can IonQ deliver strong stock performance if it wins the quantum computing arms race? Absolutely. However, this is far from a surefire bet, as the field is ripe with potent competition, and IonQ still has years to go before proving commercial relevancy.

John Mackey, former CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Keithen Drury has positions in Alphabet and Amazon. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Amazon, International Business Machines, and Microsoft. The Motley Fool recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

]]>
https://earlybirdsinvest.com/3-reasons-ionq-could-be-a-millionaire-maker-quantum-computing-stock/feed/ 0 44891