Imagine it’s 1999, and markets are hitting high after high. The dot-com boom is in full swing, and investors are euphoric seeing the value of their portfolios soar. For many, the advent of the internet meant that “it was different this time” — technology stocks seemed like they would never stop their incredible march upward. I probably don’t have to tell you what happened next.​ ​

While it might seem clear in hindsight — maybe even obvious — it’s never the case when you’re living it. It’s easy to get caught up in the moment and miss the signs. And frankly, that may not always be the worst thing; bulls tend to outperform bears in the long run.

But with the S&P 500 (^GSPC -0.05%) hitting new highs, many investors would love to know when the next crash is coming — I sure would — so it’s useful to look for parallels between now and major market downturns of the past. Were there specific warning signs in 1999 and 2007 that a savvy investor could have seen before the crashes of 2000 and 2008?

Margin debt hits $1 trillion for the first time ever

One potential warning sign is the money traders borrow to invest in stocks, known as margin debt. This metric recently hit an all-time high, topping $1 trillion for the first time in June and rising again in July. But then again, the stock market is hitting new highs itself, so margin debt isn’t setting records relative to the total value of the S&P 500.

​What is truly concerning is not how much debt there is in the market but how fast it’s growing. Between May and June, leveraged positions grew 18%, the fifth-largest increase on record. The only two-month periods with higher growth rates all came in — you guessed it — either 1999 or 2007.

Why margin debt matters

Investors should care about margin debt for two reasons. First, high levels can accelerate a downturn. Traders who use margin cannot let the value of their portfolio fall below a minimum level in relation to the amount they borrowed in the first place. If stocks keep going up, that’s not a problem.​

Image source: Getty Images.

If stock prices fall, however, and their portfolio dips below that minimum value, they face a “margin call” and must either add cash to raise the portfolio value or sell the stocks they bought with margin. Many don’t have the cash on hand to pursue the first option and must sell. This can cause a runaway downward spiral as traders liquidate part of their portfolios to “cover” margin calls, which in turn lower stock prices further, leading to more liquidations, additional sales, and so on.

The second reason it matters is that it is a clear barometer of investor sentiment. A rapid increase, such as the one that recently occurred, suggests that investors are chasing growth. They appear confident that stocks will only go higher and are willing to take on an unusual amount of risk to capitalize on that. And while confidence supports markets, overconfidence fuels bubbles.

Here’s what history says happens next

This rapid rise in margin was exactly the kind of warning sign investors could have looked for in both 1999 and 2007. History would seem to say that what happens next is a crash. However, it’s critical for investors to keep three things in mind.

First, this is a single indicator in what is an incredibly complex market. If you look hard enough, you can probably find numbers that parallel just about any year. It’s more than possible that a crash does not follow in the near term, and the bull run continues.

Second, there are numerous ways in which the market of 2025 differs from those of 2007 and 1999. The companies at the top of the food chain, like Nvidia and Microsoft, are mature companies with robust earnings and valuations that are significantly lower than those of a company like Cisco in 1999. In 2007, the risks posed by a housing market collapse went well beyond the market and equity prices. They were systemwide risks to the very foundation of the real economy.

And finally, even if this is a bubble, timing markets is almost never a winning strategy. Bubbles can keep going for quite some time. So, the lesson history has to offer here is that you should always look to invest in a diverse portfolio of solid companies for the long haul, rather than chasing the latest fad. This gives you the confidence and peace of mind to weather the natural ups and downs of the market — even the big ones.​

Crypto trader and analyst Ali Martinez is warning that Bitcoin (BTC) could undergo a significant correction amid a bearish signal from a reliable indicator.

Martinez tells his 139,100 followers on the social media platform X that the Tom DeMark (TD) Sequential indicator is suggesting that Bitcoin could fall by over 63% from the current level.

The TD sequential indicator is a technical analysis tool used to determine potential trend and price reversal points.

“This one indicator has predicted every major Bitcoin crash and it just flashed again. The Tom DeMark Sequential just gave a quarterly sell signal. This is a rare warning that has historically preceded brutal drawdowns.

Back in 2015, the same signal appeared and Bitcoin dropped 75% after. Then in 2018, same setup, same outcome – Bitcoin plunged over 85%.

Now it is flashing again. If this plays out like before, Bitcoin could drop below $40,000.”

Bitcoin is trading at $107,850 at time of writing.

Citing data from the blockchain analytics platform IntoTheBlock, Martinez says that between May 22nd and June 29th, the number of Bitcoin transactions valued at more than $100,000 has fallen from 30,840 to 16,860, a drop of around 45%.

The crypto trader and analyst also cites data from crypto analytics firm CryptoQuant suggesting that buyer interest for Bitcoin over 30 days has plummeted by 36,988 BTC.

“Apparent demand for Bitcoin has dropped to -37,000 BTC, signaling a sharp decline in buying interest!”

Follow us on X, Facebook and Telegram

Don’t Miss a Beat – Subscribe to get email alerts delivered directly to your inbox

Check Price Action

Surf The Daily Hodl Mix

&nbsp

Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

Generated Image: Midjourney

Analytics firm Santiment is highlighting one metric that usually precedes a rally for Bitcoin (BTC) and other crypto assets.

Santiment says the ratio of bullish king crypto sentiment to bearish sentiment from retail traders has reached a two-month low.

A low ratio of the metric is “typically a bullish sign,” according to the analytics firm.

“With crypto in a bit of a lull, traders are showing signs of impatience and bearish sentiment. There are just 1.03 bullish comments for every 1 bearish comment, which hasn’t happened since peak fear, uncertainty and doubt (FUD) during initial tariff reactions on April 6th…

…Markets historically move in the opposite direction of retail’s expectations. A prime example was the optimal buy time during the early April fear from other traders.”

Santiment further says that the Middle East conflict involving Israel and Iran will “likely continue to cause volatile and unpredictable price action” for the crypto market.

“Despite the initial panic, Bitcoin has remained in the $104,000 – $105,000 range, aided by consistent exchange-traded funds (ETF) inflows and a lack of follow-through in military actions, mirroring the typical ‘risk-off, then stabilize’ pattern seen in previous geopolitical crises.”

Bitcoin is trading at $104,431 at time of writing.

Follow us on X, Facebook and Telegram

Don’t Miss a Beat – Subscribe to get email alerts delivered directly to your inbox

Check Price Action

Surf The Daily Hodl Mix

&nbsp

Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

Generated Image: Midjourney

Dogecoin (DOGE) recovered from an intraday low of $0.164 to close near $0.171, posting a 4.7% bounce in line with broader market weakness. The move suggests institutional buyers may be quietly accumulating at lower levels as market participants brace for continued volatility.

News Background

• Dogecoin’s rebound comes in the wake of intense selling pressure sparked by escalating geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran. The sharp market-wide correction, which triggered mass liquidations, briefly pushed DOGE down more than 7% intraday on Wednesday.
• Meanwhile, macroeconomic headwinds persist. The U.S. Federal Reserve continues to maintain restrictive monetary policy, keeping rates at 4.25%–4.50% while actively reducing its balance sheet — a dynamic that has historically weighed on riskier bets such as DOGE.
• Still, the memecoin remains one of the most liquid assets in the crypto space, with daily turnover near $1.37 billion and market cap holding above $24.7 billion.
• Elsewhere, technical indicators show DOGE entering oversold territory, and social sentiment data from LunarCrush reveals an 86% positive tone across 16,000+ mentions, suggesting continued community conviction even amid price volatility.

DOGE’s near-term outlook may hinge on regulatory developments, including a potential U.S. spot ETF decision, as well as continued adoption on DeFi platforms such as Coinbase’s Base network where wrapped DOGE is gaining traction.

Price Action

DOGE saw its sharpest decline during the 13:00 hour, dropping to $0.164 on a 591M volume spike — the highest of the day.

The strong bounce that followed pushed prices back above $0.171, where the memecoin found near-term equilibrium.

Price action has since consolidated in a tight band between $0.170 and $0.1696, with small volume bursts suggesting accumulation at lower levels.

Technical Analysis Recap

• DOGE posted a 4.7% recovery, rising from $0.164 to $0.171.
• Major liquidation-driven selloff occurred at 13:00, with volume peaking at 591M units.
• Volume-based support established at $0.164; resistance remains firm near $0.172.
• Recent candles show signs of accumulation, particularly during the 02:00–02:02 period (3.4M volume).
• RSI at 33.29 suggests DOGE may be nearing oversold territory.
• Price is consolidating just above short-term support of $0.1696.
• If DOGE breaks above $0.1750, the next resistance zone lies at $0.1820; failure to do so could trigger a retest of $0.1640 or even $0.150 in a risk-off environment.
• Technical patterns point to a descending triangle — typically a bearish signal — but reduced volatility suggests stabilization.

Disclaimer: Portions of this article were generated with the assistance of AI tools and reviewed by CoinDesk’s editorial team for accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk’s full AI Policy.

An analyst who has earned the Master Trader rank on the crypto exchange Bybit thinks Solana (SOL) looks good after recovering a key support level.

Pseudonymous analyst Bluntz tells his 319,800 followers on the social media platform X that Solana is flashing a swing failure pattern (SFP) on the four-hour chart after losing support at $160 at the end of May, only to recover the price level days later.

An SFP is typically viewed as a reversal pattern, and in Solana’s case, the inability of bears to push prices lower indicates a failure to sustain downward momentum, potentially triggering a shift in market sentiment.

Says Bluntz,

“Quite liking the SOL’s reaction after taking the lows, working on a reclaim now, still early days but very promising in my opinion. If this reclaims, it’s go time.”

At time of writing, SOL is trading at $160.33, slightly above the trader’s key support level.

The analyst is also bullish on the artificial intelligence (AI)-focused crypto project ai16z (AI16Z). According to Bluntz, the altcoin appears to have completed an ABC correction on the daily chart, suggesting that the coin has printed a durable bottom.

Bluntz practices the Elliott Wave theory, which states that an asset is primed to ignite rallies after completing an ABC correction.

“Of all my alt scans this morning, ai16z has the most textbook impulsive five-wave rise on high timeframes starting in April and now a very clean, clear three-wave ABC back into the major 0.618.

It doesn’t get more textbook than this. I think that’s a major bottom for this one.”

At time of writing, ai16z is worth $0.25.

The last coin on the trader’s radar is Gigachad (GIGA), a memecoin built on the Solana blockchain. Bluntz says GIGA appears to be following in the footsteps of fellow memecoin SPX6900 (SPX), an altcoin that’s up about 360% since bottoming out in March.

“GIGA looking pretty good in my opinion, so many similarities.

Love it or hate it, Murad coins look spicy.” 

At time of writing, GIGA is worth $0.23.

Follow us on X, Facebook and Telegram

Don’t Miss a Beat – Subscribe to get email alerts delivered directly to your inbox

Check Price Action

Surf The Daily Hodl Mix

&nbsp

Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

Generated Image: Midjourney

A crypto strategist who nailed the Bitcoin top in January is warning that BTC’s recovery rally may witness an abrupt end.

Pseudonymous analyst Bluntz tells his 318,200 followers on the social media platform X that Bitcoin appears to be forming a bearish divergence on the daily chart.

The bearish reversal signal suggests that bullish momentum is waning even though an asset’s price is moving higher or sideways.

Says Bluntz,

“There’s a daily BTC bear div brewing here if it closes red by [today].

It’s unfortunate that it has appeared before fresh all-time highs, but it’s the first one since last year.

Be careful with longs in my opinion.”

At time of writing, Bitcoin is trading for $105,546.

Turning to gold, the analyst believes that the precious metal is poised to ignite a rally to a new all-time high after completing an ABC corrective wave.

Bluntz practices the Elliott Wave theory, which states a bullish asset will continue its uptrend after an ABC correction.

The trader shares a chart suggesting that gold will rally to a new record high of $3,600.

“Gold gathering steam for the next leg up here.”

At time of writing, gold is worth $3,221.

As for the memecoin Floki (FLOKI), Bluntz predicts that the altcoin would dip to around $0.00008 before exploding to $0.00018.

“Looks like FLOKI is one of the few memes with a clear impulse five-wave rise from the lows on the daily, indicating the low is in.

Would be very interested in bidding pullbacks around the 50 fib if given.

Have always had a soft spot for this one.”

At time of writing, FLOKI is worth $0.000098.

Follow us on X, Facebook and Telegram

Don’t Miss a Beat – Subscribe to get email alerts delivered directly to your inbox

Check Price Action

Surf The Daily Hodl Mix

&nbsp

Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

Generated Image: Midjourney

When crypto rallies, meme coins often outperform — and smart investors know these quieter moments are the perfect time to stock up before the next big move.

Wondering which tokens could turn into the breakout stars of the year?

You’re in the right place — here’s what you need to know.

Brett ($BRETT): The Breakout Star of Base

Brett ($BRETT) takes its roots from Matt Furie’s Boy’s Club series — the same universe that brought us $PEPE, one of the biggest meme coins in history.

But while Pepe lives on Ethereum’s mainnet, Brett is native to Base, Coinbase’s Layer 2 solution built on Ethereum.

Brett has quickly secured its spot as the leading meme coin on Base, now boasting a market cap of over half a billion dollars.

Already ranked as the eleventh-largest meme coin globally, Brett’s rapid rise hints that its best days may still be ahead.

Over the past week alone, Brett has soared by 65% and is currently trading at $0.05698, a level not seen since late January, which means it’s trading at a three-month high.

Although it hasn’t fully undone the downtrend over the year-to-date, this upswing showcases Brett’s durability and increasing appeal.

It should be added here that virtually every cryptocurrency has spiralled over this period due to concerns that US President Donald Trump’s tariffs on foreign goods amounted to a global trade war. These fears have since cooled as the US administration has signalled greater flexibility.

BTC Bull ($BTCBULL) — Combining Meme Coins with Bitcoin Rewards

BTC Bull ($BTCBULL) is shaking up the meme coin playbook by letting holders earn Bitcoin passively whenever BTC reaches milestone price points.

The model has struck a chord. The project generated over $100,000 within minutes of launch, and total investment has since ballooned to over $5 million in its first month.

Currently in presale at $0.00248, each new round introduces a small price bump — rewarding early adopters with better value.

For investors looking to generate ongoing passive income, $BTCBULL also supports staking with annual returns reaching up to 82% APY — blending the playful nature of meme coins with strong financial incentives.

Stay updated with BTC Bull on X and Telegram.

Popcat ($POPCAT) — Solana’s Meme Cat Pounces Back

Popcat ($POPCAT) has been making serious waves, showing just how fast meme coin momentum can shift.

Today alone, Popcat has soared 21%, and it’s up a massive 80% over the past week, fueled by heavy whale accumulation.

Now trading at $0.4123 with a market cap of $404.5 million, Popcat ranks as the sixth-largest meme coin on Solana.

Its breakout mirrors Solana’s growing dominance in the meme coin space, with the ecosystem’s meme sector now approaching $10 billion — nearly one-sixth of the entire meme market.

Chart watchers will also note the emergence of a bullish cup-and-handle formation, suggesting that if the market continues to rally, Popcat could soon revisit the $0.45 mark — a level last seen at the end of January.

The post 3 Meme Coins Flashing Bullish Signals Today – Under the Radar appeared first on Cryptonews.

Analyst and trader Kevin Svenson is leaning bullish on Bitcoin (BTC) amid a rally of over 10% by the crypto king since the 2025 low reached earlier this month.

In a new strategy session, Svenson tells his 82,800 YouTube subscribers that Bitcoin is looking bullish after the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator broke out of a downtrend on the crypto king’s weekly time frame.

The RSI is a momentum oscillator used to determine oversold and overbought conditions.

“Bitcoin has now seen yet another weekly RSI breakout. This is one of the most bullish signals that we’ve seen over the past, well, forever actually. Every time Bitcoin gets one of these weekly RSI downtrend breakouts, we see humongous swings to the upside. These weekly RSI breakouts are no joke.”

According to Svenson, Bitcoin could witness a bullish period that could last into the third quarter of this year if history repeats itself.

“And typically if you do a count [of the weekly RSI breakouts in Bitcoin’s history], these runs last typically about 12 to 14 weeks… which lands us at somewhere in July… or early August. So that means we have multiple months … end of July. Meaning the rest of April, May, June, July to see an uptrend form for Bitcoin.”

The analyst says that over the short term, Bitcoin is likely to trade in a range at roughly between $91,000 and $96,000 before moving higher.

“Bitcoin has made a bullish pivot, we are above the downtrend line…

…we’ve made significant progress over the past two days and there is room for more upside. We’re also sitting at a resistance so likely we get a lot of chop in this zone rather than just expecting straight lines.”

Bitcoin is trading at $93,837 at time of writing.

Follow us on X, Facebook and Telegram

Don’t Miss a Beat – Subscribe to get email alerts delivered directly to your inbox

Check Price Action

Surf The Daily Hodl Mix

&nbsp

Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

Generated Image: Midjourney

A crypto trader says a mid-cap altcoin flying under the radar looks primed to repeat Chainlink’s (LINK) blistering rally during the 2020 bull cycle.

Pseudonymous analyst Inmortal tells his 231,800 followers on the social media platform X that he’s bullish on the native asset of the layer-2 scaling solution Mantle (MNT).

According to Inmortal, MNT appears to be mirroring Chainlink’s consolidation from 2019 to 2020, which preceded LINK’s ascent from a low of $1.36 to a high of $53 – a whopping 3,797% explosion.

“MNT gives me early LINK vibes.

Many people think the bull market is over, but there are coins like Mantle that haven’t even started it yet.

Conviction play for me.”

Looking at the trader’s chart, he seems to suggest that MNT could soar to as high as $6 by next year. At time of writing, MNT is worth $0.66.

Turning to Bitcoin, Inmortal says BTC’s reaction at one crucial price area will determine whether the crypto king will see new lows this cycle. The trader shares a chart suggesting that BTC may mirror its 2022 price action when it briefly soared above $45,000 before plunging to a bear market low at $16,000.

But Inmortal highlights that the bearish outlook will be invalidated if Bitcoin flips a key price level as support.

“$95,000 is where we find out if this bounce is a:

a) Last exit before new lows
b) Local bottom

BTC.”

At time of writing, Bitcoin is worth $87,355.

Follow us on X, Facebook and Telegram

Don’t Miss a Beat – Subscribe to get email alerts delivered directly to your inbox

Check Price Action

Surf The Daily Hodl Mix

&nbsp

Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

Generated Image: Midjourney

Crypto analytics firm Swissblock is saying that the bearish trend for Bitcoin (BTC) could be over.

Swissblock says Bitcoin’s bearish structure is “crumbling” as the crypto king breaks out of a bearish compression pattern into a bullish quadrant – a price zone that signals likely upward price momentum.

“Historically, this signals more upside, even a brief dip won’t stop it.”

Swissblock says the price of Bitcoin held relatively steady earlier this week as equities were declining in value. According to the analytics firm, a low-risk regime favorable to risk assets is approaching, and that will provide a “perfect setup” for the crypto king. Swissblock, however, says that before going up, Bitcoin could fall by around 5% from the current level to about $80,000.

The analytics firm further says that long-term holders of Bitcoin are holding firm and are not selling out of “fear.” Citing data from Swissblock Technologies, the analytics firm says that the worst sell-off by long-term holders has ended and was not as severe as what occurred in July and August of 2024.

With regard to Bitcoin whales, Swissblock says that the holdings of the large holders of BTC have reached a one-year high after resuming the accumulation process this month.

“Whales are back, nearing all-time high BTC holdings since the halving.

Strong hands are accumulating faster, holding price but, of course, waiting for the best bid.”

The fourth Bitcoin halving occurred on April 19th of 2024. Bitcoin is trading at $84,490 at time of writing.

Follow us on X, Facebook and Telegram

Don’t Miss a Beat – Subscribe to get email alerts delivered directly to your inbox

Check Price Action

Surf The Daily Hodl Mix

&nbsp

Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

Featured Image: Shutterstock/Everyonephoto Studio/Chuenmanuse