liquidations – Earlybirds Invest https://earlybirdsinvest.com Latest Crypto News Sat, 21 Jun 2025 09:26:23 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.9.7 https://i0.wp.com/earlybirdsinvest.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/cropped-New-Project-2024-12-17T235703.455.png?fit=32%2C32&ssl=1 liquidations – Earlybirds Invest https://earlybirdsinvest.com 32 32 240146708 Bitcoin falls to monthly lows triggering $464 million in liquidations amid global market jitters https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-falls-to-monthly-lows-triggering-464-million-in-liquidations-amid-global-market-jitters/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-falls-to-monthly-lows-triggering-464-million-in-liquidations-amid-global-market-jitters/#respond Sat, 21 Jun 2025 09:26:23 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-falls-to-monthly-lows-triggering-464-million-in-liquidations-amid-global-market-jitters/

Bitcoin (BTC) fell to its lowest price this month on June 20, triggering $464 million in liquidations across cryptocurrency markets as geopolitical jitters and heavy selling pressure rattled traders.

Bitcoin dropped to a low of $102,225, reversing the gains recorded earlier in the day after failing to break through resistance above $106,000.

Data from Coinglass shows that more than $466 million in leveraged positions were wiped out in the past 24 hours. Of this, $392.9 million came from long positions while about $73.4 million came from shorts.

Ethereum (ETH) liquidations stood at $157.8 million, outpacing Bitcoin’s $124.1 million over the past 24 hours. Over 130,736 traders were liquidated in the latest wipeout, with the largest single liquidation order occurring on Bybit’s BTCUSD pair valued at $8 million.

As of press time, Bitcoin was trading at $103,122 as bulls attempted to hold above the $102,000 support established earlier this month. Meanwhile, Ethereum was trading at $2,412 after falling to a low of $2,363.

The wider altcoin market mirrored Ethereum’s performance and fell to new monthly lows despite Bitcoin holding above $102,000.

The latest decline coincided with renewed geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, with reports of military strikes reigniting risk aversion across global markets. Equities also traded lower and lingering uncertainty could keep digital assets under pressure in the short term.

Technical analysts warned that if Bitcoin closes below the key $102,000 threshold, it could open the door to deeper losses toward $100,000 or even the mid-$90,000 range. However, the spike in liquidations and extreme negative sentiment might signal a possible short-term bottom if buyers step in to absorb the sell-off.

Bitcoin has been volatile for much of June, repeatedly testing resistance and support between $100,000 and all-time highs. Despite the recent drop, the flagship crypto remains up about 40% year-to-date, supported by strong institutional demand and new exchange-traded fund flows earlier this year.

Markets will be watching closely for signs of stabilization over the weekend, with attention focused on whether Bitcoin can hold above psychological support at $100,000, a level traders view as critical for keeping bullish momentum intact.

Bitcoin Market Data

At the time of press 7:57 pm UTC on Jun. 20, 2025, Bitcoin is ranked #1 by market cap and the price is down 1.01% over the past 24 hours. Bitcoin has a market capitalization of $2.05 trillion with a 24-hour trading volume of $49.09 billion. Learn more about Bitcoin ›

Crypto Market Summary

At the time of press 7:57 pm UTC on Jun. 20, 2025, the total crypto market is valued at at $3.2 trillion with a 24-hour volume of $110.33 billion. Bitcoin dominance is currently at 64.26%. Learn more about the crypto market ›

Mentioned in this article
]]>
https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-falls-to-monthly-lows-triggering-464-million-in-liquidations-amid-global-market-jitters/feed/ 0 43275
Bitcoin Quickly Plunges Below $103K, With Volatility Burst Spurring $450M in Crypto Liquidations https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-quickly-plunges-below-103k-with-volatility-burst-spurring-450m-in-crypto-liquidations/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-quickly-plunges-below-103k-with-volatility-burst-spurring-450m-in-crypto-liquidations/#respond Fri, 20 Jun 2025 20:20:45 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-quickly-plunges-below-103k-with-volatility-burst-spurring-450m-in-crypto-liquidations/

What started as a positive day for crypto markets quickly reversed during the U.S. session with bitcoin

sliding below $103,000 from the $106,500 level just hours earlier.

At press time, bitcoin had pared some of the losses, returning to $103,200, down 1.2% over the past 24 hours.

Other large cryptocurrencies endured steeper declines. Ethereum’s ether

saw a sharp 4.5% drop in just 90 minutes to as low as $2,372, with trading volume spiking to nearly 800,000 ETH, nearly eight times the average hourly volume, per CoinDesk data. Solana’s SOL , dogecoin and Cardano’s ADA were 3%-5% lower over the same period.

The volatility burst caught many traders off-guard, liquidating about $450 million in derivatives trading positions on centralized exchanges across all digital assets, CoinGlass data shows. Some $387 million of liquidations were tied to long positions that bet on profiting from rising prices.

While macro risks abound — among them the ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran — there was no immediate external reason for the sudden price swing. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100 indexes only inched lower during the day.

Bitcoin at stalemate

Zooming out, BTC continues to trade within a sideways range between $100,000 and $110,000, consolidating just below its all-time record level.

“The mixed view of whether BTC will go above $110,000 again or drop into the $90,000 area doesn’t surprise me at all and underscores the overall indecision people and markets feel,” said James Toledano, chief operating officer at Unity Wallet.

“The present BTC stalemate reflects a market caught between bullish long-term sentiment and short-term macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainty,” he added.

]]>
https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-quickly-plunges-below-103k-with-volatility-burst-spurring-450m-in-crypto-liquidations/feed/ 0 43170
Bitcoin Rebounds Above $104,300 as Tariff Chaos Triggers Nearly $1B in Liquidations https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-rebounds-above-104300-as-tariff-chaos-triggers-nearly-1b-in-liquidations/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-rebounds-above-104300-as-tariff-chaos-triggers-nearly-1b-in-liquidations/#respond Sat, 31 May 2025 18:32:03 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-rebounds-above-104300-as-tariff-chaos-triggers-nearly-1b-in-liquidations/

Global economic tensions and trade policy uncertainties continue to influence cryptocurrency markets as Bitcoin recovers from a recent correction.

Despite the pullback, institutional interest remains strong with firms like Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) and GameStop adding BTC to their corporate treasuries.

Technical Analysis Highlights

  • The 24-hour period shows a clear bottoming pattern with strong volume support emerging around the $103,200-$103,400 zone, where buyers consistently stepped in, according to CoinDesk Research’s technical analysis data model.
  • The subsequent recovery phase gained momentum after breaking above the $104,000 resistance level, with increasing volume confirming buyer conviction.
  • This technical structure suggests the correction has likely completed, with the price now establishing a new support base for potential continuation of the broader uptrend.
  • In the last hour, Bitcoin demonstrated a notable recovery pattern, climbing from $104,146 to $104,303, with significant bullish momentum emerging at 14:01.
  • Price surged from $104,188 to $104,323 on substantially higher volume (429 BTC traded).
  • The price action formed a clear consolidation range between $104,077 and $104,263 before the breakout, with key support established around $104,080-$104,090.

External References

  • “Bitcoin Price Extends Losses — Is More Downside on the Horizon?”, NewsBTC, published May 30, 2025.
  • “Bitcoin at Risk of Breakdown if Major Support Level Fails, Says Trader Justin Bennett – Here Are His Targets”, The Daily Hodl, published May 30, 2025.
  • “Bitcoin price prediction 2025-2031: Will BTC hit $150k soon?”, Cryptopolitan, published May 31, 2025.

]]>
https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-rebounds-above-104300-as-tariff-chaos-triggers-nearly-1b-in-liquidations/feed/ 0 39375
Crypto Market Sees $300M Liquidations as Trump Tariff Threats Flush Late Bulls https://earlybirdsinvest.com/crypto-market-sees-300m-liquidations-as-trump-tariff-threats-flush-late-bulls/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/crypto-market-sees-300m-liquidations-as-trump-tariff-threats-flush-late-bulls/#respond Fri, 23 May 2025 14:49:54 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/crypto-market-sees-300m-liquidations-as-trump-tariff-threats-flush-late-bulls/

Crypto traders betting on a steady bitcoin

rally got a sharp reminder of headline risk from Donald Trump’s latest tariff threats.

Over $300 million worth of leveraged derivatives positions were liquidated across centralized exchanges in the past four hours, according to CoinGlass data, as crypto prices plunged following the news.

Nearly all liquidations came from long positions—traders betting on higher prices. BTC longs accounted for $107 million of the total, while Ethereum’s ether

followed with close to $87 million. Other tokens, including Solana’s SOL , dogecoin , and SUI saw liquidations ranging between $10 million and $18 million.

Liquidations across all digital assets (CoinGlass)

Liquidations across all digital assets (CoinGlass)

“Nice aggregate flush of long leverage and de-risk selling from spot,” well-followed crypto trader Skew noted in an X post early Friday. “All driven by headlines once again.”

The sell-off came after Trump proposed a 50% tariff on imports from the European Union starting next month, along with a 25% tariff on iPhones manufactured outside the U.S., reigniting fears of an escalating trade war.

As a result, BTC and major altcoins such as Ether

, XRP , and Cardano fell 3% to 4%, while smaller-cap tokens like Uniswap and SUI dropped 5% to 7% over the past 24 hours.

Crypto trader named James Wynn, who gained attention recently opening a $1.1 billion BTC long bet with 40x leverage on the Hyperliquid exchange, also slipped underwater on the massive position. Currently, the trader is sitting on $7.5 million of unrealized losses, and the position could be liquidated if BTC slips to $102,000, according to a screenshot shared on X.

Interestingly, the long liquidations came amid a recent unusual tilt toward short positions in BTC derivatives despite record prices, CoinDesk reported on Thursday.

Read more: Why Are Bitcoin Traders Aggressively Shorting as BTC Hits New Record High?

]]>
https://earlybirdsinvest.com/crypto-market-sees-300m-liquidations-as-trump-tariff-threats-flush-late-bulls/feed/ 0 37874
Bitcoin climbs to $108k as $248 million in liquidations flush traders from market https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-climbs-to-108k-as-248-million-in-liquidations-flush-traders-from-market/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-climbs-to-108k-as-248-million-in-liquidations-flush-traders-from-market/#respond Wed, 21 May 2025 14:44:43 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-climbs-to-108k-as-248-million-in-liquidations-flush-traders-from-market/

Bitcoin’s rally triggered over $248 million in liquidations across the derivatives market in the past 24 hours. This spike came as Bitcoin climbed from an intraday low of $102,135 to a peak of $108,010, closing the day at $106,769 with a 2.83% gain.

The move forced nearly 90,000 traders out of their positions, with short liquidations accounting for the bulk of the damage.

Short positions made up $132.30 million of total liquidations, while long traders accounted for $115.81 million. The 12-hour window leading up to the final liquidation tally was particularly volatile, seeing $114.19 million in wiped positions, more than 45% of the day’s total. Data from CoinGlass showed the single largest liquidation was a $1.97 million BTCUSDT order on Bybit.

liquidations bitcoin
Screengrab showing Bitcoin liquidations on May 21, 2025 (Source: CoinGlass)

Exchange data shows that Binance led with $82.61 million in liquidations, 54.57% of which came from shorts. Bybit followed closely with $78.53 million, slightly tilted toward longs, suggesting aggressive positioning on both sides as traders tried to catch the breakout. OKX also saw a skew toward short-side losses, with 57.62% of its $35.02 million total coming from bearish bets.

bitcoin liquidations across exchanges
Table showing Bitcoin liquidations across exchanges on May 21, 2025 (Source: CoinGlass)

The liquidation profile suggests the recent price spike punished overleveraged short sellers attempting to front-run a local top. Bitcoin’s failure to break all-time highs in prior attempts seems to have fueled short confidence, which ultimately backfired as BTC regained strength from the $102K range.

The amount of liquidations seen between May 20 and May 21 indicates that the market is clearing speculative excess as Bitcoin consolidates below all-time highs. If the price sustains above $106,000 and derivatives positioning cools, further upside could follow.

For now, the data points to a forced reshuffling of risk, especially among short-sellers caught offside by the latest rally.

]]>
https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-climbs-to-108k-as-248-million-in-liquidations-flush-traders-from-market/feed/ 0 37499
Bitcoin falls 4% to $102k causing $670M in liquidations after weekend rally to $106k https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-falls-4-to-102k-causing-670m-in-liquidations-after-weekend-rally-to-106k/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-falls-4-to-102k-causing-670m-in-liquidations-after-weekend-rally-to-106k/#respond Mon, 19 May 2025 10:18:51 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-falls-4-to-102k-causing-670m-in-liquidations-after-weekend-rally-to-106k/

Snapshot: Bitcoin rocketed past $106k late Sunday before surrendering nearly 4% by Monday morning. More than $670 million in crypto futures were liquidated in the swing. Even so, spot-BTC exchange-traded funds attracted $608 million last week, hinting at a resilient institutional bid.

Inside the roller coaster

At 22.00 UTC on 18 May, a burst of short covering catapulted Bitcoin to $106,980, its highest price since February. The rally lasted less than five hours. By 02:00 UTC, take-profit orders and thin weekend liquidity reversed the entire move, plunging the price toward $103,000. An additional slide to $102,300 materialised before bids stabilised the market around breakfast time in London, around $103,200.

CoinGlass data shows that the violent round-trip triggered $670 million in forced liquidations across Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and Dogecoin futures. Roughly $465 million of long positions were wiped out, while $224 million of shorts were squeezed during the initial surge.

The data underlines how lightly traded weekend order books can magnify every stop-run, as Sunday saw Binance’s lowest trading volume of the year.

While derivatives traders nursed losses, spot-Bitcoin ETFs quietly raked in $607 million net over the week ending 18 May. BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust accounted for $839 million, offset by outflows from smaller products.

Corporate treasuries joined the accumulation. Strategy, the US-listed software-to-Bitcoin vehicle, disclosed the purchase of 13,390 BTC on Monday, spending about $1.3 billion and lifting its reserves to 568,840 BTC.

Concurrently, open interest on exchanges has soared to a year-to-date high of $70 billion, indicating additional leverage is now entering the market, similar to the second leg of the 2021 bull run.

Macro clouds gather

Macro headlines added friction to the crypto rally. Moody’s cut its outlook on US sovereign debt, pushing the 30-year Treasury yield back above 5% and reviving concerns about fiscal risk.

Analysts at research firm Block Scholes told Reuters,

“The most recent price action may have begun to validate the view that Bitcoin is not just the 501st company in the SPX.”

Martin Leinweber from MarketVector Indexes added,

“The damage has been done in terms of trust towards the U.S. and dollar assets … but you can’t (diversify) overnight.”

The CEO of Stocktwits added on X,

“You’re watching a political-economic realignment where Bitcoin is the release valve.

Trump, tariffs, Treasury chaos it’s all part of the shift.”

Why It Matters

  • Sentiment barometer: Every probe above $100k offers a real-time gauge of risk appetite after April’s halving.
  • Structural tailwinds: ETF inflows and corporate balance-sheet exposure create a buy-the-dip reflex that can truncate pull-backs.
  • Liquidity minefield: Weekend trading remains a danger zone for leveraged players, with thin books exaggerating both squeezes and crashes.

What to Watch Next

  1. Whether spot-ETF inflows persist above $500 million per week, a slowdown could test support at $100k.
  2. The open interest build up in perpetual futures. Rising leverage may set the stage for another squeeze.
  3. Further US fiscal headlines. Renewed stress in the bond market could amplify volatility across risk assets.
]]>
https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-falls-4-to-102k-causing-670m-in-liquidations-after-weekend-rally-to-106k/feed/ 0 37086
Ethereum shorts hit hard with $42.33 million in liquidations amid price surge https://earlybirdsinvest.com/ethereum-shorts-hit-hard-with-42-33-million-in-liquidations-amid-price-surge/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/ethereum-shorts-hit-hard-with-42-33-million-in-liquidations-amid-price-surge/#respond Tue, 22 Apr 2025 19:01:30 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/ethereum-shorts-hit-hard-with-42-33-million-in-liquidations-amid-price-surge/

Over the last 24 hours, 02,086 traders were liquidated for a combined $258.34 million in losses. The single largest wipe‑out hit Bybit’s ETH/USDT market for $2.65 million.

Over 12 hours, liquidations surged to $126.18 million, $60.01 million of longs versus $66.17 million of shorts, while the whole 24‑hour cycle broke down into $138.03 million of long liquidations against $120.31 million of shorts.

Ethereum led all tokens in that 12‑hour window, making up $42.33 million of the $126.18 million total, and it was mostly ETH shorts that were closed out. Bitcoin trailed at $33.24 million, and every other asset combined for under $12 million. By comparison, on the day’s total, over 76% of liquidations were long positions on average across major assets.

ethereum bitcoin liquidations
Total liquidations across the crypto derivatives market on April 22, 2025 (Source: CoinGlass)

Ethereum’s rise contrasts sharply with these losses, which is why its shorts were decimated in the past 12 hours. ETH climbed from $1,579.52 on April 21 to $1,629.86 on April 22, up roughly 3.2 percent.

The rally triggered margin calls on short bets, driving the bulk of those $42.33 million in ETH liquidations. Bitcoin also increased 1.1 percent to $88,324.30 but saw $29.96 million of its longs and $57.65 million of shorts liquidated over 24 hours, showing how both sides of the market have been vulnerable.

ethereum price
Ethereum’s price on April 22, 2025 (Source: CryptoSlate ETH)

Liquidation data from CoinGlass shows that high leverage can backfire during price swings, no matter how minor they might feel. This is particularly evident with Ethereum, where short squeezes and stop‑hunts have dominated recent liquidations.

]]>
https://earlybirdsinvest.com/ethereum-shorts-hit-hard-with-42-33-million-in-liquidations-amid-price-surge/feed/ 0 32256
Donald Trump’s tariff pause sparks huge short liquidations and insider trading probe https://earlybirdsinvest.com/donald-trumps-tariff-pause-sparks-huge-short-liquidations-and-insider-trading-probe/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/donald-trumps-tariff-pause-sparks-huge-short-liquidations-and-insider-trading-probe/#respond Thu, 10 Apr 2025 11:35:11 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/donald-trumps-tariff-pause-sparks-huge-short-liquidations-and-insider-trading-probe/

Short sellers in the crypto market were hit hard on April 9, suffering their third-largest loss of 2025 after Bitcoin staged an unexpected rally.

The surge followed President Donald Trump’s sudden decision to pause tariffs for 90 days on most countries, excluding China. After a week of heavy selling, this move sparked a swift rebound in risk assets, including stocks and crypto.

According to data from CryptoSlate, Bitcoin surged more than 5% during the trading session, briefly crossing $83,000 before settling at $81,905 at press time. The rebound came after a week of significant selling pressure tied to broader macroeconomic uncertainty.

Meanwhile, Ethereum led the altcoin charge with a 10% jump to $1,639. XRP and Solana followed with gains of 9% and 7%, respectively, while BNB recorded a more modest increase of 4.4%.

Coinglass data shows that the rally caught bearish traders off guard, as many had expected continued downward pressure amid ongoing macro uncertainty.

According to the data, total liquidations on April 9 reached $589.41 million, with short positions accounting for $374 million of the losses. This marked the third-highest daily short seller loss this year, behind the $542 million on March 2 and $469 million on February 3.

‘Insider trading’

The sudden market rally has drawn political scrutiny, with several lawmakers, including Senator Elizabeth Warren, calling for a formal investigation into potential insider trading linked to the tariff announcement.

Their concern centers on Trump’s timing and the tone of his social media posts before the policy shift.

Just hours before the tariff pause, Trump posted an unusually bullish message on his Truth Social account, saying:

“THIS IS A GREAT TIME TO BUY!!! DJT.”

That last line raised eyebrows. DJT is the ticker for Trump Media and Technology Group, which also saw gains during the broader market rally.

Considering this, Senator Elizabeth Warren has urged regulators to examine whether the president’s actions benefited allies or donors. She warned that using trade policy to influence market sentiment for personal or political gain could signal deeper ethical concerns.

Warren wrote:

“I’m calling for an investigation into whether President Trump manipulated the market to benefit his Wall Street donors—all while working people and small businesses paid the price.”

Senator Adam Schiff echoed those concerns, pointing to the volatility caused by abrupt tariff shifts. He questioned whether anyone within the administration had advanced knowledge and used it to profit from market swings.

Schiff stated:

“Who in the administration knew about Trump’s latest tariff flip flop ahead of time? Did anyone buy or sell stocks, and profit at the public’s expense?”

Mentioned in this article
]]>
https://earlybirdsinvest.com/donald-trumps-tariff-pause-sparks-huge-short-liquidations-and-insider-trading-probe/feed/ 0 30047
Short liquidations contradict negative funding rates in perpetual futures https://earlybirdsinvest.com/short-liquidations-contradict-negative-funding-rates-in-perpetual-futures/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/short-liquidations-contradict-negative-funding-rates-in-perpetual-futures/#respond Thu, 27 Mar 2025 03:15:50 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/short-liquidations-contradict-negative-funding-rates-in-perpetual-futures/ The open interest-weighted funding rate for Bitcoin perpetual futures turned negative in the past 24 hours. A negative funding rate usually signals bearish sentiment in the futures market, but the majority of liquidations seen in the past day were shorts, which typically follow a price increase.

This apparent contradiction starts making sense when looking at how the market behaved in the past week. The funding rate in perpetual futures contracts ensures that the contract price aligns with the spot price by facilitating periodic payments between long and short position holders.

A negative funding rate, as observed on March 25 and March 26, means shorts are paying longs, suggesting that the contract price is below the spot price — a hallmark of bearish sentiment where traders anticipate a price decline. On March 25, the funding rate dropped to -0.040%, and it remained at this level throughout March 26, according to data from CoinGlass.

bitcoin open interest weighted funding rate perpetual futures
Graph showing the open interest-weighted funding rate for Bitcoin perpetual futures from March 21 to March 26, 2025 (Source: CoinGlass)

However, liquidation data tells a different story. Over a one-hour period, short liquidations totaled $14.19 million compared to just $671,540 for longs, and over four hours, shorts saw $23.50 million in liquidations against $2.28 million for longs. Short liquidations occur when the price rises, forcing short traders to buy back contracts at higher prices to cover their positions, often amplifying the upward movement.

How can a negative funding rate, indicative of bearish sentiment, align with predominantly short liquidations, which suggest a price rally? To answer this, we turn to Bitcoin’s spot price in the past week.

On March 20, Bitcoin closed at $84,175.02. The price dipped slightly to $84,053.96 on March 21 and further to $83,843.18 on March 22, but it began a steady climb thereafter, reaching $86,142.15 on March 23 and $87,512.12 on March 24.

This upward trend, a roughly 4% gain from March 20 to March 24, was accompanied by a positive funding rate, peaking at 0.050% on March 24. A positive funding rate, where longs pay shorts, reflects a contract price above the spot price, consistent with the bullish price movement and suggesting that traders were willing to pay a premium to hold long positions.

The turning point came on March 25. Bitcoin opened at $87,515.76, slightly above the previous day’s close, and reached a high of $88,564.14, continuing the upward momentum. However, the price pulled back to close at $87,424.41, a modest decline of $87.71 from March 24.

On March 26, the price opened at $87,488.28, dipped to a low of $87,075.71, but rallied to close at $88,016.46 — a gain of $592.05 from the previous day’s close. This price action confirms the occurrence of a rally — albeit with some consolidation — that would have triggered the significant short liquidations observed. This means that short traders, betting on a price decline, were caught off guard by the upward movement, leading to a short squeeze where they were forced to buy back contracts at higher prices.

Bitcoin Price & Volume - Spot, All Exchanges, BTC-USD (10)
Graph showing Bitcoin’s price from March 19 to March 26, 2025 (Source: CryptoQuant)

However, the negative funding rate on these days suggests that the futures market, on average, remained bearish. The funding rate is calculated over a fixed period, often every eight hours, based on the average difference between the contract and spot prices. While the intraday price spikes on March 25 and March 26 drove short liquidations, the average contract price over the funding periods was likely below the spot price, reflecting a broader expectation of a price correction. This expectation may have been fueled by the price increase in the past week, which could have led traders to see the market as overbought as the price rallied.

On March 25, Bitcoin’s price ranged from a low of $86,322.37 to a high of $88,564.14 — a $2,241.77 swing. This volatility likely contributed to the disconnect between the funding rate and liquidations. The short liquidations were a reaction to the intraday rally, particularly the push toward $88,564.14. However, the subsequent pullback to $87,424.41 on March 25 and the dip to $87,075.71 on March 26 may have dragged the average contract price below the spot price, resulting in a negative funding rate.

This illustrates the timing mismatch between funding rate calculations and real-time market movements. While liquidations occur instantly in response to price changes, the funding rate reflects a longer-term average, capturing the prevailing sentiment over the funding period.

The post Short liquidations contradict negative funding rates in perpetual futures appeared first on CryptoSlate.

]]>
https://earlybirdsinvest.com/short-liquidations-contradict-negative-funding-rates-in-perpetual-futures/feed/ 0 27431
Strategy stock is down 55% from ATH but forced liquidations highly unlikely – Kobeissi https://earlybirdsinvest.com/strategy-stock-is-down-55-from-ath-but-forced-liquidations-highly-unlikely-kobeissi/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/strategy-stock-is-down-55-from-ath-but-forced-liquidations-highly-unlikely-kobeissi/#respond Wed, 26 Feb 2025 07:38:49 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/strategy-stock-is-down-55-from-ath-but-forced-liquidations-highly-unlikely-kobeissi/

Strategy (previously MicroStrategy) stock has plunged more than 55% from its all-time high, fueling speculation that the company could be forced to sell off its massive Bitcoin (BTC) holdings.

With approximately 499,096 Bitcoin worth $43.7 billion, the firm has built one of the largest corporate Bitcoin reserves, but concerns are rising over its ability to sustain this strategy amid market volatility.

According to the Kobeissi Letter, the risk of forced liquidation primarily hinges on two key factors: a prolonged and significant drop in Bitcoin’s price and MicroStrategy’s ability to raise additional capital.

The company acquired its Bitcoin at an average price of $66,350 per coin. If Bitcoin were to fall well below that level and stay there, it could put pressure on MicroStrategy’s balance sheet.

However, liquidation is not an automatic process. The company’s debt agreements require a “fundamental change,” such as a bankruptcy filing or a stockholder-approved dissolution before creditors can demand repayment that could lead to a forced sale of assets.

Liquidity concerns

Strategy currently holds $8.2 billion in total debt, largely in the form of convertible notes that mature between 2027 and 2028.

Most of these notes have conversion prices below the company’s current stock price, meaning they are unlikely to trigger a near-term liquidity crisis.

With a leverage ratio of around 19%, the company’s Bitcoin holdings still significantly exceed its liabilities, reducing the immediate likelihood of insolvency.

For years, Strategy has followed a high-risk, high-reward strategy of borrowing money to buy Bitcoin. The company raises capital through convertible notes, purchases Bitcoin to increase its value, and then sells additional shares at a premium to acquire even more Bitcoin.

This approach has worked in past market cycles, allowing the company to sustain its position through Bitcoin’s price fluctuations.

Forced liquidation

The crucial question is whether Strategy can continue raising capital in the face of a declining stock price and market uncertainty.

According to the Kobeissi letter, if investor confidence erodes and the company loses the ability to issue new shares or refinance its debt, it may have to sell Bitcoin to meet its obligations.

However, for now, Strategy has time to navigate its financial challenges since most of its debt will mature several years from now,

While immediate liquidation appears unlikely, the company’s long-term stability depends on Bitcoin’s price trajectory and its ability to sustain its financing model. If Bitcoin remains stable or rebounds, MicroStrategy may be able to continue its strategy.

However, if the flagship experiences a prolonged downturn, pressure to sell could intensify, making forced liquidation a more realistic scenario.

Mentioned in this article
Blocscale
]]>
https://earlybirdsinvest.com/strategy-stock-is-down-55-from-ath-but-forced-liquidations-highly-unlikely-kobeissi/feed/ 0 21944