Divergence – Earlybirds Invest https://earlybirdsinvest.com Latest Crypto News Fri, 22 Aug 2025 22:18:32 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.9.7 https://i0.wp.com/earlybirdsinvest.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/cropped-New-Project-2024-12-17T235703.455.png?fit=32%2C32&ssl=1 Divergence – Earlybirds Invest https://earlybirdsinvest.com 32 32 240146708 Bitcoin Weakness Vs. Ethereum Strength: On-Chain Data Reveals Divergence https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-weakness-vs-ethereum-strength-on-chain-data-reveals-divergence/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-weakness-vs-ethereum-strength-on-chain-data-reveals-divergence/#respond Fri, 22 Aug 2025 22:18:32 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-weakness-vs-ethereum-strength-on-chain-data-reveals-divergence/

As Bitcoin (BTC) stalls near the $113,000 level, Ethereum (ETH) continues to show strength, highlighting a clear divergence in price action between the top two cryptocurrencies by market cap. This contrast has some investors considering a rotation from BTC into ETH to capture the latter’s bullish momentum.

Bitcoin Shows Correction Risks – Is ETH Safe?

According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor XWIN Research Japan, on-chain data reveals underlying weakness in BTC price action. By contrast, ETH is displaying notable resilience even as broader crypto market momentum fades.

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Currently, Bitcoin’s exchange reserves are hovering around 2.53 million BTC, showing little sign of declining despite recent volatility. For context, BTC has fallen 5.4% over the past week.

bitcoin
Source: CryptoQuant

Historically, shrinking exchange reserves have indicated BTC moving off exchanges for long-term holding, which reduces near-term sell pressure. This time, however, reserves remain flat, suggesting that a significant portion of BTC supply is still liquid and available for selling.

Flat exchange reserves – combined with BTC’s recent drop from $123,000 to $113,000 – have raised red flags for a possible short-term correction. Meanwhile, ETH’s on-chain dynamics tell a very different story.

Unlike BTC, ETH has consistently recorded large net outflows from exchanges, with multiple spikes exceeding 300,000 ETH in late July and mid-August. XWIN Research Japan explained:

Outflows usually reflect coins moving into cold storage, staking, or institutional custody, tightening the available supply on the open market. ETH’s price has been between $4.150 to $4,400, aligning with the outflow trend and reinforcing a bullish narrative of a potential supply shock.

In short, while BTC is consolidating with lingering sell-side liquidity, ETH’s declining exchange balances signal rising institutional demand. These opposing dynamics suggest capital may be rotating from BTC to ETH.

ethereum
Source: CryptoQuant

Different Dynamics Between BTC And ETH

Beyond exchange reserves, other indicators also highlight further downside risk for BTC and growing institutional interest in ETH, reinforcing the market’s preference for Ethereum over Bitcoin.

Related Reading

For instance, noted crypto analyst Xanrox recently offered a dramatic price prediction for BTC, stating that it may crash all the way down to $60,000 – almost a 50% fall from its current market price.

Meanwhile, whales continue to increase their exposure to ETH, growing their holdings at a rapid pace as ETH’s relative strength compared to BTC improves. Yesterday, an Ethereum whale went long on $300 million worth of ETH on-chain.

From a technical perspective as well, things look positive for ETH, with a potential recovery to $4,788 on the cards. At press time, BTC trades at $112,283, down 0.7% in the past 24 hours.

bitcoin
Bitcoin trades at $112,283 on the daily chart | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView.com

Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com

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Bitcoin Neutral, Ethereum Strengthening: Divergence in Flow Data Raises Eyebrows https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-neutral-ethereum-strengthening-divergence-in-flow-data-raises-eyebrows/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-neutral-ethereum-strengthening-divergence-in-flow-data-raises-eyebrows/#respond Fri, 22 Aug 2025 20:51:00 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-neutral-ethereum-strengthening-divergence-in-flow-data-raises-eyebrows/

The crypto market is showing cautious movement as investors gear up for signals from the Federal Reserve’s Jackson Hole symposium.

Against this backdrop, Ethereum is seeing continued outflows tightening its market supply, which contrasts with Bitcoin’s unchanged reserves and ongoing sell-side liquidity.

Diverging Flows Between Bitcoin and Ethereum

There has been a growing divergence between Bitcoin and Ethereum. According to CryptoQuant, this indicates different market trajectories for the two leading cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin’s exchange reserves remain largely unchanged at around 2.53 million BTC, despite recent price swings.

Typically, falling reserves indicate that coins are being moved off exchanges into long-term storage, which eases selling pressure. The current stability in BTC reserves implies that a significant portion of supply remains liquid and available for sale. This, combined with Bitcoin’s pullback from $123,000 to near $113,000, points to potential short-term correction risks for the world’s largest cryptocurrency.

Ethereum, on the other hand, is continuously seeing net outflows from exchanges. Late July and mid-August saw multiple spikes of more than 300,000 ETH moved off exchanges, which reflects coins being transferred to cold storage, staking, or institutional custody.

These outflows reduce available supply on the open market and coincide with ETH trading in the $4,150-$4,400 range, and hence, support a bullish narrative driven by potential supply tightening.

Bitcoin’s stable exchange balances hint at caution and lingering sell-side liquidity, while Ethereum’s declining reserves signify growing long-term positioning and institutional interest. Market observers note that this behavior could drive capital rotation, with ETH showing stronger short- to medium-term bullish momentum relative to BTC.

Investors may view dips in BTC as potential entry points, whereas ETH flows indicate potential for growth.

Adjusting Portfolios Amid Diverging Trends

In a rare portfolio pivot, a Bitcoin whale who held the cryptocurrency for seven years has sold a portion of its stash to bet big on Ethereum. Lookonchain reported that the whale sold 670 BTC for $76 million on August 20, and converted the proceeds into four ETH positions of 68,130 coins. The whale’s original 14,837 BTC, which were accumulated through Binance and HTX years ago, was worth over $1.6 billion.

Most ETH positions were opened with 10x leverage around $4,300, while a smaller 2,449-ETH stake used 3x leverage. After execution, ETH’s price briefly slipped to $4,080, which pushed three positions into the red and close to liquidation at $3,699, $3,700, and $3,732.

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Etheric bullish divergence? ETH weekly price loss collides with $300 million whale purchase https://earlybirdsinvest.com/etheric-bullish-divergence-eth-weekly-price-loss-collides-with-300-million-whale-purchase/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/etheric-bullish-divergence-eth-weekly-price-loss-collides-with-300-million-whale-purchase/#respond Mon, 04 Aug 2025 04:15:07 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/etheric-bullish-divergence-eth-weekly-price-loss-collides-with-300-million-whale-purchase/

ether (eth) The market is at a critical time as whales snapped the ether (eth) It is worth millions and is bullishly positioned against the first weekly loss of cryptocurrency for more than a month.

According to Coindesk data, Ether, a native token for the programmable blockchain Ethereum, fell nearly 10% this week, reaching a low of under $3,400 at one point. This decline follows a robust five-week winning streak, followed by Wall Street losses, and will lead to profits and de-leverage.

But bearishness contrasts with a strong signal of long-term convictions from whales. According to on-chain data tracked by Arkham Intelligence, a single entity snapped a massive amount of ether worth $300 million as prices fell and performed a major “Dip The Dip” operation.

That’s the case of bullish divergence. While weekly price action suggests an immediate upward momentum and a loss of potential profit acquisition, significant whale purchases demonstrate the belief that the recent recession is merely a temporary recession.

The message is clear. If a price drop blows a weaker hand, and decisions from high convicted entities are determined, the process.

A post about X from Arkham Intelligence.

A fresh match between macro jitters, triggered by the buoyant US dollar and disappointing US employment data on Friday, put the crypto market behind.

Bitcoin, the largest digital asset by market value, was relatively resilient, down just 4.5% a week. BTC’s out-performance relative ETH confirms the market’s emotional emotions change with respect to ETH initially signaled by the options market.

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Shiba Inu Price Could See 180% Explosion As This Indicator Flashes Bullish Divergence https://earlybirdsinvest.com/shiba-inu-price-could-see-180-explosion-as-this-indicator-flashes-bullish-divergence/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/shiba-inu-price-could-see-180-explosion-as-this-indicator-flashes-bullish-divergence/#respond Mon, 07 Jul 2025 22:40:07 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/shiba-inu-price-could-see-180-explosion-as-this-indicator-flashes-bullish-divergence/

Crypto analyst Javon Marks has provided a bullish outlook for the Shiba Inu price, predicting a potential rally of 180%. The analyst alluded to an indicator that suggests that SHIB can record this explosive rally, reclaiming the psychological $0.00002 level in the process. 

Shiba Inu Price Eyes 180% Rally As MACD Forms Bullish Divergence

In an X post, Javon Marks stated that the Shiba Inu price has formed a clear Bullish Divergence with its Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). He further remarked that this points to a nearly 180% upside for SHIB to rally to $0.000032. Marks added that this may only be the start of a much larger positive reversal for the meme coin. 

Related Reading

His accompanying chart showed that the Shiba Inu price could hit this target between now and year-end. This provides a bullish outlook for the meme coin, which has greatly underperformed this year. SHIB has recorded a 45% loss year-to-date (YTD). Meanwhile, the coin is also down over 8% in the last 30 days. 

This represents a change of fortune for the meme coin, which recorded a gain of around 150% in 2024. However, based on Javon Marks’ analysis, the Shiba Inu price could still end this year in the green if it records this projected 180% rally. SHIB could also reclaim one of the top 10 spots in the ranking of cryptocurrencies by market cap. 

Shiba Inu
Source: Javon Mark on X

Fundamentals like the SHIB burns and network activity could spark this momentum for the Shiba Inu price. In an X post, a SHIB community member revealed that the meme coin has just shattered another record. Over 1.5 million on-chain wallets now hold the meme coin, with the number still rising. 

However, the SHIB burns will need to pick up as they remain unstable. Shibburn data shows that the daily burns have crashed by over 82%, with 1.5 million SHIB burned in the last 24 hours. The burn rate is also down around 11% in the last seven days, with 48 million SHIB burned during this period. 

SHIB Can Rally As Much As 600%

Javon Marks is still confident that the Shiba Inu price can rally as much as 600% in the long term. He recently stated that the $0.000081 target for SHIB remains unchanged and that sights are still on an over 609% uphill run to reach it in response to a massive holding breakout of the displayed resisting trend. 

Related Reading

The analyst remarked that due to the post-breakout action, he sees this target being broken above, bringing $0.0001553 in play. Marks, however, failed to provide a specific timeline for when this 600% Shiba Inu price rally could occur. 

At the time of writing, the Shiba Inu price is trading at around $0.00001181, up over 3% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

Shiba Inu
SHIB trading at $0.000011 on the 1D chart | Source: SHIBUSDT on Tradingview.com

Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

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Ethereum at a crossroads: SSV founder Alon Muroch on the ‘dangerous’ divergence affecting crypto’s number 2 coin https://earlybirdsinvest.com/ethereum-at-a-crossroads-ssv-founder-alon-muroch-on-the-dangerous-divergence-affecting-cryptos-number-2-coin/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/ethereum-at-a-crossroads-ssv-founder-alon-muroch-on-the-dangerous-divergence-affecting-cryptos-number-2-coin/#respond Sun, 15 Jun 2025 21:32:42 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/ethereum-at-a-crossroads-ssv-founder-alon-muroch-on-the-dangerous-divergence-affecting-cryptos-number-2-coin/

Welcome to Slate Sundays, CryptoSlate’s new weekly feature showcasing in-depth interviews, expert analysis, and thought-provoking op-eds that go beyond the headlines to explore the ideas and voices shaping the future of crypto.

Alon Muroch is a man on a mission. As the founder of SSV Labs, which contributes to the second-largest Ethereum staking infra provider, SSV Network, Alon has been passionately championing the virtues of the industry’s number-two coin since the early days. Long before Ethereum switched to Proof of Stake, Alon contributed to the initial Ethereum clients. And Eth’s lackluster performance and knockdown price are bothering him. A lot.

So much so, in fact, that beyond speaking at the Staking Summit, it’s one of the forces at play bringing Alon to Dubai today, raising awareness about the elephant in the room no Eth bag holder wants to discuss. He explains:

“Most of the negative feedback Ethereum is getting right now is due to the token, not necessarily the technology, and I think Ethereum needs to recognize it. The Ethereum community needs to recognize it and then prioritize it, because this divergence will become very dangerous.”

With 100,000 Ethereum validators, SSV Network secures around 10% of all staked ETH, so Alon is pretty invested in seeing the token price rise. And his sense of urgency is palpable.

“We’re not focusing enough on the narrative and the reason for holding ETH. That’s why ETH is like this,” he bemoans.

Deep in the Ethereum weeds, even deeper in the souk

This is my first time meeting Alon, and I’m not familiar with his temperament, but I can tell there’s a lot on his mind. The price of Eth, for one, which is languishing under $1,800. It’s at least 20 minutes past our scheduled meeting time, and he’s already ordered his coffee when I arrive at the crowded patio.

After traversing the outdoor area between the conference hall and Madinat Souk in the punishing afternoon heat, my inclination is more toward a nice cold beer than a steaming hot cappuccino. I’m flustered and red-faced after walking round in circles, lost, deep in the souk’s rat’s nest of perfumes, textiles, stuffed camels, dates, and multiple other knick-knacks on sale. That Starbucks was harder to find than a patch of shade in the Sahara.

I bet Alon didn’t have as much trouble. After 10 years navigating his way through Ethereum’s many twists, turns, and narrative changes, Google Maps was probably a walk in the park. I apologize for my poor map-reading skills and ask what drew him to Ethereum in the first place.

“Ethereum is at the forefront of decentralization…” he answers, “I’ve been in Ethereum since the beginning.”

With Eth price limping along like a wounded dog, a divided community bickering over its direction, and a score of alternative smart contract platforms offering better, faster, cheaper, I ask Alon whether Ethereum still holds that central role today. He pauses:

“Yes, and no. Ethereum, the blockchain, I think it is. The roll-up-centric roadmap proved itself and continues to prove itself. In terms of the scale Ethereum is at, I think the technology is very innovative. They know how to take risks. Obviously, there are blockchains with riskier technology or more cutting-edge technology, but they’re much smaller, so it’s much easier to do. Ethereum is seeing all-time high usage, so that’s good.”

The ‘risky divergence’ between ETH, the token, and ETH, the blockchain

He’s mentioned the worsening disparity between the Ethereum blockchain and its native token a couple of times. I ask him to expand.

“In terms of the token, it’s lagging behind quite significantly, and there’s a divergence happening there, which is quite risky for Ethereum. I can debate until tomorrow the difference between Solana, Cosmos, Polkadot, and Ethereum, and why Bitcoin is lagging behind as a technology. I can debate, but that’s not translating very well to the actual frontiers of adoption right now.”

Indeed. Yet, if Ethereum’s problem is simply about crafting a better narrative, why do projects migrate to other ecosystems in search of more favorable economic models, like Uniswap or dYdX? He’s not phased:

“There will always be projects preferring other blockchains. I think it’s much more of a marketing opportunity than anything else. You can find very cheap transactions on Ethereum.”

He sips his coffee before doubling down:

“The challenges Ethereum has right now are not technological. It’s mostly narrative and a simple question: “Why would the average TradFi user, who doesn’t really understand decentralization or TPS, and doesn’t know how to differentiate between Solana and Cosmos, or Ethereum for that matter, hold Eth? It’s a very big question.”

He explains that traditionally, Ethereum didn’t pay much attention to narratives, marketing, and PR, but times have changed, and it’s becoming impossible to ignore.

“It used to be the case that institutions came to crypto to learn, and then immediately went to Ethereum, because that was the only game in town. Now, if you look at Wall Street today, well, they might understand the concepts of decentralization and self-sovereignty, but they don’t care about it. That’s where the narrative plays a major role. You can’t have conferences on Wall Street where Solana and Cosmos and Polkadot are going on stage and explaining why people should use them, and nobody is talking for Ethereum. It’s coming up with a narrative that is compelling.”

Finding a new raison d’être for Ethereum in the hearts and minds of token holders is no mean feat, particularly in an industry where not everyone is “in it for the tech.” When NGU ceases to deliver and prices bleed steadily down, Alon has his work cut out.

“When you buy Bitcoin, you hold one of 21 million. That’s fine. That’s a good narrative, and Wall Street and TradFi and everyone else really connect to that. The Solana narrative is “we can beat Ethereum.” So the reason to hold SOL is that if there’s a price difference between tokens and SOL wins, it’s better to hold SOL than anything else. Why would you hold ETH?”

As a Bitcoiner first, I confess I’ve been asking the same question for several years, but I don’t say that to Alon. Instead, I await his answer:

“ETH has nobody to win and compete with. They’re already the biggest smart contract platform, so there has to be another expansion. Historically, there were very good reasons to hold ETH. With ICOs, you had to hold ETH in order to get into ICOs. With DeFi, you had to hold ETH to provide liquidity or to trade. There were really good reasons.

What is the reason now? On my end, the reason is to make Ethereum the trust and security layer for the entire internet of value. If we can make that and attract value back to Eth, the token, then there’s a really good reason to hold it.”

What makes Ethereum a good settlement layer compared to other blockchains? Bitcoin’s security is widely renowned, I point out. Alon scoffs:

“Bitcoin has zero capabilities of smart contracting, and so developers basically hacked ways to secure things on Bitcoin. Ethereum has smart contracts, so a lot of those types of use cases simply became contracts on Ethereum. What I’m saying is somewhere in that direction. I believe that the Ethereum validator set has superpowers. It’s the largest, most diverse, and decentralized validator set on earth.

Those validators know how to run high-performance software for a very long time. It has on-chain entities with performance and all of that, plus you see a lot more off-chain components responsible for very significant application services, and so on. If you can have all of those services run using validators on Ethereum and paying them rewards, then you have this stream of revenue and rewards going back to ETH holders.”

Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, oh my!

Alon doesn’t miss a chance to share his views on Bitcoin as legacy tech, but what are his thoughts on Solana, which seems to be the institutional investors’ favorite toy? He replies that Ethereum’s “last good competitors” were EOS, but they failed because “their founders did other things.” He says Solana is “basically what EOS should have been if they’d had serious founders,” but:

“In terms of technical capabilities, Solana is taking way more trade-offs than Ethereum. It’s not technically as sound as Ethereum, especially from the decentralization, censorship-resistant, and stability point of view. Nonetheless, they’re doing a lot of other really good work, interacting with developers, promoting themselves, communicating why Solana, et cetera, et cetera, et cetera. Ethereum needs to take some of that into what they’re doing.”

I mention the POV I’ve heard that Ethereum should never have switched to Proof of Stake. Given the nature of Alon’s business, I’m not surprised when he immediately shuts that down. He interjects:

“It was one of the best decisions. The amount of resources required today to maintain Bitcoin is crazy. It’s crazy. It’s like saying, let’s continue having coal-powered plants and cars and not switch to gasoline or electric. Why? Because coal is very robust. Fine, but it’s not a really good answer to anything. There are a lot of things that are robust. It doesn’t mean you don’t need to change technology. I don’t think Bitcoin will ever change to Proof of Stake because Bitcoin is stuck in the past in terms of advancement in technology… Of course, we should have switched. There’s no doubt about it.”

Keepin’ it based

Besides alerting everyone to the problems Ethereum faces, what else is Alon doing to turn the Ethereum ship around? He corrects me:

“Look, there is a challenge here. It’s not a problem. It’s not systemic. It’s a challenge we need to tackle because times have changed, and we have competition.”

What are the based applications that SSV is pioneering?

“Based applications are the name for types of services, protocols, and applications that run on Ethereum validators. It’s basically SSV 2.0. We coined the term based apps. They’re applications that are based in their security on Ethereum validators. That’s why they’re called based.

It’s a type of decentralized application that runs on Ethereum validators and gets functionality and security from them. It can be oracles or bridges, data availability, zk-proofs, AI agents, or whatever type of application you have that is run in a distributed way. Instead of reinventing the wheel and building your own validator set, you can simply tap into the Ethereum and get much better security, much cheaper, and also really connect to Ethereum in a much better way.”

Where do based applications fit into the broader security landscape, and how do they stack up against, say, Eigenlayer? He explains:

“Eigenlayer is similar in the sense that it provides security. The main difference is, Eigenlayer uses capital. We’re using validators from Ethereum. So, in Eigenlayer, you take a bunch of capital, you lock it into a smart contract, and then you have bonded operators. The problem with that is that it’s not scalable, and it’s very expensive because capital is very expensive.

What we decided to do is to go and use the validators themselves, which are 95% cheaper and provide properties that capital doesn’t because they directly represent a portion of the value of Ethereum.”

Suddenly, it’s all starting to make sense. Based applications benefit from the superior level of security the base layer provides, and Ethereum receives compensation, instead of the value being extracted. What’s more, it’s “around 95% cheaper,” Alon says.

“That’s very significant because security is the most expensive component of a decentralized service, and based applications are very aligned with Ethereum because, as I said before, it comes from the point of creating more value back to the holders, so it has that additional dimension… We need to present a way forward, which I think is by prioritizing a way to attract more value back to the token.”

I wish him luck, and we conclude the interview. Despite dunking on Ethereum with as much frequency as Alon badmouthes Bitcoin, I can’t imagine the crypto space without it, and I’d be sorry to see it unravel. The bright side? When you’re ~60% off your all-time highs, the only way you can go is up.

Mentioned in this article
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Bitcoin Indicator Shows Growing Divergence Between Whales And Retail – Details https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-indicator-shows-growing-divergence-between-whales-and-retail-details/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-indicator-shows-growing-divergence-between-whales-and-retail-details/#respond Sat, 07 Jun 2025 13:14:49 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-indicator-shows-growing-divergence-between-whales-and-retail-details/

Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

Bitcoin is currently trading 7% below its all-time high of $112,000, facing increased selling pressure as the entire crypto market cools down. While some analysts believe further downside could follow, others point to shifting global dynamics that may soon favor Bitcoin. Rising US bond yields and persistent geopolitical tensions are reshaping risk sentiment across financial markets, potentially positioning BTC as a hedge in uncertain times.

One key signal comes from whale activity. According to new data from Alphractal, the Whale vs. Retail Ratio has started rising again, suggesting large investors are taking on more risk while retail participants remain cautious. Historically, rising whale appetite has preceded major price rallies, as institutional players tend to act early during periods of uncertainty. This divergence between whales and retail traders may hint at an accumulation phase playing out beneath the surface, despite the current price pullback.

The coming days will be critical. If Bitcoin holds above key support levels, the presence of strong hands could support a reversal or consolidation before another attempt at price discovery. For now, whale conviction is rising — and that could prove pivotal if sentiment shifts bullish again.

Whale Activity Rises Amid Systemic Uncertainty

Bitcoin continues to trade above the crucial $100,000 level, even as global markets remain rattled by systemic risk, rising inflation, and deteriorating macroeconomic indicators. While equities and commodities reflect increasing volatility, Bitcoin appears to be entering a phase of resilience, often seen when investors search for alternatives in times of uncertainty.

Inflation remains persistent across developed economies, and bond yields continue to rise, placing pressure on traditional markets. Amid this backdrop, Bitcoin’s positioning as a hedge against monetary instability is gaining renewed attention. However, sentiment across the crypto market remains split, with many retail traders taking a cautious stance as volatility increases.

According to fresh data from Alphractal, a notable divergence is forming between whale and retail behavior. The Whale vs. Retail Ratio, which measures the positioning of large investors compared to smaller ones, has started to climb. This signals that whales are going long once again, while retail participants remain risk-averse.

Bitcoin Whale vs Retail Delta | Source: Alphractal on X
Bitcoin Whale vs Retail Delta | Source: Alphractal on X

Historically, spikes in this ratio have preceded major price rallies, as whales often accumulate ahead of broader market shifts. “Risk appetite is back,” Alphractal notes — a potentially bullish signal amid current bearish sentiment.

This quiet accumulation from large players could lay the foundation for a strong move if macro conditions align and BTC holds key support. As the market looks for direction, whale confidence could be the catalyst that tips the scale.

Bitcoin Consolidates Above Key Support Level

Bitcoin (BTC) continues to consolidate just above the crucial $103,600 support level, after briefly dipping below this line during recent market volatility. The daily chart shows BTC currently trading at $104,341, forming a potential higher low structure that could support a recovery if demand sustains.

BTC testing key moving averages | Dource: BTCUSDT Chart on TradingView
BTC testing key moving averages | Source: BTCUSDT Chart on TradingView

Price action remains squeezed between the 34-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $103,256 and overhead resistance at $109,300, which marks the most recent local top. Holding above the 50-day simple moving average (SMA), currently at $101,026, is crucial for preserving the broader uptrend.

Volume has decreased slightly, suggesting a cooldown in momentum following the sharp 5% pullback earlier in the week. This low-volume environment could open the door for larger players to accumulate before another breakout attempt. The market is now waiting to see if bulls can push BTC back toward the $108,000-$109,000 resistance zone to test for a possible retake of the all-time high.

A breakdown below $103,600 would signal weakness and likely drive BTC toward the 100-day SMA near $92,600. For now, Bitcoin is holding strong, but any major macro developments or shifts in sentiment will determine whether the current consolidation becomes a launchpad or a reversal.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

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Ethereum Taker Buy Sell Ratio Shows Bullish Divergence – Time For A New Trend? https://earlybirdsinvest.com/ethereum-taker-buy-sell-ratio-shows-bullish-divergence-time-for-a-new-trend/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/ethereum-taker-buy-sell-ratio-shows-bullish-divergence-time-for-a-new-trend/#respond Sun, 23 Feb 2025 00:27:56 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/ethereum-taker-buy-sell-ratio-shows-bullish-divergence-time-for-a-new-trend/

Ethereum is trading below the $2,700 mark after days of struggling to reclaim it and push above $2,800. Bulls have been unable to gain momentum, and selling pressure has kept ETH below key resistance levels.

On Friday, the market was hit with negative news as Bybit, one of the top crypto exchanges, was hacked, leading to a loss of $1.4 billion in ETH. This event triggered panic selling, driving Ethereum’s price into lower demand levels, adding more uncertainty to its short-term outlook.

However, CryptoQuant data suggests a potential turnaround. Their latest analysis reveals that Ethereum taker buying is showing a bullish divergence—a key indicator that buying pressure is increasing despite price declines. This type of divergence has historically signaled the start of recovery rallies, as traders and institutions accumulate ETH at lower levels in anticipation of a bounce.

With ETH consolidating and bullish signs emerging, the coming days will be crucial in determining whether Ethereum can reclaim the $2,700–$2,800 zone or if further downside is on the horizon. Traders are now watching for key breakout levels to confirm a strong recovery rally.

Ethereum Prepares For A Comeback

Ethereum has been struggling as investors grow increasingly impatient with the massive selling pressure and negative sentiment surrounding the second-largest cryptocurrency. Since late December, ETH has been in a steady decline, with no clear signs of recovery on the horizon. Bulls have failed to reclaim key resistance levels, while bears continue to control the market, pushing the price lower with each failed breakout attempt.

Despite this prolonged bearish trend, on-chain data suggests a potential shift. CryptoQuant shared key data on X, revealing an interesting pattern that has historically marked the end of bearish trends and the beginning of bullish phases.

Ethereum Taker Buy Sell Ratio | Source: CryptoQuant on X
Ethereum Taker Buy Sell Ratio | Source: CryptoQuant on X

According to their analysis, when a bullish divergence occurs—where the price of Ethereum is falling, but taker buying volume is rising—past trends suggest that selling pressure is weakening. This typically signals that buying momentum is building as traders begin accumulating ETH in anticipation of a trend reversal.

Today, Ethereum is showing a taker buying bullish divergence, similar to previous instances that led to bullish breakouts. While the market remains uncertain, this could be an early indication of a new bullish phase. If Ethereum holds above current demand levels and reclaims $2,800, a strong recovery rally could follow.

ETH Testing Short-Term Demand

Ethereum is currently trading at $2,660 after an underwhelming Friday, where the price dropped 7% following the Bybit hack news and overall market uncertainty. Bulls are struggling to reclaim key resistance levels, and the lack of strong demand at current levels raises concerns about Ethereum’s ability to recover.

ETH testing short-term demand | Source: ETHUSDT chart on TradingView
ETH testing short-term demand | Source: ETHUSDT chart on TradingView

For Ethereum to confirm a bullish breakout, it must reclaim the $2,800 mark and push above $3,000 to gain momentum for a sustained rally. However, the lack of significant buying pressure suggests that ETH could continue consolidating in a tight range unless buyers step in soon.

Despite the lack of immediate strength, ETH remains above the $2,600 support level, which has acted as a key demand zone in recent weeks. As long as Ethereum holds above $2,600 and starts reclaiming key levels above $2,800, the possibility of a bullish reversal remains on the table. If demand increases and ETH can establish a foothold above $2,800, a bullish phase could start at any moment. However, if Ethereum fails to hold above support levels, it could see further downside pressure in the coming days.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

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Bitcoin Flashing Early Signs of Bullish Divergence, According to Crypto Analyst – Here’s His Outlook https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-flashing-early-signs-of-bullish-divergence-according-to-crypto-analyst-heres-his-outlook/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-flashing-early-signs-of-bullish-divergence-according-to-crypto-analyst-heres-his-outlook/#respond Thu, 20 Feb 2025 19:38:09 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-flashing-early-signs-of-bullish-divergence-according-to-crypto-analyst-heres-his-outlook/

Widely followed crypto analyst Rekt Capital says that Bitcoin (BTC) is suddenly flashing bullishness after retesting range lows.

The pseudonymous trader tells his 537,300 followers on the social media platform X that Bitcoin is showing bullish divergence on the daily chart.

Bullish divergence, which suggests price will start to increase, occurs when the price of assets records lower lows while indicators, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI), a momentum oscillator indicator, are witnessing higher lows.

“Early signs of the bullish divergence playing out. However, for BTC to transition into trend continuation and the bullish divergence to fully mature BTC will need to reclaim $97,700 (light blue) as support. Watching for a daily close above ~$97700 and a retest.”

Image
Source: Rekt Capital/X

The analyst also says Bitcoin remains in an uptrend after printing a bull flag pattern on the monthly chart.

A bull flag is typically viewed as a bullish pattern, suggesting that an asset is consolidating before potentially igniting new rallies.

“The Bitcoin post-breakout retest of the monthly bull flag is successful thus far. Price is performing the key technical steps to fully confirm the bull flag breakout so as to set itself up for trend continuation going forward. ~$96,700 needs to hold.”

Image
Source: Rekt Capital/X

Lastly, the analyst says that Bitcoin may be gearing up for a breakout after holding the $93,500 level as support on the weekly chart.

“Most recently, Bitcoin downside wicked into the weekly range low support at ~$93,500 (green) and has since rebounded. Bitcoin is just consolidating inside its re-accumulation range between $93,500 and $104,000.”

Image
Source: Rekt Capital/X

Bitcoin is trading for $97,619 at time of writing, up 1.6% in the last 24 hours.

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Is Bitcoin Showing Early Signs Of Bullish Divergence? Analyst Explains https://earlybirdsinvest.com/is-bitcoin-showing-early-signs-of-bullish-divergence-analyst-explains/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/is-bitcoin-showing-early-signs-of-bullish-divergence-analyst-explains/#respond Thu, 20 Feb 2025 08:36:32 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/is-bitcoin-showing-early-signs-of-bullish-divergence-analyst-explains/

Este artículo también está disponible en español.

According to a recent post on X by crypto analyst Rekt Capital, Bitcoin (BTC) may finally be showing early signs of bullish divergence. If this pattern plays out, BTC could target the $101,000 level as its first milestone before moving higher.

Bitcoin Showing Signs Of Bullish Divergence? Analyst Weighs In

Since the beginning of February, the flagship cryptocurrency has endured multiple macroeconomic uncertainties, including US President Donald Trump’s proposed trade tariffs, the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) hawkish statements, and the stock market downturn triggered by the release of China’s DeepSeek AI model.

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Despite these challenges, BTC has remained range-bound between $93,000 and $98,000. However, early signs of a potential bullish divergence are beginning to emerge.

Rekt Capital pointed out BTC’s repeated failure to achieve a successful daily close above the $97,700 level, forcing it to find support around $93,000 at the lower end of its trading channel. While BTC continues to consolidate within this tight range, it is displaying a bullish divergence, as the cryptocurrency’s relative strength index (RSI) has formed a higher low on the daily chart.

rekt
Source: Rekt Capital on X

In this context, bullish divergence occurs when the price continues making lower lows while the RSI reverses course and forms a higher low. This momentum shift often signals an impending trend reversal, potentially propelling BTC toward the crucial $100,000 level.

However, not all analysts are convinced that BTC is out of the woods just yet. Crypto analyst Merlijn The Trader shared his perspective on BTC’s price action, emphasizing how the top cryptocurrency recently touched the 100-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $93,500. They cautioned:

Historically, closing below this level often means a drop to the 200EMA—currently at $86k. But until the daily 100EMA breaks, there’s no need for panic. Stay sharp, the market is at a pivotal point!

Will BTC Fill The CME Gap?

Meanwhile, crypto market analyst CryptoBullet pointed to a CME gap from November that BTC may need to fill before resuming its upward momentum. The analyst highlighted a double-top formation, which could lead BTC to retrace down to $76,000 to close the gap.

btc
Source: CryptoBullet on X

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For those unfamiliar, the “CME gap” refers to a price difference on CME’s Bitcoin futures chart that arises when trading pauses for the weekend while BTC continues moving on other exchanges. These gaps often attract price action, as traders anticipate a revisit due to liquidity, technical factors, and market psychology.

On a more optimistic note, Bitwise executives maintain that Bitcoin currently offers a “generational opportunity” despite the ongoing global macroeconomic turmoil. At press time, BTC trades at $96,168, up 1.3% in the past 24 hours.

bitcoin
BTC trades at $96,168 on the daily chart | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView.com

Featured image from Unsplash, Charts from X and TradingView.com

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Cardano Price Eyes Impulse Move After Bearish RSI Divergence Was Invalidated, Here’s The Target https://earlybirdsinvest.com/cardano-price-eyes-impulse-move-after-bearish-rsi-divergence-was-invalidated-heres-the-target/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/cardano-price-eyes-impulse-move-after-bearish-rsi-divergence-was-invalidated-heres-the-target/#respond Mon, 17 Feb 2025 18:21:44 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/cardano-price-eyes-impulse-move-after-bearish-rsi-divergence-was-invalidated-heres-the-target/

Este artículo también está disponible en español.

The Cardano price is currently eyeing an impulsive move to the upside following the invalidation of a bearish Relative Strength Index (RSI) divergence. In his analysis, crypto analyst Melika Trader revealed how high ADA could rally following this bullish channel formation. 

Cardano Price Eyes Impulsive Move To The Upside

In a TradingView post, Melika Trader predicted that the Cardano price could rally to between $0.90 and $0.94 as it eyes an impulsive move to the upside. The analyst observed that ADA recently experienced a sharp rally, breaking through resistance levels and establishing a new range. This could pave the way for the rally to these price targets. 

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Melika Trader further noted that a deceptive bearish RSI divergence was invalidated as the Cardano price continued its uptrend, confirming bullish momentum. Meanwhile, the analyst remarked that the ADA price is currently consolidating near the lower boundary of the parallel channel, suggesting a potential bounce from its current price level. 

Cardano
ADA set to grow to $0.90 | Source; Melika on Tradingview

In line with this, he stated that if the Cardano price respects the channel structure, then ADA could aim for the $0.90 and $0.94 range as the next resistance. Crypto analyst Ali Martinez also provided a bullish outlook for ADA, stating that the crypto looks ready to rebound as the TD Sequential indicator has flashed a buy signal on the 4-hour chart. 

Meanwhile, crypto analyst Paul stated that the nice Fibonacci count is working for the Cardano price with .618 higher lows. The analyst’s accompanying chart showed that ADA could reclaim the psychological $1 price level and rally to as high as $2.2 on the Wave 3 impulsive move to the upside. The chart also showed that ADA could then correct to as low as $1.2 before it reaches $3 on the Wave 5 impulsive move. 

Five Reasons Why ADA Can Reach $20 In This Market Cycle

In an X post, crypto analyst Sebastian outlined five reasons the Cardano price could reach $20 in this market cycle. The first is that Cardano could become a Bitcoin DeFi player, which is bullish for the ADA price. Secondly, if Cardano’s founder Charles Hoskinson becomes part of Donald Trump’s Crypto Advisory Council. 

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The crypto analyst also mentioned a Cardano ETF as one of the reasons he believes the Cardano price could reach $20 in this market cycle. Grayscale has already filed to offer one, which means that an ADA ETF could launch at some point. Meanwhile, the crypto analyst also mentioned Cardano’s potential partnership with Microsoft and the US Treasury being built on the Cardano blockchain as the fourth and fifth reasons ADA could reach $20. 

At the time of writing, the Cardano price is trading at around $0.8, up over 3% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

Cardano
ADA tradiing at $0.80 on the 1D chart | Source: ADAUSDT on Tradingview.com

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com

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