btc – Earlybirds Invest https://earlybirdsinvest.com Latest Crypto News Sun, 14 Sep 2025 00:06:02 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.9.7 https://i0.wp.com/earlybirdsinvest.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/cropped-New-Project-2024-12-17T235703.455.png?fit=32%2C32&ssl=1 btc – Earlybirds Invest https://earlybirdsinvest.com 32 32 240146708 Julian Figueroa lost 14 BTC worth $1.6 million: he says millions of others will make the same mistakes https://earlybirdsinvest.com/julian-figueroa-lost-14-btc-worth-1-6-million-he-says-millions-of-others-will-make-the-same-mistakes/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/julian-figueroa-lost-14-btc-worth-1-6-million-he-says-millions-of-others-will-make-the-same-mistakes/#respond Sun, 14 Sep 2025 00:06:01 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/julian-figueroa-lost-14-btc-worth-1-6-million-he-says-millions-of-others-will-make-the-same-mistakes/

Host of The Exit Manual, Julian Figueroa, has lost 14 BTC over the last eight years, worth around $1.6 million today. As if that figure wasn’t bad enough, what’s worse is that “90% of people buying Bitcoin today” are going to make one of the three mistakes in Bitcoin security that cost Figueroa his precious BTC.

If you aren’t paying attention by now, you should be. Figueroa’s experience highlights a deeper, more sobering reality: the road to financial sovereignty is crowded with pitfalls, and nearly every user will repeat at least one of these hard-learned mistakes about Bitcoin security.

Bitcoin Security Mistake #1: Day Trading Dreams, Market Realities

Figueroa’s biggest regret? Trying to outsmart the cycles by actively trading:

“I lost 4 BTC just because I thought I’d buy low and sell high. Turns out, it’s nearly impossible—nobody beats the market over time, not pros, not hedge funds, nobody. If you just buy and hold, you almost always outperform the traders.”

The psychological pitfalls of FOMO, misreading tops and bottoms, and emotional fire sales catch even pros in the jaws of volatility. Many lose sight of Bitcoin security when risking coins on risky short-term moves.

Mistake #2: The Altcoin Trap

Figueroa lost another 2 BTC chasing altcoin hype:

“I bought coins I thought would outperform Bitcoin. They didn’t.”

Altcoins offer wild upside stories, but, as Figueroa calls it, “altcoin logic in a suit” often ends up as a distraction.

Study after study shows most altcoins underperform Bitcoin dramatically in the long run; a hard lesson seasoned by endless ‘make it, lose it’ stories among crypto’s earliest adopters. Choosing solid Bitcoin security means resisting distractions from speculative alternatives.

Mistake #3: Self-Custody or Bust

Yet, his biggest loss came from keeping coins on centralized exchanges. He says:

“8 BTC—nearly $1 million—vanished when an exchange failed.”

Trusting custodians instead of taking full personal control is the most common error, yet even veterans fall victim to comfort and convenience. The lesson here?

“Crypto exchanges are not banks, they’re casinos. Self-custody is the only real security.”

You’re Not Alone: Epic Bitcoin Losses from Around the World

Figueroa isn’t the first (or the biggest) Bitcoiner to learn these lessons the hard way:

James Howells accidentally threw away a hard drive holding 8,000 BTC, now worth more than $900 million. Stefan Thomas, a programmer, lost access to a wallet with 7,002 BTC (worth $777 million) after forgetting his IronKey password. He has only two guesses left before his fortune is gone forever.

During the infamous Mt. Gox exchange collapse in 2014, over 850,000 BTC were lost or stolen, leaving countless users permanently locked out and sparking industry-wide debates on Bitcoin security.

When QuadrigaCX’s founder died, he took the private keys to over $200 million with him, leaving thousands of users locked out of their funds. The list goes on and on—reminding investors that Bitcoin security starts and ends with personal accountability.

Figueroa’s story is a living lesson for both newbies and seasoned Bitcoiners alike. So how do you avoid joining the haunted ranks of the 2 million club?

Don’t try to trade “the bottom or the top.” Long-term holding historically outperforms almost every day-trader; just ask the 99% who’ve tried.

Ignore the siren song of altcoins promising outsized gains and stick to the fundamentals. And most importantly, hold your own private keys. Learn self-custody and take full responsibility for your digital assets. Because in Bitcoin, “not your keys, not your coins” is the cold, hard truth. Don’t let your story become another cautionary tale about Bitcoin security.

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Analysts Debate Which Cryptocurrency to Invest In Before the Next BTC Halving and Eye MUTM’s $0.035 for Key Reasons https://earlybirdsinvest.com/analysts-debate-which-cryptocurrency-to-invest-in-before-the-next-btc-halving-and-eye-mutms-0-035-for-key-reasons/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/analysts-debate-which-cryptocurrency-to-invest-in-before-the-next-btc-halving-and-eye-mutms-0-035-for-key-reasons/#respond Sat, 13 Sep 2025 16:17:18 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/analysts-debate-which-cryptocurrency-to-invest-in-before-the-next-btc-halving-and-eye-mutms-0-035-for-key-reasons/

Last updated: 

Every four years, Bitcoin (BTC)’s halving reshapes the crypto market. Each event reduces block rewards, limiting new supply, and history has shown that such shifts often trigger large rallies across the entire digital asset space. With the next halving approaching, analysts are once again debating which altcoin could mirror past breakout runs. As crypto charts show a mixture of consolidation and sporadic pumps, the question of why crypto is down in some sectors while others prepare to surge has never been more relevant. Among the names surfacing in this conversation, Mutuum Finance (MUTM) is drawing growing attention thanks to its presale momentum and unique design.

A Presale Building Momentum Before the Supply Shock

Presale dynamics matter because halvings tend to ignite altcoin rallies from the ground up. Mutuum Finance (MUTM) is currently priced at $0.035 in Phase 6 of its presale, with over $15.6 million already raised and more than 16,200 holders onboard. This stage is already 38% sold out, and the arrival of Phase 7 will lift the price by 15% to $0.040. For investors watching capital rotate into crypto ETF products and mainstream headlines, this represents one of the last discounted opportunities to enter before a market-wide supply crunch begins.

An example illustrates the excitement: a user who exchanged ETH during Phase 1 for MUTM has already seen paper gains multiply by the time Phase 6 arrived. Such stories are driving FOMO across communities, where traders recognize the difference between stagnant portfolios and tokens gathering traction ahead of a major market event. Unlike ADA or XRP, which are often criticized for flat returns, MUTM is pairing narrative with measurable progress.

Mutuum’s appeal also lies in its lending and borrowing design. In the Peer-to-Contract system, users will pool assets like USDT, ETH, or BTC into audited smart contracts, with interest rates dynamically adjusting to usage. A lender depositing BTC will receive mtBTC, representing their share of the pool plus accrued yield. Borrowers will be able to post assets as collateral to access liquidity without selling, such as locking $1,000 worth of SOL to borrow up to 75% of that value while keeping exposure to SOL’s future appreciation.

For assets with higher volatility, like DOGE or PEPE, Mutuum Finance (MUTM) will feature a Peer-to-Peer framework where lenders and borrowers negotiate directly. This separation shields core pools from risk while still offering opportunities for higher returns on speculative assets. It is this dual-lane approach that is turning heads, especially among those looking to diversify strategies ahead of Bitcoin’s next supply shock.

Risk Management, Security, and Roadmap Catalysts

Presale hype is only as strong as the foundation supporting it. Mutuum Finance (MUTM) is integrating disciplined risk controls that will safeguard its ecosystem from the volatility that defines crypto markets. Loan-to-Value ratios will vary by asset type: stablecoins and ETH will support up to 75% LTV with liquidation thresholds of 80%, while riskier tokens will be capped near 40% LTV and liquidated around 65%. Reserve factors will further secure liquidity pools, ranging from 10% for low-risk assets to as high as 38% for volatile ones. This ensures the system can absorb shocks while rewarding those who participate.

For added confidence, Mutuum has already undergone a CertiK audit, scoring 90 on token scan and 78 on Skynet. Security is further reinforced by a $50,000 bug bounty program that incentivizes developers to uncover vulnerabilities before they reach the market. At the community level, a $100,000 giveaway has been launched to reward early adopters, while over 12,000 followers on Twitter signal an expanding base of believers in the project’s roadmap.

Momentum is expected to accelerate with the upcoming beta launch, which will let users test core features live. Layer-2 integration will reduce costs and increase speed, while anticipated listings on exchanges will introduce MUTM to a wider audience. With a projected listing price of $0.06, early investors are positioning themselves to capture multiples similar to Ethereum’s formative years when it transitioned from niche asset to global mainstay.

As the countdown to Bitcoin’s halving continues, analysts agree that positioning early in assets with clear use cases is crucial. Mutuum Finance (MUTM) is aligning presale growth, security, and DeFi mechanics with a pivotal moment in the market cycle. For investors scanning crypto charts for the next big mover, the presale price of $0.035 represents more than just a number—it represents an opportunity to ride the wave of a halving-fueled rally with a project designed to thrive long after the event.

For more information about Mutuum Finance (MUTM), visit the links below:

Website: https://www.mutuum.com

Linktree: https://linktr.ee/mutuumfinance


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Spot BTC ETFs attract $642M, ETH adds $406M amid ‘rising confidence’ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/spot-btc-etfs-attract-642m-eth-adds-406m-amid-rising-confidence/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/spot-btc-etfs-attract-642m-eth-adds-406m-amid-rising-confidence/#respond Sat, 13 Sep 2025 09:12:35 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/spot-btc-etfs-attract-642m-eth-adds-406m-amid-rising-confidence/

Spot Bitcoin and Ether ETFs are seeing renewed inflows as institutional appetite for crypto exposure continues to build.

On Friday, spot Bitcoin (BTC) ETFs recorded $642.35 million in net inflows, marking the fifth straight day of gains, according to data from SoSoValue. This pushed cumulative net inflows to $56.83 billion, with total net assets now standing at $153.18 billion, roughly 6.62% of Bitcoin’s total market cap.

Fidelity’s FBTC led the day with $315.18 million in fresh capital, while BlackRock’s IBIT followed with $264.71 million. Trading volumes across all spot Bitcoin ETFs topped $3.89 billion, signaling robust activity and growing institutional positioning. Market leaders like IBIT and FBTC posted daily gains of over 2%.

The uptick comes after a quieter start to the month, suggesting a shift in sentiment as macroeconomic conditions stabilize and the crypto market shows signs of strength. In total, Bitcoin spot ETFs saw $2.34 billion in cumulative net inflows over the past five days.

Spot Bitcoin ETFs see inflows. Source: SoSoValue

Related: Ether ETF inflows, explained: What they mean for traders

Ether ETFs attract $405 million

Spot Ether (ETH) ETFs mirrored the bullish momentum, pulling in $405.55 million in daily net inflows on the same day, their fourth consecutive day of gains. Total Ether ETF inflows have now reached $13.36 billion, with net assets at $30.35 billion.

On Friday, BlackRock’s ETHA brought in $165.56 million, while Fidelity’s FETH was close behind at $168.23 million. ETHA alone saw $1.86 billion in value traded on the day, reflecting rising activity in Ethereum-based products.

“Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs keep seeing strong inflows, showing rising institutional confidence,” Vincent Liu, chief investment officer of the Taiwan-based company Kronos Research, told Cointelegraph.

“If macro conditions hold, this surge could strengthen liquidity and drive momentum for both assets,” Liu added.

Related: Spot Bitcoin ETFs see strong demand as crypto market tops $4T again

BlackRock eyes ETF tokenization

BlackRock is reportedly exploring the tokenization of ETFs on blockchain networks, following the success of its spot Bitcoin ETFs. The asset management giant is particularly interested in tokenizing funds tied to real-world assets (RWA), though regulatory challenges remain a key hurdle.

Tokenized ETFs could offer new functionality such as 24/7 trading and integration into decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystems.

Magazine: Can Robinhood or Kraken’s tokenized stocks ever be truly decentralized?

]]> https://earlybirdsinvest.com/spot-btc-etfs-attract-642m-eth-adds-406m-amid-rising-confidence/feed/ 0 58201 Crypto Market Prediction: XRP's Massive $3 Test in 24 Hours, Shiba Inu (SHIB) Destroyed Bears at $0.000013, Bitcoin's (BTC) Key $150,000 Rally Chances https://earlybirdsinvest.com/crypto-market-prediction-xrps-massive-3-test-in-24-hours-shiba-inu-shib-destroyed-bears-at-0-000013-bitcoins-btc-key-150000-rally-chances/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/crypto-market-prediction-xrps-massive-3-test-in-24-hours-shiba-inu-shib-destroyed-bears-at-0-000013-bitcoins-btc-key-150000-rally-chances/#respond Fri, 12 Sep 2025 05:21:47 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/crypto-market-prediction-xrps-massive-3-test-in-24-hours-shiba-inu-shib-destroyed-bears-at-0-000013-bitcoins-btc-key-150000-rally-chances/

While the market had a decent chance for a solid recovery, which we highlighted in our previous crypto market prediction, we are seeing signs that hint at the problematic state of the current rally. However, in the case where Bitcoin breaks through around $115,000, the acceleration would be imminent even on Sept. 12.

Shiba Inu’s bullish approach

Shiba Inu is stabilizing around $0.000013, and it is starting to exhibit technical dominance. SHIB is now taking back key moving averages after months of sideways consolidation and unsuccessful breakout attempts, setting itself up for possible growth in the near future.

SHIB has successfully broken through its 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) on the daily chart, a technical milestone that frequently denotes a change in momentum from bearish to bullish. Throughout SHIB’s downward trend, the 50 EMA has continuously served as resistance, making this move noteworthy. Traders are starting to see this as a structural shift in market sentiment, now that the token is trading above it.

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SHIB/USDT Chart by TradingView

With rising volume and a strengthening Relative Strength Index (RSI), which is currently hovering just below overbought levels, the current price action indicates that SHIB is beginning to form a gradual uptrend. This shows that, although there are no immediate signs of exhaustion, buying interest is growing.

The next resistance levels to keep an eye on, if momentum keeps up, are the 200-day EMA at about $0.000014, and the $0.000015 zone, which has historically been a region with a lot of liquidity.

Looking at it more broadly, SHIB’s dominance is psychological as well as technical. Retaining price stability above the $0.000013 threshold boosts holders’ confidence, which lowers panic-selling and promotes accumulation. Given its ability to withstand market volatility, the token is becoming more and more significant in the meme-coin ecosystem, where it is still vying for market share with Dogecoin.

But caution is still required. Even though the 50 EMA breakthrough is a positive sign, SHIB still has to contend with longer-term resistance lines that might halt its upward trend if market sentiment declines. Investors ought to keep an eye on SHIB’s ability to maintain its position above the 50 EMA and progressively test higher moving averages.

XRP approaches key level

A critical test that could determine XRP’s short-term course is approaching at $3.00. As momentum builds toward a potential breakout attempt within the next day, the asset has been consolidating below a descending trendline. Just below the crucial psychological and technical barrier at $3.00, XRP is currently trading at about $2.99 on the daily chart.

Bullish sentiment has been strengthened by the recent rally, which has been bolstered by robust buying volume and a recovery above the 50-day and 100-day EMAs. The 200-day EMA and the descending resistance trendline, however, are convergent around the $3 area, making it a difficult obstacle to overcome.

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In the short term, if XRP is able to break through $3 with convincing volume, it may lead to a surge of buying momentum that pushes the asset toward $3.30 to $3.50. This would confirm the bullish outlook for the upcoming weeks by clearly reversing the trend from its most recent corrective phase.

But if $3 is not broken, there may be rejection and a decline toward $2.80 or even $2.70, where the 100-day EMA offers support. This situation would prolong the consolidation phase by indicating that bulls are not yet powerful enough to overcome resistance.

The next day is important for investors. Rejection could result in another period of range-bound trading, while a confirmed breakout above $3 would suggest the possible beginning of a larger rally. Increased volume and momentum shifts around the $3 mark are indicators that traders should keep an eye out for, because they will shed light on XRP’s immediate trajectory.

Bitcoin’s steady rise

Bitcoin is stabilizing close to the $114,000 mark, laying the groundwork for what may be a rally toward the much-awaited $150,000 mark.

Bitcoin has successfully surpassed its 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which is frequently regarded as a turning point for momentum, following weeks of consolidation and testing lower supports. During corrective phases of recent market cycles, the 50 EMA has proven to be a dependable resistance barrier. Bitcoin’s recovery of this level suggests that there may be a change from short-term pessimism to fresh bullish sentiment. Because the 50 EMA breakout has historically preceded robust price recoveries, traders frequently see this as the first confirmation of a structural rebound.

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Buying activity is steadily rising, and volume patterns are supporting the breakout. Although it is still below overbought levels, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is rising at the same time, suggesting that there is still potential for more upside without any immediate signs of exhaustion. If momentum continues, the next crucial resistance levels are located between $118,000 and $120,000, which is where liquidity has traditionally gathered.

Generally, the market is looking positive, but numerous reversal signals are there, so becoming euphoric too early is certainly not the call here. Staying put at around local resistance and awaiting breakthroughs on altcoins would be the only sign of a continuation at around this level.

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Bitfinex alpha | BTC slip, alt stagnates https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitfinex-alpha-btc-slip-alt-stagnates/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitfinex-alpha-btc-slip-alt-stagnates/#respond Thu, 11 Sep 2025 17:43:24 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitfinex-alpha-btc-slip-alt-stagnates/

Bitfinex alpha | BTC slip, alt stagnates

Bitcoin has now been below $110,000, below its peak in January 2025 $109,590, extending the cut from its all-time high of $123,640 to over 13%. Although this failure has technical weight, the historic drawdown pattern and seasonality suggest that the market is in fact in the later stages of its correction phase, with $93-95,000 emerging as the most likely zone of cyclical floors. On-chain data confirms this: current short-term holders have a realised price of $108,900 serving as a key pivot, and sustained transactions below this level could further fuel the downside. Exchange order flow metrics such as cumulative volume delta also emphasize spot emotion neutralization, reinforcing the view that buyers are returning until a stronger catalyst emerges.

Altcoins are getting worse, reflecting a wide range of risk-off behaviors. ETH has retreated 14% after temporarily posting a new ATH, while XRP, ADA and Doge have seen double-digit losses. However, institutional demand is resilient under the surface, with ETH’s Treasury and corporate buyers continuing to expand their holdings. Intermediate names like CROs and Pumps outperformed through story-driven gatherings, but this rotation came at the expense of weaker names rather than new influx.

What is emerging is the market capitalization of stagnant Altcoin, and Alts’ movements signal capital turnover rather than expansion. September could mark a cyclical low point before structural drivers reaffirm Q4 recovery as ETF influx was seasonally muted and speculative excesses were flushed.

In the last week of August, US economic data presented complex photos for policymakers ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting in September. Consumer spending in July rose 0.5%, the strongest in four months, but inflationary pressures remained rising, with core PCE moving 2.9% year-on-year. At the same time, job creation slowed to 35,000 a month, but an updated benchmark from the St. Louis Fed suggests that there are fewer new jobs needed to maintain labour market stability. This recalibration lowers the policy easing threshold to tilt expectations for September’s interest rate cuts, despite inflation exceeding targets. GDP data added to complexity: While second quarter growth was revised to 3.3% and driven by strong intellectual property and equipment investments, regional surveys such as Chicago Business Barometer showed weaker business activities under the weight of tariffs and reduced reliability.

In addition to these macroeconomic changes, the development of regulations and crypto markets highlighted broader financial support for asset classes. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission reaffirmed the framework of the Foreign Trade Framework and made it clear that offshore exchanges can be re-entered into the US market under established rules. The adoption of digital assets has also accelerated, with BitMine Immersion Technology holding $88.2 billion in crypto and cash, pursuing its ambition to strengthen its position as the world’s largest Ethereum financing company and earning 5% of Ethereum’s total supply.

Meanwhile, El Salvador has advanced its sovereign Bitcoin strategy by spreading a $682 million reserve across multiple wallets to mitigate security risks, combining it with a public dashboard aimed at increasing transparency and positioning the country as a benchmark for national crypto governance.

]]> https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitfinex-alpha-btc-slip-alt-stagnates/feed/ 0 57938 Bitcoin eyes $115K on CPI data as traders diverge on new BTC price dip https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-eyes-115k-on-cpi-data-as-traders-diverge-on-new-btc-price-dip/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-eyes-115k-on-cpi-data-as-traders-diverge-on-new-btc-price-dip/#respond Thu, 11 Sep 2025 15:38:43 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-eyes-115k-on-cpi-data-as-traders-diverge-on-new-btc-price-dip/

Key points:

  • Bitcoin nears three-week highs as US CPI data matches expectations.

  • Plenty of market participants see Bitcoin heading higher as aresult, perhaps after a dip to trap late longs.

  • CPI has seen BTC price fakeouts in recent months.

Bitcoin (BTC) saw telltale volatility at Thursday’s Wall Street open as US macro data furthered interest-rate cut odds.

BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

CPI bullseye sees calls for Bitcoin going “higher”

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD spiking to $114,731.

The August print of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) came in as expected, complementing a marked cooling of the Producer Price Index (PPI) the day prior.

US CPI 12-month % change. Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics

While CPI was at its highest since January, the headline figure was instead initial jobless claims, which saw their largest numbers since October 2021 at 263,000 versus 235,000 expected.

Amid ongoing concerns about labor market weakness, bets of the Fed cutting rates at its Sept. 17 meeting only strengthened after the CPI release, with markets even seeing an 11% chance of the cut being more than the minimum 0.25%.

“Markets are now pricing-in 75 basis points of rate cuts by year-end,” trading resource The Kobeissi Letter noted in a follow-up thread on X. 

“While CPI inflation continues to rise, the labor market is simply too weak to ignore. Next week will be a big week.”

Fed target rate probabilities (screenshot). Source: CME Group FedWatch Tool

Crypto commentators saw the case for higher prices next as Bitcoin passed $114,500 for the first time since Aug. 24.

“PPI much lower than expected, CPI as expected,” popular trader Jelle responded in an X post. 

“Conclusion: Inflation not as bad as expected – bring on the rate cut later this month. News now behind us, time to resume the scheduled programme: higher.”

BTC price risks repeating US inflation data trap

BTC price forecasts also stressed the importance of recent support reclaims.

Related: Bitcoin price can hit $160K in October as MACD golden cross returns

For fellow trader BitBull, flipping $113,500 from resistance to support was the key low-time frame event, which opened the door to a rematch with all-time highs.

Some perspectives nonetheless saw a fresh support retest coming before a return to price discovery.

Trader Skew argued that the market would attempt to trap and liquidate longs that entered on the CPI release.

“One more liquidation before higher,” part of an X post suggested, noting 2,000 BTC of liquidity appearing on exchange order books.

BTC/USDT order-book liquidity data. Source: Skew/X

Crypto investor and entrepreneur Ted Pillows went further, suggesting that BTC/USD would copy previous CPI behavior to first rise then plumb fresh lows.

“In the last 3 CPI data releases, Bitcoin rallied before CPI data and dumped right after the data release,” he observed alongside an explanatory chart. 

“This time, BTC has rallied before today’s CPI data release, which means a dump could happen.”

BTC/USDC one-day chart. Source: Ted Pillows/X

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

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Dormant Bitcoin whale last active at $12 per BTC awakens sending funds to Kraken https://earlybirdsinvest.com/dormant-bitcoin-whale-last-active-at-12-per-btc-awakens-sending-funds-to-kraken/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/dormant-bitcoin-whale-last-active-at-12-per-btc-awakens-sending-funds-to-kraken/#respond Thu, 11 Sep 2025 15:28:41 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/dormant-bitcoin-whale-last-active-at-12-per-btc-awakens-sending-funds-to-kraken/

A long-dormant Bitcoin whale has resurfaced, moving funds untouched since 2012.

On Sept. 11, blockchain tracker Lookonchain revealed that three connected addresses shifted 137 BTC, worth about $15.6 million, out of a cache of 955 BTC (equivalent to $108 million).

According to the firm, a small portion of the funds, 5 BTC, was sent to Kraken, suggesting an intent to sell.

Notably, the addresses were last active when Bitcoin traded at just $12 per coin, leaving their combined balance valued at around $10,000 at that time.

However, with BTC price near $113,000 as of press time, that same stash is currently worth more than $108 million, according to CryptoSlate’s data. This represents a gain of over 10,000% in just over a decade.

Dormant Bitcoin wallets resurface

This movement fits into a recent trend of long-dormant Bitcoin wallets reawakening after several years of inactivity.

For context, CryptoSlate reported that Galaxy Digital executed a $9 billion Bitcoin sale in July linked to a Satoshi-era holder. Another whale investor steadily rotated billions from Bitcoin into Ethereum in August, causing a brief market decline for the top crypto.

In addition, CryptoQuant analyst JA Maartunn pointed out that these transfers are not isolated cases, as more than 604,000 BTC aged three to five years have moved on-chain since March.

Dormant Bitcoin Whale Transfers
Dormant Bitcoin Whale Transfers (Source: CryptoQuant)

This surge in wallet activity marks one of the most significant behavioral shifts among long-term Bitcoin holders in recent memory. Investors in this cohort typically endure multiple market cycles without moving their coins, so their sudden transfers carry weight.

Against that backdrop, many analysts see the transfers as profit-taking, with holders choosing to lock in gains as Bitcoin breaks through the $110,000 mark to new highs.

However, others interpret the activity differently. They suggest it reflects portfolio rebalancing of rotating capital from Bitcoin into Ethereum and select altcoins as institutional demand for crypto rises.

Mentioned in this article
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Bitfinex alpha | BTC will integrate ahead of potential Q4 strength as bond markets are distorted https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitfinex-alpha-btc-will-integrate-ahead-of-potential-q4-strength-as-bond-markets-are-distorted/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitfinex-alpha-btc-will-integrate-ahead-of-potential-q4-strength-as-bond-markets-are-distorted/#respond Wed, 10 Sep 2025 09:58:31 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitfinex-alpha-btc-will-integrate-ahead-of-potential-q4-strength-as-bond-markets-are-distorted/

Bitfinex alpha | BTC will integrate ahead of potential Q4 strength as bond markets are distorted

Bitcoin is stable between $108,000 and $112,000, with buyers defending key support zones and filling the air gap left up until July’s Rapid Rally. Deeper corrections are still possible, but the result is time-based integration, especially when it serves as a cyclical lower point than the historically strong Q4. The profitability of short-term holders has been normalized, leaving profits from 42% to 58% of this cohort, but ETF inflows have been slowed sharply in both BTC and ETH. The demand for this cooling facility sees convictions of stronger spots in BTC compared to the combination of directional flow and arbitrage activity that characterizes ETH, but highlights the market’s dependence on fresh catalysts.

Seasonality adds weight to the current integrated narrative. August fell 6.5% and closed in line with a historically weak profile, but September was traditionally the softest month with an average return of 3.3%. That said, the “September Red” effect has recently faded, with the fourth quarter seasonality historically strong, with October and November earning a large average profit.

If the Fed sees interest rate cuts in September, actual yields and low dollars can amplify the seasonal benefits of BTC and set up a phase of updated momentum. Until then, integration remains a basic case due to ETF flows, macro policy shifts, and placement of derivatives that act as key signals to monitor.

The US economy is putting pressure on weaker labor data, bond market tensions, and political conspiracies around the Fed converge. The August Employment Report on Friday, September 5th revealed a payroll growth of just 22,000, bringing the unemployment rate to 4.3% in nearly four years. Softness will strengthen expectations for Fed rate reductions at its September 16th-17th meeting, but sticky inflation complicates the decision. The bond market reflects tension. Short-term yields have fallen to expectations of interest rate cuts, but remained close to 5% in 30 years, indicating investors’ concerns and financial reliability over the deficit. This cut has skyrocketed the curve, increasing long-term borrowing costs and burning flights to gold. President Trump rejects federal government governor Lisa Cook, exacerbating the challenge by threatening new EU tariffs, encouraging investors to weigh not only economic fundamentals but also increasing uncertainty about the Fed’s independence and the direction of US policy.

In the meantime, the global crypto landscape is changing as regulators and markets move towards a more clear framework. In the United States, the Securities and Exchange Commission and the Commodity Futures Trade Commission issued a rare joint pledge to more closely coordinate the monitoring of digital assets on Friday, September 5th, covering spot crypto products, permanent contracts, portfolio margins, and clearer rules of definitions.

The September 29th joint roundtable has moved this agenda forward, further strengthening it by the 2025 Responsible Financial Innovation Act. The bill also introduces measures to protect and clarify Defi developer status, decentralized physical infrastructure networks, airdrops, and staking rewards. He also directs research into tokenized real-world assets. Together, these moves show Congresses and regulators working together to strengthen the US competitiveness in the digital market. Institutional trust in Solana is also increasing. Last weekend, Sol Strategies announced it had secured approval for its uplist to Nasdaq under ticker Stke, a company milestone focused on Solana, which surpasses its CAD $1 billion mandated assets and owns a treasury of nearly 400,000 Sols. Meanwhile, the South Korean Financial Services Commission issued swept lending rules on September 5, 2025, emphasizing aggressive push to curb interest rates, ban radical loans, limit eligible tokens to maximum assets, protect investors and stabilize the domestic market.

]]> https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitfinex-alpha-btc-will-integrate-ahead-of-potential-q4-strength-as-bond-markets-are-distorted/feed/ 0 57702 Tether beats most ETFs in Bitcoin inflows with 27,700 BTC added in one year https://earlybirdsinvest.com/tether-beats-most-etfs-in-bitcoin-inflows-with-27700-btc-added-in-one-year/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/tether-beats-most-etfs-in-bitcoin-inflows-with-27700-btc-added-in-one-year/#respond Tue, 09 Sep 2025 11:07:54 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/tether-beats-most-etfs-in-bitcoin-inflows-with-27700-btc-added-in-one-year/

Stablecoin issuer Tether is one of the largest corporate accumulators of Bitcoin over the last 12 months, adding more coins to its treasury than nearly all spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

On Sept. 8, Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino shared data showing that the stablecoin issuer secured more than 27,700 BTC in the past year.

Of that amount, around 7,900 BTC were placed directly into the reserves backing USDT, while an additional 19,800 BTC were allocated to Twenty One Capital (XXI), a digital asset treasury fund to which Tether contributes.

Tether Bitcoin Holdings
Tether Bitcoin Holdings vs US Spot ETFs (Source: Ardoino)

The purchases put Tether ahead of several mid-tier ETF inflows, including VanEck’s HODL, Bitwise’s BITB, Ark 21Shares’ ARKB, and WisdomTree’s BTCW.

Yet the stablecoin operator’s buying remains modest compared with heavyweights like BlackRock’s IBIT, which absorbed 394,600 BTC, Grayscale’s mini Bitcoin trust, which added 44,200 BTC, and Fidelity’s FBTC with 27,900 BTC.

Ardoino’s breakdown highlights how the company has divided its Bitcoin strategy between backing its stablecoin and building longer-term investment positions.

Tether’s Bitcoin embrace

Tether began its structured Bitcoin acquisition in May 2023, pledging to allocate 15% of quarterly profits to the asset. That commitment established the company as one of the few major corporate actors with a standing policy to direct profits into Bitcoin.

However, its strategy has also faced scrutiny. Recently, YouTuber Clive Thompson claimed Tether had sold more than $1 billion worth of Bitcoin to help fund a $1.6 billion gold purchase, citing changes in the company’s public asset disclosures.

Ardoino responded by saying the decline in visible Bitcoin reserves was tied to transfers into XXI, not liquidations. He reiterated that Tether plans to maintain a diversified reserve strategy that includes Bitcoin, gold, and real estate.

Despite the debate, Tether’s holdings now total 100,521 BTC, valued at roughly $11.36 billion at current market prices.

Data from Bitcoin Treasuries ranks the company as the third-largest corporate holder of Bitcoin worldwide, trailing only Strategy, which recently rebranded as Strategy, and Block.one.

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Bitcoin Stash Grows: Metaplanet Now Holds 20,136 BTC After $15M Buy https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-stash-grows-metaplanet-now-holds-20136-btc-after-15m-buy/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-stash-grows-metaplanet-now-holds-20136-btc-after-15m-buy/#respond Tue, 09 Sep 2025 03:07:58 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-stash-grows-metaplanet-now-holds-20136-btc-after-15m-buy/

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Metaplanet Inc. moved again into the Bitcoin zone as part of its treasury plan, buying 136 Bitcoin for about $15.2 million at an average price of $111,783 per coin.

According to the company, that brings its total holdings to 20,136 coins. The purchase keeps Metaplanet among the larger corporate holders of the crypto.

Metaplanet Expands Bitcoin Stack

The company reported the fresh buy on Monday. Based on reports, Metaplanet now sits as the sixth-largest corporate holder of Bitcoin.

At the time of the purchase, Bitcoin traded around $111,580, putting the new units close to current market levels. The move underscores how some firms are turning parts of their balance sheets into crypto exposure rather than sticking only to their core businesses.

Market Reaction Was Cool

Shares of Metaplanet did not climb after the disclosure. They fell 2.3% in Tokyo trade on Monday and were trading near a four-month low, extending nearly a 20% rout from the prior week.

Reports show the stock slide has tracked a drop in Bitcoin’s price after profit-taking followed August’s record highs. Investors appear skittish when a company’s share price is tied tightly to a volatile asset.

Investors Weigh ETFs Versus Direct Exposure

Part of the pushback comes from alternatives. Exchange-traded funds now give retail and institutional investors direct bitcoin exposure without owning a company whose core business may not reflect the crypto bet.

Strategy, formerly MicroStrategy, remains the biggest corporate holder with 636,505 coins. Strategy logged nearly a 15% loss in August as Bitcoin pulled back, showing how a firm’s valuation can swing with crypto prices.

Questions have been raised about whether holding Bitcoin on a company balance sheet still offers the same appeal it once did.

BTCUSD now trading at $112,018. Chart: TradingView

Valuation And Volatility Concerns Persist

Metaplanet’s market value — around $5 billion, based on recent trading — has drawn scrutiny because it exceeds the current market value of the bitcoin on its books.

Critics warn that tying a company’s shares to Bitcoin can make the stock more vulnerable to crypto’s swings. New players, including Metaplanet and Gamestop, tried to copy the strategy and have met mixed results so far.

Market Crowding Could Limit Future Gains

Analysts also point to crowding: many companies chasing the same story could blunt future upside for treasury-play stocks if fresh buyers stop showing up.

Strategy achieved big gains after late-2023 purchases, funded in part through large share and debt issuances. That path may be harder to repeat now that more investment routes exist.

For now, Metaplanet keeps adding to its bitcoin pile while its shares remain under pressure. Reports suggest the next moves by both Bitcoin and markets will decide whether that bet looks smart or risky in hindsight.

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

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