Profitable – Earlybirds Invest https://earlybirdsinvest.com Latest Crypto News Fri, 01 Aug 2025 18:15:13 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.9.7 https://i0.wp.com/earlybirdsinvest.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/cropped-New-Project-2024-12-17T235703.455.png?fit=32%2C32&ssl=1 Profitable – Earlybirds Invest https://earlybirdsinvest.com 32 32 240146708 Short-term holders drove Bitcoin price decline but market remains profitable https://earlybirdsinvest.com/short-term-holders-drove-bitcoin-price-decline-but-market-remains-profitable/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/short-term-holders-drove-bitcoin-price-decline-but-market-remains-profitable/#respond Fri, 01 Aug 2025 18:15:13 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/short-term-holders-drove-bitcoin-price-decline-but-market-remains-profitable/

Bitcoin started August on a bearish note, but the downturn appears to have stemmed from spot market activity rather than a wave of forced liquidations in derivatives markets.

Over the past 24 hours, the flagship digital asset dropped by more than 3% to under $115,000, resulting in over $200 million in market liquidation.

Glassnode data reveals that recent sellers in this market condition were predominantly short-term holders.

Bitcoin Short Term Sellers
Bitcoin Short-Term Sellers Drive Market Decline (Source: Glassnode)

Of the $21.34 billion in BTC that changed hands during the period, 85.5%—roughly $18.24 billion—was attributed to investors who acquired their coins within the last few months. In contrast, long-term holders accounted for only 14.5% ($3.10 billion) of the volume.

This trend suggests the pullback was driven more by newer market entrants reacting to price weakness than by institutional or long-term investors exiting the market.

Despite the sell pressure, the broader market remains largely in profit.

According to Glassnode data, the Percent Supply in Profit, representing the share of circulating BTC currently in profit, has stayed above 90% for over a month. While this reflects broad unrealized gains, it also signals rising pressure to take profits.

Bitcoin Supply in Profit
Bitcoin Supply in Profit (Source: Glassnode)
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Why are selfish mining attacks (γ=0) with poor propagation still profitable? https://earlybirdsinvest.com/why-are-selfish-mining-attacks-%ce%b30-with-poor-propagation-still-profitable/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/why-are-selfish-mining-attacks-%ce%b30-with-poor-propagation-still-profitable/#respond Sat, 24 May 2025 14:26:26 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/why-are-selfish-mining-attacks-%ce%b30-with-poor-propagation-still-profitable/ Selfish mining papers from 2013 by Ittay Eyal and Emin Gün Sirer (0) introduce variable γ.

We show the ratio of honest miners who chose to mint in pool blocks and the ratio of other (1-γ) of non-pool miners mines in other branches.

The basic idea is that the pool of attackers withholds blocks until they learn about competing blocks from honest miners. Since honest nodes prefer the first block, this variable describes the ability of an attacker to compete for blocks in front of honest blocks.

Specifically, this refers to the proportion of Minor node Attack blocks are first shown. As explained in the Simulation section:

As in real life, we assume that block propagation times are negligible compared to mining times. For two branches of the same length, artificially divide non-pool miners, and their ratio of γ mining mines into the mines on the branches of the pool and on the other branches.

The simulation generates Figure 2.

Figure 2 from paper

I’m confused about the most pessimistic scenario γ=0. That is, whenever a pool of attackers tries to race in front of an honest block where they fail miserably. Intuitively, I would expect such a pool to lose money consistently, but why does the red line not stay below the grey line?

Is there an additional assumption in the paper that I am missing?

(0) https://arxiv.org/abs/1311.0243

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Could Autonomous Vehicle Insurance Threaten Berkshire Hathaway's Most Profitable Segment? https://earlybirdsinvest.com/could-autonomous-vehicle-insurance-threaten-berkshire-hathaways-most-profitable-segment/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/could-autonomous-vehicle-insurance-threaten-berkshire-hathaways-most-profitable-segment/#respond Mon, 05 May 2025 04:15:48 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/could-autonomous-vehicle-insurance-threaten-berkshire-hathaways-most-profitable-segment/

Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A 1.99%) (BRK.B 1.76%) has crushed the S&P 500 (^GSPC 1.47%) over the last 60 years thanks in part to savvy investment decisions about long-held stocks like American Express and Coca-Cola — and more recently Apple. But Berkshire’s stakes in public companies may no longer be the driving force behind its success.

On May 3 Berkshire published its first-quarter results, which included a new record position in cash, cash equivalents, and investments in U.S. Treasury bills of $342.39 billion. As of May 2, the value of Berkshire’s public equity portfolio was $277.41 billion, or roughly a quarter its market cap of $1.16 trillion. The rest of Berkshire’s value comes from its subsidiaries.

Berkshire has plenty of valuable wholly-owned businesses, from the BNSF railroad to utility giant Berkshire Hathaway Energy. But by far the most important category is its property and casualty (P&C) insurance businesses. At Berkshire’s annual shareholder meeting on Saturday, investors had plenty of questions about the future of the P&C businesses: from how they will fare in the face of an onslaught of private equity investment to the changing landscape of insurance in the autonomous age.

Are potential changes in P&C insurance enough to derail the Berkshire Hathaway investment thesis? Here are key takeaways from what Warren Buffett and Berkshire’s vice chairman of insurance operations, Ajit Jain, said during the annual meeting.

A three-lane highway full of evenly spaced cars with blue circles superimposed, to suggest sensor coverage to support safe spacing of self-driving vehicles.

Image source: Getty Images.

A changing game

In Q1, income from insurance underwriting and insurance investment combined was $4.23 billion, or a whopping 43.9% of total operating earnings.

As insurance has grown, it has become a bigger topic at Berkshire’s annual meetings. And for good reason, considering its impact on operating earnings.

Berkshire has maintained its focus on the P&C side of the insurance industry — distancing itself from the life insurance business, now dominated by private equity. During the annual meeting, Buffett and Jain said that private equity firms can make a lot of money in that area, but that the leverage and credit risk aren’t appealing to Berkshire anymore from a risk-management standpoint.

Another change to the insurance business has been the rise of autonomous vehicles. An audience member asked if this rise would change the underwriting requirements of the insurance business. Buffett responded, “We expect change in all of our ideas,” welcoming changes in the auto insurance industry. He also said that an annual auto insurance policy from GEICO in the 1950s could cost as little as $40, whereas today, it wouldn’t be out of the ordinary to have a $2,000 annual policy. Even as the cost of insurance is up some 50-fold, Buffett said that accidents have fallen by more than 80%. So the prospect of autonomous vehicles reducing accidents further doesn’t necessarily jeopardize the insurance investment opportunity.

Jain said that full vehicle autonomy could transform the auto insurance business from concentrating on the risks of operator error to instead focus on the automaker’s errors and omissions in creating autonomous vehicle driving capabilities, which would essentially become a product liability issue. Buffett followed up by reaffirming his confidence that the auto business has been a huge growth industry, saying “We do have unusual advantages in the insurance business that can’t be replicated by the competition.”

It’s worth noting that we’re a long way away from full autonomy on U.S. roadways. As autonomous vehicles make up a larger share of the vehicle mix and encounters between autonomous vehicles and human-driven vehicles rise, it wouldn’t be surprising if insurance becomes an even more profitable business — either through policies controlled by owners of autonomous vehicles, or maybe by the auto manufacturers including a policy with the sale of the vehicle as a value-added option.

Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA), for example, has gotten into the insurance business through Tesla Real-Time Insurance, which measures a safety score and offers discounts based on whether its “Full Self-Driving” feature is used at least 50% of the time. However, insuring fully autonomous vehicles is a different animal.

Focusing on the long term

Widespread adoption of autonomous vehicles would be a game changer for the P&C business, but it’s an adjustment that the whole industry must adapt to — not just Berkshire. Still, insurance has become a crucial element of Berkshire Hathaway’s investment thesis, so you may want to monitor how technology advancements impact underwriting criteria and Berkshire’s operating earnings.

When looking at Berkshire (as with any company), it’s best to focus on where it will be several years from now, instead of getting too caught up in changes to quarterly or annual results. As Buffett said during Saturday’s annual shareholder meeting, “We don’t do anything based on its impact on quarterly or annual earnings.”

Staying true to this philosophy will likely give Berkshire Hathaway an advantage in navigating vehicle autonomy. The long-term mindset could even lead it to gain market share in the industry, especially if its competitors are more interested in making money quickly than building lasting businesses.

American Express is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Daniel Foelber has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Apple, Berkshire Hathaway, and Tesla. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Bitcoin holders stay profitable despite volatile week https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-holders-stay-profitable-despite-volatile-week/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-holders-stay-profitable-despite-volatile-week/#respond Thu, 06 Mar 2025 04:23:44 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-holders-stay-profitable-despite-volatile-week/ Since the beginning of March, Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) and Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) reflected significant volatility in Bitcoin’s price, indicating how quickly investor sentiment changed.

Over the past few days, the market has remained in net profit, which indicates that most investors retained a generally optimistic stance despite the volatility resulting in several rapid price swings.

NUPL and MVRV ratios are on-chain metrics that gauge Bitcoin market sentiment and profitability. NUPL measures the net unrealized profit or loss in the network relative to market cap (values > 0 indicate a net profit state for investors), while MVRV compares Bitcoin’s market cap to its realized cap (the aggregate cost basis of coins).

An MVRV above 1 (or NUPL above 0) signifies that the average holder is in profit, whereas values below 1 indicate holders are, on average, underwater. High MVRV (e.g.,>2.4) signals large unrealized profits (often seen near bullish peaks), while low MVRV (<1.0) signals prevalent unrealized losses (seen in bear markets).

Bitcoin MVRV Ratio
Graph showing Bitcoin’s MVRV ratio from Feb. 26 to March 4, 2025 (Source: CryptoQuant)

On March 1, Bitcoin closed above $86,000, and NUPL hovered around 0.496 while MVRV stood near 1.98. Both readings pointed to a profitable market, with nearly half of Bitcoin’s market value representing unrealized gains and the average holder roughly doubling their cost basis.

The overall profitability of the market seemed to clash with the pessimistic outlook caused by Bitcoin’s drop below $90,000. A strong indication of bullish sentiment usually appears when NUPL is above 0 and MVRV is above 1, which they were, yet they had not yet reached an extreme greed threshold that might have signaled a sharp correction.

Bitcoin Net Unrealized Profit_Loss (NUPL) (1)
Graph showing Bitcoin’s NUPL ratio from Feb. 6 to March 4, 2025 (Source: CryptoQuant)

On March 2, following President Donald Trump’s announcement of a crypto reserve, Bitcoin’s price surged dramatically. This rally drove the price to a daily close above $94,000, sending NUPL to around 0.539 and MVRV to about 2.17.

The jump in both metrics suggests that many coins moved deeper into profit, particularly for newer holders who may have purchased during the latest dips. There were signs of increased trading volume, suggesting that traders and investors rushed in to capitalize on the rally.

However, by March 3, the situation reversed abruptly. Bitcoin’s price fell back into the mid-$80,000 range, giving up most of the previous day’s gains. This drop pushed NUPL down to around 0.495 and MVRV to approximately 1.98. The reduction indicates that the network’s unrealized profit quickly shrank, although the metrics did not fall below zero or approach negative territory.

The fact that they both landed near March 1 levels implies that the core market structure had not collapsed; it merely shed the fast gains from the prior day. Short-term holders may have contributed to the sell-off by taking profits or exiting losing positions. Meanwhile, many longer-term participants likely stayed profitable, which helped prevent a deeper decline in these on-chain metrics.

March 4 brought a partial recovery in Bitcoin’s price to around $87,000 by the daily close. NUPL improved slightly to 0.503, and MVRV edged back above 2.0 at around 2.01. Though the moves were modest compared to the previous two days, the slight bounce hints that the market absorbed the shakeout and stabilized.

A slight upturn in these profitability ratios suggests that holders remained in net profit. After a volatile two-day span, the average investor still had coins valued above their aggregate cost basis.

Across all four days, NUPL and MVRV remained decisively positive, demonstrating that most investors did not move into losses even with the significant drop on March 3. The market saw an initial surge in unrealized gains when the price spiked, followed by a rapid pullback that erased some of the new profits, but overall, the on-chain data shows that longer-term confidence did not waver.

Frequent profit-taking or short-term panic selling can send these metrics lower, but in this period, NUPL and MVRV never dipped to a level that would suggest a broader panic or substantial capitulation. Instead, the swings showed a typical pattern of traders reacting to big price moves while core holders primarily held on to their positions.

The post Bitcoin holders stay profitable despite volatile week appeared first on CryptoSlate.

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Is Bitcoin Mining Still Profitable in 2018? https://earlybirdsinvest.com/is-bitcoin-mining-still-profitable-in-2018/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/is-bitcoin-mining-still-profitable-in-2018/#respond Tue, 11 Feb 2025 17:45:18 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/is-bitcoin-mining-still-profitable-in-2018/
bitcoin mining still profitable 2018

If you’ve read about Bitcoin, you would have also read about Bitcoin mining. Bitcoin mining is nothing but the process of creating Bitcoins from your computer. In this article, let us read about the meaning of bitcoin mining and if it is still profitable today.

Bitcoin mining involves updation of the ledger of Bitcoin transactions, called the blockchain. A user requires extremely powerful computers to perform mining. As a part of the process, miners race against each other in order to guess a particular number.

Earlier, there were several cryptocurrency adverts on Google, however, the same have now been banned making it difficult for miners to understand what they need to do when.

The first miner to make a successful guess about the number ends up updating the ledger of transactions and is rewarded newly minted Bitcoins.

Currently, if you want to earn profits with Bitcoin mining, there are certain strategies that you need to deploy. In April 2018, several bitcoin miners were at the risk of facing a shakeout and chances of profitability were low.

It is suggested that you put your money on equipment, storage, and cooling. You cannot profitably mine with a PC and GPU at home. Profitability can be calculated with the help of a Bitcoin mining calculator.

What is the need for Bitcoin mining?

Bitcoin has emerged as an alternative to the banking system. This system allows for different operations with the transfer of funds from one account to another. Such a system does not need any central authority.

When users have a trustworthy central authority, money transactions are easy. For instance, when you tell a bank that you wish to transfer $100 from your account to another person’s account, the bank is the authority with the power to process the transaction.

The bank alone takes charge of updating the ledger and holds the balances of everyone in the system

So, what’s the process of establishing a decentralized ledger system? How can you give authority to someone to update the ledger without worrying about the incapability or their negligence?

Bitcoin answers all. It rules and has the required protocol to solve all these problems in a unique and interesting way.

bitcoin stack coins

How does Bitcoin mining work?

Bitcoin mining allows anyone to participate. All they need to do is update the ledger of the bitcoin transactions and guess a specific number. The guesswork is more or less done by the computer.

If you have an extremely powerful computer, you have the chance of making more guesses in every second, increasing and improving your chances of winning at the game.

Users that make a right guess earn bitcoins that are transferred into their account. They also get to move on to the next page and write bitcoin transactions on the blockchain.

In a nutshell, mining is the process of earning new bitcoins. It is called mining because you ‘mine’ new bitcoins from the system. However, in totality, mining is just a basic part of the process.

It is actually meant to be the maintenance of the ledger in a decentralized manner.

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Mining is Profitable Again: How to Earn Bitcoins with a Regular GPU in 2025 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/mining-is-profitable-again-how-to-earn-bitcoins-with-a-regular-gpu-in-2025/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/mining-is-profitable-again-how-to-earn-bitcoins-with-a-regular-gpu-in-2025/#respond Thu, 06 Feb 2025 01:20:45 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/mining-is-profitable-again-how-to-earn-bitcoins-with-a-regular-gpu-in-2025/

How to Earn Bitcoins Through Mining: A Quick Guide

Below, we’ll explore changes in cryptocurrency mining, Bitcoin’s prospects, and the factors driving this bull run. If you’re eager to start mining right away, here’s a step-by-step guide.

Here’s what you need to do to configure your GPU for mining and, if needed, convert the mined coins into bitcoins:

Visit a mining profitability calculator and enter your GPU model—for example, Nvidia GeForce RTX 3070. Select your GPU to view a list of the most profitable cryptocurrencies to mine.

For instance, Naurai XNA mining generates about $0.62 daily (excluding electricity costs). What’s next?

  • Open the Naurai XNA mining help page.
  • Create a wallet using the provided links. If you prefer, use an address from a cryptocurrency exchange.
  • Download a mining program from this archive (password: 2miners). For Nvidia GPUs, choose T-Rex or GMiner; for AMD GPUs, use NBMiner or TeamRedMiner.
  • Edit the .bat file to include your wallet address. If you want the mining pool to automatically convert your rewards into BTC and send them to you, specify a Bitcoin address.
  • Run the miner, leave your computer running, and enjoy receiving coins over time. If you’ve specified a Bitcoin address, the payouts will be in BTC.
We’ve detailed the process of earning bitcoins through mining in a separate article. Check it out if you’re new to mining.

Most coins on the 2Miners pool allow BTC payouts. You can check for this feature on their homepage.

How to Start Earning Bitcoin and Cryptocurrency in 2025

How much can you earn in dollars through mining? Use the calculator with a more powerful GPU, like the Nvidia GeForce RTX 3090.

Currently, this GPU earns about $1.16 daily. After electricity costs (which vary by location), you can expect approximately $30 monthly or $350 annually.

Is this extra income worthwhile? Definitely. Can Bitcoin or other coins grow by tens or hundreds of percent in months? Absolutely.

Start mining now to capitalize on the bull run. Remember, the bull market won’t last forever, so your GPU won’t need to run for an entire year.

Now, let’s dive into the details.

What’s Changed in Cryptocurrency Mining Over the Years?

Ethereum used to dominate mining due to its accessibility with GPUs instead of noisy, specialized ASICs. However, in September 2022, Ethereum transitioned to a Proof-of-Stake (PoS) consensus algorithm, eliminating GPU mining.

Validators now secure the network by locking 32 ETH in a deposit contract, running validator clients, and performing tasks previously handled by miners. Users can also join staking pools with smaller amounts of ETH.

happy_miner

This shift left millions of GPUs unemployed, prompting their owners to mine other cryptocurrencies, significantly reducing profitability.

Despite these challenges, mining has evolved, with new Proof-of-Work (PoW) projects emerging. These coins are traded on exchanges, making it easy to convert mining rewards into everyday essentials.

Cryptocurrencies are now experiencing rapid growth, attracting new investors. For instance, the crypto market capitalization has surpassed previous all-time highs from 2021 and continues to climb.

What Can Bitcoin’s Peak Price Be This Cycle?

Analysts at IntoTheBlock studied Bitcoin’s past performance, examining growth after halving events (block reward reductions occurring every four years):

  • 2013 cycle: Bitcoin grew by 7,900%.
  • 2017 cycle: Bitcoin surged by 2,560%.
  • 2021 cycle: Bitcoin rose by 594%.

With each cycle, Bitcoin’s growth rate decreases due to its growing market capitalization, now at $1.9 trillion. IntoTheBlock analysts predict BTC could rise 100–200% from its April 2024 halving price, potentially reaching $130,000–$190,000 this bull run.

Which Coins Can You Mine in 2025?

There are plenty of PoW coins to mine. Here’s a list of popular options with significant market caps, led by Bitcoin.

Their combined market capitalization is $2.08 trillion, with a daily trading volume of $92 billion.

On the 2Miners pool, favorites include Ravencoin, Ethereum Classic, Kaspa, Clore, Cortex, and others. For profitability, use the 2CryptoCalc tool.

Ravencoin surged 44% in a month, ETC rose 56%, Clore jumped 43%, and Cortex delivered 239% monthly growth. Meanwhile, Kaspa (KAS) saw its price multiply by 11x within 18 months.

Exactly a year and a half ago — June 6, 2023 — 1 KAS was worth just 1.4 cents. Today, the coin is valued at $0.16, marking an elevenfold increase. And that’s far from the cryptocurrency’s all-time high.

Experienced players might well hold onto their mined altcoins and sell them later. Sudden spikes in coin values are not uncommon in the crypto industry.

Why mining still makes sense

Some people might think it’s already too late to get involved with coins, believing their first purchase will inevitably trigger a market crash or even usher in a bearish trend in crypto.

However, that’s not entirely true, as there are plenty of reasons to expect the bull run to continue.

Here they are:

  1. Donald Trump won the U.S. presidential election. During his campaign, he expressed support for the crypto industry and promised to implement reasonable regulations for digital assets in the country. This would be unprecedented in America, leading investors to anticipate further global adoption of cryptocurrencies.
  2. The leadership of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is set to change. The new chairman will be Paul Atkins, known for his favorable stance toward cryptocurrencies. It’s reasonable to assume that the SEC will put an end to the pointless lawsuits against numerous blockchain companies that have plagued the industry in recent years.
  3. Earlier it was announced that Trump has chosen a candidate for the position overseeing AI and cryptocurrency policy. The role will be filled by former PayPal COO David Sacks, who will focus on developing the country’s cryptocurrency regulatory framework.
  4. There’s ongoing discussion in the U.S. and other countries about creating national Bitcoin reserves. For example, a bill proposed by Senator Cynthia Lummis suggests acquiring one million BTC to be held for at least 20 years.
  5. MicroStrategy, led by Michael Saylor, continues to make massive investments in Bitcoin. On Monday, the company announced the acquisition of 21,550 BTC worth $2.1 billion. Moreover, it plans to raise an additional $42 billion in the coming years to purchase more coins.

The current optimism in crypto sometimes leads to absurd price surges. A prime example in recent weeks has been XRP by Ripple.

This month alone, the coin has jumped by 251%, multiplying in value several times. Here’s what XRP’s chart looks like over the past year:

Accumulating Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies under current conditions seems like a solid idea.

Should You Convert Mining Rewards to Bitcoin?

Some crypto investors are hesitant to engage with altcoins — that is, any coins other than Bitcoin. While altcoins often offer higher returns, this cautious approach is understandable.

First, altcoins tend to have greater volatility, meaning their prices fluctuate much more frequently — including downward. This makes them more unpredictable. New investors are unlikely to be prepared for such swings, so starting their crypto journey with Bitcoin is a reasonable choice.

Second, long-term investments in altcoins are riskier than those in Bitcoin. Many altcoin projects fail to survive market downturns or so-called bear trends. They lose investor interest, see trading volumes drop to mere hundreds of thousands of dollars, and eventually, the coin may become irrelevant.

Is mining still profitable in 2025

A way to mitigate this risk is through the unique feature of the 2Miners mining pool: Bitcoin payouts. As mentioned earlier, rewards earned in other coins can be automatically converted to BTC and sent to the designated wallet address.

However, if you have experience investing in diverse cryptocurrencies and the skill to sell them at pre-determined price levels, mining altcoins can still be a viable option.

Conclusion: Why Mining is Worth Trying

A bull run is the best time for cryptocurrency mining. Coin prices are actively rising, mining generates no losses, and it even allows you to accumulate coins. These coins, in turn, can be automatically converted into Bitcoin.

A prime success story is MicroStrategy. The company invested $25.5 billion in its 423,650 BTC holdings to date, and their value has now grown to $42.5 billion. This means unrealized profits of nearly $17 billion, making the risks of a novice mining new coins seem negligible compared to MicroStrategy’s bold strategy.

Moreover, mining is relatively simple and won’t burn out your GPU. As a bonus, you’ll receive a steady stream of Bitcoin, which can be safely held for several years without fear.

As always, we remain committed to supporting your mining activities. Stay updated through our X (Twitter) and Telegram miner community. Happy mining!

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