Crypto analyst KrissPax has made a case for why the Dogecoin price could still reach the psychological $1 level based on the 4-year cycle. Analysts like Kevin Capital have also declared that DOGE’s best move is still ahead. 

Why The Dogecoin Price Can Still Reach $1

In an X post, KrissPax alluded to the 4-year cycle to prove why the Dogecoin price can still reach $1. He stated that meme coin has throughout its history shown patterns that reinforce these cycles of crypto trading. The analyst added that from bear markets to bull runs and blow-off tops, DOGE has repeated these movements, which indicate that a parabolic rally is going to happen this fall. 

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In line with this, KrissPax remarked that the Dogecoin price could reach $1 if it follows the white upward sloping resistance, which he highlighted on his accompanying chart. Furthermore, he stated that if DOGE follows the blue arc from 2017, which supports the theory that the gains will be less each cycle with a larger market cap, then it could reach as high as $2 this cycle. 

The Dogecoin price is currently enjoying another uptrend after dropping below the psychological $0.2 level during the last market correction. DOGE is up over 17% in the last seven days and is now looking to reclaim its previous local high of around $0.26. Crypto analyst Ali Martinez has predicted that it would happen soon. 

In an X post, Martinez said that the Dogecoin price is targeting $0.27 as it forms a bullish flag on the hourly chart. Crypto analyst Trader Tardigrade also highlighted a bull flag breakout for DOGE on the 4-hour chart and stated that the meme coin is now targeting $0.295.

Like KrissPax, Trader Tardigrade also indicated that the meme coin could reach the $1 price level at some point. He revealed that the Dogecoin price had confirmed a bullish crossover on the daily chart. The analyst further remarked that a decent surge could occur at this point. His accompanying chart showed that $1 was the target. 

The Best Is Yet To Come For DOGE

In an X post, crypto analyst Kevin Capital indicated that the best is yet to come for the Dogecoin price. He stated that all monthly momentum, strength, and sentiment indicators on DOGE show that investors have not yet seen what the foremost meme coin is capable of. He noted that this is similar to many other altcoins. 

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Kevin Capital further remarked that if all stays steady with the macro and the Bitcoin price holds up, then the Dogecoin price’s biggest move is likely still ahead. The Fed is expected to cut rates in September, which is a positive for DOGE, as it could inject more liquidity into the meme coin. 

At the time of writing, the Dogecoin price is trading at around $0.2362, up over 2% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

Crypto Journalist

Amin Ayan

Crypto Journalist

Amin Ayan

About Author

Amin Ayan is a crypto journalist with over four years of experience in the industry. He has contributed to leading publications such as Cryptonews, Investing.com, 99Bitcoins, and 24/7 Wall St. He has…

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July 27, 2025

Bitwise chief investment officer Matt Hougan believes Bitcoin could break from its historical four-year cycle and post significant gains in 2026 — a call that diverges from mainstream expectations of a cycle peak later this year.

“I bet 2026 is an up year,” Hougan said in a video shared on X, adding, “I broadly think we’re in for a good few years.”

His remarks come as debate intensifies over whether the classic Bitcoin halving-driven model still holds.

Hougan Says Bitcoin Halving Cycle Losing Its Influence

According to Hougan, several factors are now overriding the influence of the halving cycle. He argued the impact of halvings weakens over time, as each one cuts rewards by a smaller absolute amount.

He also pointed to the broader macro environment, where U.S. presidential frontrunner Donald Trump is pressuring the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, a move that could drive capital away from bonds and toward risk assets like Bitcoin.

“Blow-up risk is attenuated, due to improving regulation and the institutionalization of the space,” Hougan said, noting that clearer rules and expanding institutional involvement have reduced the likelihood of market shocks.

He added that ongoing adoption by traditional firms could extend Bitcoin’s bullish momentum well beyond historical timelines.

However, Hougan also flagged risks. He pointed to the rise of Bitcoin treasury companies — firms that buy BTC using debt or equity issuance — as a potential vulnerability.

Asset manager VanEck has echoed similar concerns, warning that such companies could be overleveraged if the market turns.

Despite those caveats, Hougan expects a more measured advance ahead. “I think it’s more ‘sustained steady boom’ than super-cycle,” he said, though he acknowledged the path forward will still include volatility.

Bitcoin is currently trading around $118,169, having climbed over 10% in the past month, according to Nansen.

Hougan’s view aligns with recent commentary from CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju, who declared the four-year cycle “dead,” citing a shift in whale behavior.

“Old whales sell to new long-term whales. Institutional adoption is bigger than we thought,” Ju noted.

Bitcoin Could Peak in October If 2020 Cycle Repeats, Says Analyst

However, not everyone agrees. Crypto analyst Rekt Capital recently warned that if Bitcoin mirrors its 2020 cycle, the market could peak in October, 550 days after the April 2024 halving.

That would keep Bitcoin firmly within its historic rhythm, suggesting the debate over its future trajectory is far from settled.

Bitcoin’s strong performance and growing reputation as a store of value have led analyst Tom Lee to call it “Digital Gold,” with a bold long-term price forecast of $1 million.

Speaking on CNBC, Lee emphasized Bitcoin’s role as an emerging asset class that could challenge gold’s dominance.

He also pointed to recent regulatory progress, such as the approval of the GENIUS Act, as a positive sign for the crypto sector.

Lee believes a $200K–$250K Bitcoin price is achievable, representing just a fraction of gold’s market value.

The Bitcoin dominance has hit a new cycle high, providing a bearish outlook for altcoins and any potential altcoin season. Crypto analyst Finsends has commented on this development and how it could affect the altcoin season moving forward. 

What’s Next As Bitcoin Dominance Hits New High?

In an X post, Finsends stated that the Bitcoin dominance has made a new high and that it feels like it can never go down again. However, he opined that there should be a bigger correction starting somewhere around the current levels. The analyst added that the potential target area for a top in this scenario goes up to 68.56%.

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His accompanying chart showed that the Bitcoin dominance could hit this projected top of 68.56% in July, after which a decline would begin. Based on the chart, the BTC.D could drop to as low as 48% on this decline, paving the way for a potential altcoin season. If so, then altcoins could witness significant gains in the second half of the year and outperform BTC in the process. 

In an X post, crypto analyst Michaël van de Poppe also commented on the rising Bitcoin dominance and a potential altcoin season. He noted that the altcoin season indicator has hit its lowest number in two years. The analyst added that the lows of this indicator over the last six years were in June or July.  

Based on this, he remarked that there seems to be a pattern since the indicator has hit a low again this June. Michaël van de Poppe didn’t predict when exactly altcoin season could begin or if the Bitcoin dominance would top anytime soon. However, before now, he had expressed confidence that the alt season would still happen. The analyst noted that the last cycle was also called a Bitcoin cycle until altcoins started to run and heavily outperformed. 

What Needs To Happen For Altcoins To Take Off

In another X post, Michaël van de Poppe stated that altcoins are in need of an upward push from Ethereum, and that this needs to happen through a push of Bitcoin. He further remarked that once the BTC price bottoms out, that is a very likely moment for Ethereum to continue outperforming the flagship crypto, with the Bitcoin dominance declining. 

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The analyst believes that altcoins would start “shining” when the next leg upwards for Ethereum takes place, possibly ushering in altcoin season. He declared that once altcoins start to shine, market participants can expect them to heavily outperform the markets. However, for now, Michaël van de Poppe believes investors need to have some more patience. 

At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $101,700, down in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Ethereum is again looking bullish following its gains of over 17% in the last seven days and the break above $2,500. Analysts have provided a positive outlook for the second-largest crypto by market cap, predicting that its price could soon go parabolic after an extended consolidation period. 

Ethereum Primed To Break Out As Price Goes Parabolic 

In an X post, crypto analyst Mister Crypto noted that Ethereum has been consolidating for four years and that the longer the consolidation, the bigger the pump. He added that he is extremely bullish, indicating that a breakout was imminent. His accompanying chart showed that ETH could reach a new all-time high (ATH) on this breakout. 

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Crypto analyst Skyrexio also asserted that Ethereum will go “insane” soon. In a TradingView analysis, he stated that Bitcoin’s dominance is about to finish the uptrend, which can give ETH a second life. The analyst added that the bounce is already happening, although Ethereum’s price is struggling to break through $2,600. 

He admitted that Ethereum could experience a small correction in the upcoming week but assured that the final uptrend has been confirmed. Analyzing ETH’s weekly chart, Skyrexio opined that the crypto is on wave 3 of the Elliott wave structure. The analyst revealed a green dot on the Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar indicator, which he claimed is a huge confirmation of the bull run. 

Skyrexio stated that the target for wave 3 is the 1.61 Fibonacci at $6,500. He told market participants to consider the second scenario, when BTC dominance will reach 67% and ETH will retest the low. Whales are actively accumulating ahead of a potential price surge. Crypto analyst Ali Martinez revealed that nearly 1 million ETH have been withdrawn from exchanges in the past month. 

ETH Has Broken Out Of The 3-Year Downtrend

In an X post, crypto analyst Mikybull Crypto revealed that Ethereum has broken out of the 3-year downtrend. He added that from now on, ETH will outperform BTC till the cycle peak. His accompanying chart showed that the altcoin could rally to $9,000 before the end of this market cycle. 

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In another post, he reiterated this target while outlining between $8,000 and $10,000 as his targets for Ethereum in this cycle. He noted that ETH is looking to pull 2017 vibes, which is another reason he is confident that the crypto can eventually rally to as high as $10,000. Crypto analyst Titan of Crypto also predicted that the Ethereum price could soon enjoy a parabolic move, rallying to as high as $4,000. 

At the time of writing, the Ethereum price is trading at around $2,587, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin’s historic bull cycle is still intact, despite widespread investor fear over the current correction, which may only be a temporary “shakeout” ahead of the next leg up, according to crypto market analysts.

Bitcoin’s (BTC) price is currently down 22% from its all-time high of over $109,000 recorded on Jan. 20, on the day of US President Donald Trump’s inauguration, Cointelegraph Markets Pro data shows.

Despite investor sentiment dropping into “Extreme Fear” multiple times, historic chart patterns suggest that this may just be a price shakeout — a sudden price drop caused by multiple investors exiting their positions, preceded by a sudden price recovery.

“Several key technical indicators have turned bearish, leading to speculation that the bull cycle may be ending prematurely,” Bitfinex analysts told Cointelegraph.

“Despite this, Bitcoin’s 4-year cycle remains an important factor, historically shaping price movements,” said the analysts, adding:

“Corrections within bull cycles are normal, and past trends suggest that this may be a shakeout rather than the start of a prolonged bear market.”

However, the launch of the US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which temporarily surpassed $125 billion in cumulative holdings, along with the growing institutional crypto investments make it “clear that the conventional cycle ceases to exist,” the analysts added.

Related: Bitcoin needs weekly close above $81K to avoid downside ahead of FOMC

In an optimistic sign for price action, Bitcoin staged a daily close above $84,000 on March 15, for the first time in over a week since March 8, TradingView data shows.

However, due to Bitcoin’s correlation with traditional financial markets, BTC may only find a bottom along with equity markets, particularly the S&P 500, said Bitfinex analysts, adding:

“While $72,000–$73,000 remains a key support range, the broader market narrative, especially global treasury yields and equity trends, will dictate Bitcoin’s next major move.”

“Trade wars have already been priced in, to some extent, but prolonged economic strain could weigh on sentiment,” the analysts added.

Related: Rising $219B stablecoin supply signals mid-bull cycle, not market top

Bitcoin halving and four-year cycle still crucial for price action: Nexo analyst

Despite fears over a disrupted Bitcoin bull market, the four-year cycle, along with the Bitcoin halving event, remain crucial for Bitcoin’s price action, according to Iliya Kalchev, dispatch analyst at Nexo digital asset investment platform.

“Bitcoin’s four-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) has declined to a record low of 8%, posing questions about whether its traditional four-year cycle remains valid,” Kalchev told Cointelegraph, adding:

“Although strong institutional adoption over the past year has served as a significant tailwind for Bitcoin, its halving events are still expected to exert long-term influence.”

The 2024 Bitcoin halving reduced the Bitcoin network’s block reward to 3.125 BTC per block.

Bitcoin price is up over 31% since the last halving occurred on April 20, 2024, which was coined the “most bullish” setup for Bitcoin price, partly because of the growing institutional interest in the world’s first cryptocurrency.

Magazine: SEC’s U-turn on crypto leaves key questions unanswered

]]> https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-experiencing-shakeout-not-end-of-4-year-cycle-analysts/feed/ 0 25450 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-dominance-hits-4-year-high-amid-altcoin-annihilation/ https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-dominance-hits-4-year-high-amid-altcoin-annihilation/#respond Thu, 13 Mar 2025 07:13:13 +0000 https://earlybirdsinvest.com/bitcoin-dominance-hits-4-year-high-amid-altcoin-annihilation/

Bitcoin’s four-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) has dropped to its lowest point ever, now at 14.45%.

CAGR measures the average annual return an asset generates over a specified period. It is calculated by assessing the return on investment (ROI) between two points and determining the annualized compounded return.

For BTC, a four-year holding period now results in an average yearly return of 14.45% — the lowest on record.

Despite the significant drop, Bitcoin continues to outperform traditional financial assets.

Data from Checkonchain reveals that gold, the S&P 500, Nasdaq, silver, and the US dollar have CAGRs ranging from 4% to 13%, making the top crypto a stronger long-term investment.

However, Bitcoin’s CAGR falls behind several leading digital assets. Solana (SOL) leads the sector with an impressive CAGR of 118%, followed by XRP at 49%. Ethereum (ETH) currently has the lowest CAGR among major cryptocurrencies, at just 8%.