June – Earlybirds Invest https://earlybirdsinvest.com Latest Crypto News Sun, 03 Aug 2025 15:06:23 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.9.11 https://i0.wp.com/earlybirdsinvest.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/cropped-New-Project-2024-12-17T235703.455.png?fit=32%2C32&ssl=1 June – Earlybirds Invest https://earlybirdsinvest.com 32 32 240146708 US Economy at ‘Stall Speed,’ Warns Goldman Sachs As Labor Department Slashes June Jobs Growth by 90% https://earlybirdsinvest.com/us-economy-at-stall-speed-warns-goldman-sachs-as-labor-department-slashes-june-jobs-growth-by-90/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/us-economy-at-stall-speed-warns-goldman-sachs-as-labor-department-slashes-june-jobs-growth-by-90/#respond Sun, 03 Aug 2025 15:06:22 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/us-economy-at-stall-speed-warns-goldman-sachs-as-labor-department-slashes-june-jobs-growth-by-90/

A Goldman Sachs executive is warning that the US economy is losing momentum after a sharp downward revision in job creation over the past few months.

On Friday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) revised down the job growth figures for June from 147,000 to 14,000, a 90% drop.

Figures for May were also revised down from 144,000 to 19,000, bringing the combined two-month downward revision to 258,000 jobs.

In a new CNBC interview, Goldman Sachs chief economist Jan Hatzius says the jobs data suggest that the US economy is losing steam.

“Weeks ago, we wrote a report with the title ‘Stall Speed.’ We have only a little more than 1% growth in GDP in the first half and with this jobs number, I think that brings the picture to clearly stall speed image. 

I’m looking at an economy that is still growing but is growing very slowly. And the unemployment rate is drifting higher, gradually. But I do think that the downside risks in the labor market…. are definitely there.”

According to Hatzius, the Fed now has the green light to cut rates in the coming months to support the labor market.

“I think it makes it even more likely that they’re going to cut in September. We have had a series of 25 basis point cuts in September, October, December and to me that seems very likely.

And it could be more. 

It’s certainly a reasonable idea that we’re in the restrictive territory, but this sort of data suggests that maybe we should get back to neutral a little bit more quickly. We have that happening over a longer period of time, but you could accelerate the process.”

 

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The State of Eth2, June 2020 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/the-state-of-eth2-june-2020/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/the-state-of-eth2-june-2020/#respond Sat, 26 Jul 2025 19:48:36 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/the-state-of-eth2-june-2020/

A huge thank you for excellent input and feedback from Sacha Saint-Leger, Joseph Schweitzer, Josh Stark, and protolambda.

I spend a lot of my time explaining and answering questions about eth2, and I mean a lot. Some of this on a deep and technical level as I help communicate research and specifications to technical contributors, but more and more these days I’m fielding questions from the community about eth2 progress, direction, motivations, design decisions, delays, and more. I actually really enjoy these conversations. I get super excited as I explain eth2, come up with new ways to describe various components, or find the right analogies depending on the audience to get the gears turning and the light bulb to switch on.

But this dynamic/conversational method, while valuable, leaves a ton of the community in the dark. I get asked the same questions time and time again, and more concerningly, I get asked the same questions 6 months later! Clearly there is an information problem. This information exists, but it is scattered across the web — research posts, specs, spec explainers, public calls, public channels, reddit, blog posts. My first attempt after devcon5 to bridge the information gap between those deep in eth2 and the rest of the community manifested itself as a new blog series, “eth2 quick update”. These are little snippets to help follow along, but I’m realizing they don’t really communicate the bigger picture. The bigger picture does get communicated and discussed on podcasts, AMAs, and conferences, but, even then, a written form will still aid these efforts.

So here we are. This post is aimed at the community, to provide you with a comprehensive look at what eth2 is today: where it’s going, what it might become, and what it means for you, the Ethereum community. I will attempt to provide the right amount of technical substance to illustrate the motivations, the vision, the current state of the project, and the work to come, without getting bogged down in too much math or deep jargon.

This post might also be useful for those deep Ethereum technical experts that have to date kept eth2 at arms distance. No worries, I understand. This project is big, complicated, and always seemed like it was far enough in the future that you could ignore it while you solved the pressing problems at hand. Hopefully this post will help you better understand the things to come.

As for the eth2 folks, you might also get something out of this post — a broader perspective on where we’re at now, and how I’m thinking about the things to come.

Disclaimer: this is how I, Danny Ryan, personally see things today. There are many voices and opinions driving the ever growing, ever evolving eth2. This is just a snapshot of a slice of my interpretation.

eth2, wtf

“Eth2 is a scalable proof-of-stake infrastructure”

If you’ve heard me speak at all in the past 6 months, you’ve heard me say this time and time again. Eth2 is built for Ethereum and ultimately is Ethereum. It aims to be a more secure and scalable context for the current Ethereum mainnet, providing little disruption to the way things are done today. At the same time, it provides an upgraded context for us to grow into.

Since before Ethereum launched, it was known that a single blockchain paradigm would not provide enough bandwidth to serve as the backbone of a new decentralized internet. Ethereum related proof-of-stake and sharding research traces its history back to as early as 2014. Both proof-of-stake and sharding aim to answer the following question: Given a certain amount of capital backing a crypto-economic system, can we improve security and throughput while still allowing consumer hardware to participate in consensus and follow the chain? While I won’t get into the history here, this exploration took years and was marked by many false starts. In the end, the answer is a resounding yes, and has manifested itself as the eth2 project.

Eth2 is an ambitious, multi-year project that will be rolled out in phases. This is widely documented and discussed, but I’ll give you a quick, not-so-technical look at what these entail.

Phase 0

Phase 0, the Beacon Chain, is the core of the new consensus mechanism. This is where all the system level activity and orchestration happens. Phase 0 is all about coming to consensus with hundreds of thousands of consensus entities (validators), distributed across thousands of nodes around the world.

Due to the technical requirements of distributing subsets of validators across shards in phase 1+, we need to be able to handle a huge amount of validators. Much of the engineering complexity stems from this requirement. Other non-sharded, proof-of-stake mechanisms have 100s or maybe 1000s of validators, but eth2 is designed to have a bare minimum of ~16k validators with the expectation that this figure will be in the hundreds of thousands within a couple of years.

Phase 1

Phase 0 is about coming to consensus, whereas Phase 1 is about coming to consensus on a lot of stuff. This “stuff” comes in the form of many shard chains. You can think of a shard chain as its own blockchain with approximately the same complexity as Ethereum today, but living under the eth2 consensus (i.e. living under and built/controlled by the Beacon Chain). The validators from the Beacon Chain are given random short-term assignments to build and validate shard chains, making crypto-economic commitments to the state, availability, and validity of each chain back into the core system.

Today, we expect there to be 64 shards to start, and for the total data available to the system to be in the 1 to 4 MB/s range (YES, that’s a ton of data).

Phase 1.5

Phase 1.5 is the integration of Ethereum mainnet into the new eth2 consensus mechanism as a shard (existing as one of the many shards created in Phase 1). Instead of the Ethereum we know and love being built by a proof-of-work mining algorithm, it will be built by the eth2 validators. For existing applications and users, this hot swap of the consensus mechanism will largely be transparent. Applications will continue chugging along, but developers will now have a much more powerful system to build on (better security properties, proper economic finality, more layer 1 data for rollups and other fun applications).

Phase 2

Phase 2 is the addition of state and execution on more shards than just the original Ethereum shard. There are many forms that this can take. Figuring out which form, and the details behind it, is a hot bed of research and prototyping today. I’ll discuss that a bit more in sections below.


Okay, so we have all these phases coming and Phase 0 actually feels like it’s just around the corner. But that roadmap still sounds a little long. What should I actually expect from eth2 during the phases of the upgrade?

Great question! In general, expect a wave of upgrades that increasingly touch more of Ethereum and more of the community at each step. As a user, you can either get involved early with staking in Phase 0, or you can simply wait until Ethereum fully migrates into eth2 at Phase 1.5 (a transition which should be seamless from the point of view of both dapp developers and users). Regardless of how engaged you choose to be and at what phase, there are important milestones and benefits worth being aware of as this all starts to roll out.

The first is that I know a lot of you are die-hard ETH holders who are anxious to get in on the staking action. To all the potential validators out there, especially the hobbyists, Phase 0 is for you. Phase 0 comes with its own risks and time horizons that will make it unappealing for some participants, so I personally hope this phase is a boon both for hobbyists and long term Ethereum believers. This is a unique chance to get in on the ground, to help influence the vision over time, and to receive a higher ETH reward for being an early adopter.

What about Phase 1? Is there anything useful we can do with all this data before the integration of Ethereum into eth2? Yes, glad you asked!

Layer 1 data is incredibly useful even without native computation. In fact, the most promising layer 2 scaling solutions in the past 12 months are these so called “rollup” chains (both optimistic and ZK) which scale with the availability of layer 1 data. The eth2 data layer is expected to provide Ethereum with somewhere between 1 and 4 MB/s of data availability which translates into massive scalability gains when coupled with rollup tech. But due to the initial disjointedness of Ethereum and the new sharded universe at the start, making claims about the eth2 shard data is hard. That’s one of the reasons EIP 2537 is so important for Ethereum mainnet. With a native BLS (new eth2 signing algorithm) precompile, we can write an efficient eth2 light client as a solidity contract, opening up the ability for Ethereum applications to make claims about data in eth2 before the Phase 1.5 integration.

As discussed above, Phase 1.5 is huge. Eth2 is built for Ethereum and at this point, eth2 becomes Ethereum. All of the applications we know and love become integrated in the upgraded eth2 consensus mechanism, retaining the feature-set we are used to while simultaneously opening up the vast new landscape of a secure proof-of-stake consensus with native access to a highly scalable data layer. This is the meat of the process in my opinion. This is the moment of grand success as we anchor Ethereum fully into its new reality.

Beyond that, additional scalability gains will likely be made over time by enabling state/execution on additional shard chains. This may come in the form of the EVM or a new VM called eWASM. Regardless of the choice of VM, the existing Ethereum EVM shard and the new shard chains will be able to interact and communicate natively via the Beacon Chain, completing the multi-execution, sharded vision.

See? It’s a journey, but there are major gains to be made along the way.

The difficulties of this approach, and why it’s worth it

So many validators

A key component of sharding relies upon the random sampling of consensus participants (validators) into committees to validate a subsection of the protocol (e.g. a shard). Given enough validators in the protocol, and an attacker of an assumed max size (controlling 1/3 of the validators, say) it becomes mathematically improbable (vanishingly so, think probability on the order of 1 / 2^40) for the attacker to overtake any one committee and corrupt the system. This allows us to design the system such that anyone with a consumer machine (e.g. a laptop or maybe even an old phone) can become a validator (since validators are assigned to subsections of the system, and validating any subsection can be done with the compute resources of a single machine).

This is what makes sharding incredible and, at the same time, hard. For one, we must have enough validators to make this random sampling safe: which means eth2 has far more expected validators than most (I think any) other proof-of-stake protocol. This introduces challenges in every layer of the process — from research, to consensus mechanism specification, to networking, to resource consumption and optimizations in clients. Each additional validator induces load on the system that must be accounted for at every stage in the process. Eth2 client teams have accomplished the Herculean task of managing the consensus of hundreds of thousands of validators so that we can safely and efficiently integrate many shards come Phase 1.

So many shards

Another fundamental design decision that makes what we’re building so hard is that, in Ethereum, we choose to gain scalability without compromising on decentralization.

It’s not hard to scale a blockchain to tens of thousands of transactions per second, if we don’t care about users actually being able to validate the chain for themselves, or about guaranteeing that the data is actually available to the network. The complexity of a sharded consensus mechanism is required so that the system can be broken up into bite-sized validate-able chunks. Spec’ing and implementing such a consensus mechanism is quite simply a difficult task.

So many clients

A core tenet of Ethereum is that Ethereum is protocol first. Ethereum is the abstract set of rules that makes up the protocol rather than any specific implementation of those set of rules. To that end, the Ethereum community has encouraged many client implementations since day 0. On Ethereum mainnet today, this comes in the form of besu, ethereumJS, geth, nethermind, nimbus, open-ethereum, trinity, and turbo-geth. And in the eth2 landscape, this manifests as cortex, lighthouse, lodestar, nimbus, prysm, teku, and trinity.

The multi-client paradigm has many significant advantages:

  • Having many clients allows for a wider exploration of ideas, algorithms, and architectures (each client brings their own approach and point of view). There is a healthy cross-pollination in this process as we all build more robust systems.
  • Clients often have different design goals. This leads to a more diverse set of users and applications as time progresses. Clients may be more or less focused on any of the following — performance, security, horizontal scaling, UI/UX, light clients, browsers, resource constrained devices, etc, etc.
  • With many production grade clients on mainnet, a significant attack that can bring down any one client (e.g. a DoS attack) is met with resilience as the rest of the clients stand strong. This was seen very early in Ethereum’s history during the “Shanghai DoS Attacks” when a series of DoS attacks were able to bring down geth and parity but never both at the same time.
  • Each client serves as a gateway to a programming language community. The foundation of a client in a particular language opens and invites experimentation and innovation in that language. The base tooling around the client often snowballs into a robust ecosystem of tools and contributors in that language. The multi-client paradigm reinforces the gravitational well that is Ethereum.

With these distinct advantages come some difficulties:

  • The spec and testing must be air-tight to avoid any accidental forking on mainnet. If there is only one implementation of the protocol, then that implementation becomes the protocol. In the single client case if there were any sort of consensus “bug” hit on mainnet, then it would become baked into the reality of the protocol. This isn’t great from a purity perspective, but it eliminates any risk of an accidental fork. As a counter to this difficulty — if we have a healthy distribution of clients on mainnet (e.g. no client has more than 1/3 of total nodes/validators), the network can remain live even in the face of a single client having a consensus issue.
  • Coordination of N clients at best results a linear overhead compared to just a single client, but in some cases might induce a quadratic overhead (N^2). There are techniques we employ to reduce this overhead — e.g. consensus (and soon network) test suites — but it will always be there in some capacity.

State of eth2 clients and testnets

Phase 0 eth2 clients have become quite sophisticated pieces of software over the past 2 years, being able to handle the distributed consensus of hundreds of thousands of validators across thousands of nodes. We are currently in the testnet phase and inching closer to launch every day. I expected the last mile to be long. It turns out that it is.

I ask you during this period before launch, to get out of your comfort zone and try multiple clients. There are many tradeoffs between them and you’re going to have to get your hands dirty to find out which works best for you. As discussed above, Ethereum operates in a mult-client paradigm. To gain the benefits of this paradigm, we need users to run a diverse set of clients (to create a healthy distribution across all the types of clients).

Beyond that, there are anti-correlation incentives built into the protocol. In extreme situations in which a major client accidentally causes validators to either go offline, or commit a slashable offence, if your validator’s behaviour is correlated with that client, you will be penalized much more than if you did something wrong but uncorrelated with others. In other words, in these situations it’s much better to be running a minority client rather than a client with a huge portion of the network.

To be absolutely clear — if there is more than one viable and secure client, it is your duty to run minority client software to promote a healthy distribution of client software on the network.

Also, don’t be shy. If you run into issues with the docs, let someone know. If you see a typo, submit a PR. If something crashes or a bug pops up, please-please-please report it on github or the client discord. You are the beta users and with your help we can make this better for everyone.

Testnets

We are currently running small public devnets, which we restart approximately every one to two weeks. I say “devnet” because they are first and foremost for client team developers to work through bugs, optimizations, etc. They are public and you’re welcome to join, but be aware that they aren’t yet long-lived like Goerli or Rinkeby. The most recent launch, led by Afri Schoedon, is the Witti testnet running the v0.11 spec (check out the README here if you want to run some nodes).

Client teams are actively upgrading to the v0.12 spec which integrates the latest version of the IETF BLS standard. From there, we’ll transition the devnets to v0.12 as we continue to increase the size of the nets, inducing more and more load on the clients. After we have 2-3 clients reliably kicking off successful v0.12 nets and running at high load, we’ll do a more public testnet where you will run most of the nodes and validators. The intention here is to create a long-standing multi-client testnet that mimics mainnet as much as possible (where users can reliably practice running nodes and test anything else they want). The ideal is to spin this up just once and to sort through any failures while maintaining the net. But depending on the presence, and severity, of failures, we might need a couple runs before we get there.

In addition to the normal testnets, we’ll also provide an incentivized “attack net” where client teams operate a stable testnet, and we invite you to try to break it in a number of different ways. For successful attacks, the EF will provide ETH rewards. More info on this soon — so stay tuned!


While tooling for eth2 is quite nascent, it’s an exciting and growing effort. As mentioned above, tooling often stems from a client codebase and the efforts of the client team, but more and more hands are getting involved everyday. To better interact with, understand, secure, and enhance eth2, we as a community need build out and build upon basic eth2 tooling.

I want to give a huge shout-out to the teams and individuals that have already provided immense value with their eth2 tooling, and I want to welcome everyone else to build new tools and to extend and enhance what’s already there.

Eth2 tooling is a green-field opportunity. This is an incredible chance to dig in, provide real value, and make your mark.

The following is a sample of the work in progress, but there’s a great deal more to do!


And here’s a sample of some open tooling ideas:

  • Eth2 validator alerts: provide a service that alerts node operators when their validators are not performing optimally
  • Validator deposit tracking: help bridge between the current Ethereum and eth2 explorers by tracking the validator deposit process
  • Validator protection via proxies: use a proxy to track validator messages to ensure your client can’t send unsafe messages

And so much more — this is the type of contribution that is not limited to a spec. Creativity is important. If you want to contribute, talk to eth2 client teams to get started.

State of eth1+eth2 integrations

In an Ethereum client today (e.g. geth, etc) almost all of the complexity lies in handling user-level activity — transaction pool, block creation, virtual machine computation, and state storage/retrieval. The actual core consensus — proof-of-work — is rather simple in protocol. Most of the complexity is handled by sophisticated hardware outside of the core protocol.

On the other hand, an eth2 client is entirely consensus. In proof-of-stake and sharding, many complexities are brought in-protocol to achieve the goals of a scalable consensus.

This separation of concerns makes for a beautiful pairing of eth1 and eth2 clients.

There is initial work being done on merging the two by members of the geth (EF) and TXRX (ConsenSys) teams. The work involves (1) defining a communication protocol between eth1 and eth2 clients, (2) adding a consensus engine to eth1 clients that can be controlled via the communication protocol, and (3) prototyping and simulating eth2 phase 1 behaviour to test the coupling. We expect to see some concrete results on these points this summer.

You can read more about the high level eth1+eth2 client relationship here, and about the technical scope of the merger here.

State of execution and communication across shards

As mentioned, the exact path to enable execution across many shards is a hotly researched and debated area. There are many questions to answer. For example:

  • How many shards should be enable with execution?
  • For additional shards, do we use EVM or eWASM for the virtual machine?
  • How do we efficiently structure and process cross-shard transactions?
  • What changes do we need to make to existing EVM to support cross-shard transactions?
  • Can/should execution and account structures be generally extensible?

The eWASM (EF) and Quilt (ConsenSys) teams have conducted a great deal of research in these areas over the past 12 months. It turns out the solution domain is huge, and although we now have a good handle on the breadth of the domain, the recent focus has been on digging into simple, tangible solutions to be able to test, prototype, and really ground the conversation. Out of this was born eWASM’s Eth1x64 initiative (read about the high-level view of the project and check out some recent specs under discussion).

There has been rapid progress in bringing the abstract cross-shard ideas into concrete specs for discussion and ultimately prototypes. Keep an eye on this area of progress, especially if you are a dapp developer. We intend to have something you can understand, play with, and provide feedback on in the coming months.

Relationship of Stateless Ethereum to eth2

There is another major R&D effort happening in parallel to eth2 called “Stateless Ethereum”. Stateless Ethereum is an effort to solve the state size growth problem. It allows participants to validate blocks without having to store the entirety of the state locally. Right now, there is an implicit input in the Ethereum state transition function: the entirety of the state. With Stateless Ethereum, proofs (witnesses) about the requisite state will be provided inside of blocks. This allows a block to be transitioned/validated as a pure function of just the block.

What this translates to for users is a world in which you can follow the chain, and even follow portions of the state that you care about, without storing all of the state. Some network participants likely will store all of the state (block producers, block explorers, state-for-a-fee providers), but the vast majority of participants will become some shade (less than full) of stateful.

For eth2, this is an important technical mechanism to ensure that nodes and validators can validate and secure the protocol without the burden of storing the full user state of each shard. Instead, validators will likely opt-in to being block producers for some set of shards, while the baseline validator may only validate stateless blocks. Stateless Ethereum is an incredibly valuable addition to the eth2 vision, keeping the base of the sharded protocol very thin. While we’re planning on eth2 operating statelessly, we do have a few options in the event that the stateless path does not ultimately prove viable (although I’m pretty confident in statelessness myself 😄).

I won’t get any deeper into Stateless Ethereum for this post. Just know that it’s an exciting parallel R&D path to ensure Ethereum’s sustainability in the long term. If you’re curious to learn more, check out Griffin’s The 1.x Files blog series.

tl;dr

Eth2 is a huge undertaking to provide an upgraded, next-generation, highly-scalable and secure, decentralized consensus to Ethereum. There are dozens of teams and hundreds of individuals working each day to make this a reality. The path we’ve chosen is difficult, but immense progress has and continues to be made.

The core of this new mechanism is just around the corner.

If you’re an aspiring validator, now is the time to dig in. Support the multi-client paradigm by trying out multiple clients, and help instill a strong base of rich client diversity from eth2’s genesis.

If you’re a user or dapp developer, keep pushing on Ethereum today while we continue to prepare this more secure and scalable context for you. When the time comes, the swap to eth2 will be as seamless as possible.

Thank you to the incredible teams and individuals keeping Ethereum alive and well today; thank you to all those of you preparing for Ethereum’s future in eth2; and thank you to all the users and developers that make Ethereum awesome 🚀

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Why Caterpillar Stock Jumped 11.5% in June https://earlybirdsinvest.com/why-caterpillar-stock-jumped-11-5-in-june/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/why-caterpillar-stock-jumped-11-5-in-june/#respond Tue, 08 Jul 2025 19:36:46 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/why-caterpillar-stock-jumped-11-5-in-june/ Any fears about the impact of tariffs on Caterpillar and its stock price appear to be overblown.

Caterpillar (CAT 0.91%) stock handily outperformed the markets in June, rallying 11.5%, according to data provided by S&P Global Market Intelligence. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI -0.30%) and the S&P 500 (^GSPC -0.06%), meanwhile, gained 4.9% and 4.3%, respectively.

Tailwinds were aplenty for shares of the mining and construction equipment giant, including a dividend hike, multiple analyst ratings upgrades, and a trade truce between the U.S. and China.

Workers working with heavy machinery on a construction site.

Image source: Getty Images.

Caterpillar’s dividends continue to grow

Caterpillar has extensive global operations, and China is an important market for the company. That is why the stock rose after President Donald Trump announced a trade deal with China on June 10.

A day later, Caterpillar raised its dividend per share by 7%, marking its 31st consecutive year of dividend increases. Caterpillar confirmed that it continues to generate robust free cash flows from its core machinery, energy, and transportation (ME&T) businesses despite a challenging business environment, and put to rest investors’ concerns about its ability to grow dividends.

That also caught analysts’ attention, encouraging many to reiterate or upgrade their price targets on Caterpillar stock in June. For example, while Citigroup analyst Kyle Menges raised Caterpillar stock’s price target to $420 per share from $370 a share, analysts at Bank of America reiterated their price objective of $385 a share.

Analysts at Bank of America and Bernstein see strong growth potential in Caterpillar’s E&T segment. Bank of America expects E&T to be a key earnings growth driver for the company, driven by trends like global energy demand and higher spending in oil and gas pipelines, power generation, and data centers. All these factors should push demand for Caterpillar’s engines, power generation systems, and turbines.

Why Caterpillar stock is a buy on every dip

Caterpillar provided great insight into its expectations for 2025 at a recent earnings conference call. Although the company expects lower sales from its construction industries and resource industries (mining equipment) businesses this year, it projects continued strength in energy and transportation to offset much of the weakness.

Because of its diverse business, Caterpillar expects only a slight fall in revenue for the full year because of tariffs, if at all. Caterpillar, in fact, saw a strong order flow in the first quarter, and its backlog grew by a record $5 billion, or 17% sequentially. The company now expects to generate ME&T free cash flow at the “top half” of its guidance range of $5 billion to $10 billion.

If you ask me, Caterpillar is one of the finest and few iconic American companies you’d want to buy at every dip and hold forever.

Bank of America is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Citigroup is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Neha Chamaria has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Bank of America. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Why Brookfield Renewable Rallied More Than 11% in June https://earlybirdsinvest.com/why-brookfield-renewable-rallied-more-than-11-in-june/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/why-brookfield-renewable-rallied-more-than-11-in-june/#respond Mon, 07 Jul 2025 17:29:19 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/why-brookfield-renewable-rallied-more-than-11-in-june/

Shares of Brookfield Renewable (BEPC -0.53%) surged 11.5% in June, according to data provided by S&P Global Market Intelligence. There was no specific catalyst powering the renewable energy dividend stock last month. Instead, it jumped due to the overall rally in the stock market and its strong growth potential.

Increased optimism about what’s ahead

The S&P 500 (^GSPC -0.78%) rallied sharply last month, rising 5% as fears of a tariff-driven recession started to fade. After plunging in April, stocks have recovered over the past couple of months as the U.S. paused many of its tariffs while closing in on trade deals with several key partners. That eased the pressure on the economy and stock prices last month. The rally in the market helped lift shares of Brookfield Renewable.

Solar panels with the sun setting in the background.

Image source: Getty Images.

The renewable energy company is also riding the wave of surging electricity demand. Catalysts like artificial intelligence (AI) data centers, the onshoring of manufacturing, and the electrification of everything are driving robust demand for power around the world. The International Energy Agency expects global electricity demand from data centers to more than double by 2030 to around 945 terawatt-hours. That’s slightly more than the entire electricity consumption of Japan.

The robust demand for power, especially from clean energy sources like renewables, is benefiting Brookfield Renewable. It’s signing long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs) with companies to support its massive and growing backlog of development projects. For example, the company secured contracts to deliver an incremental 4.5 gigawatt-hours of power per year to customers during the first quarter. These PPAs support the company’s plans to scale its development capabilities to 10 GW per year by 2027, up from 8 GW this year.

Brookfield also continues to accelerate its growth by making acquisitions. It completed its acquisition of Neoen earlier this year. The deal adds 8 GW of operating or under construction wind, solar, and storage assets. In addition, Neoen has 20 GW of projects in its advanced-stage pipeline across Australia, France, and the Nordics.

The company also agreed to buy National Grid Renewables, a leading U.S. onshore renewable power operator and developer. That transaction will add 3.9 GW of operating or under construction assets, a 1-GW construction-ready portfolio, and over 30 GW of solar and energy storage development projects.

Is Brookfield Renewable still a buy after last month’s rally?

Brookfield Renewable expects rising power prices, development projects, and acquisitions to drive more than 10% annual growth in its funds from operations (FFO) per share over the next decade. That’s rapid growth for a company that also offers a high-yielding dividend (still over 4% after last month’s surge). That combination of growth and income still makes it look like a great long-term investment, even after last month’s rally.

Matt DiLallo has positions in Brookfield Renewable. The Motley Fool recommends Brookfield Renewable and National Grid Plc. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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June 2025 Work Progress: ERG, ZEPH Updates https://earlybirdsinvest.com/june-2025-work-progress-erg-zeph-updates/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/june-2025-work-progress-erg-zeph-updates/#respond Mon, 07 Jul 2025 17:02:09 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/june-2025-work-progress-erg-zeph-updates/

June Report

Zephyr Protocol v2.3.0 – Major Update

We are pleased to report the release of Zephyr Protocol v2.3.0, bringing a range of technical improvements and performance enhancements to the network.

Highlights:

  • New Zephyr CMake package simplifies setup and reduces reliance on environment variables.
  • Modern Devicetree API using hierarchical macros enables clean and structured hardware access in code.
  • Overhauled kernel timeout API prepares for future support of 64-bit and absolute timeouts.
  • New k_heap/sys_heap allocator offers major performance gains over previous memory pools.
  • Integration with the TF-M (Trusted Firmware-M) PSA-compliant framework enhances security architecture.
  • Bluetooth LE Host now supports Advertising Extensions for improved wireless functionality.
  • CMSIS-DSP library is now included and integrated for real-time signal processing tasks.

This release is a strong step forward in stability and performance for Zephyr developers and miners alike.

Zephyr Protocol Network Incident – June 15

On June 15, 2025, the Zephyr Protocol Network experienced a major disruption. The blockchain became desynchronized, resulting in a complete pause in mining operations.

Both the Zephyr Protocol development team and our pool engineers were immediately informed and began working on a resolution. The situation highlighted the importance of robust blockchain infrastructure, and we will continue to monitor for any follow-up issues. Thank you for your patience during the incident.

Ergo Protocol v6.0.0 – Soft-Fork Activation

The Ergo team has released Ergo Protocol Reference Client v6.0.0, introducing support for the long-awaited EIP-50 soft-fork.

Key Details:

More details on EIP-50 can be found in the official proposal: EIP-50 on GitHub.

Kaspa (KAS) Block Reward Reduction

As part of the Kaspa Tokenomics, Crescendo Hard Fork, and Emission Schedule, the block reward has been reduced once again.

  • Previous Block Reward: 5.50 KAS
  • New Block Reward: 5.19 KAS

Use 2CryptoCalc to adjust your mining expectations accordingly.

Karlsen (KLS) Block Reward Reduction

In accordance with the Karlsencoin Tokenomics and Emission Schedule, the Karlsen block reward has been reduced.

  • Previous Block Reward: 31.43 KLS
  • New Block Reward: 30.56 KLS

miner

Make sure to check 2CryptoCalc to evaluate updated mining profitability.

That wraps up the key updates for June 2025. Stay tuned via X (Twitter) and Telegram for the latest mining news. Happy mining!

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Why AI Stock Broadcom Crushed It in June https://earlybirdsinvest.com/why-ai-stock-broadcom-crushed-it-in-june/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/why-ai-stock-broadcom-crushed-it-in-june/#respond Sat, 05 Jul 2025 21:56:03 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/why-ai-stock-broadcom-crushed-it-in-june/

With a nearly 14% share price gain in June, Broadcom (AVGO 1.90%) was a clear stock market winner during the month. The initial boost came from the company’s impressive fiscal second-quarter 2025 results, which were reported near the start of June, and were subsequently compounded by an important product launch and a series of positive analyst takes on the stock.

Setting a new quarterly record

During that period, Broadcom managed to grow its revenue by a robust 20% year over year to just over $15 billion — a new quarterly record for the chipmaker. Better, its non-GAAP (adjusted) net income soared 44% higher to nearly $7.8 billion, or $1.58 per share.

Person in a white lab coat working with a circuit board.

Image source: Getty Images.

Although expectations were fairly high, with consensus analyst estimates sitting just below those figures, at $14.95 billion for revenue and $1.57 for per-share adjusted net income, investors ultimately traded up Broadcom stock on the news.

There were other reasons to be satisfied, after all. Broadcom’s rather sparse guidance called for roughly $15.8 billion in revenue for its current (third) quarter; like the trailing results, this is slightly ahead of the average pundit projection ($15.77 billion).

Much of Broadcom’s growth comes from its position as a prominent supplier of chips for artificial intelligence (AI) functionalities. This continues to be a white-hot segment of the tech industry, and the company said its AI-related revenue rose 46% in the second quarter to more than $4.4 billion. More growth is in store, most likely, as Broadcom forecasts this to rise to $5.1 billion in the third quarter.

Accordingly, the company has clearly prioritized the segment. Also, in June, it launched the Tomahawk 6 switch, a product designed to handle the comparatively more intense resource requirements of AI. This specialized hardware manages data traffic flowing through a network. We don’t yet have a solid indication of how the initial takeup of the Tomahawk was, but it’s sure to have been strong.

Banking on a bright future

The rise of AI is relentless and unstoppable, so it’s no surprise that Broadcom is a favored stock among investors and analysts alike. Some in the latter group of individuals were busy in June working up new takes on the company following that earnings report, and for the most part, these analyses were bullish.

One of the more hopeful ones came from HSBC. The bank’s Frank Lee upgraded his Broadcom recommendation from hold to buy and, in the process, more than doubled its price target to $400 per share from $240. Lee cited Broadcom’s strength in the application-specific integrated circuit (ASIC) category, an important one for (again) AI, as a key factor in his move.

HSBC Holdings is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Eric Volkman has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Broadcom and HSBC Holdings. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Why Netflix Stock Jumped 11% in June https://earlybirdsinvest.com/why-netflix-stock-jumped-11-in-june/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/why-netflix-stock-jumped-11-in-june/#respond Sat, 05 Jul 2025 04:28:17 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/why-netflix-stock-jumped-11-in-june/

Netflix (NFLX 0.92%) stock gained 11% in June, according to data provided by S&P Global Market Intelligence. It received several analyst upgrades, it made some celebrated announcements, and it also seems to be rising on the coattails of Apple‘s success with its hit film F1: The Movie.

The Trillion-dollar stock

Netflix has been having another moment. Despite tons of new competition and a changing streaming landscape, it has remained in the top streaming spot, which is a real feat. It speaks to the company’s excellent management and foresight, and it bodes well for the company’s future potential as it successfully adapts, changes, and leads.

In the 2025 first quarter, revenue increased 13% year over year, and operating income was up 27%. Operating margin improved from 28.1% to 33.3%, and earnings per share (EPS) increased from $5.28 to $7.03. The company has stopped reporting subscriber count, but it had more than 300 million paid subscribers at the end of 2024.

A boy looking at a screen.

Image source: Getty Images.

Ad revenue from its relatively new ad-supported tier is still a small portion of total revenue, but management is expecting it to double this year. It’s also guiding for “healthy” subscriber growth and some price increases, and it maintained its full-year guidance despite continued pressure in the environment, boosting market confidence.

The strong results and improving streaming have led to several recent analyst upgrades, and the stock is rising as a result. It’s also benefiting from an overall improving market, with the S&P 500 index up 5% last month.

Toward the end of June, Netflix stock surged on the day Apple’s new hit film, F1:The Movie, hit theaters. That suggests that streaming tech giants can produce theater-level quality films that can be hits at the box office. Netflix has had some limited theater runs, but it doesn’t seem to have plans to make this a major part of its model.

To top off the month, it got another round of applause after NASA announced that it would stream rocket launches on Netflix starting this summer.

Can Netflix stock go higher?

Management recently boasted that it believes it can reach a $1 trillion valuation by 2030. That implies nearly doubling — which may or may not happen — but Netflix has demonstrated resilience and innovation over many years, and it’s likely to keep changing with the times and offer value for shareholders.

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21Shares says June payroll surprise sets soft-landing stage that could catalyze Bitcoin beyond $200k https://earlybirdsinvest.com/21shares-says-june-payroll-surprise-sets-soft-landing-stage-that-could-catalyze-bitcoin-beyond-200k/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/21shares-says-june-payroll-surprise-sets-soft-landing-stage-that-could-catalyze-bitcoin-beyond-200k/#respond Thu, 03 Jul 2025 21:27:15 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/21shares-says-june-payroll-surprise-sets-soft-landing-stage-that-could-catalyze-bitcoin-beyond-200k/

June US employment data exceeded forecasts and sets a macro backdrop that could send Bitcoin (BTC) past $200,000, according to a research note from Matt Mena, crypto research strategist at 21Shares.

The Labor Department reported that non-farm payrolls increased by 147,000 in June, surpassing the consensus estimate of 110,000, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1% from 4.2%. Additionally, it came below the estimated 4.3%.

Mena writes that the numbers show “labor market strength without overheating,” a mix that supports the Federal Reserve’s slow-landing narrative. 

Futures tied to the federal funds rate now fully price a 25-basis-point cut at the September policy meeting, and the CME FedWatch Tool assigns roughly a 75% chance to that outcome.

With headline inflation tracking 2.4%, Mena argues that the Fed “has room to act,” primarily as political pressure builds. The pressure comes mainly from President Donald Trump’s letter urging a return to a 1% terminal rate.

Liquidity channels and market response

Rate-cut expectations are filtering into risk assets. Mena notes that S&P 500 futures are “flirting with all-time highs” near 6,300, while Bitcoin trades between $108,000 and $110,000 on July 3 and “waits for a catalyst.” 

As of press time, BTC is priced at $109,518.14, representing a nearly 1% increase in the past 24 hours.

Mena noted that Bitcoin’s share of total crypto market value has slipped to 62%, down 3% in recent days. He views this as an early sign of capital rotating into altcoins. 

He links the shift to greater liquidity prospects with congressional progress on the Market Structure Bill and the GENIUS Act, legislation he says could help dampen regulatory uncertainty and widen institutional participation.

Path to $200,000

Mena connected the data chain with a broader context that can propel Bitcoin towards the $200,000 threshold. He mentioned that steady but non-inflationary job growth paves the way for Fed easing, lower policy rates, and liquidity release. 

Historically, fresh capital is first allocated to Bitcoin and then to altcoins. In that sequence, he writes, “the runway is forming” for a push through the previous cycle’s high. 

The strategist sees the $200,000 mark as “a decisive breakout level” rather than a cycle peak, adding that altcoins could outperform once Bitcoin establishes a new range.

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Why Meta Platforms Stock Jumped 14% in June https://earlybirdsinvest.com/why-meta-platforms-stock-jumped-14-in-june/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/why-meta-platforms-stock-jumped-14-in-june/#respond Thu, 03 Jul 2025 17:38:29 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/why-meta-platforms-stock-jumped-14-in-june/

Shares of Meta Platforms (META 0.73%) were moving higher again in June as the social media giant benefited from the broader uptrend in the stock market, and investors reacted to Meta’s deal to take a 49% stake in Scale AI, a data-labeling start-up, for $14 billion.

By the end of the month, Meta stock had finished up 14%, according to data from S&P Global Market Intelligence.

As you can see from the chart, the stock gained in two separate stages, in the beginning and end of the month.

META Chart

META data by YCharts

Meta pushes deeper into AI

Meta’s ambitions in AI became clearer last month as the company made a splash with the Scale AI deal. The move gives the company near-50% ownership of a promising AI start-up, and also brings Scale AI founder Alexandr Wang into the Meta fold. Wang will head up a new research lab working on superintelligence.

Additionally, other news reports emerged about Meta’s poaching AI talent from OpenAI, and it also reportedly tried to buy Perplexity, the AI search-focused start-up now valued at $14 billion, as well as Safe Superintelligence, another AI start-up. Finally, the company is considering raising $29 billion to fund its data center expansion push as part of its AI ambitions.

Early in the month, Meta also signed a 20-year power purchase agreement with Constellation Energy, showing its commitment to securing an adequate source of energy as AI needs grow.

On the device front, the company also introduced Oakley Meta glasses, which it called a new category of Performance AI glasses, featuring a built-in camera, open-ear speakers, and water resistance.

Meanwhile, the stock also benefited from cooling tensions around the trade war, as well as solid economic data showing the job market continuing to expand and inflation remaining in check.

Since nearly all the company’s revenue comes from digital advertising, the business is sensitive to the broader economy, so signs of continued growth are good for Meta.

A person on social media on their laptop and smartphone.

Image source: Getty Images.

What’s next for Meta?

Meta’s price-to-earnings ratio has risen to 28 following last month’s gains, but that still looks like a fair price to pay for a stock that dominates the social media sector, has a huge competitive advantage in digital advertising, and is investing heavily into its strong AI division.

We’ll hear from Meta at the end of the month when it reports second-quarter earnings. Analysts are expecting another strong quarter, with revenue increasing 14% to $44.55 billion and earnings per share rising from $5.16 to $5.84. If Meta can maintain that kind of growth, the stock should continue to move higher.

Randi Zuckerberg, a former director of market development and spokeswoman for Facebook and sister to Meta Platforms CEO Mark Zuckerberg, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Jeremy Bowman has positions in Meta Platforms. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Constellation Energy and Meta Platforms. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Crypto VC funding drops 22% in Q2 despite strong June finish https://earlybirdsinvest.com/crypto-vc-funding-drops-22-in-q2-despite-strong-june-finish/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/crypto-vc-funding-drops-22-in-q2-despite-strong-june-finish/#respond Thu, 03 Jul 2025 05:07:50 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/crypto-vc-funding-drops-22-in-q2-despite-strong-june-finish/

Venture capital funding directed towards crypto startups totaled $4.5 billion during the second quarter, down 22% versus the previous three months.

According to DefiLlama data, the breakdown of the second quarter shows monthly flows of roughly $1.29 billion in April, $624 million in May, and $2.5 billion in June. 

June’s figure is over 4x larger than May’s funding and ranked as the second-largest month of 2025, trailing only March’s $3.5 billion surge that was driven by Binance’s $2 billion MGX investment.

Despite the late-quarter rebound, the combined amount for the second quarter could not match the nearly $6 billion invested in crypto startups between January and March.

Nevertheless, it is still double the amount of venture capital money flowing into crypto in last year’s second quarter.

Stand-out Q2 transactions

Large cheques remained selective in the second quarter. Twenty One Capital received $585 million, the largest funding round of the previous quarter.

Furthermore, Eigen Labs received $70 million from Andreessen Horowitz’s a16z, which purchased additional EIGEN tokens.

Other significant funding rounds from the second quarter include Hypernative’s $40 million round and Symbiotic’s $29 million.

While the deal count slipped to multi-year lows in May, at just 62 rounds, the quarter’s median round size remained above $10 million, indicating that investors continued to fund later-stage and infrastructure projects.

Sector mix and geographic notes

DeFi infrastructure, restaking, and AI-linked middleware captured the largest tickets, mirroring the public market’s narrative rotation.

North American companies attracted the majority of the raises last quarter, primarily due to larger Series B and later rounds of funding. At the same time, early-stage activity in Asia and the Middle East edged higher in token-focused seed deals.

Despite the slower pace of funding registered in the previous quarter, the year-to-date total of roughly $10.3 billion already exceeds the full-year figure of $9.6 billion for 2024.

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