The Rio upgrade has successfully been deployed to the Polygon POS Amoy TestNet, marking an important step in significantly scaling the capacity of the network.

Polygon has deployed Rio Upgrade, a central step in the Gigagas roadmap that shapes the design of the network. The upgrade is intended to increase the mainnet capacity to 5,000 transactions per second. This is a sudden jump from the current level.

The upgrade was confirmed by X’s Polygon team.

“The Rio upgrade will be live on Polygon Pos Amoy Testnet.”

Blog: https://t.co/SdCB2ea7Yt pic.twitter.com/mw0LebqhGq

— Polygon (@0xPolygon) September 12, 2025

At the heart of the upgrade is a new system called Validator-Elected Block Processers (VEBLOP).

This model shifts more control over validators, which play a more powerful role in determining how blocks are generated. Polygon says the change will improve fairness and efficiency while enhancing decentralization.

Other changes include Stateless block validation, which reduces the cost of validators by reducing the data burden of node execution.

Upgrades also eliminate block reorganization. This is a move aimed at increasing stability and stopping unfair reconstruction of block production.

The update is not technical. It comes when the polygon’s native token, Rio/USDT, shows signs of recovery. After several weeks of decline and side-to-side trading, the tokens went above $0.31 this week.

Together, network overhauls and token rebounds mark moments that are prominent for the polygon. Rio upgrades signals when the project is at the top. Towards a structure designed for faster, lower cost, and wider use with payment and asset tokenization.

Discovery: Next 1000x Ciphers: 10+ Ciphers tokens that could hit 1000X in 2025

Rio Price Prediction: Can Rio maintain the rally towards the $0.34-$0.35 resistance zone?

After weeks of pressure, Rio suddenly recovered, avoiding a $0.23 drop from $0.34 in August. The turning point occurred on September 9th, when trading volumes rose sharply, when buyers took control and unlocked more tokens.

Rio’s 50-day EMA was $0.2729 and the 100-day EMA was $0.2696, with its latest closing price of $0.3137, which was +3.26% higher than its previous closing.

(Source – Rio USDT. TradingView))

This reversal marks a bullish reorganization, usually followed by a stronger gathering.

The momentum is clear on the charts. Lowering and growing green candles indicate a build-up of confidence, with decisive moves beyond the $0.30 area changing the mood.

The next key test is $0.3176. Clean breaks to that level may open the road to the $0.34 that will be last seen in mid-August.

Support is currently at a level of $0.28, with additional protection being in the $0.27 EMA cluster.

The structure resembles a classic inversion: a long downtrend followed by accumulation, and a breakout backed by an increasing volume. Its volume profile suggests that both retail and institutional money is involved.

Analysts say the short-term focus is in the $0.3176 to $0.32 range. With a high sustained push, profits can range from $0.34 to $0.35, which can reach psychological barriers. However, if the token fails to adhere to $0.30, the profit could be back to $0.28.

Overall, the outlook is bullish, but it is likely volatile as Rio works through these levels of resistance.

Discovery: Next 1000x Ciphers: 10+ Ciphers tokens that could hit 1000X in 2025

How does Rio upgrade make transactions faster and cheaper?

Upgrading polygon Rio is another move that will remain competitive with network scaling.

This update is intended to increase throughput and reduce the final time of transactions, and therefore to create transactions faster and cheaper for users and developers.

Another biggest change is the increased role of validators. Polygon wants to enhance decentralization of the system and maintain a low-cost system by assigning higher responsibilities.

This change serves the overall purpose of establishing a platform that helps you manage global payments and manage tokenization of your actual assets.

The Rio upgrade is a series of major upgrade improvements from the previous year. In September 2024, Polygon renamed the native token to Pol. It is used throughout the ecosystem.

Next, in June 2025, Bhilai Hard Fork released the first step in its Gigagas Roadmap, increasing its throughput to 1,000 transactions per second, increasing the stability of its gas bills.

A month later, Heimdall V2 reduced the transaction’s finality to about 5 seconds, clearing outdated code. In summary, these updates show a steady push to strengthen the technical foundation of polygons.

With Rio currently live, the network continues to build towards greater efficiency, stability and decentralization, aiming to meet the demands of the evolving blockchain market.

Discovered: 20+ Next Cryptocurrency Exploding in 2025

For the latest market updates, please join us in the discrepancy in 99bitcoins news here

Why you can trust 99 Bitcoin?

Over 10 years

Founded in 2013, 99 Bitcoin team members have been experts in crypto since the early days of Bitcoin.

90 hours+

Weekly research

100k+

Monthly Readers

50+

Expert Contributors

2000+

Crypto project reviewed

Follow 99 Bitcoin on Google News Feed

Provide the latest updates, trends and insights directly to your fingertips. Subscribe now!

Subscribe now

Key points:

• Bitcoin sees a modest rebound into the weekly candle close, but traders see key resistance overhead.

• BTC price action risks a much deeper drop if bulls fail to reclaim that resistance zone.

• Fibonacci analysis hints that such a drop may not pass more than 10%.

Bitcoin (BTC) returned above $111,000 into Sunday’s weekly close as analysis saw “promising” recovery signs.

BTC price “logical” bounce zone near $100,000

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD gaining around 1% on the day to hit local highs of $111,369.

The pair’s latest dip, which followed US macroeconomic data, saw bulls preserve $110,000 support.

“This is actually promising on $BTC,” crypto trader, analyst and entrepreneur Michaël van de Poppe responded on X.

“It makes a new higher low and holds the support at $110K. Would be great if we crack $112K and fire up the bull run.”

Market participants continued to hold diverging views over short-term BTC price action. Popular trader Cipher X suggested that $112,000 could spark new lows should bulls fail to reclaim it next.

$BTC holds around $111K, but structure hints at a possible dip

If momentum stalls below $112K, I expect a pullback toward $108K support

Nothing major is happening across the market right now – it’s the weekend so best to stay patient and relaxed. pic.twitter.com/JP8lUHoKNz

— Cipher X (@Cipher2X) September 7, 2025

“We either flip $113,000 and pump to new highs, or if we reject here we drop to $100,000,” fellow trader Crypto Tony added on the day, adopting a more categorical perspective based on the weekly chart.

Trader TurboBullCapital referenced the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs) at $115,035 and $101,760, respectively, as important levels to watch going forward.

“Lose the $107k area & the downside target becomes the $101k level which also happens to coincide with the MA200,” part of an X post concluded. 

“This is a logical area to expect a bounce.”

Bitcoin’s “worst case scenario” coincides with $100,000

As Cointelegraph reported, one theory on longer timeframes involves market makers on exchange order books.

Related: Bitcoin bear market due in October with $50K bottom target: Analysis

Short sellers and bears, it suggests, could be the victims of manipulation prior to a giant short squeeze event taking the market to new all-time highs. This would echo price action in late 2024.

In the meantime, Fibonacci retracement levels imply a maximum drop of 10%, again based on historical behavior since the end of last year.

“$BTC usually bottoms at 0.382 Fibonacci level. This happened in Q3 2024, Q2 2025 and will probably happen again,” popular trader ZYN observed.

“For anyone wondering how low we can go, 0.382 Fibonacci level is currently around $100K. So the worst case scenario is a 10% drop before a 50% rally above $150,000.”

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Standard Chartered said Ethereum (ETH) and the companies holding it in their treasuries remain undervalued, even as the second-largest crypto surged to a record $4,955 on Aug. 25.

Geoffrey Kendrick, the bank’s head of crypto research, said treasury firms and exchange-traded funds have absorbed nearly 5% of all Ethereum in circulation since June. Treasury companies bought 2.6%, while ETFs added 2.3%.

Combined, that 4.9% stake represents one of the fastest accumulation streaks in crypto history, surpassing the speed at which Bitcoin (BTC) treasuries and ETFs acquired 2% of supply in late 2024.

Building toward 10%

Kendrick said the recent buying spree marks the early phase of a broader accumulation cycle. In a July note, he projected that treasury firms could eventually control 10% of all ether outstanding.

Kendrick argued that with companies such as BitMINE publicly targeting 5% ownership, the goal appears attainable. He noted that this would leave another 7.4% of supply still in play, creating strong tailwinds for Ethereum’s price.

The sharp pace of accumulation emphasizes the growing role of institutional structures in crypto markets. Kendrick said the alignment of ETF flows with treasury purchases highlights a feedback loop that could tighten supply further and support higher prices.

Kendrick revised the lender’s previous forecasts and said Ethereum could climb to $7,500 by year-end. He also called the latest pullback a “great entry point” for investors positioning ahead of further inflows.

Valuation gaps

While buying pressure has lifted prices, valuations of ether-holding firms have moved in the opposite direction.

Net asset value (NAV) multiples for SharpLink and BitMINE, the two most established ETH treasury companies, have dropped below those of Strategy, the largest Bitcoin treasury firm.

Kendrick said the discount is unjustified given that ETH treasuries can capture a 3% staking return, while Strategy generates no such income on its Bitcoin stash.

He also pointed to SBET’s recent plan to repurchase shares if its NAV multiple falls below 1.0, saying that creates a hard floor for valuations.

Mentioned in this article

Ether (ETH) jumped to $4,200 on Binance early Saturday, its highest since December 2021, after a two-day rally fueled by heavy trading and $207 million in short liquidations.

The move followed Friday’s breakout above $4,000 for the first time since December 2024, a technical milestone that drew in fresh buying and set the stage for Saturday’s push higher.

Miles Deutscher said these forced buybacks helped accelerate the rally. In an earlier post, he described an “on-chain wealth effect”: as ETH’s price rises, both large holders and retail investors see their positions turn profitable, prompting them to reallocate capital into smaller, higher-risk tokens in pursuit of bigger gains. This dynamic, he said, can amplify rallies beyond ETH itself.

Deutscher also mapped out a three-stage market rotation he expects could take months to unfold: an ETH-led mini altcoin season, a rotation into bitcoin that could lift BTC toward $120,000–$140,000 while altcoins lag, and finally a shift back into ETH and smaller tokens for a potential “blowoff” rally marking the cycle’s peak.

Crypto analyst Michaël van de Poppe called Saturday’s push to $4,200 a “wild move” and warned that buying at such elevated levels carried greater risk. While he sees ETH setting up for a breakout toward all-time highs, he argued that allocating capital to projects within the ETH ecosystem might deliver better percentage returns if momentum continues. He also said earlier that continued ETH strength could set the stage for substantial gains in altcoins, potentially rewarding portfolios positioned for a broader market rotation.

Market intelligence platform Santiment noted that ETH’s climb above $4,000 on Aug. 8 was the first since Dec. 16, 2024, and came with a sharp increase in bullish language from retail traders. Mentions of terms like “buying” and “bullish” roughly doubled compared with “selling” and “bearish.” The firm cautioned that overconfidence can sometimes lead to short-lived pauses even during strong uptrends.

Technical Analysis Highlights

• According to CoinDesk Research’s technical analysis model, between Aug. 8 at 07:00 UTC and Aug. 9 at 06:00 UTC, ETH rose from $3,914.59 to $4,160.29, a 6% gain, trading between $3,885.03 and $4,194.53.
• The first breakout occurred at 13:00 UTC on Aug. 8, pushing prices above $4,000 on 646,459 ETH in volume, nearly triple the 24-hour average of 218,847 ETH.
• A second surge at 05:00 UTC on Aug. 9 lifted prices to the session peak of $4,194.53 on 714,461 ETH in volume, again more than triple the daily average.
• In the final hour (Aug. 9, 05:19–06:18 UTC), ETH moved from $4,157.33 to $4,194.53 before retreating to $4,158.50, with $42.52 in intraday swings.
• Buying briefly pushed prices above $4,190 before profit-taking set in, establishing support between $4,155 and $4,160, suggesting consolidation as larger players locked in gains near the psychological $4,200 level.

Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk’s full AI Policy.

Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

Is the current $3.1K price tag just the beginning for the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency?

Ethereum ($ETH) could be on track to hit $10K, according to a recent forecast from DeepSeek AI, a China-based artificial intelligence firm. The prediction has ignited fresh debate among investors about whether $ETH is entering a new era of growth – or if the market is simply getting ahead of itself.

And there’s the normal question of whether or not AI knows what it’s talking about, of course.

DeepSeek AI Issues Bullish Forecast

Recently, China-based DeepSeek AI suggested that Ethereum may surpass its previous all-time high of $4.9K by the end of Q3 2025 (it’s currently down 35% from that ATH).

After breaking the $4.9K mark, $ETH could make a run toward the $10K mark.

The forecast points to Ethereum’s transition to proof-of-stake, increased adoption of Layer-2 scaling solutions, and steady deployment of key upgrades like Pectra as catalysts for this dramatic price move.

Crucially, DeepSeek isn’t the only expert to make the $10K prediction.

EMJ Capital Sees Ethereum to $10K – And Beyond

Eric Jackson of EMJ Capital points to a number of pending changes that aren’t already priced in, even with Ethereum’s latest gains.

That means the true bull run hasn’t started yet, at least for $ETH.

Most important of all the coming changes is the pending $ETH ETF approval. While the crypto world waits for the SEC to approve spot $ETH ETFs with staking and yield generation offerings, traditional spot $ETH ETFS marked over a week of positive inflows.

What would make yield-bearing crypto ETFs such a big deal? In part, the enhanced ETFs would be a powerful alternative to the currently more popular Bitcoin ETFs.

Jackson sees the next leg of Ethereum’s rally as coming from staking-enabled ETFs, which may launch by October 2025. A staking ETF offering 3.5% yield on top of price appreciation could create a supply crunch and drive $ETH demand to unprecedented levels, as Jackson pointed out.

DeepSeek: Ethereum $8K-$12K By 2025, $20K After?

DeepSeek shares Jackson’s viewpoints, but see a few potential risks:

• Regulatory Uncertainty – With Crypto Week underway, regularity clarity is improving, but any delays could still hinder development.
• Competition – Solana, Cardano, and other L1s could erode Ethereum’s dominance.
• Macro Downturn – A broader global recession or crypto winter could suppress prices.
• Technical Risks – Bugs, delays, or failures in upgrades could hinder future scalability improvements.

Beyond those hindrances, some experts urge caution.

There are also concerns about the centralization risks inherent in proof-of-stake systems and whether Ethereum’s scalability upgrades can keep pace with surging demand.

Don’t let Ethereum’s march to $10K distract you entirely; there’s another token with limitless potential lurking just beneath the surface.

TOKEN6900 ($T6900) – The Best Crypto Presale and the Essence of Meme Coin Mania

Let’s get a few things out of the way: Token 6900 ($T6900) isn’t a utility token in any way, shape, or form. There’s no crypto wallet, no exchange, no P2E game. There’s not even an NFT.

There is a meme, a mood, and a vibe.

The SPX6900 meme coin sits at $1.81 with a similar lack of utility. In fact, SPX6900 is up 20% in a week, riding the wave of more practical cryptos like Bitcoin and Ethereum.

But Token 6900 is better than $SPX6900. The vibe is better, the timing is better, and the tokenomics is better. After all, $T6900 has a whole 1 token advantage over $SPX6900, a sure sign of a superior project.

If all this sounds crazy, you’re in the right place. $T6900 is a wild token for wild times – and it could just be the best play for the crypto bull run.

Embrace the old-school, cluttered visual aesthetic. Embrace the independence from the financial system.

Embrace Token 6900 (learn how to buy $T6900 in our guide).

Visit the Token 6900 website today.

A Pivotal Moment for Ethereum

As Ethereum reaches multi-month highs, the stage is set for a crucial few months. If staking-enabled ETFs are approved and Layer-2 adoption accelerates, ETH could accelerate rapidly toward the $10K milestone.

But as with all crypto markets, volatility remains the only constant – so do your own research.

Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.

A crypto analyst who accurately predicted the Bitcoin (BTC) price surge to $120,000 months ago has returned with a bold new forecast that could redefine investors’ expectations for the rest of the cycle. Using a detailed Elliott Wave structure and historical halving patterns, the expert outlines what could be Bitcoin’s final parabolic move, laying out a clear roadmap toward a new ATH target.  

Bitcoin Parabolic Phase Still Ahead

Following Bitcoin’s explosive rise above $123,000 in a single day, crypto analyst XForceGlobal reaffirmed his earlier predictions and intensified his bullish outlook. He now asserts that Bitcoin is in the early stages of a much larger breakout, with the final and most parabolic phase of its rally yet to unfold.  

Related Reading

The analyst Bitcoin Price Trajectory To $155,000: Why No Major Dips Are Expected From Here a detailed chart showing that Bitcoin is now trading over $40,000 above its Wave 2 bottom of the macro 5th. This indicates that the market could be transitioning into Wave 3 of a larger Elliott Wave impulse pattern. The chart also visually segments previous bull market runs into distinct macro phases, each unfolding after a halving cycle. Every phase began with a consolidation period, followed by exponential growth and eventual correction. 

Bitcoin’s price history is further marked by the halving events in 2012, 2016, 2020, and 2024—all of which have consistently preceded major bullish rallies. The latest halving, which occurred in April 2024, is now expected to lead to an intermediate-term rally that may extend BTC’s price beyond $270,000 before entering another corrective phase.  

While XForceGlobal maintains a bullish long-term outlook for Bitcoin, he urges investors to be cautious and aware that the final wave may generate market euphoria before a significant decline sets in. His projected roadmap shows a steady bullish climb toward $272,832, followed by a potential retracement to around $41,646, marking a steep 85% crash from the top. 

During his analysis, the market expert highlighted the difference between smart and dumb money during this bullish phase of the cycle. He claimed that smart investors have already mapped out their exit strategies, understanding that success comes from early planning rather than spontaneous decisions. He also added that with the market yet to reach a climax, there’s still time to prepare an exit before red flags emerge.

Analyst Predicts $155,000 As Bitcoin’s Next Stop 

In a follow-up X post, XForceGlobal forecasted Bitcoin’s next short-term price target at $155,000. This prediction comes as BTC recently rallied past $123,000 before undergoing a pullback, now trading slightly above $116,800. According to the analyst, Bitcoin remains firmly in an extended Wave 3, which traditionally represents the most impulsive and powerful phase of the Elliott Wave sequence.

Related Reading

XForceGlobal’s chart reveals that Bitcoin recently broke out from a complex WXYXZ correction structure, which served as the launchpad for the present rally. His projection suggests that BTC is now forming a five-wave structure targeting the $140,000-$155,000 range, with macro-level corrections expected along the way. 

Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Prediction market data shows traders are wagering millions on the price of Bitcoin reaching levels above $120,000 in 2025.

On the decentralized platform Polymarket, a market asking what price Bitcoin will hit in 2025, has attracted over $15.5 million in volume. Traders assign a 75% probability that the asset will exceed $120,000 by the end of the year.

The data provides a quantifiable look at market conviction, translating sentiment into financially backed probabilities.

The platform indicates a 55% chance of Bitcoin surpassing $130,000 and a 33% chance of it breaking the $150,000 mark. More ambitious targets, such as $200,000, are given a 13% probability.

A separate market focused on the immediate term is more conservative; with over $3.5 million in volume, it assigns a 58% probability for Bitcoin to be above $115,000 by August 1, 2025, but only a 30% chance of it crossing $120,000 in the same period.

This activity is set against a backdrop of significant evolution for Polymarket itself. According to data from Dune Analytics, the platform’s user base and volume expanded during the 2024 U.S. election, driving monthly volume to a peak of $2.6 billion in November 2024.

In the months following the election, a new baseline of activity was established. Last month’s trading volume stood at $1.16 billion, a figure over nine times higher than the volume recorded in June last year.

The number of active traders, at 241,000 last month, was similarly more than seven times higher than the previous year. This suggests the platform retained a portion of the audience it acquired during the high-profile political event.

The composition of platform activity appears to be shifting. Since a peak of 455,000 active traders in January 2025, the number of participants has declined by 47%.

In contrast, platform volume has rebounded, growing 30% from April to June 2025. This divergence may point to a consolidation of activity among a smaller group of more heavily capitalized or higher-conviction traders.

The average volume per trader has recovered from a low of approximately $2,000 in February 2025 to around $4,800 in June 2025, which supports the idea that existing users are trading in larger sizes. Recent reports note the platform’s growth and its recent partnership with X, which Polymarket founder Shayne Coplan framed as the union of “the two top truth-seeking apps.”

While prediction markets offer a novel form of sentiment analysis, their forecasts reflect current, crowd-sourced beliefs and not certain outcomes.

The user base may not represent the broader financial world, and all markets carry inherent risks, including the potential for manipulation by actors with large amounts of capital. However, Polymarket outperformed almost all traditional polling methods during the U.S. 2025 election. Still, the regulatory environment for prediction markets also remains complex in various jurisdictions, such as the U.S. itself, even amid its latest $1 billion valuation.

Nonetheless, the substantial volume and clear directional probability on display provide a distinct, data-driven perspective on where active traders expect Bitcoin’s price to trend as of its press time price of $109,093.

Mentioned in this article

Author

Trent Alan

Author

Trent Alan

About Author

Trent has a background and education in journalism and communications, with two decades of experience editing and writing on a diverse array of topics. In recent years, however, he has shifted his…

Share

Last updated: 

June 13, 2025

ChatGPT’s o3 Pro AI model just crunched 42 live indicators, ranging from TradingView stats and Binance order-book flows to social media buzz and news, and came up with a surprise XRP price prediction as the token holds $2.15 ahead of a June 16 SEC verdict and a looming $500 million corporate reserve.

With volatility squeezed to its narrowest band of 2025, o3 Pro pegs $2.25 as the pivot between a vault toward $2.60 and a fall to $2.10. Daily turnover still tops $4.53 billion, but sentiment splits down the middle as traders brace for the ruling.

Israel’s air-strikes on Iran also sent Brent crude almost 9% higher, unsettling risk assets worldwide. The shock triggered over $1 billion in crypto liquidations and pulled XRP roughly 5% down to about $2.11, just above its $2.07–$2.15 support band.

With daily ATR already near 1%, any further escalation could shove XRP cleanly through that floor—or sling it back toward the $2.26 EMA cluster—in a single, volatile burst.

The following analysis was done using ChatGPT’s most advanced AI model, the new o3 Pro, and edited together and ‘humanized’ for readability.

Overview: AI XRP Price Prediction and Analysis

After opening the day closer to $2.19, a retreat masks a far more intriguing setup beneath the surface. Market depth remains intact, yet key momentum gauges (namely an RSI just above 40 and a negative MACD crossover) suggest traders have throttled back on risk.

Meanwhile, volatility indicators are flashing amber: as one TradingView readout notes, “the narrowing Bollinger envelope … warns of a possible volatility expansion”.

Compression phases like this typically precede forceful directional moves, turning the next 90 days into a high-stakes window.

The fundamental backdrop is equally charged. Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse has asserted that XRP could “capture 14 % of SWIFT’s volume in the next 5 years,” a claim arriving just days before the anticipated June 16 ruling in the long-running SEC case.

Layer in the first-ever $500 million corporate XRP reserve, the launch of USDC and Ripple’s own forthcoming RLUSD stablecoin on the XRP Ledger, and a steady 111,000 active addresses per day, and the ledger suddenly looks busier (and potentially scarcer) than headline prices imply.

With technicals coiling, on-chain participation climbing, and sentiment oscillating between cautious and exuberant, XRP’s immediate path hinges on which signal breaks first.

Technical Pulse: XRP Price Forecast Hinges on Compressed Indicators

The latest daily chart shows XRP wedged into the tightest Bollinger Band spread since February, implying that the market has settled into a holding pattern.

Source: TradingView

Momentum signals confirm the lull: the Relative Strength Index lingers near 41, a level that rarely sparks trend-defining moves, while the MACD histogram hovers just below zero after a bearish crossover.

Traders are also watching a flat EMA cluster between the 50- and 100-day averages around $2.19–$2.22—historically a zone where price rallies stall if volume fails to expand.

• RSI below 50 but above oversold keeps momentum neutral rather than outright bearish.
• MACD line sits beneath its signal line, hinting at latent downside pressure.
• Average True Range at 0.0204 points to intraday swings of barely 1%—an unusually quiet tape for XRP.
• Volume-weighted moving average (VWMA-20) turns marginally higher, suggesting selective accumulation even as classic EMAs flash “Sell.”

A prolonged squeeze like this typically resolves in a sharp break; volatility gauges alone, however, cannot predict the direction. That job falls to the nearby price structure and order-flow signals.

Key Support and Resistance Guide Ripple Volatility Outlook

Technicians currently place first-line support at $2.20–$2.23, just above the Classic Pivot S1 of $2.1327.

Beneath that band sits a broader demand zone stretching to $2.10, an area that twice capped downside attempts in April. Upside, the initial barrier stands at $2.1521—Classic Pivot R1—followed quickly by the recent swing‐high supply pocket at $2.33–$2.34.

• A clean break above $2.24 would realign price with the Bollinger mid-band at $2.24, opening room toward $2.60 should volume accompany the move.
• Failure to defend $2.20 risks a slide to the lower Bollinger band near $2.10.
• The flattened EMA50/100 pair at $2.19–$2.22 acts as a pivot: daily closes on either side often dictate the next week’s trend.
• Low ATR implies that once price escapes this range, the first directional burst is likely to be swift, and amplified by traders front-running the SEC’s mid-June ruling.

For now, XRP’s technical canvas paints a picture of potential energy: tightly coiled, evenly balanced, and primed to spring once a catalyst—be it legal clarity or an unexpected macro jolt—tips the scale.

Liquidity & Market Depth: Can Bulls Fund the Next XRP Price Forecast Move?

Deep Order Books and Capital Inflow

A robust $125.92 billion market cap and a fully diluted valuation of $224 billion give XRP some of the deepest books outside Bitcoin and Ether.

Source: CoinMarketCap

The pair trades most actively on Binance’s spot market, where aggregated bids and asks routinely absorb eight-figure orders without visible slippage—a key buffer if Ripple volatility spikes after the SEC ruling.

• 24-hour turnover: $4.59 billion, translating to roughly 2% of circulating market cap and indicating healthy day-to-day liquidity.
• Seven-day turnover: $19.78 billion, evidence that capital has remained engaged even as prices drifted lower.
• Classic pivot calculations place the session’s volume-weighted point of control just above $2.21, showing buyers remain active near short-term support.
• A rising Volume-Weighted Moving Average (VWMA-20) shows steady accumulation beneath the flat EMA cluster.

Taken together, these figures suggest that large players can confidently scale positions, long or short, without fear of thin books distorting entries, a prerequisite for any meaningful XRP price forecast over the next quarter.

Volume Patterns Show Tactical Accumulation

While absolute volume has eased from late-May peaks, its composition has shifted toward spot rather than derivatives, a nuance that often precedes directional trend changes. Coupled with narrowing price ranges, the data implies traders are positioning quietly rather than chasing momentum.

• Spot markets now account for a growing share of total turnover, a sign that leverage is being dialed back ahead of the SEC decision.
• 24-hour volume remains well above the 90-day median, illustrating sustained interest despite muted price action.
• Liquidity nodes on depth charts cluster between $2.14 to $2.22, suggesting any dip toward that band could be met with sizeable resting bids.
• Should volume spike in tandem with a close above $2.26, historical analogues point to follow-through potential toward the mid-$2.60s.

In short, the current blend of deep order books and selective spot accumulation provides the raw fuel for a breakout, yet without a volatility trigger, the market continues to tread water. The next sections will examine whether on-chain metrics and social sentiment can supply that missing spark.

XRP’s On-Chain Activity: Real Utility or Just Talk?

Daily Ledger Usage Points to Sticky Demand

Even as Ripple volatility has cooled on price charts, network throughput remains vigorous. About 111,000 active addresses interact with the XRP Ledger each day, well above the 2024 weekly average, suggesting that traders and developers are not merely parking tokens but actively moving value and deploying apps.

• Active addresses hold steady despite the recent 4% price pullback, indicating user stickiness.
• Transaction clusters align with stablecoin minting events, hinting at growing DeFi experimentation.
• Persistent usage during sideways price action contrasts with many alt-chains, where activity often decays alongside volume.

The consistency implies that underlying demand may be stronger than surface price action lets on, reducing the odds of a sudden liquidity vacuum if volatility spikes.

Fresh Catalysts Could Tighten XRP’s Tradable Float

Utility-driven flows are set to expand further. Singapore-based Trident Digital has announced a $500 million corporate XRP reserve, the first of its scale, while Flare’s integration commits $100 million in XRP to cross-chain smart-contract use.

At the same time, stablecoin competition on XRPL is heating up: USDC has gone live, and Ripple’s own RLUSD is preparing to launch.

• Large-scale reserve holdings indicate that institutions now treat XRP as a strategic treasury asset, not just a speculative trade.
• Flare’s deployment effectively locks tokens into smart-contract ecosystems, lowering circulating supply on exchanges.
• Every USDC or RLUSD transfer requires XRP for fees, embedding reflexive token demand into stablecoin growth.
• Combined, these initiatives could exert upward pressure on price by reducing the float just as macro-level catalysts, like a potential SEC ruling, arrive.

Taken together, on-chain metrics paint a picture of genuine, expanding utility, suggesting that any forthcoming surge in XRP price forecasts will rest on more than hype alone.

XRP Social Metrics: A Cautiously Bullish Ripple Volatility Gauge

LunarCrush’s sentiment dashboards put hard numbers on XRP’s social mood, and the latest readout tilts only modestly positive. The token’s Galaxy Score of 65 sits just above the neutral midpoint, while an AltRank of 291 places it in the middle of the pack among tracked assets.

Source: LunarCrush

Even so, raw engagement remains formidable: 9.38 million interactions over 24 hours demonstrate an audience that rarely stays quiet when catalysts emerge.

• Galaxy Score > 50 indicates a mild bullish bias, but not the euphoric conditions that often precede sharp reversals.
• Mid-tier AltRank suggests XRP is neither the hottest trade nor an ignored laggard—ideal for a breakout if fresh news lands.
• Engagement volume supports liquidity: active social chatter tends to correlate with tighter spreads on major exchanges.
• Historical comparisons show that Galaxy Scores above 60, coupled with rising engagements, often precede multi-week rallies, a threshold XRP has not yet crossed.

For traders, these numbers imply sentiment is constructive but far from frothy, leaving room for the XRP price forecast to pivot sharply once decisive news reshapes the narrative.

Social Media Chatter: High-Stakes Storylines Drive Attention

Outside aggregated scores, headlines and Twitter traffic reveal the storylines animating the community. In the past four hours alone, coverage has swung from bullish adoption talk to warnings of deepening bearish bets:

• “XRP To Capture 14% Of SWIFT’s Volume,” trumpets Bitcoinist, citing CEO Brad Garlinghouse just 34 minutes ago.
• BeInCrypto counters with “XRP Price Slips as Bears Tighten Grip and Short Bets Surge,” revealing trader caution three hours prior.
• FXStreet frames the macro picture: “Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP risk further decline amid softer volumes,” four hours back.

Twitter amplifies the stakes:

• Good Morning Crypto flags a $500 million corporate XRP reserve, calling it “BREAKING”.
• Moon Lambo hails USDC’s launch on XRPL as “incredible news for all $XRP holders,” arguing it will lift total value locked and fee demand.
• Kraken Exchange stirs the “XRP army” with a watchful emoji, showing exchange-side interest in a potential volatility spike.

Collectively, this blend of measured optimism and bearish hedging keeps sentiment balanced, fertile ground for a surprise move once the SEC’s ruling or another headline forces consensus one way or the other. Until then, Ripple volatility remains coiled not only on price charts but also in the social sphere, ready to unwind when conviction finally takes hold.

Regulatory Wildcard: SEC Countdown and Its Ripple Effect

The legal saga that has shadowed XRP since late 2020 is now on a five-day fuse. Court dockets list June 16 as the next—and potentially final—milestone in the SEC’s enforcement action against Ripple Labs. At stake is whether XRP will be deemed a security under U.S. law, a designation that could limit exchange listings and institutional access.

Conversely, a favorable ruling would cement the token’s commodity-like status and pave the way for broader U.S. adoption. The decision lands just as corporate treasuries experiment with a half-billion-dollar XRP reserve and stablecoin issuers migrate onto the ledger, multiplying the impact of any legal clarity.

Possible Verdict Paths and Market Repercussions

• Outright Win for Ripple
  
  • XRP escapes the securities label, inviting major U.S. exchanges and brokerage apps to restore full trading pairs.
  • Price action tends to accelerate on relief: a clean break above $2.26–$2.27 could target the mid-$2.60s, the next liquidity shelf.
  • Positive precedent could spill over to other payment-focused altcoins, tightening spreads and boosting sector flows.

• Partial Victory / Settlement
  
  • A negotiated middle ground may include a penalty without labeling ongoing sales as securities.
  • Markets likely cheer limited retroactive risk, but upside could stall near the Bollinger mid-band at $2.14 until precise terms emerge.
  • Should fines drain Ripple’s treasury less than feared, strategic buybacks or ecosystem grants could follow, supporting demand.

• SEC Prevails
  
  • Security status forces delistings on U.S. venues; offshore liquidity dominates.
  • Initial support at $2.15 may fail, exposing the broader demand zone down to $2.10.
  • Elevated legal uncertainty for comparable tokens could widen risk spreads across the market, amplifying Ripple volatility.

Regardless of outcome, the decision is set to trigger a volatility burst far exceeding the 0.020–0.023 ATR baseline, echoing previous litigation-driven price swings.

Traders accustomed to XRP’s current quiet tape should brace for order-book whipsaws and slippage as algorithms race to reprice regulatory risk within seconds of the ruling.

Three-Month XRP Price Outlook: Scenarios and Key Levels

Base Case: Range-Bound Chop Dominates

With structural compression still unresolved and no verdict yet from Washington, the most probable path calls for sideways trade inside a broad $2.10–$2.60 corridor.

Technical cues lean cautiously bearish—RSI sub-50, MACD under its signal—but neither indicator points to capitulation, while on-chain utility steadily soaks up float.

• Price faces initial resistance at $2.15 (Pivot R1) and primary supply at $2.26–$2.27.
• Support sits at $2.13, reinforced by resting bids and a liquidity node clustered on depth charts.
• Flattened EMA50/100 pair near $2.20–$2.22 functions as a fulcrum; closes above tilt momentum bullish, below tilt bearish.
• Expected daily range, per ATR 14, remains about 1% until a catalyst widens the bands.

This base case envisions choppy action punctuated by brief spikes, rewarding short-time-frame traders more than trend followers.

Breakout Triggers and Risk Factors

Directional conviction hinges on a handful of clear catalysts. A decisive SEC ruling, expanding stablecoin flows, or a macro risk surge could all snap the current coil, dictating whether bulls or bears seize control.

• Bullish catalysts
  
  • Ripple victory in court → immediate relisting on U.S. venues, targeting the Bollinger mid-band at $2.24 and the $2.60 extension.
  • Sustained rise in active addresses plus Flare’s $100 M integration constrict tradable supply.
  • Galaxy Score moves above 60 alongside engagement spikes, echoing prior breakout regimes.

• Bearish catalysts
  
  • Security classification forces exchange withdrawals, pressuring $2.13 and exposing $2.10 support.
  • Broader crypto sell-off drags turnover below the 90-day median, widening spreads, and drying liquidity.
  • Negative macro sentiment—higher yields or dollar strength—dampens risk appetite across digital assets.

Whichever narrative gains traction, the first close outside the present Bollinger squeeze is likely to set the tone for the full 90-day horizon, transforming today’s Ripple volatility stalemate into a decisive trend.

XRP Price Forecast: Converging Signals, Singular Moment

Across charts, ledgers, and social feeds, one theme keeps surfacing: compression. Price is hemmed in by a Bollinger squeeze, on-chain supply is thinning as smart-contract projects and corporate treasuries ring-fence tokens, and sentiment sits in a low-heat equilibrium that can flip bullish or bearish on a single headline.

That confluence is rare, and it matters because the market is fast approaching an inflection point where legal clarity, liquidity depth, and genuine network demand will either reinforce each other or collide.

Traders who treat the next 90 days as a data-rich stress test rather than a coin-flip gamble stand to glean sharper edges: watching whether the post-verdict move holds above $2.34 or breaks below $2.20; measuring if active addresses keep rising when volatility erupts; tracking whether Galaxy Scores climb as volume returns.

Tensions in the Middle East have also spurred a flight to safety, lifting oil prices and rattling crypto markets, with cascading liquidations dragging XRP back toward key support levels. As headlines swing between escalation and de-escalation, this geopolitical pulse now rivals legal and technical factors in deciding whether the token rebounds or breaks lower.

In short, Ripple volatility is no longer just noise on a candlestick chart; it is the distillation of regulatory risk, real-world utility, and crowd conviction. How those forces resolve will set the tone not only for XRP but for the broader conversation about what gives a digital asset durable value in the first place.

Bitcoin’s price slipped to $105,235 today, dropping 1.5% over the past 24 hours and falling 4.2% in the last week. Some market watchers see this dip as a pause before a major move. According to their charts, Bitcoin could be gearing up for another steep gain.

Related Reading

Historical Patterns Point To Rebound

Based on reports from the analyst known as “Mister Crypto,” rounded-bottom formations and ascending triangles have marked every big Bitcoin rally. In 2013, when Bitcoin was trading under $10, it spent months in a smooth, curved base before breaking out and climbing past $1,000.

A similar pattern showed up in 2017. After nearly three years of sideways action, the price finally exploded toward $20,000. The last cycle in 2021 also followed the same playbook, with almost four years of building a wide base before shooting up to nearly $70,000.

Bitcoin will go parabolic.

This time won’t be different! pic.twitter.com/0fEMMMclbD

— Mister Crypto (@misterrcrypto) May 29, 2025

Mister Crypto’s chart suggests that the period after 2021 has formed another base. If history plays out the same way, his forecast points to a breakout in 2025 that could send Bitcoin as high as $900,000—a 760% rise from today’s level.

Analyst Charts Re-Accumulation

According to charts shared by another analyst, Bitcoin often moves in stages. First, there’s an initial “leg up” that signals the shift from deep accumulation into a growing bull trend. Then, the price settles into a sideways “re-accumulation” phase before the final run.

From 2019 through 2021, Bitcoin followed this path closely. Analysts note that from late 2023 into mid-2025, Bitcoin looks to be in that same re-accumulation phase. If this unfolds as in past cycles, the next big upswing could push Bitcoin into the $270,000–$350,000 range before any parabolic spike comes into view.

Long-Term Holders Keep Adding Coins

On-chain data shows long-term holders (addresses that haven’t moved their coins in over 155 days) are still piling on. Between March 3 and May 25, 2025, these holders increased their overall supply by nearly 1.40 million BTC.

That pushed long-term holdings from 14,354,000 BTC to 15,739,400 BTC. In previous bull markets—like those in 2013, 2017, and 2021—long-term holders often sold during the rallies to lock in profit.

Related Reading

Today, though, they seem content to hold. If large pockets of Bitcoin remain off exchanges, fewer coins are available for new buyers. That could tighten supply and make sharp moves more likely once demand picks up.

Looking Ahead In Uncertain Market

Bitcoin has lost momentum recently, but many analysts feel these dips won’t last. At $105K region, the price sits below last week’s levels.

Based on reports, some see that as healthy consolidation before a bigger run. Others warn that global interest rates, regulation, and macro factors could slow things down.

Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView

A crypto strategist thinks that altcoins are about to upstage Bitcoin (BTC) after years of languishing in the background.

Analyst Michaël van de Poppe tells his 789,100 followers on the social media platform X that he thinks the period of altcoin underperformance against Bitcoin is almost over based on the Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) chart.

The BTC.D chart tracks how much of the crypto market cap belongs to BTC. A bearish BTC.D indicates that altcoins are outperforming Bitcoin.

According to Van de Poppe, altcoins are now poised to outpace Bitcoin as the BTC.D chart is flashing a bearish reversal signal on the weekly chart.

“The end of the bear market (yes, a bear market on altcoins underperforming Bitcoin) is still here.

Strong bearish divergence on the Bitcoin dominance, implying we’re about to reverse and altcoins about to shine.

Nothing has changed.” 

At time of writing, BTC.D is hovering at 63.89%.

Looking at Bitcoin, the trader thinks BTC will retest a key psychological area as support before rallying to fresh record-high levels.

“I’m monitoring the current price action and I won’t be surprised if we’re seeing a slight correction happening on Bitcoin.

Probably macro-driven or whatever reason, but I wouldn’t be surprised to build some more stamina before we continue the rally to $120,000-$130,000.” 

At time of writing, Bitcoin is worth $109,112.

As for Ethereum (ETH), the analyst says a correction toward the $2,000 price level would present a solid opportunity for long-term investors.

“Similarly, I think it’s vital that, if ETH drops beneath $2,400, that will give a tremendous opportunity.

Ethereum rallied from $1,800 to $2,700 in a few days. If there’s a 10-20% correction, pretty normal, great opportunity to get yourself positioned into it.”

At time of writing, ETH is worth $2,663.

Follow us on X, Facebook and Telegram

Don’t Miss a Beat – Subscribe to get email alerts delivered directly to your inbox

Check Price Action

Surf The Daily Hodl Mix

&nbsp

Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

Generated Image: Midjourney