Computing – Earlybirds Invest https://earlybirdsinvest.com Latest Crypto News Sun, 31 Aug 2025 14:24:53 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.9.7 https://i0.wp.com/earlybirdsinvest.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/cropped-New-Project-2024-12-17T235703.455.png?fit=32%2C32&ssl=1 Computing – Earlybirds Invest https://earlybirdsinvest.com 32 32 240146708 Rigetti Computing: Time to Buy? https://earlybirdsinvest.com/rigetti-computing-time-to-buy/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/rigetti-computing-time-to-buy/#respond Sun, 31 Aug 2025 14:24:53 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/rigetti-computing-time-to-buy/ This quantum computing pioneer trades at 670 times trailing sales while generating $1.8 million in quarterly revenue and burning nearly $40 million per quarter.

Rigetti Computing (RGTI -2.14%) has surged 1,820% over the past 12 months — topping D-Wave Quantum‘s (QBTS -1.82%) 1,550% gain and IonQ‘s 505% (IONQ -1.27%). Yet, today’s $5.3 billion market cap looks disconnected from a company posting just $1.8 million in quarterly revenue while losing nearly $40 million in the most recent quarter.

Investors are paying venture-style multiples for technology that still lacks commercial traction. Yet, the massive opportunity inherent in quantum computing could make this tech stock a steal — even at these elevated levels. Let’s dig deeper to find out whether this premium-laden growth stock is worth the price of admission.

A clock with hands that read time to buy.

Image source: Getty Images.

Technical breakthroughs mask commercial struggles

In August 2025, Rigetti’s modular 36-qubit system — four 9-qubit chiplets linked together — achieved 99.5% median two-qubit gate fidelity, halving errors from its Ankaa-3 machine. A 100-plus qubit chiplet system is targeted by year-end. Think of it like building a supercomputer from many processors instead of one impossible monolith.

Rigetti’s superconducting qubits operate at fractions of a degree above absolute zero. The company’s two-qubit gates run in tens of nanoseconds, versus tens of microseconds for trapped-ion or neutral-atom systems — roughly 100 to 1,000 times faster. Faster gates allow more operations within limited coherence times, though rival platforms often deliver higher fidelities and longer lifetimes.

On the financial front, second-quarter 2025 revenue fell to $1.8 million from $3.1 million a year ago, reflecting contract timing. Income comes from cloud access, custom algorithm work, and government research and development (R&D). Operating losses of $19.9 million in the most recent quarter underscore the capital-intensive nature of this nascent field.

In short, technical progress is ramping while revenues remain minimal.

Government validation provides crucial backing

DARPA tapped Rigetti as a performer in its Quantum Benchmarking Initiative — a program seeking “utility-scale” quantum computers by 2033 — alongside IBM and IonQ. The Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency’s (DARPA) track record includes the internet, GPS, and stealth aircraft, making its backing a meaningful vote of confidence.

Meanwhile, Washington is advancing the National Quantum Initiative (NQI) Reauthorization Act (approximately $2.7 billion) and the Department of Energy Quantum Leadership Act (approximately $2.5 billion). Europe has pledged about 2 billion euros at the European Union (E.U.) level and another 9 billion euros from member states.

China’s widely cited $10 billion for quantum computing projects represents a one-time Hefei National Lab project, not recurring spend. The bottom line is that global governments are racing to fund credible players in this emerging space.

How does Rigetti fit into this government-backed innovation bonanza? Rigetti manufactures at its Fab-1 facility using semiconductor-style modular methods. By wiring smaller chips into larger systems, it sidesteps yield issues that plagued single-chip designs. IBM’s 1,121-qubit Condor processor (2023) underscored the limits of monolithic scaling and pushed IBM itself toward modular architectures.

Put simply, Rigetti was ahead of the curve in employing modular designs — a critical decision that could translate into a key competitive advantage.

Extreme valuation demands caution

Rigetti raised $350 million in Q2 via an at-the-market program, ending the quarter with $571.6 million in cash and no debt. That buys time through 2026, but the opportunistic raise at lofty prices signals management’s awareness that current valuations may not last.

At a $5.3 billion market cap on approximately $11 million-ish in trailing revenue, Rigetti stock trades at around 495 times sales. By comparison, traditional semiconductor giant Nvidia trades at approximately 40 times forward earnings — with profits, proven demand, and a rock-solid moat. While rich, Nvidia’s premium pales in comparison to those of Rigetti and other pure-play quantum stocks, all of which are cash-flow negative at the moment.

A speculative bet on computing’s future

Quantum computing could be the next revolution — or an expensive science experiment. Rigetti’s 36-qubit milestone and DARPA backing validate its chiplet strategy, and $571.6 million in cash provides breathing room.

Still, at 495 times trailing sales, the stock’s valuation prices in perfection. Thus, risk-tolerant investors might cap exposure at no more than 2% of a well-diversified portfolio. For most, though, it makes sense to wait for proof of real commercial traction before betting on Rigetti as a breakthrough play in quantum’s uncertain future.

George Budwell has positions in D-Wave Quantum, IonQ, Nvidia, and Rigetti Computing. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends International Business Machines and Nvidia. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Best Quantum Computing Stock: D-Wave Quantum or IonQ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/best-quantum-computing-stock-d-wave-quantum-or-ionq/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/best-quantum-computing-stock-d-wave-quantum-or-ionq/#respond Fri, 15 Aug 2025 09:52:09 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/best-quantum-computing-stock-d-wave-quantum-or-ionq/ These two quantum computing pure plays are taking very different approaches to the emerging technology.

The quantum computing race is starting to heat up, and many investors are growing increasingly bullish on the potential of the technology. However, there are numerous competitors in this industry, and at this relatively early stage, it can be difficult to figure out which ones will be the best investments.

Naturally, some investors are particularly tempted by the quantum computing pure plays — relatively small operations that don’t have any other business lines to support themselves through their R&D and build-out stages. These companies are all-or-nothing investments: If they don’t medal in the quantum computing race, investments in them will likely go to $0. On the flip side, if they succeed, their upsides are immense, so early investors could conceivably make a ton of money.

Two of the most popular quantum computing pure plays with retail investors today are D-Wave Quantum (QBTS -2.98%) and IonQ (IONQ -0.32%). But is there a better pick between the two right now?

Image of a quantum computing cell.

Image source: Getty Images.

Different approaches to quantum computing

The fundamental feature of quantum computing that separates it from the technologies that have come before is that it encodes and manipulates data in the form of qubits. Those qubits can have values of 1 or 0 like the binary bits in classic computers, but also can have values that are complex probability amplitudes. 

So far, there are five primary approaches to creating qubits: superconducting, trapped ion, photonic, quantum dot, and neutral atom. There are benefits and drawbacks to each approach, and IonQ and D-Wave are taking different paths.

IonQ utilizes the trapped ion approach, which involves trapping individual positively charged atoms in electromagnetic fields to manipulate them. A primary advantage of this technique is that it has so far been able to deliver relatively high accuracy, which is a key issue in quantum computing. Currently, IonQ’s devices hold the world record for the most accurate quantum computing calculations. Additionally, trapped ion systems can operate at room temperature, which gives them a significant cost advantage over approaches (such as superconducting) that demand ultra-cold environments for their qubits.

D-Wave utilizes superconducting qubits, but more specifically, it is taking an unusual approach to that technology called quantum annealing, which is used to find the lowest energy states of qubits, providing the optimal answer. This makes it ideal for solving optimization problems, but may limit its usefulness when it comes to performing other types of complex calculations.

Both companies are devoted to their respective quantum computing approaches and will follow them to the end. While there may be merit to both approaches, only time will tell if one of them results in a dead end. 

Add more names to your quantum computing stock basket

Given that it’s still too soon to tell which of the numerous approaches to this tech will prove to be best, investors interested in gaining exposure to the quantum computing space would likely be better off buying both of these stocks. In fact, I would suggest that adding a third company would also be a wise move.

The superconducting qubit approach (without the annealing aspect) is by far the most popular in the industry. Nearly every big tech competitor that’s developing a quantum computer — among them, Microsoft, IBM, and Alphabet — is taking that path. So are small pure plays such as Rigetti Computing. You could add a stake in any one of them.

By taking a more diversified approach to quantum computing investing, investors increase their chances of having exposure to the space’s winners — and there may be multiple winners.

The most common target most companies point to when predicting when quantum computing will become commercially relevant is 2030, although both D-Wave and IonQ have computing units available for purchase today.

Owning shares of several companies in this industry will spread out your risk. However, because nobody knows how successful or widespread quantum computing will become, don’t load up too heavily on pure-play stocks — they could all go bust. It’s always a good idea to manage your position sizing for risk, so I’d suggest putting no more than 1% of your portfolio into any single quantum computing pure play. D-Wave Quantum and IonQ could be winning investments, but there’s no way to know right now.

Keithen Drury has positions in Alphabet. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, International Business Machines, and Microsoft. The Motley Fool recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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2 Top Quantum Computing Stocks to Buy in July https://earlybirdsinvest.com/2-top-quantum-computing-stocks-to-buy-in-july/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/2-top-quantum-computing-stocks-to-buy-in-july/#respond Sun, 20 Jul 2025 19:17:18 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/2-top-quantum-computing-stocks-to-buy-in-july/

Quantum computing could be the next area of explosive growth in the tech sector. The consultants at McKinsey Digital have estimated that the industry could be worth as much as $1.3 billion by 2035, though there’s a lot of uncertainty.

If that huge number becomes reality, successful quantum computing companies are going to make their investors very happy. Here are two picks to consider buying this month.

A person covering their mouth while looking at multiple computer monitors.

Image source: Getty Images.

IonQ is a high-risk, high-reward company

Quantum physics experts Christopher Monroe and Jungsang Kim started IonQ (IONQ 3.68%) in 2015. Six years later, it became the first pure-play quantum computing company to go public.

Since the technology is still in the early stages, and it’s IonQ’s only business, the company isn’t profitable yet. Its revenue nearly doubled to $43.1 million last year, but its costs also increased, leading to a net loss of $331.6 million.

Profitability is likely still several years away. CEO Peter Chapman believes it will happen by 2030 and is projecting sales near $1 billion at that point. Fortunately, IonQ has a strong balance sheet and recently sold $1 billion in common stock, giving it nearly $1.7 billion in cash and equivalents it can tap.

What makes IonQ unique compared to other quantum computing companies is its trapped-ion technology. These computers store data using quantum bits, or qubits for short. The most widely used quantum computing method is superconducting qubits. IonQ’s computers use trapped ions that are controlled with precise laser pulses.

Trapped-ion technology has a few notable advantages. It delivers high fidelity, a term that refers to the accuracy of a quantum computer. One of the major quantum computing challenges is eliminating errors. No company has solved this yet, but IonQ achieved a significant breakthrough in September 2024, when it reported it had the first trapped-ion quantum system to surpass 99.9% fidelity.

Trapped-ion qubits also have longer coherence times. Qubits decay over time and lose their quantum properties. Coherence time refers to the amount of time a qubit can maintain its quantum state. With solid-state quantum computing systems, coherence time is normally measured in microseconds to milliseconds. Trapped-ion systems measure coherence time in seconds to minutes, so it’s a sizable difference.

This doesn’t necessarily mean that IonQ has the best quantum computing method; if so, everyone would be using trapped ions. But it has something different that delivers extremely low error rates. It has also picked up several high-profile contracts, including multiple deals with the U.S. Air Force Research Lab and one with the Department of Defense, making it worth a look for investors.

IBM is a pioneer in quantum computing

Cloud services, software, and artificial intelligence (AI) may be the core businesses of International Business Machines (IBM 1.44%), but the company also has a long history with quantum computing. It started developing quantum computers over 30 years ago and has been responsible for notable advancements.

It released IBM Eagle, the first processor to surpass 100 qubits, in 2021. Its IBM Condor is currently the second-largest quantum computer in the world as measured by qubits.

The company has released a quantum development road map with ambitious milestones. It plans to demonstrate an example of quantum advantage in 2026, which refers to a quantum computer solving a problem faster than any classical computer can. By 2029, it plans to develop Quantum Starling, a fault-tolerant quantum computer — one that can operate even in the presence of errors.

Because of its size and financial strength, the company can invest much more in quantum computing than a start-up like IonQ can. In April, it announced plans to spend $30 billion on the technology and mainframes as part of a five-year, $150 billion pledge to invest in U.S. computer manufacturing.

IBM reported $14.5 billion in revenue and $8 billion in gross profit for the first quarter of 2025, both slight improvements year over year. Its increase in gross profit margin was more impressive, from 53.5% to 55.2%. The tech company ended the quarter with $17.6 billion in cash and cash equivalents, so it’s well equipped to continue building its quantum computing program.

Its share price has already jumped 29% this year, so it has gotten more expensive. However, it trades at less than 27 times adjusted forward earnings estimates, a reasonable valuation.

Quantum computing investments are still speculative. We don’t know when or if such machines will become widely used. With that kind of uncertainty, it wouldn’t be wise to bet the farm on quantum computing, but you may want to add some exposure by picking up shares of IonQ, IBM, or both.

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3 Reasons IonQ Could Be a Millionaire-Maker Quantum Computing Stock https://earlybirdsinvest.com/3-reasons-ionq-could-be-a-millionaire-maker-quantum-computing-stock/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/3-reasons-ionq-could-be-a-millionaire-maker-quantum-computing-stock/#respond Mon, 30 Jun 2025 02:20:25 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/3-reasons-ionq-could-be-a-millionaire-maker-quantum-computing-stock/

In the fledgling field of quantum computing, IonQ (IONQ -2.16%) has emerged as one of the leading start-up investment options. It holds key contracts with top players in the quantum computing field, like the Air Force Research Lab, and offers top-notch technology.

Although it’s far from a surefire bet, is this quantum computing start-up the best chance at transforming a meager investment into $1 million? After all, quantum computing has the potential to transform high-powered computing. Let’s take a closer look.

Image of a quantum computing cell.

Image source: Getty Images.

1. IonQ’s error correction is among the best

Quantum computing can potentially be an absolute game changer in the high-powered computing world. It lets users tackle problems they’ve never been able to fully model before (like weather patterns and logistics networks), but it also could have massive implications for artificial intelligence (AI). Quantum computing could deliver huge value for whichever company can win the quantum computing arms race, but each competitor must solve a key problem first: errors.

Unlike traditional computing, quantum computing doesn’t have a clear black-and-white answer. While traditional computers use bits to transmit information, which can only be in the form of a 0 or a 1, quantum computing uses qubits. While qubits collapse down to a 0 or a 1 when measured, they can exist in a state between 0 and 1 during the calculation process. This opens up many possibilities within a calculation, which is why quantum computers could perform better at workloads with thousands of possibilities.

The best way most companies have found to deal with this error issue is to let the qubits interact with each other to reduce errors. While many competitors have placed their qubits in a grid-like system to let the qubits interact with their neighbors, IonQ has taken it a step further. They use all-to-all connectivity, which lets every qubit interact with every other qubit. This leads to unparalleled 2-qubit gate fidelity, and IonQ’s process already has greater than 99.9% fidelity.

This shows that IonQ has already made a fantastic start on the most critical problem with quantum computing, which is why it has several key partnerships.

2. IonQ holds several critical contracts

IonQ holds one of the largest contracts in quantum computing with the U.S. Air Force Research Lab, a facility known for testing cutting-edge technologies. This indicates that quantum computing is not just a future technology; it can be used in its current state.

To further support this option, IonQ hardware is available for use on the three major cloud computing providers: Microsoft Azure, Alphabet‘s Google Cloud, and Amazon Web Services. With IonQ’s hardware becoming more widely available, it’s making key progress in this race. If it can differentiate itself from its competitors and start to capture a customer base, it could create a foothold that would be hard to disrupt.

3. There’s a huge market opportunity for quantum computing

To circle back to the original question, can IonQ be a millionaire-maker stock? I’m not sure. There’s a huge market for quantum computing in the future, but it’s not that large right now. IonQ estimates that the market opportunity will reach $87 billion by 2035, but it’s unlikely that one company will capture that complete market share.

Even if IonQ captures 50% of it and generates around $40 billion in annual revenue, that’s still less than another key quantum computing competitor, IBM. IBM is about a $270 billion company — about 27 times the size of IonQ.

So, can IonQ transform $10,000 into $1 million? Likely not. But can IonQ deliver strong stock performance if it wins the quantum computing arms race? Absolutely. However, this is far from a surefire bet, as the field is ripe with potent competition, and IonQ still has years to go before proving commercial relevancy.

John Mackey, former CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Keithen Drury has positions in Alphabet and Amazon. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Amazon, International Business Machines, and Microsoft. The Motley Fool recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Will Quantum Computing Stocks Soar in the Second Half? https://earlybirdsinvest.com/will-quantum-computing-stocks-soar-in-the-second-half/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/will-quantum-computing-stocks-soar-in-the-second-half/#respond Sun, 22 Jun 2025 20:00:10 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/will-quantum-computing-stocks-soar-in-the-second-half/

Quantum computing stocks skyrocketed in 2024, with names such as Quantum Computing and Rigetti Computing surging by more than 1,000%. Investors were eager to get in on what could become the next game-changing technology, and revenue growth as well as scientific progress from some of these quantum specialists boosted optimism.

Even after those gains, it’s very possible that quantum stocks will climb in the second half of this year, and here’s why.

The image of a quantum computer is shown.

Image source: Getty Images.

Why investors buy quantum computing stocks

So, first, a quick note about why investors see so much potential in quantum computing. This is because this type of computing, based on quantum mechanics, makes it possible to solve problems that today’s classic computers can’t handle.

Quantum computing can do this by using qubits — instead of the bits used by today’s computers — to store data. And while bits store and process data as zeros or 1s, qubits can represent a zero, a one, or both at the same time. This allows for tremendous scaling, and as a result, a problem that would take a classic computer 1,000 years to solve may take a quantum machine about five minutes.

Right now, quantum companies offer hardware and services to customers, but we’re still in the early stages of development. Experts have said that truly useful quantum computers are several years away. The good news is that this means these companies have plenty of room to run when it comes to revenue growth and share price performance. It’s clear that if quantum companies reach their development goals, these computers could revolutionize many industries.

Quantum stocks in 2024 and 2025

All of this helped quantum computing pure-play companies climb last year. The bull market and optimism about the economy ahead offered the perfect environment for growth stocks to excel. But in recent months, concerns about President Donald Trump’s import tariff plan weighed on these players. The idea was that tariffs could lead to higher prices at home, prompting customers of quantum companies to rein in their spending.

But over the past few weeks, progress in trade talks and even initial deals with the U.K. and China have made investors more optimistic about the future. And corporate earnings haven’t suggested any slowdown in spending on technology — in fact, companies continue to reiterate their commitments to such projects.

This backdrop supports the idea of more gains for quantum companies in the second half, especially for certain players such as Rigetti and IonQ, which haven’t yet fully recovered — they’re down 25% and 5%, respectively, year to date. And if they show some growth in revenue in the coming quarters, this could act as a positive catalyst for share performance, too.

Can D-Wave keep soaring?

But this doesn’t mean that stocks that have continued to advance, such as D-Wave Quantum (QBTS -0.13%), which is heading for an increase of more than 80%, won’t keep on rising. For example, D-Wave just recently released its Advantage2 quantum computer, which is accessible both on the cloud and on-premises. More than 20 million customer problems have been run through the prototype, and the company says the computer is now ready for use in areas such as materials simulation and artificial intelligence (AI).

Uptake of this new platform and further revenue gains — D-Wave’s revenue last quarter soared 500% to a record $15 million — could offer this highflier an additional boost.

Of course, it’s important to keep in mind that these pure-play quantum companies aren’t yet profitable and are involved in a relatively new, cutting-edge technology, and that involves some risk. Any economic headwinds could hurt investors’ appetite for these sorts of players.

These companies depend on a strong economy, as this increases the likelihood that potential customers will spend on their products and services. And investors generally feel more comfortable getting in on growth stocks when the economy is thriving. So, the economic situation in the second half could determine the near-term direction of these players.

But right now, there’s reason to be optimistic that the U.S. trade talks, along with some better-than-expected economic data, signal better days ahead — and that the worst-case scenario of a recession and tough times for corporate earnings will be averted. With this in mind, quantum computing stocks could be set to soar in the second half as investors look to get in on the next big technology that could deliver explosive returns.

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The Quantum Computing Threat to Bitcoin Is Real — and Coming Fast https://earlybirdsinvest.com/the-quantum-computing-threat-to-bitcoin-is-real-and-coming-fast/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/the-quantum-computing-threat-to-bitcoin-is-real-and-coming-fast/#respond Wed, 11 Jun 2025 13:28:12 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/the-quantum-computing-threat-to-bitcoin-is-real-and-coming-fast/ A quarter of the total Bitcoin supply could be at risk.

Crypto investors are accustomed to volatility risk. You have to be when prices of coins regularly swing by 10% or more in mere days. Unfortunately, volatility is just one of several potential pitfalls of crypto investing. And sometimes, the short-term noise can make it easy to overlook the bigger, longer-term risks.

Quantum computing is one such long-term threat. Without delving too deeply into how these two complex technologies work, the issue is that if quantum computers become powerful enough, they will pose a significant threat to Bitcoin‘s (BTC -0.12%) security. If you’re a buy-and-hold investor with an interest in crypto, this is an issue you need to have on your radar.

The crypto community thought they had decades before quantum computing became a pressing problem. However, a recent article on Decrypt, a news website focused on the decentralized web, says that experts are now worried that the industry has a decade, or maybe only a handful of years, to prepare. Moreover, around 4 million Bitcoins could be at risk right now.

Bitcoin’s quantum computing threat

To be clear, quantum computing is not going to break the cryptographic protection around people’s wallets today. However, in 1994, a mathematician called Peter Shor published an algorithm that showed how a quantum computer, if it were powerful enough, could break the encryption standards commonly used nowadays.

It’s all about how crypto keys work. Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies use a system of public and private keys to authenticate transactions. Let’s say I wanted to send you some Bitcoin. I would use your public key to make the transfer. You would then use your private key — like the PIN to your bank card, only much, much longer — to finalize the transaction.

Each public key is generated from the corresponding private key. Asymmetric cryptography makes it practically impossible to reverse-engineer a private key from a public one. Using classical computers — the digital type with which we are all familiar — the task would require a prohibitive amount of time and computing power. But it isn’t impossible.

Quantum computers, though, use a different technology for solving problems, and for certain unusual uses, that method could be much faster. One of those potential uses is solving the type of problem that would derive a private key from a public one. And once someone knows your private key, they can then access or transfer your crypto.

Over 4 million Bitcoins at risk

Bitcoins are only vulnerable if the public key is known. Addresses that were used for early transactions on the blockchain are particularly susceptible to quantum computing attacks. Newer addresses are only at risk if they’ve been revealed during a transaction and subsequently reused.

Deloitte set out to understand the scale of the problem. Its analysis shows that more than 4 million Bitcoins (about 25% of all usable Bitcoins) could be stolen once quantum computing systems advance enough to break their encryption. Some could be transferred to safer addresses, but others are stuck in inaccessible wallets because the owners no longer have the keys.

The theft of any Bitcoins by breaking their encryption — never mind millions of them — would undermine confidence in the coins and could have a serious impact on their price. Moreover, a security vulnerability of this magnitude could compromise (if not destroy) Bitcoin’s potential use cases.

The B symbol of Bitcoin lights up on a computer network.

Image source: Getty Images.

Quantum computing is advancing fast

Having understood the scale of the problem, the next question is how quickly quantum computing is developing. Here, too, there’s cause for concern. A recent blog post from Google revealed that the number of qubits — basic units of quantum computing — required to break the widely used 2,048-bit RSA encryption protocol has been shrinking quickly.

In 2012, the post notes, it would have taken 1 billion qubits. By 2019, 20 million qubits. This year, it’s down to 1 million qubits.

In sum, cracking that hard encryption today could be done with a machine 1,000 times less powerful than it would have taken 13 years ago. Even so, 1 million qubits is a lot. Scientists are moving quickly, but they are still a long way from building a machine of that scope that can stay stable long enough to perform the required calculations.

Crypto community needs to act

Quantum computing is not going to break the cryptography protecting people’s crypto wallets today. However, the day when it will be able to is closer than many choose to admit. The Bitcoin community is starting to discuss how to prepare, but implementation of any response will take time.

For example, researchers at the University of Kent say that upgrading to post-quantum cryptosystems could take 75 days of downtime — or over 300 days if the Bitcoin network operated at 75% capacity. The community would also need to reach a consensus about how to handle the old and abandoned Bitcoins that cannot be transferred to safe addresses.

What the quantum threat means for investors

If you are a holder of Bitcoin, it’s important to understand the nature of this problem and to ensure that your Bitcoin is in a secure address. More broadly, you should consider how this looming threat impacts your investment thesis. If you invested in Bitcoin because you saw potential in its secure, decentralized transactions, the threat from quantum computing could undermine your rationale.

Some cryptos, such as Solana (SOL 3.59%), are actively pursuing post-quantum security. And some newer crypto projects already boast about their protocols’ resistance to quantum computing attacks. However, buying smaller altcoins comes with its own risks. Frankly, in a worst-case scenario where millions of hacked Bitcoins flood the market, it is hard to imagine how even quantum-resistant projects would avoid getting washed away in the chaos.

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Strategy’s Michael Saylor calls quantum computing threats to Bitcoin a marketing myth https://earlybirdsinvest.com/strategys-michael-saylor-calls-quantum-computing-threats-to-bitcoin-a-marketing-myth/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/strategys-michael-saylor-calls-quantum-computing-threats-to-bitcoin-a-marketing-myth/#respond Mon, 09 Jun 2025 13:45:17 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/strategys-michael-saylor-calls-quantum-computing-threats-to-bitcoin-a-marketing-myth/

Michael Saylor, chairman of Strategy and a long-time Bitcoin advocate, has dismissed concerns that quantum computing poses an imminent threat to the top crypto.

In a recent CNBC interview, Saylor argued that the narrative is exaggerated to promote speculative quantum-resistant tokens. He noted :

“It’s mainly marketing from people that want to sell you the next quantum yo-yo token.”

According to him, the idea that quantum machines could soon compromise Bitcoin’s cryptographic foundations is overblown because major tech companies and institutions have a vested interest in protecting cryptographic systems.

He stated:

“Google and Microsoft aren’t going to sell you a computer that cracks modern cryptography because it would destroy Google and Microsoft – and the US Government and the banking system.”

Meanwhile, Saylor maintained that quantum computing risks remain decades away and emphasized that the blockchain network will adapt to the situation like other major software systems by upgrading its software.

Bitcoin community is already preparing for quantum computing threats

While Saylor downplays the urgency, some in the crypto space agree that preparation, not panic, is the proper response for the impending situation.

Blockstream CEO Adam Back, a respected cryptographer, acknowledged that quantum computing could become relevant in the future. However, he believes the timeline for such threats spans decades, not years.

Still, proactive measures are already under discussion. Back recommends evolving Bitcoin’s address formats to incorporate more quantum-resistant cryptography. His proposal includes using Schnorr signatures and SLH-DSA tapleafs.

This would allow users to gradually move funds to addresses designed to withstand future quantum attacks, without incurring additional costs today.

He argued that these proactive steps can help avoid market panic driven by sensationalist headlines.

He said:

“[This will ensure] we don’t see bitcoin price wobbles caused by information asymmetry confusion from breathless over-reporting of incremental improvements of early stage quantum compute physics and algorithms – on a probable multi-decade path to cryptographic relevance.”

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Meet the Monster Quantum Computing Stock That Continues to Crush the Market https://earlybirdsinvest.com/meet-the-monster-quantum-computing-stock-that-continues-to-crush-the-market/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/meet-the-monster-quantum-computing-stock-that-continues-to-crush-the-market/#respond Tue, 27 May 2025 01:43:05 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/meet-the-monster-quantum-computing-stock-that-continues-to-crush-the-market/ Several companies in the “Magnificent Seven” are investing heavily in quantum computing, but another player in the background boasts a better stock price return over the last year than all of them.

When thinking about quantum computing, names such as Nvidia, Alphabet, Microsoft, or Amazon might come to mind. Each of these companies has developed custom chips and software focused on quantum computing technology — providing them with even more opportunity to dominate the artificial intelligence (AI) landscape.

But what if I told you that over the last year, Nvidia is the only stock in this peer set that has generated a better total return than the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite?

Beyond the megacap technology stocks, IonQ (IONQ -0.26%) has emerged as a budding opportunity in the quantum computing realm. Over the last year, IonQ stock has risen by a staggering 432% — absolutely crushing the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indexes, which have risen by 11% and 13%, respectively.

Is IonQ stock set up to continue beating the market? Read on to find out.

IonQ stock is scorching hot right now, but…

It’s important to understand that when a new megatrend emerges, individual opportunities underneath the broader umbrella tend to follow. What I mean by that is throughout the AI revolution, investors have (for the most part) been following the same subsectors such as enterprise software, cloud computing infrastructure, and semiconductor chips.

While quantum computing is an enormous market opportunity, it’s not exactly scaling at the same pace as chips or software right now. For this reason, I tend to view quantum computing as more of a trendy, new pocket of the AI realm that appears promising but has little traction to prove it.

IONQ Chart

IONQ data by YCharts

Not even a year ago, IonQ was trading near penny stock levels. Still, despite a nearly sevenfold rise in its share price, IonQ stock is “only” $45. Well, smart investors understand that share price is only one parameter when assessing a company’s valuation.

Let’s dig into IonQ’s financial profile to help assess if the stock is overvalued or trading for a reasonable price.

A quantum computing chip processing data.

Image source: Getty Images.

… does the valuation make any sense?

Over the last year, IonQ generated $43 million in revenue. Sure, the company’s sales trajectory might look encouraging, but look at that cash burn. While raking in tens of millions in revenue, IonQ burned through more than $300 million — and the trend is getting worse!

IONQ Revenue (TTM) Chart

IONQ Revenue (TTM) data by YCharts

Despite this inverse relationship between sales and profits, IonQ’s market cap has continued to soar. At an $11.7 billion market capitalization, IonQ currently trades for a price-to-sales (P/S) multiple of 238. That is almost tenfold the P/S ratio of Nvidia.

Is IonQ stock a buy right now?

I think IonQ is a speculative stock to own and its valuation seems unjustified to me. While the stock has outperformed the broader market over the last year, I suspect much of the rise in the share price has to do with optimistic narratives surrounding quantum computing coupled with investor fatigue in the usual suspects (i.e., the “Magnificent Seven”).

While I’m intrigued by quantum computing, it’s not an area that’s enticed me enough to follow the momentum currently fueling IonQ stock to new highs. Instead, owning stocks such as Nvidia, Amazon, Microsoft, Alphabet, or even IBM can provide investors with exposure to quantum computing while also achieving some level of insulation since you will be diversified in other areas of the broader AI market, too.

I would pass on IonQ stock right now. Given its parabolic rise in such a short time frame, I think it’s more likely the stock will take a breather rather than continue crushing the market.

Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. John Mackey, former CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Adam Spatacco has positions in Alphabet, Amazon, Microsoft, and Nvidia. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Amazon, International Business Machines, Microsoft, and Nvidia. The Motley Fool recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Why Quantum Computing Stocks Rocketed Higher on Thursday https://earlybirdsinvest.com/why-quantum-computing-stocks-rocketed-higher-on-thursday/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/why-quantum-computing-stocks-rocketed-higher-on-thursday/#respond Fri, 23 May 2025 01:00:06 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/why-quantum-computing-stocks-rocketed-higher-on-thursday/

Not for the first time in their relatively brief existences, quantum computing stocks shot well higher in value on Thursday. That wasn’t due to any fresh innovation, discovery, or major business move. Rather, it seemed to have more to do with some grand pronouncements by a single quantum company executive.

Nevertheless, as a writer, I can confirm that words have power, and these were powerful enough to lift the sector as a whole. Industry standard-bearers Quantum Computing (QUBT 14.52%), Rigetti Computing (RGTI 25.91%), and D-Wave Quantum (QBTS 24.22%) all saw their share prices inflate at double-digit rates. The stocks rose a respective 15%, 24%, and 26% on the day.

The king of quantum?

Those market-moving words came from the leader of one of their peers, IonQ (IONQ 37.09%). That morning, Barron’s published an interview with the company’s CEO, Niccolo de Masi, in which he waxed extremely bullish about the prospects for his business. This was clearly taken by the article’s readers as likely prosperity for the wider quantum space.

A folder labeled Quantum Computing.

Image source: Getty Images.

De Masi is clearly not the shy and publicity-adverse type of corporate leader, as he made a series of grand pronouncements about IonQ.

In his eyes, the company is the quantum sector equivalent of graphics processing unit (GPU) king Nvidia or advanced processor specialist Broadcom. As such, IonQ’s ultimate prominence and power will be imitated by businesses hoping to catch some of its magic.

In fact, added the executive, “they have always copied and followed us.”

That isn’t really accurate, as the varied quantum companies currently traded on the stock market are following different paths to hoped-for success. In IonQ’s case, it’s a “full-stack” business, aiming to provide hardware, the software that runs on it, and applications for control and access.

In a way, though, Quantum Computing, Rigetti, and D-Wave are followers. IonQ was among the first pure-play quantum companies to become publicly traded. That pedigree is a factor that has helped drive its market cap to over $11 billion at present. That dwarfs its three peers, as the most richly capitalized of the trio — D-Wave — is currently valued by investors at under $5.6 billion.

Rivers of red ink

Nevertheless, investors should always be wary of hype, especially when applied to an early-stage industry struggling to get on its financial feet — like quantum.

While the technology has indisputably immense potential, getting a quantum business to the point where it’s efficient and profitable is quite the challenge. None of the prominent quantum companies — yes, including IonQ — has yet to stem their often very deep net losses.

There are potentially significant catalysts on the horizon. One that could change the landscape dramatically is Congress’s National Quantum Initiative Reauthorization Act.

As the name implies, this would restart a federal program aimed at boosting quantum, with public funding for businesses actively involved in such work. Capital for cash-hungry companies on the cutting-edge of new technologies is almost always scarce; passing the act into law would alleviate that nagging and persistent headache.

I have to emphasize here that such industry-boosting factors are only potential at this point, not reality. And that goes double for any talk of a single quantum company or a clutch of them becoming the new Nvidia or Broadcom.

Both of these successful enterprises are the products of years of patient business development and often heavy research and development expenditure. Neither blasted into the world suddenly as cash-gushing winners.

Spread the wealth

At this point, it’s hard to place bets on which quantum company, or companies, will pull ahead with offerings irresistible to customers thirsty for exponential increases in computing power.

Given that, it’s probably a good move for quantum bulls to spread out their investments among the leading stocks in the space. I feel all of the aforementioned titles can potentially leverage the technology into robust profits eventually — and yes, that includes IonQ, all hype and hot air aside.

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Cardano Joins Linux Foundation’s Confidential Computing Consortium https://earlybirdsinvest.com/cardano-joins-linux-foundations-confidential-computing-consortium/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/cardano-joins-linux-foundations-confidential-computing-consortium/#respond Mon, 05 May 2025 09:51:38 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/cardano-joins-linux-foundations-confidential-computing-consortium/

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Cardano has become the newest member of the Linux Foundation’s Confidential Computing Consortium (CCC), a move that positions the open-source blockchain alongside heavyweights such as Microsoft and Amazon in the fast-growing market for hardware-based data-protection standards. The announcement emerged during an hour-long “Midnight Booth” fireside chat at Consensus, where Charles Hoskinson, chief executive of Input Output (IO), and Eran Barak, chief executive of the Midnight development company, sketched out how confidential computing will anchor Cardano’s privacy-first sidechain, Midnight.

“We just recently joined the Confidential Computing Consortium, you know, with Linux Foundation, and we’re right there with Microsoft and Amazon with Nitro. They’re talking about confidential computing and trusted hardware enclaves with GPUs for outsourcing AI data,” Hoskinson told the audience. The CCC sets cross-industry specifications for enclave-based security; its membership signals that Cardano intends to align Midnight’s zero-knowledge roll-ups and decentralized-identifier (DID) stack with emerging hardware standards rather than rely solely on purely cryptographic shields.

“So, Midnight basically clicks into all of those different things and it gives you the ability to reason and think about how do I share, who do I share with, what do I own, what do they own, what’s the semantical value of the data that I’m sculpting, and then ultimately what’s the marketplace look like and how do I be an economic agent in that marketplace and I actually get paid for sharing these things as opposed to it all goes to the Magnificent Seven and they just tell me what I get,” Hoskinson added.

Cardano Takes Next Step In Secure Blockchain

Hoskinson traced Midnight’s origins to “a bar in Tel Aviv” during Eurocrypt 2018, describing how a late-night debate about zero-knowledge proofs eventually matured into a sidechain that combines a programmable Stark-based execution engine (“Kachina”), a dual-token economic model (“Knight” for governance and “dust” for metered capacity) and selective-disclosure controls rooted in W3C DIDs. Yet, according to Barak, technological ingenuity alone is not enough; enterprise adoption hinges on hardware-rooted trust. Confidential computing, he said, supplies that final layer.

“When you think about protecting your data, you really need to think about two pieces—protecting the data itself and protecting the metadata,” Barak explained. “Midnight hopes to be the fabric that enables AI to access personal private data in the right way that doesn’t violate our rights.” By joining the CCC, Cardano gains a seat at the table where those fabric threads are woven into chipset specifications, enclave attestation protocols and open-source reference code.

Much of the session focused on Midnight’s two-asset design, which separates volatile, value-accruing governance (“Knight”) from a stable, non-speculative capacity unit (“dust”). Hoskinson argued that splitting consensus incentives from fee predictability sidesteps the tension regulators see in fully shielded currencies such as Monero. “You get your cake and eat it, too… developers can pay in Bitcoin or Ether or Solana through a capacity exchange, and the end user doesn’t notice that they’re using a different system.”

Confidential computing extends that logic to the hardware layer. Enclave-sealed execution protects wallet keys, zero-knowledge circuits and DID registries from side-channel attacks, while at the same time furnishing auditors with cryptographic attestation that regulatory conditions embedded in smart-contract templates are being met. “Selective disclosure is an absolute necessity,” Hoskinson told a questioner who raised compliance fears. “You bake in the capacity to put disclosure at the smart-contract level and then let exchanges decide their suitability guidelines on a case-by-case basis.”

Cardano’s CCC membership arrived as the conversation turned to tokenized real-world assets—a market Hoskinson sized at “ten plus trillion dollars” today and “a hundred trillion” once small-cap and frontier-market issuers join. Midnight, he maintained, must interoperate with both legacy venues such as the New York Stock Exchange and on-chain liquidity pools. Hardware-verified privacy makes that bridging credible. “You want broker-dealers, compliance, circuit breakers, but you also want blockchain stuff… having infrastructure like Midnight is the only way to really do that,” he said.

Barak reported more than 2,000 early builders on Midnight’s testnet, ranging from dark-pool prototypes and medical-record pilots to carbon-credit tracing for jet engines. Because code and state are encrypted, IO’s own developer-relations team cannot inspect what is being deployed; teams volunteer information only in opt-in calls. “I think if we finally bring blockchain technology that encompasses the privacy elements businesses need, the innovation is just unbelievable,” Barak remarked.

At press time, ADA traded at $0.68.

Cardano price
ADA remains below the red resistance zone, 1-week chart | Source: ADAUSDT on TradingView.com

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