As Bitcoin (BTC) enters the third quarter (Q3) of 2025, bullish sentiment is growing, fueled by historical post-halving patterns that have repeatedly marked the beginning of explosive market moves. A crypto analyst now points to recurring trends observed in past cycles, where Q3 has often acted as a launchpad for significant price rallies in BTC following each halving year. 

Bitcoin Post-Halving Years Point To Explosive Q3

Luca, a crypto market expert on X (formerly Twitter), has doubled down on expectations for a major Bitcoin price rally in the coming quarter. He argues that expectations of an extended consolidation in Bitcoin, based on the fractals and market behavior seen in 2023 and early 2024, fail to account for a critical factor: 2025 is a post-halving year. 

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The analyst points to a consistent pattern observed in every post-halving year throughout Bitcoin’s history. In his chart analysis published on June 26, Luca notes that Q3 in these years have consistently demonstrated strength, with no historical precedent for weakness, reinforcing the case for a bullish breakout. 

The chart compares Q3 performance during the post-halving years of 2013, 2017, and 2021. In each case, Bitcoin entered the third quarter with moderate or corrective price action, only to rally significantly in the weeks that followed. 

The left panel of the chart shows the 2013 post-halving year, where Bitcoin went from under $100 in July to over $680 in November. In 2017, the middle panel highlighted a similar trajectory, where BTC broke out from under $2,800 in early Q3 to over $16,000 by year-end.

The most recent cycle in 2021, shown in the right panel of the chart, saw a Q3 recovery rally that took Bitcoin from under $39,000 in July to a former all-time high above $69,000 in November.  

Notably, Luca maintains that this consistent historical behavior is not coincidental, predicting that a similar rally could unfold in the current cycle, within the next few months. While he acknowledges the possibility of a short-term pullback, he emphasizes that Bitcoin’s broader market structure remains firmly bullish, with momentum still favoring further upside. 

Analyst Predicts $140,000 – $160,000 Bitcoin Cycle Top

Moving forward, Luca’s chart reveals technical factors that align with his bullish thesis. Based on key Fibonacci Extension levels, the analyst projects that BTC’s next cycle top falls between $140,000 and $160,000, a target he believes could be attained toward the end of Q3. 

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While acknowledging that the exact target could shift depending on how technical confluences evolve, the expectation remains that a Bitcoin rally is imminent. With BTC now trading around $107,423 after rebounding from a previous dip below $100,000, a potential move to $140,000 or even $160,000 would mark a substantial gain of approximately 30.35% and 48.97%, respectively. 

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

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The Ethereum price has been in a sharp decline in the past months, underperforming compared to Bitcoin (BTC) and Solana (SOL). Despite its unwillingness to experience a significant price increase, a crypto analyst has revealed his bullishness for ETH, predicting a potential recovery to $4,000 before the end of the bull cycle.

Ethereum Price Projected To Reach $4,000

Crypto analyst Astronomer has announced his bullishness on the Ethereum price outlook, predicting a potential rally to $4,000. In a rather lengthy post on X (formerly Twitter), the analyst highlights several technical signals that suggest ETH could soon revisit this key price target.

Notably, the ETH price is positioned at a clear support zone between the $1,700 and $1,900 range. Historically, this range has acted as a launch pad for recoveries, with previous declines to this area triggering a strong price surge.

While Ethereum has underperformed against Solana during this bull market, it has still doubled since its 2022 low, which is a better outcome than most altcoins. Further highlighting his bullish stance on ETH, Astronomer revealed that he had swapped BTC for ETH, holding a strong conviction that the latter will eventually outperform the former by the end of the cycle.

Based on the analyst’s chart, ETH is currently trading within a long-term macro price range between $1,700 and $4,500. The cryptocurrency recently retested the bottom of this range, which historically led to a bounce back toward a price high above $4,000.

Astronomer also notes that Bitcoin has already set its weekly low, meaning that Ethereum’s price movements could soon align with the pioneer cryptocurrency’s recovery. If ETH can reclaim the $2,100 level, the analyst predicts a rapid move toward $4,000 in a few months. 

With the next Federal Reserve monetary policy scheduled for mid-April, the market may see renewed bullish momentum that could benefit Ethereum’s price trajectory. Another major development that supports the analyst’s bullish projection for Ethereum is its performance in March 2024. At the time, the altcoin swept a previous price high but didn’t sustain a breakout, leading to a prolonged correction.

However, Astronomer suggested that this price trend insists on revisiting $4,000, particularly after Ethereum hits a range low. The analyst notes that ETH is now at this critical low, which could indicate that the bottom is in, signaling a potential move to new highs. 

ETH Market Sentiment Hits Rock Bottom

While sharing his bullish forecast for ETH’s price during this bull cycle, Astronomer also revealed that Ethereum is facing a heavy bearish sentiment due to its prolonged underperformance. According to the analyst, Ethereum’s current market sentiment is worse than Bitcoin’s, with negative narratives dominating discussions across the crypto community.

Some claim that ETH lacks a proper use case, while others suggest that the Ethereum Foundation may be selling. Despite this, Historical data shows that when ETH hit similar low levels in late 2017 and 2021, the cryptocurrency experienced a subsequent rally to new ATHs. The latest sentiment score shows Ethereum has hit rock bottom at 14, signaling extreme fear and uncertainty, which often precedes major price rebounds.

Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

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A recent analysis comparing Bitcoin price movement with global M2 money supply added another data point to the growing discussion of the bullish stage ahead of cryptocurrency. Colin, a crypto analyst known as “The M2 Guy” on social media platform X, recently shared an update suggesting that Bitcoin is on a critical upward crisis, and that the expected timeline could be. Continue to test your patience Bitcoin trader.

Bitcoin’s reception rally could reflect the explosive growth of the M2

Colin, a crypto analyst known in X as “The M2 Guy,” continues to build his case around a correlation between Bitcoin and macro liquidity trends. His outlook for Bitcoin, which is currently bullish, is based About offset correlation Between cryptocurrency price action and global M2 money supply on daily candlestick charts.

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In previous analysis, analysts focused on Bitcoin price action on daily candlestick charts There is the best correlation 70 and 107 days offset. The latest update from analysts focuses on 107 days of offset, which he calls “the most likely scenario.”

An analysis of Bitcoin’s 107-day offset using Global M2 Money Supply shows that Bitcoin is about to surge. However, this isn’t just about the spikes of the day. Choline could last for two months, based on a rapid vertical trend in global M2 supply.

In terms of timing, the 107-day offset suggests that the explosive spikes are expected to begin around April 30th. Strong mathematical correlation. As the M2 line continues to surge upward, the rally could last longer.

Focus on the macros, not just on the day

April 30th is the focus of his prediction, but Colin asked his followers not to be overly pinned to the exact date. “Don’t get caught up in weeds,” he advised. The bigger story is more important and reflected in the rising global M2 level, which should ripen the environment for Bitcoin and other crypto assets to benefit from increased liquidity.

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Regarding price targets, the current trajectory of Global M2 Money Supply refers to gatherings over $140,000. However, an interesting prediction is on the price of Bitcoin Possibility of doubled By the end of 2025.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin has spent the last 24 hours trading for $84,310 Trades in scope $83,700 to $84,300. Based on this analysis of correlation with global M2 money, bullish Bitcoin investors may need to wait at least a month before a significant move.

This delay can pose challenges for short-term traders, depending on positioning and risk tolerance. Meanwhile, it is for long-term holders. Accumulate more bitcoin At the current low price before the expected rally.

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