SOL Surges Above Key $205 Resistance: Fibonacci Levels Point Toward $362

In an X post on September 13, Martinez shares an in-depth technical analysis of the Solana price structure, which shows significant potential for a prolonged uptrend. Notably, SOL’s price gain from last week resulted in a breakout from a key ascending triangle formation, signaling strong bullish momentum that projects to higher mid-term targets.

Looking at the chart below, the latest price surge effectively lifted Solana above the multi-month resistance zone near $205, where price had consolidated between April and August. It is clearly observed that breaking above this resistance, combined with the sustained higher lows that formed the ascending triangle, points to a classic bullish continuation pattern.

Notably, the introduction of the Fibonacci extension levels provides more insight into the bullish potential of this recent breakout. The immediate price target presently lies at the 1.272 Fibonacci extension around $250, followed by the 1.414 extension near $277. However, if momentum continues, Solana could reach further upside levels, around $321 (1.618 extension) and the ultimate mid-term target at $362, which corresponds with the 1.786 extension.

On the downside, the $205 breakout zone now serves as critical support. Holding above this level is crucial to maintaining the bullish outlook, as a decisive break below it could open the door for a retest of lower Fibonacci retracement zones, particularly around $176 or $156. However, the rising trendline that has supported price action since April adds another layer of structural support for bulls.

Solana Price Outlook

At the time of writing, Solana is trading at $246, reflecting a modest 1.67% gain over the past 24 hours. However, trading volume has declined sharply by 27.53%, currently standing at $7.49 billion.

According to analysts at Coincodex, investor sentiment toward Solana remains broadly bullish, even as the Greed & Fear Index sits at a neutral 52. Their short-term outlook suggests limited price movement, with the asset projected to remain around $247 for the next month. Looking further ahead, analysts expect Solana to climb to $264 over the next three months, highlighting steady but moderate growth expectations.

Nevertheless, with a market cap of $131.65 billion, Solana continues to rank as the fifth-largest cryptocurrency in the world.

Bitcoin (BTC) has surged from around $108,000 on September 1 to above $115,000 at the time of writing – recording a gain of roughly 4% over the past two weeks. However, fresh on-chain data suggests that Bitcoin may be on the cusp of a fresh rally that could propel it to new all-time highs (ATH).

Bitcoin Rises Above Mid-Term Holders’ Realized Price

According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor ShayanMarkets, Bitcoin’s recent rebound from $107,000 to just above $114,000 has lifted the digital asset over the Realized Price of mid-term (3-6 months) holders.

Related Reading

For the uninitiated, the mid-term holders’ Realized Price is the average acquisition cost of Bitcoin held by wallets that last moved their coins within the past 3–6 months. It serves as a key pivot level, often acting as support or resistance that reflects sentiment and potential sell pressure from this cohort.

Per analysis by ShayanMarkets, the mid-term holders’ Realized Price currently stands at around $114,000. Now that BTC has surged above this level, the likelihood of an immediate sell-off has reduced significantly. The analyst added:

A firm breakout and hold above this level would confirm renewed confidence from mid-term holders, potentially serving as the launchpad for another bullish leg that could propel Bitcoin to new all-time highs. Conversely, failure to hold above $114K risks shifting sentiment back toward caution and opens the path to deeper corrective moves.

A Bump On The Road For BTC

Fellow CryptoQuant contributor Gaah brought attention to short-term holders’ (STH) Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR), normalized with a 30-day moving average. The contributor noted that after four months of consistently operating above the break-even line, the indicator is now showing that STH are selling their holdings at a loss.

Related Reading

The STH selling their BTC at a loss indicates a “momentary loss of confidence” on the part of speculators, who are typically more sensitive to changes in price. Although BTC has jumped from $60,000 to as high as $125,000 over the past year, the SOPR STH has recorded descending peaks.

In past cycles, a sharp surge in price was usually accompanied by peaks in the Extreme Greed region, suggesting strong retail participation. However, the current market cycle did not see any such dynamic at play, hinting that the rise in price was likely sustained by institutional investors.

Gaah added that historically, market tops have only been confirmed when SOPR STH levels reached levels of extreme greed, a development that has not yet occurred in the current rally. As a result, the long-term trend remains firm, and the current realization of losses may just be a temporary healthy pullback.

That said, some analysts caution that Bitcoin may already be very close to hitting its peak for this market cycle. Others predict that BTC may slump in September, before it resumes its bullish trajectory in Q4 2025. 

Still, some analysts forecast Bitcoin reaching as high as $150,000 by Christmas. At press time, BTC trades at $115,050, up 0.7% in the past 24 hours.

Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com

A widely followed crypto trader is turning bullish on a handful of altcoins as digital assets attempt to find a bottom.

The pseudonymous trader and analyst known as Altcoin Sherpa says he’s bullish on KAITO, an artificial intelligence (AI)-powered Web3 information platform.

He tells his 243,000 followers on the social media platform X that he’s looking to see KAITO rally above the $2.50 level, about 20% higher than current prices.

“KAITO just longed around this area, targeting $2.50 and higher. will take profits along the way, hope BTC is stable.”

At time of writing, KAITO is worth $2.09.

Also in the AI sector, Altcoin Sherpa says AI Rig Complex (ARC), a Rust-based AI agent framework, is likely sitting at a local bottom and is ready to head higher.

“I still have a bag of this and still feel pretty decent about it. It’s shown a lot of strength relative to other AI coins and, although the volatility is high on it, I still think this is the relative bottom. 200 exponential moving average on the four-hour acting as a stopping point and $0.19 still seems like a decent entry in my opinion.”

At time of writing, ARC is trading for $0.22.

Looking at the mid-term time frame, the trader names three of his top altcoin picks. His watchlist includes the layer-one blockchain Sonic (S), decentralized finance (DeFi) protocol Maker (MKR), and a toss-up of intellectual property-focused project Story (IP), Ethereum (ETH) virtual machine (EVM) chain Berachain (BERA) and KAITO.

“If I were to choose three coins to hold for the mid-term, they’d probably be:

S: good defi activity, strong rebrand, lots of $$ going on there + Andre

MKR: insane chart, continually grinding higher, strong og defi

prob one of BERA/KAITO/IP, all these new coins are strong.”

Don’t Miss a Beat – Subscribe to get email alerts delivered directly to your inbox

Check Price Action

Follow us on X, Facebook and Telegram

Surf The Daily Hodl Mix

&nbsp

Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

Featured Image: Shutterstock/Tithi Luadthong/Natalia Siiatovskaia