After enduring months of aggressive selling pressure, Ethereum is finally showing signs of life. As bullish momentum slowly builds, hopes for a recovery rally are beginning to resurface. While ETH continues to trade below the key $2,000 mark, bulls are actively defending critical demand zones in an effort to reclaim lost ground and reestablish a bullish structure.

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The market has been under stress for much of 2025, with Ethereum suffering extended drawdowns and repeated rejections at resistance. However, sentiment is shifting. Top analyst Ted Pillows recently shared a technical analysis noting that Ethereum has officially broken out of its downtrend for the first time since December 2024—an early sign that conditions could be improving.

This breakout marks a key shift in structure and comes as trading volume starts to recover. Traders and investors are now watching closely to see if ETH can sustain its recent strength and push back above $2,000, which remains a major psychological and technical barrier. The next few days may prove critical, as Ethereum tests its newfound momentum in a still-uncertain macro environment. If bulls succeed, a broader altcoin rally could follow.

Ethereum Consolidates As Bullish Momentum Begins to Build

Ethereum is currently trading around the $1,800 level, consolidating in a narrow range after a prolonged period of downside pressure. While the broader market begins to heat up, ETH still lacks a clear directional move and remains over 55% below its December 2024 highs. Despite this, subtle shifts in structure suggest a potential trend change, especially in the lower time frames where early bullish patterns are beginning to emerge.

The price action reflects a critical inflection point. Ethereum is hovering near major support zones, and bulls must now build enough momentum to break above key resistance levels if they want to regain control. So far, the consolidation has provided a base, but a definitive move has yet to materialize. The next leg—whether up or down—will likely be decisive for ETH’s near-term trend.

Pillows recently shared a notable technical development: Ethereum has finally broken out of its downtrend for the first time since December 2024. Previous breakout attempts were rejected, but this time the breakout appears stronger and more sustained, supported by improving market sentiment and structure.

Pillows believes it’s time for Ethereum to catch up to the broader market. While Bitcoin pushes toward new highs, ETH has lagged behind. If the current breakout holds, Ethereum could accelerate quickly and potentially retest key psychological levels above $2,000. The next few trading sessions will be critical for confirming this breakout’s validity and determining whether Ethereum is ready to lead the next phase of the crypto bull cycle. For now, all eyes remain on whether bulls can maintain momentum and turn this early strength into a sustained rally.

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Technical View: Bulls Struggle To Reclaim $2,000 Level

Ethereum (ETH) is currently trading at $1,807.99, consolidating in a tight range after a sharp recovery from its April lows. The 4-hour chart shows ETH holding above both the 200-period simple moving average (SMA) at $1,700.49 and the 200-period exponential moving average (EMA) at $1,783.99—two key dynamic support levels that are now being retested as the asset tries to build bullish structure.

While price action remains choppy, ETH appears to be forming a base above the $1,780 zone. The recent breakout above the downtrend line that defined price action since December 2024 is still intact, suggesting that Ethereum may be preparing for a larger move. Volume has decreased slightly during this consolidation phase, typical of a market waiting for a trigger.

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Ethereum continues to trade well below the psychological $2,000 resistance, but short-term momentum is slowly favoring the bulls. A break above the $1,860–$1,880 range could clear the way for a push to retest $2,000. However, failure to hold the 200 EMA could send ETH back toward the $1,740–$1,700 demand zone.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin’s (BTC) recent uptrend has likely set the stage for a six-figure price mark, catalyzing increased trading activity in the memecoin sector, where DOGE and SHIB are seeing bullish activity.

BTC, the leading cryptocurrency by market value, briefly topped $95,000 soon before press time, the highest since March 2, CoinDesk data show. The move comes three days after prices crossed above the Ichimoku cloud momentum indicator, signaling a bullish shift in the market trend.

Supporting the constructive outlook are the consecutive daily candles with long tails (marked by box), suggestive of buy the dip mentality, and the upward-sloping five- and 10-day simple moving averages (SMA). Additionally, the daily chart MACD histogram prints higher bars above the zero line to suggest strengthening upward momentum.

In other words, the path of least resistance is likely on the higher side, hinting at a continued move higher to $100,000, which is also the most popular call option strike on Deribit. The bullish outlook risks negation below $88,800, the former resistance-turned-support.

AI’s take on SHIB and DOGE

Amid this bullish backdrop for bitcoin, the CoinDesk AI market insight bot has identified a breakout in SHIB, the world’s second-largest meme coin, suggesting increased risk-taking in the broader crypto market.

“Bitcoin’s rise above $92K has triggered increased memecoin trading, with SHIB breaking out of a year-to-date falling channel and showing bullish technical indicators, ” the bot said. “SHIB has demonstrated exceptional volatility with a 15.6% price fluctuation, establishing strong support at 0.00001225 after bottoming on April 21.”

The chart shows that SHIB has topped the trendline, characterizing the year-to-date downtrend and is looking to establish a foothold above the Ichimoku cloud, following BTC’s lead. That would confirm the trend reversal higher.

Meanwhile, DOGE, the world’s leading cryptocurrency by market value, could soon follow suit, with the AI bot pointing to investor accumulation at around 18 cents.

“Recent price action shows consolidation above 0.180 with decreasing volatility, suggesting accumulation before [bullish] continuation,” the bot said.

DOGE has risen over 35% since probing lows under 13 cents on April 7.

• XRP price started a downside correction from the $2.250 resistance zone.
• The price is now trading below $2.120 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
• There was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support at $2.140 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken).
• The pair might extend losses if there is a close below the $2.050 support zone.

XRP Price Dips Again

XRP price started a fresh increase above the $1.980 resistance, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price climbed above the $2.020 and $2.050 resistance levels.

A high was formed at $2.244 and the price recently started a downside correction. There was a move below the $2.120 support zone. Besides, there was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support at $2.140 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair.

The price even spiked below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1.920 swing low to the $2.244 high. The price is now trading below $2.120 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.

On the upside, the price might face resistance near the $2.120 level. The first major resistance is near the $2.180 level. The next resistance is $2.20. A clear move above the $2.20 resistance might send the price toward the $2.250 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $2.320 resistance or even $2.350 in the near term. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be $2.50.

Another Decline?

If XRP fails to clear the $2.120 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $2.050 level and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1.920 swing low to the $2.244 high. The next major support is near the $2.00 level.

If there is a downside break and a close below the $2.00 level, the price might continue to decline toward the $1.920 support. The next major support sits near the $1.840 zone.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now below the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $2.050 and $2.00.

Major Resistance Levels – $2.120 and $2.180.

President Trump’s official memecoin (TRUMP) is about to go through a massive token unlock worth about $341 million.

According to crypto tokenomics data aggregator Tokenomist, 40 million TRUMP tokens will be unlocked on the open market on April 18th.

With 199 million TRUMP tokens currently in circulation, the unlock represents about 20% of the memecoin’s circulating supply.

TRUMP currently has a market cap of $1.69 billion and a fully diluted valuation (FDV) of $8.48 billion.

Token unlocks are often considered bearish for crypto assets, given that new supply will soon be available and sell pressure may be higher.

Like most digital assets, TRUMP suffered recently following the escalation of the president’s trade war, starting when he signed an executive order that slapped tariffs on all imported goods entering the US with the stated goal of protecting domestic manufacturing.

Despite the unlock, cryptocurrency trader and analyst Ali Martinez is leaning bullish on TRUMP.

Martinez tells his 134,800 followers on the social media platform X that TRUMP could be preparing for a bullish reversal based on the Tom DeMark (TD) Sequential indicator on the weekly time frame.

The TD Sequential indicator is used to identify potential trend reversal points in technical analysis.

Says Martinez,

“The TD Sequential just flashed a buy signal on the TRUMP weekly chart!

Key support: $7.13
Breakout confirmation: $11.96
Target: $17.94.”

At time of writing, TRUMP is worth $8.37.

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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Solana has staged an impressive comeback, rallying over 25% from its recent low of $95 earlier this week. The sharp move followed a major shift in macroeconomic sentiment after US President Donald Trump announced a 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs for all countries except China, which was hit with a 125% tariff. The temporary relief sparked a renewed wave of optimism in financial markets, helping risk-on assets like Solana regain strength after weeks of heavy selling pressure.

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Top analyst Bluntz weighed in on the rally, sharing on X that the recent bounce could be more than just a short-term reaction. He noted that Solana’s latest downtrend lasted nearly three months—a duration he believes could mirror the length of the current recovery phase. If his analysis plays out, SOL may be entering a sustained period of upward momentum.

Despite broader market uncertainty and continued global tensions, Solana’s sharp rebound is offering bulls some relief and potentially setting the stage for a longer-term rally. Traders are now closely watching key resistance levels and overall market sentiment to determine whether this bounce will evolve into a lasting trend shift.

Solana Eyes Recovery After Deep Correction

Solana has finally seen a burst of buying activity after enduring nearly three months of relentless selling pressure. Since reaching its all-time high in January, SOL has lost more than 60% of its value, with bulls losing momentum the moment prices slipped below the $180 level. The correction was deep, sharp, and reflective of broader weakness in crypto and traditional markets as macroeconomic tensions escalated.

President Trump’s continued push for tariffs has added significant stress to global markets, dampening risk appetite and weighing heavily on altcoins like Solana. The environment has been far from friendly for speculative assets, but the recent bounce suggests that sentiment may be shifting.

Bluntz’s insights on X note that Solana’s previous downward leg lasted nearly three months—a timeline he believes the current recovery could mirror. According to his analysis, this bounce could impact prices by as much as 75% in the near term, with a potential target around the $200 level. While it’s too early to confirm a full trend reversal, this optimistic outlook offers some hope to investors holding through the drawdown.

For now, Solana must reclaim key resistance levels and sustain momentum above $120 to validate a broader recovery phase. The next few weeks will be critical as volatility continues to dominate and global tensions remain.

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Bulls Must Hold $110 And Reclaim $130 to Confirm Recovery

Solana is currently trading at $114 after briefly dropping below the critical $100 support level earlier this week. The recent bounce has given bulls a fighting chance, but price action remains fragile. For Solana to confirm a recovery rally, bulls need to reclaim the 4-hour 200-day Moving Average (MA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA), both of which sit around the $130 level.

Holding above the $110 support zone is key. If SOL manages to maintain strength at current levels and successfully pushes above $130, it could open the door for a massive upside move. A breakout above the 4-hour MAs would likely trigger fresh momentum and renewed buying pressure, potentially sending Solana back into the $150–$180 range.

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However, the bullish outlook hinges entirely on reclaiming these technical levels. Failing to do so could lead to renewed consolidation in the $100–$115 range or even spark another sell-off. If Solana falls back below $110 and retests the $100 mark, it could invite further downside and shake investor confidence again. The coming days will be pivotal as bulls try to shift momentum and stabilize the recent recovery.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView 

• ADA price failed to recover above the $0.70 resistance zone.
• The price is trading below $0.680 and the 100-hourly simple moving average.
• There was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support at $0.6720 on the hourly chart of the ADA/USD pair (data source from Kraken).
• The pair could start another increase if it clears the $0.70 resistance zone.

Cardano Price Dips Again

In the past few days, Cardano saw a recovery wave from the $0.6350 zone, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. ADA was able to climb above the $0.680 and $0.6880 resistance levels.

However, the bears were active above the $0.70 zone. A high was formed at $0.7090 and the price corrected most gains. There was a move below the $0.650 level. Besides, there was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support at $0.6720 on the hourly chart of the ADA/USD pair.

A low was formed at $0.6356 and the price is now consolidating losses near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $0.7090 swing high to the $0.6356 low. Cardano price is now trading below $0.680 and the 100-hourly simple moving average.

On the upside, the price might face resistance near the $0.6720 zone or the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $0.7090 swing high to the $0.6356 low. The first resistance is near $0.6950. The next key resistance might be $0.700.

If there is a close above the $0.70 resistance, the price could start a strong rally. In the stated case, the price could rise toward the $0.7420 region. Any more gains might call for a move toward $0.7650 in the near term.

Another Drop in ADA?

If Cardano’s price fails to climb above the $0.6720 resistance level, it could start another decline. Immediate support on the downside is near the $0.6420 level.

The next major support is near the $0.6350 level. A downside break below the $0.6350 level could open the doors for a test of $0.620. The next major support is near the $0.60 level where the bulls might emerge.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for ADA/USD is losing momentum in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for ADA/USD is now below the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $0.6420 and $0.6350.

Major Resistance Levels – $0.6720 and $0.7000.

The sell-side risk ratio (SSR) is an important predictor of holder behavior. The Sell-side Risk Ratio (SSR) measures the potential “risk” of sell-side pressure entering the market. At heart, it signals how likely (or forceful) a wave of distribution could be relative to both price and the current liquidity climate.

If the SSR trends are high, it often suggests a significant supply overhang waiting in the wings: large holders might be looking to realize profits or short-term holders might be itching to sell into strength. Conversely, investors are less willing to part with their coins when the SSR is low or hovering in an equilibrium band or have no compelling reason to liquidate in size at current price levels.

Fundamentally, SSR matters because it can foreshadow significant inflection points in the market. It usually indicates accelerated profit-taking (or fear-based selling) if it spikes. When the ratio remains flat or retreats, it suggests the market has reached some level of balance between buyers and sellers, thereby signaling less near-term volatility, at least until a new catalyst emerges.

Bitcoin is famously sensitive to shifts in global liquidity. When liquidity is abundant, risk assets like Bitcoin tend to thrive; when liquidity tightens, risk assets often wilt as capital has fewer avenues (and less inclination) to chase higher-beta opportunities.

Because the SSR partly reflects the psychology of existing holders, whether they are willing to sell in bulk or continue to hold, tracking it alongside market volume can offer a unique measure of incoming or outgoing liquidity. A low or stable SSR in a declining liquidity environment often indicates that most “weak” hands have already sold, leaving a base of relatively strong hands who are more comfortable holding through volatility.

The SSR appears notably flat within a mid-range in the second half of March. This flatness suggests a kind of ceasefire between buyers and sellers. Put differently, neither side is especially motivated to take aggressive action.

This indicates a lack of heavy profit-taking. If long-term holders or short-term speculators believed Bitcoin was overvalued, we would see a noticeable uptick in SSR as more coins came onto the market. Instead, the stable ratio hints that participants are not rushing to cash out.

The data also indicates an absence of sell-offs. Typically, leading into a bear market, we see some capitulation where the realized cap starts to drop significantly, and the SSR might spike (reflecting panic or forced selling). Instead, the market has been drifting, with only marginal selling events. That keeps SSR comfortably in a range rather than skyrocketing.

Data from CryptoQuant also shows that spot trading volumes have pulled back from peaks seen late last year and earlier in the first quarter. Spot volumes dropped from around the $15 billion per day region (in some instances) to roughly $5 billion per day more recently. Meanwhile, the price has been meandering around mid-range levels, implying there is not enough fresh demand to push us significantly higher, but also not enough supply flood to tank prices outright.

The data suggests that as volume declined, price entered a sideways or consolidative phase, reinforcing the idea that large new capital inflows have momentarily slowed. With lower spot volumes, the price also struggles to break out strongly in either direction.

On-chain data shows long-term holders (LTH) have not significantly reduced their positions. Indeed, a large chunk of BTC’s realized cap is controlled by addresses that display historically low spending behavior. This indicates a sense of “conviction” that helps keep SSR from spiking since these holders are less likely to sell at current price levels.

The flat reading of the SSR ratio indicates a market at an uneasy standstill: not enough fresh capital to fuel a rally, yet no mass exodus to trigger a punishing drawdown. Despite shrinking spot volumes and ETF outflows, we are not seeing the same frantic selling or steep price declines typical of a full-blown bear.

Instead, Bitcoin’s long-term holder base continues to prop up the market, indicating that if global liquidity improves, the stage could be set for renewed upside. Meanwhile, a low-liquidity environment and a holder-dominated supply keep Bitcoin floating in a mid-range zone, waiting for the next wave of conviction, whether its bullish or bearish.

The post Bitcoin floats in a midrange limbo as sell-side risk ratio remains subdued amid downtrend in spot volume trends appeared first on CryptoSlate.

A seasoned crypto trader is warning that the current bounce in the altcoin market will likely be short-lived.

Pseudonymous analyst The Flow Horse tells his 266,500 followers on the social media platform X that he thinks crypto is still bearish and the latest rally will probably lead to another leg down.

According to the analyst, the current bounce has not changed the bearish market structure of crypto.

“Bearish still on the high time frame until proven otherwise.

I can’t see any reason why this isn’t a relief rally and markets won’t continue to suck the next few months.

Chart is still broken.”

Elaborating on his bearish stance on crypto, the trader says on the instant messaging platform Telegram that the downtrend will likely persist unless Bitcoin (BTC) flips a key price area into support.

“I think we are at the part where the correction can be, as I said the other day, one that is more through time than through price.

I will be looking at how FARTCOIN, HYPE, PEPE, ENA and BERA continue to trade.

Being that it is a Bitcoin dominance macro trend, there is no reason to assume that changes, and any success in alts is going to come down to if BTC can turn this $90,000-$93,000 level into support.”

At time of writing, Bitcoin is trading for $87,813.

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Generated Image: MIdjourney

Solana (SOL) has delivered a dramatic shift in market structure, breaking above a descending parallel channel that had dominated its price action for several weeks. Ali Martinez (@ali_charts), who shared the attached four-hour chart, suggests that this breakout could position the token for a potential climb toward $213.

Solana Bulls Regain Momentum

The chart, which spans from January into early March, shows a steadily declining pattern where price repeatedly tested and respected both the upper and lower boundaries of the channel before the latest bullish push propelled SOL beyond the channel’s resistance.

The descending parallel channel highlighted in Martinez’s analysis is visually evident from a series of lower highs and lower lows, forming a consistent downward slope. Each brief recovery in previous weeks failed to clear the channel’s midline, reinforcing bearish pressure. However, once SOL’s price managed to rise above this midline, bullish momentum began to build, culminating in a decisive move through the upper boundary. This kind of channel breakout often suggests that sellers have been exhausted, allowing buyers to take control of the market.

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Notably, the breakout comes with two major catalysts for Solana. First, the massive Solana unlock by the FTX estate is done (March 1). Second, yesterday, US President Donald Trump announced the inclusion of Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Cardano and Solana in the United States’ Strategic Crypto Reserve.

One of the most critical elements in Martinez’s forecast is the $213 target, which is derived from the channel’s height from the breakout point in combination with 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. Currently, in the aftermath of a breakout, a retest of the broken resistance is taking place —to turn it into support. The $160-165 zone is the area where buyers might attempt to defend the token’s new uptrend.

To the upside, the key Fibonacci retracement levels above Solana’s current price of $170.19 are $174.11 (0.618), $192.62 (0.5), $213.11 (0.382), and $241.50 (0.236), with the full retracement level at $295.60 (0.0) serving as the ultimate bullish target based on the chart’s structure.

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The overall sentiment among analysts supports Martinez’s bullish outlook. Jelle (@CryptoJelleNL) pointed to the significant Solana unlock event that is now behind us and underscored the fact that the weekly candle closed in the green. According to his observations, SOL has reclaimed crucial support after taking out its lows, with a trendline that continues to hold firmly.

“Massive $SOL unlock behind us, and the weekly candle closed in the green. Lows taken out, support retested, trendline holding. Pretty sure the next SOL push sends it into price discovery – hard,” he writes via X.

Adding to the positive market narrative, Chris Burniske, a partner at Placeholder VC, remarked via X that BTC, ETH, and SOL all posted favorable weekly closes and that the long-term trend across these leading cryptocurrencies remains to the upside. “BTC ETH and SOL couldn’t have asked for better closes on the weeklies. The long term trend remains: UP,” Burniske says.

From a technical perspective, much hinges on Solana’s ability to sustain its breakout. The descending channel had functioned as a clear reference for bearish sentiment, and breaching it suggests a significant change in the market’s psychology.

At press time, SOL traded at $164.

Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Ethereum price failed to continue higher above the $2,880 resistance. ETH is now moving lower and might slip further toward the $2,320 support.

• Ethereum started a fresh decline below the $2,700 level.
• The price is trading below $2,700 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
• There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2,680 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken).
• The pair could start a fresh decline if it stays below the $2,700 level.

Ethereum Price Recovery Fades

Ethereum price started a recovery wave above the $2,650 level, like Bitcoin. ETH was able to surpass the $2,700 and $2,750 resistance levels to move into a short-term positive zone.

However, the bears were active above $2,800 and the price started another decline. There was a move below the $2,720 and $2,700 levels. The price dipped and tested the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $2,127 swing low to the $2,923 high.

Ethereum price is now trading below $2,700 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2,680 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD.

On the upside, the price seems to be facing hurdles near the $2,680 level and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. The first major resistance is near the $2,700 level. The main resistance is now forming near $2,880 or $2,920. A clear move above the $2,920 resistance might send the price toward the $3,000 resistance.

An upside break above the $3,000 resistance might call for more gains in the coming sessions. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $3,050 resistance zone or even $3,120 in the near term.

More Losses In ETH?

If Ethereum fails to clear the $2,700 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $2,525 level. The first major support sits near the $2,440 zone.

A clear move below the $2,440 support might push the price toward the $2,320 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $2,250 support level in the near term. The next key support sits at $2,120.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now below the 50 zone.

Major Support Level – $2,525

Major Resistance Level – $2,440