Bitcoin is trading around $111,000 after several days of losing ground below its all-time high of $124,500. Bulls have managed to keep the price above the key $110,000 support, but momentum remains weak as attempts to push higher continue to fail. Some analysts warn of a deeper correction ahead if buyers cannot step in with stronger conviction.

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Top analyst Axel Adler shared new insights, pointing to the behavior of Bitcoin’s annual Adjusted MVRV. Currently, the metric has pressed against the 1.0 zone, meaning the short-term average (30-day) is almost identical to the longer-term average (365-day). In practice, this shows that the market is in a balancing phase: recent profit-taking and volatility are being absorbed by the longer-term growth trend, keeping the overall structure neutral.

Historically, this 1.0 level has often represented a pause within bullish cycles rather than the end of them. It signals that the market is digesting recent gains as short-term holders hand coins to longer-term investors. Whether Bitcoin breaks down to test lower demand zones or stabilizes before another leg higher will likely be decided in the coming weeks, as traders closely watch this critical support zone.

Bitcoin Adjusted MVRV Signals Pause, Not Reversal

According to Adler, Bitcoin’s annual Adjusted MVRV is currently pressed right at the 1.0 zone, and the dynamics behind it tell an important story. The annual basis remains positive, and its curve looks largely horizontal because two opposing forces are offsetting each other. On the one hand, the 30-day metric has cooled significantly as volatility eased and profit-taking slowed after the latest push to all-time highs. On the other, the heavier 365-day average still reflects the gains of past months, holding up the broader trend.

This synchronization between numerator and denominator compresses the difference, keeping the basis line steady rather than sliding downward or accelerating upward. In simple terms, the market is digesting the previous rally rather than breaking down.

Adler stresses that this situation at the 1.0 zone should not be mistaken for the end of a cycle. Instead, it represents a pause within an ongoing bullish structure. As long as the annual basis does not reverse downward, the market is essentially redistributing coins from short-term speculators into the hands of more patient holders. There are no strong signs of capitulation, only consolidation.

Over the next couple of weeks, the reaction at 1.0 will be critical. Whether Bitcoin holds firm and builds momentum or slips toward deeper corrections will define the next phase. For now, Adler sees this as more a matter of time and balance than a warning of a cycle-ending reversal.

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BTC Testing Support Around Pivotal Level

Bitcoin continues to consolidate after a sharp retrace from its all-time high of $124K, now trading near $110,823. The daily chart shows BTC struggling to hold above the $110K support zone, which has become a key battleground for bulls and bears.

The 50-day SMA is trending around $116,600, while the 100-day SMA is near $111,600—levels that are now acting as resistance. Meanwhile, the 200-day SMA sits lower at approximately $101,000, marking the deeper structural support. A decisive loss of the $110K zone could accelerate selling pressure, potentially leading Bitcoin to test the 100K–107K support range, a critical confluence highlighted by analysts due to the alignment with the STH Realized Price.

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On the upside, Bitcoin must reclaim the $115K–$117K region to shift momentum back in favor of bulls. Failure to do so risks further consolidation and market uncertainty. The rejection at the $123K level last week highlighted strong overhead resistance, with sellers stepping in aggressively.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

With the 200-period moving average applying dynamic resistance from above and horizontal support showing signs of strain, DOGE’s technical landscape suggests a potential collapse could be on the horizon if buyers fail to defend key levels.

Price Coils Within Bearish Formation Ahead Of Potential Breakout

Market analyst Thomas Anderson, in a recent post on X,  pointed out that “DOGE is consolidating within a descending triangle pattern on the M30 timeframe,” signaling a period of indecision. This chart pattern, often seen in bearish continuations, is characterized by a flat support base with lower highs pressing from above. As Dogecoin trades deeper into this structure, the probability of a breakout, either upward or downward, is increasing with each narrowing move.

Anderson further explained that DOGE is “currently testing the upper resistance around $0.19998,” a key level that has capped recent bullish attempts. This resistance aligns with the descending trendline of the triangle and is strengthened by the 200 MA (red line), acting as dynamic resistance. 

The presence of the 200-period moving average at this level adds extra weight to the upper line, making any potential breakout attempt more challenging for the bulls in the near term. Until price action breaks decisively in either direction, DOGE remains locked in a tightening range. For now, Anderson’s observations underline the importance of this technical structure, as DOGE nears a critical inflection point.

Triangle Compression Builds Tension For Dogecoin

The analyst further emphasized that momentum appears to be weakening as Dogecoin’s price action tightens near the apex of the descending triangle. According to the expert’s observations, the 1-hour chart reinforces this broader consolidation phase, showing a clear compression of price within the pattern. This type of setup often leads to an explosive move once the market chooses a direction. 

A confirmed breakout above the $0.19998 resistance could pave the way for a short-term bullish run, with higher targets potentially opening up if volume supports the move, potentially invalidating the bearish triangle pattern. However, failure to breach this resistance level may reinforce the bearish structure, increasing the likelihood of a pullback toward the lower triangle support around $0.19010, a critical area where buyers previously stepped in.

Trading volumes have more than doubled during this period and the price currently sits at $2.21 per token.

Trader Ali Martinez, whose X account is followed by nearly 137,000 users on X, shared two pivotal levels from which XRP could rally to higher highs in this positive environment.

The first of those levels is the $2 area, which coincides with the token’s 200-day exponential moving average (EMA). The price has bounced once from that area already and it was that price level that triggered the latest rally, meaning that trading volumes and buying interest is strong there.

The second key area highlighted by Martinez is $2.26. This one is the key resistance to watch down the road. If the price breaks above this marker, Ali’s XRP price prediction does not share a specific target for the token but he did say that a bullish or bearish breakout off these price levels could “set the tone for the next major trend.”

Key Levels to Watch for XRP as the Rally Accelerates

As expected, the Fed left interest rates unchanged for the time being. However, the Chairman of the U.S. central bank mentioned that they see a high risk of rising unemployment and high inflation as a result of the trade policies adopted by the Trump administration.

Still, the markets reacted positively to these comments, possibly as participants expect further rate cuts down the road if the economy shows signs of weakening growth.

This is a constructive scenario for XRP and other cryptocurrencies as lower rates provide higher liquidity to the market and tend to push prices higher.

Using Elliott Wave analysis, XRP appears to be in wave four of a bullish trend that could eventually push the price to at least $7.

The token has been consolidating since its December peak but has mostly remained above the 200-day EMA – a sign that the long-term trend remains intact.

As long as $2 holds as support, the price structure stays bullish, with a potential breakout above the $3.40 all-time high confirming the start of wave five.

Such a move would offer a 2x return from that level if XRP hits the $7 target.

While a $50 price remains a stretch for now, current market dynamics continue to support a positive outlook.

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As its influence grows, it will pass all of the insights it collects from these interactions to $MIND holders. It may also launch its own meme coins and give the MIND of Pepe community exclusive access to the private sales of these tokens to position them favorably to reap the highest returns.

The presale event will soon end so don’t miss the opportunity to grab some $MIND tokens at their discounted price of $0.0037515.

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The post XRP Compression Pattern Points to Liftoff – Is $50 XRP Still on the Table? (XRP Price Prediction) appeared first on Cryptonews.

Bitcoin has experienced a tiring price action in recent weeks, with the price struggling to set a clear short-term direction. Investors are beginning to feel impatient as BTC remains stuck in a tight range, showing no decisive breakout. The price was testing crucial supply between $98K and $100K when the market was hit by negative news, adding further uncertainty.

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On Friday, the cryptocurrency exchange Bybit suffered a massive hack, with $1.4 billion in ETH stolen. The incident triggered fear among traders, leading to increased volatility across the crypto market. However, Bybit responded quickly, working to reassure investors and prevent further market-wide panic.

As Bitcoin remains range-bound, price compression is becoming extreme, indicating that a major move could be coming soon. Top analyst Big Cheds shared an analysis on X, revealing that Bitcoin is facing its tightest daily Bollinger Bands (BBs) since August 2023, when the price was at $29.5K. Historically, such low volatility phases lead to explosive price movements, making BTC’s next move critical.

Bitcoin Price Action Signals Imminent Breakout

Bitcoin has struggled below the $100K mark since late January, with bulls unable to confirm a recovery rally despite multiple attempts. At the same time, bears have failed to push BTC below key demand levels, keeping the price above $90K. This ongoing battle between supply and demand has created an uncertain short-term outlook, leaving the market waiting for a catalyst to determine the next move.

The lack of directional clarity has led to Bitcoin consolidating in a tight range, signaling an upcoming breakout. Big Cheds’ insights on X reveal that Bitcoin now has its tightest daily Bollinger Bands (BBs) since August 2023, when BTC was trading at $29.5K.The last time BTC saw this level of price compression, the market experienced an aggressive price drop before a long accumulation phase that eventually led to a recovery. 

With BTC now coiling up for another breakout, traders remain cautious about the direction of the move. If BTC reclaims $100K, an explosive rally into price discovery could follow. However, a breakdown below $94K–$90K could trigger deeper corrections, making the next few days critical for the market.

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If history is any indication, this period of low volatility is unlikely to last much longer. The market is preparing for a major move, and traders are closely watching key resistance and support levels for confirmation. With Bitcoin’s supply on exchanges at historically low levels and long-term holders showing resilience, a breakout above $100K could spark a new wave of buying pressure.

BTC Struggles After Volatile Friday

Bitcoin is trading at $96,000 after a highly volatile Friday, where the price spiked to $99,500 before dropping to $94,800 following news of the Bybit hack. This sudden price action unsettled investors, as BTC failed to hold above critical supply levels and experienced a rapid selloff.

Now, bulls must defend the $95K level throughout the weekend to prevent further downside. Holding this level would signal strength and allow BTC to push toward the $98K resistance, a key area that needs to be reclaimed for a breakout attempt above $100K.

However, losing the $95K mark could trigger a breakdown into lower demand levels, potentially retesting the $94K or even $90K zones. Market sentiment remains divided, as BTC is showing signs of compression, typically leading to an aggressive move in either direction.

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For now, all eyes are on whether Bitcoin can reclaim $98K and sustain momentum, or if bears will push the price into deeper corrections. The weekend could be critical in determining the next major trend, as BTC remains stuck in a tight range between $94K and $100K with increasing volatility.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView