Economist and trader Alex Krüger is outlining three catalysts that he believes could propel Bitcoin (BTC) to a massive rally.

Krüger tells his 211,500 followers on the social media platform X that the “upcoming Bitcoin breakout will be explosive.”

According to the economist and trader, one of the catalysts that will drive the Bitcoin rally he foresees will be the legislation currently waiting to be passed in the U.S. Congress known as the One Big Beautiful Act (OBBA). The omnibus legislation addresses some of President Trump’s election campaign promises.

The economist and trader says the accumulation of Bitcoin by companies intending to include the flagship crypto asset in their balance sheets is another catalyst that will “add fuel to the fire.”

Additionally, the economist and trader says the Federal Reserve Chair set to be appointed in 2026 to replace the current Chair Jerome Powell will be the “icing on the cake.” According to Krüger, Powell’s replacement will be a bullish catalyst over the short term.

The economist and trader further says Bitcoin’s current price action is operating in a similar environment to five years ago.

“When it comes to analogies across cycles and Bitcoin Treasury companies, June 2025 is analogous to December 2020 and the Bitcoin Grayscale trade.”

In December of 2020, Bitcoin broke above the then all-time high of around $20,000 that had been in place for three years. The rally occurred at a time when the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) was trading at a significant premium to the net asset value of the underlying Bitcoin amid robust institutional demand.

Bitcoin is trading at $110,210 at time of writing.

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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Economist and trader Alex Krüger believes Bitcoin (BTC) is primed to go higher over the coming weeks, driven by one catalyst.

Krüger tells his 210,500 followers on the social media platform X that he is expecting Bitcoin to hit $120,000 in June.

According to the widely followed economist and trader, the proposed distribution of approximately $5 billion to creditors of the collapsed crypto exchange FTX at the end of May will serve as a bullish catalyst for Bitcoin. Krüger thinks that the funds will re-enter the crypto market as the creditors will mostly be the large claim holders.

But the economist warns that Bitcoin could turn bearish in early July amid the uncertainty caused by the dispute over tariffs.

“The 90-day tariffs pause *could* be a significant bearish catalyst. That’s on July 9th. Depending on White House news flow, it makes sense for markets to start getting anxious about tariffs again two to three weeks before then.”

In contrast with Krüger’s largely bullish view of Bitcoin over the short term, crypto analyst Justin Bennett says the flagship digital asset could drop below $100,000 after failing to convincingly take out its last resistance at around $110,000.

“No change to this BTC analysis other than starting to break down.

I shorted at $111,269. I’ll add below $106,000 if we get it. Looking for $96,000/$97,000.”

Bitcoin is trading at $107,435 at time of writing, down from the all-time high of just under $112,000 reached earlier this week.

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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Economist Alex Krüger says he’s de-risking his portfolio amid uncertain economic headwinds.

Krüger tells his 209,800 followers on the social media platform X that the US economy “is in the very early stages of a severe deceleration (and potential recession).”

He predicts the impending economic downturn will begin to matter in June and materialize in economic data in July.

Krüger also notes his preferred upside risk investment is Bitcoin (BTC).

“Granted, I am biased, but do think that it has started to trade as a risk/gold hybrid (still more weighted towards risk) and therefore it may provide a very rare ‘tails I win, heads I win as well’ risk profile. The jury is still out.

Mid-term, I do not know if the second half of the year will be a raging bull market or a crash and burn 2008 style market. Both are ironically possible. We will have to see in what direction and how aggressively Trump decides to swing. And what other measures he pushes through (e.g. tax cuts). My base case scenario is somewhere in the middle. That said, the most important thing here is that Trump has introduced a massive left tail that it would normally not exist.”

The economist also cautions traders against chasing altcoins in the current environment.

“There is zero reason to FOMO in a Trump 2.0 world. There will be dips. Many dips.”

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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A widely followed economist thinks that President Trump’s trade war can trigger conditions that could catalyze a repeat of the 2008 stock market meltdown.

Economist Alex Krüger tells his 208,600 followers on the social media platform X that Trump’s tariffs are creating conditions that could spark a new credit crisis when borrowers can’t access credit easily despite their willingness to pay interest.

Krüger says that once lenders lose the confidence to issue new debt due to an uncertain macroeconomic backdrop, the S&P 500 could witness a 2008-style collapse.

“This is how the 2008 bear market looked like, -50% in one year. Notice the extensive number of extremely positive news from October onwards. Sometimes, increasing liquidity is not enough.

Once credit markets break, it is very hard to stop the snowball.

We may be two tweets away from going in that direction. Europe retaliating in kind, and Trump losing it.

Of course, [we] would need more than that to have such a protracted bear market. 2008 was a credit crunch after all, which is not the case now.

But a trade war can trigger a credit crisis. Stagflation => consumer spending freezing => corporates blowing up => banks blowing up => dead.”

He also believes that Trump’s tariffs have increased the odds that the US will witness a recession within a year.

“If this keeps escalating, yes, anything is possible now, that’s what’s changed in my opinion, there’s nothing off the table.”

As of Monday’s close, the S&P 500 is trading at 5,062 points.

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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A closely followed economist thinks that Bitcoin (BTC) may be forming a market bottom after a deep correction that tapped the $78,000 level.

Alex Krüger tells his 206,200 followers on the social media platform X that if Bitcoin’s bottom is in, the flagship crypto asset will soon march back to $92,000.

He also says a bear trap would be confirmed if Bitcoin reclaims $92,000 as support.

A “bear trap” is when a price goes low enough to convince bears to sell or go short before quickly reversing in the opposite direction of their positions.

“BTC did lose its prior range by a wide margin. If that was indeed a bottom would expect it to trade up to $89,000-$92,000 and then fall back to the $80,000s again to fill a new range. Above $92,000 you have a bear trap. Good year for active traders still ahead.”

The economist also says there were likely multiple factors contributing to Bitcoin’s severe correction, but he believes the flagship crypto asset remains in a bull market cycle.

“Noticing some confusion behind the drivers of this crypto crash. There have been multiple variables at play. Best not to try to find a single culprit.

On the crypto side:

• [MicroStrategy founder Michael] Saylor blowing his entire $2 billion load in one sitting at $97,500.
• SOL implosion driven by unlocks and the Libra fraud making market participants question the casino investment thesis, [leading to] contagion.
• BTC multi-month range breakdown.

On the macro side:

• Tariffs much more aggressive than expected.
• Higher inflation expectations print.
• Growth scare, partly driven by Trump lowering public spending, tariffs, and a few economic data points (fear is inconsistent with inflation expectations).

Ironically, the US economy is in very good shape. Growing, around full employment, with inflation trending lower. That said, the market may just have bottomed overnight.

Even if not the case, I find it very hard to see this as the beginning of a prolonged bear market.”

Bitcoin is trading for $85,312 at time of writing, up over 5% in the last 24 hours.

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A closely followed economist thinks that Bitcoin (BTC) may be repeating a similar pattern from last year and still has room to run to the upside.

Alex Krüger tells his 206,800 followers on the social media platform X that Bitcoin’s latest severe correction is similar to when the flagship crypto asset collapsed to range lows in April 2024 before printing a series of rallies.

However, he warns that the uncertainty around US President Donald Trump’s tariff polices remains a big risk for the crypto markets.

“The dominant mood across crypto market participants is ‘it is over.’ For good reason. The Bitcoin dip is large, yet not extraordinary. But across alts the destruction is real. That said, I see this BTC chart as a replica of early 2024. Range lows are meant to be taken out (check the early 2024 range). Do need the Donald not to nuke us. The trigger for the last move down was precisely tariffs news (on Canada and Mexico).”

Krüger also says Bitcoin may still hit lower price targets before rallying.

“BTC is bottom of the range, akin to April 30th, 2024 in my opinion. Maybe we go lower, maybe we bounce. Don’t know, but it’s a good spot regardless.”

He notes that severe Bitcoin corrections occur multiple times a year, and may present buying opportunities.

“One can make a living just from getting good at buying liquidations. We get two-four such liquidations a year.”

The economist previously said that investors should zoom out because he thinks crypto is amid a supercycle, which could include painful Bitcoin pullbacks.

“BTC is stuck in a range, which I think eventually resolves higher. The supercycle theory is intact. Even though it applies to Bitcoin and crypto as a whole (market cap ex BTC and stables is considerably higher), most old alts don’t benefit from it on a sustained basis. Should not expect an insane wave of liquidity driving all cr*p higher for an extended period of time. Be selective.”

Bitcoin is trading for $84,608 at time of writing, down 4.8% in the last 24 hours.

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A closely followed economist thinks that the Bitcoin (BTC) and crypto bull market still has room to run to the upside.

Alex Krüger tells his 205,000 followers on the social media platform X that crypto investors are disappointed because the current cycle appears to be different from the ones witnessed in the past in terms of time and upside magnitude.

But the economist says that investors should zoom out because he thinks crypto is in the midst of a supercycle.

“BTC is stuck in a range, which I think eventually resolves higher. The supercycle theory is intact.

Even though it applies to Bitcoin and crypto as a whole (market cap ex BTC and stables is considerably higher), most old alts don’t benefit from it on a sustained basis.

Should not expect an insane wave of liquidity driving all cr*p higher for an extended period of time. Be selective.”

According to Krüger, a supercycle doesn’t mean that Bitcoin will keep going higher without witnessing painful pullbacks.

“My definition has been playing out: BTC trades in line with equities [but with] shorter smaller drawdowns, e.g. 40% rather than 80%-90%.”

Looking at Solana, Krüger calls SOL the “fastest horse,” but he warns that the altcoin is set to see “very heavy unlocks in the next two months,” meaning that more supply is about to enter circulation.

As for Ethereum (ETH), the trader notes that the largest layer-1 protocol needs a shot in the arm to ignite bullish momentum.

“Ethereum … needs an intervention. Increased value capture from L2s (layer-2s). Plus a few more killer apps running on it.”

Turning to the broader altcoin market, Krüger says that he expects a new altseason to emerge but it will likely not be as explosive as the rallies seen in previous years.

“Expect a new alt season at some point. Shorter and smaller than prior ones. Positioning is very negative, and so is sentiment. but timing is unclear in the absence of clear catalysts. It can come out of nowhere.”

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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