Jobs – Earlybirds Invest https://earlybirdsinvest.com Latest Crypto News Sun, 07 Sep 2025 02:37:48 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.9.9 https://i0.wp.com/earlybirdsinvest.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/cropped-New-Project-2024-12-17T235703.455.png?fit=32%2C32&ssl=1 Jobs – Earlybirds Invest https://earlybirdsinvest.com 32 32 240146708 Bitcoin Stays Below $112K After Tough Jobs Report and Fed Cut Bets. What Next? https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-stays-below-112k-after-tough-jobs-report-and-fed-cut-bets-what-next/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-stays-below-112k-after-tough-jobs-report-and-fed-cut-bets-what-next/#respond Sun, 07 Sep 2025 02:37:47 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-stays-below-112k-after-tough-jobs-report-and-fed-cut-bets-what-next/

Bad news has just been bad news over the past 24 hours. Friday’s weak U.S. jobs report bolstered bets on deeper Fed cuts, but bitcoin hasn’t played along.

The leading cryptocurrency by market value remains heavy below $112,000, instead of rallying on the prospect of easier monetary policy as many had anticipated. The inability to find upside suggests potential for a deeper sell-off ahead.

NFP shock

Job seekers had a tough time in August as the nonfarm payrolls revealed just 22,000 job additions, significantly less than the Dow Jones’ projection of 75,000. The report also revised lower the combined job creation over June and July by 21,000. Notably, the revised June figure showed a net loss of 13,000.

Nine sectors, including manufacturing, construction, wholesale trade, and professional services, registered job losses, while health services and leisure and hospitality were bright spots.

The Kobeissi Letter called the jobs report “absolutely insane.” The newsletter service described the downward revisions in prior months as a sign of a broken system and the labour market entering recession territory.

Following the jobs data, the probability of a Fed rate cut at the Sept. 17 meeting surged to 100%, and the odds of a 50-basis-point cut jumped to 12%. The likelihood of additional rate cuts in November and December also increased, sending Treasury yields lower.

The upcoming revisions to earlier jobs reports are expected to add fuel to the rate cut bets. “The BLS will announce annual benchmark revisions on Tuesday, and they are expected to point to even weaker job growth earlier. Some surveys suggest between 500k and 1 mln jobs could be revised away,” Bannockburn Global Forex’s Managing Director and Chief Market Strategist, Marc Chandler said in a market update.

BTC’s double top is intact; volatility in Treasury yields may rise

Bitcoin briefly rallied on hopes of a Fed rate cut and softer yields, reaching a high of over $113,300. But the bounce quickly faded, with prices slipping back under $111,982 — the double‑top neckline.

Failing to retake that level underscored the late August double top breakdown and validates the bearish setup, keeping downside risks in focus. Prices crossing below the Ichimoku cloud further validates the bearish outlook, as Brent Donnelly, president of Spectra Markets, noted in a market update.

BTC's daily chart. (TradingView/CoinDesk)

BTC’s daily chart. (TradingView/CoinDesk)

The first line of support is located around $101,700, which corresponds to the 200-day simple moving average (SMA). The latest double top breakdown in bitcoin closely mirrors the one from February this year, which led to a significant multi-week sell-off that pushed prices down to around $75,000.

The double top is a bearish reversal chart formation that occurs after an asset has experienced an uptrend. It forms when the price reaches a high point (the first peak), then pulls back to a support level called the neckline. The price then rises again but fails to surpass the first peak, creating a second peak at roughly the same level. The pattern is confirmed when the price breaks below the neckline, signaling that the previous uptrend has lost momentum and a downtrend may follow.

Treasury yields may turn volatile

The bearish technical outlook, presented by the latest double top breakdown, is reinforced by the possibility of a pickup in volatility in Treasury yields, which often leads to financial tightening.

The volatility could pick up in the coming days, as the impending Fed rate cuts could initially send the 10-year yield lower in a positive development for BTC and risk assets. That said, the downside looks limited and could be quickly reversed, much like what happened in late 2024.

Last year, from September through December, the 10-year yield actually rose, even as the Fed began cutting rates, reversing earlier declines that had occurred in the lead-up to September. The 10-year yield bottomed out at 3.6% in mid-September 2024 and then rose to 4.80% by mid-January.

While the labour market today appears significantly weaker than last year, inflation is relatively higher, and fiscal spending continues unabated, both of which mean that the yield could surge following the September rate cut.

“Why the 10yr yield rose from September through December 2024 is open to interpretation, but there was an underpinning of macro resilience, sticky-ish inflation and lots of talk on fiscal largesse as a medium-term risk. This time around, granted, worries on the economy are more intense. But offsetting this are ongoing fiscal concerns, and quite a different inflation dynamic,” analysts at ING said in a note to clients.

August CPI data due next week

When the Fed cut rates last September, the U.S. consumer price index was well below 3%. Since then, it has edged back up to 3%. More importantly, the August CPI data, due next week, is likely to provide further evidence of inflation stickiness.

According to Wells Fargo, the core CPI is likely to have risen by 0.3%, keeping the year-over-year rate at 3.1%. Meanwhile, the headline CPI is forecast to have risen 0.3% month-over-month and 2.9% year-over-year.

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Here’s how a weak jobs report could spell gains for crypto https://earlybirdsinvest.com/heres-how-a-weak-jobs-report-could-spell-gains-for-crypto/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/heres-how-a-weak-jobs-report-could-spell-gains-for-crypto/#respond Sat, 06 Sep 2025 13:16:17 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/heres-how-a-weak-jobs-report-could-spell-gains-for-crypto/

The August jobs report is in, and depending on your perspective, it’s either worrying or the next big catalyst for crypto. While economists were expecting jobless claims of 230,000, the reality arrived at 237,000. Job openings also missed the mark, coming in at 7.18 million versus the projected 7.38 million.

Along with July’s figures, the August jobs report confirms softness in the labor market, which is bad news for the economy but could lead to the keenly-awaited rate cut the crypto industry has been waiting for.

Why a weak jobs report is good news for crypto

So how does a slowing job market translate into crypto optimism? The link lies in the Federal Reserve’s next move. Weaker employment stats put more pressure on the Fed to cut interest rates.

When rates go down, borrowing across the board gets cheaper (think home mortgages, business loans, and yes, margin for crypto traders). This monetary loosening encourages greater risk-taking, new investments, and asset speculation, all of which are rocket fuel for crypto prices.

Sometimes it’s easy to forget, but crypto is more “macro” than most people think. Bitcoin and its siblings thrive in “risk-on” environments when investors are less anxious about the cost of borrowing and put that cash into something volatile or speculative. As soon as rate cuts look likely, traders pivot out of safer assets like bonds and chase growth, tech, and, increasingly, digital assets.

According to CME Group’s FedWatch tool, the odds of a September rate cut now sit at 97.4% after the jobs report numbers dropped. As crypto markets newsletter The Milk Road put it:

“Jerome Powell might as well pack scissors for September’s FOMC meeting.”

The market is practically begging for easier money, and crypto loves it when money is easy.

Will this setup kick off Uptober?

Seasonality also has a role to play. For the uninitiated, “Uptober” is the crypto world’s nickname for October, when digital assets (traditionally led by Bitcoin) tend to rally. Why? Some of it is technical, some is psychology, but it’s become a self-fulfilling trend: analysts and traders expect prices to climb once summer’s sluggishness is out of the way. If you layer a likely rate cut over this historical uptrend, the argument for a bullish Q4 gets stronger.

Of course, it’s not all upside. Fed rate cuts can and do increase inflation. The idea is simple: cheaper credit means more spending; more spending, especially if supply chains remain tight, means higher prices. But the Fed’s balancing act means this tradeoff is sometimes considered worth it, especially if it keeps more people employed, even if the dollar is slightly weaker. As The Milk Road notes:

“That’s the balancing game the Fed is forever playing.”

Crypto investors are particularly sensitive to these shifts because inflation has both positive and negative effects on digital assets. On the one hand, inflation can erode trust in fiat currencies, pushing more investors toward Bitcoin’s hard limit of 21 million coins.

On the other hand, unchecked inflation can also lead to policy instability and market volatility, which is never a friendly environment for speculative investments.

With the August jobs report confirming a cooling labor market, the narrative is clear: the environment is risk-on and might just spell gains for crypto.

Mentioned in this article
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What a weak August jobs report tells us about the state of the economy https://earlybirdsinvest.com/what-a-weak-august-jobs-report-tells-us-about-the-state-of-the-economy/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/what-a-weak-august-jobs-report-tells-us-about-the-state-of-the-economy/#respond Sat, 06 Sep 2025 00:13:15 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/what-a-weak-august-jobs-report-tells-us-about-the-state-of-the-economy/

This story appeared in The Logoff, a daily newsletter that helps you stay informed about the Trump administration without letting political news take over your life. Subscribe here.

Welcome to The Logoff: The Bureau of Labor Statistics released its monthly jobs report this morning, and the numbers aren’t looking good for the US economy, or President Donald Trump’s tariffs scheme.

What happened in the US economy last month? The US added just 22,000 jobs in August, according to the BLS, while unemployment reached 4.3 percent — its highest rate in years, though only a small increase from the month before.

Not only is 22,000 jobs far fewer than the 75,000 that had been predicted, but new revisions to data from previous months are making the economic picture look even worse: Rather than adding jobs in June, the BLS said Friday, the US lost 13,000 jobs.

Why does the jobs report matter? The jobs report is a closely watched indicator of the broader health of the US economy, and Friday’s flagging numbers are the latest sign that all is not well, especially as Trump’s tariffs, which took effect in early August, start to have a greater impact.

Friday’s report is particularly noteworthy given how Trump reacted to last month’s report, which also made substantial downward revisions to jobs numbers for May and June. Trump attacked the report’s accuracy and fired the director of the BLS, Erika McEntarfer. To replace her, he nominated E.J. Antoni, a deeply underqualified right-wing economist (who may have difficulty getting confirmed by the Senate).

What does this mean going forward? This is the second consecutive jobs report that has delivered bad news; a clearer picture of an economy in trouble, with no clear respite on the horizon, is starting to emerge. New inflation data next week could be yet more bad news if tariffs drive prices higher, as expected.

The one bright spot for Trump is that he’s now more likely to get the rate cut he’s been looking — and agitating — for when the Federal Reserve meets later this month, as the central bank responds to a slumping economy.

And with that, it’s time to log off…

I’m looking forward to the new season of The Great British Bake Off, which returns today in the US. This New Yorker story, from former contestant Ruby Tandoh, is a delightful look at what it’s like to be on the show, from the application process to the tent itself. You can read it here, but fair warning: You might leave the piece craving a sweet treat. Have a great weekend and we’ll see you back here on Monday!

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Shocking 22k US jobs report fuels $113k Bitcoin as rate cut odds explode https://earlybirdsinvest.com/shocking-22k-us-jobs-report-fuels-113k-bitcoin-as-rate-cut-odds-explode/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/shocking-22k-us-jobs-report-fuels-113k-bitcoin-as-rate-cut-odds-explode/#respond Fri, 05 Sep 2025 15:27:05 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/shocking-22k-us-jobs-report-fuels-113k-bitcoin-as-rate-cut-odds-explode/

Bitcoin rose above $113,000 on Friday as U.S. payrolls increased by 22,000 and the unemployment rate ticked up to 4.3 percent, pushing traders to price a September Federal Reserve rate cut with near certainty.

Per the Bureau of Labor Statistics release, private employers added 38,000 jobs, government payrolls fell by 16,000 and manufacturing lost 12,000.

Average hourly earnings rose 0.3 percent on the month and 3.7 percent on the year, the labor force participation rate edged up to 62.3 percent and average weekly hours held at 34.2. The U-6 underemployment rate reached 8.1 percent.

Bitcoin traded above the $113,000 level during the session while hovering just below that mark on real-time charts.

The weak headline gain followed a week of incremental softening across higher-frequency indicators. Initial jobless claims rose by 8,000 to a seasonally adjusted 237,000, while private-sector payroll growth in the ADP series cooled, reinforcing evidence of slower hiring, according to Trading Economics data

Separately, the services side of the economy improved but showed persistent price pressure: the ISM Services PMI firmed in August, new orders advanced, and the prices-paid index eased only slightly to a still-elevated 69.2.

On costs, the Labor Department revised second-quarter nonfarm productivity up to a 3.3 percent annualized pace and unit labor costs down to 1.0 percent, a combination that supports disinflation at the margin.

Trade flows added another piece to the macro picture. The U.S. goods and services deficit widened to $78.3 billion in July as imports rebounded, the largest gap since early spring, per the latest joint release from the Bureau of Economic Analysis and Census Bureau. That pattern points to resilient domestic demand and front-loading related to tariff policy, even as hiring momentum slows.

Rate expectations adjusted quickly after the August payrolls figures. Futures implied probabilities tracked by the CME FedWatch Tool showed markets treating a September reduction as a base case, with some chance of a larger move discussed in rates commentary during the trading day.

The chance of a 50bps cut sat at 0% yesterday but has now jumped to 12%, while the 3.6% chance of no cut has evaporated to 0%.

The setup is straightforward for crypto: a softer labor market and contained wage growth raise the probability of easier policy, which has historically supported liquidity conditions that can lift risk assets, including Bitcoin.

The mix of slower hiring, firm services demand, and improving productivity leaves the policy debate finely balanced heading into the September 16–17 meeting.

If service inflation pressure, captured in ISM prices, moderates alongside cooling labor conditions and lower unit labor costs, the Fed has room to begin a measured easing cycle, a backdrop that crypto markets have already started to discount.

The committee’s decision will finalize the near-term path for dollar liquidity and duration, and by extension, the tone for digital asset trading into quarter-end.

The Fed meets September 16–17.

Bitcoin Market Data

At the time of press 3:21 pm UTC on Sep. 5, 2025, Bitcoin is ranked #1 by market cap and the price is up 1.61% over the past 24 hours. Bitcoin has a market capitalization of $2.23 trillion with a 24-hour trading volume of $54.3 billion. Learn more about Bitcoin ›

Crypto Market Summary

At the time of press 3:21 pm UTC on Sep. 5, 2025, the total crypto market is valued at at $3.85 trillion with a 24-hour volume of $148.51 billion. Bitcoin dominance is currently at 57.87%. Learn more about the crypto market ›

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Bitcoin Faces Jobs Test as Tether Considers Gold Mining: Crypto Daybook Americas https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-faces-jobs-test-as-tether-considers-gold-mining-crypto-daybook-americas/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-faces-jobs-test-as-tether-considers-gold-mining-crypto-daybook-americas/#respond Fri, 05 Sep 2025 12:48:52 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-faces-jobs-test-as-tether-considers-gold-mining-crypto-daybook-americas/

By Omkar Godbole (All times ET unless indicated otherwise)

As both traditional and crypto markets await the U.S. nonfarm payrolls data, some unrelated news hit the wires, underscoring gold’s appeal as a universal haven.

The Financial Times reported that Tether, the issuer of world’s largest dollar-pegged stablecoin, is considering a serious play in the gold industry. CEO Paolo Ardoino has said the metal is safer than any government currency, calling it a perfect complement to bitcoin.

If the report, which cited people familiar with the talks, comes to fruition, it could mean crypto is about to become a bigger part of gold’s reflexive bullish cycle. The precious metal is already soaking up strong bids globally as sticky inflation, fiscal headaches and concerns over central bank independence weigh on investor. Countries are trimming their U.S. Treasury holdings and scooping up gold as a safer, sanctions-proof haven.

Tether’s interest could also boost the appeal of Tether Gold , which is issued by its affiliate company TG Commodities. Each XAUT represents ownership of one fine troy ounce of physical gold and was recently price around $3,560.

Meanwhile, the prospects for bitcoin , ether (ETH) and the wider crypto market are likely to be determined by the jobs report.

“A weak print will cement expectations for a 25bps rate cut, likely softening the dollar and easing Treasury yields, which will be positive for risk assets, including crypto,” Timothy Misir, head of research at BRN, said in an email. “But the real risk is a strong report: even a modest upside surprise could unwind dovish positioning, send yields higher, and pressure BTC and ETH back toward their support levels.”

In other key news, institutional activity points to interest broadening beyond BTC and ETH. DeFi Development Corp. recently bought over 196,000 Solana tokens, establishing a treasury worth some $427 million. And Thumzup Media, backed by Donald Trump Jr., said it acquired $1 million of BTC, along with new purchases of DOGE, LTC, SOL and XRP.

In traditional markets, the MOVE index spiked, signaling increased volatility in U.S. Treasury yields, which could lead to financial tightening and weigh on risk assets. Stay alert!

What to Watch

  • Crypto
  • Macro
    • Sept. 5, 8 a.m.: The Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE) releases July producer price inflation data.
      • PPI MoM Prev. -1.25%
      • PPI YoY Prev. 3.24%
    • Sept. 5, 8:30 a.m.: The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics releases August employment data.
      • Nonfarm Payrolls Est. 75K vs. Prev. 73K
      • Unemployment Rate Est. 4.3% vs. Prev. 4.2%
      • Government Payrolls Prev. -10K
      • Manufacturing Payrolls Est. -5K vs. Prev. -11K
    • Sept. 5, 8:30 a.m.: Statistics Canada releases August employment data.
      • Unemployment Rate Est. 7% vs. Prev. 6.9%
      • Employment Change Est. 7.5K vs. Prev. -40.8K
    • Sept. 5: S&P 500 Rebalance update released after market close. Strategy (MSTR) is one of the companies being considered for inclusion in the index.
    • Sept. 5, 7 p.m.: Colombia’s National Administrative Department of Statistics releases August consumer price inflation data.
      • Inflation Rate MoM Est. 0.2% vs. Prev. 0.28%
      • Inflation Rate YoY Est. 5.11% vs. Prev. 4.9%
    • Sept. 5, 7 p.m.: El Salvador’s Statistics and Census Office releases August consumer price inflation data.
      • Inflation Rate MoM Prev. 0.33%
      • Inflation Rate YoY Prev. -0.14%
  • Earnings (Estimates based on FactSet data)
    • Sept. 9: GameStop (GME), post-market, $0.19

Token Events

  • Governance votes & calls
    • Uniswap DAO is voting on deploying Uniswap v3 on Ronin with $1M in RON and $500K in UNI incentives to make it the chain’s primary decentralized exchange. Voting ends Sept. 6.
    • Lido DAO is voting on a proposal to migrate Nethermind’s ~7,000 Ethereum validators to infrastructure operated by Twinstake, a staking provider co-founded by Nethermind. Voting ends Sept. 8.
    • Uniswap DAO is voting to establish “DUNI,” a Wyoming DUNA as its legal entity, preserving decentralized governance while enabling off-chain operations and liability protections, with $16.5M in UNI for legal/tax budgets and $75K UNI for compliance. Voting ends Sept. 8.
    • Uniswap DAO is voting on an updated Unichain-USDS Growth Plan to accelerate adoption through performance-based incentives and DAO-guided distribution. The proposal introduces minimum KPIs, a “no result, no reward” model. Voting ends Sept. 9.
  • Unlocks
    • Sept. 9: Sonic (S) to unlock 5.02% of its circulating supply worth $46.02 million.
    • Sept. 11: Aptos to unlock 2.2% of its circulating supply worth $48.86 million.
    • Sept. 15: Starknet (STRK) to unlock 5.98% of its circulating supply worth $15.66 million.
    • Sept. 15: Sei to unlock 1.18% of its circulating supply worth $16.01 million.
    • Sept. 16: Arbitrum to unlock 2.03% of its circulating supply worth $46.05 million.
  • Token Launches
    • Sept. 5: WORLDSHARDS (SHARDS) to be listed on Binance Alpha, MEXC, Gate.io and others.
    • Sept. 5: Boost (BOOST) to be listed on Binance Alpha, Bitget, MEXC, BitMart, and others.
    • Sept. 8: Openledger (OPEN) to be listed on Binance Alpha, MEXC and others.
    • Sept. 8: OlaXBT (AIO) to be listed on Binance Alpha and others.

Conferences

The CoinDesk Policy & Regulation Conference (formerly known as State of Crypto) is a one-day boutique event held in Washington on Sept. 10 that allows general counsels, compliance officers and regulatory executives to meet with public officials responsible for crypto legislation and regulatory oversight. Space is limited. Use code CDB15 for 15% off your registration.

Token Talk

By Oliver Knight

  • The memecoin sector had shown signs of fading earlier this year, particularly after the short-lived hype cycles around tokens like TRUMP and MELANIA in January. Those launches briefly captured attention, but failed to sustain momentum, reinforcing the perception that the memecoin trade was exhausted after 2023’s frenzy.
  • Both subsequently slumped. TRUMP is now 88% lower and and MELANIA is down 95% despite being touted by the U.S. president and first lady in January.
  • However, there’s a new kid on the block: MemeCore, a layer-1 blockchain solely focused on transitioning memecoins from speculative assets to something that has utility in decentralized finance (DeFi).
  • The platform’s native token, M, has risen by 261% in the past week despite a wider market pullback.
  • The flurry of activity can also be tied to the MemeX liquidity festival, which offers $5.7 million in rewards to traders. It’s worth noting that 85% of the trading volume has taken place on decentralized exchange PancakeSwap, indicating significant retail flows as opposed to on-chain utility.
  • While some may argue this is just another flash in the pan, the surge demonstrates just how quickly memecoin sentiment can shift.
  • The positive sentiment around MemeCore could find a way of moving back to Solana-based memecoin platform Pump.fun, whose $15.8 million in daily revenue in January has tumbled to between $1.5 million and $2.5 million this week.

Derivatives Positioning

  • Ether’s open interest in USDT and dollar-denominated perpetual contracts on major exchanges declined to 1.93 million ETH, a four-week low. This capital outflow raises questions about the sustainability of ETH’s nearly 18% gain over the period.
  • Except for LINK and BTC, open interest declined across the top 10 tokens. OI in major Solana perpetuals slipped below 11 million SOL, threatening to invalidate the four-week uptrend.
  • BTC futures activity on the CME remains subdued, but options are heating up, with open interest rising to 47.23K BTC, the highest since April. The notional OI has risen to $5.21 billion, the most since November. Some traders have been buying cheap out-of-the-money puts, prepping for a potential hotter-than-expected U.S. nonfarm payrolls (NFP) report.
  • Consistent with trends on offshore exchanges, Ether’s futures open interest on the CME slipped below 2 million ETH, while the three-month annualized premium rose from 5% to 7%.
  • On Deribit, BTC puts continue to trade at a premium to calls across all tenors, pointing to downside concerns.
  • The seven-day volatility risk premium has retraced nearly to zero, suggesting that the implied volatility for seven days is now roughly equal to the realized volatility. In other words, investors aren’t expecting a premium to hedge against future volatility spikes, despite the U.S. jobs data due later today.
  • In ETH’s case, puts are trading at a premium to calls out to the end-November expiry.
  • Block flows on the OTC desk at Paradigm have been mixed, with a BTC $116K call lifted alongside an ether $4K put.

Market Movements

  • BTC is up 1.71% from 4 p.m. ET Thursday at $112,306.62 (24hrs: +1.4%)
  • ETH is up 2.14 at $4,398.33 (24hrs: -0.19%)
  • CoinDesk 20 is up 1.85% at 4,050.32 (24hrs: +0.28%)
  • Ether CESR Composite Staking Rate is up 1 bps at 2.88%
  • BTC funding rate is at 0.0015% (1.6425% annualized) on KuCoin
CoinDesk 20 members’ performance
  • DXY is down 0.35% at 98.00
  • Gold futures are unchanged at $3,609.80
  • Silver futures are unchanged at $41.42
  • Nikkei 225 closed up 1.03% at 43,018.75
  • Hang Seng closed up 1.43% at 25,417.98
  • FTSE is up 0.26% at 9,241.13
  • Euro Stoxx 50 is up 0.18% at 5,356.16
  • DJIA closed on Thursday up 0.77% at 45,621.29
  • S&P 500 closed up 0.83% at 6,502.08
  • Nasdaq Composite closed up 0.98% at 21,707.69
  • S&P/TSX Composite closed up 0.57% at 28,915.89
  • S&P 40 Latin America closed up 0.49% at 2,770.29
  • U.S. 10-Year Treasury rate is down 1.5 bps at 4.161%
  • E-mini S&P 500 futures are up 0.21% at 6,524.25
  • E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures are up 0.5% at 23,787.25
  • E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average Index are unchanged at 45,664.00

Bitcoin Stats

  • BTC Dominance: 58.73% (unchanged)
  • Ether to bitcoin ratio: 0.03914 (0.82%)
  • Hashrate (seven-day moving average): 973 EH/s
  • Hashprice (spot): $52.48
  • Total Fees: 4.86 BTC / $537,022
  • CME Futures Open Interest: 133,775 BTC
  • BTC priced in gold: 31.6 oz
  • BTC vs gold market cap: 8.92%

Technical Analysis

ETH/BTC's weekly chart. (TradingView/CoinDesk)

ETH/BTC’s weekly chart. (TradingView/CoinDesk)

  • The ether-bitcoin (ETH) ratio is looking to top the Ichimoku cloud on the weekly chart. Crossovers above the cloud are said to confirm a bullish shift in momentum.
  • The pair has already topped the descending trendline, characterizing the three-year-long downward trend.

Crypto Equities

  • Coinbase Global (COIN): closed on Thursday at $306.80 (+1.49%), +1.53% at $311.49 in pre-market
  • Circle (CRCL): closed at $117.49 (-0.82%), +0.54%% at $118.12
  • Galaxy Digital (GLXY): closed at $22.91 (-6.07%), +1.27% at $23.20
  • Bullish (BLSH): closed at $49.01 (-9.68%), +1.27%% at $49.63
  • MARA Holdings (MARA): closed at $15.11 (-4.91%), +1.52% at $15.34
  • Riot Platforms (RIOT): closed at $13.16 (-2.16%), +1.98% at $13.42
  • Core Scientific (CORZ): closed at $113.62 (+0.29%)
  • CleanSpark (CLSK): closed at $9.08 (-3.81%), +1.1% at $9.18
  • CoinShares Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners ETF (WGMI): closed at $29.17 (-4.98%)
  • Exodus Movement (EXOD): closed at $29.17 (-0.08%), +2.84% at $25.00

Crypto Treasury Companies

  • Strategy (MSTR): closed at $327.59 (-0.81%), +2.2% at $334.86
  • Semler Scientific (SMLR): closed at $13.62 (+0.29%)
  • SharpLink Gaming (SBET): closed at $15.43 (-8.26%), +2.53% at $15.82
  • Upexi (UPXI): closed at $6.33 (-4.52%), +2.69% at $6.50
  • Mei Pharma (MEIP): closed at $4.27 (-5.74%), +1.87% at $4.35

ETF Flows

Spot BTC ETFs

  • Daily net flows: -$222.9 million
  • Cumulative net flows: $54.63 billion
  • Total BTC holdings ~1.29 million

Spot ETH ETFs

  • Daily net flows: -$167.3 million
  • Cumulative net flows: $13.19 billion
  • Total ETH holdings ~6.52 million

Source: Farside Investors

Chart of the Day

Pump.fun's PUMP purchases. (fees.pump.fun)

Pump.fun’s PUMP purchases. (fees.pump.fun)

  • The chart shows the Solana memecoin launchpad Pump.fun’s purchases of its native token, PUMP.
  • The platform snapped up $12,192,383 in PUMP tokens last week, offsetting the total circulating supply by over 5%.

While You Were Sleeping

  • Stablecoin Group Tether Holds Talks to Invest in Gold Miners (Financial Times): Tether, which already holds $8.7 billion in gold bars, is considering investments across the gold supply chain, with its CEO saying the metal is a complement to bitcoin.
  • Bitcoin Bulls Should Keep an Eye Out for Spike In Key Bond Market Index (CoinDesk): The recent sharp rise in the MOVE index, a key gauge of volatility in U.S. Treasuries, often signals tighter liquidity, which curbs demand for risk assets such as bitcoin.
  • Bitcoin Hits $113K as BTC Dominance Approaches Two-Week High of 59% (CoinDesk): Bitcoin’s move came as $3.28 billion in options expired at 08:00 UTC on Deribit near Friday’s $112,000 “max pain” point, where options buyers face the biggest losses.
  • Hong Kong’s Digital Bond Market Gains Steam With Fresh Offerings (Bloomberg): Digital bonds, debt securities that use the blockchain for issuance, trading and settlement, are gaining traction in Hong Kong, with the government offering subsidies of up to HK$2.5 million ($320,500) per offering.
  • Venezuelan Military Aircraft Fly Near U.S. Warship in ‘Provocative Move’, Pentagon Says (Reuters): Venezuela’s action followed two days after a U.S. strike on a Venezuelan boat allegedly carrying narcotics killed 11, an act criticized by some legal scholars and one Democratic congresswoman.
  • Bitcoin Crash Brewing? Trader Plans Bids at $94K, $82K for Potential Market Freakout (CoinDesk): The president of Spectra Markets sees bitcoin at an inflection point, citing fading bullish drivers, a bearish double top and halving cycle history as reasons for placing bids at $94,000 and $82,000.

In the Ether

So that there's no confusion about the  @coinbase  approach to patent extortion, allow me to confirm how we do things
Stablecoins just had another record month.
The Ripple Swell 2025 agenda is live!
Solana: 0 to $100B+ in less than five years.
U.S. Treasury just bought $2 Billion of its own debt

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AI Is Squeezing Out Entry-Level Jobs, New Stanford Study Finds https://earlybirdsinvest.com/ai-is-squeezing-out-entry-level-jobs-new-stanford-study-finds/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/ai-is-squeezing-out-entry-level-jobs-new-stanford-study-finds/#respond Thu, 28 Aug 2025 20:42:27 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/ai-is-squeezing-out-entry-level-jobs-new-stanford-study-finds/

A recent study from Stanford University offers new insight into how artificial intelligence (AI) is affecting the job market.

The research, based on employment data from payroll company ADP, examined how jobs in fields more likely to be influenced by AI have changed.

The study found that people just starting their careers are being impacted the most. Since 2022, job opportunities for young workers in AI-sensitive roles have decreased by 13%. In comparison, older workers in the same fields have not seen the same kind of decline.

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For those just starting out in fields like customer support and software development, job numbers fell by about 20% between late 2022 and mid-2025. However, for more experienced workers doing similar jobs, employment actually increased.

Other areas affected similarly include accounting, administrative support, programming, and sales. Across these types of jobs, people aged 22 to 25 saw a 6% drop in employment. In contrast, older employees in the same industries experienced growth between 6% and 9%.

One reason for this trend may be that newer workers tend to rely more on the type of information that AI systems are also trained on.

On the other hand, more experienced employees often have practical knowledge gained over time. These skills, such as effective communication, decision-making, or work-specific insights, are more difficult for AI to copy.

On August 19, Microsoft’s head of artificial intelligence (AI), Mustafa Suleyman, raised concerns about the rapid progress of AI. What did he say? Read the full story.


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Gen Z Hides AI Use at Work, Fearing It Will Cost Them Their Jobs https://earlybirdsinvest.com/gen-z-hides-ai-use-at-work-fearing-it-will-cost-them-their-jobs/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/gen-z-hides-ai-use-at-work-fearing-it-will-cost-them-their-jobs/#respond Mon, 11 Aug 2025 22:53:25 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/gen-z-hides-ai-use-at-work-fearing-it-will-cost-them-their-jobs/

A recent report from Cox Business reveals that younger employees are quietly using artificial intelligence (AI) at work, often without telling their managers.

The study, which surveyed over 1,000 millennial and Gen Z workers in the US, found that nearly half of them rely on artificial intelligence to help complete daily tasks.

These include summarizing meeting notes, drafting ideas, analyzing data, generating reports, and writing or debugging code. However, 47% admitted they hesitate to share how much they depend on AI, mainly because they worry it could put their jobs at risk.

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Another reason for the silence is a lack of clear direction. About 30% of respondents said they either do not know their company’s rules around AI or believe there are none.

The report also points out that more than 60% of younger workers use personal tools and apps for work instead of sticking with the ones officially approved by their company.

At the same time, nearly 70% said they are overwhelmed by all the tech they are expected to use, while just 16% feel they have any real say in how those tools are chosen.

Jeff Breaux, executive vice president at Cox Communications, said the findings offer businesses insight into how younger employees view technology in the workplace. He noted that companies have an opportunity to improve their approach to tech planning, training, and investment so that it better fits the needs of their future workforce.

Meanwhile, Elon Musk recently confirmed that Tesla has shut down its Dojo AI project. Why? Read the full story.


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US Economy at ‘Stall Speed,’ Warns Goldman Sachs As Labor Department Slashes June Jobs Growth by 90% https://earlybirdsinvest.com/us-economy-at-stall-speed-warns-goldman-sachs-as-labor-department-slashes-june-jobs-growth-by-90/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/us-economy-at-stall-speed-warns-goldman-sachs-as-labor-department-slashes-june-jobs-growth-by-90/#respond Sun, 03 Aug 2025 15:06:22 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/us-economy-at-stall-speed-warns-goldman-sachs-as-labor-department-slashes-june-jobs-growth-by-90/

A Goldman Sachs executive is warning that the US economy is losing momentum after a sharp downward revision in job creation over the past few months.

On Friday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) revised down the job growth figures for June from 147,000 to 14,000, a 90% drop.

Figures for May were also revised down from 144,000 to 19,000, bringing the combined two-month downward revision to 258,000 jobs.

In a new CNBC interview, Goldman Sachs chief economist Jan Hatzius says the jobs data suggest that the US economy is losing steam.

“Weeks ago, we wrote a report with the title ‘Stall Speed.’ We have only a little more than 1% growth in GDP in the first half and with this jobs number, I think that brings the picture to clearly stall speed image. 

I’m looking at an economy that is still growing but is growing very slowly. And the unemployment rate is drifting higher, gradually. But I do think that the downside risks in the labor market…. are definitely there.”

According to Hatzius, the Fed now has the green light to cut rates in the coming months to support the labor market.

“I think it makes it even more likely that they’re going to cut in September. We have had a series of 25 basis point cuts in September, October, December and to me that seems very likely.

And it could be more. 

It’s certainly a reasonable idea that we’re in the restrictive territory, but this sort of data suggests that maybe we should get back to neutral a little bit more quickly. We have that happening over a longer period of time, but you could accelerate the process.”

 

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US Government Loses $17,000,000 in Just Three Days to ‘Viral’ ATM Glitch Tied to Jobs Youth Program: Report https://earlybirdsinvest.com/us-government-loses-17000000-in-just-three-days-to-viral-atm-glitch-tied-to-jobs-youth-program-report/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/us-government-loses-17000000-in-just-three-days-to-viral-atm-glitch-tied-to-jobs-youth-program-report/#respond Tue, 29 Jul 2025 08:37:38 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/us-government-loses-17000000-in-just-three-days-to-viral-atm-glitch-tied-to-jobs-youth-program-report/

An ATM scam tied to a New York City youth employment program reportedly spread on TikTok and caused millions of dollars in losses within days.

According to a New York Times report, payment cards provided to participants of NYC’s Summer Youth Employment Program were suddenly allowing users to take out more money from ATMs than they should have been able to.

The payment cards issued to thousands of young people in the program normally give users access only to that week’s earnings – at the most a few hundred dollars. But this time, the payment cards gave users the ability to withdraw tens of thousands of dollars at each ATM. In total, some $17 million was fraudulently withdrawn on the payment cards between July 11th and July 13th.

An estimated 30,000 cards were issued to 14- to 24-year-olds who were unable to receive payment by direct deposit.

The NYC Police Department’s Financial Crimes Task Force is now investigating the matter. Anonymous law enforcement officials say some of the program participants sold their cards for $1,000 apiece.

Mark Zustovich, a spokesman for the agency that oversees the program, the NYC Department of Youth and Community Development, says participants may have been pressured by criminals to abuse their payment cards.

“We are deeply disturbed by scammers preying on our participants just as they started their work assignments to support themselves and their families.”

It remans unclear at time of writing what made it possible for payment cards to allow for the fraudulent withdrawals and who will ultimately be responsible for covering the costs.

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Arizona Freelancer Sentenced for Helping North Korean Workers Infiltrate US Jobs https://earlybirdsinvest.com/arizona-freelancer-sentenced-for-helping-north-korean-workers-infiltrate-us-jobs/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/arizona-freelancer-sentenced-for-helping-north-korean-workers-infiltrate-us-jobs/#respond Sun, 27 Jul 2025 03:29:49 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/arizona-freelancer-sentenced-for-helping-north-korean-workers-infiltrate-us-jobs/

Christina Marie Chapman, a freelancer from Arizona with over 100,000 TikTok followers, has been sentenced to eight and a half years in prison after helping North Korean workers get hired by US companies using false identities.

A court in Washington, DC found her guilty of conspiracy to commit wire fraud, identity theft, and money laundering.

Along with the prison time, she will spend three more years under supervision, forfeit over $284,000, and repay $176,850.

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FBI Counterintelligence Assistant Director Roman Rozhavsky said in a July 24 press release that she played a key part in a plan that brought in around $17 million to fund North Korea’s weapons development. He added:

Even an adversary as sophisticated as the North Korean government can’t succeed without the assistance of willing US citizens like Christina Chapman.

Starting in 2020, Chapman worked with North Korean agents to set up US-based remote jobs for overseas IT workers.

To make it seem like those workers were physically located in the US, she ran a “laptop farm” from her home. She connected dozens of company-issued computers to the internet so that remote users could log in without raising suspicion.

Officials later recovered more than 90 computers from her home. Chapman also sent 49 devices to addresses overseas, including several in a city near North Korea’s border.

Chapman moved the money through her own accounts. She also helped file tax documents and Social Security forms under the names of the people whose identities were being used.

On July 16, Paul Chowles, a former officer from the UK’s National Crime Agency, got 5.5 years for stealing 50 Bitcoin
BTC


$117,214.79

in a Silk Road 2.0 probe. How did the case unfold? Read the full story.

Having completed a Master’s degree in Economics, Politics, and Cultures of the East Asia region, Aaron has written scientific papers analyzing the differences between Western and Collective forms of capitalism in the post-World War II era.
With close to a decade of experience in the FinTech industry, Aaron understands all of the biggest issues and struggles that crypto enthusiasts face. He’s a passionate analyst who is concerned with data-driven and fact-based content, as well as that which speaks to both Web3 natives and industry newcomers.
Aaron is the go-to person for everything and anything related to digital currencies. With a huge passion for blockchain & Web3 education, Aaron strives to transform the space as we know it, and make it more approachable to complete beginners.
Aaron has been quoted by multiple established outlets, and is a published author himself. Even during his free time, he enjoys researching the market trends, and looking for the next supernova.


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