Declines – Earlybirds Invest https://earlybirdsinvest.com Latest Crypto News Sat, 30 Aug 2025 12:39:09 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.9.8 https://i0.wp.com/earlybirdsinvest.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/cropped-New-Project-2024-12-17T235703.455.png?fit=32%2C32&ssl=1 Declines – Earlybirds Invest https://earlybirdsinvest.com 32 32 240146708 XLM Declines 8% as Institutional Investors Retreat Amid Market Uncertainty https://earlybirdsinvest.com/xlm-declines-8-as-institutional-investors-retreat-amid-market-uncertainty/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/xlm-declines-8-as-institutional-investors-retreat-amid-market-uncertainty/#respond Sat, 30 Aug 2025 12:39:09 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/xlm-declines-8-as-institutional-investors-retreat-amid-market-uncertainty/

Stellar’s native token XLM came under heavy institutional selling pressure in the latest trading session, falling from $0.39 to $0.36 between August 28 at 3:00 p.m. and August 29 at 2:00 p.m. ET. Market data shows more than 41.89 million XLM changed hands, with volumes surging as large holders reduced exposure.

Despite the pressure, Stellar’s enterprise push remains intact. The Stellar Development Foundation reported the network is approaching 10 million registered accounts, boosted by daily growth of 5,000–6,000 new corporate wallets. Strategic partnerships with MoneyGram International and Circle Internet Financial continue to drive adoption of Stellar’s payment rails in cross-border finance.

Analysts highlighted sharp intraday swings on August 29, when XLM dropped 1.38% between 1:26 p.m. and 2:06 p.m., before institutional buyers reentered the market. The token recovered 1.27% during the 15-minute window that followed, closing the session at $0.361 after briefly touching $0.357.

A spokesperson close to Stellar’s corporate strategy stressed that the market turbulence was sentiment-driven rather than a reflection of business fundamentals. The late-session bounce suggested some large buyers viewed the decline as a buying opportunity, underscoring confidence in Stellar’s long-term role in blockchain-based financial infrastructure.

XLM/USD (TradingView)

XLM/USD (TradingView)

Technical Market Indicators Signal Mixed Corporate Sentiment
  • XLM posted a 7.74% decline from $0.39 to $0.36 during the August 28-29 trading period.
  • Daily trading range reached $0.031 between session high of $0.387 and low of $0.356.
  • Peak selling activity occurred during morning European trading hours on August 29 with volume exceeding the 24-hour average of 41.89 million units.
  • Technical resistance established near $0.373 level as institutional buyers remained cautious.
  • Support levels identified at $0.375 and $0.362, with the lower threshold showing stability during final trading hours.
  • Elevated trading volume during the decline indicates potential institutional accumulation strategies.
  • Intraday price range of $0.005 during the final 60-minute trading period demonstrates continued market interest.
  • Support at $0.357 attracted institutional buying interest before session close.
  • Final hour recovery of 1.27% on volume exceeding 2 million units suggests corporate treasury departments may be accumulating positions.

Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk’s full AI Policy.

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Bitcoin’s ‘Elite’ Wallets Rise by 231 as Retail Sentiment Declines Sharply https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoins-elite-wallets-rise-by-231-as-retail-sentiment-declines-sharply/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoins-elite-wallets-rise-by-231-as-retail-sentiment-declines-sharply/#respond Fri, 20 Jun 2025 11:09:46 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoins-elite-wallets-rise-by-231-as-retail-sentiment-declines-sharply/

Bitcoin remains steady above the crucial $100K threshold as it traded just 6% below its all-time high of $111.8K. While this price strength amidst geopolitical concerns, global trade tensions, and seasonal sluggishness might suggest increased on-chain activity, a clear disconnect has started to form on the network.

In fact, Bitcoin wallets are showing a substantial divergence as the leading crypto asset’s price hovers above.

Elite Wallets Rise

Over the past 10 days, the number of “elite wallets” holding 10 or more BTC has increased by 231, a 0.15% rise, according to Santiment’s latest analysis. On the other hand, retail wallets holding between 0.001 and 10 BTC have dropped by 37,465.

Historically, rising whale accumulation paired with falling retail confidence has indicated bullish momentum ahead for the broader crypto market.

Meanwhile, Glassnode made a similar observation and revealed that the Bitcoin network is seeing fewer transactions but larger ones, as settlement volumes rise despite a dip in total transaction count. This pattern implies that big players, such as institutions or high-net-worth individuals, are driving current on-chain activity and have replaced smaller retail movements with high-value transfers.

Beyond reduced participation, sentiment among retail investors has turned sharply negative. Bullish-to-bearish comment ratios have dropped to 1.03, which happens to be the lowest since April 6th, during peak fear around tariff concerns. Historically, such pessimism has often signaled a price rebound, as markets tend to move against prevailing retail sentiment.

Bitcoin’s Ownership Landscape

Only a small group of large buyers – mainly ETFs, corporate treasuries, and funds – are absorbing supply. This has resulted in a “plateau” in new wallet creation and reduced transactional activity. Matrixport said that Bitcoin is increasingly viewed as a store of value rather than a spending tool.

The market is now seeing the distribution of supply from early miners and mega whales to newer institutional whales. With minimal new retail capital entering the space, these two groups dominate market influence. Despite the bullish ETF narrative, the real test lies ahead – if selling pressure continues to meet ETF demand, the current market lull could break dramatically in either direction.

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Pi Network Search Interest Declines Amid Waning Market Momentum — What’s Next for Pi Coin? https://earlybirdsinvest.com/pi-network-search-interest-declines-amid-waning-market-momentum-whats-next-for-pi-coin/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/pi-network-search-interest-declines-amid-waning-market-momentum-whats-next-for-pi-coin/#respond Thu, 05 Jun 2025 13:21:52 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/pi-network-search-interest-declines-amid-waning-market-momentum-whats-next-for-pi-coin/

Crypto Journalist

Amin Ayan

Crypto Journalist

Amin Ayan

About Author

Amin Ayan is a crypto journalist with over four years of experience in the industry. He has contributed to leading publications such as Cryptonews, Investing.com, 99Bitcoins, and 24/7 Wall St. He has…

Last updated: 


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Key Takeaways:

  • Global search interest for Pi Network has fallen to its lowest point of 2025.
  • Pi Coin IOU trading volume has collapsed by 97% since mid-May.
  • Technical hurdles remain, with Pi Coin still locked in a bearish trend near $0.637.

Global search interest in Pi Network has fallen to its lowest level of 2025, raising fresh questions about the project’s momentum just weeks ahead of its flagship event, Pi2Day, on June 28.

According to Google Trends, search interest for “Pi Network” now sits at a score of just 5, lower than levels seen before the network’s enclosed mainnet launched.

The data, which shows interest peaked in March 2025, signals declining public interest in the network following its long-awaited launch of its mainnet, dubbed the “Open Network,” in February.

Pi Coin IOU Trading Collapses as Market Interest Fades

The sharp drop in visibility comes alongside a collapse in trading activity for Pi Coin IOUs on unofficial markets.

Daily volume has plunged from over $2 billion in mid-May to just $56 million as of June 4, a staggering 97% decline.

Despite the downturn, some in the community remain hopeful that Pi2Day — an annual celebration tied to Elon Musk’s birthday — could deliver a turnaround.

In a post on X, Pi Network Alerts told followers that big updates are coming for Pi2Day, with mass migration expected to begin in the coming days.

Speculation around a potential Binance listing has also fueled chatter.

CryptoLeakVN claimed, “Hot rumor: Binance might list Pi Coin on Pi2Day (June 28th)? If true, this could mark a historic milestone for the Pi Network!” There has been no confirmation from Binance or the Pi Core Team.

Behind the scenes, some developers warn that technical hurdles remain.

Dimas Nawawi, a vocal Pi contributor, cautioned that Pi Nodes still require protocol upgrades and that the Core Team has yet to select Nodes for Mainnet.

He noted that only dozens of Mainnet Nodes are currently active out of more than 200,000 ready for deployment.

Nawawi also pointed out that running smart contracts will require an update to at least Protocol version 20.

He criticized recent grassroots campaigns pushing for an immediate Global Conversion Value (GCV), arguing that GCV should be achieved through proper development rather than community-driven urgency.

Unless the Pi Core Team delivers clear progress this month, Pi2Day risks falling flat — adding to growing doubts over whether Pi Coin’s long-promised open mainnet will ever launch.

Pi Coin Struggles Persist as Pi Trades Near Lows

Pi Coin continues to face bearish pressure, with the token hovering around $0.637 at press time.

The broader trend remains weak, as shown in the 1-hour chart, where PI has been locked in a persistent downtrend since April, with no meaningful reversal attempts.

Bollinger Bands are tightening, reflecting reduced volatility, while RSI sits at a bearish 33.51 — suggesting momentum remains to the downside.

The 5-minute chart shows a sharper intraday drop below $0.64 earlier today, with RSI briefly touching 25.93, indicating oversold conditions before a modest bounce.

However, no sustained bullish follow-through has emerged, and MACD remains in negative territory.

On the 1-minute chart, a minor recovery is visible with RSI back to 48.48 and MACD flipping slightly positive, but this short-term uptick is not yet supported by strong volume.

Key resistance now lies near the mid-Bollinger Band at $0.647–$0.65.

Failure to reclaim this level would keep PI vulnerable to further declines. The next support zone is near $0.62–$0.625, a region tested multiple times over the past two weeks.


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Bitcoin Exchange Activity Declines Sharply Since July 2022 – Accumulation Or Apathy? https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-exchange-activity-declines-sharply-since-july-2022-accumulation-or-apathy/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-exchange-activity-declines-sharply-since-july-2022-accumulation-or-apathy/#respond Fri, 23 May 2025 06:16:18 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-exchange-activity-declines-sharply-since-july-2022-accumulation-or-apathy/

Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

Bitcoin is trading above all-time highs once again, having surged past the $110,000 mark just hours ago. The breakout signals strong bullish momentum as BTC enters a fresh price discovery phase. Investor sentiment remains upbeat, with many analysts speculating on how far this rally could extend. While some foresee an extended bull run powered by macro trends and institutional flows, others caution that overheated levels could trigger sharp pullbacks.

One critical piece of data drawing attention comes from CryptoQuant: since the collapse of Luna in 2022, average weekly trading volumes for the BTC/USD pair on centralized exchanges (CEXs) have sharply declined. From a peak of 2.9 million BTC traded weekly in July 2022, volumes have fallen to just 426,000 BTC as of yesterday’s session.

This drop in exchange activity suggests two key dynamics. First, a reduced supply of BTC on exchanges often correlates with long-term holding behavior, typically a bullish signal. Second, lower sell-side liquidity may increase volatility, especially in the face of rapid price movements. As Bitcoin continues its upward march, the absence of significant volume on CEXs could either accelerate gains or magnify corrections depending on investor reaction in the days ahead.

Bitcoin Low Exchange Volume Adds Fuel To Bullish Outlook

Bitcoin is showing resilience in the face of macroeconomic headwinds. While U.S. equities dipped yesterday due to rising yields in Treasury Bonds, Bitcoin climbed steadily, signaling that market participants may be rotating capital into hard assets amid uncertainty. This relative strength highlights BTC’s appeal as a hedge, particularly when traditional markets waver.

However, despite the bullish momentum, a key hurdle remains at the $115,000 level. Breaking above this resistance would confirm the next phase of the rally and open the door to higher price discovery. Conversely, a failure to hold above current levels around $110,000 could invite a swift correction back to previous support zones. Traders are watching closely, as volatility could rise quickly.

Top analyst Axel Adler added meaningful context to the broader trend. According to Adler, after the Luna collapse in 2022, weekly trading volumes for the BTC/USD pair on centralized exchanges (CEXs) have plummeted—from 2.9 million BTC in July 2022 to just 426,000 BTC this week.

Bitcoin Trading Volume Analytics | Source: Axel Adler on X
Bitcoin Trading Volume Analytics | Source: Axel Adler on X

This long-term decline in exchange activity is viewed as a bullish structural shift. It signals a move toward long-term holding behavior and a tightening of available supply. With fewer coins circulating on exchanges, sell-side pressure is reduced, creating a supportive backdrop for continued upward price action.

BTC Price Action Shows Strong Momentum

Bitcoin is trading at $110,855 after briefly reaching $111,163, signaling strong upward momentum and continuation of the bullish trend. On the 4-hour chart, BTC has consistently posted higher lows and higher highs since the bounce off the $100K support level on May 15. The recent breakout above the $108K resistance level triggered a surge in buying volume, pushing BTC into uncharted territory.

BTC pushing into price discovery | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView
BTC pushing into price discovery | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

Key technical indicators support the bullish bias. The 200-period simple moving average (SMA) at $98,024 and the 200-period exponential moving average (EMA) at $98,826 are trending upward, confirming strong underlying trend support. Volume spikes in the last two sessions also suggest strong conviction from buyers as BTC entered price discovery.

However, the price is beginning to show signs of potential exhaustion. The latest candles exhibit long wicks on the upper side, hinting at selling pressure near local highs. If BTC fails to maintain momentum, a retest of the $108K breakout level could occur. Immediate support lies around $103,600, with $100K as the psychological floor.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.

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Ethereum Spot Volume Declines While Long-Term Holders Continue Accumulating https://earlybirdsinvest.com/ethereum-spot-volume-declines-while-long-term-holders-continue-accumulating/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/ethereum-spot-volume-declines-while-long-term-holders-continue-accumulating/#respond Wed, 07 May 2025 05:58:05 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/ethereum-spot-volume-declines-while-long-term-holders-continue-accumulating/ Ethereum (ETH) seems to have extended its period of price stagnation, trading at $1,770 at the time of writing. The asset has dropped by 3% over the past week and 1.6% in the past 24 hours, continuing its broader corrective trend after reaching a cycle high of $4,107 in December 2024.

Although price movement has been limited, on-chain data suggests that certain underlying shifts could influence market behavior in the near term.

Ethereum Sees Plunge In Spot Volume

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost has reported that Ethereum’s spot volume is experiencing a consistent decline. His analysis focuses on a bubble chart that visualizes two dimensions: the size of each bubble represents spot volume, and its color indicates the volume change rate.

Ethereum spot volume bubble map chart

According to the data, the bubbles have become progressively smaller and lighter in color, indicating that fewer trades are being conducted and that the pace of decline in volume is slowing.

While declining spot volume may traditionally be viewed as a sign of reduced investor interest or weak momentum, Darkfost interprets it differently in the context of a market correction.

He suggests that a decline in spot volume during a downtrend can act as a stabilizing force, potentially reducing the likelihood of sharp volatility spikes caused by large sell orders.

Lower volume during a corrective phase could mean that sellers are exhausting their positions or stepping aside, creating conditions for price consolidation. This can ease the intensity of downward pressure and potentially pave the way for a more balanced market structure in the short term.

However, Darkfost was cautious in his interpretation, noting that cooling volume doesn’t necessarily mean the market has bottomed out. Instead, it could simply mark a temporary pause in volatility before the next move.

Long-Term Holders Increase Exposure Despite Unrealized Losses

Meanwhile, in a separate update, CryptoQuant analyst Carmelo Alemán explored Ethereum’s long-term holder behavior and revealed that many ETH investors continue to accumulate, even while sitting in unrealized losses.

Accumulation addresses, defined as wallets that consistently receive ETH without significant selling, are generally seen as strong hands with longer investment horizons.

According to Alemán, March 10 marked a pivotal moment when the average realized price of accumulation addresses fell below ETH’s market price, pushing these wallets into negative territory.

Despite this, the data shows that accumulating addresses have increased their balances by over 22% between March and early May, growing from 15.5 million ETH to 19 million ETH.

This behavior reflects strong conviction and suggests that long-term holders believe Ethereum is undervalued at current prices. Historically, such accumulation during downturns has preceded upward price movements, as reduced supply on the market creates favorable conditions for a rally when demand returns.

Ethereum (ETH) price chart on TradingView

Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

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Crypto Rebounds From Early Declines Alongside Reversal in U.S. Stocks https://earlybirdsinvest.com/crypto-rebounds-from-early-declines-alongside-reversal-in-u-s-stocks/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/crypto-rebounds-from-early-declines-alongside-reversal-in-u-s-stocks/#respond Thu, 01 May 2025 04:17:30 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/crypto-rebounds-from-early-declines-alongside-reversal-in-u-s-stocks/

There was a bit of volatility in crypto on Wednesday, but most of the market continued the weeks’ trend of trading in a very tight range.

Shortly after the close of the U.S. stock market, bitcoin (BTC) was changing hands at $94,700, down just 0.4% over the past 24 hours. BTC was lower by nearly 2% at one point alongside a sizable early decline in stocks.

Hit harder during the early decline, altcoins also rebounded, but underperformed bitcoin The CoinDesk 20 slumped 2% in the last 24 hours, with litecoin (LTC), ripple (XRP), avalanche (AVAX) and chainlink (LINK) all dropping roughly 4%.

Crypto equities were modestly lower, but bitcoin miner Hut 8 (HUT) was a notable underperformer, falling 5.7%.

The major U.S. stock averages tumbled 2% or more early in the session following less than stellar economic news. They retook ground throughout the day though, with the S&P 500 closing slightly in the green and the Nasdaq dipping just 0.1%.

The continuing string of lame economic data, however, has not seemed to deter U.S. President Trump from his tariff policies.

“Somebody said all the shelves are going to be open,” Trump said early Wednesday. “Well, maybe the children will have two dolls instead of 30 dolls, and maybe the two dolls will cost a couple of bucks more than they would normally. … They have ships that are loaded up with stuff, much of which we don’t need.”

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Broadcom Stock Just Bounced After One of Its Sharpest Declines in a Decade. Is the Stock a Buy Now? https://earlybirdsinvest.com/broadcom-stock-just-bounced-after-one-of-its-sharpest-declines-in-a-decade-is-the-stock-a-buy-now/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/broadcom-stock-just-bounced-after-one-of-its-sharpest-declines-in-a-decade-is-the-stock-a-buy-now/#respond Sat, 19 Apr 2025 02:12:25 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/broadcom-stock-just-bounced-after-one-of-its-sharpest-declines-in-a-decade-is-the-stock-a-buy-now/ The last time Broadcom’s stock dropped this much was in 2020. Since then, it has risen over 800%.

It’s normal when the stock market goes down, but it can be scary when it happens quickly. Look no further than the past couple of weeks. The Trump Administration’s tariff announcement and ongoing posturing with other countries has sent stocks tumbling to some dramatic declines.

Broadcom (AVGO -2.19%) slid nearly 40% off its late-2024 highs, its sharpest decline in the past 10 years outside the time the market crashed at the onset of COVID-19 in early 2020. Now, the stock has bounced off its recent low. Should investors buy Broadcom now?

Here is what you need to know.

Buying Broadcom’s last dramatic decline worked out well

History has shown that when the stock market panics, it tends to be a good buying opportunity. The reason for panic tends to change, but investors are humans with emotions, and sometimes, the pendulum can swing too far in one direction. Tariff fears may have caused a panic this time, but it was COVID-19 back in 2020.

The stock market plummeted. Broadcom’s stock price fell almost 50%. It’s not fun buying stocks in these moments. Yet, those who held their nose and invested in the semiconductor and software giant made a lot of money. Broadcom has risen over 800% from March 2020 to today:

AVGO Chart

AVGO data by YCharts

It’s important to remember that this isn’t the case with every stock in a market downturn. A bear market can flush out low-quality companies and cause permanent losses for investors. Broadcom, an industry leader in semiconductors for networking and communications, is an excellent business and bounced back after the pandemic.

The company’s growth outlook has improved with AI

Broadcom has thrived over the past decade, primarily due to growth in its core semiconductor business, which specializes in chips for networking and other communications applications. It then diversified its business with acquisitions, establishing infrastructure solutions as about 40% of its business. This segment sells products and services like cybersecurity, software for enterprise mainframes, and private cloud computing.

The arrival of artificial intelligence (AI) has ignited growth in the semiconductor industry. AI models require immense computing power to train and function. Broadcom is carving out its share of this market. It is developing custom accelerator chips (XPUs) for several large companies investing in building AI infrastructure, known as AI hyperscalers.

Management estimates that deals with three hyperscalers alone will represent a $60 billion to $90 billion revenue opportunity in 2027. Broadcom’s AI-related chip revenue was $12.2 billion in 2024, so realizing anywhere near that opportunity will drive significant growth over the next several years. Analysts estimate the company will grow earnings by an average of nearly 21% annually over the next three to five years.

Should you buy the stock? Why Broadcom may struggle to replicate history

Broadcom’s strong growth outlook and recent decline would seemingly signal investors to buy, but not so fast.

Remember how I said the pendulum can swing too far? Well, it happened again, but in the other direction. The market has rallied hard on AI enthusiasm for the past two years. As stock valuations rise, prices start reflecting more future growth. Broadcom’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio has increased from 32 in March 2020 to 86 today. The stock price increased over 800%, but earnings did not.

At a PEG ratio of 4, Broadcom’s price is too high, even for a business growing earnings by 21% annually. I typically buy high-quality stocks at PEG ratios up to 2 to 2.5. As you go higher, the risks increase that things will go wrong. Perhaps Broadcom won’t grow as fast as hoped, or the market and stock valuations will broadly decline.

Broadcom is still an excellent business, but overpaying for stocks, even great companies, usually backfires more often than it works out.

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Bitcoin flat as China announces new 125% tariff on US goods, gold spikes, oil declines https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-flat-as-china-announces-new-125-tariff-on-us-goods-gold-spikes-oil-declines/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-flat-as-china-announces-new-125-tariff-on-us-goods-gold-spikes-oil-declines/#respond Fri, 11 Apr 2025 09:31:43 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-flat-as-china-announces-new-125-tariff-on-us-goods-gold-spikes-oil-declines/

China’s finance ministry has raised tariffs on select US imports to 125%, matching the United States’ most recent escalation and signaling continued parity in the trade conflict.

The tariff adjustment, announced early Friday, comes just two days after Beijing raised duties to 84%, following Washington’s move to impose higher import taxes on Chinese goods.

The decision took effect immediately and was accompanied by sharply worded statements from Chinese officials who framed the measures as a defensive response to what they labeled unilateral economic aggression.

The Chinese foreign ministry described the US actions as “hegemonic” and “bullying,” while the commerce ministry called the move a “mistake on top of a mistake.”

Per BBC News, Beijing stated it would not escalate further but warned against continued US tariff pressure, describing the latest hike as contrary to international economic norms.

Beijing’s Commerce Ministry told the BBC that US tariffs have turned into

“A numbers game with no practical significance in economics[…] It will become a joke.”

Cross-Asset Response Reflects Diverging Risk Narratives

The market reaction reflected uncertainty about how deeply the tariff escalation would affect global trade and capital flows. While traditional safe-haven assets received modest inflows, risk assets moved unevenly.

Bitcoin, which had dipped approximately 0.60% before the announcement as broader risk assets sold off, briefly recovered after 9:00 A.M GMT but ultimately remained near flat at $81,292.68 as of press time, down 0.07% intraday.

Market reaction to trade war (Source: TradingView)
Market reaction to trade war (Source: TradingView)

The mixed response highlights an ongoing debate over Bitcoin’s role as a macro hedge. Some investors treat it as a store of value during geopolitical tension, while others view it as a high-beta asset sensitive to broader market sentiment. The indecision mirrors behavior seen during previous trade disputes, where crypto’s utility as a safe-haven asset remains context-dependent.

In contrast, gold rose steadily, gaining 0.35% over the session. The metal’s upward momentum continued past the announcement, consistent with previous episodes of trade friction. Gold’s price behavior suggested capital rotation out of equities and into hard assets that are less vulnerable to trade volume disruption.

US Treasury bonds also attracted demand. Prices on the 10-year bond climbed by 0.12%, driving yields lower and reflecting investor caution. Falling yields often signal expectations for slower economic growth or future Federal Reserve rate cuts.

The uptick in demand aligns with a broader risk-off sentiment, especially in anticipation of further policy tightening or retaliatory economic measures. Still, it contrasts with recent declines in bond prices along with equities. The move, while modest, indicates a renewal in US bonds as a flight to safety after the sell-off earlier this week.

Oil Declines Sharply, Yuan Static

Oil posted the most notable downside move across assets. Prices fell 1.02% as traders recalibrated demand expectations under the assumption that extended trade disputes could constrain global industrial activity. The move reflects sensitivities to macroeconomic indicators that suggest trade barriers could reduce energy consumption, particularly in manufacturing-heavy regions.

Meanwhile, Chinese bonds mainly remained unchanged. The proxy 10-year Chinese government bond posted a marginal increase of just 0.01%, hinting at either a fully priced-in market or expectations that the People’s Bank of China may intervene to ensure currency stability. Such muted movement implies investors anticipate limited near-term volatility in foreign exchange markets despite the tariff escalation.

The S&P 500 (SPY proxy) slipped 0.63% in pre-market trading, reflecting cautious sentiment and a continued wholesale move out of equities.

Broader Trade Landscape

The tariff increase follows a pattern of reciprocal moves that began with the Trump administration’s sweeping import tax policies. Since the start of the trade confrontation, Beijing has matched Washington’s escalation with near-equal tariff hikes. The cumulative increases have driven both sides’ duties to historically elevated levels, with a stated 125% tariff now becoming the baseline for many products.

Taiwanese President Lai Ching-te separately noted that Taiwan is engaged in early negotiations with Washington after a temporary pause reduced US tariffs on the island’s exports from 32% to a 10% baseline. Per BBC News, Lai stated that his government remains committed to securing favorable outcomes to protect industrial interests.

Whether the tariff ceiling holds or triggers new rounds of retaliation remains uncertain. For now, investors appear divided in their interpretation of what elevated tariffs signal, either an inflection point in trade relations or an entrenched state of economic separation between the world’s two largest economies.

While commodities like gold and bonds continue to absorb geopolitical risk in traditional ways, Bitcoin’s identity straddles both ends of the spectrum. Its lack of clear directional conviction may reflect broader hesitancy to assign it a fixed role in macroeconomic crises, at least until clearer signals emerge from either central banks or geopolitical actors.

Mentioned in this article
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Immutable X and zkEVM NFT Sales Surge 55% in Q4 2024, But Market Participation Declines https://earlybirdsinvest.com/immutable-x-and-zkevm-nft-sales-surge-55-in-q4-2024-but-market-participation-declines/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/immutable-x-and-zkevm-nft-sales-surge-55-in-q4-2024-but-market-participation-declines/#respond Sun, 23 Mar 2025 03:29:39 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/immutable-x-and-zkevm-nft-sales-surge-55-in-q4-2024-but-market-participation-declines/

In the fourth quarter of 2024, the total NFT sales volume across Immutable X and Immutable zkEVM increased by 55.3% quarter-over-quarter.

Messari’s latest analysis revealed that the figure rose from $51.2 million to $79.5 million.

Market Participation Plummets

Despite this growth, both the average daily sellers and buyers declined significantly, with daily sellers dropping 43.0% from approximately 1,500 to 880, and daily buyers falling 38.1% from about 1,300 to 800. This suggests a shift toward higher average transaction values amid fewer market participants.

The sales surge was primarily driven by strong demand for Guild of Guardians Heroes and Avatars NFTs, which accounted for more than 99% of the total NFT trading volume in the quarter. Most of the sales occurred on Immutable zkEVM, where Guild of Guardians NFTs are traded. Immutable zkEVM also saw a substantial 73.3% rise in average daily NFT sales volume, growing from around $484,000 in Q3 to $839,000 in Q4, boosting its share of total sales volume to over 97% across both chains.

During the same period, Immutable zkEVM saw a decline in user engagement following record highs in Q3. In fact, average daily transactions decreased by 21.1% quarter-over-quarter, from approximately 595,000 in Q3 to around 469,000 in Q4. Similarly, average daily active addresses dropped 23.8%, from about 267,000 to 204,000, and average daily new addresses fell 29.8% to roughly 32,000 by the end of the quarter.

This decline in activity mirrored broader trends in the GameFi market, which according to Messari, likely reflects a cooldown after the surge in Q3 driven by popular game releases like Guild of Guardians, Immortal Rising 2, and Illuvium.

Throughout last year, Immutable progressively expanded developer access to zkEVM. In October, the platform removed its deployer allowlist which allowed for permissionless deployment of smart contracts and applications. This move lowers entry barriers for developers, positioning Immutable zkEVM for increased developer activity in the coming months.

In Q4 2024, average daily transaction fees on Immutable zkEVM fell by 17.0% quarter-over-quarter, from approximately 574 IMX to 477 IMX. Messari attributed this decline to reduced network congestion, which was a result of lower transaction activity during the period. To improve the user experience, Immutable has implemented a policy where it covers all gas fees for Immutable Passport holders, removing the need for players to pay gas fees and thereby reducing friction in the transaction process.

By the end of 2024, the total value locked (TVL) in decentralized finance (DeFi) on Immutable decreased to $13.8 million. This decline was likely due to a quarter-over-quarter drop in the price of the IMX token, which reduced the USD value of locked assets.

However, TVL measured in IMX showed a positive trend, increasing by almost 17% quarter-over-quarter to 10.33 million IMX, which suggests that the rise could have been driven by capital inflows despite the decrease in USD value.

Immutable’s SEC Trouble

On November 1, 2024, Immutable announced that it had received a Wells notice from the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) – an enforcement action concerning its 2021 IMX token sales. Immutable expressed concerns over the notice and released a statement saying that it was issued with limited prior communication and minimal details.

The company had then highlighted that the notice was delivered shortly after its first direct interaction with the securities regulators which raised questions about the timing and transparency of the process.

Fast forward to 2025, the SEC has closed several of its crypto investigations, with no enforcement charges resulting from probes into OpenSea, Gemini, Robinhood Crypto, and Uniswap. However, investigations into Immutable, and other platforms such as Crypto.com, and Unicoin are still ongoing.

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Bitcoin Price Declines in Q1, Impacting the NFT Market https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-price-declines-in-q1-impacting-the-nft-market/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-price-declines-in-q1-impacting-the-nft-market/#respond Mon, 17 Mar 2025 14:21:35 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-price-declines-in-q1-impacting-the-nft-market/

Bitcoin, the world’s largest cryptocurrency, started 2025 on uncertain footing after reaching record highs in late 2024. By early March, its value had dropped by more than 20% after climbing past $100,00 in December, raising concerns about broader market stability.

This downturn has had ripple effects across the digital asset space, particularly on Ethereum—the backbone of the NFT market. As Bitcoin and Ethereum prices slide, questions arise about how the NFT sector will respond. With declining market activity, shrinking investor participation, and environmental concerns resurfacing, the NFT landscape faces significant challenges.

The decline has been attributed to economic instability, regulatory pressures, and security incidents that have shaken investor confidence.

Bitcoin Price Declines in Q1, Impacting the NFT Market
Source: Pexels

Current Predictions on Bitcoin vs. Ethereum

Ethereum followed Bitcoin’s decline in early 2025, dropping from a high of $3,688.61 in January to approximately $2,090.61 by March but whilst this downward trend aligns with Bitcoin’s struggles, analysts note differing investor sentiment between the two cryptocurrencies. Some remain optimistic about Ethereum’s potential for recovery, citing historical trends where it rebounded after Bitcoin halving events in 2017 and 2021.

Ethereum’s broader utility in smart contracts and dApps also distinguishes it from Bitcoin, with real-world use cases in industries such as online gaming and digital transactions. At an Ethereum casino, for example, faster processing times allow players to deposit funds, start playing without delay, and withdraw winnings promptly. In addition, Ethereum’s support for smart contracts enables automated and provably fair gaming experiences, ensuring that game outcomes are fair and transparent.

Despite the downturn, both Bitcoin and Ethereum continue to be widely used across industries, including DeFi, online payments, and digital collectibles.

Bitcoin Price Declines in Q1, Impacting the NFT Market
Source: Pexels

What are the factors contributing to Bitcoin’s decline?

In early 2025, economic instability played a key role in Bitcoin’s decline such as a new U.S. policy introducing a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico caused uncertainty in financial markets, leading to a pullback from riskier assets like cryptocurrencies.

At the same time, the Federal Reserve hinted at potential interest rate hikes to curb inflation. Historically, such actions have resulted in lower investment in digital assets, as investors seek more stable assets such as bonds and gold.

Cybersecurity also remains a major issue in the crypto sector. For instance, in February 2025, a popular cryptocurrency exchange suffered a $1.5 billion hack, shaking investor confidence. Large-scale Bitcoin sell-offs followed, contributing further to its price decline.

Additionally, Institutional investors played a major role in Bitcoin’s late-2024 surge through ETFs. However, in Q1 2025, ETFs have seen outflows exceeding $1.1 billion, indicating that institutional confidence in Bitcoin has weakened and added downward pressure on the asset’s price.

How is this impacting the overall market?

As Bitcoin and Ethereum prices drop, the NFT market has also seen a decline in activity. Analysts predict a decrease of approximately $75 million in NFT marketplace revenues in 2025, reflecting reduced speculative interest and investor caution. The number of active NFT wallets has also been steadily declining for three years, with 2025 continuing this trend. Casual investors are exiting the market, leaving behind a smaller base of dedicated traders and institutional participants.

Bitcoin’s downturn also reignited debates over the environmental impact of blockchain technology and some businesses and investors are reconsidering their involvement in NFTs due to concerns about the high energy consumption of proof-of-work blockchains.

Several NFT projects and companies have also felt the effects of Bitcoin’s downturn. For example, RTFKT has announced its closure in early 2025, underscoring the struggles faced by NFT-based brands. Developers of blockchain-based games, including Axie Infinity and Otherside, are reducing operational costs due to waning demand for in-game NFT assets, and leading NFT marketplaces such as OpenSea and Blur have reported a drop in trading volumes. Whilst established collections like Bored Ape Yacht Club (BAYC) retain some market value, smaller NFT projects are facing difficulty in attracting buyers.

Bitcoin’s volatility is a known characteristic, and its recent decline does not necessarily indicate a long-term collapse with some believing that Bitcoin could recover later in 2025 if economic conditions stabilize and investor sentiment improves. The speculative boom has slowed, and projects focusing on practical applications may have better chances of long-term survival but whether NFTs can weather Bitcoin’s downturn will depend on how the sector adapts to evolving investor demands and market conditions.

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