Analysts at banking giant Citi are laying out price targets on Bitcoin (BTC) based on a surprisingly simple forecast model.

In a new report seen by the Financial Times, Citigroup analysts Alex Saunders and Nathaniel Rupert offer a new way of valuing digital assets, ostensibly suggesting that the price of Bitcoin is influenced simply by how many people want to own it.

While Citi’s previous Bitcoin price models incorporated various data inputs like mining electricity costs, adoption rates and more, the analysts have updated their forecast to account for the reality that crypto assets are very much a part of the traditional macroeconomic picture, rather than an isolated subset without relevance to the average investor’s portfolio.

“Around the fall of FTX, the majority of client questions were, ‘How does crypto effect MY market or the macroeconomy?’ – the answer then was, probably not much.

We think that is changing. Firstly, crypto assets have grown and now represent a more meaningful amount of capital. Crypto market-caps now rival all but the largest-cap equity names. Secondly, crypto-related assets are now meaningful parts of some of the largest financial indices. Crypto-related securities are now members of the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Russell. Importantly, this means even crypto-agnostic clients need to have a view to manage their portfolios.”

Citi now has a “bull case” price target of $199,340 for BTC at the end of this year, a “base case” for $135,133, and a “bear” case for $63,675.

As of late, the analysts say that the price of BTC is primarily driven by one factor.

The Citi analysts say that the net weekly flows into Bitcoin-based exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have had a “very strong contemporaneous relationship” with the returns on BTC.

“Since launch, 41% of Bitcoin return variation can be explained by flows alone (the relationship is just as strong even accounting for equity returns). So far this year, we have seen just over $19 billion of flows, including $5.5 billion month-to-date. We expect flows to continue for the rest of the year as more institutions approve and potentially advise underlying clients on these vehicles.

There is significant uncertainty around these flows; we forecast $15 billion given the pace seen so far year-to-date. This would slightly exceed last year’s launch, but the recent acceleration in flows presents upside risk – given each $1 billion of weekly flows is associated with a 3.6% return increase, flows have a meaningful impact on our forecast.”

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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Two stocks purchased by investment legend Warren Buffett’s firm in the first quarter of the year have witnessed significant gains in 2025.

Filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) earlier this year indicate Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway bought 238,613 new shares of Domino’s Pizza (DPZ) in Q1, worth approximately $204 million.

The Omaha-based holding company also bought 112,401 new shares of Heico Corporation (HEI), an aerospace and electronics firm. Those new shares were worth nearly $50 million in Q1.

Domino’s stock is up more than 2.5% in the past five days, more than 4% in the past month and more than 13.5% year-to-date. Heico’s stock is up more than 35% in 2025.

Berkshire Hathaway added shares in both firms while hawking $3.23 billion worth of stock in the financial giants Citigroup, Bank of America and Capital One in Q1.

Buffett’s firm completely exited Citigroup in the first quarter, unloading its remaining 14,639,502 shares worth about $1 billion.

Berkshire sold an additional 48.7 million Bank of America shares in Q1, worth about $2.19 billion, and 300,000 shares in Capital One exposure, worth more than $46 million.

Buffett’s firm also sold all of its remaining 40,180,168 shares of the Brazilian fintech Nu Holdings, which were worth more than $416 million.

Beyond banking, Berkshire also reduced positions in Charter Communications, DaVita, T-Mobile and Liberty Media’s Formula One stock.

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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JPMorgan Chase, Citi and Wells Fargo say they’ve lost $5.361 billion from customers who can no longer pay their debt.

In their Q2 2025 earnings reports, the three major banks disclosed billions of dollars in losses from “net charge-offs” — loans written off as uncollectible after all efforts to recover payments proved unsuccessful.

Among the trio, JPMorgan Chase reported the highest level of charge-offs at $2.4 billion, predominantly driven by bad credit card debt.

Meanwhile, Citi wiped $2.234 billion in bad loans off its books, including $1.889 billion tied to its retail credit card portfolio.

And Wells Fargo recorded $977 million in net charge-offs, fueled by $818 million in sour loans from its consumer banking and lending segment.

The figures come as fresh data from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York shows that US credit card balances reached $1.18 trillion by the end of March 2025.

Despite the losses, Citi reported a $225 million decline in net credit losses quarter-over-quarter, and Wells Fargo saw a $12 million decrease in net charge-offs over the same period. However, JPMorgan witnessed an increase of at $179 million in net charge-offs over the three-month period.

Additionally, the three banks reported strong earnings in Q2, with JPMorgan, Citi and Wells Fargo generating $15 billion, $4 billion and $5.5 billion in net income, respectively.

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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An executive at the banking titan Citi says that the S&P 500 (SPX) is not done rallying after most financial institutions were caught off guard by the sudden stock market recovery.

In a new interview on CNBC Television, Stuart Kaiser, Citi’s head of US equity trading strategy, says that after the weekend’s productive trade talks between China and the US sent stocks soaring, the uptrend will likely continue.

“I think there’s still room to the upside. I think if you’re someone who’s less positive and doesn’t want to be long this market but prefer to be short, those folks are going to step out of the way, and they’re going to let the systematic buying from risk parity, from VolTarget and from CTAs (commodity trading advisors) play itself out. There’s no reason to fight that. Those are emotionless buyers, and they’re not fundamentally driven. So you let that play out. And how much is that worth? It’s hard to know.”

To support his bullish stance on the SPX, Kaiser reveals that a lot of institutional players missed out on the meat of the recovery, and they may aggressively open fresh positions in the event of a market pullback.

“I would not try to step in front of this rally. I think you have to let it play out. I think it can run from here, because the bottom line is most institutional investors captured very little, if any, of the rally we’ve had to date. We were half joking, but you only had to own the market for 60 trading minutes to capture the entire 17% rally off the low.

The flip side of that means, though, if you didn’t own it for those 60, you didn’t capture much of it. It’s not a FOMO (fear of missing out). It’s a fear of ‘I missed out.’

And the question I think now is, do we get engagement, another level of engagement to the upside, or do people hope they get a little pullback and are kind of aggressive dip buyers? So, you know, I think there’s more upside, but it’s not a clean trade.”

As of Tuesday’s close, the SPX is trading for 5,886.

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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