Fades – Earlybirds Invest https://earlybirdsinvest.com Latest Crypto News Wed, 21 May 2025 01:29:39 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.9.7 https://i0.wp.com/earlybirdsinvest.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/cropped-New-Project-2024-12-17T235703.455.png?fit=32%2C32&ssl=1 Fades – Earlybirds Invest https://earlybirdsinvest.com 32 32 240146708 Dogecoin Momentum Fades – Analyst Expects $0.213 Retest https://earlybirdsinvest.com/dogecoin-momentum-fades-analyst-expects-0-213-retest/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/dogecoin-momentum-fades-analyst-expects-0-213-retest/#respond Wed, 21 May 2025 01:29:38 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/dogecoin-momentum-fades-analyst-expects-0-213-retest/

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Dogecoin has entered a critical phase as it consolidates below the $0.26 resistance level, facing rising pressure after a sharp rejection last week. Since tagging a local high on May 10th, DOGE has dropped over 18%, retracing some of the gains from its impressive rally that began in early April. Bulls had built strong momentum following the breakout above $0.13, which marked a 100% price surge within a month. However, recent price action suggests the move may be stalling.

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The market now watches closely to see if Dogecoin can defend current levels or if further downside is on the horizon. According to top analyst Ali Martinez, the latest rejection has opened the door for a possible revisit to the $0.213 level — a key zone that previously served as both resistance and support. This level may now act as a magnet for price if bullish control continues to fade.

While sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, the next move will depend on whether bulls can reclaim momentum or if DOGE breaks below its local range. The coming days could define the trajectory of Dogecoin’s midterm trend, with volatility likely to pick up.

Speculation Rises But DOGE Faces Crucial Test

During the recent correction that sent shockwaves across the crypto market, meme coins like Dogecoin were among the most heavily affected assets. As Bitcoin and major altcoins faced steep retracements, DOGE experienced an aggressive pullback, shedding over 18% since May 10th and erasing a significant portion of its earlier gains. This correction disrupted the bullish structure that had formed after DOGE surged over 100% from early April, following a breakout above the $0.13 mark.

Despite the drop, speculation continues to mount around Dogecoin’s potential to lead if the market regains momentum. Historically, DOGE has acted as a high-beta asset, often outperforming in euphoric phases of the cycle. With the broader market attempting to stabilize, some analysts view DOGE as a likely beneficiary if sentiment shifts bullish once again.

Still, risks remain. Price is now hovering just above key support levels, and a failure to hold this zone could trigger a deeper retracement. Martinez shared a technical view suggesting that if current levels fail to hold, Dogecoin may want to revisit the $0.213 level — a critical area that previously acted as a launchpad during the April breakout.

Dogecoin fails to keep pushing above supply | Source: Ali Martinez on X
Dogecoin fails to keep pushing above supply | Source: Ali Martinez on X

The coming sessions are likely to be decisive. The meme coin narrative could regain strength if bulls reclaim control and push DOGE back toward the $0.26 resistance. However, if bearish momentum builds and DOGE breaks lower, it would signal a continuation of the current downtrend. For now, all eyes remain on this pivotal support zone as Dogecoin navigates a high-stakes moment within the broader market’s uncertain conditions.

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Technical Details: Dogecoin Facing Crucial Demand

Dogecoin (DOGE) is showing signs of weakness after failing to hold above key resistance near $0.26 earlier this month. The daily chart indicates that DOGE is currently trading at $0.221, consolidating just above the 200-day EMA ($0.219) and below the 200-day SMA ($0.269). This range has acted as a battleground between bulls and bears, with the recent candles forming tight-bodied structures, signaling indecision.

DOGE consolidates above the 200-day EMA | Source: DOGEUSDT chart on TradingView
DOGE consolidates above the 200-day EMA | Source: DOGEUSDT chart on TradingView

Volume has declined notably since the early May breakout, suggesting a loss of momentum and trader interest. If DOGE loses the $0.219–$0.220 support zone, the next logical support level sits near $0.213, aligning with analyst concerns of a potential retest of that level. A breakdown below this area could trigger further downside pressure toward the $0.19 zone.

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On the upside, reclaiming the 200-day SMA at $0.269 would be a significant bullish signal, as it would place DOGE back above long-term resistance. However, the current trend favors a cautious stance, especially amid broader market uncertainty and weakened sentiment across altcoins. Overall, the chart reflects a pause in bullish momentum and rising risk of a deeper retrace unless DOGE regains strength above key moving averages. The next few days could determine whether consolidation holds or turns into a full correction.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

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Bitcoin Exchange Deposits Hit 2016 Lows – HODL Sentiment Grows As Selling Pressure Fades https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-exchange-deposits-hit-2016-lows-hodl-sentiment-grows-as-selling-pressure-fades/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-exchange-deposits-hit-2016-lows-hodl-sentiment-grows-as-selling-pressure-fades/#respond Thu, 24 Apr 2025 23:33:16 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-exchange-deposits-hit-2016-lows-hodl-sentiment-grows-as-selling-pressure-fades/

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Bitcoin is now setting the stage for what could become a massive bull run. After surging more than 26% since April 9, BTC is trading firmly above the $90K level, regaining key technical ground and shifting market sentiment. Still, caution lingers. Global tensions, particularly around the escalating trade conflict between the US and China, and broader macroeconomic uncertainty continue to weigh on investor confidence.

Despite these risks, on-chain data paints a compelling picture. Top analyst Axel Adler shared insights on X showing a sharp decline in the number of Bitcoin addresses depositing to exchanges—a potential sign of reduced selling pressure. The 30-day moving average has dropped well below the 365-day average.

Most notably, the current level of exchange-depositing addresses is now comparable to that of December 2016, just before the historic 2017 bull run. If these trends persist, Bitcoin may soon break into price discovery, fueled by long-term holders and renewed institutional interest.

Bitcoin Decouples From Equities As HODL Sentiment Strengthens

Bitcoin is showing signs of macro-level strength as it begins to decouple from U.S. equities. While the S&P 500 and NASDAQ face continued pressure due to mounting global tensions and investor unease, BTC has rallied—reaching a local high around $94,000. This divergence signals a potential shift in market behavior, where Bitcoin is increasingly seen as a hedge or alternative to traditional assets during periods of uncertainty.

One key factor supporting this divergence is the rising conviction among long-term holders. According to Adler’s insights, the number of Bitcoin addresses depositing coins to exchanges has declined steadily since 2022. The 30-day moving average has now dropped to 52,000 addresses, significantly below the 365-day average of 71,000. Historically, this figure hovered closer to 92,000, making the current level one of the lowest in the past decade.

Bitcoin Exchange Depositing Addresses Count | Source: Axel Adler on X
Bitcoin Exchange Depositing Addresses Count | Source: Axel Adler on X

What’s most striking is that today’s numbers resemble those last seen in December 2016, right before Bitcoin’s explosive 2017 bull run. This decline in exchange activity implies that investors are holding, not selling—a trend that has reduced coin sales by a factor of four over the past three years. With selling pressure dropping and investor conviction rising, Bitcoin may be laying the groundwork for a powerful new rally.

Price Action Signals Strength With Key Levels In Sight

Bitcoin is currently trading at $92,300 after posting a strong weekly candle that briefly pushed into the $95,000 level. Bulls have taken control of short-term momentum, and the $95K mark now stands as a key resistance level. A decisive breakout above it could trigger a fast move toward the long-awaited $100K milestone, especially if buying pressure accelerates amid favorable macro signals.

BTC testing the $95K resistance | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView
BTC testing the $95K resistance | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

However, analysts also suggest that a healthy retracement may occur before any significant breakout. A pullback could offer stronger technical support for the next leg up, especially if Bitcoin maintains its position above the 200-day moving average and key demand zones.

The $88,500 level is especially important in this context. Holding above this zone would signal short-term strength and continued bullish control, even in the event of a consolidation phase. Falling below it, on the other hand, could delay the uptrend and bring a retest of deeper support.

Overall, BTC’s current structure favors the bulls. But with global tensions and macroeconomic uncertainty still shaping market behavior, traders are watching closely to see if Bitcoin can build on its recent gains and turn $95K into support.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

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