Widely followed quant analyst PlanB is taking an opposing view to most traders about the chances of Bitcoin (BTC) reaching $300,000.

In a new strategy session, pseudonymous BTC analyst PlanB tells his 216,000 YouTube subscribers that while most market participants don’t expect BTC to reach $300,000 by the end of 2026, he does.

“Now, 60% of people think that Bitcoin will not reach $300,000 by the end of 2026 – that’s this line, one and a half years from now. So, by the end of next year, this is the $300,000 point. Sixty percent of people think we’re not going to get there. In my opinion, we will. In fact, I think we’ll go a little higher, to the stock-to-flow target of $500,000 on average.

That’s a very rough model, of course, based on scarcity and the stock-to-flow ratio. It has a range of $250,000 to $1 million, so the average could be $300,000 or $600,000. That’s all good, but at the very least, it will be higher than what most people think.”

The stock-to-flow model is a predictive tool that assumes the scarcity of a commodity drives the price. While originally created to track traditional commodities, PlanB was the first to apply it to Bitcoin.

The analyst is also watching Bitcoin’s realized price indicator, which looks at what price certain cohorts of coins were last transacted on-chain, divided by the number of bitcoins in circulation. Given that the price of BTC is above all the major cohorts, PlanB says there are no signs of a bear market to be seen.

“Now, that’s classic bull market behavior, right? You can see that in all bull markets – the 2-year is above the realized, the 6-month is above the 2-year, and then Bitcoin, represented by the red dots, is above them all.

So there’s no bear market warning signs whatsoever.”

BTC is worth $115,043 at time of writing, up 1% on the day.

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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Quant analyst PlanB is leaning bullish on Bitcoin (BTC) as the flagship crypto asset trades in a range below the all-time high reached late last month.

In a new strategy session, PlanB tells his 213,000 YouTube subscribers that Bitcoin is far away from reaching the peak of the current four-year cycle based on the stock-to-flow model.

The stock-to-flow model is a predictive tool that assumes the scarcity of a commodity drives the price.

“Bitcoin price [is] at $104,000, which is still far away from the stock-to-flow value of $500,000 based on fundamentals, scarcity fundamentals. That’s what I expect the average over this four-year cycle to be. So we’re still far away from that. But we’re also still only one year in the cycle, we have three years to go and so I think Bitcoin is very undervalued.”

According to Plan B, Bitcoin is at the “very beginning of a bull market” based on historical precedent.

“We made a fake loop in bull market territory after the January 2024 [spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds] ETF introductions. And we’re now right back at where all the bull markets in the past have started. So it’s a very bullish signal if you ask me.”

The quant analyst says Bitcoin could skyrocket by up to approximately 860% over the course of the current cycle.

“[Bitcoin] is currently in a bull market, targeting… let’s say $250,000 to $1 million range for the average price in this cycle.”

Bitcoin is trading at $104,300 at time of writing.

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

Generated Image: Midjourney