Bitcoin (BTC) holding patterns suggest a potential resumption of the uptrend starting in late September 2025, as long-term accumulation data reveals evolving market dynamics driven by institutional adoption and policy catalysts.

CryptoQuant Korean Community Manager Crypto Dan’s analysis reveals that the current cycle differs from previous bull markets due to extended timeframes and flattening momentum slopes.

The percentage of Bitcoin held for over one year based on realized market cap demonstrates the current cycle’s unique characteristics compared to previous phases.

Unlike past cycles, where sharp surges led to rapid peaks, institutional adoption through spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and nation-state purchases has extended the bull market’s duration while gradually flattening the uptrend’s slope.

Market momentum faces periodic stalls when capital flows shift toward altcoins, a pattern that has repeated multiple times during the current cycle. It contrasts with 2023-2024, when Bitcoin dominated market attention before capital began migrating to alternative cryptocurrencies.

Favorable backdrop

Crypto Dan noted that September rate cut expectations align with Bitcoin’s seasonal patterns and technical indicators.

Polymarket traders currently place 81% odds on a 25 basis point Federal Reserve rate cut at the September FOMC meeting, providing a potential catalyst for risk asset appreciation.

The analysis also anticipates additional momentum from the expected approvals of altcoin ETFs in October.

Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart stated in April that most crypto ETF applications face final deadlines in October, making it the likely approval month for spot altcoin products.

This timeline creates a favorable policy window for crypto markets as they enter the fall season.

Combined with seasonal patterns that show Bitcoin’s strength in autumn months, the convergence of dovish monetary policy and regulatory clarity positions the market for renewed upward momentum following the current consolidation phase.

Extended cycle characteristics

Institutional adoption fundamentally altered Bitcoin’s cycle dynamics compared to the retail-driven phases that preceded it.

The introduction of spot ETFs and corporate treasury adoption created more stable demand flows but extended the cycle’s duration. The analysis suggested these structural changes support sustained bull market conditions despite periodic consolidation phases.

Given the favorable policy backdrop and development of institutional infrastructure, any additional corrections during the transition period could present attractive opportunities for accumulation.

The combination of rate cuts, ETF approvals, and seasonal factors supports an optimistic market outlook for fall and winter 2025.

Mentioned in this article

Not sure if you remember, but last month we talked about PumpFun – the memecoin launchpad that basically invented this cycle’s memecoin narrative – and how they were planning to drop their own token.

(Didn’t read that one? Catch up here.)

Well, it happened on Saturday. And damn.

They raised $500M in their initial coin offering (ICO), and it sold out in just 12 minutes.

The token has a total supply of 1 trillion, with a fully diluted valuation (aka FDV) (aka what the whole thing would be worth if all tokens were already in circulation) at $4 billion.

As for how they split up the supply:

33% sold in the ICO: 18% to institutional buyers, 15% to retail buyers;

24% set aside for future projects and the community;

20% for the team;

13% for early investors;

The rest:

Now, the ICO was obviously wild. But not everyone’s impressed – for several reasons:

1/ The valuation

… is kinda nuts for a platform like that.

Their success depends entirely on people still caring about memecoins. If (or when) the hype dies down, the launchpad doesn’t really have another use.

That’s why $4B seems way over the top.

2/ The distribution

The majority of the tokens are going to the team + insiders + existing investors.

That kind of setup usually scares retail, because insiders can dump on them later.

3/ The competition’s already catching up

LetsBONK, another launchpad, is already beating them on some key metrics.

Which just proves how fragile their lead is – someone with better UX, incentives, or lower fees can easily take market share.

So… can this thing last?

In the short term, probably. They’ve clearly got hype for now + an airdrop coming up to keep people interested.

Long-term? Eh.

If they don’t figure out how to stay relevant when / if the memecoin bubble pops, they’ll be forgotten.

And if that happens, the token will probably be forgotten, too.

• Robinhood has performed exceptionally well over the past few years.

• However, the stock’s high valuation might be an issue for some investors.

• Despite this potential challenge, Robinhood has excellent long-term prospects.

• 10 stocks we like better than Robinhood Markets ›

The meme stock fad that swept through Wall Street a few years ago was powered in part by trading activity on Robinhood Markets (NASDAQ: HOOD), which offers investment and financial services through its online platform.

The stock may have raised doubts among long-term investors at the time, but its outlook has since improved. Over the past few years, Robinhood has undergone a significant transformation, and we are now seeing the results of this progress. The company’s shares are up by a whopping 312% over the trailing 12-month period.

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Some might wonder whether it’s still worth it to invest in Robinhood after this incredible run. Let’s look deeper into the business and determine whether there is still some upside left for the company.

Image source: Getty Images.

What’s going on with Robinhood?

Robinhood is helping move Wall Street onto Main Street. The company’s user-friendly app, commission-free trading, fractional share offerings, and much more make investing far simpler and more appealing to the average person. Robinhood has been especially popular among younger people, and although it gained fame for its role in the meme stock phenomenon, it would be a mistake to reduce it to a trading platform.

Robinhood is a full-fledged financial services company that offers wealth management services, a debit card, a savings account of sorts (with competitive interest on uninvested cash), and retirement accounts, among other features. In many ways, it competes directly with larger banks, but on the kind of interactive platform we are used to in this digital age.

Although there are companies that offer a similar package of services, Robinhood helped pioneer features such as commission-free trading and became popular partly because of it. That’s a first-mover advantage that has likely created brand recognition and appeal for first-time investors looking for a user-friendly platform. Thanks to all that, Robinhood is attracting more members and more assets, leading to improved financial results.

Over the past three years, the company’s revenue has soared, and it has finally turned profitable.

HOOD Revenue (Quarterly) data by YCharts.

Robinhood had 27 million investment accounts as of the end of the first quarter, up 11% year over year. The company’s average revenue per user in Q1 came in at $145, up 39% compared to the year-ago period. Many other key metrics, from net deposits to assets under custody, continue to move in the right direction. In other words, all is going exceptionally well for Robinhood. But is now a good time to buy the stock?

The long-term view

Robinhood’s success over the past few years — and particularly over the trailing 12-month period — has had at least one potential drawback for interested investors. The stock now appears prohibitively expensive. Robinhood’s forward price-to-earnings (P/E) tops 67, significantly higher than the 17.1 average for financial stocks. Some might argue that the company’s P/E isn’t particularly meaningful since it hasn’t been profitable for long. But even Robinhood’s forward price-to-sales multiple is extremely high at 22.8 — the undervalued range starts at “2.”

While profitable growth stocks naturally command a premium, the company will almost certainly experience some volatility — and might decline significantly — if it fails to live up to the market’s predictions. Even with this caveat in mind, though, my view is that Robinhood is an excellent stock to buy and hold for at least the next five years.

The company has several growth opportunities. One is to continue upgrading its platform by offering more services and giving its clients more options and flexibility. That’s what Robinhood has done for a long time, and it is still at it. It recently launched wealth management and private banking services for Gold members on its platforms.

Getting more paid subscribers for its Gold subscription services is another excellent way it can improve its financial results. Not only does it lead to a consistent, predictable stream of revenue, but Gold members have access to more features on the platform and generally spend more than non-paying subscribers.

Another important long-term growth avenue for Robinhood is international expansion. The company had over 150,000 customers in the European Union and the U.K. as of the end of the first quarter. That’s a small percentage of its U.S. client population, but all this means is that Robinhood is still in the early innings of its efforts in these regions.

If Robinhood can reproduce its success abroad — and I believe it can — the future looks incredibly bright for the company. For all these reasons, Robinhood’s shares remain attractive for investors who are willing to hold on to them for a long time.

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Shares of electronic design automation company Cadence Design Systems (CDNS -10.44%) dropped late Wednesday, finishing the day down 10.4%.

Cadence is just one of a handful of companies that makes the software semiconductor designers use to design chips. With the increasing variety of chips and number of chipmakers proliferating over the past decade, it has been an excellent business.

However, a Financial Times article published late Wednesday said that the Trump administration may cut off these companies’ Chinese revenues.

Will the Trump administration cut off China?

Late on Wednesday, the Financial Times said the Trump administration’s Commerce Department has instructed Cadence, along with its oligopoly competitors Synopsis and Siemens EDA, to stop selling their software to China.

Image source: Getty Images.

The past couple of presidential administrations have been grappling with how to slow China’s advances in artificial intelligence (AI) technology, without hurting U.S.-based chipmakers that also sell into China’s massive market. Past administrations have already cut off the most advanced semiconductor manufacturing equipment to China, but if the FT article is correct, it appears the Trump administration may be attempting to cut the leading chip design software technologies off as well.

In its most recent annual report, Cadence stated that China made up about 12% of its revenue, down from 17% in the prior year. So, it’s perhaps no wonder Cadence’s stock is down by roughly the same percentage today.

Shareholders should sit tight

It’s hard to draw conclusions from this late-day FT piece, but it appears that the market may already be pricing in a worst-case scenario already, given the sudden double-digit decline.

That said, Cadence was an expensive stock to begin with, as shares were trading at 82 times trailing and 47 times forward earnings coming into the day.

As is the case with most leading chipmakers and semiconductor-oriented names, these are generally high-quality businesses with strong growth outlooks on the back of the AI boom; however, that means they are also vulnerable to geopolitics. It makes for a volatile brew.

That being said, Foolish investors shouldn’t shy away from chip stocks, as semis have been the best-performing sector over the past decade.

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As Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a modest dip over the weekend – falling from nearly $112,000 to $106,600 – late longs bore the brunt, with over-leveraged traders facing significant liquidations. In contrast, long-term investors took advantage of the pullback to increase their BTC exposure.

Bitcoin Late Longs Get Wiped Out

According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Amr Taha, Bitcoin’s price drop below the key $111,000 level triggered a cascade of liquidations that primarily affected late long positions. In total, the downward move led to approximately $185 million in long position liquidations.

For the uninitiated, Bitcoin late longs refer to leveraged long positions entered into after a price rally, often by traders expecting further short-term gains. These positions are vulnerable to sudden price drops, leading to rapid liquidations when support levels fail.

The first major liquidation cluster occurred around $110,900. Once BTC fell below this level, over $97 million in long positions were wiped out. A second wave of liquidations followed when the price dipped below $109,000, wiping out an additional $88 million in leveraged longs within hours.

While short-term holders (STH) faced heavy losses, long-term holders (LTH) responded differently. Rather than being shaken out, they seized the opportunity to accumulate more Bitcoin.

Taha highlighted that, based on the STH/LTH Net Position Realized Cap chart, the LTH realized capitalization has now exceeded $28 billion for the first time since April 2025. The analyst added:

With the LTH realized cap now surpassing $28 billion, it’s clear that long-term investors are using this period of forced selling to increase their exposure and accumulate more Bitcoin for the long run. This strategic accumulation during moments of market stress reflects the deep conviction of LTHs.

In a separate post on X, noted crypto analyst Titan of Crypto noted that Bitcoin recently achieved its highest weekly close ever. This milestone underscores the strong bullish sentiment shared among long-term investors, who continue to anticipate higher prices.

What Is Working For BTC?

Several market observers have pointed out that the current rally appears more sustainable than previous ones, with fewer signs of euphoria. Analysts argue that Bitcoin’s ongoing upward momentum has not exhibited overheating, suggesting a healthier market structure.

Moreover, technical indicators suggest ambitious price targets for Bitcoin. For example, analyst Gert Van Lagen has projected that BTC could soar as high as $300,000 during this bull cycle.

Institutional interest also remains strong. Strategy CEO Michael Saylor recently hinted at another large Bitcoin purchase, further reinforcing confidence in BTC’s long-term potential. At press time, BTC trades at $109,535, up 1.9% in the past 24 hours.

Featured Image from Unsplash.com, charts from CryptoQuant, X, and TradingView.com

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Crypto traders betting on a steady bitcoin

rally got a sharp reminder of headline risk from Donald Trump’s latest tariff threats.

Over $300 million worth of leveraged derivatives positions were liquidated across centralized exchanges in the past four hours, according to CoinGlass data, as crypto prices plunged following the news.

Nearly all liquidations came from long positions—traders betting on higher prices. BTC longs accounted for $107 million of the total, while Ethereum’s ether

followed with close to $87 million. Other tokens, including Solana’s SOL , dogecoin , and SUI saw liquidations ranging between $10 million and $18 million.

“Nice aggregate flush of long leverage and de-risk selling from spot,” well-followed crypto trader Skew noted in an X post early Friday. “All driven by headlines once again.”

The sell-off came after Trump proposed a 50% tariff on imports from the European Union starting next month, along with a 25% tariff on iPhones manufactured outside the U.S., reigniting fears of an escalating trade war.

As a result, BTC and major altcoins such as Ether

, XRP , and Cardano fell 3% to 4%, while smaller-cap tokens like Uniswap and SUI dropped 5% to 7% over the past 24 hours.

Crypto trader named James Wynn, who gained attention recently opening a $1.1 billion BTC long bet with 40x leverage on the Hyperliquid exchange, also slipped underwater on the massive position. Currently, the trader is sitting on $7.5 million of unrealized losses, and the position could be liquidated if BTC slips to $102,000, according to a screenshot shared on X.

Interestingly, the long liquidations came amid a recent unusual tilt toward short positions in BTC derivatives despite record prices, CoinDesk reported on Thursday.

Read more: Why Are Bitcoin Traders Aggressively Shorting as BTC Hits New Record High?

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With virtually all crypto going up today, knowing which altcoins to buy can make the difference between staying poor and becoming the next ‘crypto dude.’

To put it bluntly, Bitcoin’s price surged to $104K, leading to MARA Holdings (MARA), a Bitcoin mining company, bagging an impressive $214M in raw revenue, with the rest of the cryptocurrencies following closely.

The sustained rally hit the crypto market like a sledgehammer, liquidating a total of $917M in shorts, with close to $400M in Bitcoin only.

Coinglass displayed the 24-hour carnage in full NSFW-red, and the bulls couldn’t be any happier about it.

As bears weep, the market is in full bull swing, with Bitcoin trading at $103,750 at the time of writing this article.

New cryptocurrency projects like SUBBD Token ($SUBBD) and Solaxy ($SOLX) are expected to surge as a result.

Crypto Going Up as Mass Investments Boost $BTC and Trigger the Hunt for the Next Altcoins to Buy

Bitcoin’s chart performance is undoubtedly linked to the avalanche of recent investments, with Michael Saylor’s Strategy comfortably leading the pack.

Strategy’s latest purchase amounted to 1,895 $BTC for the acquisition price of $95,167 and an investment value of $180M. This came a little over a week after the company acquired over 15K $BTC for a staggering bag of $1.4B.

But today’s winner is MARA, as the company reported a 30% increase in revenue in Q1 2025, compared to Q1 2024.

MARA’s Shareholder Letter highlights multiple important achievements over the last year, such as:

• Revenue increased from $165.2M in Q1 2024 to $213.3M in Q1 2025, for a total boost of 30%
• $BTC mining costs decreased by 25% from $38.1 per petahash per day in Q1 2024 to $28.5 in Q1 2025
• Net income loss decreased by 258% to $533.4M ($1.55 per diluted share) in Q1 2025, compared to $337.2M ($1.26 per diluted share) in Q1 2024
• Mined 2,286 $BTC during Q1, 2025, increasing its total Bitcoin holdings to 47,531

MARA’s Bitcoin acquisitions tell an even more compelling story, as the company’s $BTC holdings saw an increase of 175% from Q1, 2024, when they stood at 17,320.

The moral of the story is that Bitcoin simply can’t disappoint and, like always, it’s dragging the whole crypto market with it. Here’s some green to prove it.

To put it simply, we may have entered the altcoin season, with the best altcoins experiencing supported growth as Bitcoin pushes into new heights.

Let’s be honest, you know it’s real when $ETH is leading the pack with a 23% growth.

Naturally, it’s not only $ETH that piques our interest. Here are three of the most promising new crypto projects to keep an eye on.

1. SUBBD Token ($SUBBD) – AI-Driven Creator Platform Offering Easier Content Management

SUBBD Token ($SUBBD) is an innovative creator-oriented platform that relies on AI-driven tools to streamline the content creation process.

The project aims to solve several problems within the content creation sphere, like the disconnect between the fans and their creators and the excessive workload that creators need to manage.

The SUBBD platform addresses these problems with the help of tools like the AI Personal Assistant, which manages the post-production process, and the AI Creator, allowing you to create and monetize virtual content creators.

The project has already onboarded the top 1% of creators on the market and racks an impressive 250+M following. You can join the presale today before it takes off, as it’s already accumulated over $356K with a token price of $0.05535.

Check our ‘how to buy $SUBBD’ guide and read our price prediction to understand the project’s long-term potential.

2. Solaxy ($SOLX) – Solana’s Layer-2 Upgrade Promises Lower Fees and Faster Transactions

Solaxy ($SOLX) is Solana’s Layer-2 update, promising an extensive makeover of the blockchain’s ecosystem.

Solana is currently facing several problems that impact its performance and overall reputation, such as high fees, slow transaction speeds, and network congestion.

Solaxy’s off-chain execution and infinite trading scalability aim to resolve these problems in stages, as the project undergoes incremental updates. The latest update took place on May 6, and delivered improved node syncing speed, higher network stability, and better UI stability.

Solaxy is one of the most popular new meme coins on presale with measurable utility, and the presale numbers speak volumes in this sense. The project has accumulated over $34M since its inception, with $SOLX valued at $0.001718.

Solaxy currently offers staking rewards of up to 117% APY, so if you want to join the presale, check out our ‘how to buy $SOLX’ guide today. You can also read our price prediction for Solaxy to understand the project’s market potential.

3. Pepe ($PEPE) – The King Meme Coin Sprinting Up the Charts

We all know and love Pepe ($PEPE), and we love it even more when looking at its chart performance.

$PEPE is currently up 45% over the last seven days and 38% over the past 24 hours, and it doesn’t seem to want to slow down.

As a pure and one of the best meme coins, Pepe holds no intrinsic value, but dominates the meme market nonetheless. The project stealth-launched in April 2023, and experienced two bull runs so far: one immediately after launch and the other between November 2024 and February 2025.

Pepe has flatlined between February and May of this year, but it now exhibits bullish pressure, forcing its market cap up by 39.41% over the past week.

Without snorting any FOMO, the data could show that we’re looking at a third bull run in the making.

Crypto is Going Up – Are You Ready?

Bitcoin is currently consolidating its position around $103K, while the entire crypto market is slowly injecting bull juice into its veins at a 3.7% concentration, according to CoinGecko’s chart.

This, combined with Binance’s 73 points of greed on the Fear and Greed Index, sends a strong ‘buy’ signal. So if you want to grab onto Bitcoin’s coattails, you could do worse than look at the likes of Solaxy ($SOLX) and SUBBD Token ($SUBBD).

However, don’t take this as financial advice. Always DYOR (Do Your Own Research) before investing, knowing that the crypto market remains moody and volatile, no matter how stable it may seem today.

Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.

There are an endless number of reasons you might be late to retirement planning. Whether it’s unexpected medical bills, supporting family members, student debt, living in a high-cost-of-living area, or simply not earning enough, saving for retirement is sometimes put on a back burner.

There’s no shame in being late to the party. The point is, you’re showing up. And while catching up to your peers may feel downright impossible, there are steps you can take to do so and begin looking toward retirement with excitement rather than dread. Here are five strategies to get you started.

1. Know which expenses are a priority

Catching up to your peers begins with using your household budget as a road map, a constant reminder of your priorities. It begins with making a list of your bills.

Once you’ve done that, go back through and prioritize them from most important to least important. “Most important” bills are the essentials you need to survive, while your least important bills are the things you can cut without worrying about having something repossessed (like a house or car) or being sued (like a loan).

Everyone’s list will be different, but it may look something like this:

1. House payment
2. Car payment
3. Food
4. Gasoline
5. Daycare
6. Student loan
7. Utilities
8. Gym membership
9. Cable subscriptions
10. Dining out
11. Hobby supplies
12. Pet toy subscription
13. Video game subscription

If you’re concerned that there’s nowhere retirement contributions will fit into your list, start from the bottom and begin cutting. Those are the sources of spending that you may need to trim to free up enough money to build your retirement account.

Image source: Getty Images.

2. Jettison high-interest debt

If you carry high-interest debt, now is the time to double down on paying it off. The time and effort it takes to pay off debt may not be fun, but think of it this way: If you’re paying 26% interest on a credit card, paying it off is like slipping extra money into your pocket each month. That’s more you’ll have to put toward retirement.

3. Max out and catch up

If possible, max out the amount of money you can legally contribute to your retirement account each year. And, if you’re aged 50 or older at the end of the calendar year, take advantage of annual catch-up contributions. The more you put away now, the less you’ll have to worry about finances in retirement, and the faster your account will catch up to those of your peers.

4. Create additional income

Suppose you go through your budget and realize you still won’t have enough to make meaningful monthly contributions to a retirement account (even after trimming what you can). In that case, it’s time to begin looking for additional income streams. The goal is to earn enough to make those monthly contributions on which your retirement account depends.

The good news is that you can earn money doing something you love: Consider selling crafts, tailoring clothes, teaching an instrument or a foreign language, working as a handyperson, detailing cars, opening an online resale shop, or shuttling kids to and from after-school activities.

If, like most of us, you already feel stretched, consider which type of side hustle or gig is most likely to please you. Beyond enjoying the job, another thing that will please you is watching your hard work pay off as your retirement account grows.

5. Delay retirement (for several good reasons)

Before saying “absolutely not” to more time in the workforce, consider the benefits associated with adding a few years to your career:

• More time to save: You’ll have more years to contribute to and potentially grow your nest egg.
• Higher Social Security benefits: For every year you postpone retirement after full retirement age (FRA), your Social Security benefits increase by 8% — up to age 70.
• A larger pension: If you receive a pension, working longer can increase the final benefit amount.
• Employer benefits: You’ll have more time to enjoy employer benefits, like health insurance, profit-sharing, and paid vacations. While you could begin receiving Medicare, employer-sponsored health insurance is often more cost-effective.
• Potential boost to your health: Unless you have a clear idea of what you plan to do with your time in retirement, sticking with the job a bit longer can provide structure, social interaction, and overall well-being. A study published in the Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health found that working even one year beyond retirement age is associated with a 9% to 11% reduced risk of dying, regardless of health.

There’s an important caveat: Working past retirement age is not good for everyone. If your job is physically demanding, you’re suffering stress on the job, or you feel burned out, staying longer may not be good for your health. It’s far more important to take care of yourself than to stick with a job that makes you sick or carries an increased risk of injury.

Similarly, no two people have precisely the same financial needs. While a neighbor might require $1 million in a retirement account to make ends meet, your numbers may differ. The best way to get an idea of how much you’re aiming for is to develop a post-retirement budget.

Add all expected income sources, including Social Security, pension, annuity, rental property, and so on. Next, create a budget showing how much you expect to spend each month in retirement.

If it looks like your income won’t be enough to cover your expenses, that’s your “gap.” Knowing how large (or small) that gap is can help you come up with a solid savings goal.