quiet – Earlybirds Invest https://earlybirdsinvest.com Latest Crypto News Sat, 23 Aug 2025 17:48:44 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.9.7 https://i0.wp.com/earlybirdsinvest.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/cropped-New-Project-2024-12-17T235703.455.png?fit=32%2C32&ssl=1 quiet – Earlybirds Invest https://earlybirdsinvest.com 32 32 240146708 Real estate’s quiet crash: your home is worth less than ever in Bitcoin https://earlybirdsinvest.com/real-estates-quiet-crash-your-home-is-worth-less-than-ever-in-bitcoin/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/real-estates-quiet-crash-your-home-is-worth-less-than-ever-in-bitcoin/#respond Sat, 23 Aug 2025 17:48:43 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/real-estates-quiet-crash-your-home-is-worth-less-than-ever-in-bitcoin/

In April 2023, a Bitcoiner going by the name of Breadman purchased a property for $496,000, which was equivalent to 22.5 BTC at the time. Fast forward to August 2025, and the property is now valued at $570,000, a respectable 15% gain in dollar terms. But here’s the kicker: priced in Bitcoin, his home is now worth just 4.85 BTC, a staggering 78% loss when measured against the world’s hardest money, and highlighting real estate’s quiet crash as a store-of-value asset.

Breadman’s painful personal anecdote uncovers the silent crisis rippling across global real estate markets, disguised by rising fiat prices but blast wide open when viewed through a Bitcoin lens.

Real estate’s quiet crash is more pronounced in the US

While Mediterranean countries like Spain have posted annual price growth of 7–8%, and even double-digit jumps in appraised values in Portugal, the wider global picture is more uncertain.

In North America, the United Kingdom, and much of the rest of Europe, the pace of property appreciation has slowed sharply. A UBS global forecast for 2025 notes that, after declines in 2022 and a muted recovery, capital values are expected to be “pretty flat” this year, with the residential sector showing only “modest uplift”.

The erosion of fiat: why real gains aren’t what they seem

On paper, a 15% gain in two years sounds solid. But inflation eats into those fiat profits relentlessly. Revised forecasts have pegged U.S. inflation for 2025 as running above 4%; add in local volatility from tariffs and changing global policy, and the real return on property is often much less than the headline figure.

It gets worse in many emerging markets, where high inflation rates (sometimes triple digits) wipe out nominal gains and even erode real wealth. For instance, Argentina’s annual inflation exceeded 200% in 2023, meaning property owners often saw their increases in local currency values completely overshadowed by the dramatic loss of purchasing power.

Bitcoin: the ultimate measuring stick

Now zoom out. Since April 2023, Bitcoin has surged from ~$22,000 to above $118,000, outpacing every major asset class on earth, and dwarfing the dollar gains made in real estate. While homes may be getting more expensive in fiat, they’re becoming vastly cheaper in BTC terms.

Macro investor and bitcoin advocate, James Lavish, called global real estate the largest addressable asset class for wealth seeking inflation protection. He highlighted the $998 trillion of capital parked in real estate and other global assets, all of which is steadily losing ground to Bitcoin’s scarcity-driven, deflationary model.

global store of value assets
Global store of value assets. Source: Jesse Myers

While houses look like good investments on a nominal chart, their real purchasing power collapses when measured against truly hard money.

The ‘Bitcoin pizza’ effect: when value goes parabolic

Exchanging your Bitcoin for other assets has proven extremely costly over the years. Just ask Laszlo Hanyecz, who famously traded 10,000 BTC for two pizzas in 2010. At the time, the coins were worth about $41. Today, those pizzas would fetch over $1.1 billion. What seemed reasonable in fiat terms became a legendary loss in Bitcoin value and a cautionary tale for anyone measuring wealth in dollars alone.

While global headlines tout resilient or even climbing real estate prices, a new reality is emerging for those with a Bitcoin perspective: real estate’s quite crash in BTC terms, and inflation further eroding fiat gains.

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Blockchain Gaming Is Growing Up – What’s Behind the Sector’s Quiet Comeback https://earlybirdsinvest.com/blockchain-gaming-is-growing-up-whats-behind-the-sectors-quiet-comeback/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/blockchain-gaming-is-growing-up-whats-behind-the-sectors-quiet-comeback/#respond Wed, 30 Jul 2025 06:26:14 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/blockchain-gaming-is-growing-up-whats-behind-the-sectors-quiet-comeback/
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Remember when blockchain gaming meant million-dollar Axie scholarships and nonstop token pumps? And rug pulls? Lots of rug pulls.

Those days feel like a fever dream.

The industry that once promised to revolutionize gaming overnight through unsustainable play-to-earn models has quietly evolved into something far more substantial and sustainable.

In 2024-2025, blockchain gaming is experiencing a quiet renaissance, driven by fundamentals instead of FOMO.

Gone are the days when success meant token velocity and hype cycles.

Instead, serious capital is backing projects with real gameplay, legacy studios are engaging on their own terms and unexpected markets like Spain are emerging as strategic launchpads.

This isn’t the loud, flashy comeback many expected but the methodical rebuilding that actually matters.

From speculation to substance

The 2021 cycle was intoxicating in all the wrong ways. Success was measured by how fast a token pumped rather than by whether anyone enjoyed the game.

Projects launched with elaborate tokenomics promising sky-high returns, attracting players who treated gaming like a second job.

The collapse was inevitable, baked into the model from the start.

Today’s projects tell a different story. Developers are focused on gameplay, cross-platform interoperability and economic models designed to survive market volatility.

In 2024, blockchain games attracted 7.4 million daily active wallets a 421% jump from 2023 proof that players are sticking around for the fun, not just the tokens.

Developers are asking better questions. Will people still play this game without token rewards? Does it offer lasting value beyond speculation? Can the economy stand on its own?

What matters now isn’t token velocity but whether the game is fun. This shift from hype to substance is the industry’s most important evolution.

The new generation of blockchain games is being developed by teams that understand entertainment, not just cryptocurrency mechanics.

Blockchain is no longer the main event – it’s the technology quietly powering experiences people actually want to engage with.

Why serious investors are back

The smart money that fled during the 2022 crash is quietly returning, but with a very different mindset.

Investors like José Herrera, a prominent Spanish angel, aren’t just cutting checks but are also advising teams directly and backing founders they trust with long-term capital.

This is disciplined value creation, not just speculative noise.

With the blockchain gaming market valued at $14.8 billion in 2024 and projected to hit $1.17 trillion by 2033, the opportunity in sustainable models is too big to ignore.

Today’s investors are doing real due diligence.

They’re scrutinizing teams’ track records, evaluating partnership potential and stress-testing whether business models can weather market cycles.

Flashy whitepapers and polished roadmaps aren’t cutting it anymore. What matters is traction, working products, clear revenue pipelines and real product–market fit.

This new capital is sharper, more selective and deeply pragmatic. Rather than chasing token pumps, they’re backing capable teams, proven studios and strong IP.

The focus is back on fundamentals like compelling gameplay, strategic partnerships and business-savvy execution.

And that discipline is exactly what the industry needs to move beyond the hype and build something that lasts.

Mainstream validation and real partnerships

The most telling sign of blockchain gaming’s maturation isn’t on crypto X (formerly Twitter) but in traditional gaming boardrooms.

AAA and AA studios are stepping in as development partners, tech collaborators and strategic advisors.

Rather than crypto projects learning to build games, established game companies are exploring how blockchain can enhance what they already do best.

Partnerships with major entertainment and sports IPs signal a real shift in confidence.

When legacy brands license their properties to blockchain games, they’re doing so because they see viable, long-term value and not for short-term novelty.

These alliances bring more than recognition. They offer seasoned distribution networks, monetization expertise and deep understanding of what makes entertainment succeed.

Rather than trying to disrupt the gaming world from the outside, the new wave of projects is integrating blockchain inside existing entertainment frameworks.

The result? Games that feel familiar to mainstream players but that also offer something truly new through digital ownership, interoperability and community-driven economies.

Why Spain is becoming a Web 3.0 gaming powerhouse

While much of the crypto world focuses on Silicon Valley or Asia, Spain is quietly emerging as one of Europe’s most dynamic hubs for Web 3.0 gaming.

Thanks to supportive policies, like regulatory sandboxes, developers can test blockchain projects in a supervised environment, free from much of the regulatory drag found elsewhere.

In 2024-2025, Web 3.0 investment in Spain is surging.

Early-stage capital is flowing into infrastructure, DeFi and gaming projects, with new funds launching to target opportunities across both Europe and Latin America.

Spain also boasts robust market momentum in emerging gaming formats.

Its metaverse gaming sector is forecast to reach $472 million in 2024 and grow to $2.7 billion by 2030. This growth mirrors rising digital media spending and gaming adoption across the country.

On the ground, Spain blends competitive dev talent, startup agility and strong connections to Latin America, giving Web 3.0 gaming projects a unique advantage EU-level infrastructure and regulatory clarity, coupled with access to a rapidly growing Spanish- and Portuguese-speaking market.

Compared with slower, more cautious European tech hubs, Spain is fast, connected and culturally aligned with what comes next in gaming.

It’s not just joining the blockchain gaming renaissance but is helping to lead it.

The next era isn’t loud – it‘s built to last

Blockchain gaming is no longer trying to disrupt traditional gaming overnight. Instead, it’s seeking to integrate with it.

This quiet shift signals real maturity.

The projects succeeding now aren’t the loudest or most ambitious. They’re the most sustainable, the most playable and the most useful.

Builders rather than hype men are leading this new phase. They’re creating games people genuinely want to play, economies that hold up and partnerships that move the needle.

The future belongs to teams that can blend great gameplay with real-world utility, not those chasing token pumps or social media virality.

The next chapter of blockchain gaming won’t be written in pump-and-dumps.

It will be shaped by playable, investable and enjoyable experiences that put the tech back in service of the player. This isn’t a comeback. It’s a new game entirely.


Xavier Baldó is the CEO and founder of EFC and a member of the Blockchain Game Alliance. With a strong background in automation, robotics and blockchain technology, he is a visionary leader known for driving innovation and leading multidisciplinary teams.

 

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Bank of Japan’s quiet dollar liquidity move: warning sign or just the beginning? https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bank-of-japans-quiet-dollar-liquidity-move-warning-sign-or-just-the-beginning/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bank-of-japans-quiet-dollar-liquidity-move-warning-sign-or-just-the-beginning/#respond Sat, 19 Jul 2025 16:35:22 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bank-of-japans-quiet-dollar-liquidity-move-warning-sign-or-just-the-beginning/

On July 15, 2025, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) quietly announced that it would begin supplying U.S. dollar funds against pooled collateral, starting on July 17, a move that might seem like standard liquidity management.

However, according to macro analyst EndGame Macro, this technical maneuver may signal the beginning of a far deeper shift, hinting at growing stress inside the global dollar funding ecosystem and the cumulative strain of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s persistent hawkishness.

The carry trade squeeze and systemic pressure

EndGame Macro explains that, for years, Japanese institutions profited from USD carry trades: borrowing cheaply in yen, investing in higher-yielding U.S. assets, and hedging the currency risk. This trade thrived on historically easy dollar liquidity and a strong yen. Now, with the dollar buoyed by high Fed rates and the yen slumping, the economics are breaking down.

As the cost and risk of rolling over these trades escalate, Japanese firms face mounting pressure. The BOJ’s action of supplying domestic USD liquidity is less about the current crisis and more about “preemptive firefighting.”

The maneuver also points to a broader global problem: dollar scarcity. When a major central bank intervenes to provide USD locally, it’s a clear message that private markets are slipping in their capacity to allocate dollars efficiently and cost-effectively. We’ve seen the early signs before, he states, most notably in 2008, 2011, 2019, and 2020, which led to repo market ruptures and emergency Fed interventions.

Arthur Hayes, former CEO of BitMEX, commented on the implications of these central bank machinations, pointing out that such moves bolster global liquidity:

“This is huge… The BOJ is about to ramp up the fiat liquidity gusher and propel $BTC much higher.”

The BOJ rate hike and crypto assets

CryptoSlate recently reported that the BOJ’s recent rate hike to 0.5%, the highest since 2008, sent shockwaves through both Japanese and international markets, including a 22% drop in Metaplanet shares.

The move, prompted by persistent inflation above 3%, has put pressure on previously steady carry trades and heightened volatility across assets. Higher Japanese rates narrow the profitability of borrowing in yen to invest overseas. Unwinding these trades can cause rapid capital flight from risk assets, including cryptocurrencies, increasing global volatility.

When the dollar becomes more expensive and less available globally, riskier assets, like Bitcoin, often face pressure, with price surges or sudden downturns as liquidity dynamics shift. However, if central banks, including the Fed and BOJ, coordinate or expand liquidity (e.g., via swap lines or renewed QE), risk assets like crypto can rebound sharply, as Hayes anticipates.

The BOJ’s recent steps, both in lifting rates and preemptively adding USD liquidity, are more than routine tweaks. As EndGame Macro states:

“Quiet moves like this one are often the first signs.”

The post Bank of Japan’s quiet dollar liquidity move: warning sign or just the beginning? appeared first on CryptoSlate.

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A quiet setup of Dogecoin can cause Shorty to explode, analysts say. https://earlybirdsinvest.com/a-quiet-setup-of-dogecoin-can-cause-shorty-to-explode-analysts-say/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/a-quiet-setup-of-dogecoin-can-cause-shorty-to-explode-analysts-say/#respond Thu, 03 Jul 2025 18:50:02 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/a-quiet-setup-of-dogecoin-can-cause-shorty-to-explode-analysts-say/

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The soccer price for the Lion and Player is soft. I hate each of my arcu lorem, ultricy kids, or ullamcorper football.

Dogecoin changed hands at nearly $0.174 in a European deal on Thursday, and it began when a two-day rebound was extended and buyers defended the floor twice in mid-June, around $0.16. With an 11% recovery since Tuesday Low, the biggest memo coins have returned to traders’ radar, but technical analysts’ more crypto online warns that what appears to be an impulsive burst is actually “all corrected in nature.”

Dogecoin is quietly caught up due to a potential breakout

In a video update recorded on June 2, analysts analyzed the hour-long chart and concluded that progress from June 22 is the most important part of the three-wave movement. “Wave 1… was just three wave movements, so the third wave should unfold as an ABC structure,” he said. Still, as long as Dogecoin defends what is called the “micross support area between $0.16 and $0.166”, the diagonal remains valid, with the measured target being $0.196.

Dogecoin Price Analysis
Dogecoin Price Analysis | Source: Other Crypto Online

The roadmap is conditional. First, the current A wave must end. After that, the correction b wave should continue. “In C-Wave, you can close out about $0.196.” While the probe heading towards $0.182 before that pullback cannot be ruled out, analysts warned viewers not to assume a high straight shot. “Note that we can deal with very choppy and messy structures,” he said.

Related readings

If the Bulls force a full five-wave climb from a swinglow in July, that sequence marks the first leg of a larger five-wave advance. This is a textbook signal that the broader downtrend from Dogecoin’s March Peak could eventually be exhausted. However, if you don’t keep $0.16, your diagonal count will be invalidated, exposing your June low to nearly $0.151. There, on-chain data shows thin layers of spot bids and thin layers of almost derivative support.

Market contexts are mixed. Coingecko’s data shows Dogecoin’s 24-hour turnover rate is above $1.5 billion, roughly consistent with last week’s average, but Memecoin’s correlation with Bitcoin has weakened to 0.62, the lowest reading since early May.

Related readings

However, in the short term, all eyes are in the $0.16 band. With more crypto online summed up, “The oblique pattern remains essentially plausible as long as it holds the $0.16 level.” If that floor survives the inevitable B-wave turbulence, Dogecoin’s “quiet setup” could explode soon. You could transfer the token to $0.196, which could indicate a change in trends that are more durable.

In particular, Dagecoin’s long-term descending channel cap, currently located near $0.20, is almost exactly in line with Crypto Online’s bullish target. The decisive breakout through this confluence will not only stab the ceiling, which has priced at $0.4843 since December 8th, but it will also examine analysts’ calls to turn back trends.

At the time of pressing, Doge traded for $0.174.

Dogecoin Price
Doge Price Eyes The Channel Top, 1-Day Chart | Source: dogeusdt on tradingView.com

Featured images created with dall.e, charts on tradingview.com

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Chainlink Reclaims Key Structure – Quiet Accumulation Could Fuel $25–$30 Surge https://earlybirdsinvest.com/chainlink-reclaims-key-structure-quiet-accumulation-could-fuel-25-30-surge/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/chainlink-reclaims-key-structure-quiet-accumulation-could-fuel-25-30-surge/#respond Wed, 25 Jun 2025 21:51:30 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/chainlink-reclaims-key-structure-quiet-accumulation-could-fuel-25-30-surge/

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Chainlink (LINK) is up 21% from its Sunday lows, gaining momentum in an otherwise uncertain macro and geopolitical environment. While global tensions continue to spark volatility across markets, Chainlink has stood out for its resilience, supported by a series of strong partnerships and growing on-chain fundamentals. The recent price action signals a potential shift in trend, but analysts warn that a confirmed breakout is still needed before bulls can fully take over.

Related Reading

Top analyst Henry Lord of Alts highlighted that LINK has endured months of persistent downtrend and unusually quiet price behavior. However, recent moves suggest that something is changing beneath the surface. Volume is increasing, volatility is picking up, and LINK is forming a base structure that could mark the end of its accumulation phase.

Despite this strength, Chainlink remains technically locked within a consolidation range. A clean breakout above key resistance levels will be critical to trigger the next phase of upward momentum. Until then, traders are cautiously optimistic as LINK teases a larger move.

Chainlink Prepares For A Decisive Move

Chainlink is currently trading over 25% below its May high, reflecting the broader market impact of rising macroeconomic uncertainty and geopolitical tensions, especially the recent Middle East conflicts. Despite these pressures, LINK has managed to hold within a steady consolidation range, signaling resilience as the crypto market awaits its next decisive move.

Maintaining prices above current levels is crucial. A breakdown here could open the door for deeper corrections. However, analyst Henry believes the tides may be turning. According to Henry, Chainlink has endured months of downtrend and silence, but a structural shift is now underway. His analysis highlights that the long-standing downtrend has been broken, and LINK has entered a clear accumulation and consolidation phase.

Chainlink consolidates at key demand levels | Source: Henry on X
Chainlink consolidates at key demand levels | Source: Henry on X

“These zones often come before the loudest moves,” Henry notes. Historically, such phases have preceded explosive rallies, and this time may be no different. If momentum picks up, a breakout toward the $25–$30 range wouldn’t be surprising.

Henry also points out that periods of inactivity often mask the actions of smart money—buying quietly before the broader market catches on. While it’s easy to overlook assets during calm phases, that’s often when the groundwork for major moves is laid. For now, Chainlink remains on watch.

Related Reading

LINK Price Analysis: Signs of Reversal Emerge

Chainlink is showing early signs of a trend reversal after months of consistent decline. As seen in the 12-hour chart, LINK recently rebounded from the $11.50 level and is now trading above $13.20. This recovery follows a steep drop that marked a new local low, but the bounce has pushed the price above the 50-day simple moving average (SMA), now acting as short-term support at $13.50.

LINK testing short-term resistance levels | Source: LINKUSDT chart on TradingView
LINK testing short-term resistance levels | Source: LINKUSDT chart on TradingView

Importantly, LINK is now testing the 100-day SMA (around $14.65), which previously served as resistance in late May and early June. If bulls manage to break and consolidate above this level, the next target lies near the 200-day SMA at $14.16—a confluence zone that may act as a critical decision point for trend continuation or rejection.

Related Reading

While the macro structure remains bearish, this short-term accumulation range suggests growing demand, especially as the price begins to form higher lows. A clear break above $14.65 with volume could confirm the breakout and signal the start of a larger move toward the $17–$18 range.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

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Bitcoin Network Activity Booming Despite A Quiet Market—Data https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-network-activity-booming-despite-a-quiet-market-data/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-network-activity-booming-despite-a-quiet-market-data/#respond Fri, 06 Jun 2025 04:34:07 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-network-activity-booming-despite-a-quiet-market-data/

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Bitcoin’s price has barely moved in the last week, but other signs point to growing activity on the network. On June 5, Bitcoin traded around $104,300, down 0.50% in 24 hours and off 2.5% over the past seven days. Yet data shows more people are joining the network, and more coins are being passed around.

Related Reading

Wallet Creation Jump

According to Santiment, on May 29 nearly 557,000 new wallets appeared. That was the highest number since December 2023. It means thousands of people are opening wallets even though price has stayed just under $105,000.

People normally open new wallets to send and receive bitcoins but they somehow come across the idea through new sources, increased talks among friends or create simple curiosity. In any case, an increased wallet holding indeed indicates a much wider usage.

Increased Token Movement

On June 2, over 241,360 BTC changed hands. This was deemed the busiest day since December 2024. Reports from Santiment suggest that high coin turnover usually coincides with increased traffic.

Traders might be moving coins in and out of exchanges, or investors could be shifting wallets. Big swings in daily token movement can point to a shift in sentiment—people either getting ready to buy or sell.

Right now, it mostly looks like more users are sending coins to each other, which keeps the network busy even when price sits still.

BTC is currently trading at $147,487. Chart: TradingView

Big Holders Step In

Data from IntoTheBlock shows that large holders—often called “whales”—are stocking up. Their coin inflows jumped by 145% over the last seven days, and by 214% over the past 30 days.

When big players load up, it can tighten supply on exchanges. That makes it tougher for new buyers to get in without driving price higher. If whales keep buying at this rate, it could lead to more upward pressure on price once everyday investors step in again.

Related Reading

Mid Tier Investors Buy

It’s not just the really big holders adding coins. Wallets holding between 10 and 10,000 BTC added more than 79,000 BTC in just one week. That means these mid-tier holders picked up around 11,320 BTC per day on average.

As of June 2, they held over 13 million BTC in total. When both big whales and these mid-level holders keep stacking, it further cuts down the number of coins floating on exchanges. Fewer coins available often mean any shift in demand could move price more.

Featured image from Imagen, chart from TradingView

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Key Indicator Signals Early Upside Despite Quiet Bitcoin (BTC) Market https://earlybirdsinvest.com/key-indicator-signals-early-upside-despite-quiet-bitcoin-btc-market/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/key-indicator-signals-early-upside-despite-quiet-bitcoin-btc-market/#respond Thu, 29 May 2025 19:12:36 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/key-indicator-signals-early-upside-despite-quiet-bitcoin-btc-market/

Bitcoin reached a record high of almost $112,000 on May 22 and has remained relatively close to that mark ever since, keeping investors on edge for a potential breakout.

Despite subdued market activity, the Bitcoin Combined Market Index (BCMI) indicates a shift in sentiment.

Accumulation Signals

As of May 29, 2025, the 7-day simple moving average (SMA) of the BCMI has rebounded sharply to around 0.6, which, according to CryptoQuant, suggests an early upside signal. In contrast, the 90-day SMA remains stable at approximately 0.45, reflecting a neutral zone and confirming that the market is not yet overheated.

The BCMI, which blends key metrics such as MVRV, NUPL, SOPR, and the Fear & Greed Index, serves as a broader gauge of market mood. Thresholds highlight extremes, values below 0.15 point to macro bottoms, while those above 0.75 hint at potential tops.

With profit-taking slowing and on-chain indicators improving, the index hints at a possible early accumulation phase. While broader participation remains cautious, the data suggests sentiment may be quietly turning.

“The crowd is still waiting – but the signal is already flashing.”

Further validating this behavior, Santiment’s latest analysis revealed a significant trend among mid-sized Bitcoin whales. The crypto analytics firm observed that wallets holding between 100-1,000 BTC have shown the strongest historical correlation to Bitcoin’s price movements over the past five years. In the last six weeks alone, this cohort has added 337 new wallets, collectively accumulating an additional 122,330 BTC.

This sharp uptick in accumulation suggests growing confidence among seasoned investors and may signal a bullish undercurrent forming beneath the surface of current market conditions.

“Pivot Zone” for Bitcoin

Bitcoin could be facing another prolonged consolidation phase if fresh buying pressure does not emerge this week, according to on-chain analyst Willy Woo. In a recent update, Woo noted that while the broader market shows signs of strength, with his Risk Signal trending downward, which means buy-side liquidity is dominating, the short-term momentum is faltering.

The strength of this bullish run from $75K to $112K is starting to break down, he warned. The next few days are crucial: a lack of follow-through from buyers may stall the rally and trap the market in sideways action. Woo raised concerns over latecomer speculators entering long positions while many holders sit on significant unrealized gains, as highlighted by the Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR).

If profit-taking intensifies without sufficient spot demand, the market could retreat or stall. Woo believes the outcome of this week’s spot market activity will likely shape Bitcoin’s direction for the next one to two months.

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Quiet mempool and flat volume could mean limited fuel for Bitcoin’s breakout above $100k https://earlybirdsinvest.com/quiet-mempool-and-flat-volume-could-mean-limited-fuel-for-bitcoins-breakout-above-100k/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/quiet-mempool-and-flat-volume-could-mean-limited-fuel-for-bitcoins-breakout-above-100k/#respond Wed, 07 May 2025 01:05:20 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/quiet-mempool-and-flat-volume-could-mean-limited-fuel-for-bitcoins-breakout-above-100k/ With Bitcoin attempting to break the crucial $95,000 to $96,000 threshold, it faces significant headwinds rooted in an increasingly dormant on-chain environment.

Although the price has hovered optimistically close to the critical $100,000 barrier, stagnant blockchain activity metrics show certain vulnerabilities that could hinder further upside.

According to data from Checkonchain, daily on-chain transfer volume remains near the $10 billion mark, aligning almost perfectly with its 365-day mean. This is a clear indication that transactional demand remains tepid.

Sharp increases in on-chain throughput marked previous bullish phases, but the current scenario reflects minimal fresh transactional activity, effectively capping potential momentum.

Furthermore, Bitcoin’s mempool (the main indicator of transaction backlog and network demand) has been shallow, sustaining only about three to four blocks’ worth of pending transactions. This contrasts starkly with historical breakout periods, where the mempool swelled significantly amid heightened transactional urgency.

bitcoin mempool
Pending transactions in the Bitcoin mempool on May 6, 14:35 UTC (Source: Mempool.space)

Active address metrics corroborate the lethargy seen in on-chain volume and transaction counts. In the past 30 days, daily active addresses averaged around 930,000, with recent fluctuations marking multi-month lows dipping occasionally below 800,000, a departure from the activity typically associated with bullish enthusiasm.

Without an uptick in new or returning user interactions, Bitcoin is increasingly dependent on existing holders to drive the market upward. This dependency often translates into weaker buying pressure, particularly at significant resistance levels where profit-taking from stale holders may dominate.

Bitcoin Active Addresses
Active addresses on the Bitcoin network from May 6, 2024, to May 5, 2025 (Source: CryptoQuant)

Bitcoin’s velocity, which shows the rate at which coins change hands, seems to compound these pressures. Data from CryptoQuant shows velocity remains stagnant around 13.0, showing that coins are moving through the Bitcoin ecosystem more slowly.

Bitcoin Velocity
Bitcoin’s year-to-date (YTD) velocity on May 6, 2025 (Source: CryptoQuant)

Moreover, the investor sentiment backdrop provides limited comfort. Although roughly 400,000 BTC recently transitioned into long-term holder (LTH) status in the past month, suggesting a tightening supply, this shift is double-edged. Historically, significant movements into LTH status coincide with phases of market inertia rather than explosive growth as investors brace for prolonged sideways movements.

bitcoin LTH supply change
YTD 30-day net change in Bitcoin’s long-term holder supply on May 6, 2025 (Source: Checkonchain)

Additionally, Bitcoin’s short-term holder (STH) cost-basis of $93,500 almost perfectly mirrors the current spot price, adding further technical and psychological weight. This price alignment amplifies the risk of forming a technical lower-high scenario on the weekly charts, particularly if bid support fails to materialize decisively in the next few weeks.

short-term holder realized price bitcoin
YTD short-term holder realized price on May 6, 2025 (Source: Checkonchain)

Exchange inflow data offers additional cautionary signals, averaging approximately 32,700 BTC daily over the last month. These numbers represent neither panic selling nor aggressive accumulation: they reflect a neutral and disinterested market.

This middle-ground sentiment most likely won’t provide sufficient fuel to propel Bitcoin past resistance clusters near $100,000, where approximately 15% of Bitcoin’s circulating supply currently resides in unrealized losses, ready to offload at break-even points.

Bitcoin Exchange Inflow (Total)
Total Bitcoin inflow to exchanges from May 6, 2024, to May 5, 2025 (Source: CryptoQuant)

Previous episodes of muted activity have typically led to market frustration, culminating in sudden downside corrections or extended periods of price stasis, both of which are demoralizing for bullish investors hoping for rapid ascents.

Bitcoin will likely escape this inertia when transfer volume, ETF turnover, and active addresses spike in tandem. Increased velocity and mempool depth, followed by increased movement in the derivatives market, would certainly bolster confidence.

Derivatives themselves have seen sharp spikes and drops in activity in the past month, indicating volatile speculative fervor, but weren’t enough to keep BTC above $95,000. But without all these signals materializing together, the likelihood increases that Bitcoin might succumb to a lower-high formation on the weekly chart that could push it back to as low as $86,000.

The current state of transactional inertia acts as a barrier to Bitcoin’s immediate upside potential. Unless significant on-chain activity resumes, the market’s aspirations of surpassing and sustaining Bitcoin’s price above $100,000 may remain out of reach in the short term.

The post Quiet mempool and flat volume could mean limited fuel for Bitcoin’s breakout above $100k appeared first on CryptoSlate.

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UK firm buys $250M Bitcoin as analysts eye quiet Easter weekend https://earlybirdsinvest.com/uk-firm-buys-250m-bitcoin-as-analysts-eye-quiet-easter-weekend/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/uk-firm-buys-250m-bitcoin-as-analysts-eye-quiet-easter-weekend/#respond Sat, 19 Apr 2025 14:36:11 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/uk-firm-buys-250m-bitcoin-as-analysts-eye-quiet-easter-weekend/

Whales and institutions are increasing their Bitcoin holdings ahead of Easter, as market analysts predict a weekend with less volatility after two weeks of heightened volatility driven by escalating global trade tensions.

London-based investment firm Abraxas Capital acquired 2,949 Bitcoin (BTC) worth more than $250 million during the four days leading up to April 19.

In the latest transaction, the firm bought over $45 million worth of Bitcoin from Binance on April 18, according to crypto intelligence firm Lookonchain, citing Arkham Intelligence data.

Source: Arkham Intelligence, Lookonchain

The investment came days after Michael Saylor’s Strategy bought $285 million worth of Bitcoin at an average price of $82,618 per BTC, as the world’s largest corporate Bitcoin holders signal continued confidence in Bitcoin, amid global tariff uncertainty.

Large Bitcoin investors, or whales, continue accumulating, absorbing over 300% of Bitcoin’s yearly issuance as exchanges continue losing coins at a historic pace, Cointelegraph reported on April 18.

Related: Spar supermarket in Switzerland starts accepting Bitcoin payments

Crypto analysts eye quiet Easter weekend after weeks of turmoil

Despite continued accumulation from whales and institutions, volatility concerns were raised by significant movements from the medium-term Bitcoin cohort, which holds coins for an average of three to six months.

Over 170,000 Bitcoin entered circulation from the medium-term cohort, a development that may signal “imminent” crypto market volatility, according to pseudonymous CryptoQuant analyst Mignolet.

“The effect of this metric on LTF moves is overstated as large onchain movement of coins hardly ever affects weekend price action since it’s not on liquid markets or CEX markets,” analysts at Bitfinex exchange told Cointelegraph, adding:

“It is important to note that funding rates remain relatively flat currently. Moreover, US markets are closed as we have a long weekend for Easter, so volatility could be suppressed barring headlines from the White House.”

Related: Crypto, DeFi may widen wealth gap, destabilize finance: BIS report

Marcin Kazmierczak, chief operating officer of RedStone Oracles, added that the recent movements may be operational transfers, not necessarily signs of imminent selling pressure.

Still, concerns over weekend volatility have been amplified over the past two weeks after the Mantra (OM) token’s price collapsed by over 90% on Sunday, April 13, from roughly $6.30 to below $0.50, triggering market manipulation allegations and highlighting “critical” liquidity issues in the industry.

Two weeks ago, on April 6, Bitcoin fell below $75,000 on Sunday, as investor concerns spread from a record-breaking  $5 trillion sell-off from the S&P 500, its largest on record.

BTC, SPX, year-to-date chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The correction was caused by Bitcoin’s 24/7 trading availability, which made it the only large liquid asset available for de-risking on Sunday, Blockstream CEO Adam Back told Cointelegraph.

“On a weekend, there’s not much volume. So you have a worse risk of rapid sort of flash crashes or flash dips that get filled in again,” he said.

Magazine: Bitcoin ATH sooner than expected? XRP may drop 40%, and more: Hodler’s Digest, March 23 – 29

]]> https://earlybirdsinvest.com/uk-firm-buys-250m-bitcoin-as-analysts-eye-quiet-easter-weekend/feed/ 0 31690 Bubblemaps Flags Quiet $30 Million Sell-Off of Melania Meme Tokens https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bubblemaps-flags-quiet-30-million-sell-off-of-melania-meme-tokens/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bubblemaps-flags-quiet-30-million-sell-off-of-melania-meme-tokens/#respond Wed, 09 Apr 2025 05:01:25 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bubblemaps-flags-quiet-30-million-sell-off-of-melania-meme-tokens/

Bubblemaps, a blockchain tracking company, reported that over $30 million worth of Melania Meme (MELANIA) tokens were moved and sold quietly.

The token, linked to US First Lady Melania Trump, runs on the Solana
SOL


$105.17

network.

The tokens were taken from wallets meant for the community. According to an April 7 post on X, Bubblemaps found that 50 million tokens were first sent to one wallet, marked “Cq2Tj6”, before being split into several others.

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Additionally, more than $3 million was sent to crypto exchanges. Two new wallets received $6 million each, and $500,000 has already been sold.

According to Bubblemaps, neither the project’s team nor Hayden Davis, the person behind the token’s launch, has explained what happened. Bubblemaps said on X:

No one from the MELANIA team has addressed this. Not the movements. Not the selling.

On March 28, there was another $2 million sale. Bubblemaps explained that the method used was similar to one seen in February during the collapse of another token, LIBRA — a project also linked to Davis.

Team wallets are said to hold 92% of all MELANIA tokens. This has raised concerns that regular buyers have little protection if the people in charge decide to move more funds without notice.

On 6 April, the REAL token, a cryptocurrency project linked to former UFC champion Conor McGregor, announced plans to return funds to investors. What did the team say about it? Read the full story.

Having completed a Master’s degree in Economics, Politics, and Cultures of the East Asia region, Aaron has written scientific papers analyzing the differences between Western and Collective forms of capitalism in the post-World War II era.
With close to a decade of experience in the FinTech industry, Aaron understands all of the biggest issues and struggles that crypto enthusiasts face. He’s a passionate analyst who is concerned with data-driven and fact-based content, as well as that which speaks to both Web3 natives and industry newcomers.
Aaron is the go-to person for everything and anything related to digital currencies. With a huge passion for blockchain & Web3 education, Aaron strives to transform the space as we know it, and make it more approachable to complete beginners.
Aaron has been quoted by multiple established outlets, and is a published author himself. Even during his free time, he enjoys researching the market trends, and looking for the next supernova.


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